Alibaba Stock Surges 10% as Earnings Beat Expectations Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) are soaring after the Chinese tech and e-commerce giant reported quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations. Alibaba’s latest financial results reflect strong growth in its cloud computing division, which includes artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives, and the broader market optimism surrounding its strategic moves.
Beating Estimates with Strong Revenue Growth
Alibaba posted revenue of 280.15 billion Chinese yuan ($38.5 billion) for the December quarter, marking a 7.6% increase year-over-year. The company’s earnings per share per ADS came in at $2.93, surpassing analyst expectations tracked by Visible Alpha. CEO Eddie Wu emphasized that Alibaba’s strategic focus on "user-first, AI-driven" operations has contributed significantly to its reaccelerated growth.
One of the standout aspects of Alibaba’s performance is its cloud computing segment, which saw a 13% year-over-year revenue increase. Notably, AI-related product revenue surged at a triple-digit rate for the sixth consecutive quarter, underscoring Alibaba’s position as a dominant player in China’s AI landscape.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is speculation that Alibaba may be collaborating with Apple (AAPL) to integrate AI-powered features into iPhones in China. Moreover, reports suggest that co-founder Jack Ma has re-established ties with Beijing, a development that could ease regulatory pressures and pave the way for smoother business operations.
Technical Outlook: Bullish Breakout with Strong Momentum
From a technical perspective, NYSE:BABA shares have been on an impressive run, climbing over 80% in the past year. At the time of writing, the stock is up 8.09% in intraday trading, signaling strong bullish momentum.
The breakout from a falling wedge pattern—a classic bullish reversal setup—has been a key catalyst in Alibaba’s upward trajectory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 84, indicating that the stock is in overbought territory. However, with momentum building, further upside potential remains, particularly if BABA clears its recent one-month high.
In the event of a pullback, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level is acting as a solid support zone, providing traders with a potential re-entry point. A decisive breakout above resistance could trigger another leg up, reinforcing the stock’s bullish sentiment.
Conclusion
With cloud computing and AI revenues expanding at a rapid pace, alongside renewed investor confidence, the stock remains in a strong uptrend. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, a breakout above resistance could unlock further gains.
Babalong
Alibaba Group | BABA | Long at $80.00Alibaba Group NYSE:BABA has the potential for massive growth. From a technical analysis perspective (and using my selected simply moving averages (SMAs)), the price of NYSE:BABA is reconnecting with its primary SMA. It could ride this area for a while as it consolidates further, but this often means a future reversal of the downward trend. Thus, at $80.00, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $89.00
Target #2 = $94.00
Target #3 = $107.00
Target #4 = $116.00
Target #5 = $305.00 (very long-term view...)
I'm GAGA for BABA!NYSE:BABA
🎯134🎯150🎯171
Five weeks of green candles for over 55%!
Road this one higher from the beginning and fully exited. Now that we are pretty extended and broke out of the Inverse H&S Pattern I'd like to see a pullback to retest the breakout at $115-118 for an entry back in.
- Green H5
- Volume GAP
- Wr% Up trending
- Inverse H&S breakout
- China has momentum (look for tariff news or earnings this week to provide a dip buying opp.)
Not financial advice
Alibaba Analysis: Profitable Structure! 2/11/2025One of the most profitable trading structures is currently in progress!
The targets of the uptrend swing (wave C) are displayed on the chart, and it has the potential to exceed the projected levels.
Start point of wave c= $80.06
Targets:
T1=$174
T2=$232
T3=$326
*It's the same structure used in the Netflix price chart!
NYSE:BABA #BABA
Latest news: Apple partners with Alibaba to offer artificial intelligence features for iPhone users in China!
Good Luck!
$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024
Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only.
1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days.
2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75.
3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38).
4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price.
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$85.52: Current price
$85.00: Next bearish price target
Bullish Resistance Points:
$86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$87.00 - Resistance zone
$87.60 - Previous Weekly High
$87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement)
$89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal)
$91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal)
$90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled
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Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24
Currently up 5% (@ $1.31).
Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price)
Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels.
Current Price Levels:
NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82.
A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment.
RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery.
Technical Levels:
Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones:
Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18.
Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high).
Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance.
Fibonacci Levels:
The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move.
Feedback and Outlook:
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside.
Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds.
Gaps to Be Filled:
If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance.
Outlook:
Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29.
Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible.
Final Thoughts:
The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal.
Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $80, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential!🚀 NYSE:BABA Primed for a Retest and Bounce! 80% Upside Potential! 🚀
🔍 Key Points:
Looking for a bounce after retesting the symmetrical triangle breakout
Awaiting the H5 Indicator to flip green for a bullish signal
Crucial to hold the volume profile shelf for continued upward momentum
Target Prices:
🎯 $107
🎯 $134
MM 🎯 $157
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup
Entry Price: $99.13
Stop Loss (SL): $97.32
Target Levels:
TP1: $101.36
TP2: $104.96
TP3: $108.57
TP4: $110.80
Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias.
Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity.
Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4.
Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Accelerates AI Push with Over 100 Open-Source ModelsIn a bold move that underscores its commitment to innovation, Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) has unveiled over 100 new open-source artificial intelligence models, including a cutting-edge text-to-video generation tool. As the tech giant seeks to outpace both domestic and international rivals, this new release reflects its ambition to lead the global AI race.
AI Innovations to Revolutionize Industries
Alibaba's new models, part of its Qwen 2.5 family, boast advanced capabilities in mathematics, coding, and language comprehension. These models are designed to support industries such as automotive, gaming, and scientific research. They mark a major milestone in the company's ongoing efforts to integrate AI into multiple sectors, positioning itself as a key player in the AI ecosystem.
What sets these models apart is their open-source nature, a strategic move that allows developers, researchers, and companies to build their own generative AI applications without the need for costly training. With over 40 million downloads of previous versions, Alibaba's decision to open-source these models is expected to broaden the reach and influence of its AI offerings globally.
The launch of the text-to-video generation tool is another exciting development. This tool allows users to input a prompt and have AI create a video, similar to OpenAI's Sora. Such advancements have the potential to revolutionize content creation, marketing, and entertainment, and further cement Alibaba's standing in the AI space.
Competing with Global Titans
Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) faces stiff competition from domestic rivals like Baidu (BIDU, 9888.HK) and Huawei, as well as U.S. tech giants such as Microsoft and OpenAI. Unlike Baidu and OpenAI, which rely on a closed-source approach, Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) has adopted a hybrid model that combines both proprietary and open-source AI development. This strategy allows the company to cast a wider net and attract a more diverse user base, while maintaining control over its top-tier proprietary models.
Among its proprietary models, Qwen-Max 2.5 stands out. This model, which is not open-source, has been touted as surpassing rivals such as Meta’s Llama and OpenAI’s GPT-4 in areas like reasoning and language comprehension. This positions Alibaba to compete directly with the world's most powerful AI systems.
Driving Growth in Cloud Computing
Alibaba’s AI push is also expected to boost its cloud computing division, a sector in which the company has traditionally lagged behind global leaders like Amazon and Microsoft. However, with its new suite of AI models and tools, Alibaba Cloud is poised to attract a broader customer base, both inside and outside of China.
Eddie Wu, the CEO of Alibaba, highlighted the company's commitment to AI and cloud computing in a recent statement. "Alibaba Cloud is investing, with unprecedented intensity, in the research and development of AI technology and the building of its global infrastructure," Wu said. His leadership comes during a time of significant restructuring at Alibaba, as the company seeks to rejuvenate growth amidst rising competition and a slower Chinese economy.
Technical Outlook for NYSE:BABA Stock
The positive sentiment surrounding Alibaba’s AI advancements has already had a noticeable impact on its stock. As of today, NYSE:BABA is up 4.5% in premarket trading, showing signs of strong investor confidence.
From a technical perspective, NYSE:BABA ’s stock is forming a bullish “cup and handle” pattern on its daily chart, which is often considered a powerful reversal indicator. If the stock reaches the pivot point set at the resistance zone, this could further accentuate the pattern. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently at 57, the stock appears primed for a potential breakout.
The convergence of strong technical indicators, such as the cup and handle pattern, and positive fundamentals—namely the release of Alibaba’s AI models and tools—suggest that NYSE:BABA could be poised for significant gains in the near future.
Final Thoughts
Alibaba's strategic investments in AI and cloud computing are laying the groundwork for long-term growth. By embracing open-source AI development and introducing cutting-edge tools like text-to-video generation, the company is positioning itself to become a global leader in the AI space. For investors, Alibaba’s stock presents a compelling opportunity, especially given its recent technical setup and the promising growth prospects of its AI-driven initiatives.
As the competition in AI continues to heat up, Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) is proving that it is not just keeping pace—it’s setting the standard for what’s possible in the next generation of technology.
Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Alibaba Spike 4% After Completing Three-Year Regulatory OverhaulOverview
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) saw its stock jump 4% in premarket trading following the completion of a rigorous three-year regulatory overhaul mandated by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR). This milestone marks a significant turning point for Alibaba, as it moves past one of its most challenging periods and signals potential new growth opportunities for investors.
