$BABA 1H GapFill to the downside$BABA 1H GapFill to the downside
Potential to hit 95.80 again. See my second zone area as well for reference that gave my resolve.
What are your thoughts?
Thanks,
Kelly
BABA
$BABA looking for potential retracementBaba just bounced off all time low as all other China based tech companies did and most tech stocks did. Looking for it to pass the 50EMA, and then the 70EMA. If it does, it might test the 100EMA again. $Baba has not been able to close above the 100EMA since it started it downtrend from Oct 2021 last year. Let's see if that stays true once more. Potential for a short here.
BABA watcha strong green canddle with a decent might result in the end of the down trend and a begining of a new up trend . no purchace untill the upper resistance level is broken
BABA looking to drop again. BABAWe have already had two successful and juicy shorts out of this collapsing company. Thank you, Jack Ma. And again, not looking confident at all for a reversal of any kind on AliBaba in the near and foreseeable future. Even if this is a potentially viable company, the stock price is rarely ever tied to this. Examples are ample in today's market.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
$BABA Analysis, Key Levels and targets… $BABA Analysis, Key Levels and targets…
at 57.20... I'm all in... 💃🏻( 1%)
BABA - Iron Condor Time!!!-Nice Sideways movements on BABA been captured these past couple weeks.
-Amazing profits been made on Condors, this is our suggested price range for another position.
-In overall we are pretty bearish on Chinese companies due to rising Covid cases and Continuous governmental regulations and crackdowns. But short-term, bullishness is to be expected as U.S market rebounds
BABA searching for longs we can see BABA bottomed. We can see highest volume since 2015 listing with huge reversal candle. I personally looking for longs
ALIBABA - Long PositionAlibaba (BABA) China-based stocks listed in the U.S. are staging strong rallies in premarket trading, helped by state media reports that the Chinese government will take steps to support the markets and the economy, and that the U.S. and China are progressing toward an agreement on regulatory requirements for those companies. Alibaba up 19.2%
Alibaba group holdings - BuyAfter the big fall since October 2020, the stock could have found a bottom at 73.17, as evidenced by the island reversal candlestick pattern, that was confirmed by an increase in volume with the second gap. Go long with a stop below the 73.17 low for a rebound towards at least 130.00/140.00
BABA Price TargetThe Price Target for BABA Alibaba is $135.
All the Chinese stocks are primed for a strong recovery after China`s top administrative authority said it would work to stabilize the stock market and boost economic growth!
Traders are expecting the Chinese government would support the stock market like the FED did in the US.
Alibaba (NYSE: $BABA) Begins Reversal Of Downtrend! ◀️Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company operates Taobao Marketplace, a social commerce platform; Tmall, a third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; and Tmall Global and Kaola, which are import e-commerce platforms. It also operates Lingshoutong that connects FMCG manufacturers and their distributors to small retailers; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, the company offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, it provides elastic computing, database, storage, virtualization network, large-scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, machine learning platform, and Internet of Things services. Additionally, the company operates Youku, an online video platform; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency app; and Tmall Genie, an AI-enabled smart speaker. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Alibaba Weekly Elliot Waves AnalysisBABA is currently in Wave 5. I believe BABA Wave 5 will be an ABC correction. With that being said, I expect a relief pump (wave B) to happen which will last for 1-2 weeks before we continue dumping. I have buy orders set for $85/$86 and at worse, $58. $100 support looks weak based on the lower Fibonacci targets. Be diligent with this one!
(Side Note: Wave 1 was also an ABC correction which is why the last wave will be similar to the first.)
You can learn more about this analysis by researching ABC corrections and Zigzags. Thank you!
640 Billion Dollar turned into ashes..!The collapse of BABA is twice as big as Evergrande's 300 Billion dollars debt crisis..!
I believe no one could imagine BABA at 73 dollars a share, but it happened!
Recommendation at these prices is really hard..!
If you hold these could be the risks:
- Chinese stock delist from US market
- Further decline to 58 or lower
So adding to your position when all the gains in the past years washed out 3 times faster does not make sense either..!
BABA's Downtrend is one of the strongest I have ever seen among Ultra big Caps..!
BABA / USD It looks like they are selling shares listed on the U.S. stock exchanges to re-buy them on the Hong Kong exchange.
So far I see two ways of developing the scenario. Depending on when we reach our goal, I will publish a sequel.
CHINA BIG DIP analysis + TENCENT (e-commerce, fintech, gaming)Hello Traders, Investors and Speculants :),
You probably heard about Tencent holdings investment group.: These days you can hear some Fundamental analysis about Naspers / Prosus tranfer (spin-off) from South Africa exchange to Amsterdam.
Many super-investors (value investors) like Guy Spier / Mohnish Pabrai are most likely increasing their position in Tencent directly or via Prosus shares.
