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Bearishmomentum

Bitcoin is Headed to $36K And It’s Happening NOW!This might not be the most popular opinion, especially among those who still believe the current Bitcoin bull cycle hasn’t ended. However, I encourage you to take a few minutes, approach this with an open mind, and let me know whether you agree or disagree. Understanding the Previous Cycle (2020–2021) The last Bitcoin bull cycle began in March 2020, when BTC bottomed at approximately $3,810. It then surged to an all-time high (ATH) of $69,870 in November 2021, marking the cycle top. By applying a Fibonacci retracement to this entire range, we can see that the golden pocket (0.618 - 0.786 Fib)—often a key support zone during bear markets—fell between $17,700 and $28,690. Looking at the chart, BTC beautifully retraced into this zone, even dipping slightly below it to form a cycle bottom at $15,500 in November 2022. The key sign that the bear market had ended and a new bull market had begun was when Bitcoin broke above the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the previous cycle and established a higher high on the weekly chart. This marked a clear shift from a bearish to a bullish market structure. The Current Cycle (2022–2025) From the November 2022 bottom, Bitcoin rallied, setting a new ATH at $73,600—just slightly above the previous peak. After some consolidation, it found strong support at the 0.236 Fib level of the previous bull cycle, signaling that the uptrend was still intact. The real breakout came when BTC surpassed the psychological $100,000 level and consolidated around the -0.5 Fib extension of the previous cycle. The cycle top appears to have been put in after Donald Trump took office in January 2025, marking an approximately 26-month bull run—longer than previous cycles. However, a major bear market confirmation signal has now emerged: BTC has decisively broken below the 0.236 Fib retracement of this cycle, which historically signals the end of a bull market and the beginning of a new bear phase. Where is the Next Bottom? By analyzing the Fibonacci levels of both the previous and current bull cycles, we can identify key potential support zones where Bitcoin may bottom out: 1. $51,370 - $53,700 • This range aligns with: • 0.236 Fib of the previous bull cycle • 0.618 Fib of the most recent bull cycle • This zone has confluence, making it a high-probability support level. 2. $35,600 - $36,500 • This range aligns with: • 0.5 Fib of the previous bull cycle • 0.786 Fib of the most recent bull cycle • If BTC breaks below the first support zone, this is the next key level to watch. Historically, Bitcoin bear markets last around one year, so we can expect this downward trend to play out over a similar timeframe. How to Position Yourself? For long-term investors, these support zones offer prime buying opportunities to accumulate Bitcoin at discounted prices before the next bull run begins. While the market won’t move in a straight line down—expect bounces and fake-outs—the general expectation is that BTC will find its next higher low within one of these zones. Looking Ahead: Next Bull Cycle Target If we use the same -0.5 Fib extension strategy that predicted the previous cycle’s top, we can estimate the next bull market peak. Based on the current cycle’s Fib range, the projected ATH for the next bull run would be around $157,000. Final Thoughts While nobody can predict the future with certainty, historical price action, Fibonacci levels, and market structure provide strong clues about where BTC is headed next. As always, flexibility is key—if market conditions change, so should our expectations. But if history repeats itself, these levels offer a solid framework for identifying the best entry points and positioning for the next major bull run. What do you think? Do you agree with this analysis, or do you see it differently? Let me know in the comments!
Short
by bigcheese421
4
DOGE 4HR Analysis Here is the current 4 Hour range within the 1st zone I was looking for. Personally, I still see more downside as bears are still in control. There is potential for a breakout on the 4HR but confirming congruence on the Daily has me hesitant as the Daily Timeframe would still hold a downward trend. —————————————————————— Diving further into the structure of the candles I noticed there are more wicks from the bottom side of the candles than the top; a confirmation bears and the downward trend are still in control. Bulls are starting to defend this level, but to me it’s a sign that buy side liquidity it being created. If I’m a seller, this is a great place to manage risk for further downside. If I’m a buyer, I’m being patient as the retracement back to supply seems to be almost over.
