Baba going down the waterfall. BABAAgain, a large cap has recently pivoted and had started to draw zigzags heading down in due course. Is this a canary in the coalmine?
Fibonacci goals are in green, and invalidation is in red. We know of no more powerful tool in analyzing the markets other than NeoWave / Elliott Wave theory when correctly combined with a few tools in out belt. Make sure to remember that this is not financial advice, and we never give financial advice on this channel. It is your job to create or seek out your own. Good luck out there and be smart!
BABA
Next support level???130 could be the next support level for the biggest Chinese company in the market!
While everyone talks about the 300 Billion dollars problem of Evergrande, No one pays attention to a 1.5x bigger problem of BABA.
If you are looking at the fundamental of BABA it could be the most undervalued stock in the market but systematic risk push it lower and lower every day!
220-230 is the fair value for BABA according to fundamentalists, but it seems in the near future BABA will not pay attention to these numbers!
We will wait and see, but its rebound should not be missed. Shorting BABA at these prices is not recommended..!
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist nor a CPA nor an accountant nor a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
$BABA $ROKU $HOOD $PSFE I OptionsSwing WatchlistHOOD 2H I Has an average price target of $55. Its still trading within a falling wedge. We have a bullish divergence on the RSI and saw bounce near our support at $40.
PSFE 1D I PaySafe has an average price target of $14, or a 65% upside from here. We are seeing a possible double bottom near $8 and a bullish divergence on the RSI.
ROKU 4H I ROKU is down 30%+ from recent highs and we have a bullish divergence on the RSI on the 4H chart. Watching ROKU on a breakout from the downtrend.
BABA 1D I BABA is down 50% from ATH levels reached back in October 2020. We are seeing a double bottom near $160 and a bullish divergence on the RSI.
Technical Analysis Of 15 Stocks!Hi,
Again, I would like to liquidate my old debts considering stocks analysis. At the time, there was relatively little interest in mentioning your favorite stocks, it was quite impossible to make a solid "top" of that. I solved it that way, I put in this idea some stocks you mentioned here that were at least worth analyzing and some of the choices that I am currently interested in.
You should find some ideas on what to look for, lots of stocks from different sectors so, pick it or skip it:
1) AMD - Advanced Micro Devices
2) AAPL - Apple
3) BABA - Alibaba Group Holdings
4) RYA - Ryanair
5) LUV - Southwest Airlines
6) MCFE - McAfee
7) IBM - International Business Machines
8) NOBI - Nobia AB
9) PENN - Penn National Gaming
10) EA - Electronic Arts
11) TCEHY - Tencent
12) TTWO - Take-Two Interactive Software
13) STX - Seagate Technology
14) GM - General Motors
15) STNE - StoneCo
Hopefully, you found something interesting to go deeper about your research. Definitely do your own research, don't follow blindly!
Also, you can share your stock (ONE) in the comments and if I saw something there I can replay it!
Regards,
Vaido
BABA and a potential double BottomBABA reached the same price level at a very lower volume.
Harmonic:
Market Cap: 425 B
Shares Outstanding: 2.7B
Average Trading Volume (10 days): 21M
Shares Short: 49.8M
Short Interest(%): 1.82%
Days to cover: 2.2
Change in Short Interest:+8%
Ownership Breakdown:
Institutions:
General Public:
Hedge Funds:
Individual insiders:
Sum:
Option profile:
Total OI:
Put Call Ratio: 0.67
Put OI: 397k
Call OI: 534 K
Highest Put:220
Highest Call:200
Max Pain: 190
Open Int (30-Day): 3.95 M
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist nor a CPA nor an accountant nor a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
BABA Daily TimeframeSNIPER STRATEGY
This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts
Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading.
It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you huge part of the wave.
The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes.
Start believing in this strategy because it will reward believers with huge profit.
There is a lot more about this strategy.
It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot.
I am developing it even more so stay tuned and start to follow me for more signals and forecasts.
Win Big and Lose Small storyAugust 2021, was one of the best months for me.
While Major indexes (NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones, Russell 2000) gained between 1.5-4 %, I had 8 analyses with a 10-73% gain in one month, those which hit stop loss made 1- 4% loss..!
I also trade BABA option twice and close them with +180 and 100% profits..! and had 2 unsuccessfull trade with -30% loss
(use 3% of my capital for each trade)
I publish this review to talk about one of the most important habits(strategies) in trading.
Novice Trader Story:
Season 1: In the middle of a bullish market, FOMO: Fear of Missing Out
Episode 1: Before Trading Journey Started
Many people and friends share their experience of making profits trading cryptos and stocks on their social media, why should not I give it a try???
Episode 2: Trading Journey Started
Opening the trading account, installing the app, transferring the money, and the gate of a multi-trillion dollars world are open now!
