Return to the mean?Automotive dealers started marking up autos above MSRP in March 2021. Automakers, jealous of their dealers, followed with the MSRP increases, taking advantage of buzzwords like inflation, chip shortage, supply chain shortages, etc. The return to the mean will be interesting, if there is one.
Automotive
Subaru is Cheap!FUJHY is cheap by several metrics and warrants a multiple expansion!
- TTM GAAP PE is 71% below sector median
- FWD GAAP PE is 70% below sector median and 53% below its 5 year average.
-EV/EBITDA TTM and FWD are 92 and 94% below sector media; both are about 72% its 5 year avg
-P/S, P/FCF, P/B all are substantially below sector median and its 5 year avg
-DCF based on FCF and 7% discount rate implies a margin of safety at 89.1%
-Shiller PE is 8.34, during the past 10 years, Subaru's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 31.54. The lowest was 6.70. And the median was 10.74. Subaru's shiller PE is ranked better than 84% of 739 companies in the vehicle and parts industry.
-Technically, FUJHY is sitting near the bottom of a long term uptrend and appears to be finding a bottom within a flat channel and starting to trend up.
Subaru has been able to recover to its 2017-2018 profitability and net income range while projecting FWD growth. Given these considerations Subaru appears to be very cheap on several time frames and metrics.
Li Auto in the Fast Lane! Li Auto (LI) is building strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming at the $26.00 level. A breakout above the $30.50 resistance would confirm further strength, positioning the stock to reach the $47.33 weekly resistance. With a favorable 3.33 risk-to-reward ratio, this trade offers a compelling opportunity, while a stop-loss at $23.97 ensures controlled risk.
Li Auto’s leadership in the hybrid electric vehicle (EV) market plays a key role in its growth, offering extended-range EVs that appeal to a broader consumer base. As China’s economy begins to recover, supported by easing policies and increasing domestic consumption, the demand for EVs is expected to rise. With production capacity expanding and government incentives favoring hybrid and electric vehicles, Li Auto is well-positioned to capitalize on this rebound.
This combination of technical momentum, market fundamentals, and the economic recovery in China sets the stage for Li Auto’s push toward the $47.33 target.
NASDAQ:LI
Full Throttle! XPeng Powers Up for a Push to $23.63XPeng is building strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $10.00 level. A break above the $13.73 resistance level would confirm the next leg up, positioning the stock to reach the $23.63 weekly resistance. With a compelling 5.15 risk-to-reward ratio, this setup offers a favorable opportunity for traders, while managing risk with a stop-loss at $8.77.
XPeng’s position in the growing electric vehicle (EV) market supports its bullish outlook. The company is expanding rapidly, with increased production capacity and new model launches targeting both domestic and international markets. As consumer demand for EVs grows, alongside government incentives, XPeng is well-positioned to capture market share and drive revenue growth.
This combination of technical strength and market expansion creates a solid case for XPEV’s push toward $23.63 in the near term.
NYSE:XPEV
GENERAL MOTORS rally expected ahead of major 1W Golden CrossGeneral Motors (GM) is close to a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame, which is a major bullish development as since its first trading days in November 2010, it has only been formed twice.
The first one was on the week of June 19 2017 and second on March 29 2021. In both cases, the price rallied aggressively and reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of the pull-back that took place before. On top of that, its last two lows and the August 05 in particular, tested and successfully held both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, we expect the price to extend the rally and target at least $65.00.
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BMW (BMW): Navigating Through Uncertainty in the Auto MarketThe German automotive industry is currently facing significant challenges, from rising production costs and the transition to electric vehicles to increased competition from China. Despite these hurdles, we believe that most of the negative factors are already priced into the market.
From a technical perspective, we’re zooming out to get a broader view of BMW. Ignoring the COVID-19 dip, BMW has been ranging between 55€ and 113€ for an extended period. We anticipate that this range will continue, as markets tend to range 70% of the time. Right now, BMW is at a critical level, either bottoming out for the fourth time or, more likely, preparing to break below and collect the sell-side liquidity that has accumulated over the past three years.
