Broadcom: Bullish Comeback!The downtrend that began in early October was recently broken as AVGO surged by 10% at the start of the month. We still see the stock in an overarching corrective movement, with the last cycle top marked in June 2024 by the peak of the blue wave I. Primarily, we anticipate a three-wave structure to unfold in the ongoing blue wave II. The beige wave B should have sufficient upward momentum to push up to the resistance level at $211.94. Afterward, the final sell-off of wave C should unfold. Our 30% likely alternative scenario, however, suggests a different wave count and a premature downward move below $126.04. In either case, we expect a new low of the blue wave II.
Avgotrading
$AVGO PRE-EARNINGS DIP BUY Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) has an upcoming earnings report scheduled for Dec.5
This also happens to be a stock that investment power house Nancy Pelosi is currently holding a position in and with the rise of similar stock $NVDIA earlier today, I suspect NASDAQ:AVGO to have enough catalyst fuel to power this Daily time frame dip buy opportunity off of the 22EMA. I plan on entering this position tomorrow IF NASDAQ:AVGO goes green on the daily time frame AFTER a bearish start to the morning to take out any left over liquidity (previous-day lows, post-market lows, pre-market lows) and I plan to hold this buy position anywhere between 1-4 weeks depending on how the daily time frame CLOSES along the way... No Price targets.
AVGO-CALLS for the week. AVGO at a DAILY key level with the 4h showing signs of a potential bullish reversal to continue to the upside. Gonna be a great swing or day trade opportunity to catch if she can continue to show bullish price action on the 4h. Will be looking to buy at intraday Bull Breakouts throughout the week as long as the 4h Can continue to show healthy price action. NASDAQ:AVGO
AVGO: This pullback is a buy opportunity.Broadcom is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.908, MACD = 4.100, ADX = 23.045) as it remains near its All Time High. However it is consolidating as the 1D MA50 is holding. As long as the 1D MA200 supports on the bottom of the long term Channel Up, the long term action is bullish. Aim for at least a +122% rise (TP = 285).
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Broadcom's Analysis: Is the Chipmaker Ready for a Comeback?Key Takeaways:
- Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) shares have reclaimed their 50-day moving average after a steep correction but face volatility ahead of the upcoming Q3 earnings report.
- Investors are focusing on Broadcom's AI chip sales growth and its full-year outlook amid rising AI demand.
- Key technical levels suggest potential volatility, with both downside and upside price targets in play.
Broadcom’s Resurgence and Challenges
Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ), one of the leading chipmakers, is preparing to release its fiscal Q3 earnings report, with investors keenly watching its AI sales growth and forward-looking guidance. Recent quarters have seen Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) benefit from increased demand for its custom AI chips, a trend that has bolstered its financial performance. However, after peaking in mid-June, Broadcom shares faced a significant sell-off, falling as much as 31% before mounting a recovery.
The stock managed to reclaim its 50-day moving average by the end of August, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Despite this recovery, it's crucial to note that the buying activity occurred on declining volumes, which often points to a lack of strong institutional support. This situation sets the stage for heightened volatility as the company approaches its earnings announcement.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
1. Decreasing Volume and Recent Recovery:
The recent bounce in Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) shares is noteworthy, as it reclaimed the 50-day moving average—a critical technical indicator suggesting near-term strength. However, the recovery on declining volume is a cautionary signal. Institutional investors typically drive strong moves, and a lack of their involvement could suggest that the current recovery lacks conviction.
2. Lower Price Levels to Monitor:
- $157 Level: This support zone, approximately 4% below the recent close, aligns with previous swing lows from June and August. If Broadcom's stock falls below this level, it could signal further downside pressure.
- $141 Level: Should the $157 level fail to hold, $141 becomes the next critical area to watch. This level represents a prior consolidation zone where the stock traded sideways between March and June. Investors may see this as a potential buying opportunity if the stock reaches this area.
3. Higher Price Levels to Watch:
- $168 Resistance: A move higher could propel the stock to $168, where it may encounter resistance. This zone corresponds to several gap trading levels formed in June and July, as well as the highs from August.
- $195 Target Above All-Time High (ATH): For those looking beyond the immediate resistance, Broadcom could target $195. This level is calculated by projecting the stock’s previous trending move from December to March and repositioning it from the August swing low. This upside target would place Broadcom about 5% above its all-time high, indicating significant potential for a breakout.
AI Growth as a Catalyst
Broadcom’s fundamentals remain strong, with AI chip sales serving as a primary growth driver. The company’s custom chips are in high demand as industries increasingly rely on artificial intelligence, a sector expected to continue expanding in the coming years. Investors will be closely examining the company's guidance during its Q3 report, looking for signs of sustained momentum.
However, Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is not without its challenges. The broader tech sell-off and profit-taking after the company's 10-for-1 stock split in July have weighed on share prices. Despite this, analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" rating, citing the company’s leading market position and the growing importance of its AI chips.
Technical Outlook: Mixed Signals
As of now, Broadcom shares are down 4.54% in Tuesday's trading, with an RSI of 46. The RSI nearing the oversold region suggests that the stock could be positioning itself for a potential bounce. However, given the declining volumes and lack of institutional activity, investors should remain cautious and closely watch the aforementioned technical levels.
Broadcom’s stock trading above key moving averages offers a glimmer of hope, yet the market’s reaction to the upcoming earnings report will be pivotal. Any positive surprise in AI sales growth or forward guidance could provide the necessary catalyst for Broadcom to reclaim its highs and potentially push towards the $195 target.
Conclusion: A Critical Juncture for Broadcom
Broadcom’s journey back to its highs is fraught with both opportunities and challenges. The technical setup suggests a stock on the rebound, but with caution flags raised due to the lack of volume support. Fundamentally, the chipmaker’s focus on AI positions it well for future growth, but investors will need to see continued execution and positive guidance in the upcoming earnings report.
For now, NASDAQ:AVGO remains a stock to watch closely, with key support and resistance levels defining its near-term path. Investors should be prepared for heightened volatility but also recognize the potential upside if Broadcom’s earnings and outlook exceed expectations.
AVGO: Eyeing an aggressive bullish breakout. Broadcom Inc is overbought on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.003, MACD = 23.960, ADX = 31.411) but on the long term it is only testing the middle of the 1 year Channel Up pattern. This recent rally was initiated after the 1D MA50 held on December 6th. If the middle of the Channel Up breaks, we will go long and target the top (TP = 1,300) as it could be a bullish breakout as aggressive as May 26th. If it doesn't break, we will wait for another pullback to the 1D MA50 and then buy towards the middle again (TP = 1,100).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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AVGO: Is about to give a breakout signal. Follow it.AVGO is trading inside a Triangle pattern on a bullish 1D time frame (RSI = 62.459, MACD = 29.570, ADX = 26.143) supported by a HL trendline since October 14th 2022. The way the Triangle breaks to will most likely reveal the next medium term direction.
Under it, we will sell and target the 1D MA100 (TP = 760.00) while over it, we will buy and target the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 990.00).
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