[8 Sep] Financials Rebound [Reversal Trade]How I idealised this trade: Woke up slightly later than usual and as I tried to catch up with the market happenings, I realised that whilst the S&P500 has had a great rebound, my portfolio (mainly SPY and blue chip tech stocks) was relatively flat. Digging in further I soon realised that the financials were leading the rebound for S&P 500.
I compared severable financial tickers before deciding that C has the best and most suitable setup that I'm comfortable with. I did consider an options play on this, but I'm still quite amateur at selecting strikes and expiry dates for swing plays (If anyone can kindly advise do let me know!)
Entry: 49.6
Stop: 47.5
TP: 53.9
Recall that the current economic climate remains hawkish as the Fed is determined to reduce overall demand (with the increase of interest rates) to combat inflation. The overall thesis behind this is that banks will stand to benefit from rising rates in the short run, therefore a bullish outlook for the financials.
Open to sharing ideas, do let me know if you have any thoughts in the comments section!
Banks
10Y Bonds overbought10Y Bonds are overbought kissing 200 MA
RSI OB
MACD OB
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This is a sign the ASX could bounce as 10 years pull-back from overbought and 200 MA being resistance.
If bonds reak above 200 MA it signals a continuance in market fear and scepticism.
US10Y Already found broke above 200 MA and it is now a supporting moving average, bad sign ASX could follow.
8/31/22 XLFSPDR Select Sector Fund - Financial ( AMEX:XLF )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $ --
Current Price: $33.05
Breakout price: $33.85
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $32.85-$30.65
Price Target: $38.00-$38.80
Estimated Duration to Target: 132-137d
Contract of Interest: $XLF 1/20/23 35c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.23/contract
Ethereum Short AnalysisEthereum is bearish for the next couple of weeks until further notice. Price broke structure to the upside on the daily timeframe and is looking to drop heavily to $1200 area. On the weekly timeframe, banks did not yet mitigate their positions at the open price of the last bearish move down, before the up move that broke daily structure. Before ethereum continues the uptrend journey to new all time high prices, we're looking to take this short, all the way to $1200 and then getting into long positions at $1200. This is not financial advice.
ANZ.ASX - FUNCHARTS - Countertrend Trading with a Trend FilterNote: Funcharts are interesting charts I have found that offer a potentially unique perspective on a stock. Sometimes I’ll throw something out there that you might find controversial or wrong headed. If that’s the case your 2 cents worth is most welcome.
ANZ, one of the big four banks listed on the Australian Stock Exchange is a pretty tricky stock to trade, conforming more to a six month cycle between dividend and earnings dates. However from a purely technical standpoint, on a medium term basis there are opportunities to trade in line with a longer term trend, and on a short term basis to enter the stock on very short term pull backs.
In this analysis we looked at the Supertrend Strategy using a 50 period length with a 6xATR Factor to capture longer term trends and then looked at buying short term dips and selling short term rallies.
In the longer term timeframe this worked quite well with ANZ making good money based on the Performance Summary but entries and exits are few and far between with this approach. Bringing the time frame back to a swing trading standpoint, the best results came from using the Supertrend STRATEGY in a countertrend way, buying dips and selling rallies using just a 3 period ATR Length with a 1 period factor, giving plenty of trades. Filtering the short term system with the longer term trend also resulted in more frequent winning trades so trading countertrend in the very short term with a longer term trend filter worked nicely.
The catch is when you get a longer term trend change without a resulting rally to exit on the countertrend system, which can at times result in very large losses, like during Covid. It is for this reason a stop loss should be set, even when trading countertrend to prevent large losses on a stock that does often trend. Using the blue trailing stop line is a common sense area to position a stop loss as insurance against a big fall.
KBC Groep NV (KBC.br) bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the Belgium company KBC Group (KBC.br) at daily chart. KBC Group is a Belgian universal multi-channel bank-insurer, focusing on private clients and small and medium-sized enterprises in Belgium, Bulgaria, Czechia, Hungary, and Slovakia. The acronym KBC refers to KredietBank and CERA. KBC Group is one of Belgium's major companies and the second-largest bancassurer in the country. As of late 2020, it was the 15th largest bank in Europe by market capitalization. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 01/07/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 12 days towards 50.56 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 58.72 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
KBC decided - as a result of the persistently rising market interest rates and planned interest rate increases by the European Central Bank - to stop charging negative interest for legal entities and companies from 1 September 2022.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
KRE - Regional Bank SpankWither the Banking Sector... by design.
All part of the Plan.
Larger Regional Banks will become the very next too-big-to-fail entities.
A good old-fashioned rollup, kinda like Bush Sr's criminal S&L Scandal Part tres.
_____________________________________________________________________
Bank on it.
A threat to financial stability?
M&A isn't going to go all too smoothly.
$CRK oil hedge 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Today my team entered oil company Comstock $CRK at $20 per share. Take profit is unknown but the set-up looks very promising.