Our plan is simple: We’re monitoring this closely, with alerts set to notify us if the stock dips below this level. Should this occur, we’re looking at a potential entry near 62€. We will update you with our strategy once this scenario unfolds.
Can a Prancing Horse Outrun an Electric Future?In the ever-evolving landscape of luxury automobiles, Ferrari stands as a beacon of innovation and exclusivity. The recent upgrade from J.P. Morgan, elevating Ferrari's status from "Neutral" to "Overweight," underscores the company's resilience and strategic prowess in navigating complex market dynamics. This vote of confidence, coupled with a substantial increase in the price target to $525, reflects Ferrari's unique position in the luxury sector and its ability to maintain growth even in the face of global economic challenges.
At the heart of Ferrari's success lies a paradoxical strategy that defies conventional wisdom: deliberately producing fewer cars than the market demands. This approach, rooted in the vision of founder Enzo Ferrari, has cultivated an environment of perpetual desire and scarcity. With a staggering backlog of 24 to 30 months, Ferrari has not only engineered exceptional vehicles but has also orchestrated an "underappreciated cultural evolution" within the company. This disciplined approach to growth, combined with the power to command premium prices, provides unparalleled visibility into future earnings and sets Ferrari apart from its luxury peers.
As the automotive industry races towards electrification, Ferrari is poised to redefine the boundaries of performance and sustainability. The company's foray into the electric vehicle market, promising an "incredible driving experience" that remains true to the Ferrari ethos, demonstrates its commitment to innovation while preserving its core values. However, this journey is not without obstacles. Ferrari must navigate challenges such as an ongoing investigation into its chairman and the conclusion of a key partnership with Santander. Yet, with strong financial performance, positive investor sentiment, and a clear strategic vision, Ferrari appears well-equipped to maintain its pole position in the luxury automotive market, promising a future as thrilling and exclusive as its storied past.
Ford (F): Waiting for the right moment after recent bounceAfter being stopped out at break-even with profits already taken on NYSE:F , we are now observing the chart again. We're pleased that we didn't buy any shares as the anticipated bounce did not materialize. However, Ford did bounce almost exactly at point X, which is where wave 2 should not have dropped below—it briefly wicked under before pumping back up. This is something we can respect, as we haven't been stuck below the designated level for an extended time.
From a technical perspective, the plan is clear, but Ford is highly impacted by the current political climate, as car companies are in the spotlight right now. Despite this, we are planning for a push upwards after the recent dip. Ideally, we should not revisit the $9.64 level or, even better, avoid the wave (ii) level. Multiple levels need to be flipped for us to be confident that there's enough strength for future success. We've marked the "Ideal Entry Point" with a green dot, and it should be clear what we want to see.
For now, we're standing on the sidelines, letting it develop and play out. If our scenario unfolds as anticipated, we can capitalize on it.
Plan the trade and trade the plan.
QuantumScape: A Battery Revolution or a Risky Venture?QuantumScape Corporation, a trailblazing firm specializing in solid-state batteries, has garnered significant attention in the investment sphere. Given its capacity to transform the electric vehicle (EV) sector, numerous investors are closely monitoring this company. Nevertheless, before delving into the realm of QuantumScape, it is essential to grasp the associated risks and potential rewards.
Is It Time to Buy or Sell QuantumScape?
Deciding whether to purchase or sell QuantumScape stock is influenced by various factors, such as your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and the financial stability of the company. Despite the significant potential of QuantumScape's groundbreaking technology, it is crucial to take into account the following:
Research and Development: The company is currently in the initial phases of bringing its solid-state battery technology to the market. There is a possibility that obstacles in development or unexpected technical challenges may cause delays or hinder the successful introduction of products.
Competition: The electric vehicle sector is fiercely competitive, with established companies like Tesla and emerging rivals competing for market share. QuantumScape must distinguish itself and establish partnerships to establish a significant presence in the industry.
