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Sofi - A possible repeating patternA repeating pattern and potential opportunity All three companies have some form of crypto offering. NUbank, Coinbase and Sofi appear to have similar bottoming patterns with double bottoms and a head and shoulders style reversal. The charts are not identical but you can clearly see a repeating testing of levels and a price cluster (red shaded area) which appears to be the new base forming offering good enough support for a trade set up. Under the price cluster red shaded area there are double bottoms. I have been in the NUBank trade since Jan 2023 at $3.51 and I noticed COIN had a similar bottoming pattern in June 2023 but it had not broken out yet, so I shared a comparative chart at the time and took a position in COIN, noting the stop as the bottom of the red box. I have shared individual charts on COIN and NU to this effect also. Since June COINBASE has had 120% increase and I believe this will continue. Whilst its price movement since the sharing in June is not identical to NUbank, you can clearly see a parallel channel bottoming, head and shoulders reversal and similar price clusters which i marked up. I was most confident on the COIN trade when it had its strong pull back from Jul - Oct, here I double the position when it came back and bounced off the the 200 day moving average perfectly. Two of the great trades of this year from me which I am still currently holding NYSE:NU and $Coin. I believe there maybe an opportunity for this much smaller company $SOFI. A trade set up is there with a defined stop and good risk to reward (outlined on chart). I have not entered this trade yet, but i may in coming weeks. I will keep you posted. PUKA
NASDAQ:COIN
by PukaCharts
14
SLOOS Banking Lending Conditions- Released Monday 5th Feb 2024 Please review my prior post for a more detailed breakdown Released quarterly, the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) is a survey of up to 80 large domestic banks and 24 branches of international banks to gain insight into credit, lending and bank practices. The Federal Reserve issues and collates the voluntary surveys. The surveys generally include 25 questions and a number of special questions about development in banking practices. They cover practices for the previous three months, but also deal with expectations for the coming quarter and year. While some queries are quantitative, most are qualitative. The surveys have come to cover increasingly timely topics, for example, providing the Fed with insight into bank forbearance policies and trends in response to the 2020 economic crisis. Let’s have a look at the culmination of the some of the more important data in chart form The Chart The blue line on the chart plots the results of the SLOOS survey – specifically, the net percentage of polled banks reporting that they’ve tightened their lending standards to commercial and industrial customers. The other lines are specified on the chart and are self explanatory . PUKA
FRED:DRTSCILM
by PukaCharts
MACRO MONDAY 32~The SLOOS~ Is Lending Increasing or decreasing?MACRO MONDAY 32 – The SLOOS Released Monday 5th Feb 2024 (for Q4 2023) Released quarterly, the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices (SLOOS) is a survey of up to 80 large domestic banks and 24 branches of international banks to gain insight into credit, lending standards and bank practices. The Federal Reserve issues and collates these voluntary surveys. The surveys generally include 25 questions and a number of special questions about development in banking practices. They cover practices for the previous three months, but also deal with expectations for the coming quarter and year. While some queries are quantitative, most are qualitative. The surveys have come to cover increasingly timely topics, for example, providing the Fed with insight into bank forbearance policies and trends in response to the 2020 economic crisis. Let’s have a look at the culmination of the some of the more important data from the SLOOS in chart form The Chart The blue line on the chart plots the results of the SLOOS survey – specifically, the net percentage of polled banks reporting that they’ve tightened their lending standards to commercial and industrial customers. I have combined the SLOOS Tightening Lending Standards on the chart with the Unemployment Rate. You can clearly see a pattern of the SLOOS leading the Unemployment Rate and also the broad correlation of their trends. Recessions are in grey. The SLOOS Tightening Lending Standards (blue line) ▫️ Lending standards tightened significantly prior to the onset of each of the last three recessions (See green lines and text on chart). ▫️ When lending conditions tightened by 54% or greater it coincided with the last four recessions. (Represented by the horizontal red dashed line on the chart and the red area at the top) ▫️ On two occasions the 54% level being breached would have been a pre-recession warning; prior to the 1990 recession and 2000 recession providing approx. 3 months advance warning. ▫️ When we breached the c.34% level in Jan 2008 it marked the beginning of that recession. We are currently at 33.9% (for Q3 2023) and were as high as 50% in the reading released in July (for Q2 2023). Above the 34% on the chart is the orange area, an area of increased recession risk but not guaranteed recession. ▫️ Interestingly, every recession ended close to when we exited back out below the 34% level. This makes the 34% level an incredibly useful level to watch for tomorrows release. If we break below the 34% level it would be a very good sign. We could speculate that it could be a sign of a soft landing being more probable and could suggest a soft recessionary period has already come and gone (based solely on this chart continuing on a downward trajectory under 34%). I emphasize “speculate”. U.S. Unemployment Rate (Red Line) ▫️ I have included the U.S. Unemployment Rate in red as in the last three recessions you can see that the unemployment rate took a sudden turn up, just before recession. This is a real trigger warning for recession on the chart. Whilst we have had an uptick in recent months, it has not been to the same degree as these prior warning signals. These prior stark increases were an increases of approx. 