AVAX has a good trade set upAVAX on the weekly chart is setting up a good risk reward trade set up. This is a weekly chart so it will take some time to play out.
We have modified MACD about to cross the zero line. MarketCipher momentum wave turning. Modified RSI is at the bottom turning.
I will accumulate between $20-23 dollar range. Below 20 the structure breaks and that would be a stop loss.
This is not a financial advise. Please DYOR.
Avax
Aug 24Overview:
As we begin the last week of August, we might be heading into a very turbulent period. On one hand, BINANCE:BTCUSD hasn't even broken its previous bull run's all-time high when adjusted for inflation. Neither the halving nor ETF demand was enough to push crypto higher, and now we have some altcoins like BINANCE:AVAXUSD trading 30% below their January 11th BTC ETF levels. On the other hand, the FED is finally planning to cut rates on September 18th, which could potentially loosen the printing press. Remember when it was going "BRRRR"? Well, it technically never stopped—just in the form of government spending. Unfortunately, that windfall doesn’t seem to reach speculative assets.
Congratulations on last week’s gains, with some coins such as COINBASE:ARBUSD , BINANCE:MATICUSD and BINANCE:AVAXUSD posting +30% gains. If you bought the dip, this is a great moment to take some profits, or at least move your SL higher.
This Sunday was the first in four weeks that didn't post a red candle, as we noted in a previous letter. But it wasn’t very green either, closing with a 0.11% doji. The red candle was merely postponed to Monday morning.
The U.S. Employment Report on Friday, September 7 at 8:30 am is crucial because it will provide key insights into how the recent interest rate hikes are affecting the labor market, particularly regarding rising unemployment and jobless claims. As the Federal Reserve continues its tightening policy, this report could signal whether the economy is heading toward a slowdown, which would influence future monetary policy decisions.
Quick note regarding BINANCE:TONUSD On August 20th, we mentioned that it "finished drawing its 'Motive' part of Elliott's wave pattern. In about 40 hours, it might finish drawing the B wave, presenting a short opportunity that will last throughout the C wave down." Unfortunately, the market witnessed the C wave not because of Elliott's wave but due to Pavel Durov being arrested by French police the moment his plane landed. TON crashed that day by 18.40%. Although Pavel isn’t the founder of TON, he is closely affiliated with it.
W: Reached BB MA. If bulls can hold the $63.1k level, there’s a chance for a 4th wave to $70k.
D: Held the important bullish W level of $64k. It’s better to have that buffer between $63k and $ 64k for bulls to regroup and go on the offense again. Currently at the upper bound of BB. If the next W level of $63.1k doesn’t hold and it corrects to BB MA, it will hit the D level of $61.8k.
4h: Losing the $ 64k level early Monday morning in the U.S.
1h: MACD divergence yesterday, on the 25th at 8 pm NYC time. We are now seeing the result of that divergence.
Alts Relative to BTC: Altcoins didn’t hold as well as BTC over the weekend, correcting from the heights of the pump: BINANCE:UNIUSD 10% BINANCE:SUIUSD 9.56% BINANCE:NEARUSD 8.25%
Bull Case: BTC holds W levels and continues pumping with new strength toward $68.2k.
Bear Case: This was a classic bull trap—one last breath, one last wave, one last pump before a free fall toward $52.2k.
Fear and Greed Index: 56.2. We’ve been bouncing in the Neutral zone since May 19th with occasional and insignificant peaks into the Greed territory. However, even this chart has been drawing lower highs and lower lows.
Prediction: BINANCE:BTCUSD corrects to $61.7k
Opportunities, at W, 4h Divergences of Major Alts:
Since BINANCE:NEARUSD broke through its W resistance of $4.38 during the recent pump, it’s very likely to return to that level, which should at least become new support. This presents an 8.62% short opportunity.
BINANCE:SUIUSD has drawn a MACD bearish divergence on the D timeframe and has also just hit its W resistance level of $1. TP at $0.85, which is 10.00% away.
BINANCE:TAOUSD reached its upper W resistance. Correction to D level $304 could produce a 12.51% return.
BINANCE:FTMUSD is at its resistance level. There’s an opportunity to make 17% by shorting to its next W level of $0.40.
AVAX USDT 15M🔍 AVAX/USDT Analysis: 15-Minute Timeframe 📉
The AVAX/USDT chart on a 15-minute timeframe highlights significant upcoming times where price movements may present trading opportunities. For short-term, intraday, or scalping trades, consider focusing on lower timeframes, but always ensure to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 24, 2024, 01:15, August 24, 2024, 14:00, August 25, 2024, 01:45, August 25, 2024, 20:45 - Red Lines: These times mark potential local peaks. Traders might consider these as moments to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 24, 2024, 05:30, August 24, 2024, 19:45, August 25, 2024, 08:45 - Green Lines: These times indicate potential local lows, providing favorable conditions for accumulating AVAX or entering long positions.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC+3 (Kyiv/Istambul).