Financial Performance: Being a relatively young firm, QuantumScape's financial performance could be subject to fluctuations. Investors should meticulously scrutinize the company's financial reports, encompassing revenue, expenses, and cash flow, to evaluate its overall financial well-being.
The Role of Call and Put Options
For investors aiming to manage risk and potentially capitalize on QuantumScape's stock price movements, purchasing call or put options can be a beneficial strategy.
Call Options: If you anticipate an increase in QuantumScape's stock price, acquiring a call option grants you the right to buy the stock at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specified time-frame. If the stock price surpasses the strike price, you can exercise the option and profit from the difference.
Put Options: If you foresee a decline in QuantumScape's stock price, purchasing a put option provides you the right to sell the stock at a predetermined price within a specified time-frame. If the stock price drops below the strike price, you can exercise the option and profit from the variance.
When deciding between call and put options, consider your projected stock price direction and your risk tolerance. Keep in mind that options trading can be intricate and involves substantial risks.
QuantumScape's Financials and Investor Sentiment
To make a well-informed investment choice, it is crucial to assess QuantumScape's financial performance and the sentiment of professional investors.
Financial Analysis: Evaluate the company's revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow to evaluate its financial stability. Look for indications of sustainable growth and robust financial management.
Investor Sentiment: Take note of analyst ratings, news articles, and investor discussions to gauge the general sentiment towards QuantumScape. While positive sentiment can be a bullish sign, conducting your own due diligence is essential.
A Word of Caution
Investing in stocks, including QuantumScape, carries risks. There is no assurance of profits, and there is a possibility of losing a portion or all of your investment. Conduct thorough research, comprehend the risks involved, and only invest an amount that you can afford to lose.
Conclusion
QuantumScape offers an enticing opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the potential of solid-state batteries. Nevertheless, it is essential to approach this investment cautiously and consider the inherent risks. By meticulously analyzing the company's financials, investor sentiment, and potential market dynamics, you can make an informed decision on whether QuantumScape is a suitable addition to your investment portfolio.
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Rating: BUY
The article information and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
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Risk Warning Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses. Risk Disclaimer! General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss!
CarGurus (CARG) AnalysisCompany Overview:
CarGurus, a leading online platform for buying and selling cars, continues to attract investor confidence with its growing user base and strong market positioning. The platform's ability to connect consumers with dealers is driving its popularity, making it a significant player in the automotive marketplace.
Key Highlights:
Rising User Engagement: CarGurus saw a 3% increase in average monthly users, a strong indicator of consumer engagement and platform relevance. This growth reflects the company's effectiveness in attracting and retaining users, crucial for long-term success.
Analyst Optimism: Analysts are bullish on CarGurus' prospects. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised their target price to $32.00, while BTIG Research set theirs at $30.00, both maintaining a "Buy" rating. This analyst confidence highlights the market's positive view of CarGurus' growth trajectory.
Revenue Growth: The company's Marketplace business reported its largest quarterly revenue increase since 2021. This growth was driven by higher adoption of add-on products, a shift to premium service tiers, and expansion of its global dealer base, all contributing to stronger financial performance.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:CARG above the $23.00-$24.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target of $35.00-$36.00, CarGurus presents a compelling growth opportunity as it continues to enhance its platform, expand its dealer network, and increase user engagement.
📈🚗 CarGurus—driving growth and accelerating your portfolio! #CARG #Automotive 🚗💼
NIO (NIO): High Risk, High Reward - do-or-die!NIO, a stock we've previously analyzed and profited from, remains highly volatile and is currently trending downwards. From its all-time high of approximately $67, it has plummeted to $5.21. This drastic decline occurred over just a bit more than three years, which is relatively short in the stock market.
Several factors contribute to this volatility. Firstly, the automotive sector is inherently volatile. Additionally, the electric vehicle (EV) segment has faced political challenges over the past few years. NIO, being a Chinese company, has also been affected by EU subsidies for electric vehicles, adding to the stock's difficulties.
