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Coinbase 2021 DPO = Facebook 2012 IPOIdea: Coinbase = Facebook The first 6 months after Coinbase’s DPO reminds me of Facebook’s first 14 months after its 2012 IPO. The exponential increase over the last decade in the velocity of money and how it is exchanged in the markets seems to be a reason why a stock like Coinbase can do movements that previously took 14 months in just about 6 months. That’s 58% faster if we go along with exploring this idea. As of today, Coinbase’s chart looks like it has been emulating Facebook’s. If we take a look into Facebook’s all time chart we’ll come across some interesting technical “coincidences” when extrapolating the 3.618 Fib extensions. If we take the Fibonacci of the all time high of $44.62 and the all time low of $17.43 during the first 6 months of Facebook’s life we get a 3.618 extension of $118.33 that came into existence 4 years later. If we take that all time high of $118.33 and the all time low of $17.43 and we extrapolate and do another Fib extension, the 3.618 lands at $378.76; exactly where the bull run ended (as of today) for Facebook in September of this year. It took 5 years to get to that point from the previous 3.618 extension, but the path had already been drawn. If we extrapolate Coinbase’s potential 3.618 future extensions, we get $1,022 and $3,138. As of 2021, Coinbase sits at a market cap of $68.5 billion. In the banking industry, JPMorgan Chase sits at the #1 spot with $503.5 billion. If Coinbase gets to $3,138 (basically a 10x) that would mean that it would surpass JPMorgan and achieve a future market cap of $671 billion. If Coinbase does a memeish move similar to what Tesla did recently, where it basically took over the entire car industry’s market cap, who knows where it could go. I don’t think this will happen this year or anytime soon, but if it took Facebook 9 years to get close to a $1 trillion market cap, and we take into consideration the exponential change in the velocity of money, it wouldn’t be that inconceivable to think that Coinbase can reach that valuation 58% faster, or in other words, 4 years (or let’s say 5). What’s the likelihood of this scenario happening? Who knows really, but I think that it’s more probable than not. We can take the following into consideration: Coinbase hasn’t even started offering traditional stocks through its exchange. What will happen when/if retail gets the opportunity to trade stocks like Google and Apple through mirror synthetic tokens of their stocks? What will happen when/if Coinbase provides ROTH/IRA/Retirement products through their platform? What will happen when/if Coinbase integrates a social media platform? What if the future of the said Metaverse is not within Facebook but within Coinbase? What if businesses start generating more revenue through Coinbase sales funnels? Just food for thought. Thanks for reading if you got all the way here. *I’ve been diversifying my crypto profits into Coinbase stock since late April, from the $320s all the way down to the $210s. After June, every time it went over $260 I paused accumulating. Up till now, I’ve managed to average a $242 entry price. As of the moment, I’m in a hold position, and currently not buying. Wall Street has set a short term high sell target between $385-$600 and a low buy target between $160-$220. Only time will tell.
NASDAQ:COINLong
by SamuelMedina
4
BBRI: INDICATION OF POTENTIAL BULLISH TREND ON BANKING SECTORSHello Enthusiast Stock Traders! Here's Long-term outlook for BBRI , Please give us the thumbs up and support the channel by Smashing the FOLLOW button :) BBRI has broken out of the Falling Wedge Pattern. Breakout of Falling Wedge could indicates the possibility of bullish movement/reversal ahead. The momentum indicator already crossed above the zero level, it signify the potential upside movement to the target area. The roadmap will be invalid after exceeding the support/target area. DISCLAIMER: This is only an outlook, not a recommedation to buy or sell the stocks.
