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Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels. Current Price Levels: NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82. A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk. Momentum Indicators: MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment. RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery. Technical Levels: Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones: Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18. Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high). Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance. Fibonacci Levels: The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move. Feedback and Outlook: Support and Resistance Analysis: Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside. Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds. Gaps to Be Filled: If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance. Outlook: Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29. Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible. Final Thoughts: The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal. Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
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by Brandonthrives
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend. Levels to watch: $80, $110 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
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by basictradingtv
24
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup Entry Price: $99.13 Stop Loss (SL): $97.32 Target Levels: TP1: $101.36 TP2: $104.96 TP3: $108.57 TP4: $110.80 Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China. Technical Indicators: Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias. Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity. Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4. Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
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by ProfitsNinja
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs. Levels to watch: $115, $80 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
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by basictradingtv
6
Alibaba Accelerates AI Push with Over 100 Open-Source ModelsIn a bold move that underscores its commitment to innovation, Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) has unveiled over 100 new open-source artificial intelligence models, including a cutting-edge text-to-video generation tool. As the tech giant seeks to outpace both domestic and international rivals, this new release reflects its ambition to lead the global AI race. AI Innovations to Revolutionize Industries Alibaba's new models, part of its Qwen 2.5 family, boast advanced capabilities in mathematics, coding, and language comprehension. These models are designed to support industries such as automotive, gaming, and scientific research. They mark a major milestone in the company's ongoing efforts to integrate AI into multiple sectors, positioning itself as a key player in the AI ecosystem. What sets these models apart is their open-source nature, a strategic move that allows developers, researchers, and companies to build their own generative AI applications without the need for costly training. With over 40 million downloads of previous versions, Alibaba's decision to open-source these models is expected to broaden the reach and influence of its AI offerings globally. The launch of the text-to-video generation tool is another exciting development. This tool allows users to input a prompt and have AI create a video, similar to OpenAI's Sora. Such advancements have the potential to revolutionize content creation, marketing, and entertainment, and further cement Alibaba's standing in the AI space. Competing with Global Titans Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) faces stiff competition from domestic rivals like Baidu (BIDU, 9888.HK) and Huawei, as well as U.S. tech giants such as Microsoft and OpenAI. Unlike Baidu and OpenAI, which rely on a closed-source approach, Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) has adopted a hybrid model that combines both proprietary and open-source AI development. This strategy allows the company to cast a wider net and attract a more diverse user base, while maintaining control over its top-tier proprietary models. Among its proprietary models, Qwen-Max 2.5 stands out. This model, which is not open-source, has been touted as surpassing rivals such as Meta’s Llama and OpenAI’s GPT-4 in areas like reasoning and language comprehension. This positions Alibaba to compete directly with the world's most powerful AI systems. Driving Growth in Cloud Computing Alibaba’s AI push is also expected to boost its cloud computing division, a sector in which the company has traditionally lagged behind global leaders like Amazon and Microsoft. However, with its new suite of AI models and tools, Alibaba Cloud is poised to attract a broader customer base, both inside and outside of China. Eddie Wu, the CEO of Alibaba, highlighted the company's commitment to AI and cloud computing in a recent statement. "Alibaba Cloud is investing, with unprecedented intensity, in the research and development of AI technology and the building of its global infrastructure," Wu said. His leadership comes during a time of significant restructuring at Alibaba, as the company seeks to rejuvenate growth amidst rising competition and a slower Chinese economy. Technical Outlook for NYSE:BABA Stock The positive sentiment surrounding Alibaba’s AI advancements has already had a noticeable impact on its stock. As of today, NYSE:BABA is up 4.5% in premarket trading, showing signs of strong investor confidence. From a technical perspective, NYSE:BABA ’s stock is forming a bullish “cup and handle” pattern on its daily chart, which is often considered a powerful reversal indicator. If the stock reaches the pivot point set at the resistance zone, this could further accentuate the pattern. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently at 57, the stock appears primed for a potential breakout. The convergence of strong technical indicators, such as the cup and handle pattern, and positive fundamentals—namely the release of Alibaba’s AI models and tools—suggest that NYSE:BABA could be poised for significant gains in the near future. Final Thoughts Alibaba's strategic investments in AI and cloud computing are laying the groundwork for long-term growth. By embracing open-source AI development and introducing cutting-edge tools like text-to-video generation, the company is positioning itself to become a global leader in the AI space. For investors, Alibaba’s stock presents a compelling opportunity, especially given its recent technical setup and the promising growth prospects of its AI-driven initiatives. As the competition in AI continues to heat up, Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) is proving that it is not just keeping pace—it’s setting the standard for what’s possible in the next generation of technology.
