BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Dec-2024Plan vs. Actual Performance (23-Dec-2024):
In today's session, Bank Nifty opened near the 51,097-51,272 resistance/support zone, as anticipated in the plan.
Prices respected the Opening Resistance/Support zone , consolidating within this range initially (yellow trend indicating sideways movement).
A breakout above 51,272 was short-lived, and prices struggled to sustain higher levels, aligning with the plan's cautionary note about rejection patterns.
The range-bound behavior observed in the chart perfectly matches the yellow zone prediction in the plan, highlighting indecision in the market before testing key levels.
No significant bullish or bearish breakout was sustained, demonstrating the market's hesitancy near the projected levels.
Key Takeaway: The trading plan's highlighted zones (resistance and support) provided reliable levels for observing price action and market trends, with the sideways movement being accurately forecasted.
The chart for the 24th of December 2024 provides a detailed plan for different opening scenarios, including gap up, flat, and gap down openings. This plan will help traders navigate the market effectively.
Trading Plan for 24-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens above 51,593.00, look for a bullish trend continuation towards the next resistance level at 51,719.00. Monitor price action around 51,719.00. If the price sustains above this level, the next target would be 51,962.00. Place a stop loss below 51,593.00 to manage risk.
Flat Opening
If the market opens around the previous close of 51,287.25, observe the price action within the no trade zone (51,306.90 to 51,353.00). A breakout above 51,353.00 could signal a bullish trend towards 51,420.95. A breakdown below 51,306.90 could indicate a bearish trend towards 51,267.00. Manage risk by placing stop losses just outside the no trade zone.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens below 51,073.00, look for a bearish trend continuation towards the next support level at 51,010.00. Monitor price action around 51,010.00. If the price sustains below this level, the next target would be 50,781.00. Place a stop loss above 51,073.00 to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging; trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for the 24th of December 2024 outlines strategies for different opening scenarios, including gap up, flat, and gap down openings. By following the plan and adhering to risk management principles, traders can navigate the market effectively. Remember, the yellow trend indicates sideways movement, the green trend indicates a bullish trend, and the red trend indicates a bearish trend.
Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
Bankniftyview
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 26-Dec-2024Trading Plan for 26-Dec-2024 – Bank Nifty
Introduction:
The trading plan for 23-Dec-2024 highlighted critical zones, with Yellow indicating sideways trends, Green showing bullish trends, and Red indicating bearish trends. Bank Nifty respected these levels, testing the Opening Resistance/Support Zone but displaying indecision. Price stabilization near support zones provided opportunities for both bullish and bearish trades. Below is the detailed trading plan for 26-Dec-2024 based on potential opening scenarios.
Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,593 :
The Last Intraday Resistance Zone (51,719-51,962) becomes crucial. Watch for rejection signals here. A failure to sustain above this zone could trigger a bearish reversal ( Red Trend ).
Action Plan: Short positions can be initiated with a target toward 51,420 , keeping a stop-loss above 52,000 .
If prices sustain above 51,962 , expect a strong bullish trend ( Green Trend ) toward higher levels.
Action Plan: Options traders can consider buying ATM or slightly OTM Call options after confirming an hourly close above resistance.
If Bank Nifty opens within the range of 51,420-51,593 :
This zone is likely to act as a supply zone. Monitor price action for rejection or breakout signs. A rejection may indicate consolidation ( Yellow Trend ) or bearishness.
Action Plan: Trade cautiously with tight stop-losses and wait for clear direction before taking any trades.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 Points)
If Bank Nifty opens near 51,288 (Liquidity Build-up Zone):
Observe price action in the first 15-30 minutes. If the index moves toward 51,420 , wait for either rejection or breakout confirmation.
Action Plan: A breakout with volume can lead to bullish momentum toward 51,593 .
If prices decline toward the Opening Support Zone (51,073) , anticipate either a consolidation phase ( Yellow Trend ) or a potential bounce ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan: Consider long positions above 51,073 , targeting 51,288 .
Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (200+ Points)
If Bank Nifty opens near 51,010-51,073 :
This is a key support zone. Look for potential bounce signals ( Green Trend ).
Action Plan: If prices sustain, options traders can initiate long positions in ATM Call options , targeting 51,288 .
If prices break and sustain below 51,010 , bearish momentum ( Red Trend ) is expected toward the Last Intraday Support (50,781) .
If Bank Nifty opens near 50,781 or below:
This represents the Last Intraday Support Zone . Look for reversal signals before entering long trades.
Action Plan: If this support is decisively broken, expect further bearishness. Avoid aggressive trades and wait for confirmation.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always trade with defined targets and stop-losses .
Avoid over-leveraging, especially near resistance and support zones.
For gap-up or gap-down openings, allow the market to settle for at least 15-30 minutes before making trades.
Use trailing stop-losses to protect profits in trending moves.
