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BABA

BABAAlibaba is in the correction phase. After having broken the support line, we are correcting Fibo. In search of 61.80% and we still have 78.6% that is at 84 dollars. Now just expect a very visible figure or strong reversal pattern! DISCLAIMER: Please note that my studies portray my personal opinion only and should be considered for educational purposes only. They should not be considered as a recommendation to buy or sell an asset! I am not responsible for any damages to your capital. Your capital is at risk in the equity market.
NYSE:BABALong
by DuhNT
BABA has more downside leftPeople who are referring to Charlie Munger , Ray Dalio and other Gurus taking positions in Baba, prove again and again that we are retail herds. You know their positions for last quarter after 13F filings does anyone know their short positions and Option Strategies. TV Media / Youtube Videos and other blogs keep spreading the narrative about Baba is available at great valuation and the herd follows the Fundamentals and Shmundamentals. Its happened in the past and it will keep happening but the way the herd will be played will be different. Looking at the Technical , there are 2 areas where the price can bounce, around $110 and then around mid 80s. Till then I don't see Bulling Divergences, Not much Volume , and no strong Bulling Patterns. At Smaller Time Frames like the 1 Hr, there is a bullish pattern forming, but it will not last due to strong Downward trend on the Daily. There is a chance of another downtrend around Feb earnings season. Then Sideways Consolidation till Aug-Sept 2022.
NYSE:BABAShort
by Swaraj6688
BABA - time for a shiftShift has come - from this moment on, BABA will start it's rise (my prognosis). The reason for this assumption is the very positive PE ratio, which was not hurt by the price fall. BABA seems very healthy financially, as if it was buying out own stocks during the fall. So my guess is that those who will still the opportunity to get the stocks for 130$, will catch the last train upwards. I personally doubt that it will really reach the 130$ already, but since there is there are still 2 days till the weekend, it may have enough time to bounce.
NYSE:BABA
by inducto
2
Is it time to invest in China?KWEB is a China technology based ETF. Top 10 holdings by weight: Tencent Holdings ~ 10.62% Alibaba Group Holding ~ 10.32% JD.com ~ 7.21% Meituan ~ 6.99% Pinduoduo Inc ~ 6.97% NetEase Inc ~ 4.71% Baidu Inc ~ 4.27% Bilibili Inc ~ 3.83% Trip.com Group ~ 3.82% JD Health International ~ 3.32% Fundamental Analysis China’s stock market pullback this year has been in line with the average annual drawdown (approximately 30%); historically, this volatility has tended to produce double-digit annualized gains. In terms of seasonality, over the past 20 years, October has been amongst the strongest months for the Chinese stock market. Technical Analysis The 50sma has been tested as resistance 3 times before. A breakout above the 50sma could signal a significant change in trend. The RSI has shown a positive divergence, as the last three times, we tested the horizontal line (blue arrow), in each case RSI is showing higher lows.
AMEX:KWEBLong
by dorfmanmaster
4
JD - ARC ENDING - UP OR DOWN?All, JD looks like it's going to make a pretty sizeable move here. My honest guess is the downside. With that said I don't think they are a bad company by any means. Decent earnings etc. I just don't see the traffic/high level interest to really keep the momentum up. That being said I always plot both theories up and down so of course do your own DD. Like most of these plays I would do 1:1 puts/calls and drop the other when you have conformation.
NASDAQ:JDShort
by DigitalData
1
✅ALIBABA LOCAL LONG/PORTFOLIO ADDITION🚀 ✅ALIBABA is trading in a downtrend Following the company's falling out of favor With the Chinese Government And fueled further by the Coming Evergrande collapse That will drag China down with it Today, the stock gapped and fell even lower On the earnings news However, a massive support level is ahead At around 128$ per share, and I think This might be a great local long With the upside limited by the falling resistance Also, with the stock trading with 60% discount It might be a good place to start adding BABA to your long term portfolio As it is clear that whatever economic storm is coming Alibaba will be the one candidate to survive it LONG🚀 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
NYSE:BABALong
by ProSignalsFx
11
AliBABA dropping in momentum. BABAWe are likely to lose even more ground on this one. It's quite a classical picture: zigzag, upgoing zigzag to resume in more zigzag. I am oversimplifying things ofcourse here. Taking conservative goals here, as we have dropped a significant amount on his one and have been doing so for a significant amount of time also. We do not know why, but continue to observe that any market follows rules of fractal action with a series of cohesive collapsing and expanding, repeating patterns. We use this principle in market analysis and this is by far the most effective approach that we know of. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
NYSE:BABAShort
by Rykin_Capital
LONG BABA:TRADE OF THE CENTURYLong baba 1@140 & double down limits at 2x130, 4x88 and 8x58. Possible to hedge with LONG $55 baba put LEAP hedging 5-10% of ur stonk notional. Also possible to participate in the downside between 140-130 and 130-90 and 90 to 60. these key bear 'breakout' levels smart buyers may want to structure option exposure around and between to take alpha out on the downside. this is trade of the century - trade time is 12-36m with target of 300-500 depending on ur duration preference. why? baba is at MACRO supp level at 130-140. bears will NOT take this lvl. institutional flows are BIG long. goldman, ray dalio, charlie munger, hsbc have ALL doubled down and MAX longed this baba dip (they have opertaions in china & relationship with government hence baba risk is over played. short interest remains low at 2%
NYSE:BABALong
by QuantumLogicTrading
14
BABA - It's getting hotterBABA has broken through the major resistance level of 144$/sh, and it seems that next week it might touch the next resistance level at 136$/sh. There should be quite many people who entered the market at the level of 160-170$/sh, while surely there also enough people who entered the stock at much higher levels, and now might be panicking. The lower it gets, the better it is eventually, because BABA has no debts and with nearly 1B of users, as one of major representatives of Chinese market, cannot just go bankrupt. Considering mentioned above, those who entered the stock too high, will need to compensate their losses, by acquiring even more stocks, to balance the average purchase price. The major question now is, at which level shall we expect to enter the compensating portion - at 140$ or will it eventually get as low as 136$ or even 125$. Please share your ideas in comments.
