avax drops to $8gm,
i came up with this theory a few years ago, and it's been lingering in the back of my mind ever since. it's one of the primary reasons i exited near the recent highs and have been sitting on my hands ever since.
you can check out my original theory here:
keep in mind that 98% of my work is completely private,
shared only with the members of lunar syndicate 9.
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i’ve decided to make this idea public today, mainly because, well…
ain’t nobody gonna believe me anyway xD
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so here it is:
over the next month or two,
avax is likely to drop down to $8,
where a multi-year bottom will form!
if we get it, buy the dip with both hands.
nothing lost if we don’t.
🌙
Avalanche
AVAX at a Turning Point: Key Levels to WatchHello, Traders!
After reaching its local high last month, AVAX price experienced a significant correction, dropping by 40% from its peak.
Such a correction is not unusual after a strong rally and can be seen as a healthy market reset.
Currently, AVAX is trading near its local bottom, showing signs of stabilization.
The current price action indicates that we might be approaching a critical inflection point, and there’s a high probability that the price will resume its uptrend toward new highs.
For this bullish scenario to play out, it's crucial for AVAX to rise above the $42-$44 resistance levels.
Breaking these levels would invalidate the current local descending trend and signal renewed strength in the market.
Once the price establishes itself above the $44 mark, the uptrend can be considered official, with the $54 area emerging as the next major target.
Traders should also keep an eye on volume spikes, as increasing volume near resistance levels would confirm buying pressure and strengthen the breakout scenario.
However, if AVAX fails to reclaim the $42-$44 range in the near term, we could see further consolidation or even a retest of lower support levels.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
Support and Resistance Zone: 35.71-38.93
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Please click "Boost" as well.
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(AVAXUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1M chart) indicator and break through the 51.54 point upward.
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(1D chart)
The 35.71-38.93 zone is an important support and resistance zone from a trend perspective.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support in this zone and rise to around 44.60.
If not, and it falls below 35.71 and shows resistance, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, there is a possibility that a long-term downtrend will occur, so caution is required when trading.
Therefore, in the current situation, it is recommended to buy in installments when it is supported in the 35.71-38.93 range, and not buy when it falls below 35.71 and watch the situation.
If you want to trade in the short term, buy when it shows support near 38.93,
1st: 41.31
2nd: 44.60
We recommend a strategy of selling in installments depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
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In any case, it must rise above 51.54 to create a new upward wave.
Therefore, you should choose how to buy in the 35.71-38.93 range according to your investment style and investment period.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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AVAX Can harness gaming for a great second cycle!Avalanche ( CRYPTOCAP:AVAX ) is an innovative Layer 1 blockchain designed to compete with Ethereum in terms of smart contract capabilities, scalability, and transaction speed.
Launched in 2020, it has quickly gained traction among developers looking to create decentralized applications.
With its compatibility with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), developers can effortlessly write smart contracts in Solidity, facilitating a smooth transition from the Ethereum ecosystem.
The Avalanche network leverages subnets to enhance its transaction capacity, boasting the ability to process up to 6,500 transactions per second (TPS). Additionally, it features a limited supply and operates on a deflationary model.
Ethereum has yet to dent Bitcoin dominance and ignite a widespread altcoin season.
Currently, the sentiment surrounding ETH is at a historic low, and its price remains well below its previous peak. This situation creates a unique chance to transform fiat currency into investments in top blockchain projects, AVAX being a good example, enhancing one's investment portfolio.
@TheCryptoSniper
#HVF
#HuntVolatilityFunnel
Phemex Analysis #53: How to Trade AVAX Like a ProEvery cryptocurrency has a story, and Avalanche (AVAX) is no exception. Known for its high-speed blockchain and innovative consensus mechanism, AVAX has captured the attention of traders and investors alike. But beyond its technology lies a price journey that keeps everyone guessing—and presents opportunities for those who know how to navigate it.
Let’s take a closer look at AVAX’s current market situation. After a period of volatility, the token now finds itself at a crossroads. Will it consolidate, drop further, or stage a bullish breakout? The answer lies in the charts, and today we’ll explore three possible scenarios to help you trade AVAX like a pro.
Scenario 1: Consolidation
Imagine this: After weeks of ups and downs, AVAX enters a period of calm. The price begins to range between $42 and $32, moving sideways with low volatility. This consolidation phase might not seem exciting at first glance, but for savvy traders, it’s an opportunity to profit from small fluctuations while waiting for the next big move.
Pro Tips:
• Use grid trading bots to capitalize on price swings within the $42–$32 range.
• Place long trades near $32 (support level) and short trades near $42 (resistance level) to maximize gains during this phase.
• Stay alert—consolidation often precedes a major breakout or breakdown.