Episode 3: Pushing the first buy button
Welcome to the journey of trading, a journey full of adrenaline for novice traders!
Episode 4: Making the first profit
It feels like I am the wolf of wall street!
Those who entered the market after March 20, 2020, think making money in the market is the easiest thing in the world.
From a statistical point of view, it is very unlikely to made loss between March 2020 and February 2021.
Episode 5: Market become less inefficient
In a trended market (inefficient market) most tickers are positive on most of the trading days..! so making money is more probable than loosing it even for novice traders!
Problems start when corrections start, novice traders start changing their positions to find the bullish tickers that gave them the same good feeling.
They do not know market behaves in cyclical patterns and they experience multiple corrections by chasing for the best bullish movees.
Episode 6: Fear of Loss
after a couple of bad experiences, they decide to cash out the profits as soon as they see any, no matter how little it is..!
Episode 7: Vicious Cycle
Novice traders now experience the killing phenomenon of losing big in the hope of making reversals and wining small in fear of losing their small profits.
Episode 8: blowing up the trading account
There is not much left to lose!
After the trading account becomes smaller and smaller, it is time to go all-in. Usually, it does not work..!
Episode 9: what should I do now
Novice trader is now addicted to trading and can not stop trading, so decides to recharge the account..!
Episode 10: start over
Novice Trader 1: Keep doing the same thing over and over again, the same result over and over again (majority)
Novice Trader 2: Start learning about the market (reading books, courses) and keep trading, better results but making lots of mistakes because of not having a fully defined strategy.
Novice Trader 3: Stop trading and back to normal life, an insightful decision for many people if they make it..!
Novice Trader 4: Stop trading, start learning, and promise themselves not to start trading unless they have a fully defined strategy with good backtesting results. (less than 5% of all people)
Nash Equilibrium:
What Is Nash Equilibrium?
Nash equilibrium is a concept within game theory where the optimal outcome of a game is where there is no incentive to deviate from the initial strategy. More specifically, the Nash equilibrium is a concept of game theory where the optimal outcome of a game is one where no player has an incentive to deviate from their chosen strategy after considering an opponent's choice.
Overall, an individual can receive no incremental benefit from changing actions, assuming other players remain constant in their strategies. A game may have multiple Nash equilibria or none at all.(Investopedia)
What Is a Zero-Sum Game?
Zero-sum is a situation in game theory in which one person’s gain is equivalent to another’s loss, so the net change in wealth or benefit is zero. A zero-sum game may have as few as two players or as many as millions of participants. In financial markets, options and futures are examples of zero-sum games, excluding transaction costs. For every person who gains on a contract, there is a counter-party who loses.(Investopedia)
Conclusion :
Traders can make decisions and hurt themselves if they deviate from their main strategy based on Nash Equilibrium.
Most Important Question any trader should ask her/himself:
What is my strategy to make money in the market?
How I can make it better???
Refrence:
1- UPST:
2- AFRM;
3-ROOT:
4- PLTR:
5-AMC:
6- COIN:
7- GME:
8- BABA:
9- SPRT:
ALIBABA : end of Bearish trend ?A signal of the end of bearish trend is given by : a great volume at 08/20 and the candle of 08/23.
The price are also between the tenkensen (168) and kijun (178) and the candle of 09/09 is also a good sign.
we enter in consolidation phase and may be we well go beyond 178
ALIBABA:FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS+PRICE ACTION|NEXT TARGET|LONG🔔🔔Shares of Chinese tech giant Alibaba Group Holding fell 14.4 percent in August, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Although Alibaba became the first major Chinese tech company to face fines and regulations late last year, the punishment continued in July, when shares fell 13.9%, and in August, when shares fell another 14.4%.
The culprits behind Alibaba's continued August decline in shares were an earnings report that fell short of expectations for the top line, and continued, escalating regulatory aggression against the Chinese Internet giant.
In early August, Alibaba reported quarterly earnings that beat earnings expectations but fell short of earnings expectations. With such low sentiment, the mixed results were probably enough to worry investors that regulations are starting to affect the company's financial performance.
Previously, Alibaba had used its first-mover advantage to squeeze out competitors, often forcing brands into exclusive contracts to gain access to its market-leading e-commerce platform. But in April, the company was fined $2.8 billion for violating antitrust rules and was ordered to stop the practice. Ending forced exclusivity could strengthen upwardly mobile e-commerce challengers, so the fact that Alibaba's revenues came in slightly below expectations is not a good sign.
The situation didn't get any easier as the month progressed. In mid-August, the State Market Regulation Administration issued a comprehensive list of rules prohibiting tech giants from illegally collecting and using customer data or using technology to deny access to competitors' products. As one of the largest and most powerful "legacy" technology platforms in China,
Alibaba is likely to lose more than its competitors as the rules are designed to level the playing field. The Ministry of Transportation has also begun work on rules to ensure the welfare of delivery drivers, which could affect the cost of food delivery for Alibaba subsidiaries Ele.me and Freshippo.
