BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 26-Dec-2024Trading Plan for 26-Dec-2024 – Bank Nifty
Introduction:
The trading plan for 23-Dec-2024 highlighted critical zones, with Yellow indicating sideways trends, Green showing bullish trends, and Red indicating bearish trends. Bank Nifty respected these levels, testing the Opening Resistance/Support Zone but displaying indecision. Price stabilization near support zones provided opportunities for both bullish and bearish trades. Below is the detailed trading plan for 26-Dec-2024 based on potential opening scenarios.
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,593 :
The Last Intraday Resistance Zone (51,719-51,962) becomes crucial. Watch for rejection signals here. A failure to sustain above this zone could trigger a bearish reversal ( Red Trend ).
Action Plan: Short positions can be initiated with a target toward 51,420 , keeping a stop-loss above 52,000 .
If prices sustain above 51,962 , expect a strong bullish trend ( Green Trend ) toward higher levels.
Action Plan: Options traders can consider buying ATM or slightly OTM Call options after confirming an hourly close above resistance.
If Bank Nifty opens within the range of 51,420-51,593 :
This zone is likely to act as a supply zone. Monitor price action for rejection or breakout signs. A rejection may indicate consolidation ( Yellow Trend ) or bearishness.
Action Plan: Trade cautiously with tight stop-losses and wait for clear direction before taking any trades.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Bank Nifty opens near 51,288 (Liquidity Build-up Zone):
Observe price action in the first 15-30 minutes. If the index moves toward 51,420 , wait for either rejection or breakout confirmation.
Action Plan: A breakout with volume can lead to bullish momentum toward 51,593 .
If prices decline toward the Opening Support Zone (51,073) , anticipate either a consolidation phase ( Yellow Trend ) or a potential bounce ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan: Consider long positions above 51,073 , targeting 51,288 .
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens near 51,010-51,073 :
This is a key support zone. Look for potential bounce signals ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan: If prices sustain, options traders can initiate long positions in ATM Call options , targeting 51,288 .
If prices break and sustain below 51,010 , bearish momentum ( Red Trend ) is expected toward the Last Intraday Support (50,781) .
If Bank Nifty opens near 50,781 or below:
This represents the Last Intraday Support Zone . Look for reversal signals before entering long trades.
Action Plan: If this support is decisively broken, expect further bearishness. Avoid aggressive trades and wait for confirmation.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always trade with defined targets and stop-losses .
Avoid over-leveraging, especially near resistance and support zones.
For gap-up or gap-down openings, allow the market to settle for at least 15-30 minutes before making trades.
Use trailing stop-losses to protect profits in trending moves.
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty is trading within defined ranges, and the outlined levels will guide trades based on the opening scenario. Focus on the Opening Support and Resistance Zones for actionable trades. Execute trades with patience, discipline, and proper risk management.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any positions.
Bankniftytrendanalysis
BANKNIFTY : Levels, prediction and Plan for 19-Dec-2024Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's trading plan, BankNifty tested the Wave C Support Zone near 51,903 - 52,068 as highlighted in yesterday's trading plan, showing indecision within the sideways range (Yellow Trend). As expected, the index respected the completion zone for Wave C and stayed above the support area for most of the session. However, no clear breakout or breakdown occurred.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan for three potential opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down, considering a gap opening of 200+ points. The key levels and actionable strategies are explained below.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens above the Resistance for Sideways Trade at 52,647, it indicates bullish sentiment.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for a sustained breakout above this level. If the price holds above 52,647, the next target will be the Last Intraday Resistance at 53,039.
- However, failure to sustain above 52,647 may lead to a retracement back to the Opening Resistance at 52,381.
- Action Plan:
- Initiate long positions only if an hourly candle closes above **52,647**, with targets at **53,039**.
- If price fails to sustain and shows weakness, wait for retracement back to **52,381** for possible re-entry opportunities.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near the Opening Resistance at 52,381, it signals indecision, and price may move sideways (Yellow Trend) before providing direction.
- A breakout above 52,381 can trigger a move toward the Resistance for Sideways Trade (52,647), while a breakdown below 52,205 (previous close) could drag prices back toward the Wave C Completion Zone at 52,068 - 51,903.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading immediately after the open. Let price break above **52,381** for bullish trades, targeting **52,647**.
- A breakdown below **52,205** could signal short opportunities with targets at **52,068** and **51,903**.
- Manage risk by placing stops based on an hourly candle close above/below these levels.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens near or below the Wave C Completion Zone (52,068 - 51,903), it signals bearish momentum.
- Look for signs of support formation in this zone, as prices could take a reversal from here (Green Trend).
