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The Most Important Stock in U.S. Equity Markets - BoeingThe market's are being influenced by a single stock. How? Well there are linkages and arbitrage opportunities between the big Indices --> SPY, DIA, QQQ What does this mean? This means that if you can make the Dow go up, you can make the S&P go up. If you can make the S&P go up, you can make the Q's go up and vice versa. Can you give me an example? Sure, the fact that there are high frequency shops that capitalize on this is enough for me, but I'll do better; How about the fact that you never see a day where the S&P is up 1% and the QQQ or Dow is down 1%? Next: Structure of how the Dow is priced. It's different than the S&P and QQQ, these are both market-cap weighted. DIA is Price weighted. Boeing is a monstrosity inside of the Dow. It's a $425 stock. The next biggest is UNH @$267, MMM @$209, GS @$196 It's all about Boeing. Why Boeing? (I have to give credit to DataTrek for coming up with this research and all of the tremendous data they come out with:) - Boeing is up 31% YTD and 45% from it's lows. It's low in December was 58 days ago. 45% in 58 Days - Boeing is 11% of the Dow - Boeing is 2.4x more influential than AAPL and 3.9x that of MSFT, AMZN and GOOG aren't even close > Point: Move Boeing and you can move the entire marketplace - Boeing's 10.9% weight has contributed 776 points to the Dow in 2019 - That contribution is more than the next 4 names combined - GS (225 points), IBM (177 points), UTX (157 points), HD (133 points) = 692 points - These 5 names are responsible for 56% of the Dow's gains YTD. > Point: Boeing is directly responsible for 30% of the Dow's gains YTD. > Bigger Point: BA is the most influential stock in the marketplace. If you can move the Dow you can move the S&P's. SPY is up 8% YTD. It's up 19.11% from it's low on Dec 24th @ $234.34 + $44.8 (in 58 days) Why does this concern me? Well there's net outflows in the SPY YTD. I think smart money is potentially selling into this move and covering it up by driving order flow into one stock. ETF Fund Flows; www.etf.com My max upside on Boeing is $454. Have a wonderful weekend everyone and best of luck to ya next week gentlemen - RH
NYSE:BA
by RHTrading
7
BULLISH SECTOR! HUGE CONTRACTS! BUYOUT COMING!KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS This is a rare opportunity to get in on the ground floor of a potentially MASSIVE run to between $20 and $30 a share especially with all the turmoil in the world combined with a massive multi-billion dollar increase in Military Spending by this administration. KTOS, within the last few months, has landed gigantic contracts, one of the contracts could fetch the company upwards of $10 BILLION in equipment/service revenue. Investors Business Daily ranks KTOS extremely HIGH: E.P.S: 76 (Anywhere between 75 to 99 is a solid company/e.p.s rating) Group RS Rating: A- Accumulation/Distribution Rating: B+ Composite Rating: 89 Timeliness Rating: A Institutional Ownership: 90.86% On 12/06/2018, just 11 days ago, a buyout rumor hit the wires and the stock spiked. Since that rumor, the stock has settled back down. This company CANNOT and we think WILL NOT last by itself without being purchased by another larger company. Our contact on Wall Street tells us talks are ongoing for a full takeover at between $20 and $25 a share. Go back and look at the recent contracts and the value of them within the last few months, you will be amazed. We finished adding to our large position today. 2.5 Million Shares Long Average Cost: $12.44 THE STOCK IS A BARGAIN AT CURRENT LEVELS!