NYSE:BABAShort
by inducto
Alibaba - traders losing patience in a tough marketIn an environment where companies like Nvidia and Microsoft are doing everything right, Alibaba (BABA) seems to be headed in the opposite direction. Granted, the investment cases are vastly different, but when you’re hot you’re hot and when you’re not the negative news is heard far more frequently. When trading it often pays to follow the flow of capital, and in this case, momentum seems to be the best strategy. Buying strong, selling weak can be beneficial to balance the odds in one’s favour. BABA is in this camp where bad news has followed the trend lower. Given the slowdown in China’s retail sales and consumption data it's perhaps not a huge surprise that Q2 22 total revenue missed consensus expectations by around 3%. Granted, total revenues did grow 29% YoY but expectations had already been lowered into this earnings report, so the bar to beat was quite low. In this market, investors are drawn to companies that are consistently beating expectations. BABA isn’t one of them…at least at this stage. CMR (Customer management revenue) and commission revenue growth of 3% missed consensus, but this was largely a result of soft gross merchandise volume (GMV), which of course is linked to China’s macro backdrop and economic trends. If the share price is going to reverse and trend higher, we need to see signs of consumption picking up. At this stage, the view is we see CMR growing a modest 4-5% in 2H22. With all these factors at play, perhaps the most pertinent point was that BABA revised its FY2022 revenue guidance to +20-23% YoY, which implies sales will be between Rmb860b-882b - well below consensus expectations of Rmb910. So, while there were aspects in the numbers to like, on the whole, this was a very disappointing result and the market dumped the stock hard, closing -11.1% - the biggest 1 day fall this year and the second-biggest decline since listing. Volume was also large, with 61.57m shares traded, over three times the 15-day average. It feels likely that in the session ahead we should see another day of solid volumes, and generally speaking, if I was going to buy this pullback with any real belief, I’d like a couple of days of falling volumes to know the liquidation is done. Technically, there is not much to inspire the bulls with BABA trading through the 50-day MA and into $141.89, before finding support ahead of the October lows of $138.43. If we see a closing lower low and I’d expect short selling activity to pick up with the stock targeting $118. BABA is fundamentally cheap Fundamentally we could argue that even after this downgrade that BABA is trading at a compelling valuation – at 2.29x price to 2022 sales, or 13.9x 2022 earnings one can understand why 55/60 analysts who cover BABA have a ‘buy’ rating on the stock – most would argue this valuation is not representative of the value in its cloud and international business. BABA’s core commerce business does account for half of the valuation though, and as mentioned, if the stock is going to turn around and head to $228 (the consensus 12-month price target) we’re going to need to see the macro picture in China turn around, consumption to kick up and some of the huge investments made by BABA start to feed into the bottom line. What will traders potentially do? For now, we may say this is fundamentally cheap, but with the stock likely in the doghouse in the near term, until we see evidence of a turnaround the trading capital will likely sell rallies into $161.13 (to close the gap) or go outright short on a closing break of $138.43.
NYSE:BABAShort
by Pepperstone
2
Is Alibaba era over ? I think not !So, Alibaba missed its earnings and profits ? It's one day revenue on Singles day already raked in US$84.54 billion compared to its 31.4 billion revenue for the quarter. Combine Black Friday and Cyber Monday, Amazon's sales pale in comparison with Alibaba. Not forgetting, it's cloud computing business is growing leaps and bounds, 33% to be exact YOY to 20 billion revenue. Yes, it is true that Alibaba cloud business is still within its domestic market and is still far behind Amazon's over 30% global dominance in the cloud space. The 2nd biggest global player is Microsoft so looks like Alibaba has lots of catch up to do in this space. Yes, the Central government moves is hard to predict and nobody knows for certain if this current price has hit the bottom. But as long term investors, we buy into the growth story of the company and not let short term fluctuations affect us too much. Here, we understand clearly that Amazon has admitted defeat to Alibaba and other local players in the e-commerce space in China. Think Ebay, Walmart.... the fate is all the same (can you see the pattern). Just because they do well in US or Europe, it does not mean they can thrive or survive in China. They have not done extensive research to understand the Chinese buyers. E-commerce is 2 dimensional as they said and live commerce which has taken the retail scene to a whole new level in China is raking in explosive sales. Read this article . So, I will be adding more shares here with this 11% discount from Mr Market. Remember, Mr Market is irrational and can remain so for a long time. Just look at the crypto market and you will know.
HKEX:9988Long
by dchua1969
3