CNQ Bear Call Spread and XOP Bull Put SpreadI am not sure if this is the right forum for this but anyway... Pairs trading is a statistical arbitrage strategy designed to exploit short-term deviations from a long-run equilibrium pricing relationship between two stocks. This is a well known strategy used by hedge funds and institutional investors. I have previously used pairs trading by trading two correlated stocks. Normally a trader would go long on an underperforming stock and, at the same time, go short on an outperforming stock. If properly constructed this approach eliminates net equity market exposure and the performance is then only depends on the relative performance of the two stocks. As you can see from the above chart CNQ and XOP are correlated and move in a very similar fashion. It is not surprising as they both have very similar drivers - the price of oil and gas. CNQ has recently been outperforming XOP so to construct a pair trade a trader would short CNQ and go long XOP.
For this trade I utilised stock options by selling two January 2016 credit spreads at the same time - CNQ $22/$23 Bear Call Spread for $0.26 and XOP $27/$28 Bull Put Spread for $0.32. The total credit received from these two spreads - $0.58. The maximum risk for the trade is $1.42 per spread and the maximum return is $0.58 per spread (excl. commissions). If the spread between these tow stocks returns to mean, I should be able to profit from the trade. Let's see how this trade performs over the next 4 weeks when the Jan options expire.
Bearcallspread
Update on BABA bear call spread5/21/15 Leda and others in a 92.50 / 94.50 bear call spread.
Unraveled on 5/21/15.
Nice retest gap today. Appears to be closing over the strong resistance of 92. Likely will pull back a TAD on the 15 min and hourly but edge does appear bullish for the next few weeks.
Sell to open the 100 May week 5 Call creating a bull call spread.
Stop for this bull call spread should be approximately 90.
SCTY bear call spread62.50 / 65 Bear call spread .15 limit (looking to leg into a 45/44 bull put spread making an iron condor)
March expiration.
I would not even LOOK at this bcs unless we close above 59 on the daily
AO 2/23/15
GPro bear call12/12/14 per plan above, GPRO appears more bearish than bullish. Check marks for bear call spread. #1 closed below support. #2 Volume increased #3 Got more than 10% for exactly 2 weeks. #4 EMA’s have crossed bearish. #5 Got a retest gap today on the hourly. We did retest the EMA’s on the hourly and begin to fail. #6 It’s nicely above the prior candles and previous resistance. #7 No divergences and stock is nicely inside the bottom Bollinger band. #8 Spread is above the 100 simple moving average. #9 New black crow (which confirmed bearish trade) on 12/10.
I will not even LOOK At this spread, or REMOTELY worry about it unless we get a gap up that traps many people on the hourly and daily and we begin to close above $69.