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty is trading within defined ranges, and the outlined levels will guide trades based on the opening scenario. Focus on the Opening Support and Resistance Zones for actionable trades. Execute trades with patience, discipline, and proper risk management.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any positions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 23-Dec-202423-Dec-2024 Bank Nifty Trading Plan
Color-Coding:
Yellow: Sideways trend. Green: Bullish trend. Red: Bearish trend.
23-Dec-2024 Trading Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (+200 points or more):
If Bank Nifty opens above 51,272 but below 51,420 , this range acts as an immediate resistance zone. Watch for bearish rejection patterns like a double top or bearish engulfing to initiate short trades targeting 51,097-50,872 .
If prices sustain above 51,420 , the sentiment shifts bullish. Consider long trades above this level with targets of 51,832-52,000 . Use a stop loss at 51,250 to manage risk effectively.
Flat Opening:
A flat opening near 50,872-50,664 suggests consolidation. Wait for a breakout above 51,097 for long trades targeting 51,272-51,420 .
Alternatively, a breakdown below 50,664 may trigger bearish momentum. Short trades can be initiated below this level, targeting 50,069-49,800 . Use hourly candle closes to confirm breakdown or breakout for improved accuracy.
Gap Down Opening (-200 points or more):
A gap down below 50,664 puts immediate focus on 50,069 as a critical support level. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or morning star) within this zone to initiate long trades targeting 50,664-50,872 .
If prices fail to hold 50,069 , expect extended bearish pressure, with short trade targets at 49,800-49,500 . Maintain a stop loss at 50,150 to protect capital.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Prefer buying options in volatile markets instead of selling to limit risk.
Use spreads (e.g., bull call spreads or bear put spreads) for defined risk-reward.
Monitor implied volatility (IV) levels; higher IV suggests premium decay risk for sellers.
Cap exposure to a fixed percentage of your trading capital per trade.
Summary & Conclusion:
Bank Nifty’s movement on 23-Dec-2024 will revolve around critical zones, especially 51,097-51,272 and 50,664-50,069 . Respect these levels and wait for confirmations before initiating trades. Effective risk management and disciplined execution are key to navigating volatile markets.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024
Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan
As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings.
Plan for Different Opening Scenarios
Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902):
If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance.
Plan of Action:
Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450.
In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume.
Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls.
Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range):
A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move.
Plan of Action:
Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000.
If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902.
Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction.
Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902):
A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664.
Plan of Action:
If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900.
A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200.
Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade.
Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits.
Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses.
Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(19/12/2024)Today will be gap down opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 51950 level then expected strong downside rally of 400-500+ points. Any upside reversal only expected if banknifty sustain above the 52050 level. Upside 52450 level is the resistance level for the today's session.
BANKNIFTY : Levels, prediction and Plan for 19-Dec-2024Intro: Previous Day's Plan vs Actual
In yesterday's trading plan, BankNifty tested the Wave C Support Zone near 51,903 - 52,068 as highlighted in yesterday's trading plan, showing indecision within the sideways range (Yellow Trend). As expected, the index respected the completion zone for Wave C and stayed above the support area for most of the session. However, no clear breakout or breakdown occurred.
Now, for 19-Dec-2024, we will plan for three potential opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down, considering a gap opening of 200+ points. The key levels and actionable strategies are explained below.
Trading Scenarios for 19-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens above the Resistance for Sideways Trade at 52,647, it indicates bullish sentiment.
- Monitor the first 30 minutes for a sustained breakout above this level. If the price holds above 52,647, the next target will be the Last Intraday Resistance at 53,039.
- However, failure to sustain above 52,647 may lead to a retracement back to the Opening Resistance at 52,381.
- Action Plan:
- Initiate long positions only if an hourly candle closes above **52,647**, with targets at **53,039**.
- If price fails to sustain and shows weakness, wait for retracement back to **52,381** for possible re-entry opportunities.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near the Opening Resistance at 52,381, it signals indecision, and price may move sideways (Yellow Trend) before providing direction.
- A breakout above 52,381 can trigger a move toward the Resistance for Sideways Trade (52,647), while a breakdown below 52,205 (previous close) could drag prices back toward the Wave C Completion Zone at 52,068 - 51,903.
- Action Plan:
- Avoid trading immediately after the open. Let price break above **52,381** for bullish trades, targeting **52,647**.
- A breakdown below **52,205** could signal short opportunities with targets at **52,068** and **51,903**.
- Manage risk by placing stops based on an hourly candle close above/below these levels.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens near or below the Wave C Completion Zone (52,068 - 51,903), it signals bearish momentum.
- Look for signs of support formation in this zone, as prices could take a reversal from here (Green Trend).
- Failure to hold 51,903 could lead to further downside towards the critical support at 51,418 (red trend).
