Maintain Long Position for AlibabaLast week, there was a slight pullback, but overall the rebound from the lower gan fan still will increase the momentum of this NYSE:BABA
Next week's trading range will be around 251.28 - 266.28. So, if your current position is below this range, you can use this range to close the position and/or average up/reentry on the bottom range.
The next strong resistance will be around 285, but the first challenge will be around 275. Cut loss position will be the nearest Support around 245.
I will maintain my current ideas for the Long position with these conditions.
Have fun and safe trade.
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes and is not an investment recommendation or representative of professional expertise. This analysis used herein is for illustration purposes only. This personal opinion should not be considered specific investment advice. I am not responsible for any trades, and individuals are solely responsible for any live trades placed in their own personal accounts.
BABA
BABA TO RETEST ATH IN COMING MONTHSBABA has broken out of the wedge pattern and has begun to accumulate.
We think BABA will break out on earnings and test the 270 price target.
We believe BABA will retest 320 by mid or late March given favorable market conditions. The following reasons include:
1) Strong Pandemic recovery
2) China is set to outgrow the United States in 5 years instead of 10 years
3) BABA is severely undervalued
4) BABA will rekindle a relationship with the Chinese gov and an ANT IPO will most likely play out
5) Big money is flowing into China as a safe haven.
ALIBABA Best time to buyPattern: Bullish Megaphone on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the 1D MACD has formed a sequence that since November 2018 designated the bottom. Buy if the Jan 20 High breaks or on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
Target: 310 (just below the current Resistance).
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QS - QUANTUM GAINS INCOMINGThis has been a stock that has hilarious rocketed to over $100. I actually had a coworker tell me about this stock, battery hopes, rocketship emojis, and all that. He bought at $100 and sold at $45 today. Hilarious.
We don't get attached to stocks here. We are traders. And boy this setup was beautiful. Trading the B waves of exponential run ups are insane, and that's what we got on our hands here.
First let's look at the macro view. I think this stock is working on coiling down into an ABC. Now we are looking for evidence of completion of wave A.
For this idea, I have 3 price targets in mind. The risk reward is most favorable for target point #1 of $85. I will be selling there and moving my money to the next s*** stock.
Here, there is a blaring gap along the way that will want to be filled. I put the fib retrace on an endpoint of $38 which is the premise I am basing this trade around. Low and behold you have beautiful reactions and the other significant fib levels for retracements.
Two additions TPs were identified with reasons shown on the graph. Test your luck with those.
Next, let's dig into the major price levels I have for completion of wave A. From previous price action I have $45.50 and $38. I entered 70% of my long position at pennies away from the low this morning since I had identified $45.50. The remainder will go in IF we hit $38. If we don't go to $38, I will look for a retrace to enter, but only if trend reversal is confirmed by eliot wave count validation.
We have more evidence that the $38 price target is valid. Dissecting wave 5, it becomes a bit more clear. However, it should be noted that we already hit the 2.272 extension of 1 to 2 which is typical target for wave 5's. For this reason, I am 70% into my position. To also comment on why $38 is on the table, it appears that major indices are cooling off. SP500 ES futures have bounced off the top of channel defining this uptrend. AMZN and other tech stocks appear to head into a wave E of the triangle compression. Extra info there, but those are my proxies for this play if it has another leg down.
Lastly, let's talk about divergence. It is a leading indicator of a pending trend reversal. You can use RSI, PPO, MACD do, but prefer RSI with the standard presets. You have divergence on all major timeframes now. It will not be invalidated for a move to $38; will only extend it and add more meat to the bone.
GOODLUCK
s/o Hawk's Nest
USD/JPY : PRICE ACTION ON DAILY TIME FRAME + SHARK PATTERN 🔔Welcome back Traders, Investors and Community!
Analysis of #USDJPY
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Strategy: Price action + Bearish Shark pattern formation - We will be waiting for all the confirmations to enter in this trade.
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Walter
NFLXNFLX is up 61 AH after reporting 8.5 million net new subscribers in its fourth quarter vs 2.2M reported in previous quarter. Netflix tops 200 million subscribers for the first time.
If NFLX can pull back in the morning and backtest the 557 level that can be a good entry to go long. Or you can wait for NFLX to break its previous ATH of 575 to go long.