A series of new rules will undoubtedly hit Alibaba's financial performance. But it doesn't look like the company will disappear anytime soon. After all, last quarter the company's revenue was up 34%, though, minus the effect of Alibaba Sun Art's retail consolidation, it was only 22%.
After such a brutal collapse, the company's stock looks cheap: it's trading at about 17.9 times this year's projected earnings -- and that's with a significant net cash position and tens of billions in minority investments in other companies. Alibaba stock had already attracted prominent value investors Charlie Munger and Bill Miller earlier this year, and now its value has dropped significantly.
Thus, Alibaba could be a good deal for patient investors if they can pay attention to the key factors. And here are three factors supporting Alibaba.
1. Dominating business in China
According to Goldman Sachs, Alibaba dominates the e-commerce market with a 69% share by 2020, making it the Chinese Amazon. Alibaba has 912 million active customers in China and 1.17 billion worldwide. In 2020, the company will have a gross market size of $1.2 trillion, representing the value of all transactions flowing through Alibaba's business.
Alibaba also owns a 33% stake in Ant Group, a major payment company in China that operates Alipay, which handles more than half of third-party payments in China. In other words, Alibaba is relevant to many aspects of the Chinese consumer and their economic activity.
2. Fantastic financial performance
In 2020, Alibaba's revenue grew 41% to $109 billion, aided by consumers using online services during the pandemic. In the first quarter of 2021 (ending in June), the company saw rapid revenue growth of nearly $32 billion, 34% more than in 2020. Alibaba is expected to generate $143 billion in revenue by the end of the year, a 30% increase.
The company is also very profitable. It converted $3.2 billion of first-quarter revenue into free cash flow and now has $72 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments on its balance sheet. This gives Alibaba tremendous financial flexibility to create/develop new business segments or acquire emerging competitors.
3. It's a bargain buy
Even though the company's stock price is falling, Alibaba's continued growth is driving the stock down. Last fall, the stock was trading at a price-to-sales ratio of nearly 8, and today it is less than 4 when using the expected full-year earnings for 2021.
In terms of earnings, we can use the price-to-earnings ratio to take another look at Alibaba's valuation. The company is expected to earn $9.70 per share in 2021, resulting in a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20, which is about a third less than Amazon's current P/E ratio if we use its expected 2021 earnings per share.
Alibaba stock seems very inexpensive given its dominant position in China and its ability to grow its huge revenue by 30% - and remain profitable.
Alibaba is a unique company that offers investors growth, strong fundamentals, and an attractive valuation, but despite all these positive factors, it is risky. The company may continue to trade at a lower valuation than companies such as Amazon for a long time to come because investors can never be completely sure that political risks will not emerge in the future.
Nevertheless, Alibaba stock is like a "coil spring," which could unleash strong gains if investor sentiment becomes more favorable. This upside potential makes Alibaba an interesting idea for savvy investors.
BABA - Is this the Bottom?Let's examine #BABA from a weekly time frame (log scale view):
1) Respected long term channel. We now have three weekly wick up candles holding above the 164.33 level.
2) VOLUME: And this is important, we can see the volume from the weekly candle three weeks ago was HUGE. Sell volume since has been declining and we have a spinning top candle for the week ending 9/3/21. When looking for entry (which I am okay starting a position here) we want to see either the selling volume continue to decline or a buy volume candle while price holds previous low or takes out the high of previous candle.
3) We can see BABA completed a 5 wave sequence which will now become our major 1 wave. The drop in BABA is a major 2 wave correction which I want to see hold above the red dash line (minor wave 4 low - below this would be my stop loss on a weekly candle close).
The bottom green box is my buyzone where I am happy to accumulate BABA in shares or June 2023 ATM or ITM calls. Middle red box is a "trim zone" for me where I will look to eliminate as much of my cost basis as possible for a risk free trade. Based on the low two weeks ago, (if that low holds), this would be a typical bounce area for BABA before a possible retrace. This could be done in a micro wave 5 fashion, double bottom, or an S curve type pattern.
Upper green box is my major wave 3 target assuming the low is in for now on BABA.
Best of luck and hope this helps!
#BABA $BABA
Alibaba: A Bad Investment with Brilliant TechnicalsThe recent news about Alibaba's "donation" to the CCP agenda machine has sent the $BABA worshipers into full defensive mode. YouTube videos and Seeking Alpha articles on the equity have exploded in popularity and volume. Long term, investing in Chinese equities is a gamble but, if you're on the right side of the trade, you can certainly make a lot of money. This may or may not be the case with Alibaba. Present retail sentiment may likely force the stock upward but I think this will be taken as an opportunity by smart money to sell into strength. The retail money will be left holding a bag of CCP garbage. I'm (cautiously) short.