- Action Plan:
- Look for long opportunities if Bank Nifty holds above **51,903** with confirmation (hourly close), targeting a bounce back to **52,205** and then **52,381**.
- If price decisively breaks below **51,903**, consider short trades toward **51,418**, with a strict stop loss above **52,068**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders :
Use spreads like Bull Call Spreads for bullish moves or Bear Put Spreads for downside moves to limit risks in volatile openings.
Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes if opening is erratic or near key levels like the Wave C zone. Let the price stabilize.
Always place stop losses on an hourly candle close basis for better risk management.
Avoid over-leveraging; focus on maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio (minimum 1:2).
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty remains at a crucial juncture near the Wave C Completion Zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Upside: 52,381, 52,647, 53,039
Downside: 52,205, 52,068, 51,903, and 51,418
Yellow Trend reflects sideways price action, Green Trend signals bullish reversals, and Red Trend highlights bearish continuation.
Focus on price action near key levels, and avoid trading in uncertain zones.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their analysis or consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 18-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Bank Nifty – 18th December 2024
The chart for 17th December 2024 outlined key levels like the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,581 - ₹52,998)**, deep retracement at ₹51,868-₹52,074, and potential resistance levels like ₹53,225 and ₹53,519. The plan predicted consolidation within the golden zone and a potential breakout. On 17th December, Bank Nifty respected the yellow highlighted zone (sideways trend) but showed weakness at intraday resistance. Buyers failed to take control, indicating the market might revisit lower retracement zones.
Now, let's discuss the detailed trading plan for 18th December based on potential opening scenarios.
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Trading Plan for 18th December 2024
Key Levels for the Day:
Support Zone: ₹52,581 - ₹52,789 (Golden Retracement Zone)
Resistance Levels: ₹53,225 (Intraday Resistance), ₹53,519 (Resistance for New Highs)
Deep Retracement Zone: ₹52,074 - ₹51,868 (113%-127% Fibonacci)
Yellow Trend indicates sideways consolidation, Green Trend shows bullish movements, and Red Trend highlights bearish trends.
---
1. Gap-Up Opening (+200 Points or More Above ₹52,998)
- If Bank Nifty opens above ₹52,998, it enters the upper band of the **Golden Retracement Zone**.
- Immediate focus will be on **₹53,225** (Intraday Resistance).
- A bullish breakout above ₹53,225 may lead to a quick move toward **₹53,519** (Resistance for New Highs).
Plan of Action:
Look for bullish price action confirmation (green candles, strong volumes) near ₹52,998-₹53,225.
Place a buy trade above ₹53,225 for targets of ₹53,519, with a stop loss at ₹52,900.
If resistance at ₹53,225 holds and bearish candles appear, plan short trades below ₹53,000 targeting ₹52,789-₹52,581 (lower retracement zone).
Tips: Avoid chasing trades during the first 15 minutes; wait for clear price action confirmation around resistance zones.
---
2. Flat Opening (Near ₹52,789 - ₹52,998)
- A flat opening within the **Golden Retracement Zone** suggests potential sideways consolidation.
- Buyers will likely attempt to defend the zone between ₹52,789-₹52,581.
Plan of Action:
Observe price behavior within the range. If support holds above ₹52,789, consider a buy trade above ₹52,998 with targets at ₹53,225 and ₹53,519.
If price breaks below ₹52,581, shift focus to the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074-₹51,868)**. Plan a short trade targeting ₹52,074 with a stop loss at ₹52,800.
Tips: For options traders, use **strangle or straddle strategies** to capture sideways volatility if price stays within the golden retracement range.
---
3. Gap-Down Opening (-200 Points or Below ₹52,581)
- A gap-down opening below ₹52,581 will indicate bearish pressure.
- Price is likely to test the **Deep Retracement Zone (₹52,074 - ₹51,868)**, a potential reversal area for Wave C.
Plan of Action:
Wait for price to enter the deep retracement zone. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near ₹52,074-₹51,868 before initiating a buy trade targeting ₹52,581 .
If price fails to hold ₹51,868, plan short trades targeting ₹51,500 with a stop loss at ₹52,200.
For aggressive traders, sell on breakdowns below ₹52,581 for quick intraday moves toward the deep retracement zone.
Tips: In case of a gap-down, avoid panic trades. Wait for price to stabilize and confirm levels before entering positions.
---
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2% of capital per trade.
Use hedging strategies like bull call spreads or bear put spreads to limit risks during volatile sessions.
Always place stop-loss orders for both futures and options trades.
Avoid trading options with low liquidity to minimize slippage.
---
Summary and Conclusion:
- For 18th December 2024, the **Golden Retracement Zone (₹52,789 - ₹52,998)** is the key area to watch. A breakout above ₹53,225 can trigger a bullish rally, while a breakdown below ₹52,581 may lead to further bearishness toward the deep retracement zone.
- Sideways consolidation is expected if the price remains within the golden retracement range.
- Focus on price action signals and risk management to navigate the session effectively.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The views expressed here are for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 17-Dec-2024🔹 Previous Day's Plan vs Actual (16-Dec-2024):
In yesterday's trading plan, we identified the No Trade Zone / Liquidity Zone near 53,395-53,705, expecting consolidation in this range. We also highlighted the Opening Support/Resistance Zone at 53,277-53,233 as a critical area to observe.
As seen in today's chart, Bank Nifty respected the No Trade Zone before showing rejection at higher levels. The price tested the Opening Support Zone and bounced back but failed to sustain above key resistance. This reflects sideways movement (Yellow Trend) and minor bearish pressure in the later part of the session.
Today's plan will analyze three key opening scenarios for 17-Dec-2024 and guide traders with actionable steps. We will also focus on risk management strategies for options traders.
🔹 Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 17-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens above the No Trade Zone (53,705) and sustains, we could see bullish momentum. The next key resistance is the Profit Booking Zone at 54,233-54,472, which coincides with a potential new high.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Observe price action for the first 15-30 minutes.
If prices sustain above 53,705 on an hourly candle close , initiate long positions with a target of 54,233 and an extended target of 54,472.
Place a stop loss below 53,705 to protect against reversal.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation:
Sustaining above 53,705.
Aggressive moves can be expected if volumes increase near this level.
🔹 Key Target Levels:
First Target: 54,233.
Extended Target: 54,472.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
Avoid chasing a gap-up rally; wait for a pullback near support zones before entering trades. Options traders can buy slightly ITM CE to mitigate time decay.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 53,490)
If Bank Nifty opens flat, focus on the No Trade Zone between 53,395-53,705. This zone is likely to show sideways movement (Yellow Trend) unless a breakout or breakdown occurs.
🔹 Plan of Action:
Avoid initiating trades inside the No Trade Zone as price could face rejection.
A breakout above 53,705 will trigger bullish momentum (Green Trend).
A breakdown below 53,395 will open doors for bearish movement (Red Trend).
🔹 Trade Setups:
Long Position: Above 53,705, targeting 54,233.
Short Position: Below 53,395, targeting 53,277 and 53,002.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
Use tight stop losses near breakout/breakdown points. For options traders, wait for hourly candle confirmations to avoid false signals.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If Bank Nifty opens below 53,277 (Opening Support/Resistance Zone), bearish pressure may intensify. The Last Support for Intraday at 53,002 will be the crucial level to watch. If this support fails, expect a sharp fall toward 52,577.
🔹 Plan of Action:
If prices open near 53,277, observe price behavior for the first 15-30 minutes.
If the level fails to hold, initiate short positions with a target of 53,002 and an extended target of 52,577.
If Bank Nifty shows a bounce from 53,277, look for reversal opportunities toward 53,490.
🔹 Bearish Confirmation:
Sustaining below 53,277 with strong bearish candles.
Volumes increasing near the support breakdown will signal further downside.
🔹 Key Target Levels:
First Target: 53,002.
Extended Target: 52,577.
🔹 Risk Management Tip:
For options traders, buy slightly OTM PE with defined stop loss above resistance. Avoid holding short positions overnight in case of volatility.
🔹 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders:
Avoid taking positions during the first 15 minutes to avoid false breakouts.
Use slightly ITM options to reduce time decay impact.
Focus on hourly candle closes for confirmation of breakouts or breakdowns.
Always have a stop loss in place to protect against sudden reversals.
Trade with smaller position sizes when market volatility is high.
🔹 Summary & Conclusion:
A Gap Up Opening above 53,705 can lead to bullish continuation toward 54,233-54,472.
A Flat Opening inside the No Trade Zone requires caution. Look for a breakout above 53,705 or breakdown below 53,395 for direction.
A Gap Down Opening below 53,277 can trigger bearish moves toward 53,002 and 52,577.
Yellow Trend represents sideways consolidation, Green Trend signals bullish moves, and Red Trend indicates bearish momentum.
🔹 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 17th DecToday, BankNifty closed with a minor gap-down and traded in a range from 53700 on upside to 53335 on downside. As per setup posted yesterday, sell trade triggered below 53480 but it missed our 1st target by 10 points. Overall it was a range bound day for BankNifty.
Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53900 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53300 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53120 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Range-bound day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53700
Sell Below - 53300
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 16th DecOn Friday, BankNifty gave big moves. In morning we saw breakdown and BankNifty made a low around 52260 but we saw strong reversal from lower levels and BankNifty made a high at 53654 which is approx 1400 points rally from day low.
Tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53700 for the targets of 53850 and above marked level. On the other side, if BankNifty sustains below 53480 on the downside, sell BankNifty for the targets of 53320 and below marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53700
Sell Below - 53480
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
The Bank Nifty Intraday trend forecast for December 17, 2024The trend looks bullish tomorrow for the Bank Nifty as well. 54590 looks like a strong resistance for the Bank Nifty spot. The levels provided in the chart may vary based on the gaps on the either side. The content is only for the educational purposes.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/12/2024)Today will be flat or slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 53550 level then expected strong bullish rally towards the 53950 level and this rally can extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty give breakout of 54050 level. Any downside expected below 53450 level. Downside 53050 level will act as strong support zone for index.
BankNIfty // Trading Psychological Analysis of BankNiftywww.tradingview.com
We have seen a dramatic dance of BankNIfty in past few day. Here is the postmortem of the Daily price movement in past 2 weeks on Daily time frame.
Based on the chart of **Nifty Bank Index** on the **daily time frame**, here is a breakdown of the trader psychology and price action visible:
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### ** 1. Recent Price Action Context **
- **Uptrend before consolidation**:
- The chart shows an initial bullish momentum marked by **strong green candles** that signify buyers are in control, pushing prices upward.
- **Consolidation period**:
- After the strong upward move, you observe a few small-bodied candles (doji and neutral-type) at the top. These candles indicate **indecision** in the market or a **pause** in momentum as buyers and sellers wrestle for control.
- **Large wick and recovery**:
- A significant candle shows a **large lower wick** where price fell drastically but closed near its opening price. This reflects:
- **Strong buying interest** after a sharp dip.
- Sellers initially pushed the price lower, but buyers stepped in, absorbing the selling pressure and driving the price back up.
- This could signify the presence of **demand** at lower levels.
---
### ** 2. Trader Psychology **
- **Strong buyers early on**:
- The rally at the start of the chart reflects **bullish sentiment**, as traders jumped in with confidence, likely due to positive news or market sentiment.
- **Indecision phase**:
- The small-bodied candles (e.g., doji) represent a point of hesitation:
- Bulls may be taking profits after the strong rally.
- Bears attempt to sell but struggle to push prices lower.
- **Large wick psychology**:
- A large lower wick indicates that:
- Sellers tried to break support but failed to sustain the move.
- This failure emboldens buyers to step in, creating a sharp **reversal or rejection of lower levels**.
- Many traders see this as a **bullish signal**, as it suggests buyers are still active and defending the price zone.
---
### ** 3. Key Observations from Price Action **
- **Support Zone**:
- The large wick indicates the area around the wick's low is a **potential support zone**. Buyers defended that level aggressively, and traders will watch it closely for future moves.
- **Bullish recovery**:
- The strong close of the most recent candle suggests bullish sentiment may be returning. It shows that buyers absorbed the selling pressure and pushed prices back up.
- **Volume**:
- The high volume (139.91M) supports the validity of the price action. High volume on a bullish recovery suggests significant participation from buyers.
---
### ** 4. What to Watch for Next **
1. **Breakout vs. Reversal**:
- If prices break above the recent consolidation range, expect a continuation of the uptrend.
- Conversely, failure to break higher could lead to further consolidation or a potential reversal.
2. **Support Retest**:
- Monitor if prices revisit the large-wick low (support). Holding this level could confirm strong demand, while a breakdown might shift the sentiment to bearish.
3. **Volume Confirmation**:
- Continued bullish price action with strong volume would confirm buyer strength.
---
### ** Conclusion **
The chart reflects **buyer dominance** after a brief period of indecision and a strong rejection of lower prices. Traders appear to see value at lower levels, and sentiment leans bullish unless prices break below the recent support. Watch for a breakout or retest of the key levels for confirmation of the next directional move.
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Team StoxWare
BANKNIFTY : Trading plan and levels for 16-Dec-2024Intro: Review of Previous Day’s Plan
Yesterday’s chart depicted key levels for supply, resistance, and demand zones. The anticipated plan highlighted a sideways consolidation around the "Last Resistance for ATM" zone, followed by a bullish breakout near 53,700. As per the actual market movement, Bank Nifty tested the resistance at 53,700 but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a pullback towards the Opening Support Zone. This reaffirms the importance of respecting identified zones and acting on confirmation signals.
Color Coding in the Chart:
Yellow: Sideways trend
Green: Bullish trend
Red: Bearish trend
Trading Plan for 16th December 2024
If Gap Up Opening (200+ points above previous close)
A gap-up scenario would place Bank Nifty near the upper resistance zone (54,092 to 54,322). In such cases:
Action Plan: Wait for the first 15-30 minutes to observe price stability. If an hourly candle closes above 54,322, initiate a long position with a target of 54,787 (supply zone).
If prices show rejection from 54,322, expect a retracement towards the Opening Support Zone (53,700 to 53,540).
Avoid chasing the gap-up blindly; confirm the breakout or reversal with volume and price action.
If Flat Opening
A flat opening would likely position Bank Nifty around the Opening Support/Resistance Zone (53,700 to 53,540).
