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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower after facing resistance at the 5-day moving average. As mentioned yesterday, selling at the 5-day moving average was an effective strategy, and since it touched the 5-day line during the pre-market, sell-side trades were easier throughout the day. The daily chart shows continued selling pressure with six consecutive bearish candles. As discussed, it's important to monitor the 120-day moving average support and keep an eye on a potential overshoot down to the 20,300 area. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the Signal line (golden cross), but selling pressure persisted. While a death cross has not yet formed, if it does, it could trigger a third wave of selling. Conversely, a failure to form a death cross could lead to a rebound, potentially forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. Avoid chasing sell-offs and focus on range-bound trading strategies. Additionally, today’s CPI release could cause a lower wick and a bullish reversal candle, so caution is advised. Oil Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance near its recent high. The $79 level remains a strong resistance zone, and the significant divergence from the moving averages makes it difficult to break above easily. Some correction was expected in this area, and while the price has pulled back, it remains far from the 5-day moving average, suggesting the potential for further declines. The daily chart indicates support in the $75–$76 range, and a drop to this area should not be ruled out. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal on the MACD has appeared, but there is still divergence from the zero line, making buying at major support levels a preferable strategy. Selling near $79 remains valid. Additionally, oil inventory data is scheduled for release today, which may influence the market. Gold Gold ended with a doji candle, forming a small range after digesting the PPI data. Today’s CPI release is expected to provide a clearer direction for the market. Recent declines in expectations for additional rate cuts have been supporting gold prices. As today’s inflation data impacts Treasury yields, gold’s direction will likely hinge on the bond market's response. If gold forms a bullish candle today, both the MACD and Signal lines may rise above the zero line, continuing the bullish trend. Conversely, if gold closes with a bearish candle, it is likely to remain within the $2,625–$2,725 range for the time being. On the 240-minute chart, support around $2,680 is key, with the MACD potentially attempting to cross above the Signal line. Failure to form a golden cross could result in further declines. Focus on buying during dips before the CPI release, as this is the most favorable approach today. Wishing you a successful trading day! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,840 / 20,780 / 20,745 / 20,570 -Sell Levels: 21,015 / 21,070 / 21,120 / 21,190 / 21,320 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 77.50 / 76.90 / 76.50 / 75.70 -Sell Levels: 78.60 / 79.10 / 79.65 / 80.10 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,683 / 2,674 / 2,666 / 2,661 / 2,654 -Sell Levels: 2,704 / 2,712 / 2,717 / 2,723 / 2,729 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower with a lower wick, as anticipated, with a downward move at the start of the week. As mentioned, the area below 20,700 was a potential support zone for a rebound, and the market successfully bounced back. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines have both dropped below the zero line, marking the first time the MACD has fallen below zero since September last year. Yesterday’s analysis focused on trading around the 3-day moving average; today, trading at the 5-day moving average is expected. A range-bound movement between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages is likely, and if the pre-market touches the 5-day moving average first, it will provide a favorable opportunity for sell-side strategies. While it is uncertain whether the 120-day moving average will be tested for support on the downside, the MACD's dip below zero suggests the potential for accelerated selling. If an overshooting move occurs on the downside, be prepared for a possible drop to the 20,300 area. The market may consolidate at support levels to form a base before reversing its trend. Monitoring the alignment of short-term moving averages on lower timeframes can help identify the reversal point. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues, and the MACD has yet to cross the Signal line in a golden cross. A strong golden cross could trigger a sharp rebound, but if the MACD turns downward again, further declines are possible. Be prepared for both scenarios and adjust accordingly. Oil Crude oil closed higher, supported by potential U.S. sanctions on Russian oil exports. The price has risen to the $79 previous high level, and with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, corrections could occur at any time. On the monthly chart, oil has reached the upper Bollinger Band, indicating that managing risk with sell-side strategies at the highs may be more effective than chasing prices upward. On the 240-minute chart, the RSI remains in overbought territory, suggesting that the current trend may continue. However, short sell strategies should be approached cautiously and with short timeframes. The MACD and Signal lines show significant divergence and steep angles, indicating the potential for step-like upward movements even during corrections. Focus on buying at major support levels during pullbacks, but remain cautious as sharp declines could occur unexpectedly. A conservative perspective is advised. Gold Gold closed lower, facing resistance from selling pressure driven by rising Treasury yields. On the weekly chart, the MACD has turned downward, signaling stronger selling pressure. The daily chart shows the MACD above the zero line, but the Signal line has yet to cross above zero, suggesting a consolidation phase as the MACD moves closer to the Signal line. This places gold in a broad range-bound scenario. Ahead of today’s PPI and tomorrow’s CPI releases, gold is expected to trade sideways. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with the MACD and Signal lines above zero and diverging, sharp declines are less likely. Instead, support and consolidation around the 2,680 level are more probable. Focus on range-trading strategies, and exercise caution around the PPI release. Market Conditions The market is currently unsettled due to corrections in big tech stocks, Trump’s inauguration, and declines in quantum computing-related stocks. The VIX index is also showing a sharp upward trend, indicating heightened volatility. Be mindful of risk management under these conditions, and have a successful trading day! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,990 / 20,890 / 20,840 / 20,740 -Sell Levels: 21,160 / 21,200 / 21,300 / 21,350 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 77.70 / 76.60 / 75.70 / 74.50 -Sell Levels: 79.45 / 79.90 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,677 / 2,672 / 2,666 / 2,661 / 2,654 -Sell Levels: 2,692 / 2,705 / 2,712 / 2,717 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Weekly and Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower following the non-farm payroll data release. As noted in yesterday’s analysis, the possibility of a sharp drop in the third wave of selling on the 240-minute chart was highlighted and has largely materialized. The monthly 5-day moving average (20,880) emphasized this month acted as support, forming a lower wick. On the weekly chart, the MACD has crossed below the Signal line, generating a sell signal. The index is positioned between the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day moving averages above and the 20-day moving average below, suggesting the possibility of a range-bound market this week. If the market moves upward at the beginning of the week, it may decline later, and conversely, if it drops initially, a rebound may occur later in the week. The upper range is projected at 21,360–21,400, while the lower range is expected to be below 20,880. Flexible responses to early-week movements are crucial, especially with Wednesday’s CPI release likely to serve as a key turning point. On the daily chart, the MACD and Signal lines remain below the zero line, making sell-side strategies near the 3-day or 5-day moving averages preferable during rebounds. Downward movement toward the 120-day moving average is possible, but there’s a strong likelihood of a rebound after forming a lower wick, so avoid chasing the sell-off. On the 240-minute chart, while selling pressure remains strong in the third wave of the downtrend, support and a potential trend reversal could occur below 20,700. Overall, a sell-on-rebound strategy is advantageous today. Oil Crude oil surged on the possibility of U.S. sanctions on Russian crude exports. As previously noted, oil continues to display a pattern of reversing trends and sharply rising from the bottom. In pre-market trading, prices have already surpassed $78, but with the significant divergence from the 5-day moving average, caution is warranted today. On the weekly chart, the divergence from the 5-week moving average and the presence of previous highs around the $78 range suggest that even if prices rise further, chasing the rally should be avoided. The most favorable scenario this week involves buying on dips near the 5-week moving average, with corrections potentially reaching $73.4–$74. On the daily chart, more time is needed for shorter-term moving averages, such as the 20-day and 60-day, to align with current prices. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, generating a buy signal. However, if prices fail to surge further, divergence in the MACD could occur. Pay attention to potential sell signals and additional declines. As the rapid rise calls for a correction, prices are likely to consolidate around $78 during pre-market trading, making range-bound strategies favorable. Gold Gold surged on Friday due to reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut following employment surprises. On the weekly chart, gold has formed a bullish candle, breaking above key short-term moving averages. However, the significant divergence between the MACD and Signal lines suggests that surpassing the previous high near 2,760 will be challenging. On the daily chart, the MACD is above the zero line, and the Signal line is trending upward, showing a buying trend. Buying on dips near the strong support zone at the 5-day and 60-day moving averages around 2,690 is a favorable short-term strategy. With additional upward movement possible, a buy-on-dips approach is recommended. However, volatility is expected to increase with Tuesday’s PPI and Wednesday’s CPI data, so plan accordingly. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, with the RSI entering the overbought zone, making premature selling risky. Weekly Overview This week, early movements are likely to continue last week’s trends, with a potential inflection point around Wednesday’s CPI data. Manage risks carefully, and have a successful trading week! ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bearish Market -Buy Levels: 20,945 / 20,900 / 20,780 / 20,740 / 20,680 -Sell Levels: 21,110 / 21,210 / 21,310 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 76.55 / 76.00 / 75.60 / 74.60 -Sell Levels: 78.35 / 78.85 / 79.45 / 80.00 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,713 / 2,703 / 2,695 / 2,685 / 2,677 -Sell Levels: 2,726 / 2,735 / 2,742 / 2,753 / 2,759 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower. On the daily chart, the MACD has fallen below the zero line, signaling continued selling pressure. If the 60-day moving average support level is broken, it would be prudent to prepare for a drop toward the monthly 5-day moving average and potentially the 120-day moving average, depending on market conditions. However, with the U.S. stock market closed today and the futures market closing early, trading is expected to be light, and the trend direction will likely become clearer after Friday’s non-farm payroll data release. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal lines have moved below the zero line, indicating stronger selling pressure. Sell-side strategies are recommended, and given the early market closure, taking quick profits would be advisable. Oil Oil faced resistance near its previous high and closed with a bearish candle. Due to the rapid surge toward its previous high, a short-term correction appears inevitable. Maintaining support at the 240-day moving average will be crucial. The need to align short-term moving averages such as the 20-day and 60-day with current price levels suggests a period of price and time correction is likely. On the 240-minute chart, a long upper wick has formed, resembling the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern. A neckline could form near the 240-day moving average, potentially leading to a rebound that forms the right shoulder. Given the wide divergence between the MACD and Signal lines from the zero line, another attempt at an upward move seems plausible. Buying on dips near key support levels is the preferred strategy. Gold Gold closed higher. The daily chart indicates a consolidation phase within a range, and market conditions suggest that trends will become clearer after Friday’s non-farm payroll data. Currently, a buy signal is visible on the daily chart, meaning any downward move may require a sharp decline, potentially driven by Friday’s data or next week’s CPI report. On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal remains intact. Buying on dips is advisable, although the divergence between the MACD and Signal lines is relatively small. For gold to gain momentum, a significant breakout with a strong bullish candle would be essential. For now, range-bound strategies are recommended, favoring selling at highs rather than chasing prices upward. Today's Market Notes The U.S. stock market is closed today, and the futures market has an early close. With reduced volatility, a mixed and range-bound market is expected. Please trade with caution and aim for success! ■ Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21,270 / 21,190 / 21,155 / 21,065 / 20,990 -Sell Levels: 21,410 / 21,500 / 21,550 Oil - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 72.80 / 71.90 / 71.00 -Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.40 / 74.80 / 75.20 Gold - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 2,670 / 2,665 / 2,661 / 2,654 / 2,649 -Sell Levels: 2,686 / 2,693 / 2,704 / 2,710 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Gold Price Analysis: Watching Resistance and Support ZonesGold is currently trading between a strong resistance zone, where we’ve seen multiple rejections, and a key support level. The price has been bouncing between these areas. If we see the price drop back to the smaller support, there’s potential for a bounce. It will be crucial to observe how buyers respond at this level to determine the next move. If buyers show strength, a rebound could occur; otherwise, we might see further declines. Monitoring price action at these critical levels will be key for future trades.
TVC:GOLD
by WaveRiders2
Gold continues to the uptrend.The price of gold breaks its lowest high creating a bullish opportunity where it could take prices close to $2050. We are currently in the sub wave 3 that seeks to finish the major wave 3 of a higher wave 3. We find next resistance in $2027and support in $2007. The market structure is still maintained, which indicates stability for Gold. The TVC:DXY should also be taken into account, where it could potentially make a lower low than the previous one, providing greater strength to the trajectory of gold, otherwise Gold would break into a correction to maintain its upward trend, something We will see in Monday's session. Happy trading day traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wowzone
DFDs on Gold/1W ENGLISH : Considering that gold has had a growing movement in the past weeks and is approaching its previous resistances, one should wait for the reaction of gold in the following weeks to the strong supply range that it has not managed to cross. Can it cross this range? If it does not cross this range, gold's advance support will be 1855 and 1800. VAHID SOLTANI TIME FRAME : 1W (DYOR) 20/MARCH/2023 Disclaimer is only personal analysis and is not the basis of buying and selling.
TVC:GOLD
by Vahidsoltanitrading
BTC/USDT : Daily : TA : 2022-09-12The downward trend line drawn since 10 months ago is still strong. According to the fundamental news and the contractionary policies and the strength seen in the bearish candlesticks, the bearish trend line is broken in any direction and will probably advance as much as the height of the triangle. I think the correction is equal to the height of the triangle because the triangle is broken down and now the pullback is completed and we will continue the correction. Monday, September 12, 2022
by rainkian
2