AVAX Analysis: Potential Price Movement and Key Levels✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the AVAX coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project: AVAX, or Avalanche, is a decentralized platform known for its high throughput and low latency, making it a preferred choice for developers building decentralized applications and custom blockchain networks. It's particularly popular among DeFi enthusiasts due to its unique consensus mechanism and scalability.
⌛️Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, AVAX has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak of 126.52, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, AVAX is at a support level of 20.83 after a correction phase.
📈 If AVAX stabilizes above 31.32, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 58.74. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level.
📉 Conversely, if AVAX falls back into the range between 20.83 and 31.32, and stabilizes below 20.83, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 15.91.
📊In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence.
⌛️Daily Timeframe
🔍On the daily chart, AVAX ranged around the 31.22 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 21.49.
🧲Given the current setup, a stabilization below 21.49 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 31.22, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels.
⌛️4-Hour Timeframe
📈In the 4-hour timeframe, AVAX has pulled back to the SMA99 and reached the resistance at 30.98. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement.
📉For short positions, the key levels to watch are 30.98 and 33.77, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are 25.01 and 21.49.
RSI Oscillator
💥The RSI is currently ranging between 44.87 and 59.76 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
📉Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Avax
AVAX: Scouting The Best Entry After More PAINAVAX has been trading inside this bearish channel for several years at this point. It's very plausible that AVAX will break through the top resistance if BTC keeps going up, hence the reason that this is not a short-signal, but rather a "buy from here if we go down again" - signal.
IF AVAX starts losing value again, I'm keeping an eye at the bottom support of the channel to make a long-term bullish entry. Remains to be seen whether this support will ever be hit again, but better to be prepared in case it does!
ALTCOINS That are STRONG NOW1) AVAX
If AVAX can close ABOVE the short term resistance zone, the way up is cleared and more upside potential becomes highly likely:
2) OPUSDT:
OP bottom should be either close, or in as it made a full retracement after the last high:
3) PALM AI
Palm has made a full retracement and filled out the opening candle. If you've been following me for a while, you'll know that this is an important metric for me to watch when buying newly released alts:
4) ARB
Incase you don't know, I have this belief on buying newly released alts where I say the price WILL return to the opening candle zones sooner or later. A healthy bounce from here is then perceived as a sign of strength as the alt is ready for more upside.
More on the above strategy here: HOW to BUY NEW ALTS:
#AVAX/USDT#AVAX
The price is moving within a bearish channel pattern on the 12-hour frame, which is a strong retracement pattern and was broken to the upside.
We have a bounce from a major support area in green at 24.00
We have a tendency to stabilize above the Moving Average 100
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the rise and gives greater momentum, and the price is based on it to rise after it was broken upward.
Entry price is 27.00
The first target is 30.35
Second goal 32.33
Third goal 34.71
#AVAX Technical Analysis in Daily TimeframeHello everyone, I’m Cryptorphic.
For the past seven years, I’ve been sharing insightful charts and analysis.
Follow me for:
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~ Charts supported by critical fundamentals.
Now, let’s dive into this chart analysis:
CRYPTOCAP:AVAX is at the tip of the resistance trendline and the 50EMA. A breakout above the current resistance at $29.3 will possibly establish a bullish trend for AVAX. On the other hand, a rejection can be considered a good buyback opportunity in the range of $24.32 to $25.88.
Key Observations:
- Primary Resistance: $29.3.
- Target Range: $41, $50, $58, $65.
- Support: $24.32 to $25.88.
Conclusion: Wait for the daily close to confirm a breakout or rejection pattern.
DYOR, NFA.
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AVAX - BUY ZONE Tested, Onwards and UPwards!Is the AVAX correction finally over?
If you've been following, you'll know that we were early bullish on AVAX, since DEC 2023:
And then again early 2024:
After losing 66% from ATH, Avax has bounces successfully from the identified buy-back zone (hope you didn't miss it!)
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BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
AVAX Ready to Rise Again
AVAX fell from 65 to as low as 22, but finally managed to break above the downtrend. If it stays above 25, it is quite likely to see $60 or even higher in the long term.
At this level, AVAX offers a very good buying opportunity. If it goes lower, I might buy more AVAX, but I don't think there will be any more buying opportunities below this level.
AVAXUSDT#AVAX #Avalanche has formed a beautiful chart. Since March, it has been continuing a downward trend, forming a descending wedge pattern. It's close to breaking the resistance. If it breaks the resistance and maintains above it, the upward momentum will be confirmed. It is expected to reach the Fibonacci levels of 0.382-0.618-0.786-1 sequentially. Therefore, the targets for AVAX are expected to be $30, $43, $53, and $65, respectively.
AVAX 2024- Fast Update.
- Everything in Graphic.
- Buy Breakout 50$++. ( always wait Weekly candle on Monday to have confirmation ).
or
- Buy Retracement : 18$ ish ( 25% invest ).