0.8% over two to three quarters. Our current increase is not even half of this (3.4% to 3.7% from Jan 2023 to present, a 0.3% increase over 1 year). If we rise up to 4.2% or higher we can start getting a little concerned. ▫️ The Unemployment Rate either based or rose above 4.3% prior to the last three recessions onset. This is another important level to watch in conjunction with the 34% and 54% levels on the SLOOS. All these levels increase or decrease the probability of recession and should infer a more or less risk reductive strategy for markets. In the above we covered the Net percentage of Banks Tightening Standards for Commercial and Industrial Loans to Large and mid-sized firms. The SLOOS provides a similar chart dataset for Tightening Standards for Small Firms, and another similar dataset for Consumer Loans and Credit Cards. I will share a chart in the comments that illustrates all three so that tomorrow we can update you with the new data released for all of them. You are now also better equipped to make your own judgement call based on the history and levels represented in the above chart, all of which is only a guide. Remember all these charts are available on TradingView and you can press play and update yourself as to where we are in terms of zones or levels breached on the charts. Thanks for coming along again PUKA
FRED:DRTSCILM
by PukaCharts
UNION BANK LOOKING GOOD TO BUY - LONG TERM INVESTMENT CUP PATTERN Entry Price - 100 SL - 80 Targets - 120,140,170 In this channel, I share my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends to help you make informed decisions in your trading ventures. Stay tuned for daily updates, in-depth market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios to witness firsthand how we transform from Zero to Hero in the trading world. My Only aim is to empower you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the complexities of the financial markets successfully. Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:UNIONBANK
by Jagadheesh_JP
4
JP MORGAN Approaching the ideal sell level.JP Morgan Chase (JPM) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 12 2022 market bottom. Currently it is on a relentless rally since the October 27 2023 Higher Low, which is technically the Bullish Leg towards the Channel's top and new Higher High. The peak points of the previous two main Bullish Legs of the Channel Up, took place when the 1D RSI formed Lower Highs against the price's Higher Highs, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. Since the price is currently so close to the top of the Channel Up, we will wait for the RSI to form that Lower High sequence and enter a confirmed sell. Our target will be 163.00, which is a projected contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci Channel level, which has always been reached during Bearish Legs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JPM
by TradingShot
NUBANK - A perfect example of great TANUBANK - NYSE:NU A beautiful case of Technical Analysis providing all the structures for a winning trade. First shared this idea earlier in the year. It was just an idea....now we are almost 100% up. Surpassed 90% return on this trade since taking up positions in June 2022 and again in Jan 2023. I sold a portion in Aug 2023 with a breach of the 21 day SMA and reentered slightly lower with a stop. We then reclaimed the 21 day and started moving towards the target. What's beautiful about this trade is the following: 1. We had a double bottom 2. We then had a parallel channel breakout with a target that aligned with the 1.618 fib extension. 3. As things progressed we identified a 5 wave Elliot count. Now we have clear incoming targets at $9.04 and $10.17. We will use the RSI oversold timeframes from the past to help identify when we need to watch the chart carefully (red area) and we also know we can rely on the 21 day SMA as a trigger sell. All the hard work is done here on this trade. We just need to ensure we sell some of our position or all of it if it breaks down. Typically after a 5 wave count you get an ABC style correction. With the TA being perfect on this chart to date, it would not surprise me to see a good correction when this wave 5 completes. All the same, we remain in a winning trade and stay on trend until the trend changes. I almost forgot to mention earnings are released next Tuesday 14th November , so we will need to keep an eye then too. NYSE:NU PUKA
NYSE:NULong
by PukaCharts
DXY H8 - Short SignalDXY H8 DXY is currently maintaining its position at the key resistance level of 104, demonstrating resilience at this significant whole number price point. Despite hitting this zone yesterday, we observe a relatively subdued level of market activity. It appears that the markets are in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating a potential surge in trading volume driven by the release of crucial economic indicators, namely NFP, AE, and UE figures scheduled for tomorrow afternoon. Investors seem poised for a potential shift in market dynamics following the upcoming data release. That being said, we are anticipating more downside.
TVC:DXYShort
by Trade_Simple_FX
EURUSD D1 - Correction before LONGSIn the realm of EURUSD, a flurry of Euro-related CPI inflation data is poised to make its entrance in just a matter of minutes. Our focus is keenly set on witnessing a more pronounced rejection of the psychological price point at 1.10, paving the way for a potential support discovery around the 1.08500 mark or even the significant 1.0800 whole number. As our sights remain steadfast on the unfolding market dynamics, the ultimate goal is to orchestrate a breakthrough past the resilient 1.10 resistance. This strategic move is poised to set the stage for an ambitious ascent towards the coveted yearly high, with our eyes firmly fixed on reaching the pinnacle at 1.25.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
Trading Idea: Buy Deutsche Bank (DB) StockDeutsche Bank's stock price has experienced a decline over the past 5 days. This trading idea proposes buying Deutsche Bank (DB) stock. Core Logic The trading idea is based on identifying companies with strong short-term profitability. The strategy focuses on three key factors: Gross Profit Margin: A high gross profit margin indicates that the company is generating substantial profit from its core operations after deducting the cost of goods sold. This is a positive indicator of profitability. Revenue: High revenue suggests that the company is generating substantial income from its business activities. A strong revenue stream indicates a healthy and growing business. Cost of Revenue: A low cost of revenue indicates that the company is efficiently managing its expenses related to producing goods or services. Lower costs lead to higher profit margins and potentially higher profitability. By considering these factors, the trading idea aims to identify companies with strong short-term profitability potential. Based on these insights, the idea suggests buying Deutsche Bank (DB) stock. Please note that this trading idea is suitable for investors with an extremely short investment horizon and an exceptionally high risk tolerance. Technical Outlook Deutsche Bank Approaching Key Support Level Deutsche Bank (DB) is currently trading at 12.09. The stock is approaching a key support level, just 5 cents away from 11.86. Breaking below this level could indicate further losses are ahead. However, if the stock fails to break below this level, it could be viewed positively by bulls, with a retracement being likely. In spite of the current bearish market, market analysts expect Deutsche Bank's price action to test an important upper Bollinger Band® level at $12.47. This indicates that there is potential for a rebound in the stock's price. Deutsche Bank's stock has seen a 10.61% increase in the past month and has outperformed the Nasdaq by 36.18% so far this year. The stock currently has a market cap of $24.29 billion. Yesterday, a total of 1.48 million shares of Deutsche Bank were traded, which is below the multiday average of 2.39 million shares. Today, Deutsche Bank's stock declined by 0.49%, falling from 12.15 to 12.09. This further reinforces the ongoing downtrend of the stock. In summary, Deutsche Bank is approaching a critical support level and breaking below it could lead to further losses. However, failing to break below this level could signal a retracement. Market analysts expect the stock to test an upper Bollinger Band® level at $12.47.
NYSE:DBLong
by NomolosAI
AUDUSD D1 - Long SignalAUDUSD has successfully executed an upward breakout, skillfully navigating a retest after surmounting the significant 0.65 threshold—a resistant range that has steadfastly held its ground for a considerable duration. Anticipating a pullback, seizing a buying opportunity within that zone seems prudent. A substantial upside potential beckons from 0.65, stretching toward our ambitious targets of 0.67200—a robust 220-point range. Notably, minimal resistance is expected beyond 0.65700 along this upward trajectory.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
MORGAN STANLEY Strong buy signal at the bottom of a Channel DownMorgan Stanley (MS) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the beginning of the year and on Friday hit again the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line. Today it formed a MACD Bullish Cross on the 1D time-frame and is issuing a strong buy signal as every time it appeared, in the last 12 months, the price rose by a +8.16% to +27.31% margin. Taking the +8.16% minimum, the price targets $83.50, which is above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but still just below the (dashed) inner Lower Highs trend-line. On a 4-month horizon, we expect an even higher price at around $90 (within Fib 0.618 - 0.786 as the July 25 High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:MSLong
by TradingShot
BANK OF AMERICA One last low and off to a great 2024?The Bank of America Corporation (BAC) got rejected again on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been acting as a Resistance since the March 2022 break-down. This has created a Lower Highs trend-line that is the key pivot level now. But before that, let's see how it's been trading on a +10 year basis. As you see on this chart, ever since the November 2011 Low, the stock has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel, with the extensions serving as very accurate Resistance and Support levels. We have seen 1W MA50 rejections after strong corrections in April 2016 and June 2020. Each of those times, the price hit the Buy Zone (green) before rebounding to a Higher High, while the RSI on the 1M time-frame hit the 38.80 Support. The 1M MA200 (red trend-line), which has been the multi-decade Support since the late 1980s and only broke during the 2009 Housing Crisis, is exactly at the bottom (0.0) of the Fibonacci Channel and will serve as the last Support standing between a recovery and possible oblivion. As a result, BAC is within the Buy Zone that makes it a 4 year buy opportunity, with the most optimal level being just lower, ideally when the 1M RSI hits the 38.80 Support and rebounds. However it will only get confirmed when it closes a 1W candle above the Lower Highs trend-line. As far as a long-term target is concerned, the first Higher High on the Fibonacci scale was made on Fib 2.0 (March 2014), the second on Fib 4.0 (March 2018) and the third on Fib 6.0 (January 2022). Investors could hold, based on this sequence, until the 8.0 Fibonacci extension but on a lesser long-term horizon, we aim at $44.00. It is interesting to point out that while each Cycle within this Channel has approximately been 4 years and each of the rallies around 2 years, like the one we're expecting now. The Sine Waves are the perfect tool to display that. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:BACLong
by TradingShot
3
SoFi Technologies SoFi Technologies (SOFI) A great example of how Fibonacci Extension levels align with support & resistance levels. Confirmations for new entry: - Break above OBV resistance line - Retest of 200 day SMA or break & retest of 1.00 fib ext at $8.70. If already in the trade, congratulations. We are above the 200 SMA and it is upward sloping. It would be nice to see us break and hold above the Aug 2022 highs. I hope this chart can help you manage the trade and de-risk at specific levels or increase allocation by skimming and reentering at specific levels.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by PukaCharts
UPDATE Nedbank heading nicely up to R238.56UPDATE from last time. I thought we would get a bit of a pull back before the upside push, but I was mistaken. Regardless, the price was expected to move up and up it is going. This W Formation that formed and broke out gave a decent Risk to reward 1:2. And At this point where the R:R =1 it's even safe to bank half profits and move stop loss to breakeven. 7>21 RSI>50 Target remains at R238.56 ABOUT THE COMPANY ~ Nedbank Group Limited, commonly known as Nedbank, is one of the largest banking groups in South Africa. (Part of the Big Five!) ~ The company was established in 1888 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. ~ Nedbank is a subsidiary of Old Mutual Limited, a financial services conglomerate. ~ The bank operates in various segments, including Retail and Business Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth Management. ~ Nedbank offers a wide range of financial products and services, including personal and business banking, loans, mortgages, investments, insurance, and asset management. ~ The company has a significant presence in South Africa, with a network of branches and ATMs across the country. ~ Nedbank has also expanded its operations internationally and has representative offices in several African countries, as well as operations in other regions such as the United Kingdom. HOW NEDBANK GOT ITS NAME Nedbank's name is derived from its historical roots. When the bank was established in 1888, it was originally known as the Nederlandsche Bank en Credietvereeniging voor Zuid-Afrika (Dutch Bank and Credit Union for South Africa). Over time, the name was shortened to Nederlandsche Bank voor Zuid-Afrika (Dutch Bank for South Africa) and eventually to Nedbank. The name "Nedbank" reflects the bank's Dutch heritage and its focus on providing banking services in South Africa.
JSE:NEDLong
by Timonrosso
KRE - Regional Banking Crisis or Opportunity? KRE Regional Banking ETF We are currently at oversold levels that offered good historic returns even if we only rise 15% to TASE:TASECTORBALANCE (Dec 2018 low) before moving lower. Given the evolving Banking Crisis we could we revisit the bottom of the long term channel by EOY. This would be a great opportunity. Throwback to TASE:TASECTORBALANCE dollars current idea... stay frosty on this one traders. Current wick low is your stop. Safe Trading PUKA
AMEX:KRELong
by PukaCharts
8