IDX:BBRILong
by financialfreedomgoals101
$UPST - Is this just the start?!?!This is a hyper bullish count, but considering what this name has done recently and the massive increase in guidance from management, this is far from impossible. 1) Either we have completed a primary 5 wave structure, giving us wave 1 of the cycle around 300 (in yellow) and will now begin a cycle wave 2 that could take us to between 84-135, before a wave 3 takes us to a mind boggling value of 550-600 (white dotted line)....I don't wanna get ahead of myself, but a full completion of this count takes us to 800+, and more likely closer to $900+. This hyper bullish scenario could play out if Upstart is truly the disruptor it claims to be. OR 2) We are in a triple nest which is currently playing out with cycle wave 3 (yellow count, but 3/4/5 are not complete yet), a primary wave 3 (red count, w3 not complete yet, targeting ~400) and an intermediate wave 3 (pink count) which just reached its 161.8% target of ~290. From here we could see a retrace for primary W4 to around 235-210, before we reverse for a intermediate wave 5 and head back to ~400 to reach the primary W3 target (red count). The interesting thing about this is, when you take the red count to its final wave 5 target, you end up at 560-600! this is the same range as W3 target of scenario 1. Regardless of how you count is, you end up at 400, then 600 then 900. The key is, do we hold 235-210, confirming that we are in the triple nest, OR do we fall below 200 and back down to 135-84, confirming that we have just completed cycle wave 1 at 300. Basically, this is looking like a massive opportunity with buy zones at 235-210 and 135-84. Give this name a couple of years and see where we end up! BTFD
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by ir-rizzle
1
GBPAUD H4 - Long SetupGBPAUD H4 As mentioned in the technical rundown, this was yesterdays trade of the day, I managed to bank 1.5R on this after pushing circa 2.2R profit. Couldn't optimise the close, but caught the biggest and fastest chunk which I was happy with. GBP inflation data out this morning showing positive signs and outperforming analyst expectations. GBP positive, but we haven't really seen much of a move off this. AUD again weakness continuations due to everything ongoing with CV19. Looking for a break above resistance and our 1.89 handle, subsequent retest and long opportunity in line with the previous support/resistance break and retest we saw on the 13th September.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
UBS Group AG (UBSG.vx)We can found a technical figure Triangle in the Swiss company UBS Group AG (UBSG.vx) on a daily chart. UBS Group AG is a Swiss multinational investment bank and financial services company founded and based in Switzerland. UBS client services are known for their strict bank–client confidentiality and culture of banking secrecy. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 09/09/2021. If the price holds below this level, you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 12 days towards 14.595 CHF. According to the experts, your stop loss should be around 15.485 CHF if you enter this position. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
SIX:UBSGShort
by legacyFXofficial
1
$UPST - W3 of W3 of W5? Upstart needs to stay above $112.85, and cross $128 and then $135. If it can clear $135, $142 and $150 aren't a long way off. Invalidation level is 105.58....below that level, it wave 4 would have crossed the wave 1 high invalidating this count. My final target is ~265, but that's still a long way away i believe. The above mentioned levels are the ones to watch for the short term. Watch for a bounce between 116-120. TL;DR: PT1 = 135 PT2 = 142 PT3 = 150 SL = 112.85 Inv = 105.58
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by ir-rizzle
Forex & Stock & macro news n°34> Bear utopia: Gamestop (GME) short interest hits lowest level in years, China A50 meltdown *********************** GME, which is down 70% from its high earlier this year, has seen its short interest continue to dwindle as the share price has been ranging for 6 months, likely causing short sellers to look for other opportunities. The short interest being so low compared to usual, and the price looking so heavy it might be about to break, makes it interesting to squeeze these retail lemons for those that don't mind waiting a bit and taking a risk. After the short squeeze the percentage of short went from 150% of float to 40%. Since then it has progressively gone down to the present less than 13% The high volatility makes it important for the proponents of asymmetrical risk reward and "technical analysis" to pay attention to the price action and wait for a decent ABC pullback for a good entry, as close as possible to a logical stop loss. The stock is visibly in complacency and the eternal bagholders are anxious and nervous, easily raging at bears. The stock which has vanished from the media and people minds may be about to break. It's when they least expect it. Bears will also be happy to know that the chinese stock market has crashed, but it may be at the bottom of an ABC, the communists might bailout the market, again. If they do so will they let us known in advance as they sometimes do? I have no idea if it is time to buy or not. The media