HBAR Seeking Golden Ratio After False Break of Consolidation?There's some big tells in what COINBASE:HBARUSD could potentially be getting ready to do so lets break it down on the Daily Chart!
Since the High on Dec. 3rd @ .392, Price has steadily been forming what looks to be a Descending Triangle while finding Support in the ( .25 - .23 ) cent range. Bearish volume building and RSI going from Overbought to currently going Below 50 suggests further Bearish Price Action could occur!
After the Positive USD Economic News Results for ISM Services and JOLTS Jobs Openings coming in well above Forecast, this seen the Dollar gain strength and other markets like Stocks and Crypto take a dive, in COINBASE:HBARUSD instance, it generated a False Break of the Descending Triangle to now where we see Price plummeting down to test the Support of this Consolidation Pattern.
If Support breaks, we could see Price make a Retracement to the April 2024 Highs @ ( .18 - .15 )
This area looks especially favorable because:
-From the Low before the Rally @ .04172 to the High of the Rally @ .392, lands the Fibonacci Golden Ratio levels priced @ ( .19619 - .17553 ) with the April 2024 High @ .1842 right in the Middle of this Zone!
-The 200 EMA is curving up into the suspected Support of the April 2024 Highs if Price were to fall, it would test this as well!
*If Price continues to fill the Pattern more, keep an eye out for more False Breaks, this will be evident with Price breaking either Area of Value ( Falling Resistance or Support Zone) followed with minimal Volume.
Bearish Patterns
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.622.
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USD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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USD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 154.530.
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CAD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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CAD/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 106.159 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62400 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.04000 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DOGE DAILY Heavy selloff resulting in DOGE wicking the demand zone and the bottom of the range. For me this means two potential entry points:
- The range low revisit with a more steady curved move building a base to rally from. This is the best R:R entry IMO as it is strong support.
- A reclaim of 0.25 would set up DOGE for a move to the midpoint at which point I think it would be wise to take profits or hedge the position as there is no clear direction where DOGE will go. Also if this entry was triggered I would still be very wary of the wick at range low that needs filling.
03/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,485.24
Last weeks low: $100,995.99
Midpoint: $95,506.74
As the US begins a tariff trade war on the world, BTC ends the previous week with a weekend selloff back into the range low of $91,000. Despite the crypto world being everchanging this range low level has held strong for nearly 3 months now.
Because of this strong support level we have seen many weekly outlooks follow the pattern of an early break below weekly low, then reclaim and rally back up the range throughout the week. Could this be the case once again?
Currently sentiment is terrible, probably bear market levels of depression despite Bitcoin being above $100K most of the time. I think this is largely due to the state of altcoins as they are at pre-US election lows, in some cases bear market levels... This plays havoc mentally which so much was promised in terms of alt season potential now that Bitcoin is a new highs. In reality the market will do what hurts the most, max pain.
Having said that, generally a weekend dump can be misleading due to low volume and the absence
of institutional buying making any manipulated move much easier to pull off from a market makers point of view.
There are some nice 4H TF setups emerging, now the macro environment is definitely calling the shots in the Tradfi world but as long as the $91,000 holds the rangebound move is still in play.
GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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GOLD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2,687.784 area.
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$SOL Short-Term Pain to $170-180Solana Closed the Week below the 9WMA but above the 20.
The Week opened trading below the 20WMA and UpTrend it formed Since August 5, 2024.
CRYPTOCAP:SOL will most likely retest $170-180 region where it should bounce off the 50WMA. Closing a week or two below that might cause some concern. Will revisit next week.
Bull Case is that SOL closed above the .382 Fib and UpTrend so some bullish catalysts next week could spur a rally.
NASDAQ Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21400 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82400 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
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Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USOIL pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 71.64.
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GBP/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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GBP-CAD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.773 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GBP/CAD pair.
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Energy Policy and USDWTIKey Entry Points:
Ideal Entry: $78 (Sell Position)
The $78 level was an optimal sell entry, primarily due to the declaration of emergency in the energy sector made by the new administration. This policy move is expected to increase energy production significantly. The current administration is heavily investing in the energy sector to mitigate price increases in other sectors, combat inflation, and maintain or reduce it. This macroeconomic context highlights why $78 was a strategic sell zone.
Current Entry Opportunity: $74 (Sell Position)
From a technical analysis perspective, $74 is a notable resistance level. While this level carries more risk compared to $78, it presents a viable sell opportunity due to price inefficiency beginning at this point. Observing the daily chart, we notice an efficient bearish trend with a clear price inefficiency that originated at $74. This inefficiency creates a strong resistance zone, making it a reasonable point for continuation to the downside.
Technical Analysis Across Timeframes:
Daily Chart:
The current bearish trend remains intact. The inefficiency at $74 reinforces the case for selling at this level. While not as secure as the $78 zone, it offers a good probability for a continuation to lower levels.
Weekly Chart:
The market is currently in an impulsive phase. However, no significant support or resistance zones are evident within this timeframe. This lack of structural confirmation increases the risk of entering at this level.
Monthly Chart:
The monthly chart shows a clear rejection from a downward resistance. This reinforces the bearish outlook and aligns with the target at $70.80, which represents a strong support level.
CHF/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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CHF/JPY is making a bullish rebound on the 8H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 169.820 level.
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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SILVER pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.534 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP/NZD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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GBP/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2.158 area.
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GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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We are going short on the GBP/CHF with the target of 1.112 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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EURGBP Is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83700 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.