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$MQ reversal play 👁‍🗨️*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* This afternoon my team purchased shares of FinTech company Marqeta $MQ at $4 per share. Our Entry: $4.00 Take Profit: unclear (we will use the fib-tool to determine a good take profit) Stop Loss: $3.75 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NASDAQ:MQLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
5
💾 SPX Closes On Strong Bullish Bias +Bitcoin & Bank CrisisThis is the SPX on the weekly timeframe: It has been printing higher lows since October 2022. It has been going up and it is pushing/challenging resistance. This week closes green with a long lower wick. The RSI is really strong. More than 7 months of consolidation. The next target is set at 4,237 on the daily timeframe or the August 2022 peak/high. The SPX & Bitcoin A higher low was hit 13-March together with Bitcoin and the rest of the Cryptocurrency market. After this higher low, we are seeing the resumption of the bullish move that started January 2023. While Bitcoin bottomed in November 2022 the SPX bottomed October 2022. The orthodox end of the bear market for Bitcoin happened June 2022 so we can still say that Bitcoin is moving ahead of the stock market. Currently Bitcoin is already trading above its August 2022 high. The SPX, Cryptocurrency & The Banking Crisis It will be interesting to see how the SPX will behave once the banking crisis is resumed in June... Maybe this bullish chart shows the last hurray? The SPX is bullish now but watch out for mid-June when the banks start crashing again, we will see how this affects the conventional markets but we know that Cryptocurrency will benefit based on past history. Namaste.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MasterAnanda
1
The Overnight Reverse Repo Facility Looks to be Bottoming OutMoney that has been parked at the Fed's Reverse Repo Facility due to the attractively high interest rates the Fed has set for money parked there has been on a steady decline since late 2022, and recently, this year we confirmed a breakdown of a Bearish Dragon, which led to a BAMM move down to complete a Harmonic M-shape. This then represented an influx of liquidity exiting the facility and effectively hitting circulation, which led to that money chasing assets and commodities. This chasing of assets and commdoities effecctively backed the 2023 Stock Market Rally. The target I had set for this move was down to the 0.886 of a Bullish Bat and now months later we can see that we came very close to it, but it would seem that rather than getting a full 0.886 retrace we are instead getting a confirmation-styled RSI reaction as price Bounces from the 1.618 Extension, which just so happens to align with an AB=CD formation it's made on the way down. I see this as an indication that the liquidity will soon stop flowing out from the facility and that liquidity will now begin to flow back to the facility, effectively taking money out of circulation, which would likely result in a decline in asset prices and a decline in the trading of Short Term Debt on the open market, which could then lead to Short Term Yields rising overall along with the US Dollar as institutions once again begin to lock up their dollars in this facility and chase yield rather than assets. Recently, I have been seeing a lot of weakness in the banking sector. That weakness may act as a catalyst for these institutions to once again park their money with the Fed, just as it did before. As always, my target for an ABCD is back to the Level of C, so we should see this rising back up about 30% before we can start looking for signs of this topping out again.
FRED:RRPONTSYDLong
by RizeSenpai
2
Hilltop Holdings Bank: Bearish Cypher w/Double PPO ConfirmationHilltop Holdings has formed a W-shape, which I thought would complete an 0.886 and become a Bearish Shark, but it has since given 2-3 PPO Confirmation Circles around the 0.786 retrace instead. In addition, it has confirmed a lot of RSI Bearish Divergence within this zone; for that reason, I see a strong possibility that this ends up being a Bearish Cypher instead of a Bearish Shark and given that it is a bank, it will probably end up performing dramatically. I will likely be looking into FAZ soon (The inverse ETF for the Financials sector) as it's sitting at the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley but just hasn't given any form of confirmation yet.
NYSE:HTH
by RizeSenpai
Bank Stocks Are Back To Bullish ModeBank stocks have collapsed back in March, but don't forget that markets go from pessimism (fear) to optimism (greed) and vice versa. Looking at the KBE (Bank Sector ETF) chart, we can see a completed three-wave A-B-C corrective decline after a five-wave rally, which gives us a nice bullish setup formation. So, after reaching important 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and GAP from November 2020, we may easily see bulls back in the game, especially now that is trying to break first bullish evidence level. However, keep in mind that bullish confirmation is only above channel resistance line and 50 region, while it's above the 30 invalidation level. US banks face large capital increases under final Basel plan.