- Failure to hold 51,903 could lead to further downside towards the critical support at 51,418 (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for long opportunities if Bank Nifty holds above **51,903** with confirmation (hourly close), targeting a bounce back to **52,205** and then **52,381**.
- If price decisively breaks below **51,903**, consider short trades toward **51,418**, with a strict stop loss above **52,068**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Use spreads like Bull Call Spreads for bullish moves or Bear Put Spreads for downside moves to limit risks in volatile openings.
Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes if opening is erratic or near key levels like the Wave C zone. Let the price stabilize.
Always place stop losses on an hourly candle close basis for better risk management.
Avoid over-leveraging; focus on maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio (minimum 1:2).
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty remains at a crucial juncture near the Wave C Completion Zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 52,381, 52,647, 53,039
Downside: 52,205, 52,068, 51,903, and 51,418
Yellow Trend reflects sideways price action, Green Trend signals bullish reversals, and Red Trend highlights bearish continuation.
Focus on price action near key levels, and avoid trading in uncertain zones.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
Ramco Cements: Bullish Flag BreakoutNSE:RAMCOCEM Ramco Cements has recently given a bullish flag breakout at ₹1040, indicating a strong upward momentum in the stock. A bullish flag pattern is a continuation pattern that signifies the resumption of an uptrend after a brief consolidation phase. The breakout from this pattern suggests a renewed buying interest, backed by robust volumes.
Trading Setup:
Entry Price: ₹1040
Stop Loss: ₹987 (below the consolidation zone)
Targets:
First Target: ₹1072.10
Second Target: ₹1104.10
Third Target: ₹1136.10
Fourth Target: ₹1168.05
Final Target: ₹1200.05
Risk-Reward Ratio:
This trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, making it an attractive opportunity for swing traders.
Key Observations:
The stock has been in an uptrend, supported by strong institutional buying.
The breakout is accompanied by above-average volumes, adding conviction to the move.
Key resistance levels are expected at the target prices, while the stop loss is strategically
placed below the recent consolidation range to minimize risk.
Recommendation:
Traders can consider buying Ramco Cements at ₹1040 for the above-mentioned targets. Ensure strict adherence to the stop loss of ₹987 to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before taking any trading or investment decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Analysis, Levels and trading Plan
On the previous trading day, Bank Nifty exhibited significant volatility with a Change of Character (ChoCH) around ₹51,904, highlighting a potential shift in market structure. The index hovered near the Extended Retracement Zone and tested liquidity areas multiple times. Sellers maintained control near ₹52,342 (Golden Retracement Zone), while the buying attempts around ₹51,816 indicated weakening demand. Yellow represents a sideways trend, green indicates bullish potential, and red signals bearish sentiment.
Here’s the detailed plan for all opening scenarios (Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down):
Gap Up Opening (+200 points or more above ₹51,983)
Resistance Zone Focus (₹52,342-₹52,583): A gap-up opening above ₹51,983 would push Bank Nifty closer to the Golden Retracement Zone for sellers. Watch for bearish patterns like bearish engulfing or evening stars in this area.
Action Plan:
Entry: Short near ₹52,342 after bearish confirmation.
Target: ₹51,924 (support zone) and ₹51,816 (extended retracement).
Stop Loss: Above ₹52,600 to manage risk effectively.
Breakout Potential (Above ₹52,583): If the index sustains above ₹52,583 with strong volume, it could signal bullish momentum toward higher levels.
Action Plan:
Entry: Long above ₹52,583 after confirmation with a 15-minute candle close.
Target: ₹52,800-₹53,000.
Stop Loss: Below ₹52,400 to avoid false breakouts.
Flat Opening (Near ₹51,983)
Opening Support/Resistance Zone (₹51,924-₹51,983): If the market opens flat, the initial focus will be on whether Bank Nifty holds above ₹51,924. A decisive break above or rejection from this zone will guide further action.
Action Plan for Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Long above ₹51,983 with strong buying momentum.
Target: ₹52,342 and ₹52,583.
Stop Loss: Below ₹51,900 to limit downside risk.
Action Plan for Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Short below ₹51,924 after confirming selling pressure.
Target: ₹51,816 and ₹51,571.
Stop Loss: Above ₹52,000 for safety.
Extended Retracement Zone (₹51,816): If the index drifts below ₹51,924, monitor the demand zone near ₹51,816 for potential buying interest.
Look for bullish candlestick patterns like hammers or morning stars.
Gap Down Opening (-200 points or more below ₹51,983)
Failure of Demand (₹51,571-₹51,499): A gap-down opening below ₹51,816 will test lower retracement zones. If buyers fail to hold at ₹51,571, the bearish trend may intensify.
