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BABA

BABA, Forming This Massive Descending-Triangle, Likely Breakout!Hello Traders Investors And Community, Welcome to this analysis about Alibaba in which I will look at the 12-hour timeframe perspectives. Since the Alibaba founder, Jack Ma moved into isolation because of a government critical speech the stock developed an exceptional downtrend with bearish alignments mainly reaching the 205 level. Now as there came news the founder still active and operating on the company this can also lead to potential positive developments on the fundamental sight of things matching with the technical factors I detected recently, therefore I am looking at all the important levels and likely destinies we should consider with the stock in the current structure and upcoming movements. Structural Developments: As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how Alibaba has formed this massive descending-triangle-formation with the coherent wave-count within and the waves A to C already completed. Such a triangle-formation is known to produce a substantial bullish reversal with further continuations and an increase in volatility to the upside. Recently Alibaba already formed this initial spike of bullishness to the upside within the triangle testing the upper boundary of the triangle-formation and also the 100- as well as the 65-EMA lying there, above these EMAs Alibaba will form a sustainable bullishness as the previous resistance gets support. Upcoming Perspectives: As Alibaba already formed all these strong initial terms in the structure it is likely that the triangle completes with a bullish breakout in the next times which will finally happen with the close above the upper boundary. It is seldom seen that such a structural triangle invalidates to the downside nevertheless it is important to keep patient till the triangle finally completes. Mainly the upcoming breakout can be traded either aggressively with immediate entry or conservative with an entry after confirmation, although the aggressive entry is also possible the conservative one will be much smarter. It will be an interesting development ahead. In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about Alibaba and the current descending-triangle-formation forming that has the potential for a bullish breakout, will be great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, great contentment for everybody supporting, all the best! Information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
NYSE:BABA
by VincePrince
8
$AAPL $NFLX $BABA $SNOW I OptionsSwing WatchlistBABA 1D I BABA broke from a massive falling wedge established last year, and its ready to run up into its earnings. AAPL 1D I We saw AAPL break from a triangle pattern and retest the breakout just to make a higher high. Expecting to consolidate near $130. NFLX 1H I After seeing a consolidation near the $500 price level, we saw NFLX make a push last week to $530 as expected. SNOW 4H I Following growth stocks, particularly cloud stocks as they are making a quick comeback. SNOW is near IPO levels and we want to see consolidation above $250 for continuation.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by optionsswing
2
sleeping giant $BABA is about to wake *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Recap: My team has been following Alibaba for the past few months. We originally entered $BABA on 5/27/21 at $207 per share. There is no denying the massive oversell of BABA. After correcting from its 52-week high of $319.32 $BABA now sits at just $214.22 per share. $BABA is a GREAT stock going forward and we absolutely believe that it will be trading in the $300 range before October. Today my team has placed a buy order on $BABA at $220. We believe that if $BABA reaches $220 it will continue to push forward and have a short-term rally up to around $238 which was our original target. If price reaches $238 we will trim and wait for another opportunity to average up before $BABA pushes to our first take profit at $265. If you fail to plan...you plan to fail. We're long. FIRST ENTRY: $207 BUY ORDER: $220 TAKE PROFIT: $265 STOP LOSS: $203 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
5
BABA setupThe fundamental for the company is still bullish. * News of customer data leak didn't send this crashing down and historically the market is relatively tolerable towards data leaks . * All regulatory fines are settled and Jack Ma's lack of presence is at least indicative that he acknowledges a positive correlation between BABA's success and his attitude towards the CCP. Inflationary risks also seem much less of a concern in China vs. US. The technical buildup is also interesting. * Nearing the apex of this falling wedge * In the Historical Buy Zone (long term supporting trendline/zone) It's also worthy to point out RSI behaving interestingly with BABA at weekly views, with successful entry setup seen at RSI < 35 indicated by green arrows, and riskier but would have been successful setup seen at RSI < 40 indicated by yellow arrows. Position: TBD Waiting for confirmation of close above the upper line of the falling wedge in the daily chart