Action Plan: Monitor price action within this zone. A strong breakout above 53,700 can lead to bullish momentum, targeting 54,092 first and then 54,322.
On the flip side, if Bank Nifty breaks below 53,540, a bearish trend may develop, pulling prices toward the Opening Support at 53,398 and potentially the Last Support for Intraday at 53,074.
Be cautious and use tight stop losses, especially if volatility is high.
If Gap Down Opening (200+ points below previous close)
A gap-down opening may test the Last Support for Intraday (53,074).
Action Plan: If Bank Nifty holds above 53,074, consider entering a long position with a target of 53,540 and 53,700. Look for bullish reversal candles at this level.
If prices break below 53,074, a bearish trend could extend toward 52,700 and further to the Mitigated Demand Zone (52,484 to 52,311). Avoid entering counter-trend trades unless clear reversal signs are observed.
Risk-averse traders should wait for price action confirmation to avoid false breakouts.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:
Use defined stop losses to protect your capital, particularly on hourly candle closures beyond invalidation zones.
Avoid over-leveraging and position your trades based on your risk tolerance. As a guideline, limit exposure to 2-3% of your total capital per trade.
Focus on ATM or slightly ITM strike prices with adequate liquidity for intraday trades. Avoid OTM options during volatile conditions.
Implement a time-based exit if the trade does not hit the target within a predefined period.
Summary and Conclusion:
Bank Nifty’s price movement today will likely hinge on the interaction with key zones like 53,700 (Opening Resistance) and 53,074 (Last Intraday Support). Use the first 30 minutes post-opening to observe stability, and act based on breakouts or reversals. Follow a disciplined approach and avoid emotional trading.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 13-Dec-2024Introduction
In the previous day's plan, we analyzed the Nifty Bank Index on a 15-minute timeframe and identified key support and resistance levels. The chart highlighted a sideways trend in the yellow zone, a bullish trend in the green zone, and a bearish trend in the red zone. The actual price movement today followed the anticipated path, consolidating within the highlighted zones and providing opportunities for both long and short trades.
Trading Plan for 13-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens with a gap up above 53,533.00, monitor for a potential retracement to the golden retracement zone (53,533.00 - 53,736.00). Look for bearish signals in this zone to initiate short positions.
If the price sustains above 53,736.00, consider it a bullish sign and look for long opportunities targeting the deep retracement zone of the last swing (53,977.00 - 54,077.00).
Place stop-loss orders below 53,533.00 to manage risk effectively.
Flat Opening
If the market opens flat around 53,224.85, observe the price action around the important support zone (53,101.00 - 52,945.00).
If the price holds above 53,101.00, look for long opportunities targeting the golden retracement zone (53,533.00 - 53,736.00).
If the price breaks below 52,945.00, consider short positions targeting the important support zone (52,643.20 - 52,530.30).
Place stop-loss orders accordingly to manage risk.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens with a gap down below 52,945.00, monitor for support around the important support zone (52,643.20 - 52,530.30).
If the price holds above 52,530.30, look for long opportunities targeting the important support zone (53,101.00 - 52,945.00).
If the price breaks below 52,530.30, consider it a bearish sign and look for short opportunities targeting lower levels.
Place stop-loss orders above 52,945.00 to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging and maintain a balanced portfolio.
Monitor implied volatility and time decay when trading options.
Diversify your trades to spread risk across different assets.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for 13-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key levels and zones for potential price movements. The plan includes strategies for gap up, flat, and gap down openings, with specific actions based on price behavior around important support and resistance levels. Effective risk management is crucial, especially when trading options, to protect against significant losses.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 12-Dec-2024Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024
Intro: Plan vs Actual for 11-Dec-2024
Yesterday, our plan identified key zones for Bank Nifty, including the "Liquidity Zone" and the "Buyer’s Entry Zone." Bank Nifty opened near the projected "Opening Support/Resistance Zone" at 53,398 and consolidated around the "Liquidity Zone" before attempting a breakout towards the resistance at 54,034. The market respected the identified levels, providing opportunities for both scalpers and swing traders. However, the upward movement lacked strong momentum beyond 54,034, leading to a sideways close near 53,392.
Trading Plan for 12-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ Points):
If Bank Nifty opens significantly above 53,600:
- Immediate focus will be on the "Liquidity/NO Trade Zone" at 53,699. Wait for the first 15-minute candle to confirm strength.
- A sustained move above 53,699 can lead to a test of the "First Resistance Zone" at 54,034-54,479. Consider initiating long positions only after an hourly close above 54,034 with targets towards 54,479.
- If rejection occurs near 54,034, intraday shorts can be explored with targets back to 53,699, keeping stop-loss above 54,100.