AVAX USDT 4H🔍 AVAX/USDT Analysis: 1-Hour Timeframe 📉
The AVAX/USDT chart on a 1-hour timeframe highlights significant upcoming dates where price movements may present trading opportunities. As always, it is crucial to analyze these signals in conjunction with higher timeframes for a more comprehensive understanding of the market.
• August 24, 2024, 17:00, September 6, 2024, 05:00, September 19, 2024, 17:00 - Red Lines: These times mark potential local peaks. Traders might consider these as moments to take profits or reduce exposure, as the price could encounter resistance or a downturn.
• August 31, 2024, 21:00, September 12, 2024, 09:00, September 24, 2024, 21:00 - Green Lines: These times indicate potential local lows, providing favorable conditions for accumulating AVAX or entering long positions.
When working with this 1-hour timeframe, keep in mind that these movements should be evaluated with a global perspective, considering higher timeframes to better grasp the overall market trend.
Note: The exact timing of these phases can vary by +/- a few hours. All times are based on UTC-7 (Los Angeles).
AVAX $300+ This Bull RunBuckle up ladies and gentlemen, we are at the part of the cycle where we are nearing the end of the consolidation period and are getting ready to catapult, BTC at any moment will break 62k and when 70k is broken the true alt season run will occur. Avax is putting out a lot of amazing things and doing on chain collabs for example the California DMV is building their titles on AVAX which is actually insane making real life utility. $300 is a good base target but we can easily push 4-500$
Avalanche: Recovery!AVAX recovered last week and rallied within our turquoise Target Zone (between $17.48 and $29.30). We now expect the price to be carried out of the Zone by the turquoise wave 3 and above the resistance at $41.78. However, we still have to keep our alternative scenario (40% likely) in mind. This option calls for a lower low of the turquoise wave alt.2 below the range.
Alikze »» NEAR | C wave correction leg🔍 Technical analysis: C wave correction leg
- It is moving in a descending channel in daily and weekly time.
- At the last stage of correction, it can extend to the area of the bottom of the channel and the green box.
- Therefore, considering that it has faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel, if the supply zone does not fail, the correction will continue up to the specified zone and Fibo 1.618.
- The range of 2.479 to 2.768, if faced with demand, can provide a suitable area for buying and a return to the middle of the channel.
- This zigzag correction, if it is not combined and complex, can continue the upward trend after completing the last corrective leg, according to the behavioral scenario presented in the previous post.
💎 Alternative scenario: In addition, if it can meet the demand in the middle of the channel, it can have a temporary growth up to the ceiling of the supply range of the channel.
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BINANCE:NEARUSDT
Are we going to see lower low?I entered a long position as I mentioned in the last idea on $AVAXUSDT. What BINANCE:AVAXUSDT doing is most likely to go down to the 19.5 area first, because there is no big impulse and CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is not giving a chance to alt-coins. The yellow line is very crucial which is holding the last lowest point since the last higher high. But if the yellow line breaks in the 4H and 1D timeframe we are likely to see the 15.5-14.5 range before the big impulse.
AVAX - Daily Chart Analysis - A Short Term Opportunity#AVAX/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ AVAX has formed a nice falling wedge pattern and also the price has hit the major support zone.
+ A clear breakout from the falling wedge is required for a confirmed bullish trend.
+ We will enter the long trend only after the confirmed breakout from the falling wedge.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 23.86
Stop Loss: 16.86
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Target 1: 29.92
Target 2: 35.25
Target 3: 43.69
Target 4: 62.57
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Timeframe: 1D
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
AVAX - TRADING AT KEY SUPPORT LEVEL#AVAX/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ AVAX is currently trading at a key support level, and holding this level is crucial for maintaining further bullish momentum.
+ A falling wedge formation is also visible, and a breakout from this pattern could drive the price higher.
+ A clear reversal from the support zone is needed to confirm the bullish trend. We can enter a long trade at the current price, with a stop-loss set below the support zone and a target at the local resistance.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 20.88
Stop Loss: 15.93
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Target 1: 28.10
Target 2: 37.44
Target 3: 48.62
Target 4: 62.34
Target 5: 87.40
Target 6: 99.28
Target 7: 133.97
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Timeframe: 1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
AVAXUSDT.4HToday, I’m analyzing the 4-hour chart of AVAX against USDT on the Binance exchange. AVAX is currently trading at approximately $21.23, showing slight fluctuations within a downward trend observed over recent weeks.
Key Resistance and Support Levels:
The chart indicates a clear resistance level (R1) at $26.63, which AVAX has previously struggled to surpass. There’s a further resistance (R2) that is not within immediate reach, suggesting it’s at a much higher level. The primary support (S1) is at $17.12, which is significantly below the current trading price, indicating a potential downside risk if the bearish trend continues.
Technical Indicators Analysis:
• MACD: The MACD line is close to the signal line but slightly above, suggesting a possible mild bullish crossover. However, both lines are near the zero line, indicating overall weak momentum in either direction.
• RSI: The Relative Strength Index is at 54.20, which is near the neutral 50 mark, suggesting a balanced condition between buyers and sellers. This neutral RSI hints that there might not be strong buying or selling pressure at the current level.
