BBBY
THE WEEK AHEAD: BBBY EARNINGS; XBI, GDX, IWMEARNINGS:
BBBY (62/79) announces earnings on Wednesday after market close. Because of its size, I would go short straddle if of a nondirectional bent: the February 21st 16 is paying 3.18 at the mid (.80 at 25% max).
Pictured here, however, is a bullish assumption "Wheel of Fortune" at the money short put in the February cycle paying 1.55 (.78 at 50% max). Max is realized on a finish above the short put strike, with profitability being realized on anything above 14.45. From a trade management standpoint, I generally leave these alone until a test of the break even, at which point I sell delta cutting call against in anticipation of being assigned and then work it as a covered call from that point forward.
An alternative play: the February 21st 15 monied covered call, 13.92 debit (which is your cost basis in the shares and your break even). The max profit on this is less generous, coming in at the difference between what you paid to put the play on (13.92) and the short call strike at 15 or 1.08 max, but has a higher probability of profit metric.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS (SHOWING FIRST EXPIRY IN WHICH THE AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PAYS GREATER THAN 10% OF THE UNDERLYING SHARE PRICE):
GLD (46/13), January '21
SLV (40/21), July
XBI (40/27), March
GDX (39/26), March
TLT (38/12), January '22
GDXJ (38/32), May
I would personally lean toward the funds paying in shortest duration, which would be either GDX or XBI, with the GDX March 20th 27/32 short strangle paying 1.18, .59 at 50% max, delta/theta -2.63/theta 1.58, and the XBI March 20th 82/105 short strangle paying 2.12, 1.06 at 50% max, delta/theta .65/3.82.
BROAD MARKET (SHOWING FIRST EXPIRY IN WHICH THE AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PAYS GREATER THAN 10% OF THE UNDERLYING SHARE PRICE):
EEM (37/18), September
QQQ (20/17), September
IWM (15/16), August
SPY (3/13), September
Short duration obviously isn't paying and even August is a long time to wait for your candy (e.g., in IWM), where the IWM 145/183 short strangle is paying 4.77, delta/theta .58/2.60, where 10% max (.48) or 25% max (1.20) might be sufficiently compelling to put on a trade.
FUTURES:
/GC (46/13)
/SI (40/20)
/6C (38/6)
/NG (27/43)
/6A (32/8)
VIX/VIX DERIVATIVES:
VIX finished the week at 14.02 and term structure trades remain viable in the February, March, and April expiries, where the /VX futures contracts finished trading at 16.70, 16.87, and 17.32, respectively. For all other derivatives, I would continue to wait until VIX print >20 to go short (call me picky).
BBBY - DAILY CHART Hi, today we are going to talk about Bed Bath & Beyond and its current landscape.
Bed Bath & Beyond is poised to receive increasing attention from the market as relevant events are taking place. The American chain of domestic merchandise retail stores announced that it is going to start a major restructuring, as six senior leaders are leaving the company. At first glance, the decision is positive for the company that can be built a more efficient structure, but this quantity of changes might mean trouble for the company fo this holiday season.
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LONG BBBY 13.85 - 13.00 - 12.50Looking for a drop on BBBY to take it long. Trending up and entering on the different support levels combined with fib retracements.
The stock has a potential fundamental upside with mayor company turnaround in play. Looking for a good entry point because seeing this stock
at 20.00 in the next 2-4 months is not a long shot. Maybe sooner. If it goes below 12.50 I will be out and re-enter at a better level.
Safe trading.
STRONG BUY BBBY 14.20 TG1=20 TG2=25 TG3=40Pure Fundamental Analysis with some technicals
- Link to company powerpoint investor presentation: bedbathandbeyond.gcs-web.com
- CMO of Target turnaround coming on board as CEO on Nov 4th to lead company turnaround.
- Stong goodwill and company brand that just needs a shift in the right direction.
- Stong financials for a company that is supposed to be struggling.
- Great real estate assets that can be sold and leased back to free cash.
- Renegotiated long term leases to more favorable tenant terms.
BBBY will be seeing 15 soonFundamental View:
Short in the next quarter, Sweeping changes at board level, Earnings Miss, Sector dying if not evolving (BBBY are not). Q1 & Q2 earnings are a write-off. The actions taken to address issues are actually costing more and are old school therefore will take at least 12 months to start to implement and no one with a big name of turning companies around has been mentioned. Replacing the board with mirror image of what was there before will equal the same outcome, lol next they will start announcing the new board members are buying shares in the company as they believe in its long term future bla bla bla lol
Tech View:
Short term very clear Head & Shoulders pattern with some huge gap filling potential in the mid term. Really cant see anyone stepping in front of this train.
Summary: BBBY will soon not be around if it does not evolve with the game, its an old world retailer in an Amazon era and unless it completely changes its operating model it will die it will just take time.
Fundamentals: Short Bias, Tech: Short Bias
Short every pop and Bank, My Av is 18.96 Target is at least 15 test in next few weeks. This one should be on everyones radar as we will see pop and fades all year - Its a banker.
Really would be surprised if this junk manages to break 20 again, but I hope it does I can add more.
"Joe's Earning season preview" EP01Hello everyone, I'm going to uploading this series as the earning season is going to take places!
Check the names that will have their earning reports this week and see how my strategies will be!
Tue: PEP
Wed: BBBY, PSMT
Thur: DAL
My English speaking is lack of practice for quite a while; please forgive me for my poor expression lol.
Let's see how they go this week yo!!!!
Bed Bath & Beyond Already shorted with a buying opportunityThe stock is already 4% down, but it could go for 20% plus. My PV is around $16.82, so in the case to go about $13 it could give us a real buying chance, but for now, already shorted.
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$BBBY Overbought at Resistance$BBBY Looking very overbought at at this point, expecting strong resistance around $15.35 level. Playing for a near term retrace.
See chart for possible near and medium term targets.
Opened position in next weeks $16.00 puts for just over a dollar - a nice ITM high delta play.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$BBBY Possible Parabolic Short Squeeze Gap Fill Coming AheadBased on this chart (using fib retracements) and current short float (26% - according to shortsqueeze.com), I have notated possible targets for the next day or two. Could go as high as $18 on a parabolic short squeeze to fill the most recent gap.
BBBY - Continued move down below swing low...possible long BBBY breaking below most recent swing low... into an area of demand/support dating back to 1999-2000. Seasonally, mid-October through the end of the year is the strongest period for BBBY over the last 20 years. We are looking for opportunities to get long - outright stock itself + options. Thoughts?
Short Bed Bath & Beyond at $22 LevelThis is a short trade opportunity coming up, the overall trend is down but I do not want to chase a short at these levels.
When the stock dead cat bounces up to $22 area right onto megaphone resistance, I will grab some put leaps. This company is dead in the water and will churn a bit here at historic reversal levels (2001 and 2008-09).
$BBBY: #Bullish #Long while market still shaky. Best Candidate?!I am interested in BBBY
I've used 3 timeframes for overall analysis.
Current Price: $20.05
Current Support: $18.70, $16.40
Current Resistance: $20.80, 23.80, 26.25, 30.60
Observation of each #frame:
1. Monthly frame:
- Respected the support at $16.40
- Out of Curved channel resistance to sideway.
- Volume shows increasing quantity for the last 12 months. likely Collection of big institutions/funds.
- RSI just crossed above 30. A RSI Support from Oct 2008 till June 2017 (10Yr), then become resistance (June17-June18).
Despite the crossing above 30, the Reading still Down trending.
- RSI is almost crossing above RSIwma45 during current month of June 18.
- Cardwell's (cfg) shows an increasing tip toward 50Level (an Uptrend signal for CFG>50)
2. Daily frame
- Resistance at $20.80, $23.80, $26.25.
- Support line at 19.10, 18.80
- WMA45 support at $18.87
- gap up closed, and still prices are retraced 5.31% from the 20.80 high. too early to be sure, but for now, it looks holding above the end of gap.
- Support/Resistance proven trend-line (white-color) adding current down pressure.
- RSI crossed above 60 at breakout of 18.20 reaching 76, retracing to 55-65 while price hold above WMA support.
- Daily RSI retracing is a signal for weekly being at resistance. Weekly RSI resistance is 50, a critical resistance if Price would start up trending.
3. 4H frame
- I use 4H frame for stocks to spot early strong RSI Reversals. Check the strong PR happened between 40-60 zone last two weeks of May.
- currently, RSI under pressure by RSIwma45 in teh 4H frame as Daily RSI is retracing (breathing).
First Entry should been made at breakout out of ~18.5 June 5th.
Second Entry would likely be:
- at breakout of inclined resistance (daily frame)
- and horizontal resistance at 20.50 - 21.00
- keep observing for strong PR signal in 4H frame
- This should also be coincide with RSI/Price being positive on Daily frame.
- Volume above average, as confirmation.
Final Note:
$SPX, $COMP, and $DJI are a bit shaky. $BBBY will be entered only in stages, and with market overall indices being mostly positive (No NR nor Support breakouts). Best time to by the stock is at Index starting new uptrend. Keep your eye wide open on market index.
Makr sure stock remain positive at timeframe correlation perspective. because it'd quickly turned risky if break ones of current major supports and would likely turned into something totally different that what we are looking for now.
**The best candidate is ones with positive technical symptoms while market at end of sideway/downtrend shaken period**.
Will be updated ...