Scenario 2: Bearish Drop
Now picture this: AVAX fails to hold its $32 support level and breaks down with high volume, signaling further bearish momentum. As the price drops below $32 and $30, panic might set in for some traders—but not for those who are prepared. A sharp decline could present an excellent opportunity to “buy the dip” at lower levels like $22.3 or $20.4, where strong support zones lie.
Pro Tips:
• Set buy orders around $22.3 and $20.4 to catch the dip if this scenario unfolds.
• Manage your risk by scaling into positions gradually rather than going all-in at one level.
• Keep an eye on volume—if selling pressure decreases near these support levels, it could signal a potential reversal.
Scenario 3: Bullish Rise
Now imagine AVAX breaking out of its consolidation phase with conviction—a surge above the $42 resistance level accompanied by high trading volume. This breakout signals renewed bullish momentum, and traders who act quickly can ride the wave higher as AVAX targets key resistance levels at $54 and $65.
Pro Tips:
• Wait for confirmation of the breakout above $42 with high volume before entering long positions.
• Set profit targets at $54 and $65 to lock in gains as AVAX climbs higher.
• Monitor overall market sentiment—strong bullish momentum across the crypto market can further fuel AVAX’s rise.
The Bigger Picture
Trading AVAX is more than just reacting to price movements—it’s about understanding the story behind those movements and positioning yourself strategically for each scenario. Whether it’s navigating consolidation, buying dips during bearish drops, or riding bullish breakouts, every market phase offers unique opportunities for prepared traders.
As you trade AVAX, remember that patience and discipline are key to success in crypto markets. Stay informed, manage your risks wisely, and adapt your strategy as conditions change.
So gear up and trade AVAX like a pro—because in this fast-paced world of crypto trading, fortune favors not just the bold but also the prepared!
Final Tips:
Take your trading to the next level with Coin-M perpetual contracts, where you can use your ADA or LINK as collateral to trade and accumulate more tokens along the way. Phemex will list Coin-M perpetual contracts for ADA, LINK, AVAX, and SUI on January 16th. Don’t miss it—check it out!
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
AVAXUSD Will the 1W MA50 hold and push the Cup & Handle higher?Avalanche (AVAXUSD) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern on the 1W time-frame and currently the Handle part has found Support for 3 straight weeks on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is also on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the Cycle. Technically we should see in the coming weeks the start of the 2nd Bullish Leg of the Bull Cycle and if it follows the C&H dynamics, we can expect it to target the 2.0 Fibonacci (blue) extension at $240.00.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Break glass - In case of alt sznHolding around $32 would look good , several monthly levels above ($53/$66) were already tested so the long term priority target turns to $97.
As a general rule a 3x on any altcoin requires favorable market conditions , if you're still bullish on crypto then add this to the bag, if not then ignore.
#AVAX #AVALANCHE 2025 TARGETSBased on what we see on the three-year chart of AVAX, the uptrends of this currency are also created on parallel trends. The last time this trend level was touched was on November 3, 2024, and we are currently observing a hidden divergence on the MACD indicator. Therefore, we can expect the next uptrend for AVAX to begin soon. The price targets are:
1- 60$
2- 84$
3- 123$
4- 205$
STOPLOSS: 29$
AVAX Teetering on the Edge: Will It Soar or Plunge into Chaos?Yello, Paradisers! Are we on the verge of witnessing AVAX’s next big breakout, or is a devastating collapse brewing? The chart is screaming volatility, and this is where disciplined traders either thrive or fall behind. Let’s dive into the analysis.
💎#AVAXUSDT is approaching a key demand zone, raising the high probability of bullish continuation from $32.90–$34.98. This zone is currently holding as a vital barrier for the bulls. If this level continues to act as a floor, we could see a reversal back toward $45–$54, where significant resistance awaits. A clean breakout above this resistance could spark a bullish rally, with the next targets around $59 and beyond. However, without strong buying pressure, the upward momentum may stall.
💎If the bulls manage to defend this demand zone $32.90–$34.98 with conviction, we could see a rapid upward rally, pushing prices higher. However, if #AVALANCHE fails to hold this demand zone, the lower support zone at $29.30–$30.21 will come into play. Breaking below this support would confirm a bearish breakdown, potentially dragging #AVAX down to $25 or even $20 in an accelerated sell-off.
💎Patience is key here, Paradisers. This setup could result in massive gains for those who wait for confirmation rather than jumping in prematurely. Emotional trading in moments like these often leads to losses, so stick to your plan, manage your risk, and let the market come to you.
