BBY Best Buy Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BBY here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUM Rumble prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.72.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BBY
BBY Best Buy Co Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought BBY here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BBY Best Buy Co prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 77.50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Bestbuy It looks like we should have short term rally. RSI is way oversold. MACD is still bearish and the long term trend is bearish. This is not a company you want to hold in an economic downturn.
Key Points
- Long Term Support is $48 area.
- Citi Downgraded BestBuy $65
We see a short squeeze after Citi's downgrade as expected. Regardless the market is in a downtrend.
BBY Double bottom WeeklyBBY is gearing up for a large move.
One direction or another the move BBY is cooking will be nice and quick, with follow-through hopefully into the next week.
On the left we see that BBY has completed a double bottom it's almost textbook.
I suspect we will consolidate into tomorrow afternoon on BBY.
The daily chart seems to confirm this with a similar double bottom. We have crossed the daily 200ema (Yellow Line).
On the weekly chart (left) we see that BBY has a higher volume this week than last.
Our retest of the weekly 8 ema and bounce off that level are a very bullish indicators.
Looking at the daily chart (right)
We see the break above the daily 200ema (yellow line)
We see this level tested and confirmed several times.
With a final bounce towards resistance @87.
As stated above I think BBY will consolidate in this range for the coming days and hopefully with the cooperation of the SPY break out and up.
This is invalidated with a break below the $78.60 area
I believe the pattern is confirmed with a move above 86.46. The move has to be on high volume and with conviction. Until then I think we stay in the 78.60-86.46 range. (this is a broad range)
Intraday targets are in this range, swing targets are outside of these ranges.
BBY Best Buy Options Ahead Of EarningsLooking at the BBY Best Buy options chain ahead of earnings , i would buy the $73 strike price Calls with
2022-11-25 expiration date for about
$2.79 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
UVXY and ETF ShortIt's high time we accept the new reality of the inverted reality. The week of July 25th was perhaps one of the most volatile in a long time. Why? We had CPI report, earnings, and Fed Rate Hike.
What did volatility indecies like UVXY do? They sold off. It doesn't take too much logic and common sense to see something egregiously fraudulent is taking place when companies miss earnings, and their stock price rally. Or, in the grander scheme of things, horrible economic data sends markets rallying.
At this point, the market has become a literal casino gambling machine with luck, not technical analysis, economic data, geopolitical issues, trends, patterns having ANY influence. It's simply a yes or no by someone or some people at the top who dictates the move of the market.
I believe now that retail investors are at their smallest ownership of equities, the volatility index and ETFs like UVXY no longer really apply. Why? Institutions, computers, and algorithms can not panic or feel fear, only retail investors aka human aspect can. This is why you no longer see significant sell offs when there is bad news like a possible Taiwan invasion or conflict with the US.
So in conclusion, at this point, its best to get calls on pretty much anything. AMC, BBBY, Apple and others go up without reason. BestBuy stated they would see losses in Q3, and that rallied their stock. Nothing can bring this market down, so I wouldn't even be scared about getting calls, investing and waiting as your portfolio grows even in the worst of it. Perhaps actual WWIII would send markets to new record highs.
Short the volatility ETFs, UVXY, SQQQ, SDOW, SPXS, misc.. because they're destined to collapsed even if the world was on fire and there were 50% unemployment. I think the stock market is everyone's financial safety with no risks of losing money at this point.
Why is short interest in Best Buy less than its peers? What is the short interest in consumer electronics retailer Best Buy (NYSE: BBY) ahead of its second-quarter financial results on August 30?
On the last trading day, Best Buy had roughly 12 million shares in short interest, reflecting 5.97% of its outstanding shares. By midday Aug. 19, 5.5 million Best Buy shares are available to be shorted, according to management consulting company Fintel.
BBY stock dipped nearly 4% at close of trading Aug. 19 and had another marginal decline at the start of this week. The company’s stock was almost in the green last week, after peaking at $86.35 on Tuesday, and creating a new multi-month high. However, BBY eventually closed lower on the week thanks in part to the aforementioned 4% drop.
Keeping off the most shorted list
Despite the challenges it had to endure, Best Buy remains absent from the list of most shorted stocks.
The list of stocks on the most-shorted list in August, include Intercept Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ICPT), Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY), MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), WeWork (NYSE: WE), Upstart (NASDAQ: UPST), and Beyond Meat (NASDAQ: BYND). All the above stocks have short interest above 35.00% of its outstanding shares.
Best Buy's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 25.57%, which means it has far less short interest than most of its peers.
Second-quarter outlook
Like other retailers, the company is sailing in murky waters given current macroeconomic conditions. High inflation rate, interest hikes and even energy cost could add more challenges to these companies.
For Best Buy, some think the company's revenue and profitability are on-track to recovery after record-lows in the first quarter, setting the stage for a long-term rebound after bottoming in July.
However, Best Buy, may not be so bullish in its own outlook. BBY is slated to announce second-quarter results on August 30 and it expects to report a roughly 13% decline in comparable sales and an approximately 7.5% hike in revenue compared with the pre-pandemic second quarter of fiscal-year 2022.
Best Buy CEO Corie Barry said, "as high inflation has continued and consumer sentiment has deteriorated, customer demand within the consumer electronics industry has softened even further, leading to Q2 financial results below the expectations we shared in May."
The company also plans to suspend share buybacks but assured the payment of quarterly dividends.
BBYBest Buy
Trend:
Below 50,100 and 200 EMA
Positive ADX, DI below 20
Trend seems to be weak
Macro impact:
Consumer cyclical stock are not a good buy
Inflation impact on consumer purchase
High interest impacting credit buying
Recommendation:
Wait for price to cross above the resistance @ 97.96 for re-assessment
HUGE BUYING opportunity on Best Buy (BBY) for a move up to $150
We've just opened a LONG position on $BBY using 5.38% of our equity.