Regulatory Milestone:
The completion of Alibaba’s regulatory rectification process comes after the company was hit with an antitrust fine of 18.23 billion yuan ($2.6 billion) in 2021. The fine was a result of practices deemed monopolistic, specifically the “choose one of two” policy, which forced merchants to commit to one e-commerce platform over another. Over the past three years, SAMR has supervised Alibaba’s compliance efforts, culminating in the cessation of these monopolistic behaviors. The regulator’s announcement of “effective results” underscores Alibaba’s adherence to new operational standards and improved market practices.
Fundamental Analysis:
This regulatory approval is more than just a relief for Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA )—it represents a potential catalyst for renewed investor confidence and market performance. The removal of regulatory constraints opens the door for Alibaba to refocus on growth strategies and innovation. Despite facing significant scrutiny and a dramatic 70% decline in stock value since its peak in 2020, Alibaba has shown early signs of recovery. The June quarter results revealed a rebound in cloud computing revenue and robust e-commerce transactions, reflecting a positive trend in the company’s operational performance.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, Alibaba’s stock is positioned for a potential bullish trend. The recent 4% surge in premarket trading is indicative of strong market sentiment and investor optimism. The stock is currently exhibiting a gap-up pattern, as there were no trading activities leading up to this surge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 52, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. This neutral RSI position is favorable for further growth, provided buying momentum continues.
Future Outlook:
The completion of the regulatory overhaul represents a “new beginning” for Alibaba, according to the company’s statement. The focus will now shift towards innovation and enhancing compliance, with a strategic emphasis on technology investment and promoting a healthy platform economy. The endorsement from SAMR could also signal a broader softening stance from Chinese regulators towards the tech sector, which has been under intense scrutiny since late 2020.
However, challenges remain. The broader tech industry continues to grapple with cautious consumer spending and a slower funding environment for startups. Alibaba’s path to sustained growth will depend on its ability to leverage this regulatory victory into tangible business outcomes and maintain momentum in a competitive market.
Conclusion:
Alibaba’s completion of its regulatory overhaul is a pivotal moment for the company, offering both technical and fundamental reasons for optimism. The stock’s recent surge reflects renewed investor confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for further gains. As Alibaba transitions into this new phase, stakeholders will be watching closely to see how the company capitalizes on its regulatory victory to drive future growth and innovation.
Investors should remain vigilant and monitor upcoming earnings reports and market trends to gauge Alibaba’s ability to sustain its recovery and capitalize on its renewed operational freedom.
$BABA Strengthening If we can get above the quarterly upper band and close. We have a real good shot at hitting the highs of $116 again.
BABA looks very bullish on the monthly and weekly charts.
We have a broken falling wedge, with a new higher high break out, with a pullback to test the back side of the main down trend and are rising back to the most recent highs. If we can close strongly in the next week or 2, I think BABA, JD, and BIDU and all going higher.
Alibaba - Trading opportunity is finally there!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Almost a decade ago Alibaba stock retested a strong support at the psychological $60 level and reversed significantly towards the upside. Just a couple of months ago Alibaba stock once again retested this support and created an anticipated reversal. If Alibaba stock actually manages to break above the current resistance trendline, we could maybe see a similar rally like we saw in 2015 and the following years.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BABA: Set for a Bullish Reversal, Potential Gains Exceed 50%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NYSE:BABA !
On the weekly chart, BABA is making some exciting moves! It's broken out of a falling wedge pattern, forming a bullish candlestick with a long wick right on the EMA 34 line. But what really caught our eye? The significant volume spike, more than double the average. Now, why does this matter? Well, it's a clear sign of increased buying interest and strong market conviction behind the price movement. And wait, there's more good news: the MACD indicator is showing a bullish divergence, hinting at a potential reversal. So, what's the forecast? We're looking at a potential upward swing to close the gap near our first target at $117.89. After that, we might see a slight dip to the yellow zone before it continues its rally towards our second target at $165.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd."
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$BABA COORECTED ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS In my Elliott Wave analysis of BABA, I've observed a corrective pattern since its inception, with the peak occurring during the 2020 bull market. The correction seemed to have ended when BABA hit bottom in 2022. Following this, it appeared to start a new upward wave (wave 1), followed by a corrective phase (wave 2), which now seems to be complete. It's important to note that the placement of the other waves is solely for identification purposes and does not indicate any specific targets. This suggests that BABA could be gearing up for a bullish wave 3, making it quite promising for the long term.