COINBASE:DOGEUSD
by Venture13
potential NASDAQ bearish reversal in the makingThe Nasdaq appears to be showing signs of a bearish reversal as technical and macroeconomic factors align against further upside. After a strong rally, the index is encountering key resistance, prompting concerns among traders about the sustainability of the recent gains. A pinbar candlestick pattern has emerged, signaling potential downside as buyers fail to sustain momentum. Historically, such formations indicate a rejection of higher prices, often leading to further declines. Additionally, selling pressure on rallies suggests that market participants are taking profits rather than betting on continued strength. From a momentum perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is beginning to roll over, hinting at a potential shift in trend. If this bearish momentum continues, the Nasdaq could face increased selling pressure in the coming sessions. Beyond technicals, fundamental factors are adding to the uncertainty. The announcement of new tariffs under former President Donald Trump’s trade policies is weighing on market sentiment. Moreover, while Federal Reserve rate cuts are traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data suggests that in some cases, they coincide with economic slowdowns, leading to weaker market conditions. Looking at key downside levels, support can be found at 18,400, where buyers might attempt to stabilize the market. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 16,500, a critical zone where stronger buying interest may emerge. Traders should closely monitor price action and market reactions at these levels. Confirmation of bearish signals and continued weakness in bullish sentiment could pave the way for a more extended correction. Caution is advised, with risk management strategies essential for navigating the potential downturn.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by fwalbaum
1
#GNOUSDT remains weak after a strong drop📉 SHORT BYBIT:GNOUSDT.P from $181.40 🛡 Stop Loss: $186.50 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:GNOUSDT.P experienced a sharp rally above $210, followed by an equally strong pullback. ➡️ The POC (Point of Control) at $187.27 indicates the highest liquidity area, which serves as a strong resistance level. ➡️ Price is consolidating below $183.12, signaling potential seller dominance. ➡️ If $178.55 breaks downward, further decline toward $175.30 is expected. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Enter short upon a confirmed break below $181.50. ➡️ Stop-Loss placed at $186.50, above the resistance zone. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 Take Profit1- 178.55 🔥 Take Profit2- 175.30 🚀 BYBIT:GNOUSDT.P remains weak after a strong drop—expect further downside.
Short
by MoriartyTrading
Saying the quite things about TSLA out loud...This is my first chart art. Hope you all find humor in the awful situation that is TSLA. I do NOT see any situation where TSLA remains a Trillion Dollar market cap company for the next 4 years. Their cars are being sold used at historically higher volume, demand has gone down and their new model Y... WHY would someone buy that when the CEO and founder is sieg healing behind the podium the same day where the American Equivalent of the nuremberg laws are signed into law. Behind the insanely bearish optics, the fundamentals have always been overvalued. TSLA is not a tech company. It's a car company built off the top of liberal ideology. It's founder is in an "open loop" or more accurately a "broke loop". He has chosen to support policy that harms his stock, such as removing the EV credit that has contributed to their profitability. Worse still, the acquisition of Twitter, using TSLA as collateral will inevitably result in a defaulted loan. Compounding still, further, he is borrowing money from new investors to fund xAI, which has no real value compared to OpenAI and is, itself being used to pay back the defaulting loans backed by TSLA. This is a literal PONZI scheme, ran by someone who has put the entire fate of his company in the hands of a convicted fraudster with 7 bankruptcies under their belt. It is a literal, red nazi flag. Nothing NEO about it...
NASDAQ:TSLA
by livingdracula
Bearish trends in the days ahead. Hello, To all my folks who are trading forex. Right now everything has been going crazy with all the news across the world. One thing can be sure is the USD is reigning supreme. With a guy sitting at the big White House in DC. Be rest assured he wants to be first at everything. He wants US first in everything. It’s only a matter of time before things start to reflect certain aspects of that. Especially the USD. So let’s take a look at what the EUR has been doing for a while! What it has been doing for a long time is falling. Things will continue to be that way. If we extend the times on the chart to 4hrs, day, week and even month. You can see that things are looking to trace back to low’s that haven’t been hit in years. Of course, things will always have to retrace, you will have your support and resistance levels. That’s a gimme. It’s what we do at those levels is what will define these future trades. At this time. It’s time to throw the towel in and admit. We are in a EUR/USD downtrend for a long time to come. As always, research your entries, confirm your strengths and look for opportunities to trade smarter. If you enjoy this publish idea, please follow and boost this up. - Thank you
Short
by TradeswithB
EUR/USD (EU) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Recently, we’ve observed a distribution phase in EUR/USD, followed by a markdown , confirming the overall bearish trend visible on both the daily and weekly timeframes. Key Observations: Bearish Structure: On the daily timeframe, price is consistently creating supply zones and showing strong reactions to them. The market structure confirms the downtrend with the formation of lower lows and breaks to the downside. EMA Interaction: The price is currently surfing downward along the EMAs , which are acting as dynamic resistance and reinforcing the bearish momentum. Scenarios to Watch: Continuation: Price could continue its markdown, heading toward the short-term target and potentially testing the psychological level of 1.0000. Re-distribution: There’s also a possibility of a move upward, creating a re-distribution phase to accumulate enough liquidity for a stronger push below 1.0000 . Fundamental Insights: Strength of the US Economy: The US dollar remains strong due to: Higher interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve to combat inflation, which increases the demand for USD-denominated assets. Strong labor market data , with low unemployment and rising wages supporting consumer spending. Positive GDP growth , reflecting resilience in the US economy despite global economic challenges. Weakness in the Eurozone: European economies are facing multiple headwinds, including: Energy concerns driven by geopolitical tensions, leading to higher costs for businesses and consumers. Slow economic growth as inflation continues to weigh on consumer spending. Divergence in monetary policy , with the European Central Bank (ECB) appearing more cautious about aggressive rate hikes compared to the Fed. The combination of these factors makes the USD fundamentally stronger, while the EUR struggles under the weight of economic and geopolitical challenges. My Perspective: Given the strong bearish structure, EMA surfing, and fundamental backdrop, I expect further downside momentum. However, the possibility of a re-distribution phase cannot be ruled out, especially if liquidity is needed to push below the 1.0000 level. Staying cautious and reactive to price action around key levels will be crucial.