Fundamental Analysis
Best Buy's (NYSE:BBY) latest earnings report delivered better-than-expected results and signaled that the company’s business remains remarkably strong across all segments. It was expected to spark investors’ interest considering the fact that we usually see an increased demand for the retail stocks heading into the holiday season. Sales trends beat expectations again thanks to strong demand in both the online and in-store channels. What’s even more important is that the profitability of the company increased again despite the rising supply chain costs that the senior management has had to battle with. Both, the company’s CEO – Corie Barry and Best Buy’s CFO – Matt Bilunas confirmed for a 3rd consecutive time this year their positive outlook for the huge growth opportunities ahead for the business.
So you might be wondering - “Well, if the earnings report was so great, why has the stock sold off so dramatically?”. The thing is, it’s normal to be confused as in reality it does not make any sense for the average person. However, as trained market professionals we have the ability to dig deeper and apply a multi-varied analysis to a situation like that in order to find out what is really going on and if the selloff like that is not actually an opportunity in disguise.
What tends to happen very often on Wall Street is – when a certain company continues to deliver better-than expected results and raises its guidance quarter after quarter, then this reaches to a point when analysts, investors, journalists, fund managers etc. become overly bullish on the stock and start placing unrealistic expectations for the future growth of the company. It’s all sunshine and rainbows until these expectations become completely detached by what’s actually possible to be accomplished by the company. At one point the positioning in the stock simply becomes heavily one-sided, and a seemingly good earnings report and/or announcement by the company can become the trigger for a massive selloff in the stock, just because it was not "good enough", even though the business is solid, the stock is attractive and the future for the company is bright. That’s exactly what we are seeing happening right now with Best Buy’s stock BBY. Following management's delivery of the report on Nov. 23, Best Buy share prices slumped immediately by more than 10% due to traders' unjustified fears that the boom times are ending for the retailer.
Even if conditions for the retailer are going to shift, however, that's not likely to derail Best Buy's ability to deliver strong returns.
The recent post-Q3 earnings selloff is heavily overdone and investors are unjustly punishing the stock.
The business is strong. Revenues are increasing. The earnings continue to grow. The Senior Management has been outstanding in capturing the surge in online shopping and establishing a leading position in the sector. New services with a relatively high profit margin like the Best Buy Total Tech Support powered by Geek Squad are offering a unique solution to the tens of millions of people who prefer to work from home, thus opening a whole new subscription based revenue stream for the company, which is definitely going to drive the company growth for the years to come!
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the stock managed to break out of its 18-month sideways channel on the daily chart in early November, 2021 as a result of the great business prospects for the company and it’s strong financial performance. After breaking above the strong horizontal resistance line lying at the $121.49 level (black horizontal line), the price rallied all the way up to the $142 mark, thus setting a new all-time high and also recording a remarkable 40% rally in less than 4 weeks. The optimism in the stock reached its peak level right before the company announced its Q3 Earnings report, as it seemed that investors already knew that the stock has substantially overextended to the upside and that a correction was imminent. We saw a reversal daily candle (shooting star) on Nov. 22Nd, which confirmed the shift in the market sentiment. The crash that followed was mainly driven by one-sided positioning and over speculation by market participants. The current corrective movement has brought the stock back down at the lower end of its prior multi-month sideways channel and we expect buyers to start coming back into the stock at these levels. All three key market indicators that we use RSI, Bollinger Bands and the Stochastic oscillator are showing that the price is extremely oversold and that a normalization of price action is imminent.
Our analysis shows that the stock will return back to its all-time highs of around $140 in the next 2-4 months and will potentially push higher towards the $150-175 region. This presents a tremendous opportunity for generating more than a 30% return on our investment in the company.
Follow us on eToro for more detailed market analyses, profitable trading ideas and a consistent portfolio performance!
Kind regards,
@DowExperts
These 10 stocks just cleared the cloud out of 100+ stockswww.tradingview.com
This is the Watch List for all 10.
They all have cleared the cloud and closed Green. Some have the potential to dip to find support. However , some like this one MP looks ready from right here. All have Green Clouds that are moving up. Some however have some deep slopes of previous Red Clouds that they just worked there way through. I marked every stock on where I found it crossing out of the cloud. This way we can track its movements from the point of interest to better tailor what to expect once it pops the cloud.
AMZN
GOOG
NFLX
COST
BBY
SPOT
MP
OCGN
XPOA
TWTR
RH - Bullish on this sectorRestoration Hardware Holdings, Inc. is a luxury brand in the home furnishings marketplace. Fundamentals - Sales of new U.S. single-family homes increased in July after three straight monthly declines. Median house prices surged 18% to $390K from a year ago. People are still renovating homes in this low rate environment and people working from home.
Technicals - Weekly chart is showing a flag pattern. Options for 9/10 and 9/17 are pretty even , the put call ratio is 1.
If you have any chart requests, hit me up! Cheers!
Best Buy may be heading down near-termBased on historical movement, the peak could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending bottom should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated SELL on August 9, 2021 with a closing price of 112.54.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should decline to at least 111.3 which is the top of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock decline 4.2515% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the top of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock decline 8.478% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock decline 15.7105% from the signal closing price which is the bottom of the smaller green box. The maximum decline on record would see a move to the bottom of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The trough of the decline can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max decline occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% decline must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 3.0 trading bars; half occur within 13.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 25.5 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
At the time of this publishing, the stock has already reached the top of the small red box and may be in the early stages of the short-term forecasted decline.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).