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by DEXWireNews
Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level. Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻 Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs. Levels to watch: $81 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
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by basictradingtv
6
Alibaba Spike 4% After Completing Three-Year Regulatory OverhaulOverview Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) saw its stock jump 4% in premarket trading following the completion of a rigorous three-year regulatory overhaul mandated by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR). This milestone marks a significant turning point for Alibaba, as it moves past one of its most challenging periods and signals potential new growth opportunities for investors. Regulatory Milestone: The completion of Alibaba’s regulatory rectification process comes after the company was hit with an antitrust fine of 18.23 billion yuan ($2.6 billion) in 2021. The fine was a result of practices deemed monopolistic, specifically the “choose one of two” policy, which forced merchants to commit to one e-commerce platform over another. Over the past three years, SAMR has supervised Alibaba’s compliance efforts, culminating in the cessation of these monopolistic behaviors. The regulator’s announcement of “effective results” underscores Alibaba’s adherence to new operational standards and improved market practices. Fundamental Analysis: This regulatory approval is more than just a relief for Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA )—it represents a potential catalyst for renewed investor confidence and market performance. The removal of regulatory constraints opens the door for Alibaba to refocus on growth strategies and innovation. Despite facing significant scrutiny and a dramatic 70% decline in stock value since its peak in 2020, Alibaba has shown early signs of recovery. The June quarter results revealed a rebound in cloud computing revenue and robust e-commerce transactions, reflecting a positive trend in the company’s operational performance. Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, Alibaba’s stock is positioned for a potential bullish trend. The recent 4% surge in premarket trading is indicative of strong market sentiment and investor optimism. The stock is currently exhibiting a gap-up pattern, as there were no trading activities leading up to this surge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 52, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI position is favorable for further growth, provided buying momentum continues. Future Outlook: The completion of the regulatory overhaul represents a “new beginning” for Alibaba, according to the company’s statement. The focus will now shift towards innovation and enhancing compliance, with a strategic emphasis on technology investment and promoting a healthy platform economy. The endorsement from SAMR could also signal a broader softening stance from Chinese regulators towards the tech sector, which has been under intense scrutiny since late 2020. However, challenges remain. The broader tech industry continues to grapple with cautious consumer spending and a slower funding environment for startups. Alibaba’s path to sustained growth will depend on its ability to leverage this regulatory victory into tangible business outcomes and maintain momentum in a competitive market. Conclusion: Alibaba’s completion of its regulatory overhaul is a pivotal moment for the company, offering both technical and fundamental reasons for optimism. The stock’s recent surge reflects renewed investor confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for further gains. As Alibaba transitions into this new phase, stakeholders will be watching closely to see how the company capitalizes on its regulatory victory to drive future growth and innovation. Investors should remain vigilant and monitor upcoming earnings reports and market trends to gauge Alibaba’s ability to sustain its recovery and capitalize on its renewed operational freedom.
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by DEXWireNews
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone. Target #1 = $89.00 Target #2 = $94.00 Target #3 = $107.00 Target #4 = $116.00 Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
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by WorthlessViews
Alibaba - Trading opportunity is finally there!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Almost a decade ago Alibaba stock retested a strong support at the psychological $60 level and reversed significantly towards the upside. Just a couple of months ago Alibaba stock once again retested this support and created an anticipated reversal. If Alibaba stock actually manages to break above the current resistance trendline, we could maybe see a similar rally like we saw in 2015 and the following years. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
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by basictradingtv
17
BABA: Set for a Bullish Reversal, Potential Gains Exceed 50%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NYSE:BABA ! On the weekly chart, BABA is making some exciting moves! It's broken out of a falling wedge pattern, forming a bullish candlestick with a long wick right on the EMA 34 line. But what really caught our eye? The significant volume spike, more than double the average. Now, why does this matter? Well, it's a clear sign of increased buying interest and strong market conviction behind the price movement. And wait, there's more good news: the MACD indicator is showing a bullish divergence, hinting at a potential reversal. So, what's the forecast? We're looking at a potential upward swing to close the gap near our first target at $117.89. After that, we might see a slight dip to the yellow zone before it continues its rally towards our second target at $165. It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below
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by financialfreedomgoals101
8
$BABA COORECTED ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS In my Elliott Wave analysis of BABA, I've observed a corrective pattern since its inception, with the peak occurring during the 2020 bull market. The correction seemed to have ended when BABA hit bottom in 2022. Following this, it appeared to start a new upward wave (wave 1), followed by a corrective phase (wave 2), which now seems to be complete. It's important to note that the placement of the other waves is solely for identification purposes and does not indicate any specific targets. This suggests that BABA could be gearing up for a bullish wave 3, making it quite promising for the long term.
