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Bitcoin Breakout Under Threat or Bullish Retest?1D Chart • Price broke above ATH (~110K) on May 22 with a +1.87% gain, backed by strong volume (~413K vs 190K avg) — signaling legitimate breakout intent. • May 23 followed with a -3.93% bearish engulfing candle, closing back below ATH on elevated sell volume (~279K). • Despite the rejection, the breakout bar showed no upper wick exhaustion, so not a blow-off. • RSI = 63.26 — still bullish but curling down. • Price is testing the channel midline; Fib extensions (117.4K–118.2K) remain unmet. Conclusion: Initial breakout was technically valid and volume-confirmed, but price is now under threat. Loss of 103.9K would invalidate the structure and raise distribution risks. ⸻ 4H Chart • Price closed 4 times below mid-Bollinger Band — short-term momentum has weakened. • RSI bounced back above 50, avoiding breakdown territory. • Volume is tapering (weekend), and price is hovering just above the previous LPS zone. • Watching for resolution from a potential Backup (BU) retest. ⸻ Wyckoff View • Still within Phase E of re-accumulation — unless 103–105K breaks decisively. • Valid structure: Spring → LPS → SOS → BU(?) • A break below structure = possible UTAD scenario ⸻ Key Levels • Support: 105,863 / 103,986 / 100,678 • Resistance: 110,000 / 112,100 / 116,199 • Target Extension Zone: 117,449 – 118,237
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
BTCUSDT 4H — Re-Accumulation in Play or Breakdown Brewing?Bitcoin is currently testing a critical confluence zone just below the prior ATH breakout (110k). After a clear Sign of Strength (SOS) breakout, price has retraced to retest the: 🔸 Mid Bollinger Band (108.9k) 🔸 Previous ATH breakout zone 🔸 Local channel support & uptrend line RSI is neutral at 50.76 and volume remains slightly elevated — suggesting a potential BU/LPS retest phase in this Wyckoff re-accumulation. 📉 Breakdown Risk? So far, no breakdown triggers confirmed per our risk model: ⛔ Price > lower BB (104.5k) ⛔ RSI > 45, not in weak momentum ⛔ No pattern breakdown with RSI < 40 That means no short hedge activated yet — but caution is warranted. A close below 104.5k with weak RSI & volume spike would invalidate the bullish structure. 🎯 Upside Targets if BU Holds: Resistance: 113.2k (Upper BB) Measured move from the pennant: 116.2k Further confluence at 118.2k (Fib 0.66 extension) 🧠 Weekend Watchlist: Do not trade based on 4H chart to avoid fakeouts and traps. Use it as early signal and confirm with daily close! 🔹 Hold above mid-BB keeps re-accumulation valid 🔹 Breakdown below lower-BB = structural failure 🔹 Volatility likely to spike — stay risk-managed 📚 Still within Wyckoff markup logic unless proven otherwise.
by BitcoinMillio18
1
BTCUSDT – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Breakout ContinuesBitcoin is advancing through a textbook Wyckoff Re-Accumulation structure on the 4H chart. After the Spring and multiple LPS confirmations, price surged above the previous range high (~110k), entering a strong Sign of Strength (SOS) rally. We now observe: ✅ Second 4H candle close above ATH (110,000) ✅ RSI: 70.9 → Strong bullish momentum ✅ Volume: Above MA during breakout, healthy but slightly declining ✅ Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper BB (111,227) ✅ Structure forming a Backup (BU?) test near ATH The current move targets a measured pennant breakout projection: 🎯 TP1: 115,224 🎯 TP2: 116,199 🎯 TP3: 117,449 – 118,237 (Fib extension confluence) This aligns with Wyckoff Phase E and continuation of the markup cycle. No short setups valid — trend remains firmly bullish. Pullbacks to 110k could offer high-conviction long entries as BU confirmation. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTA #BTCAnalysis #Reaccumulation #TradingView
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
2