Is Amazon stock trapping retail traders? Is it too late?Historically, Amazon tends to experience a run-up leading into Prime Day, which could add positive momentum to the stock. There are some indications that history might, in fact, repeat itself.
The yellow line represents the 6-month anchored VWAP, while the white line shows the July highs anchored VWAP. These VWAPs are crucial as they provide a strong indication of where average buying and selling have occurred over significant time frames, acting as dynamic support or resistance levels.
I anticipate strong resistance near the August highs, as this is a level where increased supply could enter the market. To counter this, I am hoping for a tight consolidation or base formation in the $183.22 - $187.50 range, setting up for a powerful upside move.
If the price can hold within this range, it could pave the way for a retest of the August high and potentially push further up towards $200 by the end of the year.
AWS
Even AMZN may struggle at 2021 HighsNASDAQ:AMZN rebounded off a gap up support level which implies that this is where fundamentals are likely to be. The stock's price shows resilience and no HFT interference for now, even after the Q1 earnings report after market yesterday.
Amazon has more than just its retail consumer and small business products. It has AWS with AI integrated to help the small businesses that sell via AMZN.
AMZN weekly chart shows that the highs of this month ran into the 2021 all-time highs. Note the negative divergence between the price trend and the Accumulation/Distribution indicator line, indicating a lack of buyers at that high. This resistance level is likely to take another quarter or more to overcome unless there is a big surprise. This goes for all companies, not just AMZN.
Amazon's Soaring Stock: A Tale of AI Dominance and Growth
In a striking display of resilience and innovation, Amazon.com (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) has set the financial world abuzz with a remarkable 7% surge in its stock before the bell on Friday. The e-commerce behemoth not only reported higher-than-expected holiday quarter sales but also showcased the powerful impact of its AI prowess, particularly within its lucrative cloud business, Amazon Web Services (AWS).
AI-Powered Growth:
Amazon's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) ascent mirrors a broader trend among tech giants, including Microsoft, as they begin to reap the rewards of substantial investments in artificial intelligence. The company's early gains from AI-powered features have positioned it as a frontrunner in the race to harness the potential of cutting-edge technology.
J.P.Morgan analyst Doug Anmuth highlights the impressive strides made by AWS in early Generation AI revenue. While currently a small fraction of the colossal $100 billion run-rate business, Anmuth anticipates meaningful traction for AWS in the rapidly evolving AI landscape throughout the coming year.
E-commerce and Cloud Synergy:
The confluence of Amazon's e-commerce dominance and the soaring success of AWS paints a compelling picture of synergy between retail strength and cloud innovation. Despite economic strains, the company's 14% rise in sales during the holiday quarter underscores robust spending patterns and an ability to navigate challenges effectively.
Investor Confidence:
Amazon's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) stellar performance has not gone unnoticed by the investment community. A staggering 13 brokerages have raised their price targets on the stock, signaling a widespread vote of confidence in the company's future trajectory. Anmuth lauds Amazon's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) adept execution, noting that challenges faced during the pandemic have strengthened both its retail and AWS divisions.
Market Outlook:
Amazon's stock is riding high on an upbeat revenue forecast. The company's projected current-quarter revenue, reaching up to $143.5 billion, surpasses analysts' expectations and stands out in a landscape where other tech firms have tempered their revenue and earnings forecasts.
Comparative Valuations:
A glance at comparative valuations adds another layer to Amazon's triumph. With a forward earnings per share ratio of 40.51, the company outshines cloud rival Microsoft (31.57) and retail competitor Walmart (23.75). The market's response to Amazon's forward-looking guidance suggests a favorable outlook, with potential to add a staggering $115 billion to its market capitalization.
Investor Bullishness and Future Prospects:
Despite substantial investments in cloud infrastructure for generative AI technology, investors remain bullish. Krishna Chintalapalli, portfolio manager at Parnassus Investments, anticipates a strong return on investment stemming from recent generative AI investments. This optimism aligns with the technical outlook, showcasing a rising trend channel and indicating investor confidence in Amazon's continued growth.
Conclusion:
Amazon's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) soaring stock, fueled by AI-driven innovation and robust sales, solidifies its position as a trailblazer in the tech and e-commerce sectors. As the company navigates economic challenges with strategic investments, the future seems promising. With a compelling synergy between retail dominance and cloud innovation, Amazon's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) ascent is a testament to its adaptability, resilience, and foresight in an ever-evolving technological landscape. Investors and industry observers alike are eagerly watching as Amazon's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AMZN ) success story unfolds, shaping the narrative of a new era in tech-driven commerce.
EQIX: A way to Short AI & Commercial Real Estate in One StockThis company deals with renting out Commercial Real Estate, mostly to do with Datacenters and other Internet Connected Operations, and due to that, this makes it a perfect stock to get Bearish Exposure to if you are both Bearish on the AI Big Tech Mania and Bearish on Commercial REITs
One of the main risks for this stock is if their biggest clients, like MSFT and AMZN begin to shift away from using Equinix datacenters in favor of creating and using their own in order to save on costs. If MSFT's recent earnings call is anything to go off of, they are currently desperate to increase profit margins and reduce the costs associated with their business operations especially the costs associated with working with third parties.
One area in which they could cut costs would be to reduce their reliance on Equinix datacenters, but in general as the AI Mania begins to wind down we could likely see the Equinix enterprise consumer base shrink even more, in which case we could see price begin to correct to reflect upon their lower cashflows as both the AI and Commercial REITs sectors continue to slow.
Beyond that: We have a Bearish Shark with MACD and PPO Bearish Divergence and PPO Arrow Confirmation; with hardly any support below us. If it plays out we could see a decline of about 50% from the current price level.
MFLOUR VCP (Follow Up)MFLOUR I first share on 13th Jan seeing this stock entering stage 2 with huge volume since end 2022. Then i shared on 30th Jan on observing short base VCP setup. (link on previous 2 articles in below)
The VCP base continue to develop and recently pull back deep to form a C2.
It might form another C3 before take off. (Based on VCP experience so far)
Keep an eye on this. Might be the next gem after PANTECH, PPHB, SLVEST.
VIS POWERPLAY SETUPVIS setting up POWERPLAY pattern.
Stock price gain >100% in 2 months. Price under correction for almost a month.
Price and volume action still rigid. Low risk entry point. Risk is <6.5%.
Will it be another Gem of the year? Let's see. Another stock in radar is MFLOUR.
Disclaimer:
Information presented here is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment need of any investor. Trade at your own risk.
MFLOUR Short Base VCP (Follow Up)MFLOUR I shared on 13 Jan and updated the progress in the earlier post. Short based VCP observed!
C1: 14%
C2: -6%
C3: -3%
Might have another round of contraction or might breakout and pull back. Depend on how the fund operators want to execute.
Let's wait and see.
Disclaimer:
Information presented here is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment need of any investor. Trade at your own risk.
MASTEEL entering Stage 2 with VCP MASTEEL double bottom spotted on the left (red box) experiencing downtrend stage 4 for more than 500 days. Huge volume spotted since Nov 2022 and chart reversal from stage 4 to stage 2.
VCP setup on the right (green box) for more than 2 months with contraction below:
C1: -20%
C2: -13%
C3: -6%
Price breakout on 26th Jan and experiencing a pullback to re-test the support. This movement is similar to PPHB that i shared earlier. (refer to link below)
Let's see if this counter can go up further after the pull back.
Note: Metal sector seem brewing, another metal counter also having very good setup, will share the idea later.
Feel free to comment to let me know your thoughts.
Disclaimer:
Information presented here is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment need of any investor. Trade at your own risk.
PECCA HUGE BASE VCP SETUPPECCA appear in the screener and look at this huge base >600 days VCP setup.
C1: -44%
C2: -16%
C3: -3%
QR yet to released, based on the early volume and price movement, expected good QR that will be released on 27th or 28th. Let's see if pull back after QR for better entry point or not.
Anyone spotted this stock too?
Disclaimer:
Information presented here is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment need of any investor. Trade at your own risk.
GREATEC entering STAGE 2In stock market, is very important to know what the stages the stock currently in. Different stage will apply different strategy. We always look for STAGE 2 stocks as they are lesser risk and lesser waiting time.
GREATEC experience stage 4 for almost 1 year due to bad sediment in technology sector in 2022.
Technology sector is recovering end 2022 and GREATEC is one of the earliest that enter Stage 2 among all the technology counters.
Current setup looks good and you can consider to hedge your portfolio with Technology counter.
Disclaimer:
Information presented here is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment need of any investor. Trade at your own risk.
Avax potentially breaking up from a falling wedgeIf price action can flip this green trendline to solid support the price could climb to the $28 target within the next month or 2. Fundamentally, one of the reasons for this pump is that Amazon Web Services (AWS) has partnered with Ava Labs, the company building out layer-1 blockchain Avalanche, to help scale blockchain adoption across enterprises, institutions and governments.
“Looking forward, web3 and blockchain is inevitable,” Howard Wright, VP and global head of startups at AWS, said. “No one can call the time or date or quarter that it’s going to happen and it’ll be mainstream, but we’ve seen the cycles of growth before. The velocity of this one seems like it’s accelerating and we’re just excited to be a part of this.”
The partnership intends to make it easier for individuals to launch and manage nodes on Avalanche while also aiming to give the network more strength and flexibility for developers.
AWS will support Avalanche’s infrastructure and decentralized application (dApp) ecosystem, alongside one-click node deployments, through its marketplace. The affiliation will also include Ava Labs joining AWS Activate, a program that helps startups and early-stage entrepreneurs get started on its platform. All this should lead to sustaining bullish momentum for avalanche. *not financial advice*
PCCS ready for another rally?PCCS chart analysis as below:
Entering stage 2 around 20 July 2022. Price surge for ~35% (A) and experience correction for ~10% (B). Then the chart setup for another surge for 23% (C) and the correction this time is ~18% (D).
9 Sep attempt to attack but unfortunately the supply is heavy. If the chart can form a pivot point in the orange box, then it will be a good opportunity.
Let's monitor together.