Play it like a pro, and let patience be your edge. The market rewards the strategic, not the impulsive.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Avalanche (AVAX)AVAX Analysis 📈🔥
Introduction
AVAX (Avalanche) is one of the most powerful and prominent cryptocurrencies, created to address scalability issues and provide fast, low-cost transactions. With its impressive progress, AVAX has carved out a special place among other altcoins. Now is the perfect time to take a closer look at AVAX's price trend and identify key entry points to capitalize on this massive move. 💥🚀
1. Technical Analysis
Key Supports:
AVAX is currently in a strong upward channel 📈. The price has bounced well from the lower trendline of the channel, which serves as a strategic support level, and continues its bullish movement. After this rise, the price entered a retracement in the 0.5 Fibonacci zone 📉. This support range (32.19 - 35.83) presents an excellent buying opportunity and could be the starting point for a powerful rally.
Key Resistances:
On the daily time frame, the red resistance zone is a significant level. Breaking through this could signal the beginning of a larger bullish trend. If AVAX breaks this resistance, the next target will be the weekly green zone, known as the PRZ (Price Reversal Zone), which includes the weekly resistance and the middle line of the upward channel. This zone acts as a safe entry trigger for investors, and its breakout could trigger a new wave of buying.
2. Price Prediction
Fibonacci Levels:
If the bullish trend continues, the price could reach the 1.272 Fibonacci level (between 73.74 - 82.67) and even the 1.618 Fibonacci level (between 108.31 - 120.16). These are long-term target levels that AVAX could potentially reach on its upward path. 🌟
RSI:
The RSI has risen well from the middle zone (49.23 - 52.83), indicating potential strength in the bullish momentum. 🔥
3. Investment Strategy
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA):
Dollar-cost averaging is the best strategy in this market. This involves entering at key support zones like 32.19 - 35.83, and if the price rises to higher levels, gradually adding to your position with the right volume. This strategy allows you to ride the market’s movement at every stage. 💪
Proper Volume:
Never forget to monitor trading volume carefully at support and resistance levels. If market volume is insufficient, the price may easily retrace and move back towards the lower part of the channel. Therefore, entering with proper volume and conducting precise analysis is crucial for your success. 📊
4. Risk Management
Stop-Loss and Risk/Reward Ratio:
It is recommended to set your stop-loss (SL) at support levels such as 19.37 - 21.87 to prevent large losses. The risk/reward ratio should be at least 1:2, meaning the potential profit should be twice the amount of risk. 💰
Critical Scenario Prediction:
If the support at the lower part of the upward channel is broken, the price could retrace to the gray support zone (19.37 - 21.87). Always be prepared for market crises and make decisions based on them. ⚠️
5. Volume Analysis
Volume Analysis:
Trading volume is one of the most important indicators for confirming trends. If we see increased volume at support and resistance zones, it may signal the possibility of a strong price movement. Therefore, carefully monitoring volume helps confirm the validity of price movements. 🔍
Conclusion
AVAX is in a great position for growth, and with careful analysis, dollar-cost averaging, and proper risk management, investors can take full advantage of this opportunity. Pay close attention to support and resistance levels, and enter the market with suitable volume when necessary. Always stay alert to price trends and volume fluctuations to capitalize on potential profits. 💡
Avalanche is bullish, dips are opportunities. AVAX did get a nice run-up and it doesn't seem over. However, a short-term consolidation would be healthy for a strong continuation. Both momentum and trend oscillators are showing bearishness. A strong continuation would be when price structure and oscillators are in confluence.
Avalanche ($AVAXUSDT): 30-Minute Analysis for Short Trade SetupI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Avalanche ( BINANCE:AVAXUSDT ): 30-Minute Chart Analysis for Short Trade Setup
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $52.72 (activated)
- Stop-Loss: $54.09
- Take-Profit Target:
- TP: $46.74
Fundamental Analysis:
Avalanche ( BINANCE:AVAXUSDT ) is a high-performance blockchain platform known for its scalability and low transaction fees. Despite its robust ecosystem and increasing developer adoption, current market sentiment reflects short-term bearish pressure, likely due to profit-taking after recent rallies.
Technical Analysis (30-Minute Timeframe):
- Current Price: $52.50
- Moving Averages:
- 20-EMA: $53.00
- 50-EMA: $53.20
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 42, showing increasing bearish momentum.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $51.50
- Resistance: $54.50
The 30-minute chart indicates a downtrend, with BINANCE:AVAXUSDT forming lower highs and breaking below key support at $53.00. This setup aligns with short-term bearish sentiment, providing a favourable risk-to-reward ratio for a downside target of $46.74.
Market Sentiment:
Short-term sentiment on BINANCE:AVAXUSDT appears bearish, with selling pressure increasing around key resistance levels. Broader market movements, especially in Bitcoin and Ethereum, may further influence CRYPTOCAP:AVAX ’s direction.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss at $54.09 limits potential losses, while the take-profit target at $46.74 provides an attractive downside reward. This setup requires disciplined execution given the short timeframe and potential market volatility.
Key Takeaways:
- Ideal setup for short-term traders capitalizing on bearish momentum.
- Clear downside target supported by technical indicators.
