GBP/AUD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2.045.
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Bearish Patterns
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.13
Target Level: 61.78
Stop Loss: 64.03
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GBP/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.102
Target Level: 1.061
Stop Loss: 1.130
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
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EUR/AUD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.698 area.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,321.1
Target Level: 3,263.1
Stop Loss: 3,359.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 30, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Bessent's Trade Remarks Stir Markets
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized the U.S.'s readiness for a significant trade deal with China, suggesting potential easing of the ongoing tariff war. His comments have heightened investor anticipation for developments in U.S.-China trade relations.
📉 China's Factory Activity Contracts
China's April manufacturing PMI is projected to fall below 50, indicating contraction, as recent U.S. tariffs impact production. This downturn raises concerns about global supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown.
💼 Major Earnings Reports on Deck
Investors await earnings from key companies including Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ), Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ), Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), and Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ). These reports will provide insights into how tech giants are navigating current economic challenges.
🏛️ Treasury's Borrowing Plans Under Scrutiny
The U.S. Treasury is set to release its quarterly refunding announcement, detailing borrowing plans amid economic uncertainties and the impact of recent tariffs. Market participants will closely analyze the guidance for implications on interest rates and fiscal policy.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, April 30:
📈 Q1 GDP (8:30 AM ET)
Forecast: 0.3% QoQ
Previous: 2.4%
Initial estimate of U.S. economic growth for Q1, reflecting the early impact of new trade policies.
📈 ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM ET)
Measures private sector employment changes, offering a preview of the official jobs report.
📈 Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET)
Assesses business conditions in the Chicago area, serving as an indicator of regional economic health.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.575
Target Level: 1.525
Stop Loss: 1.608
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the EUR/JPY with the target of 159.106 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.639
Target Level: 0.636
Stop Loss: 0.642
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GBP-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 1.301.
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EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/USD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.103.
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EUR/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on EUR/AUD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 1.768.
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GU Bear Flag Confirmed, Break & Retest Set-UpHere on the 1Hr Chart FX:GBPUSD has formed what seems to be a Continuation Pattern, the Bear Flag!
Now, with Price in a decline prior to entering the Consolidation Phase of the Pattern, this suggests that Price will continue further down if this Break is Validated and a Retest is Successful!
We will want to see:
1) Strong Breaking Candle that is followed by Accumulation of Bearish Volume!!
2) 10 - 20% of the Range, Past the Break
3) 3 - 5 Closing Candles, Outside of Break, Before Retest
This is considered the True or False Formula to determine if its a True Breakout or False Breakout.
RSI is Below the 50 in Bearish Territory with room to stretch Oversold strengthening the Bearish bias.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart.
If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal.
From a quantitative perspective:
If we calculate the raw historical success rate using:
Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90%
In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using:
Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83%
Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior.
Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest?
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.510.
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GBPCHF - Bull No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈From a medium-term perspective, GBPCHF has been bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
This week, GBPCHF has been approaching the upper bound of its channel.
Moreover, the red zone around $1.115 is a strong support turned resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 95,374.46
Target Level: 87,760.19
Stop Loss: 100,463.39
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.475 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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