Alibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model LaunchAlibaba (BABA) Shares Surge Following AI Model Launch
Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba has unveiled an upgraded version of its artificial intelligence model, Qwen2.5 Max. According to the company, the model:
→ Outperforms DeepSeek, the AI model that made headlines this week, in several key areas.
→ Achieves "competitive performance compared to top-tier models," referencing OpenAI and Meta, based on benchmark tests.
The news was met with enthusiasm, driving Alibaba's (BABA) stock price up by more than 6% in a single day, pushing BABA shares to their highest level of the year.
The technical analysis of the BABA stock chart shows that stock fluctuations form reference points for constructing the Andrew’s Pitchfork pattern, while price movements along the central line (indicated by an arrow) confirm the validity of the pattern's construction.
Currently, the price:
→ Has broken above December’s high at around $94.
→ Is approaching the psychological resistance level of $100.
Whether bulls can sustain or extend these gains will largely depend on Alibaba’s Q4 earnings report, set to be released today, 29 January.
According to TipRanks:
→ 11 out of 12 analysts recommend buying BABA stock.
→ The 12-month average price target stands at $121.33.
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BABA
New ai Model QWEN 2.5 could be catalyst for BABA - Target 200Baba just released Qwen 2.5, an ai model that is rated to be as good or better as DeepSeek and Chat gpt. This might serve as an additionally revenue stream to an already cheap stock. More importantly, it can serve as a catalyst to ignite investor interest and stock demand.
Currently around 10 pe (seeking alpha data), multiple expansion and eps growth could boost BABA into the 200s or higher given a long term outlook. While the US seeks many ai stocks at high multiple of revenue and earnings, chinese stocks are way cheaper and in theory have less price risk. However, they still have geo political and currency risks.
Baba has a large cash pile. This not only makes it slightly less risky, it also serves as potential ammunition for further innovation, acquisitions, or worst case, cash returned to investors.
2000 $CSCO vs 2025 $NVDA, is the similar crash possible?🚨 Could Nvidia be the next Cisco? 🚨
In 2000, Cisco dominated networking with its own chips. But competitors used cheaper, nearly as effective chips, and the stock dropped from $82 to $8 in just 2 years. Is the same fate possible for Nvidia?
Cisco invested heavily in its IOS CLI and aggressively defended it.
Nvidia did the same with CUDA, taking action against anyone trying to make alternatives.
But now, competition is heating up.
DeepSeek and other companies could lead those who over-invested in Nvidia chips on borrowed money to offload them, flooding the second-hand market with GPUs.
Meanwhile, the Magnificent 7 might slow down orders since they already have tons of Nvidia chips stockpiled.
Just like Cisco switches were 80% off in 2001, could we see a similar scenario with Nvidia?
And let’s talk about the $2000 RTX 5090 — would you buy one today?
Nvidia has committed huge resources to TSMC for chip production. They could be facing an overstock issue, and slashing prices could hurt profit margins. 😬
We will soon know the direction it will go, next few quarters will show us all.
$BABA Falling wedge breakout on dailyNYSE:BABA falling wedge breakout confirmed with MACD signalling bullish trend.
There's volume gap just above 90 to 94 where price can move very fast.
All sentiment indicator has been very bearish lately which makes me come to conclusion that this was the bottom.
Market was positioning for TRUMP to possibly put on 60% tarrifs on china which doesn't seem to be happening now as Trump has suggested negotiations with President XI
my PT is $99 for BABA in next 3 months
BABA 150+, looking forward and here is whyGoldman Sachs Is Bullish on China’s Stimulus
I have selected BABA and want to consider buy the deep strategy and here is why.
Alibaba’s stock has occasionally been undervalued compared to its peers, offering opportunities for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price.
P/E = 11.6, which is one of my favorites ratios, when Amazons P/E higher 45 atm.
Investing in Alibaba Group can be attractive for several reasons.
First of all its still E-commerce Leadership in China. Alibaba is a dominant player in China’s massive e-commerce market (and not only in China), which has immense growth potential due to increasing internet penetration and consumer spending. Platforms like Taobao, Tmall, and Lazada position Alibaba as a market leader in both domestic and international markets.
Alibaba not just a e-commerce marketplace and Babas Cloud is the largest cloud service provider in China and one of the global leaders, competing with Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. The cloud computing segment has been growing rapidly and has significant potential for profitability and scalability.
And the last and the most significant case from BABA - they invest heavily in AI, logistics automation, fintech, and consumer analytics, keeping it at the forefront of technological advancements in its industry.
Meantime geopolitical tensions, especially, U.S.-China trade tensions and potential delisting threats and slower economic growth in China could impact on stock prices.
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Down 75%: Is a Rebound Finally Coming? 25.01.02Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
I’ve revamped my charting style to stand out from the crowd.
Let’s dive into today’s analysis, focusing on Alibaba (BABA).