AMEX:KBELong
by ew-forecast
Charles Schwab - The Harbinger Of The Next Crisis?While I believe that the markets are currently standing on the edge of a cliff and will not produce a new all time high, it's very important to note that price action is yet to confirm that, with the most significant catalyst of them all being Wednesday's FOMC. Wednesday's FOMC is important because whether the Fed hikes again and how much they hike will determine what happens with bond yields, which determines what happens to bond prices (inverse correlation), which determines what will happen with the U.S. Petrodollar. There's no FOMC again until September. I discuss what I think will happen this week in the following call: ES SPX Futures - Welcome to FOMCmageddon Charles Schwab is an important piece of the U.S. banking structure because it's the 10th largest bank in the country. When you take a look at recent price action on banks, everything seems to be going pretty well, and it's almost as if the Silicon Valley Bank crisis never happened. SIVB's demise, however, was a really significant canary in the coal mine because that particular bank was not only one of the largest in the country, but a major intermediary between the West's venture capital community and the Chinese Communist Party. You just absolutely have to keep an eye on what's going on with China and the International Rules Based Order right now, because everything "Taiwan War" is really talking about how the globalists can take control of China as the CCP falls. Based on this, I think Taiwan Semiconductor is a significant long hedge right now because it's not a component of the U.S. indexes, and is a world leader in silicon wafer production: TSM - Taiwan, Your Semiconductor Long Hedge China is the world's 5,000 year country and has huge natural resources and a huge population of very sophisticated people, so it's a target. If Xi Jinping is smart, he will weaponize the 24-year persecution, organ harvesting, and genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million believers to protect himself and the Motherland. But if he does this it means that the entire world will quickly be implicated in the Nero-like persecution of spiritual cultivators of an upright faith. The impact on the markets, our society, and our reality will be extreme. And oh so hard to bear. I can only say if you want to be long at this point, you need to be hedged long on volatility or you might die. VIX - The 72-Handle Prelude The enormous Schwab dump from March, which you primarily see was a fully manifested failure swing only on the monthly bars: Was spurred on by the banking crisis, which served as a prelude to the very significant bear market rally we've had. Now everyone believes new highs are in order and everything is going to be fine. It's time to go long, go on vacation, and collect money while being hammered in a speedo at the beach with the other men. What a painful hangover. The problem with the more up more right now crowd's thesis on Schwab is that the entire range above where we're at, and we're already flirting with the 79% retrace of the March gap down, was already filled, which we see on the weekly: Moreover, there are two significant price action problems with the bull case from a market maker perspective. The first is that Schwab dumped to exactly $45.00 in the first place. Computers don't like preserving round numbers and people just love to put stops under/at psychologically significant whole numbers. The second is that the COVID dump was likewise $28.00. And for the same reasons, that's even more dangerous. I am predisposed to believe that Schwab is likely to be the next Credit Suisse-style big short, and may even be the vanguard for the next crisis that would take us under SPX 4,200 and towards 3,700 in accordance with the new JPM collar, which I discuss below: SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' As for what the fundamental story will be, it's very hard to say. But let's compare Schwab's monthly bars you see above to some other top 10 banks: Bank of America Monthly Does not show any indication of failure swings and really just looks like a healthy retrace. While Wells Fargo does not look strong enough, it also does not yet indicate a real short setup on higher time frames And this is even more true for JP Morgan And Goldman Sachs Which can be, at worst, only be said to be setting up for the first leg of a failure swing. At worst. And thus it is extremely notable that Charles Schwab is as weak as it is. My call is the thesis that the optimal short entry is already here, with some kind of flirtation with the $70.00 mark due for FOMC. And if Schwab and the banking sector and the equities sector are truly bullish, that would be great, but I still expect a stab back into the "wick play" area before it would move to set a new all time high, which means $69 to $50 is really quite the win if you're short and quite the loss if you're longing the top or haven't taken profits. If Schwab and the banking sector are really the catalyst for something as disastrous as Nasdaq 9,000, then the target is under $28 and you're more or less standing on the edge of The Big Short. Right now, with the VIX as suppressed as it is and price as high as it is, January '25 $55 puts are only $3.7~ with at the money puts being $8.3~ Just selling them on a flirt with $50 again, let alone $44.99, is already a big win. Humans never believe in anything until they can see it. It's one of their worst deficiencies.
NYSE:SCHWShort
by LordWrymouth
TFC Truist Financial Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TFC here: Then analyzing the options chain of TFC Truist Financial Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 34usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-7-28, for a premium of approximately $1.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:TFCLong
by TopgOptions
BAC Bank of America Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BAC here: Then analyzing the options chain of BAC Bank of America Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-9-15, for a premium of approximately $0.83. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:BACLong
by TopgOptions
1
Capitec C&H ready to rumble to R1,853Cup and Handle has formed on Capitec's Daily chart. We've had a disappointing 12 months with banks and its downside. And today, the price opened above the Brim Level. This means, the buying and demand is more likely to take the price higher. Other indicators confirm: 7>21 - Bullish Price<200 But price is heading to the 200MA RSI>50 Target R1,853. SMC Sell SIde Liquidity Below the C&H. You can see previous wicks touching the Order Block and then the price rallying. That's Smart Money buying up and sweeping selling from retailers. Only concern is the current downtrend, which is still intact. We need the price to break above, for the confirmation to really get this going. ABOUT THE COMPANY Founded in 2001: Capitec Bank was founded on 1 March 2001 and has its headquarters in Stellenbosch, South Africa. Retail Focus: The bank primarily focuses on providing retail banking services, such as savings, payments, and lending products. Innovative Business Model: Capitec was one of the first banks in South Africa to operate on a branch-based model rather than using separate branches for personal and business banking. Digital Banking: Capitec offers innovative digital banking services, including internet banking and a mobile banking app, which has won several awards. Affordable Fees: Capitec is known for its relatively low banking fees compared to other South African banks, which has contributed to its popularity. Unsecured Loans: Capitec was one of the first banks in South Africa to offer large, unsecured loans.
JSE:CPILong
by Timonrosso
Yields are mixed but all point higher, history repeating?🚨🚨🚨 Going to make a stink about #yield again. Short term #interestrates have been creeping higher. Let's👀@ #bond Yields. 6M = holding steady, trading slightly higher. BUT, 1Yr = BROKE RECENT HIGHS. It's at resistance but shows momentum. 2Yr = Closing in on TSX:SVB closure high. This is where #banks began to break down. 10Yr TVC:TNX @ current downtrend is being tested. Break through is good. HUH? Higher = good short term for #stocks. Markets have a history of breaking AFTER rates begin to trade lower and yield curve normalizes. This can take a year or so. Not saying markets will be pumping for a year. Just saying this is historical. We could be setting up for much more upside but with RISK. We posted on the 2008 yield crisis some time ago.
TVC:TNX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$GS Trade Idea - Bank Stress Test With the Bank Stress Test showing positive results, here's a possible trade gameplan for GS into qEnd provided conditions are met and we have a bullish reaction to GDP + Unemployment numbers in pre-market tomorrow. The path on the 15 min chart looks messy since that's the lowest resolution I can publish, so I've included a 5 min version in the screenshot below. Ideal Gameplan: 1. Price opens above risky area shown on chart and holds above the orange rectangle on the pullback 2. Long 6/30 $325C or $327.5C 3. Can cut some at 10 am if you wish, or hold for the push into 11:30 4. On the first decent pullback after 10 am, grab some $330C "lottos" if you've scaled out Cost Basis from the initial call position 5. By 11:30, price should've made an HH that will only be exceeded near the EOD or on Friday morning (can trim most/all of $330C here if you want) 6. If above conditions are met and price continues to base above $327.50-328 during the afternoon session, can look to re-enter $330C for the late-day push, holding final runners for Friday, but keep in mind there will be theta burn overnight Note: If price opens in the orange box shown, or enters orange box during the initial pullback after open, it's best to wait until the orange box is safely cleared, as there is a chance we backtest the afterhours PA under $320
NYSE:GSLong
by bullspacman
2