NASDAQ:KTOSLong
by UnknownUnicorn3159981
2
Dow Stock Boeing (BA)This is a brief look at some support and resistances on the dow - ( I am not paying any attention to fundamentals or earnings recently - ( nike beat earning broke away and fell again i think the same principles apply) - i will look into fundamentals at a later point and add it in BA , Has had a very good run since 08, so there is very little volume at the higher levels , I can not see and clear points where support should be found except near the 120s- 140s, I have taken the % lost in 08 and applied it to the top that we have right now. Pink is daily lines Red is weekly lines
NYSE:BA
by L-Lawliet
Dow Stock Boeing (BA)This is a brief look at some support and resistances on the dow - ( I am not paying any attention to fundamentals or earnings recently - ( nike beat earning broke away and fell again i think the same principles apply) - i will look into fundamentals at a later point and add it in BA , Has had a very good run since 08, so there is very little volume at the higher levels , I can not see and clear points where support should be found except near the 120s- 140s, I have taken the % lost in 08 and applied it to the top that we have right now.
NYSE:BA
by L-Lawliet
BA Top reachedThis is a stock I was hoping to see a bullish rally emerge in but it now looks like the opposite is suggested. The yellow line was a long 11 month consolidation period that now looks like we may not see a confirmation. (still possible but not in the next month). More likely however, I believe this stock will go down. Monthly stochastic showing a crossover and slight divergence indicating a potential reversal. MACD crossing over too. RSI has indicated oversold for about a year and a half. Price has stayed below the upper Bollinger for the first month since it was above from Mar 2017 to May 2018.
NYSE:BAShort
by Trade_Integrity
Not Yet Oversold But Stock Market Makes An Important LowAT40 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 24.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new 32-month low) VIX = 22.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The technical damage continues in the stock market. Amid all the carnage and massive gap downs, I am surprised AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) is still above the threshold for oversold trading conditions (20%). My favorite technical indicator closed at 23.4%. In the last oversold period, T2108 closed as low as 9.7%. {AT40 (T2108) lost 6 percentage points and closed just above oversold territory.} While the stock market is not technically oversold, AT200 (T2107), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs, closed below its lows from October. AT200 hit a new 32-month low and a new extreme (note that AT200 dropped to the single digits during the early 2016 sell-off). This important low means that money managers are once again looking at broad damage in their portfolios. A large share of those stocks are trading in bearish territory and look like sells into the next rally. AT200’s return to these levels confirms the lasting technical damage slamming the stock market. {AT200 (T2107) sliced right through the closing lows of October as technical damage spreads again in the stock market.} The charts of the major indices say plenty. The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 1.8% and closed exactly at the October low and the low of the last oversold cycle. The index is down 1.2% year-to-date. The NASDAQ lost 1.7% to close at a 7-month low and is now flat year-to-date. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) lost 1.8% to close at its own 7-month low. QQQ is still UP 2.2% year-to-date. {The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 1.8% on the worst gap down of the past 6 weeks of weakness. An attempted gap fill was beaten back down by sellers.} {The NASDAQ lost 1.7% on a gap down that established a worse level of weakness for the tech-laden index.} {The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) lost 1.8% on a bearish gap down and a successful fade of an attempted gap fill.} The volatility index, the VIX gained 11.8% to close at 22.5. The VIX surprisingly is not already back to its highs from the previous oversold periods. If someone told me about the large gap downs the market experienced on the day, I would have assumed the VIX was soaring right past the previous highs. {The volatility index, the VIX, is on the rise again and is right back to elevated levels (above 20).} The Australian dollar (FXA) versus the Japanese yen (FXY) is, surprisingly, nowhere near its recent low. Combined with AT40 versus AT200 and the VIX, this positioning tempts me to think that the stock market is near a low for this latest selling cycle. Note that part of the lift is coming from recent bullish economic news. {AUD/JPY is clinging to its 200DMA and is still well off its recent lows.} The stock market is in desperate need of positive catalysts to break out of this cycle of selling. While the relative gulf between AT200 on one side and AT40 and the VIX on the other side looks like a potential kind of bullish divergence, I am keeping the short-term trading call at neutral. I downgraded all the way from bullish to neutral because of the 200DMA breakdown for the S&P 500. Today’s selling just confirmed that trading call. I am assuming the healing process for this technical damage needs to happen in oversold territory. By trading rule, I will flip back to bullish if AT40 drops below 20%.
SP:SPX
by drduru