Bankstocks
BAC Elliott Wave View: Ready To Resume Higher?Hello Traders,
BAC short-term Elliott wave view suggests that the rally to $31.49 low ended red wave X bounce. Down from there, the decline to $30.08 low ended red wave Y & also completed blue wave (2) pullback. The internals of red wave Y unfolded as double three structure where black wave ((w)) ended at $30.62 low as zigzag structure.
Up from there, the bounce to $31.09 high ended black wave ((x)) bounce. Then finally, a decline to $30.08 low ended black wave ((y)) in 3 swings as Zigzag structure.
Above from there, the stock is expected to resume the next leg higher in blue wave (3). However, a break above $31.91 August peak remains to be seen for final confirmation of next leg higher. Up from $30.08 low the initial rally higher to $31.37 high ended black wave ((i)) as impulse structure.
Near-term focus remains towards $30.48-$30.35 100%-123.6% Fibonacci extension area of blue wave (a)-(b) to end the 3 wave correction in Minute wave ((ii)) against $30.08 low cycle. Afterwards, the stock is expected to resume the upside looking for more upside. We don’t like selling it.
The Dollar is King This chart shows a relationship that every trader who is serious with the business has to keep in mind. The dollar is king, A STRONG DOLLAR ends up WEAKENING
EMERGING MARKETS . This causes a capital flow away from them into safer dollar assets.
Right now , my game plan for the foreseeable future is to look for a short with good risk reward in the EEM as a whole , or break it down into its constituents and look for specific shorts in its holdings.
This dollar strength will also affect commodities , Stocks tied to commodities , XLE , and a myriad of other assets
Exciting times.
Bank of America Short signalTriangle has been completed for BAC since the beginning of the year. Price broke MA 200 which has represented a prominent support so far. MA 50 and MA 200 are close to each other. MA 20 broken with volatility stop on negative configuration. Due to the restricted volatility accrued since the beginning of the year strong price movement will be expected!
De Risking Bank of america has decided to take some risk out of the table, this is definitely going to impact profitability but let the market decide. Here I see buyers and sellers pressing while in a downtrend. Before I put my cards on the table , I'd like the market to show me who has the stronger hand.
OMGBTC (OMISEGO Token) Ready, Set…………..!OMGBTC (OMISEGO Token) 05/26/18, 8:15 PM EST, by Mike Mansfield
Good evening, trader friends! Thanks for stopping by. No, no, no, I am not here to wrangle a thumbs up from you on this one. However, if you just love any of the other forecasts, feel free to like away! ;-)
OMISEGO sounds a bit like what “oh my gosh” would be in another language.
Perhaps you can relate to the following statement: "Sometimes I literally “know” what an outcome of a chart will be with a high degree of clarity, probability, and ultimately accuracy." However, this is not one of those times. I can rationally make the case for several outcomes. That is not something I love….but since someone asked for this, I’ll map out the 3 patterns and their likely paths and change of trend times and price areas to watch for.
BOTTOM LINE: UG! We have patterns within patterns, but the cycles look good!
Pattern-1 is long-term neutral:
Large triangle wedge pattern (lime green and dark red lines) may be forming. If correct, it is unfinished and will have at least one, possibly two, more legs down toward the red long-term support trend trend-line, before we can say for sure if the pattern will resolve to the upside and moonshot, or tank into crypto oblivion.
Pattern-2 is medium-term bearish. Maybe:
Bearish rising wedge (cyan blue trend-lines) lines are converging in an upward direction. But it’s not super perfect pattern, as they sometimes look. Rising wedges typically resolves to the downside in a significant way. Moreover, OMG broke the lower support line at the recent May 23 low, which likely means eventually lower prices.
Pattern-3 is short-term bullish:
Falling wedge (yellow downward trend-lines) is short-term bullish and no matter what,
a cyclical bounce is due now based on the two quite accurate cycles thus far.
CYCLES:
Two nicely aligning cycles lows are nesting now (making a low). OMG should have a tradable rally to the green downtrend line.
Green cycle moving up and due to peak June 18,
Green cycle bottoms again July 15th.
Pink cycle is also moving up. Both the pink and green cycle are both due to top around August 10 also, =/- 2 days.
INDICATORS:
Klinger Volume Force is in a wedge. It also supports the idea that the eventual breakout, up or down, should be big.
MACD is rounding in line with cycle lows due any day now.
SUMMARY:
Short-term pattern and cyclical are bullish for a bounce, or more, perhaps until mid June.
Then, another selloff back to the lower cyan support trend-line, in alignment with the cycle low of the shorter-term green cycle, while the larger pink cycle is
moving up.
OMG with then either breakout the upside in line with the pink cycle moving up until about August 10th, while the pink longer-term cycle is also moving up and
blast off.
If the breakout does not happen by the peak of the Pink cycle (Aug 10th), then OMG is very bearish, and the bigger triangle/wedge will likely end badly for OMG.
If OMG breaks out to the upside between now and June 18th, then it might retest the breakout line or pullback around July 15th then have a cyclical peak
August 10th +/- 2 days.
POTENTIAL TRADE:
Consider looking for a short-term cyclical long trade. Lower risk area could be at the first higher swing low once a 34-50 bar EMA
average (or something better) turns up and price is also closing above the average. If The trade doesn't move nicely after the first or second pullback on a 240 minute chart, then the outlooks would be quite bearish short-term and long-term.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Cheers!
Michael Mansfield CIO
Long on a pull back to supportI'm looking to buy between $74-$75. The 50 day EMA on the daily time frame is about $76. We may bounce, but usually we go a little bit lower.
The 100 day SMA on the daily time frame and the 20 day EMA on the weekly time frame line up nicely around $74.
100 day SMA on Daily:
Weekly chart:
Worst case scenario, C pulls back to the 200 day SMA on daily (~$70), which would be an event better entry.
The trend is your friend ;-)
Going long NBN on MondayNBN is printing a bullish full-body candlestick over candlestick price bar on heavier above-average volume with my momentum/trending oscillators confirming the price move. I am going long NBN on Monday using a limit (GTC-BUY-LMT) order @ 25.20. I will have two trailing sell stops (GTC-SELL-STP) @ 23.35 and 22.70 to protect my initial invested capital in case NBN does not move higher immediately. I am expecting a measured move similar to the previous uptrend from November '16 - October '17.
JPM H&S PatternJPM seems to be breaking our of a head and shoulders pattern, also backed by the Coppock curve breaking out of defending triangle and will probably rebound to carry on going even more negative. Also, I would short now, but if it breaks the 100 MA then its a definite short until the support of the last flag pattern. Furthermore the stock seems to be entering a new trend zone represented by the purple colour.
BAC next stop 23.45?Since we keep moving higher I identified a flag pattern on the daily and 4H chart. Now we are breaking out of it and the next move should be equal to the flag pole which ends at 23.45. Personally I don't trade that kind of pattern but maybe someone of you guys out there is looking for some short to medium term targets to take profits. I am still looking for 27.50 longterm though (see previous post)
CSGNZ Credit Suisse potential bullish bat pattern on 4Hbuy CHXEUR:CSGNZ @ 10.70 (this idea is for the shares listed on the Swiss Stock Exchange)