++ others are buying CHina stocks // Charlie Munger = BABA, Ray Dalio increasing positions, Nitin Saigal fully invested in China ...).
So Why would you need another analysis if they are alredy buying?
This thread will be purely my opinion about oportunity for Buying into Tencent and many China located gigants + why I think, we are near the temporary bottom of correction = of Wave A !!
If you look at biggest China companies, almost all of them reached All-Time-High from November 2020 till February 2020 = Potential TOP of China growth-tech bubble.
(this time it could be e-commerce, finTech, Gaming companies + Crypto of course...)
Lets take a look at few of them, this thread will continue in comments so stay tuned.
TENCENT as one of biggest Chinese companies (acting more like ETF based on around 700 holdings).
AliBABA
KWEB - China internet ETF
MEITUAN (Btw biggest Tencent position)
SEA Limited:
NIO:
Whats interesting even some Non-China Fintech companies reached their ATH around this time like StoneCo (Brazil).:
SOuth America - Mercado Libre - MELI:
While in the US, Covid related restrictions and fear of investors was probably slightly delayed by several Months:
is still near thSPX, AMZN, and other FAANG ggants are still near ATHs, some of the FinTech and e-commerce companies start to fall.
PAYPAL:
SQuare:
Conclusion + Investment Thesis:
1) Be very carefull with catching the falling knife. Wait for pure Buy signals and signals of reversal at least at 3D/1W charts. Also consider buying only with very good RRRatio + clear setup.
2) China could be very good oportunity for short term BUY-LONG setups when you will be able to count all subwaves of Wave A but still be very carefull. (Around 1-3 months from now).
3) US and western - world conutries will probably continue to fall in dozens of % DOWN. (US is delayed, it could take around 3-6 months to reach bottom and point of maximum fear of retail and small VC investors.)
Patience folks, patience.
Chinese Stock sinking ..!I believe this process will not end soon, do not try to catch a falling Chinese knife..!
Charlie Munger has tried this with BABA and I do not think he is happy with his decision!
Consider this:
What would happen if China and Taiwan situation escalate..!
Best,
Dr . Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Alibaba (NYSE: $BABA) Prints New 52-Week Low Pre-Market! 💯Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Core Commerce, Cloud Computing, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. The company operates Taobao Marketplace, a social commerce platform; Tmall, a third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; and Tmall Global and Kaola, which are import e-commerce platforms. It also operates Lingshoutong that connects FMCG manufacturers and their distributors to small retailers; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, the company offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, it provides elastic computing, database, storage, virtualization network, large-scale computing, security, management and application, big data analytics, machine learning platform, and Internet of Things services. Additionally, the company operates Youku, an online video platform; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency app; and Tmall Genie, an AI-enabled smart speaker. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Short Term Long; Long term ShortIt's clear Baba's RSI on the weekly is forming a base, as well as coming into a long term support trend. When the overwhelming majority are looking short/bearish the scales then tilt and no one is left to sell and only buyer are left to drive up price action. Short term accumulation zone is $75-95, buying long term LEAPS for March 2023. Not financial advise; short term if Baba establishes a minor trend change it will likely run. Keep in mind it will not be out of the woods until we clear $180-200, at which point the fib retract will favor a symmetrical triangle over the potential descending triangle currently being formed.
Conclusion: Baba's chart has a lot of work to do before it can change the long term trends, however sentiment is overwhelmingly negative regarding sentiments that do not affect the companies fundamentals. I see a great entree level at present moment with take profits at $125 & 150
Trust the charts and ignore the media FUD, price actions is king! GLHF!!
BABA Outlook - 2024Targeting on BABA value area
Reference from CNN.com | 47 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd have a
low estimate of 129.92
median target of 174.05
high estimate of 285.21
This is not a Trading Advice.
Shopping at GAPs..!These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings!
Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position.
but
Is it really good to do that?
My simple answer to this question is:
No
Why?
Look at these examples in the past few months:
FB:
DOCU:
PYPL:
F:
ZM:
PINS:
WISH:
UPST:
BABA:
I hope you are convinced by now..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
baba?baba dead.
confirmed wave 3 impulse going down
impulse down means a larger correction is at play
this is my projection going forward
not sure how long it'll take to play out, but this downward channel has held confluence quite nicely for the duration of this dip ~
wave A target = $109
wave B target = $187~$212
wave C target = $70~$80
once this correction is over, baba will have a massive run - i'll update this post once the larger correction is over ~
BABA Good Entry ZoneEntry: 103-105
Stop loss: closing below 100
Reward/Risk: 3
Target range: 120
Time Frame: 2-4 wks
Possible gain: 15%
Possible loss: 5%
Position size: 5 % of trading capital
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha M.D
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