Entry: $20
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Banco Santander bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the Spanish company Banco Santander, S.A (SAN.mc) at daily chart. Banco Santander, S.A., doing business as Santander Group, is a Spanish multinational financial services company based in Madrid and Santander in Spain. Additionally, Santander maintains a presence in all global financial centres as the 16th-largest banking institution in the world. Although known for its European banking operations, it has extended operations across North and South America, and more recently in continental Asia. It is considered a systemically important bank by Financial Stability Board. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 14/06/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 22 days towards 2.3990 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 3.0510 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Banco Santander has a leadership position in loan and commercial services in Spain, Italy, and other countries. Additionally, it also has a considerable market share in terms of deposits in the U.K. It recently made inroads in the U.S. market with the acquisition of Sovereign Bancorp. Furthermore, it has a healthy exposure to Latin America and some of the top emerging markets. Its business has been booming in the past year, with double-digit growth in its top-line results. Also, its free cash flows are at a spectacular 45.3 billion euro, with an eye-catching dividend yield of 13.27%.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
KRE - Regional Banks NQBANK XLFOh my, death on a stick once again.
Banks are twisting in the wind.
Health?
Hell No.
______________________________
Use the Dollar Tool now.
Forget Stonks they are cooked.
Markets go nowhere without Financials.
Homies' wreckage just beginning.
Bonds are already in ruin.
Crypto, ready for the beating.
Gold, a shiny useless rock.
22% more to go... adios.
$SOFI let's make some more money 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Today my team entered digital finance company $SOFI at $6.70 per share. Our take profit has been set at $10.
Our current portfolio: $MIRM, $SOFI, $BABA, and $EQX
Our entry: $6.70
Take profit: $10
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
pko bp - moving downhi,
situation is very bad. Looking on technical signals - macd is weak in week time frame, below 0 and without any signs moving up.
missing elliot waves - second and third ...
momentum is still moving down without any signs to take a big breath up.
still going down
still to go:
28 pln
then major support level 24 - 25 pln, what next? 18 zl if yes, then the trend is downtrend in long term - 5 years or more
don't catch the wave and moving falling knifes.
6/1/22 KRESPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF ( AMEX:KRE )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $--
Current Price: $63.44
Breakout price: $66.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $62.20-$56.55
Price Target: $90.00-$91.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 496-509d
Contract of Interest: $ZM 6/16/23 70
Trade price as of publish date: $4.70/contract
bank of america - not looking goodhi,
looking on the big picture, we are in great black hole, i think about a cosmos - as a universe,
rising of costs of goods, rising of rates, credits highs... slowing down economy,
as we know, big players want to play and like to make swings, so do not catch into the nest of the fisherman ...
bank of america - great but looking on pivot and Fibonacci trend, i suppose that bottom is very low ...
i suppose that the index want to hit 25 usd ... there is a strong mayor resistance line - uptrend, if this trend would be attacked and defeated, I suppose that we are going down, then 20 usd and 16 usd ...
4 usd or even low for stock of bank of america in 2009 it was a nice gift from wall street bankers for all people in the world.
all the lines shows that the momentum - split of lines are in 2025 , 3 years to come, we will see.
it depends of the speed and the strike of the index, if it goes fast down, bottoms will be deep, if it will go normal, soft down, i hope that price would stop somewhere.
big problems are automated players, algorithms, waiting right now for they move ... to sell .
Deutsche bank - good to catch a wavehi
deutsche bank is very good for swing playing, it is collateral, joined with EURUSD - if EUR is strong, DB goes up, if weak it goes down,
right now we have a move down, it is interesting in which direction it will go.
there is path down, look on the screen. MACD signal is weak in D frame - DAY - and below 0 going, the same on time frame Week - W - it goes down all the time
These coming 2 week will be going on weakness of EUR, but EURUSD will be moved up some day, USD is going to be too stronger and players will change the game,
remember stock market is not a investment, it is a caching the wave only,
next resistance 8.5 EUR
it is only my idea in my head, not a investment advice, your cash, your decision, your risk.
Wish good luck!
Bank Nifty Intraday StrategyHi Everyone :))
Hope you all are doing good...
Here is all the important levels of Banknifty...........
We can see very clearly that banknifty try to go up from the level of 34700-34800 but face selling from the upper side in the market...
Let's see How to trade today...........
1. If Banknifty open near the level of 34000 or go near the 34000 with out gap down opening then go for the CE till the levels 34400 then 34700
2. If Banknifty open near the level of 34700-34800 then go for the PE till the target of 34400 then 34000
That's all for the day remaining all the levels are marked in the chart very clearly so see chart carefully. Also make your trading system as simple as you can.....:))
Bank of America - it will be a great again like USA? hi,
we have a big problem, because when I look on the Simple Wall Street application I see that lot of managers from top banks sold their stocks of their own banks. I think: Citi, Goldman Sachs, GP Morgan,
Please read also ZeroHedge article about banks in USA, only to summarize it: we have to wait to October to see where will be the index of SPX
in Poland we say - without banks there is no hosanna, bullish market.
There is great back in stocks, lot of selling, people are right now on the cash sitting.
I think that looking on Fibonacci - 25 will be tested, o 20 USD?
Also look if there are more PUT or Call Options.
It is better to wait right now and wait for any signal that it will move up back, on all the market, not only on one stock
There will be up and down, hills and bottom, remember that next hill must be above last one that we can say that market will move then up...
Also there must be a calm down - no more sliding down in quick time ...
$SOFI earnings next week 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Today my team entered digital finance company $SOFI at $6.70 per share. Our take profit has been set at $10.
Earnings are expected to be reported next week.
Our entry: $6.70
Take profit: $10
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney