AVAX : Potential Reversal in MACRO TFA downtrend, or bearish trend is characterized by a few things including making lower lows and lower highs. This is evidently seen when pulling up the macro timeframe and applying trendlines towards major bounce zones or wicks.
Similarly, an uptrend is characterized by the price making higher lows, and higher highs. Currently, we are only seeing ONE of these conditions met - the higher lows. This does not mean the price cannot retrace towards the trendline. However, as soon as the trendline is lost, the higher lows is invalidated and the price remains BEARISH.
A fall UNDER the trendline would likely lead to a revisit of a wick at $17.
While you're here👀 Make sure you check out yesterday's post on 3 Alt that are bearish right now:
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BINANCE:AVAXUSDT.P
Avalanche
AVAX🔍 AVAX/USDT Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe 📉
The AVAX/USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. It’s essential to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a comprehensive market view.
• September 8, 2024, 9:00 AM - Red Line: This time marks a potential local peak, signaling a possible moment to reduce exposure or take profits.
• September 12, 2024, 9:00 AM - Green Line: This time indicates a potential local low, offering favorable conditions for accumulating AVAX or entering long positions.
• September 19, 2024, 5:00 PM, September 25, 2024, 6:00 PM - Red Lines: These are additional times marking potential local peaks, suggesting moments to consider exiting positions before a downturn.
When working with this 4-hour timeframe, remember to evaluate these movements within the context of the broader market trend, considering higher timeframes for a more global perspective.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
Avalanche (AVAX) Enters a Pre-Bull Run Accumulation Zone – perspGrayscale Investments announced the creation and launch of Grayscale Avalanche Trust along with 20 other crypto investment products, including Solana, Litecoin, Stellar, Zcash, Chainlink, etc. Hence, the positive market sentiments have lit up as the AVAX price makes a bullish move towards the interim resistance zone between $28.29 and $30 from the lows below $20. However, the price is believed to have entered a preparation period which could be followed by a massive upswing.
The long-term price action suggests the price is heading towards the end of the accumulation phase. The token has undergone a similar consolidation that it displayed before the beginning of the 2021 bull run. Hence, a breakout from the current range could attract massive bullish attention, eventually triggering a fine rise, which may further transform into a bull run. However, the target remains slightly elevated, as the bulls do not appear to be well in position at the moment.
The Bollinger bands have begun to converge but are not showing the possibility of an expansion, which indicates a breakout. Besides, the levels of the DMI are approaching each other for a bullish crossover, which may consume some more time. Therefore, the AVAX price may continue to maintain an ascending consolidation and surpass the interim resistance zone. However, after surpassing the average bands of the Bollinger and rising above 0.236, this may validate a surge above the bearish influence.
Therefore, considering the Fibonacci levels, the new ATH could be above $154 in early 2025 if the Avalanche (AVAX) price breaks above the consolidation before the end of Q3 2024.
Avalanche: Recovery!AVAX recovered last week and rallied within our turquoise Target Zone (between $17.48 and $29.30). We now expect the price to be carried out of the Zone by the turquoise wave 3 and above the resistance at $41.78. However, we still have to keep our alternative scenario (40% likely) in mind. This option calls for a lower low of the turquoise wave alt.2 below the range.
Is AVAX About to Make a Big Move? Here’s What You Need to Know!Yello, Paradisers! Are you ready for the next potential big move on #AVAXUSDT? Our latest analysis shows a significant shift in momentum that could send this asset soaring—or tumbling. Let's dive in!
💎#AVALANCHE has recently broken out of a descending resistance, signaling a possible upward trend. The key level to watch right now is the $19.82 support zone, where bullish momentum is building. If this support holds, we could see a strong bullish push towards the next resistance levels.
💎Should #AVAX maintain its upward momentum, we’re eyeing potential targets at resistance levels above. This could be the start of a significant rally, so keep a close watch on those price levels.
💎But we always prepare for all scenarios. If #AVAX fails to hold the $19.82 support and breaks below it, we might see a pullback to the lower bullish Order Block (OB) level. However, a drop below the $18.31 mark could trigger a bearish trend, potentially leading to a significant price decline.
This is a critical moment for AVAXUSDT. The coming days could define its next major move, whether it's a surge towards new highs or a correction to lower levels. Remember, in trading, it's crucial to stay discipline.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Are we going to see lower low?I entered a long position as I mentioned in the last idea on $AVAXUSDT. What BINANCE:AVAXUSDT doing is most likely to go down to the 19.5 area first, because there is no big impulse and CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is not giving a chance to alt-coins. The yellow line is very crucial which is holding the last lowest point since the last higher high. But if the yellow line breaks in the 4H and 1D timeframe we are likely to see the 15.5-14.5 range before the big impulse.
AVAX - finally going to make a big move??AVAX - finally going to make a big move??
This ones interesting
1. usually it moves out of phase a bit, after the other popular L1's from last cycle. so its good for rotation if one of the others moves hard first.
2. remember that lawyer vid from last cycle; these guys strike me as massive cheeseball scammy mofos ;; but then in crypto who isn't ??
I've decided to play JOE, and its my only AVAX chain play.
Also the chart is not as clear cut as some of the other big ones; eth, btc, sol etc
Looks like there is a chance we are bearish here... but im pretty confident this cycle is not done so early. but always remain vigilant and able to move like water. that is what will save your portfolio.
\
gl
Avalanche ( AVAX ) to 104?19-21 range is very crucial support zone in a weekly timeframe, if it ever to hit 19 I would consider long position either futures or spot. As you can see 92-104 range is gonna be our first take profit point which is fibonacci 0.618 level and we all know how important that is. If BINANCE:AVAXUSDT ever close a candle above 105 in a weekly timeframe is gonna be huge confirmation to continuously go up maybe even break all time high, so time will tell.
High risk tradeThis is a 4-hour chart analysis of the AVAX/USDT pair, highlighting key support and resistance levels. The market has experienced several fake breaks near the upper resistance. The area between $24.70 and $25.40 serves as a strong support zone, and a potential entry point for a buy position.
Trade Breakdown:
- Buy Entry 🟢: Support zone at $24.70 - $25.40
- Target 🎯: Resistance area at $32.55
- Stop Loss (SL) 🚫:
- High Risk SL: Below $24.70
- Best SL: Below $22.00
This analysis suggests that traders could consider entering a long position around the support zone while setting appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk.
Alikze »» AVAX | Head and shoulders pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Head and shoulders pattern
- It is moving in a downward channel in weekly and daily time.
- In the previous post , it was mentioned that if the supply zone fails, it can touch the next zones, which after retesting the zone, failed to break the red box and formed a corrective structure.
- According to the current corrective structure, a head and shoulders pattern is formed.
- Also, due to the failure of the neck line, any return can be a pole back to the broken structure.
- So the break of the $25 area will also lead to the break of the channel and it can have a triple correction with Fibo targets of 100 - then $12.5 and Fibo of 1.618.
💎 Alternate scenario: If the $25 zone is maintained and the supply zone fails, it can retest the next zone.
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BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
AVAXUSDT Poised for a Major Move – Are You Ready?Yello Paradisers! Have you noticed the intriguing action in #AVAXUSDT? This is a moment you don't want to miss!
💎#AVAXUSDT has broken free from its longstanding descending channel, signaling a potential upward trajectory. After navigating within this channel for a considerable period, #AVALANCHE has successfully breached it.
💎The key resistance level at $29.14 has now turned into a crucial support. This support level is pivotal as it has been respected multiple times in the past. If #AVAXUSDT maintains its momentum above $29.14, there's a high probability of a sharp upward move.
💎However, if the price descends below the $29.14 support level, the scenario changes. In this case, the probability leans towards a bullish rebound from the lower, formidable support at $24.46.
💎While some inexperienced traders might be tempted to short at this point, it's essential to maintain a broader perspective and wait for proper price action. A break below the $29.14 support will likely trigger a significant downward move, causing the price to drop further.
Remember, disciplined and strategic trading is the key to long-term success. Stay focused, patient, and make informed decisions. Let's navigate this market wisely, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Avalanche AVAX price is on the verge of a strong movementThe trading volume of #AVAXUSDT has firmly established itself in the top 10.
So is Avalanche token being actively sold or bought now?
We will have all the answers soon, but for now, here are two scenarios for the CRYPTOCAP:AVAX price movement:
🔴 red - $35 - $45 - ($18.7-23.7)
🔵 blue - $32 - $55 - $43 - $110
So which pill 💊 will you choose 🔴🤷🔵 ?
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AVAX: Scouting The Best Entry After More PAINAVAX has been trading inside this bearish channel for several years at this point. It's very plausible that AVAX will break through the top resistance if BTC keeps going up, hence the reason that this is not a short-signal, but rather a "buy from here if we go down again" - signal.
IF AVAX starts losing value again, I'm keeping an eye at the bottom support of the channel to make a long-term bullish entry. Remains to be seen whether this support will ever be hit again, but better to be prepared in case it does!
AVAXUSDT#AVAX #Avalanche has formed a beautiful chart. Since March, it has been continuing a downward trend, forming a descending wedge pattern. It's close to breaking the resistance. If it breaks the resistance and maintains above it, the upward momentum will be confirmed. It is expected to reach the Fibonacci levels of 0.382-0.618-0.786-1 sequentially. Therefore, the targets for AVAX are expected to be $30, $43, $53, and $65, respectively.
AVAX 2024- Fast Update.
- Everything in Graphic.
- Buy Breakout 50$++. ( always wait Weekly candle on Monday to have confirmation ).
or
- Buy Retracement : 18$ ish ( 25% invest ).
- Buy Bottom : 10$ ish ( 75% invest ).
- TP1 : 150$ ish( old ATH )
- TP2 : before 380 to 500$ ish ( Just don't be greedy ).
Play S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Why Avalanche Might Not Hit Its All-Time High During The Next BuI saw a couple of posts lately on social media that predicted 200, 300, or even 500 as a price target for during the next bull run.
This surprised me. I don't think that AVAX will get even close to those numbers.
To make this very clear, my assumption has nothing to do with the project in general or Avalanche's technology. On the contrary, I am a big fan of Avalanche and think it will be one of the few projects that will exist ten years from now.
I think AVAX won't hit its previous ATH during the next bull run for a simple reason: Circulating Supply!
AVAX marked its ATH in November 2021, when the price peaked at ~145 USD. Based on the circulating supply at that time (~230m), the asset had a market cap of ~33b.
Since 2021, the circulating supply of AVAX has constantly increased. Moreover, it will continue to increase until it reaches its total supply 443m.
Currently, AVAX has a circulating supply of almost 400m. As a result, to reach the ATH price again, AVAX requires a market cap of 58b. That's almost twice the size of its previous ATH market cap.
Although it isn't completely unrealistic, I consider it unlikely that Avalanche will double its market cap compared to the last bull run. But even if I am wrong with this assumption, the numbers show how unlikely prices of 200, 300, or even 500 are.
Just to do the math: A token price of $500 would lead to a market cap of 200b.
Nevertheless, I still think AVAX has a bright feature and solid potential during the next bull run. At the same time, I consider it essential to have realistic targets.
AVAXUSD Bottom formation in process. Target $105.007 months ago we published the following analysis (December 14 2023, see chart below), expecting Avalanche (AVAXUSD), to correct back to the 1.0 Fibonacci level after a potential $55.00 hit:
As you can see the price action didn't fail to deliver our projection, in fact it followed very tightly the February - July 2021 pre-rally pattern of the previous Bull Cycle. Right now it has found Support on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while the 1W RSI is on the exact Support level it was on the June 21 2021 bottom.
Even though a marginal decline is possible to satisfy the past condition of slightly breaking below the 0.5 Fib, the current levels are good enough to buy again for the long-term.
As in November 2021, our Target is again the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is currently just above the $105.00 Resistance.
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Avalanche (AVAX) Rises: Can It Break Thru $30?Avalanche (AVAX), a prominent smart contracts platform, is currently experiencing a surge in price. As of July 1, 2024, AVAX is trading confidently above the $28.65 resistance level, hinting at a potential breakout. This article delves into the recent AVAX price rally, explores the technical analysis behind it, and examines whether AVAX can conquer the critical $30 resistance zone.
A Bullish Breeze for AVAX
The ongoing AVAX price rally offers a sigh of relief for investors after a period of price stability. The current movement signifies positive momentum, with AVAX climbing steadily from its $27.40 support level. This upward trend is further bolstered by the fact that AVAX is currently trading above both the $28.65 resistance level and the 100-hourly simple moving average (SMA).
Technical Indicators Paint a Breakout Picture
Technical analysis is a valuable tool for understanding price movements and predicting future trends. In the case of AVAX, a crucial technical indicator is the recent break above the declining channel with resistance at $28.40 on the hourly chart. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum, potentially paving the way for a further price increase.
The $30 Hurdle: A Crucial Test
While the current trend is undoubtedly positive, a significant hurdle awaits AVAX at the $30 resistance zone. A decisive break above $30 would be a strong bullish signal, indicating continued upward momentum. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further price appreciation, with potential targets around $32.50 or even $34.00.
Support Levels: A Safety Net
It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. Even in a bullish scenario, there's always the possibility of price corrections. For AVAX, the $29.35 and $28.65 levels act as critical support zones. If the price fails to surpass $30, these support levels can prevent a significant decline. Additionally, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from $27.37 to $29.95 provides another layer of support around $28.65. A drop below $28.65 could lead to a slide towards the $28.00 level and the 100 SMA (4 hours). The $27.40 zone would be the next important support to watch in case of a deeper correction.
MACD and RSI: Bullish Whispers
Beyond price action, other technical indicators offer valuable insights. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for AVAX/USD is currently climbing in positive territory. This suggests increasing bullish momentum. Additionally, the Hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above 50, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI reading implies that there's still room for the price to rise before a potential correction.
Looking Ahead: A Promising Future for AVAX
The current price rally for AVAX is a positive development, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakout above the $30 resistance level. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further gains. However, investors should exercise caution and be aware of the crucial support zones at $29.35 and $28.65. Monitoring the MACD and RSI indicators can also provide valuable insights into the ongoing price trend. Overall, the outlook for AVAX appears promising, and a break above $30 would be a significant bullish signal for the cryptocurrency.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.