Bankstocks
ASX:CBACommonwealth Bank, one of my safer stocks to watch.
With an uptrend that felt like it would never end, we finally have a good buying opportunity on our hands.
Uptrend and downtrend are both coming to a squeeze on a support/resistance line.
Looking to buy in around the $98 support if price holds.
Otherwise letting it drop and hoping to get in at the $87 support line.
DYOR
I hope this helps someone
BAC Getting Back To $40.80 - Resistance On The DailyBAC is finally back above $40.50 but now the fight starts at $40.80. It was a previous level of support this quarter now I think it could be a resistance level on the daily chart. Wit the stress test news, it wouldn't surprise me if it waffles a bit around here then hopefully breaks. I'm long right now with both stocks and options on the company.
IF/WHEN $40.80 breaks, then I'd like to see it test and break above the 50DMA sitting around $41.18. Will it happen overnight? we'll see but any major extension could be met with some profit-taking too so I'm keeping that in mind also. Option are for trading, the stock I'm in from the teens and holding long.
Wouldn't want to treat these banks like penny stocks in any way but the recent volatility has definitely brought in some trading momentum as opposed to the buy and hold peeps from earlier in the year.
Banknifty FUT can be boughtPositional Call: Buy BANKNIFTY fut near 35228 tgts 35990/37300 SL: 34455
Bank Nifty future seems to be trading in strong upside channel. Recently it has pinched a low exactly at support and interestingly low coincides with 3 candles recently at same levels. With yesterdays close it gave birth to morning star pattern which is confirmed today with a new high compared to yesterday. So overall biased for longs.
Best Inflation Hedge: Crypto or Banks?I like to challenge the "common wisdom of the crowds" on my channel. Today I did a side by side comparison on two asset classes that according to different wisdoms will appreciate due to inflation and rising rates. The winner Year to Date may surprise a lot of new investors.
Fundamental Friday - BACFundamental Friday (BAC):
Gallacher's Fundamentals:
1. Select historically "Cheap" or "expensive" markets.
- BAC is within uncertainty range level 1.
- Financial sector is cheap, relative to tech. BAC has an 18.19 PE ratio vs 585 PE ratio of TSLA.
- BAC is neither cheap nor expensive relative to rivals in the financial sector (JPM, GS, by RSI).
2. Develop a critical eye for what is "important" fundamental information to a particular market.
- Important fundamental information in the financial sector is the longer-term Treasury yields, which I expect to rise this year. Long inflation.
- Macro trend in Quad 2, excess capital generated will be used to buy back shares.
Get (1) neutral, (2) bullish, or (3) bearish:
- Bullish
Some Warren Buffett Tenets:
Is management rational?
- BAC’s Brian Moynihan expects the bank will increase its dividend and boost its share buybacks once its passes its Fed stress tests. Last month, it announced a $25Bn share buyback plan with its excess cash.
Focus on return on equity, not earnings per share.
- ROE on a rising trend, 7.58% from 6.14% last quarter.
Calculate “owner earnings.”
- Owner Earnings = Net Income + Depreciation, Amortization +/- Other Non-cash charges - Full Capex +/- Changes in Working Capital (Assets – Liabilities or Shareholders Equity)
- 17.1B + 2B – 6.2M + 16.2B = 34.7B/8.7B = $3.99 owner earnings per share.
- Price to owner earnings: Current price = 42.36/3.99 = 10.62, vs. 18.19 PE Ratio (TTM), this is undervalued in the short-mid term.
Look for companies with consistent and high profit margins.
- Profit margin of 0.18 vs 0.1396 historical average (increasing trend).
GLHF
- DPT
Banknifty - Important levels for 6 May 2021Banknifty price structure still looks weak to me, and we could see another 1000 points fall in the coming week.
Immediate support I see is around 31600 levels.
Immediate resistance is around 33200.
Expecting High Volatility in the coming week, plan your trades carefully.
CitiGroup sym: (C) In Big TroubleCitiGroup Bear Flagging hard. Very high volume selling. I think there's more to this story than the public knows yet. All banks having a terrible day despite beating earnings expectations. I just don't trust the CLO exposure that these banks have. Citigroup may be in for a world of hurt soon if they overleveraged themselves. If Citi goes under we could see the entire financial system collapse with it. Be careful out there.
Technical Pattern Daily:
BEAR FLAG
Supports in Green
Resistances in Red.
Good luck. This ship looks like it's about to sink.
Canadian banks offer high-yielding cushion in a correction.If you're worried that growth stocks (the tech and now healthcare stocks) are just ridiculously valued, then perhaps you should think about Canadian bank stocks as a potential cushion against a potential market correction. Earnings beat analyst expectations. Yields are in excess of 4%. Loan loss provisions will gradually find their way back into bank earnings as the economy recovers next year. The steepening yield curve also bodes well for future earnings growth.