Action Plan:
Entry: Short below ₹51,571 with bearish confirmation.
Target: ₹51,274 (key buyer support).
Stop Loss: Above ₹51,700 to minimize risk.
Buyers’ Support (₹51,274): If Bank Nifty approaches the buyers' support zone near ₹51,274, look for reversals as this is a historically strong support level.
Action Plan:
Entry: Long near ₹51,274 after bullish reversal patterns form.
Target: ₹51,571 and ₹51,816.
Stop Loss: Below ₹51,150 to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Position sizing is key: Do not risk more than 2% of your trading capital on any single trade.
Avoid over-leveraging by sticking to liquid options with balanced premiums.
Use defined strategies like debit spreads or credit spreads to cap losses.
Focus on the implied volatility (IV) and avoid trading options with extremely high or low IV.
Avoid trading in the first 15 minutes, as the market is prone to excessive volatility during this period.
Summary and Conclusion
The Bank Nifty is poised to trade within well-defined zones, with ₹51,924 as the immediate pivot level. A breach of ₹52,342 could lead to a bullish rally, while failure at ₹51,571 would extend the bearish momentum. Stick to the plan and use confirmation patterns before entering trades.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor or do your research before taking any trading positions.
medium term trading opportunity in samvardhna mothersonHi,
NSE:MOTHERSON has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision
Nifty Bank (BANKNIFTY) Targets post election 2024The chart provided is of the Nifty Bank Index on the 4-hour timeframe from NSE, created using TradingView. Here is a detailed analysis and summary:
Trend and Channel Analysis:
1. Ascending Channel: The chart shows the Nifty Bank Index moving within an ascending channel, bounded by two parallel trend lines.
2. Support and Resistance: The lower trend line acts as support, while the upper trend line acts as resistance. The price has bounced off the lower trend line multiple times, indicating strong support.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from a recent swing low to a swing high, showing key levels of potential support and resistance.
1. 0% Level (48,333.10): The starting point of the retracement.
2. 50% Level (49,682.25): Often considered a strong support/resistance level.
3. 61.8% Level (50,000.70): Known as the golden ratio, it is a significant level where price action often finds support or resistance.
4. 100% Level (51,031.45): The end point of the retracement.
Key Levels and Potential Targets:
1. Current Price: The current price is 48,967.95, slightly below the 50% Fibonacci level of 49,682.25.
2. Immediate Support: Around 48,333.10 (0% Fibonacci level).
3. Immediate Resistance: Around 49,682.25 (50% Fibonacci level).
4. Next Key Resistance: Around 50,000.70 (61.8% Fibonacci level).
5. Further Resistance: Around 51,031.45 (100% Fibonacci level).
Future Projections:
1. Upside Potential: If the price breaks above the 50% Fibonacci level (49,682.25), the next target could be the 61.8% Fibonacci level (50,000.70), followed by the 100% Fibonacci level (51,031.45).
2. Downside Risk: If the price falls below the current level, it may find support at the 0% Fibonacci level (48,333.10).
Other Observations:
1. Volume and Momentum: Volume and other momentum indicators (not shown in the chart) would be helpful to confirm the strength of the trend.
2. Candlestick Patterns: Analysis of recent candlestick patterns could provide additional insights into market sentiment and potential reversals.
Summary:
- The Nifty Bank Index is currently in an ascending channel with key support and resistance levels defined by Fibonacci retracement.
- The price is slightly below the 50% retracement level, suggesting potential resistance.
- Breaking above this level could lead to further gains towards 50,000.70 and 51,031.45.
- Conversely, if the price falls, it may find support around 48,333.10.
Monitoring the price action around these key Fibonacci levels and the channel boundaries will be crucial for identifying potential trading opportunities.
Nifty Bank Index - BANKNIFTYThe chart depicts the 4-hour price movement of the Nifty Bank Index on the NSE. Here is an analysis and summary:
Analysis:
1. Possible Double Top: The chart indicates a potential double top pattern around the 49,300 level, which is a bearish reversal signal.
2. Current Price Movement: The price has recently declined from the double-top region, suggesting a potential pullback.
3. Support Levels:
- 50% Retracement: The price might find support around the 48,590 level, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
- 61.8% Retracement: A stronger support is expected around the 48,320 level, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
4. Target:
- If the index respects these retracement levels and rebounds, the 100% target is projected at 50,500, suggesting a potential uptrend continuation.
Forecasted Movement:
- Short-term: The price might continue to decline towards the 48,590 level, and possibly to the 48,320 level.
- Reversal Potential: If the price finds support at these levels, a rebound is likely, leading to an upward movement towards the 50,500 target.
- Bullish Scenario: The chart shows a potential bullish scenario if the support levels hold, leading to a rise back towards and possibly beyond the recent highs.
Summary:
The Nifty Bank Index chart shows a potential double top formation indicating a bearish reversal. However, if the index finds support at the 50% (48,590) or 61.8% (48,320) Fibonacci retracement levels, there is a potential for a bullish reversal aiming for the 50,500 target. It is crucial to monitor these support levels for potential buying opportunities and confirmation of the upward trend resumption.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(05/04/2024) Today will be gap down opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty start trading below 47950 level then possible downside rally of 400-500 points upto 47550 Level in todays session.Any Major upside only expected in case banknifty starts trading above 48050 level to 48450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 48550 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/03/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 47550 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 47950 level in todays session.Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 47450 level to 47050 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakdown 46950 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(05/03/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 47550 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 47950 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 48050 level in todays session.Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 47450 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(23/02/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 47050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 474550 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 47550 level in todays session .Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 46950 level. also possible reversal downside 46950 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/02/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 46050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 46450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 46550 level in todays session .Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 45950 level.
Reversal Falling Wedge Pattern in BANKNIFTY INDEXBANKNIFTY Index
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 15 Min Time Frame Banknifty Index Showing Reversal of Falling Wedge Pattern.
📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Below 44560-.
📈 There have chances of breakdown of Support level too.
📈 After breakdown of Support level this Banknifty index can gives strong downside rally upto below 43544-.
📈 Can Go short in this Banknifty index by placing a stop loss Above 45802+.
Banknifty--@What is Resistance (S or T)??Banknifty index is clearly broken the support @47000 zone.
Price recently broken the longer term trendline as well..
Now price is trading near to support zones at 44500 minor support zone and
43500-43200 major support zone.
Short Opportunity::
Enter the short positions when price tap into this resistance zone(Support) or facing resistance from trendline.look for short opportunities from this zone.
Long Opportunity::
Enter long positions when price tap into the major support zone.looking for long opportunities from this support.
Case:1
We have a resistance in the form of support @47000.
Case:2
We have resistance in the form of trendline.
BANK NIFTY:DOBLE BOTTOMOver the past few days, NSE:BANKNIFTY has been exhibiting a downtrend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. However, a notable development is the formation of a double bottom structure, which could potentially signal a reversal in the current trend.
The double bottom pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that typically occurs after a prolonged downtrend. It consists of two troughs or "bottoms" at approximately the same price level, separated by a peak or "neckline." In this case, traders are advised to observe the pattern for a potential breakout.
To initiate a trade based on this pattern, one should wait for a breakout and closing of a candle above the neckline. This breakout acts as a confirmation of the potential trend reversal. It is crucial to emphasize the importance of waiting for a candle close above the neckline to reduce the likelihood of a false signal.
The target for this trade is calculated by measuring the distance between the low of one bottom and the neckline. This distance is then projected upwards from the breakout point to estimate the potential upward move. Traders should keep in mind that the target is a theoretical projection and may be influenced by various market factors.
Additionally, it is common for the market to retest the breakout level after the initial breakout. Traders should be prepared for a retest and not be alarmed if the price revisits the neckline. The retest provides an opportunity to confirm the strength of the breakout and potentially add to the position.
Risk management is paramount in any trading strategy. Traders should determine their risk appetite and set a proper stop loss level. The stop loss should be placed below the second bottom or at a level that aligns with the trader's risk tolerance. This ensures that losses are controlled in case the trade does not unfold as anticipated.
In summary, the analysis suggests a potential opportunity for a bullish trade in Bank Nifty based on the double bottom pattern. However, traders should exercise caution, wait for a confirmed breakout, set realistic targets, and implement effective risk management to enhance the probability of a successful trade.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/01/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 47550 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 47950 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 48050 level.Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 47450 level.also possible reversal downside 47950 level.
15 SEPT 2023 BANKNIFTY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELSHello Guys,
Good Morning everyone,
According to the data today market is going to open a gap up
After A Gap-up opening if Banknifty sustains Above 47800 and takes Support from 47800 then open target for T1-48000, T2-48100,T3-48200
If the Banknifty Gap-up opening sustains Below 47500 and takes resistance below 47500 then the open Targets for T1-47400, T2-47300,T3-47200
Major Levels 47500,47600,48000
If the market stands in this area of 47800 to 48000, then it is possible that even today the market will remain in the range.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels (02/01/2024) Today will be gap down opening in BANKNIFTY . After opening if banknifty start trading below 47950 level then possible downside rally of 400-500 points upto 47550 Level todays session.Any Major upside only expected in case banknifty starts trading above 48050 level.