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by thekidtrader11
3
Alibaba - Buy The DipHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Alibaba. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Starting in 2016 Alibaba created a pretty obvious higher timeframe bullish reversal which was followed by a crazy bullrun on Alibaba stock. In 2021 Alibaba broke below a major bullish trendline and dropped more than -70%. If we see another bullish reversal at the $65 level and a break above the trendline mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for bullish trading setups. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NYSE:BABA
by basictradingtv
1
Tech Giant Alibaba Unveils New AI Video ToolAlibaba says its I2VGen-XL model can handle “visualization, sampling, training, inference, join training using images and videos, acceleration, and more. Alibaba Cloud—subsidiary of Chinese conglomerate Alibaba Group and one of the world's largest cloud computing companies—has unveiled its I2VGen-XL AI tool. It’s an advanced text-to-video system that's intended to compete against top-of-the-line models like the ones released by Pika Labs or Stability AI. The company announced the release of the model’s weights today after publishing the model’s research paper last month. I2VGen-XL is engineered using cascaded diffusion models, the paper explains, a sophisticated AI technique that ensures the generated videos are not only visually impressive but also contextually coherent and semantically accurate. It operates on a two-stage process: the base stage focuses on maintaining coherence with the input text and images, and the refinement stage enhances the details and resolution of the video, achieving up to 1280x720 pixels. This technique may sound similar to those used to generate images with SDXL. Unlike SD 1.5 and SD 2.1 which relied on a single model, Stability AI developed two different models, a base and a refiner, which should be combined to generate the best quality images possible. Alibaba Cloud says the model's training utilized an extensive dataset of around 35 million text-to-video pairs and a staggering 6 billion text-to-image pairs. Such a vast dataset ensures the model's versatility and accuracy across various scenarios and subjects. A new model amidst an AI arms race This release comes as the global tech landscape is witnessing heightened tensions and competition, particularly between the US and China. Amidst a backdrop of trade restrictions and a push for technological self-reliance, Alibaba's move is both timely and strategically significant for the country. Alibaba's latest innovation is not an isolated development but part of a longer narrative of technological rivalry. With the US imposing restrictions on chip exports and China responding with its countermeasures, the race for AI supremacy has accelerated. This environment has spurred advancements in indigenous technologies, with both nations vying for a leading position in AI, semiconductor technology, and 5G innovation. When contrasted with other notable advancements in the field, such as Pika Labs' model and Stable Video Diffusion, I2VGen-XL distinguishes itself through its unique approach and high semantic accuracy. A demo with several examples of using HiGen (a diffusion model) with I2VGen-XL shows a major improvement in temporal and frame consistency when compared to the use of HiGen alone. Alibaba's I2VGen-XL model represents a significant milestone in the AI landscape because it provides an alternative to models that are either banned for Chinese users or could be restricted in the future by the US or the Chinese government. Alibaba’s emerging tech plays Alibaba goes beyond just e-commerce. It has been a significant player in emerging technologies for a while, consistently pushing new developments in the realms of AI, the metaverse, software, and even digital currencies. In AI-driven animation, besides sI2VGen-XL, Alibaba's "Animate Anyone" model stands out. This tool transforms static images into dynamic animations, employing a novel framework called ReferenceNet. Integrating sophisticated diffusion models achieves temporally stable and visually consistent videos. Alibaba Cloud also partnered with Avalanche to launch its Cloudverse platform. This technology offers businesses a seamless pathway to create and maintain their digital universes. The strategic alliance with Avalanche and Metaverse Universal Assets DAO's involvement in middleware solutions highlights Alibaba's collaborative approach and its dedication to harnessing Web3 technologies.
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by DEXWireNews
Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Has More To Do To GrowIn a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look. Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It? Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities) 0.09 = CN¥126b ÷ (CN¥1.8t - CN¥380b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023). Thus, Alibaba Group Holding has an ROCE of 9.0%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 10% average generated by the Multiline Retail industry. What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at Alibaba Group Holding. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 9.0% and the business has deployed 121% more capital into its operations. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments. Long story short, while Alibaba Group Holding has been reinvesting its capital, the returns that it's generating haven't increased. Since the stock has declined 44% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
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by DEXWireNews
Alibaba (BABA) -> This After -80%My name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Alibaba. For me personally it was quite impressive that Alibaba stock dropped more than 80% after the massive 400% increase from 2015 to 2020. Recently Alibaba stock retested and already rejected the previous all time low of 2015 and I think that it is just a matter of time until we will see a monthly bullish break of structure. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
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by basictradingtv
44