Despite these challenges, we consider NIO a compelling investment from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Currently, NIO is holding the High-Volume-Node Point-of-Control on the New York Stock Exchange, suggesting that a bottom may be forming. This level is critical to watch as it could indicate potential stabilization and a reversal point for the stock.
Short-Term Analysis
Examining the 4-hour chart for NIO, we observe a low-volume node between $6.32 and $7. Whenever the price entered this zone, it quickly moved through it, indicating the nearest possible resistance levels. Thus, the levels of $6.32 and $7.04 are particularly interesting.
Around $4.12, the Point-of-Control on the 3-day chart holds, but we could see a further decline towards the $3 mark. We are considering multiple entry points, employing a dollar-cost averaging strategy down towards the all-time low of $1.19.
Strategy
For NIO, this seems like a do-or-die situation. The potential upside is significant, with gains of nearly 400% if the price moves from $3 to Wave 4. We plan to place multiple entries and dollar-cost average downwards.
However, if the price falls below $1.20, it would become unsustainable for NIO. While the potential upside is vast, it's important to recognize the risk of the stock continuing to decline towards zero.
Given the current volatility, we find an entry before $3 too risky and volatile, so we are holding off on investment until the price stabilizes at more attractive levels.
CARVANA $CVNA - Feb. 15th, 2024CARVANA NYSE:CVNA - Feb. 15th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $48.00 - $60.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $40.00 - $48.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $25.25 - $40.00
By request. My main focus would be on the range between $40.00 - $48.00, this area has determined the trend five times, which are seen each time price touches and breaks or touches and rejects. Currently I'm looking at a bull trend that was set after a breakout of the range in the $40-$48 zone. Any data before June 2023 I was not considering. If I had to look for an upside target, assuming the trend stays bullish long term once price reaches $60, the next logical point would be $103. Due to the lack of data and because price is trading away from the start of my bullish zone, I personally would not look to enter until there is a reaction to the $60 area or a pullback to the $48/$49 zone.
Volkswagen (VOW3): Potential Climb to €150Volkswagen AG is currently a highly interesting stock for us, especially given that it is a massive enterprise and the European market has seen significant sell-offs, in contrast to most American automakers which remain relatively high. However, it's important to note that automakers are typically quite volatile. If not for the high dividend yield, which currently stands at 15%—exceptionally high for a company of this size—it might not even be worth considering. Looking at the daily chart, we've observed a decline from 252€ to a low of 97.83€, marking the nadir of the overarching Wave II.
We placed our very first entry at the start of this cycle at 101€, which is now at 121€. We have yet to break out from the major trend channel. A new, smaller trend channel has formed, suggesting that an upward breakout could potentially lead us out of both channels, providing a short-term boost. This could bring us to the level of Wave (X), around 150€, concluding the Wave (1).
We successfully entered a new position on the 2-hour chart for Volkswagen, as we placed a limit order at the 50% retracement level, which was reached yesterday. This entry should give us a significant boost, aiming to challenge the trend channel line again and potentially reaching new local highs around 130€. There's also a dividend distribution coming up next month for Volkswagen, which might influence market behavior as investors could decide to take profits afterwards.
We are not trying to predict short-term movements; instead, we aim to position ourselves for the long term and hold our investments for extended periods. We have strategically placed our stop-loss below Wave ((ii)) to only get stopped out if the scenario is invalidated. However, we see theoretically huge potential upwards, with 150€ being just an initial target.
NIO (NIO): Downward Journey and the Glimmer of Long-Term HopeNIO (NIO): NYSE:NIO
NIO has recently slipped below the $7 mark, signaling a possible continuation of its significant downward trajectory. After peaking at $66.99, NIO has been on a prolonged decline that shows no immediate signs of concluding. While the descent is expected to persist, it's critical that the price stays above the $1.19 threshold to maintain a bullish outlook for NIO's future, preventing a drastic plummet towards zero—a scenario that seems less likely given the limited downside left.
