CHINA BIG DIP analysis + TENCENT (e-commerce, fintech, gaming)Hello Traders, Investors and Speculants :),
You probably heard about Tencent holdings investment group.: These days you can hear some Fundamental analysis about Naspers / Prosus tranfer (spin-off) from South Africa exchange to Amsterdam.
Many super-investors (value investors) like Guy Spier / Mohnish Pabrai are most likely increasing their position in Tencent directly or via Prosus shares.
++ others are buying CHina stocks // Charlie Munger = BABA, Ray Dalio increasing positions, Nitin Saigal fully invested in China ...).
So Why would you need another analysis if they are alredy buying?
This thread will be purely my opinion about oportunity for Buying into Tencent and many China located gigants + why I think, we are near the temporary bottom of correction = of Wave A !!
If you look at biggest China companies, almost all of them reached All-Time-High from November 2020 till February 2020 = Potential TOP of China growth-tech bubble.
(this time it could be e-commerce, finTech, Gaming companies + Crypto of course...)
Lets take a look at few of them, this thread will continue in comments so stay tuned.
TENCENT as one of biggest Chinese companies (acting more like ETF based on around 700 holdings).
AliBABA
KWEB - China internet ETF
MEITUAN (Btw biggest Tencent position)
SEA Limited:
NIO:
Whats interesting even some Non-China Fintech companies reached their ATH around this time like StoneCo (Brazil).:
SOuth America - Mercado Libre - MELI:
While in the US, Covid related restrictions and fear of investors was probably slightly delayed by several Months:
is still near thSPX, AMZN, and other FAANG ggants are still near ATHs, some of the FinTech and e-commerce companies start to fall.
PAYPAL:
SQuare:
Conclusion + Investment Thesis:
1) Be very carefull with catching the falling knife. Wait for pure Buy signals and signals of reversal at least at 3D/1W charts. Also consider buying only with very good RRRatio + clear setup.
2) China could be very good oportunity for short term BUY-LONG setups when you will be able to count all subwaves of Wave A but still be very carefull. (Around 1-3 months from now).
3) US and western - world conutries will probably continue to fall in dozens of % DOWN. (US is delayed, it could take around 3-6 months to reach bottom and point of maximum fear of retail and small VC investors.)
Patience folks, patience.
BABA
Chinese Stock sinking ..!I believe this process will not end soon, do not try to catch a falling Chinese knife..!
Charlie Munger has tried this with BABA and I do not think he is happy with his decision!
Consider this:
What would happen if China and Taiwan situation escalate..!
Best,
Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Alibaba (NYSE: $BABA) Prints New 52-Week Low Pre-Market! 💯Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company operates Taobao Marketplace, a social commerce platform; Tmall, a third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; and Tmall Global and Kaola, which are import e-commerce platforms. It also operates Lingshoutong that connects FMCG manufacturers and their distributors to small retailers; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, the company offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, it provides elastic computing, database, storage, virtualization network, large-scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, machine learning platform, and Internet of Things services. Additionally, the company operates Youku, an online video platform; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency app; and Tmall Genie, an AI-enabled smart speaker. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Short Term Long; Long term ShortIt's clear Baba's RSI on the weekly is forming a base, as well as coming into a long term support trend. When the overwhelming majority are looking short/bearish the scales then tilt and no one is left to sell and only buyer are left to drive up price action. Short term accumulation zone is $75-95, buying long term LEAPS for March 2023. Not financial advise; short term if Baba establishes a minor trend change it will likely run. Keep in mind it will not be out of the woods until we clear $180-200, at which point the fib retract will favor a symmetrical triangle over the potential descending triangle currently being formed.
Conclusion: Baba's chart has a lot of work to do before it can change the long term trends, however sentiment is overwhelmingly negative regarding sentiments that do not affect the companies fundamentals. I see a great entree level at present moment with take profits at $125 & 150
Trust the charts and ignore the media FUD, price actions is king! GLHF!!
Shopping at GAPs..!These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings!
Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position.
but
Is it really good to do that?
My simple answer to this question is:
No
Why?