NYSE:BABALong
by showmethat
1
Best Deep-Value Large-cap Growth play - Alibaba (BABA)Macro Reasons -China has a population of 1.3billion VS US's 0.33 Billion, about 4x more -Rising Chinese middle class with a growing disposable income -It is estimated that China's GDP is set to overtake the US in 5-8 years Fundamentals Reasons -With 56% of the e-commerce market share in China and a growing e-commerce pie, Alibaba is poised for greater growth in 5-10years -Supported by Cainiao logistics to enable efficient e-commerce delivery and Alipay to complete its transactions/funding for their merchants, it forms Alibaba's iron triangle to capture a large market share in the e-commerce related space. -Dominant Cloud player at 40% market share, this segment just turned profitable recently and will contribute to its growth strongly like Amazon's AWS (30% margins) Valuation FCF: 26Bil USD per year i.e 9.6 USD per share (2.711 Billion shares outstanding) 20X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 192 USD per share 25X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 240 USD per share Net Cash of 20 USD per share (462bil RMB Cash - 115bil RMB Debt = 347 RMB Net Cash = 54bil USD net Cash ) Fair Value at current conditions = 212 USD per share (20X FCF) - 260 USD per share (25X FCF) FCF 10 years later: 9.6 USD *4.04 (15% CAGR for 10 yrs) = 38.78 USD per share 20X multiple (10% discount rate - 5% perp growth): 775 USD per share +20USD net cash =795 USD per share 795/215 (Current share price 14th June 2021) = 3.70X in 10 years* i.e 14% CAGR *Very conservative estimate of 15% CAGR FCF & terminal multiple of 20X, also assuming all FCF are re-invested in other biz and not distributed via dividends/ buybacks Technicals Seems like it is at its bottom after a 30% slump in its share price, touching a very strong upward sloping support line indicating the bottom is near. Incidentally, it corresponds with the bottom valuation of 212 USD per share (20X FCF + net cash). Addressing Risks Risks of VIE structure & CCP risk are unfounded, one can easily exchange its ADR for the equivalent HK shares at the ratio of 1ADR:8 HK shares and Alibaba is too big to fail for the CCP. The recent USD2.8 Billion fine on BABA is only 4% of revenue and not as dramatic as the 30% slump in BABA's recent valuation (from $310 to $211 per share). Also, the CCP has recently approved Ant Group’s new license to operate Chongqing Ant Consumer Finance, in which it has a 50 per cent stake. This indicates that the CCP doesn't want to tear down Alibaba but rather work towards a more successful China together.
NYSE:BABALong
by FIRE_CAPITAL_SG
1
BABA - Wait For The Trigger!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. BABA is sitting around strong weekly support and round number 200.0 in green so we will be looking for buy setups. on H4: BABA formed a valid channel in red but it is not ready to go yet. Before we buy, we want the buyers to prove that they are taking over again. You don't want to buy a bearish market right? Trigger => Waiting for a momentum candle close above the last swing high (in gray) to buy. Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, BABA would be overall bearish can still trade lower. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NYSE:BABALong
by TheSignalyst
20
BABA on a key area. Bullish breakout or bearish continuation?Today we will share a daily view of the $BABA chart. Main aspects we can see here: -The price is facing an ascending trendline. -The previous level converges with a support/resistance zone working since 2018. -The current bearish trend can be defined as a descending Wedge pattern (if the price keeps moving between the structure lines, of course.) If I'm interested in bullish movements only. What can you wait for before trading? -A clear scenario for a bullish continuation movement would be a breakout of the structure followed by a corrective movement (like the circle you can see on the chart. Of course, take it as a model to replicate). IF that happens, we will be setting pending orders above the structure (green horizontal line), and we aim for a target on the next resistance zone 268 - 274 -Risk and time. -We will be risking 1% of our capital on this setup. Meaning that if the price executes our order and then goes straight to our stop loss, we will be losing 1% of our capital at that level. Then, if we aim to a risk-reward ratio of 2, we will be making 2% of our capital in the best scenario. If the order is executed, we expect a resolution between 15 to 30 days. Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view in the comment box.
NYSE:BABA
by ThinkingAntsOk
2