BABA - Broken Resistance Level- BABA is in a falling trend channel in the medium long term.
- BABA has broken a resistance level in the short term and given a positive signal for the short-term trading range.
- BABA has support at 81 and resistance at 112.
- Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
*EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
BABA
$BABA Inverse Head & Shoulders$BABA IH&S, neckline at $120, possible initial rejection (sell in may & go away) then hit $180 breakout target by fall. I took the fractal from the left shoulder and flipped it. I've been doing tons of IH&S patterns, but missed this one, shoutout @JaviCharts on Twitter for pointing this out! We both posted this at the low of the right shoulder at $80 about a week ago.. Follow me on Twitter @ChartingGuy twitter.com to get trades and chart updates sooner.
BABA - PULLBACKSimilar price actions from April and July 2022.
1. the price hits wall 2 and drops. Retest to wall 1 and rejected.
2. The price hits wall 2 and drops. Retest to wall 1 and rejected.
3. the price hits wall 2 and drops. This current movement is in the process of testing wall 1, if the history repeats expect of -15% movement towards the gap from last Tuesday.
Sell From First Candle 15/09/2014 - 04/10/2022 Low was 423 weeks. Expected bottom at 08/05/2023 a during of 451 weeks from Origin.
423/451 Variation
Vector Magnitude from 28/09/2015 low -26/10/2020 Top = 372.73 units
Time distance from 28/09/2015 low - 04/10/2022 Bottom = 369 weeks (-3 weeks)
Vector Magnitude from 26/10/2020 Top - 04/10/2022 Bottom = 282 units
Price units from 26/10/2020 Top - Expected Low = -279 points (-3 points)
26/10/2020 Top price = 319.32 USD with +262.11 points range
Total points range from Zero= 319.32
1/3*319.32 = 279 points at USD 39.92 price unit
From origin 15/09/2014-26/10/2020 Top = 319 weeks
319*1.4142 = 451 weeks. Use tight SL
Alibaba. capitalize its coming big moves w/o buying its share.Alibaba / Baba price surging up > 10% both in HK & NY markets after news that is going to split its core business to 6 = the beginning of “new era”..How for Malaysian if their local broker not allowed to trade HK or NY stocks? Probably structured warrant is a choice ...p/s structured warrants like stock options is a “leveraged + plus time decay/ expiration date” trading instruments/ products.. So Unless you are experienced traders on “when” The underlying / mother stock will be at roughly “what” price the in next e.g 60 days...By trading with e.g elliotwave, Cycle etc...
BABA: INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS PLAYThis is Alibaba daily chart.
Price currently just below 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from October low to January high.
Possible inverted head and shoulders to consider as well.
RSI in the lows.
There are a few gaps that could be filled. so I see 77-82 as a potential buying zone for a long term investment into this Chinese beaten down stock OR a good bounce zone for a short/mid term trade.
Trade safe!
ALIBABA On the 1D MA50. Closing above = $120.Alibaba Group Holdings (BABA) hit today its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since February 16. In the past year, every time the price closed a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, it soared to at least 120.00 which is the bottom of the 1 Year Resistance Zone.
This time the stock is past a 1D Golden Cross pattern, the first such formation March 18 2019, which is technically bullish. What it needs to avoid is closing below its Higher Lows trend-line, which on September 16 2022 kickstarted a strong sell-off.
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$JD Potential IHS I would like to see the right shoulder form and better action on the shorter time frames. Looks to me like the best bet would be to wait for selling pressure to cool. Do you think it holds the right inverse shoulder? At what point?
This is not financial advice or advice of any form. This post is made for entertainment purposes only.
ALIBABA ($BABA): Technical Analysis on daily chartHi everyone!
The main trend of $BABA is bearish on the daily chart, but most of the bearish momentum has already been worked on by the market. Having said that, even in the short term I remain bearish at least up to the support area, from there I cannot exclude some Reversal Pattern (see chart below). If this happens, an update to this analysis will be necessary because before trying to take a long position I want to wait for at least one clear signal (for example, an impulsive structure on the hourly chart).
POTENTIAL REVERSAL PATTERN
If we look at the Daily Chart, the support area could turn into something like a Right Shoulder of a potential "Inverted Head & Shoulders".
Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖
Cheers!
N.B.: Updates will follow below
BIG $BABA HnS Swing Position IdeaSupport in gray box isnt only valid support.
Generally just looking for the next shoulder to form, but this might already be a good entry area.
This would be a beautiful HnS and the breakout could take us far.
Keep a lookout for where else the shoulder may form, break gray bos and shoulder can still form lower, hard invalidation is if we get new lows below 'head'.
BABA (Long Swing Idea - trendline bounce, fib retracement, S&R)Trade Rationale:
BABA is looking great for a 2 to 4 week expiration Options Call swing play. It is currently holding a previous resistance turned support area between $100 and $103. In confluence with this level, BABA has also completed a fibonacci retracement back to the 50% level almost perfectly. It is also holding the 200 ema on the 4H and Daily timeframes in confluence with the formation of a falling wedge and 3rd touch on the current uptrend support line (created from the lows of the Oct 24th and Nov 9th daily candles). While we're at it, let's go ahead and add in the bullish divergence on the 4H and Daily timeframes. NOTE: There are currently 4 gaps on BABA's chart right now, 2 above current price and 3 below current price.
Trade Idea:
I am looking to play calls with at least a 2 to 4 week expiration date with a strike price of 107c (Targeting the first gap above current price between $106.63 and $107.79.) The more time on the contract the less THETA decay eats away at the value of the contract. Also consider a contract with a breakeven close to your target as well as an options contract that doesn't have high Implied Volatility, because if IV slows and begins to revert back to the mean value your options contracts could still loss value from IV crush. Basically control for the effect that the options greeks will have on your contracts to maximize gains and minimize losses. My ultimate take profit is at the origin of the falling wedge which is also the beginning of the second gap above the current price between $113 and $116. I will look to place a STOP LOSS (Exit Trade) below $101.87 and 100.53 and will exit if a daily candle closes below these levels.
Baba looking for a bottom again (potential bullish long term)The falling wedge has played out with an extension and we have now hit support so a short term bounce is likely. We still have a gap to fill and potential support levels to test should we fail to rise above the longer term Inverse H&S bottom for now (this pattern remains valid should we remain above the all time lows during this correction). Ultimately, expectations are for a move to the 180 level once current broader market weakness and correction plays out. Looking to take this long trade once the next support level is tested.
Not investment advice and do your own due diligence!
BABA Alibaba Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold BABA when Charlie Munger did:
or reentered when it was cheaper than the IPO:
Now looking at the BABA Alibaba options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $110 strike price Calls with
2023-8-18 expiration date for about
$10.20 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
I have chosen that expiration date to allow me to be wrong and not close the position and to have a bigger gain by the expiration date, if BABA Alibaba keeps on climbing.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.