- Risk management is critical given potential reversals in a volatile market.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
AVAX: A Bullish Cup & Handle?AVAX is among the leader coins with a strong community.
There's a possible bullish Cup & Handle pattern that would be in action if the price passes $65.4 (the confirmation).
Breaking $22.6 invalidates the idea (the stop-loss).
If the confirmation is passed then the ATH would be the target.
From $46 to Glory or Gloom – Avalanche AVAX JourneyAvalanche is trading at a crucial juncture near $49.08, with price action consolidating in range zone where we will continue to see slow and choppy price action.
1. A bounce from the support level at $46.09 and a subsequent push above $51.62 could signal bullish momentum for AVAX, paving the way for a rally toward the next resistance level at $59.39 (Dashed Green Projections).
2. A breakout beyond this zone would confirm strong buyer interest, potentially targeting higher levels near $66.63 as the next key milestone (Green Projections).
3. A failure to maintain the $46.09 support could open the door to further declines, with the price likely retesting the next major support at $38.32 (Red Projections).
TradeCityPro | AVAXUSDT Analysis Buyer Resistance👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze AVAXUSDT triggers for the upcoming week and prepare for opportunities outside the global market’s regular hours to avoid chasing moves after they occur. 😊
🌍 Market Overview
First, as always, let’s glance at Bitcoin. BTC recently bounced from the 94,661 support level after a drop and is now struggling with the crucial 101,878 resistance. It also faces the psychological $100K level, which remains a significant barrier for traders.
For next week, a breakout above 101,878 could present a long opportunity. Setting a stop-buy order now with a stop loss at 98,857 might prevent missing any whale-driven moves, as the market currently aligns more with the Asian trading session.
If this resistance breaks and Bitcoin dominance drops, consider switching focus to altcoins for potential long trades. However, the next move for Bitcoin might be swift, with higher dominance and deeper pullbacks. Analyze it closely on the daily timeframe.
🕒 Weekly Time Frame
On the weekly chart, AVAX shows strong performance, rallying from $8 to $58 before this bull run. Additionally, it formed a higher low at $20.78 in 2023, a positive sign for this coin.
The trigger for a long position was the breakout above 32.48 on lower timeframes. If you’ve been following, it’s better to wait for a better entry or accept a stop loss to avoid missing out.
This weekly candle isn’t my favorite unless it turns green, confirming buyer strength for a potential hold. A new entry could be considered at a weekly breakout of 58.73, but this carries high risk and requires a wide stop loss. Lower timeframes may present better opportunities.
📊 Daily Time Frame
On the daily timeframe, AVAX recently broke 29.35 and 35.7, triggering spot buy entries. Current positions have returned 76% and 42%, respectively. These figures are shared not to induce FOMO but to encourage consistent market engagement and emotion management. Even if you miss an opportunity, other triggers will emerge.
AVAX has completely recovered from its recent drop, showcasing buyer strength, and formed a bullish V-pattern. This pattern’s breakout confirms its bullish nature. The current resistance stands at 54.01, with an additional key level at 60.37. Of these, 54.01 is the primary level to watch. Managing positions after breaking this resistance is crucial, though reactions at 60.37 are still possible.
Long-term members know this zone was previously a no-trade area. Back then, breaking 54.01 often led to stop-outs, while breaking 60.73 indicated whale activity. Depending on your risk tolerance, consider positioning accordingly. Personally, I prefer buying above 54.01 and accepting a stop loss.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
On the 4-hour chart, AVAX has retested its 54.01 resistance and recovered from recent corrections. A breakout above this level could continue its bullish momentum.
📈 Long Position Trigger
Long positions after the breakout are valid, with stop-buy orders and a relatively large stop loss. Above 69.14 RSI, momentum may increase significantly.
📉 Short Position Trigger
For short trades, I’d recommend holding off. As long as Bitcoin trades above 80K, I wouldn’t consider shorting. 😊
💡 BTC Pair Insight
Against BTC, AVAX has broken a significant weekly trendline and rebounded from strong support. It’s currently testing its trendline trigger, with bullish continuation expected after breaking 0.0005403 BTC. RSI above 70.35 confirms the momentum, boosting confidence in the USDT pair if the market remains bullish.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
AVAX's BIG RUNAvalanche’s recent price performance reflects a bullish trajectory, marked by a breakout from prolonged consolidation phases. The chart indicates two earlier periods of accumulation, where rounded bottoms were formed before subsequent strong breakouts. Each of these breakouts led to exponential price increases, with the latest move propelling AVAX’s price to its $50 target.
Support and Resistance Zones Identified:
The $10–$12 range served as a strong accumulation zone for AVAX during the earlier phases of consolidation. As the price gained momentum, the $25–$30 range emerged as a key resistance level.
This pattern showcases AVAX’s strong growth potential following each period of accumulation and breakout.