Analysis:
The trend lines drawn on the chart show a descending pattern, indicating that the overall sentiment in the market has been bearish. The current trading price near the upper trend line also suggests that AVAX is testing this bearish trend line as a potential resistance. If AVAX breaks above this trend line, it could signal a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Conclusion and Trading Strategy:
Given the proximity of AVAX to the trend line and the mild signals from MACD and RSI, my strategy would involve cautious observation for a potential breakout above the trend line. If AVAX manages to sustain a breakout above this line and moves towards R1 at $26.63, it could present a buying opportunity with a target near R1. Conversely, if AVAX fails to break the trend line and starts declining towards S1 at $17.12, it could suggest that the bearish trend is still dominant, and a short position may be considered.
In summary, the current setup warrants close monitoring for signs of either a bullish reversal or continuation of the bearish trend. Setting stop-loss orders just below the trend line in case of a long position, or just above it for a short position, would be prudent to manage risks effectively.
AVAX local trade for the next weekLocal trade for BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
here is fresh quick logic for AVAX
Possible Targets and explanation idea
➡️zoom in and mark range weekly High and Low. inside mark high and low daily
➡️4h timeframe mark potential zones and data what indicators shows
➡️ADZ - we are in accumulation)
➡️Tradeon - was signal to buy, but we missed so by logic we are bullish and ill try open long on weekly sweep with target sweep previous Weekly high
➡️MoneyPower - money inflow but would be good to see one sweep and new money inflow zone
➡️MarketMood - looks good we are desbelife zone
buit this logic for 4h can add alert to my zone of interest and wait! or add alerts on indicators. Every time use stop loss
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AVAX ANALYSIS (1D)From where we entered Start on the chart, it seems that the AVAX correction has started.
The correction seems to be a diametric that we are now in wave E of this diametric.
Now we have determined the best demand range on the chart. We will look for buy/long positions in this range.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ALTS That are INCREASING as BTC Dips1) NOTUSDT BINANCE:NOTUSDT
Great bounce from the support, RSI bottoms:
strong in the 4h:
2) RUNEUSDT KUCOIN:RUNEUSDT
From the 1h up to the daily, it seems as though RUNE is increasing after establishing a bottom of being oversold:
3) AVAXUSDT BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
AVAX makes a turn around after bottoming out in the buyback zone:
4) BNBUSDT BINANCE:BNBUSDT
BNB up 20 % in two days as buyers scoop up lower prices:
5) JUPUSDT BINANCE:JUPUSDT
JUP increases 16% in one day:
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AVAX - finally going to make a big move??AVAX - finally going to make a big move??
This ones interesting
1. usually it moves out of phase a bit, after the other popular L1's from last cycle. so its good for rotation if one of the others moves hard first.
2. remember that lawyer vid from last cycle; these guys strike me as massive cheeseball scammy mofos ;; but then in crypto who isn't ??
I've decided to play JOE, and its my only AVAX chain play.
Also the chart is not as clear cut as some of the other big ones; eth, btc, sol etc
Looks like there is a chance we are bearish here... but im pretty confident this cycle is not done so early. but always remain vigilant and able to move like water. that is what will save your portfolio.
\
gl
Alikze »» INJ | Descending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel
- It is moving in a descending channel in the daily and 12H time frames.
- It has faced a complex zigzag correction structure after the end of the last bullish wave that extended around the 2.618 area and the price of $53.
- Currently, according to the downward momentum, it is approaching the OB region in the form of a three-wave pattern.
- So if the $18.75 range maintains the 1.618 Fibo, it can have an attempt to the $25 range.
In addition, in the continuation of it, if it faces selling pressure again, the last log can continue up to the range of the green box and Fibo 100.
💎 Alternative scenario: But if it faces selling pressure in the range of $25 and breaks it, the downward trend will continue in the range of the green box and continue with its failure until the range of 11.36.
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BINANCE:INJUSDT
Avalanche ( AVAX ) to 104?19-21 range is very crucial support zone in a weekly timeframe, if it ever to hit 19 I would consider long position either futures or spot. As you can see 92-104 range is gonna be our first take profit point which is fibonacci 0.618 level and we all know how important that is. If BINANCE:AVAXUSDT ever close a candle above 105 in a weekly timeframe is gonna be huge confirmation to continuously go up maybe even break all time high, so time will tell.
High risk tradeThis is a 4-hour chart analysis of the AVAX/USDT pair, highlighting key support and resistance levels. The market has experienced several fake breaks near the upper resistance. The area between $24.70 and $25.40 serves as a strong support zone, and a potential entry point for a buy position.
Trade Breakdown:
- Buy Entry 🟢: Support zone at $24.70 - $25.40
- Target 🎯: Resistance area at $32.55
- Stop Loss (SL) 🚫:
- High Risk SL: Below $24.70
- Best SL: Below $22.00
This analysis suggests that traders could consider entering a long position around the support zone while setting appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk.