Banking
Good investing opportunity on the U.S. banking sector.The KBE ETF, which tracks an equal-weighted index of U.S. banking stocks, has been rising on a very steady 1M Channel Up since the 2008 financial crisis and has recently rebounded on the latest Higher Low (RSI = 50.776, MACD = 0.640, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). This presents a good buy opportunity on banking stocks, which are expected to outperform the market in the coming years. Our long term target is 52.00 with 60.45 in extension.
Gold / US Dollar, Daily Chart Analysis Feb 15Technical Analysis and Outlook
With Gold fulfilled Outer Gold Rally $1322 , Inner Gold Rally $1326 and the weak obstacle of the Key Res $1321 we are now in a position to witness an advance move towards the Next Gold Rally $1345 and possibly beyond in the near-intermediate time frame, while looking forward to addressing 2018 Yearly High $1366 , and Key Res $1258 after the current initial advancement. (For the latest market talk, please see the site 'Market Commentary' tab - TradingSig_dot_com).
A Look At The Bigger Picture For InvestecInvestec plc is an international, specialist bank and asset manager that provides a diverse range of financial products and services to a niche client base in three principal markets, the United Kingdom, South Africa, and Australia as well as certain other countries. Investec plc is the controlling company of the majority of the group's non-Southern African operations.
Technicals
I have indicated the monthly structure in black and the weekly structure in pink. I expect the weekly structure to complete after either 3 or 5 waves to the downside and will be looking to trade the long from the end of both waves. Wave 5 of the weekly structure has a really good target and I will not miss the entry after a reversal confirmation.
Royal Merchant Bank About To Break?Royal Merchant Bank (RMB) Holdings is an investment company, with its main holding being a 34% interest in FirstRand Bank Limited, one of southern Africa’s premium banking groups. The group’s history can be traced back to the consolidation of Rand Consolidated Investments and Rand Merchant Bank in South Africa in 1987, giving the group a wide interest in the financial services sector. RMB Holdings shares were listed for sale on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in 1992 and the group currently trades under the ticker RMH, with a market cap of R78 billion.
The group has a significant influence on FirstRand Bank (which has a market cap of R 300 billion) through non-executive representation on boards, in line with RMB’s decentralised management philosophy. FirstRand Bank currently has control of First National Bank, Wesbank, Royal Merchant Bank and Ashburton Investments.
The group recently announced that it will expand its current single investment in FirstRand through the purchase of a 25% stake in leading South African property group Atterbury.
Technicals
This is a bullish corrective structure and is currently trading at the top of wave 4. Should the structure break to the upside now, there are good targets but the possibility of wave 5 to the bottom of the structure does exist. I will be watching lower time frames for an entry signal.
History Often Repeats Itself. Down First, Then UpEstablished in 2001, Capitec has become South Africa’s fastest growing bank, and today has more than 7.3 million clients, 720 branches and over 11 000 employees. With shares listed for sale on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in 2002, the bank is renowned for its affordability and simplified model of banking, which has received superb buy in from clients of all income levels. Capitec already commands more than 20% of South Africa’s banking market share and has a market cap of almost R70 billion.
Technicals
I am expecting a repeat of the previous formation. All to often, support and resistance traders get caught buying when the highs break and selling when the lows break, only to watch the price turn and run against them. History often repeats itself and if you have a careful look at these two areas on the chart, you will see a lot of similarities.
The structure that will form here is likely to break to the upside eventually but I expect a reversal soon for wave 3 before more upside will come.
Wave 5 Up or Break Down for Nedbank?Nedbank Group is one of SA’s four largest banking groups by assets and deposits, with Nedbank Ltd. being its principal banking subsidiary. Nedbank Group is a JSE Top 40 company with its ordinary shares listed on the JSE since 1969 and on the Namibian Stock Exchange since 2007. The group's market capitalisation was R128 billion at 31 December 2017. Old Mutual plc is Nedbank Group's majority shareholder, with a 54.05% ownership of the group. The group provides a wide range of wholesale and retail banking services and a growing insurance, asset management and wealth management offering through four main business operations, namely Nedbank Corporate and Investment Banking, Nedbank Retail and Business Banking, Nedbank Wealth and Rest of Africa.
Technicals
This is a bearish structure formation so ultimately I expect a break to the downside. AS things stand now, I am expecting wave 5 to complete before the downside will occur. Price broke above the orange trend line indicated on the chart which leads me to believe that wave 5 is likely. There is however a possibility that a larger correction will form so be weary of reversal signs.
Dark Cloud Cover on SBKA dark cloud cover has formed on JSE:SBK which is a top reversal signal, so we can expect a downwards move.
A dark cloud cover follows a preceding up trend where a red candle opens up above the previous day's green candle and closes 50% below it's body.
This particular pattern has formed on quite a strong resistance level which solidifies the signal.
We will look at entering a short position if it trades around the 17200 level with a target around the previous support level of around 16000.
Commerzbank to hit a major trend support
We might see a nice up move at the trend line. Don't care about the fundamentals, there is to much software-trading going on in these days.
The technical ages are back, so make sure to focus.
Only my opinion, so make your own research and like always
May the markets be with us
Wells Fargo's Resurgence (part 2)AT this aspect of the analysis will be straight forward because at this point, after studying the long-term trend (5-yr), we discerned that the price was trending up. After looking at the 1-yr chart my conviction hasn't been swayed although the price's trend is heading into a resistance cloud and 31.8% resistance level I feel there's enough momentum to break through them. At this point the long-term and mid-term perspectives look good the next will be to try to forecast the shorter-term prospective. BUT, I like the stock enough that I don't know that there's any more evidence from the price action to assuage me from further research. The last part of this analysis will be to do the fundamental analysis and understand the growth prospects of the company from within.
I'm not averse to doing the short term analysis, leave a comment if you'd like me to do it. Check my blog Ready Set Budget (readysetbudget.blogspot.com) for other aspects of financial planning.
HDFCBANK-Shy of peak. Weak RSI and incomplete last motive wave, irrespective good fundamentals make it for a good buy for a true holder.
Expect this to trade flat for a few weeks while people take profits.
Wait for it to reach the buy zone depicted in red.
Entry Price: below 1780(check technicals again when we are here, i will update the idea soon)
Stop: 1651
Take profits:
2665
3171
Happy trading
BAC $32.50 Bullish Triangle BreakoutAfter rallying 25% from mid Nov, BAC has been consolidating in a bullish triangle, which is healthy after a long rally. BAC is a strong stock in a strong sector AMEX:XLF which suggests a possible breakout higher as interest rates push higher. The best way to play breakouts is using options to limit your risk. Example: BAC Apr 20 32/35 Call Vertical @ $104
PERFECT TIME TO ENTER THE $XRP MARKET -- HOLD RIPPLE!!Formation of the XABCD pattern and candlestick consolidation leads me to believe that this is an ideal time to enter the market. With additional institutional applications of Ripple emerging every day, I think volume will start to increase and drive up the price.