Disclaimer:
Information presented here is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decisions nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment need of any investor. Trade at your own risk.
AMZN Consolidation ZonesAs they say... the more extensive the consolidation zone, the bigger the breakout/leg-up tends to be.
After staying in a very tight range for almost a year and a half, I believe AMZN is about ready to breakout after Q4 earnings are released following the holiday season.
Just my personal opinion, not investment advice.
Holochain (HOLO) NOT available in the United States yet!Apparently HOLO is NOT available in the US yet! We are even more bullish on this coin which looks to be a top 10-15 on CMC but STILL not available to most Americans. Buying has apparently been happening around the world before the United States gets to buy in. Rumours about AWS and Coinbase and the coming Mainnet product which is a huge step over blockchain make it even more appealing for the next leg up.
Holochain (HOLO) ($HOT) is a disruptive project with a recent US patent #10,951,697. Is is called the Airbnb /Uber for cloud computing for good reason. It will be disruptive to web hosting giants like Endurance International Group (EIG) as well as server infrastructure like Amazon Web Services ( AWS ) and Google Cloud Platform ( GCP ).
See the signature for financial advice information and buying info.
Holochain (HOLO) time for another steep jump up in value.Holochain (HOLO) ($HOT) is a disruptive project with a recent US patent #10,951,697. Is is called the Airbnb /Uber for cloud computing for good reason. It will be disruptive to web hosting giants like Endurance International Group (EIG) as well as server infrastructure like Amazon Web Services ( AWS ) and Google Cloud Platform ( GCP ).
We are about to come out of a quick correction. MACD is extremely strong and OBV is in recovery after weak hands lost their positions. Whales are accumulating at this price which doens't follow fibs, after another buy signal just came in. This appears to be a top 10-15 spot coin on Coinmarketcap with a similarly 10 to 15 billion market cap value. HOLO is in an open test beta with mainnet imminent and the technology is a leap ahead of blockchain - something most people aren't aware of yet, including DeFi and NFT possibilities.
If you're looking to trade HOT, you can easily create an account on the well-known and Australian government regulated exchange linked in my bio/profile, even if you're based in the US.
Holochain (HOLO) buying opportunity before next leg up. Holochain (HOLO) ($HOT) is a disruptive project with a recent US patent #10,951,697. Is is called the Airbnb /Uber for cloud computing for good reason. It will be disruptive to web hosting giants like Endurance International Group (EIG) as well as server infrastructure like Amazon Web Services ( AWS ) and Google Cloud Platform ( GCP ).
This chart shows the Sling Shot System continuing a wide open uptrend for HOLO while the Squeeze Momentum Indicators show that this is the next 24 hour's likely low, which is astounding. MACD appears to be ready to whipsaw up again and the OBV is heading up for a small pause. This appears to be a great buying opportunity with only a few hours before the next leg up .
If you're looking to trade HOT, you can easily create an account on the well-known and Australian government regulated exchange linked in my bio/profile, even if you're based in the US.
After partnership with Amazon, Origin Protocol will go parabolicFlag is already forming.
Link to amazon news: aws.amazon.com
BlackBerry (BB) Stock Soars on AWS Deal for Smart Vehicle DataAWS and BlackBerry Join Forces to Accelerate Innovation with New Intelligent Vehicle Data Platform
• BlackBerry IVY will help automakers create personalized driver and passenger experiences and improve operations of cloud-connected vehicles with new BlackBerry QNX and AWS technology
• AWS, AMZN, and BlackBerry Limited (NYSE: BB, TSX: BB), a worldwide leader in intelligent security software and services, announced a multi-year, global agreement to develop and market BlackBerry's Intelligent Vehicle Data Platform, IVY.
• BlackBerry IVY is a scalable, cloud-connected software platform that will allow automakers to provide a consistent and secure way to read vehicle sensor data, normalize it, and create actionable insights from that data both locally in the vehicle and in the cloud.
• Automakers can use this information to create responsive in-vehicle services that enhance driver and passenger experiences.
• BlackBerry IVY will solve data challenges by applying machine learning to that data to generate predictive insights and inferences, making it possible for automakers to offer in-vehicle experiences that are highly personalized and able to take action based on those insights.
• Automakers will gain greater visibility into vehicle data, control over who can access it, and edge computing capabilities to optimize how quickly and efficiently the data is processed.
• With BlackBerry IVY’s integrated capabilities, automakers will be able to deliver new features, functionality, and performance to customers over the lifetime of their cloud-connected vehicles, as well as unlock new revenue streams and business models built on vehicle data.
• BlackBerry IVY could leverage vehicle data to recognize driver behavior and hazardous conditions such as icy roads or heavy traffic and then recommend that a driver enable relevant vehicle safety features such as traction control, lane-keeping assist, or adaptive cruise control.
• BlackBerry IVY will enable automakers to compress the timeline to build, deploy, and monetize new in-vehicle applications and connected services across multiple vehicle brands and models.
• BlackBerry IVY will make it easier for automakers to collaborate with a wider pool of developers to accelerate creation of new offerings that deliver improved vehicle performance, reduced costs for maintenance and repairs, and added convenience.
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