Weekly Chart Overview
Chart Link:
Looking at Alibaba’s weekly chart, its history is relatively short, dating back to 2014. The price action highlights distinct supply and demand zones:
Blue and Red Boxes: These zones reflect similar supply ranges, spanning approximately $58 to $125. The price has historically oscillated within this range, providing up to 120% movements from the lows.
Orange Box: This zone formed after a breakout from previous ranges during a strong upward rally. While minor supply zones were created during the rally, the subsequent downtrend exhibited a one-way decline, consolidating the entire range into a single supply zone.
Range: $138 to $318, representing roughly 130% from the lower boundary.
Long-Term Resistance Trendline
Chart Link:
Plotting Alibaba’s long-term descending resistance trendline reveals key insights:
Recent Rejection: Alibaba encountered resistance at this trendline in late September 2024, leading to a 30% correction from its peak.
Red Box Supply Zone: The price is now trading below the weekly 20 EMA and 60 EMA, with a potential death cross forming.
Downward Potential: Should this bearish setup play out, the price could decline toward the support zone near the Yellow Box, around $75.
When to Buy Alibaba?
Chart Link:
Identifying optimal buy zones for Alibaba:
If the Price Declines Further:
First Buy Zone: Yellow Box ($75)
This zone aligns with the ascending trendline established since October 2022.
The pattern resembles a pennant, suggesting a potential rebound from this area as the trendline provides support.
Second Buy Zone: Green Box ($58)
This level represents a historical low, with prior rebounds of up to 110%.
Should the price revisit this area, it would present a strong buying opportunity.
Below $58
If the price falls below $58, the downside is highly uncertain, and further declines are unpredictable. In such a scenario, cautious observation is advised.
If the Price Rises:
First Entry: Breakout of the Red Box Resistance Trendline
Based on the current trajectory, a breakout above this descending trendline may not occur until 2026, given the prolonged consolidation phase.
Second Entry: Breakout Above $103
This level aligns with historical resistance from the Orange Box.
A breakout here could yield a potential 20% gain, targeting the upper boundary of the supply zone near $126.
Third Entry: Sustained Breakout Above $125–$138
Breaking above this range would signal a recovery, opening the door for a potential rally toward previous highs.
Conclusion
Alibaba’s stock presents a unique mix of opportunities and risks:
Bearish Outlook: The stock is currently in a downtrend, trading below key moving averages, with further declines likely if the $75 support fails.
Bullish Outlook: Strategic buy levels at $75 and $58 offer strong opportunities for long-term investors, while breakouts above $103 and $138 provide momentum-driven trade setups.
Patience is key when navigating Alibaba’s volatile price action. Let’s trade smart and stay prepared for both opportunities and risks. 🚀
From halt to halt up to +800%!DRCT started the day at $0.55 and mostly just traded each 1min candlestick a few moments befor it got halted again, it continued that until it moved from $0.55 to $5.00 doing +800% upside on massive 50 million shares traded. We mentioned it inside our trading chatroom when it crossed $1 early in the morning.
Then this move triggered other halt-to-halt similar stocks like CHEK which went $0.59 to $3.04 and SLGL which went $0.42 to $1.39 (currently at new high halt)
Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels.
Current Price Levels:
NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82.
A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment.
RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery.
Technical Levels:
Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones:
Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18.
Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high).
Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance.
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move.
Feedback and Outlook:
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside.
Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds.
Gaps to Be Filled:
If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance.
Outlook:
Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29.
Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible.
Final Thoughts:
The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal.
Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment.
Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk.
As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $80, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba: Turning PointBABA was pulled down further last week. According to our primary scenario, it should now be in the final stages of the blue wave (a). As soon as the low is reached, we expect a (corrective) rise in the form of blue wave (b) before a further sell-off completes the magenta-colored wave (ii). Only with the correction low underfoot should the same-colored wave (iii) then drive the price above the resistance at $117.79.
3 Stocks in ACCUMULATION Phase | STOCKS | BABA, HOOD, PYPLIf you have patience, stock trading can be very rewarding.
Something a little different today - SOCKS ! 🧦 These are my top 3 picks for stocks at the moments - for the sake of duration, we'll look at 3 per video.
What I look for in stocks, is longer term holds. Ideally they must be in accumulation phase, or have just broken out of my ideal buy zone.
_____________________
NYSE:BABA NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:PYPL
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential!🚀 NYSE:BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential! 🚀
🔍 Key Points:
Looking for a bounce after retesting the symmetrical triangle breakout
Awaiting the H5 Indicator to flip green for a bullish signal
Crucial to hold the volume profile shelf for continued upward momentum
Target Prices:
🎯 $107
🎯 $134
MM 🎯 $157
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide.
On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending.
But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday.
Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020.
The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday
On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China.
In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month.
In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China.
In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020.
Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based.
Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.