are not paying much attention to it, fortunatly I am here to warn people. I just don't know what to do with this info and what the repercussions will be. > US divide within the divide, Australia using repression choppers, France revolution *********************** The US divide and "cold civil war" is continuing, with for example universities holding "anti-racism" workshop where students are taught to "accept white inferiority". No comment. Mayors in Florida crossed the Rubicon and are defying the governors orders. New York governor got accused of rape or sexual harassment and Biden asked him to resigned, he responded by threatening to bring everyone down with him, on the official governor website. A US infrastructure bill will make it illegal to question the CDC. Australia has done mass arrests, and is flying helicopters and drones broadcasting the state propaganda and patrolling the country to find and punish people camping all by themselves in remote locations, who knows, they might transmit covid to squirrels? The Australian executive government has been ordered by the judicial branch to make public their covid-19 documents, behind their executive orders (a synonym is dictat), but they have disobeyed and still have not made those public, they plan on appealing the decision. Australia police has the "right" to freely enter into people homes and even remove their kids from them, no court order no nothing, they do as they see fit. China has condemned Australia violations of human rights and the double standard of those that so often have criticized the CCP. France, which is working on creating a Ministry of Truth, yes, really, just like in 1984, has introduced a sanitary pass, and a minister even said with a smile that people who would not vaccinate would technically lose their jobs but without getting unemployment benefits. Several ministers have said "let them have cake" with a vicious smile. The french public is outraged and is protesting on a regular basis with the last official numbers at 250,000 protestors in the middle of holidays, of course the government numbers are below reality. In french islands the crowd even opened fire on police and 9 officers got hit. > West fearful of coming political collapse, taking steps to hold onto power by force *********************** Virtually all of the population are wageslaves and the state has enormous economic control over them, to solidify their control, the EU is banning cash payments over 10,000 euros. But this is not enough for the crumbling ruling class, and so both the US and France are currenctly testing police robots. Reminds me of hedge funds consultations a few years ago, they were all buying bunkers and asking experts how to keep control on their security guards "use obedience collars?". France has made laws making it illegal to film police, and has normalized the use of drones already. This enables to little minority to hold onto power, it has many advantages for them such as blindly following orders including opening fire on the populace, and there is no risk it will show human sympathy for the unwashed masses. They are calling the robots "cute dogs" to not scare the population, it is childish and incredibly stupid but as always the dumbest members of society will fall for it. This dystopian nightmare is nothing new, back in the Bronze Age small "elites" subjugated the population by using bronze armor and weapons. They are very expensive and offer a huge fighting advantage, the population could not afford them and had no solution. All the ancient kingdoms disappeared in the iron age as weapons became cheaper. There are other solutions. For example the slavs were getting raped and enslaved by huns in the 6th century, but a french trader decided to sell weapons to them (and only to their side) and even helped them organise, they broke free and the trader became the first slav king. Another solution is invading armies. The population side with the conquering army. Persian chad Darius built the largest empire ever that contained 50% of earth population, he asked his politicians or bureaucrats "I lowered the taxes, are they fair now?", they answered "yes" and so Darius said "Good. Divide them in 2.". The nobles of Babylon, Egypt etc had inhuman taxes, to give you an idea of how bad it was the taxes back then were nearly as high as today, and some farmers had to sell themselves into slavery to pay their taxes. Putin said that the west not only became absurd (Marcus Tullius Cicero said: The closer the collapse of the Empire the crazier its laws.), but reminded the ruling class that the USSR too thought they could be unfair and ignore discontent because they were "so big and powerful". France ruling class might have gotten the message because they have started to acknowledge the protests and even stopped calling them "antivaxx". They act tough but they are terrified. For example when a bunch of retired generals wrote an open letter saying "the military might have to act" (to defend ghettos from terrorists) the french government panicked and read "we might have to act by arresting the government and declaring martial law", there are many "hints" people can see that reveal what people really think. > Conspiracy theory: The US plan on keeping rates low to continue to steal the populace *********************** Not