Look at these examples in the past few months:
FB:
DOCU:
PYPL:
F:
ZM:
PINS:
WISH:
UPST:
BABA:
I hope you are convinced by now..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
baba?baba dead.
confirmed wave 3 impulse going down
impulse down means a larger correction is at play
this is my projection going forward
not sure how long it'll take to play out, but this downward channel has held confluence quite nicely for the duration of this dip ~
wave A target = $109
wave B target = $187~$212
wave C target = $70~$80
once this correction is over, baba will have a massive run - i'll update this post once the larger correction is over ~
BABA Good Entry ZoneEntry: 103-105
Stop loss: closing below 100
Reward/Risk: 3
Target range: 120
Time Frame: 2-4 wks
Possible gain: 15%
Possible loss: 5%
Position size: 5 % of trading capital
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BABA: Spring has emerged?Based on wyckoff accumulation pattern I believe BABA is at Phase C where a sharper price fall will provide a final shakeout of weak hands before providing the spring to reversal.
HKEX has finally reached down to long term support.
Purple line has provided support since the 1990s
A closer look at weekly chart -- will support hold?
ALIBABA , is gonna ready for end this correction eventually ?A three-wave ascent and then a diagonal drop indicate that we are in a larger scale in a triangle or structure.
+ Personally, my entry strategy is wait for the conflict and corrections of the indexes to end and see a confirmation of the end of the downtrend, and I confidently enter with a heavy volume ... because it has good conditions for entry !
+The analysis is based on the fact that the United States reached a trade agreement with China to prevent its enemies from uniting.
Alibaba Group Holdings (NYSE: $BABA) Back At 2014 Prices! 🤑Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company operates Taobao Marketplace, a social commerce platform; Tmall, a third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; and Tmall Global and Kaola, which are import e-commerce platforms. It also operates Lingshoutong that connects FMCG manufacturers and their distributors to small retailers; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, the company offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, it provides elastic computing, database, storage, virtualization network, large-scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, machine learning platform, and Internet of Things services. Additionally, the company operates Youku, an online video platform; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency app; and Tmall Genie, an AI-enabled smart speaker. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
BABA Lowest Growth on Record !!If you haven`t sold BABA here, when i warned you about the additional American depositary share registration in the U.S. that was translated by Citigroup`s analysts as SoftBank Group intention to sell part of its stake.
Softbank was a pre-initial public offering investor in BABA, owning 5.39 billion ordinary Alibaba shares, or a 24.8% stake.
Then you should know that Alibaba had the Lowest Growth on Record. Sales rose 9.7% in Q4, below the 40%-plus growth that was common. consumer spending slows and competition intensifies.
Net income tumbled 74% to $3.2 billion.
And probably Softbank sells an important stake in it.
I`m curious what is Charlie Munger`s conviction buy opinion on BABA now.
My price target is the Dec 2016 level of $86.
$MSFT $BA $BABA $BTCUSD I OptionsSwing WatchlistMSFT 1D I We have a possible head and shoulder pattern in formation on the daily chart for MSFT. The neckline is near $280, a break below can take us to $260.
BA 1D I Just as we expected we saw BA retrace to our $205-$210 support level. Overall, it is showing strength relative to the market, indicating the bull flag might break.
BABA 4H I Currently down more than 60% from ATH. We have a possible ascending triangle on BABA leading into earnings. BABA reports earnings on 02/24 pre-market.
BTCUSD 1D I Just as we mentioned last week we were expectinga pullback on BTC to near $38K. Now we want to see it hold above this level and make a higher low.
Alibaba Analysis 15.02.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
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$BABA AliBABA ending correction preparing for monstrous move$BABA preparing to complete major correction & start its first leg of grand super cycle (III).
A sleeping giant and the real Amazon-killer getting ready to wakeup.
Should find support ~$100 area.
Charlie Munger LOADED up on BABA stocks, and U should too
NFA . DYOR.
Just sharing ideas. Feel free to leave comments, hit like to show support and if you manage to hit targets from these ideas, please let us know.
Tips are always welcomed :)
Thank you for viewing, sharing and safe trading to you all!