- Risk Tip: Use deep out-of-the-money (OTM) options for breakout trades to reduce premium risk.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,398:
- This level serves as "Opening Support/Resistance Zone." Expect range-bound movement initially.
- A breakout above 53,699 will signal bullish momentum, with targets of 54,034 and 54,479. Initiate long trades above 53,699, keeping a strict stop-loss below 53,398.
- A breakdown below 53,398 could lead to a test of 53,069, which is the "Buyer’s Support Zone for Consolidation." Watch for reversal patterns here to re-enter longs.
- Risk Tip: Avoid aggressive positions during sideways trends (Yellow zones).
Gap Down Opening (200+ Points):
If Bank Nifty opens below 53,200:
- Monitor the "Buyer’s Try Zone" at 52,968-53,069. This is a critical demand zone; a strong reversal here can provide long opportunities with a target back towards 53,398.
- If this zone fails to hold, expect a sharper decline towards the "Must Try Zone for Buyers" at 52,531-52,650. Wait for a bullish reversal signal before initiating trades.
- For intraday shorts, look for breakdown confirmation below 52,968 with a target towards 52,531.
- Risk Tip: Deploy hedged positions like straddles/strangles during volatile gap-down openings.
Tips for Risk Management in Options Trading:
Always trade with defined stop-loss levels. For options, set a premium stop-loss (e.g., 30-50%).
Avoid overleveraging. Position size should not exceed 2-3% of your trading capital.
Monitor IV (Implied Volatility) spikes, especially during news-heavy sessions.
Use spreads to minimize premium decay in sideways markets.
Summary and Conclusion:
- Bank Nifty is at a critical juncture with a potential for high volatility. Key levels to watch are 54,034 on the upside and 52,968 on the downside.
- Follow the plan with discipline and respect stop-loss levels.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading plan and Levels for 11-Dec-2024Previous Day's Chart Pattern Analysis:
The chart for 10-Dec-2024 shows significant price movement with clear areas of interest. The market showed a liquidity sweep near the 53,069 zone , followed by consolidation. A CHoCH (Change of Character) around 53,398 indicated a shift in trend. The resistance near 54,034 remains crucial, and breaking this could lead to a bullish rally toward new highs. The yellow trend represents sideways movement, the green trend shows bullish momentum, and the red trend indicates bearish possibilities.
Trading Plan for 11-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (200+ points above the previous close):
If Bank Nifty opens around 53,957 or above , the first resistance zone at 54,034 becomes crucial. Wait for price action near this level.
Plan of Action:
If it breaks and sustains above 54,034 , initiate a long position with a target of 54,479 . Place a stop loss just below 53,957 .
If there’s a rejection at 54,034 , look for short opportunities targeting 53,699 (Opening Support).
Avoid aggressive entries in the first 15 minutes to allow volatility to settle.
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Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within 50 points of the previous close):
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,604 , the Liquidity / NO Trade Zone (between 53,699 and 53,398) becomes the focus.
Plan of Action:
If the price stays within this range, avoid trades and wait for a breakout.
On a breakout above 53,699 , go long with a target of 54,034 . Keep a stop loss below 53,550 .
If it breaks below 53,398 , short the market targeting the Buyer's Support Zone near 53,069 .
Use small lot sizes to manage risk until a clear trend emerges.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (200+ points below the previous close):
A gap down opening near 53,069 or lower will test the buyer’s strength.
Plan of Action:
If the price takes support near 53,069 , look for bullish reversal patterns and initiate a long position with a target of 53,398 . Keep a stop loss below 52,968 .
If it breaks below 52,968 , further downside to the Must Try Zone for Buyers at 52,650 is possible. Watch for reversals here to take long positions.
Avoid chasing the trend blindly in the first hour; let the market stabilize before entry.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always calculate your risk before entering a trade. Limit risk to 1-2% of your total capital per trade.
For gap openings, avoid buying options immediately due to high premiums; wait for IV (implied volatility) to cool down.
Use spreads (e.g., Bull Call Spreads or Bear Put Spreads) to minimize risk.
Avoid overtrading and stick to predefined levels.
Summary and Conclusion:
For 11-Dec-2024, focus on key levels: 54,034 (Resistance), 53,699 (Support/Resistance), and 53,069 (Major Support). React based on price action and avoid impulsive decisions. The yellow zones suggest consolidation, green zones show bullish potential, and red zones indicate bearish sentiment. Maintain strict risk management and use options wisely.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Levels and Strategies for 10-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Bank Nifty – 10-Dec-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Bank Nifty exhibited a mixed trend with both bullish and bearish moments. The chart displayed notable buyer activity near 52,968 (read with the full plan), acting as a consolidation zone. Resistance levels at 53,700 and 54,069 capped upward movements, while support levels at 53,074 and 52,715 offered stability. The yellow trend marked potential sideways movement, green indicated bullish reversals, and red outlined bearish breakdowns.
