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DAX 30 Big PictureThe DAX as a ZigZag correction . Rules of the ZigZag correction . 1. Wave A must be an impulse or Leading Diagonal Triangle ✅ 2. Wave B must be any corrective pattern (ABC) ✅ 3. Wave b does not correct wave A more than 99% ✅ 4. Wave C must be an impulse or Ending diagonal Triangle ❓ 5. Wave C must be at least 70% of wave B from a price perspective ❓ 6. Wave C fails extremely rarely (strong wave C) ❓ Current course . The DAX formed a Leading Diagonal Triangle since the beginning of 2022, which can be represented as an ABCDE or 12345 wave. The DAX was able to break out strongly from the Leading Diagonal Triangle in recent weeks (since October), forming an abc correction. We bounced off the upper trendline. Further course In the last days, the DAX shows first weaknesses and we assume that the DAX has already formed its TOP and now another downtrend follows. If the assumption of the ZigZag correction is correct, now the DAX should form another 12345 structure to the downside, which should hold in the trend channel. There is also still the possibility that the DAX makes a final uptrend until about just above the upper trend line and only then crashes. Depending on how the economic events will develop, we see 2 correction scenarios as likely: 1. the German or European recession comes harder than currently assumed and the DAX corrects below 10,000€. 2. the recession can be halfway cushioned and thus the financial market calms down faster and the DAX forms a bottom at around 10,500 to 11,000€. We currently see the first possibility as more likely due to the economic environment. Interest rates will not be lowered in the foreseeable future. The real estate sector is under massive pressure. Many companies continue to struggle with the huge cost of energy and capital, and a large number of companies are still highly overvalued. A perfect sentiment for a bear market to continue for another 6-12 months. We will keep you posted!
XETR:DAXShort
by Consyder
2
🟨 TV Crypto Market Caps - TICKERSThese are quite useful to follow. We have 4 major ways to track Crypto Market Caps $TOTAL = Crypto Market Cap $TOTAL2 = Crypto Market Cap - BTC $TOTLA3 = Crypto Market Cap - BTC - ETH $TOTALDEFI = Crypto Market Cap for DeFi Clearly all are below the purple line (200D SMA) and clearly in Stage 4 downtrend (as per Stage Analysis criteria). This mean "no-touch" for me. Actually the clear sign to get out for INVESTORS (not traders) should have been all the way back in January!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFIEducation
by TintinTrading
2
The Impact of Economic Factors on the Stock MarketHi there! So, I heard that the economy is in a bit of a rough patch because the FED is raising rates, there's some quantitively tightening happening, and there's a potential recession on the horizon due to a supply shock from the Russia-Ukraine war and China's pandemic restrictions. It looks like we might be heading into a recession, which is sooo not good news. The stock market will definitely be feeling the effects if the index falls below its moving average of 200 days. It's not looking great, I have to say. But don't worry, there are still ways to protect your investments. Some technical indicators you might want to keep an eye on include the relative strength index (RSI), the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator, and the Bollinger bands. These can help you evaluate the strength of the current trend and potentially identify opportunities to buy or sell. Also, outside the SPX index there are still ways to further protect your investments. For example, you might want to consider reducing your exposure to risky assets and increasing your holdings of safe-haven assets like government bonds. Just remember to stay positive and keep an eye on the market!
SP:SPX
by jhnes95
Weekly Bullish DivergenceHello everyone, for anyone who is a fan of Crypto Face's indicators, Market Cipher B has been showing the development of a Bullish Divergence on the higher timeframes. 'Weekly' timeframe in the current chart. On the weekly, it seems as though both WaveTrend's are preparing for to cross. This is an extremely bullish indication. I think it's definitely something to look out for. Do not make any decision on this alone. Further analysis is needed among multiple different timeframes to come too a solid conclusion. We must wait for and see the multiple timeframes are telling us the same story. Will keep updated.
by Clancy3gbh
🖐 5 Rules For Successful Trading!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. Trading is simple, but not easy. Traders have difficulty succeeding simply because they are unable to follow clear rules over extended periods of time. So what are the rules that every trader should follow? 💸 1- Only invest what you Can Afford to Lose. Only invest money you can afford to lose, never ever borrow money or take a loan from the bank to invest. Because if you do, you will get emotional and make irrational mistakes. ⚔️ 2- 1% Risk per Trade. We only risk a small portion of our account per trade. We enter with 1% risk per trade (2% max). We enter with a fixed risk per trade, not with a fixed stop loss in pips, nor with a fixed lot size. Remember: All Trades Have To Have The Same Weight / Effect On Our Account! 📉 3- Three Confluences Trades. (Technical Edge) Trading is nothing but a game probability. Moreover, we consider ourselves risk managers not only traders, as the only thing we have control over is "risk". The market can go anywhere. To be on the winning side, we need to have an edge over the market. One way to put the odds in our favor is by only entering trades when we have at least three confluences/clues, three things telling us to buy or sell lined-up together. One confluence may be random. For example: Only enter when you have a pattern, support, and divergence. And your rules have to be objective following a well-defined / back-tested trading plan. 📕 4- Positive RRR - Risk Reward Ratio. (Risk Management Edge) Our second edge is going to be through risk and money management by entering with a positive risk-reward ratio. That’s exactly why we enter with a ½ RRR (or higher), which means we always target at least double our stop loss. This way even with a 50% win rate, we are still profitable. Remember: It is not about how many trades you win, what matters is how much you win when you are right, and how much you lose when you are wrong. 🧘‍♂️ 5- Emotional stability. In the trading world, emotions are considered the enemy of traders. Knowing how to control emotions while trading can prove to be the difference between success and failure. When getting into a bad trade, the trader who can manage his psychology well will be able to minimize risk, while the trader who is emotional may make the situation worse. Remember: You Are Getting Paid; To Wait! Moreover, if you are not feeling well, don't trade. Remember: You don't have to catch every trade, and you don't have to trade every week. In fact, our 5 rules are all connected in a way or another. If you invest money you can’t afford to lose or enter with 10% risk per trade, chances are that you will get emotional and not follow your trading plan objectively by closing your trades before reaching 2R or even entering trades that are not according to your strategy. In parallel, even if you invest money you can afford to lose and risk 1% per trade, you won’t be consistently profitable if you don’t have a well-defined strategy that gives you an edge over the market technically or through risk management. In brief, stay away from trading if you don’t have these 5 rules. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Education
by TheSignalyst
29
HOW-TO [TTI] IBD Market SchoolHOW-TO instruction. This video shows how my custom IBD Market School Indicator works for TradingView. –––––––HISTORY & CREDITS––––––– This indicator is based on the Market School Program from IBD and it is the core logic for which I have developed the indicator. The whole system is based on the model books for the greatest winning stocks from the past. The names of the people who have contributed to this system are William-Oneil, Mike Webster and Charles Harris. –––––––WHAT IT CALCULATES––––––– 10 Buy Signals: 👉Follow Through Day 👉Additional Follow Through Days 👉Low above 21-Day MA 👉Trending above 21-Day MA 👉Living above 21-Day MA 👉Low above 50-Day MA 👉Accumulation Day 👉Higher High 👉Downside Reversal BuyBack 👉Distribution Day Fall Off 14 Sell Signals: 👉Follow Through Day Undercut 👉Failed Rally Attempt 👉Full Distribution minus One 👉Full Distribution 👉Break Below 21-Day MA 👉Overdue Break Below 21-Day MA 👉Trending Below 21-Day MA 👉Living Below 21-Day MA 👉Break Below 50-Day MA 👉Bad Break 👉Downside Reversal Day 👉Lower Low 👉Distribution Cluster 👉Break Below Higher High –––––––HOW TO USE––––––– Each buy signal is a +1 and each sell signal is -1 point to the general count. We will add all buy and sell signals to produce an overall count from 0 to 5. Based on the count this will translate to market exposure from 0 (at count 0) to 100% (at count 5). Essentially this will help you scale in and out of the market.
SP:SPXEducation
by TintinTrading
DXY - Be Prepared! 📣Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. For those who know me, I always keep an eye on DXY to feel the overall market (stock, crypto, forex) As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), DXY rejected the upper bound of the brown channel and traded lower. Now What? and why you need to be prepared? As we all know, while DXY was losing strength, the entire market (stock, crypto, forex) has a bull relief movement. But I believe, the party will be over soon! Here is why: DXY is approaching a strong rejection zone that consists of two textbook structures. 1- the 102.0 - 103.5 is a strong resistance turned support 2. the blue zone is a strong demand zone as it is the only bearish candle inside a previous big bullish movement upward As per my trading style: As DXY approaches the blue zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups on lower timeframes (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TVC:DXY
by TheSignalyst
12
S&P 500 Big Picture - Bearish ScenarioMany investors are already assuming a breakout from the upper trend line and thus a continuation of the uptrend. The economic sentiment is still bearish, many companies now have to bear the high capital and energy costs and many companies are still highly overvalued. Therefore, today we would like to introduce you to a bearish scenario that is likely to occur, the Double ZigZag. Structure of a Double ZigZag - Superior: (W) - (X) - (Y) - Subordinate: (ABC) - (ABC) - (ABC) - Subwaves: (12345 - ABC - 12345) - (ABC) - (12345 - ABC - 12345) Current situation If this scenario is correct, we would be in the last sub-wave ABC and now see the last downward movement as sub-wave 12345. This would complete the last subordinate (ABC) wave. This scenario would be confirmed if in the next few days/weeks the SPX initiates a trend reversal to the downside. We already see a weaker SPX struggling to pump above the yellow highlighted resistance. Even if we could make it above this, it would have to be retested first and thus hold above resistance. We now expect the SPX to either make another small breakout to the upside before correcting back down, or for the SPX to correct right away. Strongly changing market The market is very difficult to assess at the moment. Many economic news are affecting the markets very strongly, new political and economic changes are coming at a record pace and most investors are still afraid to lose money. Thus, this Double ZigZag scenario is one of several possible scenarios. We will post a bullish scenario in the next few days.
SP:SPXShort
by Consyder