- Buy Bottom : 10$ ish ( 75% invest ).
- TP1 : 150$ ish( old ATH )
- TP2 : before 380 to 500$ ish ( Just don't be greedy ).
Play S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Alikze »» DOT | 61.8 Fibo retest scenarioAccording to the long-term analysis, the DOT currency is moving in the 1W time frame, which, as mentioned in the updated micro-waves of the previous post, completed a complete cycle in accordance with the path in the range of 11.92.
💎 First scenario: due to the recent three-wave correction and support in an important PRZ area, an upward corrective movement is currently underway, which is currently stopped at the 0.618 area. Therefore, if this X wave is not upward and after the completion of the correction log until the liquidity zone or PRZ leads to the failure of the zone and the daily candle is closed above it, it can continue the movement until the specified resistance PRZ zone. to give
💎 Second scenario: If the support PRZ area is broken, this can lead to a continuing corrective lag and a combined correction and correct the whole wave up to 0.23.
If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
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Lower usage brings lower prices ---- AVAXThe employment data on Friday didn't change anything. Although gold and U.S.stocks rebounded, crypto continued to fall due to potential selling pressure from Mt. Gox and others. We believe this situation may continue into the interest rate cutting cycle.
When recently sorting out on-chain data, including activity, TVL and other data, we found that the data of some old chains continued to decline and their fundamentals deteriorated seriously. This will result in its performance in the market being generally worse than other public chains.
Avalanche is one of them. Except for the popularity of SocialFi protocol Arena in its ecosystem last year, there is almost no news at all. The same is true from the data. According to the number of 24h active addresses announced by Nansen, Avalanche holds about 40k active addresses every day, which is far less than the mainstream chains. And in terms of TVL decline, Avalanche and Optimism have become the largest heading chains with the largest decline recently. Of course, Optimism’s TVL is shared more with other chains in the OP alliance, such as Base. Avalanche, on the other hand, had a net outflow.
The same is true from the indicators. Although the market has rebounded in the past two days. But AVAX is always below the wavy area of the TSB indicator. And the current trend is a downward trend that started on July 4th. This shows the weak performance of AVAX.
Introduction to indicators:
Trend Sentinel Barrier (TSB) is a trend indicator, using AI algorithm to calculate the cumulative trading volume of bulls and bears, identify trend direction and opportunities, and calculate short-term average cost in combination with changes of turnover ratio in multi-period trends, so as to grasp the profit from the trend more effectively without being cheated.
KDMM (KD Momentum Matrix) is not only a momentum indicator, but also a short-term indicator. It divides the movement of the candle into long and short term trends, as well as bullish and bearish momentum. It identifies the points where the bullish and bearish momentum increases and weakens, and effectively capture profits.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
AVAX support is lost on HTFAVAX / USDT
We have shorted this coin few hours earlier
And resulted in nice profits ✅ but it looks like it can drop more ‼️
What we can see in chart:
1- clear big cap coin HTF chart
2- Trendline support is lost
3- Previous swing high is lost
4- Until it comes back above support the priority in short term is bearish
5- it can make a short squeeze in between but next major support is around 20$
best of wishes
Why Avalanche Might Not Hit Its All-Time High During The Next BuI saw a couple of posts lately on social media that predicted 200, 300, or even 500 as a price target for during the next bull run.
This surprised me. I don't think that AVAX will get even close to those numbers.
To make this very clear, my assumption has nothing to do with the project in general or Avalanche's technology. On the contrary, I am a big fan of Avalanche and think it will be one of the few projects that will exist ten years from now.
I think AVAX won't hit its previous ATH during the next bull run for a simple reason: Circulating Supply!
AVAX marked its ATH in November 2021, when the price peaked at ~145 USD. Based on the circulating supply at that time (~230m), the asset had a market cap of ~33b.
Since 2021, the circulating supply of AVAX has constantly increased. Moreover, it will continue to increase until it reaches its total supply 443m.
Currently, AVAX has a circulating supply of almost 400m. As a result, to reach the ATH price again, AVAX requires a market cap of 58b. That's almost twice the size of its previous ATH market cap.
Although it isn't completely unrealistic, I consider it unlikely that Avalanche will double its market cap compared to the last bull run. But even if I am wrong with this assumption, the numbers show how unlikely prices of 200, 300, or even 500 are.
Just to do the math: A token price of $500 would lead to a market cap of 200b.
Nevertheless, I still think AVAX has a bright feature and solid potential during the next bull run. At the same time, I consider it essential to have realistic targets.
AVAXUSD Bottom formation in process. Target $105.007 months ago we published the following analysis (December 14 2023, see chart below), expecting Avalanche (AVAXUSD), to correct back to the 1.0 Fibonacci level after a potential $55.00 hit:
As you can see the price action didn't fail to deliver our projection, in fact it followed very tightly the February - July 2021 pre-rally pattern of the previous Bull Cycle. Right now it has found Support on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), while the 1W RSI is on the exact Support level it was on the June 21 2021 bottom.