Within this framework, we're observing the development of Wave (C) emerging from Wave (B), structured as a five-wave decline aiming lower. Notably, Wave 3 touched the 161.8% extension at $8.84, succeeded by Wave 4. We're now bracing for Wave 5, which might approach the $2.13 support zone.
Setting a broad stop-loss might seem risky, yet the potential for an upward surge is compelling. If NIO is indeed navigating through an overarching Wave II, poised for a multi-year rebound, it could dramatically exceed its all-time high of $67, hinting at an increase well over 3000%. This optimistic projection aligns with a possible long-term bullish trend following the current decline.
Currently, it's too early to pinpoint exact entry points, given the substantial risk of further drops. Attempting to do so now would be akin to catching a falling knife without adequate support nearby. Patience and vigilant monitoring are crucial at this juncture to avoid premature entries. Once signs of market stabilization or a trend reversal become apparent, we can then identify strategic entry points to capitalize on NIO's potential long-term growth. This cautious approach aims to balance risk management with the prospect of significant returns, awaiting the market's eventual recovery and NIO's ascent.
Porsche Automobil Holding (PAH3): On the Fast TrackPorsche (PAH3): XETR:PAH3
Our analysis of Porsche Automobil Holding focuses on the stock's price movement since the lows during the COVID-19 crisis at 28.48 EUR. Since then, Wave (1) in blue has expanded to 102 EUR, currently serving as a local high. Subsequently, a remarkably unusual and complex Wave (2) has been observed, which appears atypical at first glance. Upon closer examination, this phase is identified as a flat correction, which falls just above the 78% level, slightly insufficient for a regular flat. In Elliott Wave analysis, as well as in other analyses, it is sometimes necessary to stretch certain rules to reach a conclusion. Whether this is invalid or not is difficult to say at this point.
Currently, the stock suggests that Wave C in red has not yet been fully completed, as the extension of Wave (iii), as expected, took a corrective trend reversal at 41.48 EUR. If this is the case, we are currently witnessing the formation of Wave (iv), with the stock possibly falling one last time with Wave (v) before finally bidding farewell to the overarching Wave (2). The exact timing for this remains open and uncertain. However, as long as Wave 1 does not become invalid, a downward trend is expected for Porsche stock. Potential significant entry points for us could lie in a retest of the Wave (iii) area at 41.90 EUR or even lower. The exact coordinates are yet to be determined, but until then, we anticipate a declining price for Porsche stock.
One luxury carmarker is down 20%, a buying opportunity?Although founded in 1948, Porsche became a public company in late September 2022. Initially, the company started to float on the market with an opening price of €84. However, shares rose as high as €120.80 in the coming months. Yet despite these impressive gains since the IPO, shares of the company began to decline in May 2023, losing about 20% of their value through the summer.
In its recent financial report, Porsche AG Group revealed that its operating profit rose 10.7% YoY and sales revenue 14% YoY in the first six months of 2023. Meanwhile, cash and cash equivalents decreased by 52% (by €2.466 billion to €2.244 billion), and the deliveries went up by 14.7% YoY to 167,354 vehicles, with increases in all sales regions. Based on the report, the biggest demand was for models Macan and Cayenne, with 46,842 and 46,399 cars sold, respectively.
Going forward, the company cited supply chain challenges related to auto parts and their quality while noting that risks associated with gas shortages and the Russia-Ukraine conflict decreased. On top of that, the report states: “The explanations on the liquidity risks presented in the risk reporting section of the 2022 combined management report remain unchanged… The overall conclusion that, based on the information and assessments currently available, a development jeopardizing the group’s ability to continue as a going concern is sufficiently improbable in the fiscal year 2023, remains unchanged."
Based on these and other factors, we consider Porsche shares attractive below €100 (with ideal entry around €90 to €92) for the long term (talking about years). However, at the moment, we believe it would be proper to start only with incremental purchases and leave some capital aside for better opportunities.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Porsche with one of the highest profit margins per carPorsche, one of the automotive manufacturers with one of the highest profit margins per car in the world. After RACE, Ferrari, it's Porsche, it seems to me.
This stock has returned to its IPO price...
Undervalued in my opinion.
- Price-To-Earnings ratio (12.9x) is below the German market (16.1x)
- Earnings are forecast to grow 5.77% per year
- Earnings grew by 3.3% over the past year
- Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 33.9%
- No risks detected for P911
- Revenue is meaningful (€41B)
- Market cap is meaningful (€67B)
- The company’s earnings are high quality
- Debt level is low and not considered a risk
RIVIAN Potential triple bullish break-out ahead. Target $21.00.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) remained supported within the (green) Higher Lows Zone and on a significant Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI (in the form of a Channel Up). This is an early bullish sentiment signal but the real technical catalyst is right ahead.
That is the Triple Resistance zone consisting of the Inner Lower Highs trend-line as well as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is a strong bullish combo signal if broken but in our personal opinion breaking and closing a 1D candle above the Inner Lower Highs will suffice. If successful, we will target $21.00 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which would make a Lower High at the top of the 4-month Bearish Megaphone (the 0.618 Fib was where the previous Lower High was formed).
The pattern since the July 27 top is a Bearish Megaphone and Tuesday's low isn't only a Higher Low on the Support Zone but also a technical Lower Low on the Megaphone's bottom. The previous Lower Low rebound formed a top on the 0.618 Fibonacci level. As a result our short-term bullish target is $21.00.
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The Cybertruck's first delivery is coming tomorrowTomorrow is a big day for Tesla, which plans to deliver its first Cybertruck vehicle to the customers. Introduced in 2019 by Elon Musk, the Cybertruck's journey from concept to reality has been eagerly watched by enthusiasts and skeptics alike. Initially slated for production in 2021, the Cybertruck will be the first pick-up truck vehicle added to Tesla’s lineup, which, until now, has been comprised only of sedans like Model S and Model X. Unlike anything else on the road, the Cybertruck's design is a radical departure from conventional automotive design. With its angular, box-like appearance and a stainless steel, bulletproof exterior, it looks like it is straight out of a sci-fi movie. Performance-wise, the Cybertruck is said to have a towing capacity rivaling the strongest diesel-powered trucks and the capability to accelerate from 0 to 60 mph in as little as 2.9 seconds. Building on these unique aspects of Tesla's Cybertruck, it is noteworthy how its eco-friendly electric powertrain sets it apart in a segment historically ruled by gas-guzzling counterparts. This shift towards sustainability could appeal to a new demographic of environmentally conscious consumers. Additionally, its advanced driver-assistance features, leveraging Tesla's pioneering Autopilot technology, offer convenience and safety not typically found in conventional pick-up trucks. The integration of these high-tech features, combined with its striking design, positions the Cybertruck not just as a utility vehicle but as a symbol of futuristic innovation in the automotive world.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bullish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
The Semiconductor Industry and Texas Instruments Long TXN
Company Overview: Texas Instruments (TXN) is a prominent and long-established semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Founded in 1930, TXN has evolved into a global leader in the semiconductor industry, with a diverse portfolio of analog and embedded processing products. Here are some key aspects of the company:
Product Range:
TXN specializes in analog and embedded processing semiconductors. Analog chips are designed to process real-world signals such as sound, light, temperature, and motion. They are used in a wide range of applications, from industrial and automotive systems to consumer electronics.
As tensions between Taiwan and China continue to rise, it is a good idea to consider the semiconductor business as an industry to invest in. The largest chip manufacturer in Taiwan by far is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC). Although TSMC focuses on digital semiconductors, the hype alone could lead many investors to add TXN to their portfolio simply because they don't understand the difference. TXN is also in a unique position, where in the event of a China-Taiwan conflict, it could certainly garner increased government funding.
We are currently watching three main price points.
1. $156.00
2. $167.00
3. $186.00
We are currently hitting the direct top of our Ichimoku cloud.
If we bounce here i anticipate All targets being hit within 2 months.
Especially if we see geopolitical events continue in their current manner.
