Is $62 in the cards? #stocksBanks continue to surge pricing in a recovery. The Model gave us great trade location so now we are just playing with house money. We think 62 is in the cards which would be a completion of the wave formation.
Ingenuity Trading Model is an algorithm used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets. The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal sine wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current sine wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
Banks
BankNifty 2 Dec 2020Nears to a sub triangle breakout inside the main channel, Looks like reaching an end of a trend
If the market opens With
A gap up there can be a small move uptrend followed by a heavy downtrend
A gap down a retest to the same level is possible followed by a downtrend
Close to prev close, We might see a range market or minor up trend
ASX:NAB Cup and Handle formation ?? 🚨🚨The banks have been smashed since the pandemic started but apparently one of them is preparing to fly higher. That is ASX:NAB bank, from the technical analysis it is showing a promising chart pattern.
From the chart, we can draw a cup and handle formation that has been forming for weeks. Besides the stock has crossed its 200MA after being glued to it for almost 2 weeks and suddenly jumped on a higher volume.
These factors allow us to speculate that this stock is poised to go play in the bulls league.
Although RSI is a bit overbought but from other technicals this stock looks great and it can be lucrative for next few days if not months.
I will keep you updated of all the movements this stock play. Stay safe and have profitable trades.
XTF
Despite recent fines and underperformanceDespite recent fines and underperformance Citi maybe be forming a potential bottom. Bank shares seem to be on the rise so there can be sector tailwinds for the name. Director Jay Jacobs has made the largest public stock purchase in over 5 years. Although the narrative on financials seems to be more positive we will let the model signal when to buy.
FAKEOUT: XAUUSD GOLD SUPPLY ZONE UPDATE 1925.00 CRITICAL LEVELSo now we can see what has happened and what went wrong on our trade yesterday. We can see how price pushed up through the zone to gather more liquidity. The price faked out through our zone, trapped the buyers and reversed. Nothing to worry about - only a 1% loss. IF he had a higher stop loss we could have managed to stay in it. 1925.00 was a key level for gold.
AUDNZD- Valid shorts or market manipulation?As we can see price has now confirmed this lower low, but is it just the markets trying to manipulate us retail traders to fulfil our stops? We need to wait to see how price develops on the 4Hour chart, any wick closes will signal the orders have been met and it is valid to enter a short.
Financials in trouble200sma has been a strong resistance since the March drop. The red circles show 4 times trying to get to it.
Placing fibonacci retracement lines shows confluence with a support level (green rectangle from late June --> early July)
The 20sma crossed below the 50sma on September 27th. (Bearish signal trend model)
Also, if we close at the current price, we are getting a bearish engulfing candle.
I would feel comfortable getting in around $22.7, being fundamentally bullish on the sector.
RidetheMacro| AUDUSD Crawls downwards 📉AUDUSD Key Points
The Focus will be on the Australian Dollar this week with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expected to make a major decision on its cash rate. Additionally, the government will release its Annual Budget.
As of Friday’s close, market consensus was evenly split on whether the RBA will adjust the cash rate in October or November. A 50/50 consensus usually means no rate cut.
Rather than another full 25 basis point cut, it seems most market participants are anticipating some version of “micro easing” such as lowering the official cash rate from 25 bps to 10 bps this month or next.
“Consequently, financial markets are now anticipating a roughly 50% chance the RBA will cut the official cash rate before the end of the year,” according to Brian Reid, Treasurer of Newcastle Permanent.
For weeks, investors had been pricing a rate cut to 0.10%, based on forecasting from Westpac. But that changed last week with Westpac economists now forecasting November instead, at the November 3 meeting.
until the Next time.
Ridethemacro
#Rescue packages ahead or #Bankruptcy wave #Banks #RevolutionChart technical target already processed.
In my opinion, wave targets should be searched lower.
1. either massive bank failure ahead with bail-ins or
2. massive rescue packages from the ECB.
I bet that ECB will buy bank shares massively and issues uncovered blank checks within the EURO system.
What comes to my mind?
I have to buy more gold and silver shares again.
Greeting from Hannover
Stefan Bode
Banknifty Trading in the Zone October 1st weekBank nifty is trading with comforts to distribute sums . Now the much depends upon it to continue the trend or give whipsaws, as for the technicals market has kept bearish view even though a more U shaped recovery to say. However what we notice is that if the U shaped recovery was itself weak then BN would have weaker retracement .232 possibly. Thus a very reasonable target on upper side and more bias towards downward spiral. However we feel a sideways movement would be warranted for the coming week as a cooling off week.
The World Reserve Currency - Be Prepared!The US dollar is the world’s main reserve and payments currency, meaning it is the currency in which most global trade and investment takes place. I do believe something is about to happen that will shatter the dollar to all time lows and the COVID impact was only the induction of what is about to come. The FED has been using methods to inflate the market by printing cash, bailing out Wall Street and issuing loans to businesses with repo agreements that will all have to be paid back at some point but before this happens I am expecting a massive bubble which will lead to a major crash in the dollar. The moves to come will be historical and could be one of the most volatile events we have experienced across all asset markets.
Prepare for lots of volatility filled with quite a number of opportunities, we have only seen the tip of the iceberg so far.