only does this not seem far fetched but it is logical and seems obvious. The FED is now openly working for the US government, you'd have to have the wrong number of chromosomes to disagree as they literally openly say they cooperate with the treasury... I don't know what more people want but some are stupid enough to still call that a conspiracy theory. Anyway the speculative part is that the FED, which now works for the government, does not want to increase rates, as the broke government has massive debt and keeps increasing its spending, now at an alarming rate. Official US documents from branches of the government have been repeating for more than 2 decades that the situation was not sustainable, so I'm pretty sure they are aware of it. Like Romania and others, the only way for the ruling class to continue this pyramid scheme is to force new people in it, and luckily for them the population has no clue how it all works, so they will just use low rates to steal money from them. They reduce their debt via inflation (average suckers pay). They borrow more at low (de facto negative) rates. They pay back what they owe with no interest. Simple. The clueless "normies" that laugh at you are the ones that get bled dry by this, love karma. They will whine about inequality and after 30 years it will reach their brain that prices and profits went up but their wages did not. The middle class, and even the rich but not ultra rich, pays for the government games through their wages, their savings, their retirements, their dwindling standard of life. Millenials will be the first generation to be worse off than their parents. The poor profit from government spending but make no mistake eventually they will pay, it's just more of a "later" or "one time" thing. They have no money so they will pay in blood. Riots in poor hoods, no access to food, goodbye healthcare (already started), and so on. I think urban dwellers will suffer too, it's likely there is a mass die-off. Very easy to block the roads with trucks or tanks. They're so concentrated and not behind castle walls with long lasting supplies. Strategically (or tactically) their position is known as "suicide". Interestingly french truckers have called for strikes (no more food deliveries) and for a blocus of cities with their massive trucks. Urbans think africans are too stupid to survive, actually they have more than enough food, the starving happens in areas with civil war (everywhere lol) and is strategical; they will soon learn this harsh lesson. Government has been warned of exceptionally fragile supply bottlenecks but as usual they couldn't care less, all that matters is the stuff visible to plebes that gets them re-elected. > Many small and a few big but not biggest central banks increase their interest rates *********************** The US and Europe are not moving theirs. But plenty of countries that are significant "exotics" and "small" ones are. Brazil increased their rate by 100 bps. Russia which now holds 0 usdollars also raised theirs. And Countries we don't really trade including Moldova (100 bps up to 3.25%), Armenia, Georgia, South Korea. The west are just turning into massive pyramid schemes and slowly collapsing. The share of world GDP of the west already is crossing below 50%. The dominance is ending. Other interesting news is that the PBoC are increasing their "green finance" with low cost funding, and are now more convinced than ever to crackdown on crypto. Might be interesting to hold some currencies if rates keep going up without too much inflation (just they maybe weaken against the US ponzi scheme). Just avoid Iran, a Bahrain court convicted them of money laundering. Once the US falls as they did in Afghanistan then maybe Iran will be a smart choice. Will be pretty cool to have the ability of building a diversified portfolio finally. > G30 call for a reform of US treasury, ECB alerts on credit risk and economic fragility *********************** I don't want to go too much into details because it is boring banking stuff. It's not fun like a revolution or a collapse. But quickly: The G30 suggested the US treasury gets reformed, as bouts of dysfunction become increasingly common, and have urged the US to "increase, diversify and stabilise" market-making. To sum up they found that it did not serve its safe-haven purpose (wasn't their "go to" when they wanted quick cash), huh well it's still the "go-to safe haven" of the plebes. Even the bankers dodge the USD, meanwhile it keeps going up because noobs keep irrationally buying it. The group of bankers in particular mentionned the ability to function in time of stress, sort of repeating their "go to safe haven" point. They REALLY want to protect THEIR money. The G30 is made up of current and former heads of the central banks of 17 countries, as well as 2 chairmen from the FED, 2 from the ECB, and a few from international institutions (Basel com., IMF, BIS, World Bank). And the former president of Mexico. Don't ask me why. The ECB for their part are also worried about stress. They did a stress test and found there was banking fragility. I think overall they are satisfied but found vulnerabilities in particular in credit risk, in other words another debt default chain reaction and them, the bankers, not getting their money back.
by MrRenev
2