AML: A Speculative Buy06 October 2023
The Professional Trader
The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
3 min read
Aston Martin: A Speculative Buy
Aston Martin is a luxury car manufacturer with a long and storied history. The company is known for its high-performance, handcrafted vehicles. However, Aston Martin has also had a history of financial struggles. Here are some of the reasons why I would rate Aston Martin shares as Speculative Buy:
Strong brand: Aston Martin is a well-known and respected brand in the luxury car industry. The company's cars are associated with luxury, performance, and style.
Growth opportunities: Aston Martin is well-positioned for growth in the luxury car market. The company is expanding its product range and entering new markets. For example, Aston Martin is planning to launch a new SUV in the coming years.
Valuation: Aston Martin shares are currently trading at a relatively low valuation. The company's price-to-earnings ratio is around 6, which is below the average for the luxury car sector.
However, there are some risks to consider before investing in Aston Martin shares. These include:
Financial performance: Aston Martin has a history of financial losses. The company has been struggling to generate positive cash flow and earnings.
Debt: Aston Martin has a significant amount of debt. This could make the company vulnerable to a downturn in the luxury car market.
Competition: Aston Martin faces competition from other well-known luxury car brands, such as Ferrari and Porsche.
Overall, I believe that Aston Martin shares are a good investment for investors who are willing to take on risk. The company has a strong brand, growth opportunities, and a relatively low valuation. However, investors should be aware of the financial risks associated with investing in Aston Martin shares.
Risk Disclaimer!
Stock Rating I would rate Aston Martin shares as a Speculative Buy for the mid- to long-term. The company has strong brand and growth opportunities for the near and long term future.
Trading with options as an alternative support to investment in Aston Martin sharesTrading with options can be a good alternative support to investment in Aston Martin shares. Options give investors the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell shares at a certain price on or before a certain date. This can be used to hedge against risk or to speculate on the future price of Aston Martin shares.For example, an investor who believes that Aston Martin shares are undervalued could buy call options. This would give the investor the right to buy shares at a certain price, even if the share price rises above that level.
This can be a good way to limit losses if the share price falls.Conversely, an investor who believes that Aston Martin shares are overvalued could buy put options. This would give the investor the right to sell shares at a certain price, even if the share price falls below that level. This can be a good way to profit if the share price falls.It is important to note that options are a risky investment and should only be used by experienced investors. Options can expire worthless, and investors can lose more money than they invest.If you are considering trading with options, it is important to do your research and understand the risks involved. You should also consult with a financial advisor to get personalized advice.
My opinion on trading with options as an alternative support to investment in Aston Martin sharesI believe that trading with options can be a good way to support an investment in Aston Martin shares. Options can be used to hedge against risk or to speculate on the future price of the shares.For example, an investor who is bullish on Aston Martin in the long term could buy shares and also buy call options. This would give the investor the opportunity to profit if the share price rises, but it would also limit their losses if the share price falls.Conversely, an investor who is bearish on Aston Martin in the short term could buy put options. This would give the investor the opportunity to profit if the share price falls, but they would lose their investment if the share price rises.It is important to note that options trading is complex and risky. Investors should carefully consider their investment goals and risk tolerance before trading with options.
Risk Warning
Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses.
Risk Disclaimer!
General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss
Rating: Speculative Buy
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Stellantis: Bearish ABCD with Multiple Monthly ConfirmationsStellantis: The Nvidia of Autos has formed a Bearish ABCD that is visible on the Monthly Timeframe with MACD Bearish Divergence and Bearish PPO Confirmation. If this plays out, we could see this go towards the C level, which aligns with the 0.786 retrace at €4.48
RIVIAN Confirmed sell signal after Higher Lows break-out.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) broke yesterday below the Higher Lows 1 trend-line, which was supporting since the June 27 Low. With a clear rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) the day before, this bearish break-out may create a Channel Down that could target the Higher Lows 2 trend-line. Until then, we have the critical 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) Support to consider. As a result, following also the completion of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross yesterday, we are bearish now, targeting $18.50 (1D MA200).
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