Even though a marginal decline is possible to satisfy the past condition of slightly breaking below the 0.5 Fib, the current levels are good enough to buy again for the long-term.
As in November 2021, our Target is again the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is currently just above the $105.00 Resistance.
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Avalanche (AVAX) Rises: Can It Break Thru $30?Avalanche (AVAX), a prominent smart contracts platform, is currently experiencing a surge in price. As of July 1, 2024, AVAX is trading confidently above the $28.65 resistance level, hinting at a potential breakout. This article delves into the recent AVAX price rally, explores the technical analysis behind it, and examines whether AVAX can conquer the critical $30 resistance zone.
A Bullish Breeze for AVAX
The ongoing AVAX price rally offers a sigh of relief for investors after a period of price stability. The current movement signifies positive momentum, with AVAX climbing steadily from its $27.40 support level. This upward trend is further bolstered by the fact that AVAX is currently trading above both the $28.65 resistance level and the 100-hourly simple moving average (SMA).
Technical Indicators Paint a Breakout Picture
Technical analysis is a valuable tool for understanding price movements and predicting future trends. In the case of AVAX, a crucial technical indicator is the recent break above the declining channel with resistance at $28.40 on the hourly chart. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum, potentially paving the way for a further price increase.
The $30 Hurdle: A Crucial Test
While the current trend is undoubtedly positive, a significant hurdle awaits AVAX at the $30 resistance zone. A decisive break above $30 would be a strong bullish signal, indicating continued upward momentum. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further price appreciation, with potential targets around $32.50 or even $34.00.
Support Levels: A Safety Net
It's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile. Even in a bullish scenario, there's always the possibility of price corrections. For AVAX, the $29.35 and $28.65 levels act as critical support zones. If the price fails to surpass $30, these support levels can prevent a significant decline. Additionally, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from $27.37 to $29.95 provides another layer of support around $28.65. A drop below $28.65 could lead to a slide towards the $28.00 level and the 100 SMA (4 hours). The $27.40 zone would be the next important support to watch in case of a deeper correction.
MACD and RSI: Bullish Whispers
Beyond price action, other technical indicators offer valuable insights. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for AVAX/USD is currently climbing in positive territory. This suggests increasing bullish momentum. Additionally, the Hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above 50, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI reading implies that there's still room for the price to rise before a potential correction.
Looking Ahead: A Promising Future for AVAX
The current price rally for AVAX is a positive development, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakout above the $30 resistance level. If achieved, this breakout could lead to further gains. However, investors should exercise caution and be aware of the crucial support zones at $29.35 and $28.65. Monitoring the MACD and RSI indicators can also provide valuable insights into the ongoing price trend. Overall, the outlook for AVAX appears promising, and a break above $30 would be a significant bullish signal for the cryptocurrency.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Market Analysis: Bitcoin and AVAX📅 Today's market conditions aren't significantly different from yesterday. Given that it's Sunday, it's essential to minimize risk and avoid unnecessary positions. I'll start with a Bitcoin analysis and then move on to AVAX.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 In the 1-hour timeframe, as I mentioned yesterday, there was a potential reaction at 60718, which occurred around 60739. Following this, the price moved upward with strong momentum, forming two powerful bullish candles. However, volume has started to decrease, indicating that the bullish momentum has temporarily subsided. We need to wait for a confirmation to see momentum re-enter the market.
📈 For a long position, I still wait for a break of 62168, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. If this level breaks, the price could move up to 63583. If the RSI stabilizes above 70, we could consider entering a long position earlier.
📉 For a short position, our trigger has shifted slightly to 60739, considering the market's reaction to this level yesterday. This could be a good short trigger with a target of 59323. However, volume needs to increase in the market, so it might be better to wait until the new week starts.
⛓ AVAX Analysis
🗂 The AVAX project operates on its blockchain, where AVAX is the primary coin used for transactions, fees, staking, and DeFi applications.
🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, after a decline, the chart hit the support level at 23.84 and started to correct, now moving upward in the Low Wave Cycle. However, the decreasing volume favors a bearish trend continuation. We can expect the downtrend to continue if the price stabilizes below the 23.84 support.
📈 For a long position, you can enter upon breaking 28.59, but keep in mind that the volume is low, and you're trading against the main trend. The target for this position could be 30.88. If the RSI enters the overbought territory, it can provide confirmation to keep the position open.
📉 For a short position, you can enter upon breaking 27.69, though this trigger is quite risky. The main short trigger is at 23.84; breaking this level allows entering a short position. A break of 50 on the RSI can provide a suitable confirmation for bearish momentum entering the market.
📝Both Bitcoin and AVAX are at critical points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while AVAX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
The Possible Bullish Trend for AVAX!BINANCE:AVAXUSDT is about to break out of the s/r zone on weekly timeframe.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!