EURAUD: Swing Long Setup Explained 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD is trading in a long-term bullish trend on a daily.
After a correctional movement, the price formed a double bottom pattern with a higher low.
Its neckline went broken yesterday.
I expect a bullish trend continuation.
Goals: 1.66 / 1.671
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Australiandollar
AUDUSD: Approaching the Channel Down bottom.AUDUSD is on a strong 2 day sell streak below both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 but is approaching the bottom/ LL trendline of the six month Channel Down. The 1D time frame is technically bearish (RSI = 36.760, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 28.005) and the closer the 1D RSi gets to being oversold (30.000) the stronger the buy signal on the long term becomes.
As long as the 1D candles close inside the Channel Down, we are buying this weakness, targeting R1 initially (TP1 = 0.6800) and if we get a closing over it as well, then re-buy and target the top of the Channel Down (TP2 = 0.7000).
Prior idea:
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AUDNZD Will Keep Falling! Here is Why: 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD broke and closed below a key horizontal structure support on a daily.
The broken structure and a falling trend line compose a contracting supply zone now.
A bearish continuation will be expected on the pair.
Next goal - 1.048
For entries, consider the underlined blue area.
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AUDNZD - SUPPORT BECOMES RESISTANCE📉Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The AUDNZD Price Reached A Support Level (1.06374-1.05878) !
Currently, The Price Broke The Key Level (Support Level Becomes New Resistance Level)
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
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TARGET: 1.05295🎯
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AUDUSD Weekly Forecast | 22nd May 2023Fundamental Backdrop
The Wage Price Index q/q maintained at 0.8% which shows that the economy has not improved.
Employment Change suffered significantly, dropping from 61.1k to -4.3k, which shows that consumer spending has been greatly reduced.
Unemployment Rate also increased from 3.5% to 3.7%, showing that overall economic health has detoriated.
Technical Confluences
Near-term resistance at 0.66940
Near-term support at 0.66360
Major support at 0.65950
Idea
This week with no major news events for AUD, we could see price continue bearish towards the major support at 0.65950.
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AUD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISCommodity Currencies Still Vulnerable
Danske expects that tighter financial conditions and vulnerability in the global economy will tend to undermine commodity currencies.
As far as the Australian dollar is concerned it adds; “With the global growth backdrop remaining weak, recovery in Chinese manufacturing losing steam and metal prices declining, the outlook for AUD FX remains modestly negative.”
AUDCAD - BEARISH TRIPLE TOPHello Traders👋🏻
The AUDCAD Price Reached a Resistance Level ✔️
The Price Failed To Create New Higher High and formed a Triple Top Pattern ✔️
The Neckline is Broken 🔥
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone, AUDCAD Can Continue The Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET: 0.89655🎯
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AUD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAustralia: Jobs, wage data and RBA minutes on tap
Australia’s labor market data is out on Thursday and expected to show the addition of 25k jobs in April after 53k jobs added in March, with the unemployment and participation rates seen steady at 3.5% and 66.7% respectively. Just a day ahead of this release, we also get the Q1 wage price index which could be a key focus as RBA Governor Lowe emphasised the importance of the “evolution of labor costs” to justify the recent increase in the cash rate. A big upside surprise in wage and labor data could continue to suggest a tight job market in Australia, and bring back “sticky” inflation concerns which could be a tricky situation for the RBA and potentially mean more downside for the AUDUSD which has broken below the 50DMA. RBA minutes from the May meeting are also out on Tuesday.
AUDUSD Buy short termAUDUSD is inside a Channel Up with the 1day MA100 on its top and the 1day MA50 in the middle.
Buy on the short term and target the Channel's top at 0.68150.
Price closing over the Channel Up equals buy, Target 0.7000.
Price closing under Support A equals sell, Target 0.6400.
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AUDCAD: Bearish Setup Explained 🇦🇺🇨🇦
AUDCAD is trading in a wide horizontal trading range on a daily.
Approaching its upper boundary, the price formed a descending triangle formation.
Its neckline was broken last week.
I explain a bearish movement to 0.896 level.
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AUD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAustralia: Jobs, wage data and RBA minutes on tap
Australia’s labor market data is out on Thursday and expected to show the addition of 25k jobs in April after 53k jobs added in March, with the unemployment and participation rates seen steady at 3.5% and 66.7% respectively. Just a day ahead of this release, we also get the Q1 wage price index which could be a key focus as RBA Governor Lowe emphasised the importance of the “evolution of labor costs” to justify the recent increase in the cash rate. A big upside surprise in wage and labor data could continue to suggest a tight job market in Australia, and bring back “sticky” inflation concerns which could be a tricky situation for the RBA and potentially mean more downside for the AUDUSD. RBA minutes from the May meeting are also out on Tuesday.
AUDCHF: Sell Signal on a 1D MA50 rejection.The AUDCHF pair is on a long term Channel Down that has just been rejected on the 1D MA50. The 1D technicals are marginally bearish (RSI = 44.758, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 32.406) meaning that this is still a sell opportunity in its early stages. As in December, target the LL line (TP = 0.580000).
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AUDCHF: Time to Fall 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a bearish trend.
After the price set a new lower low, it started a correctional movement.
The pair reached a major falling trend line this week.
The market was stuck on that for a couple of days and formed a horizontal range on 4H.
Its support was broken yesterday.
It will most likely trigger a bearish trend continuation.
Goals will be 0.5935 / 0.588
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EURAUD: May take a month to establish a Support. Accumulation.The EURAUD pair is on a strong green 1D candle today, turning 1D technicals neutral again (RSI = 48.319, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 27.956) after the 1D RSI rebounded from a 42.000 three month low yesterday. It did so after crossing under the 1D MA50 for the first time in 2.5 months.
As long as S1 holds, we see a lengthy (even 1 month) support formation, inside a long term Channel Up, a formation similar to January/ February. Our long term target is the 1.236 Fibonacci (TP = 1.69500).
Prior idea:
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AUDCHF Short-term Buy SignalThe AUDCHF pair reached the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Down pattern and rebounded, testing now the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Then that 1D MA50 test took place after the RSI on the 1W time-frame rebounded on its Support Zone, all three times the price hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This can happen a little quicker at 0.62000 or slower at 0.61500. Choose the appropriate target depending on the course of the price action.
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EURAUD - Support Becomes Resistance📉Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The EURAUD Price Reached A Support Level (1.63148-1.62212) !
Currently, The Price Broke The Key Level (Support Level Becomes New Resistance Level)
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone,
EURAUD Can Continue The Bearish Move📉
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TARGET: 1.60700🎯
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EURAUD Sell signal, short-term at leastThe EURAUD pair gave us last time (January 17) an excellent buy signal on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
Right now the pair is testing its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following a Higher High rejection within the recent Channel Up. Technically that is a short-term sell signal and we will follow it, targeting the bottom of the Channel Up at 1.60500.
With the 1W RSI getting rejected after hitting the 70.00 overbought level, it is equally probable to see an extended selling, if the price closes a 1D candle below the Channel Up. In that case we will target the 1D MA200 around 1.58500. Until the break-out happens though, we will be on a tight SL buy at the bottom of the Channel Up, targeting Resistance 1 at 1.68000.
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AUDNZD: Sell signal confirmed.The AUDNZD pair got rejected on the 1D MA50 turning the 1D technicals bearish (RSI = 42.793, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 30.864) for the first time in a month. The price got also rejected on the 1D MA200 and the LH trendline on April 21st, which started the current bearish leg. This may give a rise to a Channel Down. We are short, targeting the HL trendline (TP = 1.05300) and is the price closes under the S1, we expect a bearish extension to S2.
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GBPAUD Channel Up calling for a buy but short if it breaks lowerThe GBPAUD pair is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 02 Low. With the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting, it is attempting to fill the Gap form January 28 2022 and test that Resistance. As long as its holds we will be bullish targeting 1.92300. A closing below the 1D MA50 will be a sell signal, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on a projected contact target at 1.80000.
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AUDCHF growth after completion of pullback(Short term)🚀!!!AUDCHF managed to break the downward trendline and 🔴resistance zone🔴.
Currently, it seems that AUDCHF has succeeded in completing a pullback; the sign of the completion of the pullback of the Hammer Candlestick pattern is near the resistance zone in the 15-minute and even one-hour time frames .
I expect AUDCHF to go up to at least the 🎯target🎯 I have marked on the chart.
🔅Australian Dollar/ Swiss Franc ( AUDCHF ) 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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AUDNZD Triangle close to breaking outThe AUDNZD pair has hit our previous target (see chart below) and is currently on a Triangle pattern:
The break-out of this pattern will dictate the next trend. Right now the price is below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) so currently we have to give a slight edge to the bearish break-out. In that case, our target will be 1.04700 (December 16 2022 Low). If the price closes above the Triangle (Lower Highs trend-line), we will buy the break-out, target 1.10000 (bottom of Pivot Zone) and then short from the top for the long-term.
P.S. The RSI's Rectangle can be of additional help for buying and selling.
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