Opening Scenarios:
Gap-Up Opening (+200 Points):
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,700–53,800, this aligns with the Opening Resistance . Wait for the first 15-minute candle to confirm price direction.
Action Plan:
If the price sustains above 53,800, initiate a long position targeting 54,069 as the next resistance, with a stop loss at 53,700.
However, if rejection is observed at 53,800, anticipate a pullback toward 53,415.50. Enter short trades below 53,700, aiming for 53,310.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid aggressive entries in the first 30 minutes. Monitor option premiums carefully for IV spikes.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,415.50, it positions itself in the neutral zone.
Action Plan:
A breakout above 53,700 can signal bullish momentum toward 54,069. Initiate long positions with tight stop losses below 53,415.50.
In case of consolidation or a bearish breakdown below 53,310, short trades can be initiated targeting 53,074.
Risk Management Tip: Trail stop losses every 50 points to protect gains and reduce risks in volatile conditions.
Gap-Down Opening (-200 Points or More):
If Bank Nifty opens near 53,074 or lower, it may retest critical support zones at 52,968 or even 52,715.
Action Plan:
Watch for buying interest at 52,968–53,074; initiate long trades if bullish candles form, targeting 53,310 and 53,415.50.
A breakdown below 52,715 can push the index toward the Deep Retracement Zone of 52,568. Plan short trades with tight stop losses above 52,715.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid over-leveraging in gap-down scenarios, as volatility tends to increase. Focus on hedged option strategies like bull call spreads.
Summary & Conclusion:
Resistance Levels: 53,700 , 54,069
Support Levels: 53,310 , 52,968 , 52,715
The market may remain sideways (yellow trend) unless clear breakouts or breakdowns occur. Adopt a disciplined approach and avoid emotional trading during volatile phases.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult financial experts before taking any positions.
BankNifty Intraday Trade Setup | 9th DecFriday due to RBI policy BankNifty was highly volatile in the first hour, we took 53500 PE around 690 which made a high above 940 and gave good profit.
For tomorrow, buy BankNifty if sustains above 53630 for the targets of 53800 and 53950. On the other side sell BankNifty if sustains below 53370 for the targets of 53200 and lower marked level on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile day.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 53630
Sell Below - 53370
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
BANKNIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 09-Dec-2024 Bank Nifty Trading Plan for 09-Dec-2024
Previous Day's Chart Pattern:
On 08-Dec-2024, Bank Nifty exhibited a consolidation pattern and forming a No Trade Zone , with price movement oscillating between 53,487 and 53,699. Buyers displayed confidence at the golden retracement zone but faced resistance near 54,258. The yellow zone marked a sideways trend, while green indicated bullish attempts that were capped by red bearish resistance levels. This sets the stage for multiple potential scenarios tomorrow.
Trading Plan for 09-Dec-2024:
Gap-Up Opening (+200 points or more above 53,699):
If Bank Nifty opens above 53,699 and sustains, the index is likely to test the first resistance at 54,258 . Watch for price action at this level:
If it breaks above 54,258, the next target will be 54,479 (potential new all-time high resistance). Consider initiating long positions near 54,258 with a stop loss just below 54,185.
However, if rejection occurs at 54,258, expect a pullback toward 53,699 . In this case, avoid aggressive longs and wait for confirmation before re-entering trades.
Risk Management Tip: For options buyers, focus on ATM or slightly OTM contracts with small quantities. If price approaches resistance zones, consider booking partial profits.
Flat Opening (Within the No Trade Zone 53,487–53,699):
In the case of a flat open, patience is key:
If price sustains above 53,699 , this will indicate bullish intent, targeting 54,258 . Go long after a clear breakout with stop loss near 53,487.
Conversely, if the index drops below 53,487, it may retest the key support zone at 53,017 . Initiate short trades cautiously with tight stop loss above 53,487.
Risk Management Tip: Avoid over-leveraging in a choppy zone. Wait for the first 30 minutes to gauge market sentiment.
Gap-Down Opening (-200 points or more below 53,487):
If Bank Nifty gaps down below 53,487:
Initial support lies at 53,017 . If this zone holds, we may see a reversal toward the No Trade Zone. Watch for bullish candlestick patterns to confirm a rebound.
If 53,017 breaks, the next key level is 52,715 (deep retracement and must-try support for buyers). Consider shorts below 53,017 with a target near 52,715, keeping a stop loss at 53,200.
Risk Management Tip: For bearish scenarios, buy puts cautiously. Avoid illiquid contracts and use spreads to limit risk.
Summary and Conclusion:
The market remains at a pivotal zone, with clear levels to monitor for breakouts or breakdowns.
Yellow zones highlight areas of consolidation, green zones indicate bullish trends, and red zones point to bearish resistance.
Adhere strictly to the No Trade Zone boundaries to avoid unnecessary risks.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Traders are advised to do their own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.