Short
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
Bitcoin at Critical Support: Will It Hold or Breakdown?We’re currently looking at Bitcoin on the weekly chart with 6 days remaining before this candle closes. It’s sitting at a key support level of $93,416.91, and Bitcoin needs to maintain this support for the bullish momentum to continue. If this critical support level breaks, we could see a bearish crossover, with the 9 EMA crossing below the 4 SMA. This could trigger a sharp decline and potentially lead to a panic sell. The next key support is at $87,328.39, which we’ll need to hold. We’ll revisit this analysis when the next move unfolds. If you found this helpful, please hit the like button.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Pfizer Ltd. - Short Position AnalysisChart Overview: The chart indicates that the stock is in a clear downtrend, following a descending channel pattern. The price is nearing a key horizontal support level (marked in black), and a breakdown below this level may present a shorting opportunity. Trade Setup for Short Position: 1.Entry Trigger: Below ₹5,028 on a daily closing basis. 2.Targets: Target 1: ₹4,885 (first demand zone). Target 2: ₹4,760 (strong support and lower boundary of the descending channel). 3.Stop Loss: Above ₹5,187 (recent swing high and red-dotted resistance level). 4.Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable ratio of at least 1:2. Alternate Scenario: If ₹5,028 holds as support, the stock might see a pullback toward ₹5,187, where selling pressure could resume.
NSE:PFIZERShort
by AngshumanSaikia
USDJPY: Bearish Break in FocusHello Traders, Below is my analysis of USDJPY currency pair from H1 perspective. Trend & Sentiment USDJPY is in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lows. The recent break below 153.819 confirms bearish momentum, with sellers firmly in control. Key Levels Resistance: 153.962 (Minor), 154.653 (Major) Support: 153.276 Possible Movement Bearish Continuation: Likely toward 152.466 (target) as long as the price stays below 154.653. Retracement Risk: Minor resistance at 153.962 may cap any short-term bounces. Reversal Signal: A break above 154.653 could shift momentum to bullish. Conclusion The outlook remains bearish with a focus on 152.466, while resistance at 154.653 defines the trend's invalidation point. Do let me have your thoughts. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
2
EURCAD: Bearish Momentum in PlayHello Traders, Trust trading has been awesome for you. Please find below my analysis of the EURCAD currency pair from H4 perspective. Trend & Sentiment The pair remains bearish, forming lower highs and lows. Sellers maintain control, though the current consolidation suggests temporary indecision, even though price is facing resistance around the 1.48591. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.48591 Support: 1.47211 Possible Movement A break below the equilibrium at 1.47993 could accelerate bearish momentum toward 1.47211 and 1.45831. A short-term pullback to the resistance at 1.48591 is possible (as we saw the buyers temporarily pushed above this region and closed back below it) but likely to face renewed selling pressure. Short-Term Target: 1.47800 Medium-Term Target: 1.47211 Long-Term Target: 1.45831. This trade may last from now till 22nd November or beyond to fully unfold. Conclusion The bias remains bearish, with a focus on the downside targets unless the price breaks above 1.48898 to challenge the trend. Cheers and happy trading!
Short
by Samuel124
Hey SPYLOVERS here are 3 Scenarios for this week check it out...Another week analyzing SPY's behavior correctly as we planned. I’d like to invite you to review my previous analyses of the price movements throughout the week, so you can see that I base my strategy solely on price action and institutional supply and demand concepts—simple methods that the price has respected. In this case, we won’t be seeing historical highs anytime soon. I believe we’re in a pullback where we need to monitor closely to see if the price might return to the order block I have around $563.60. This area is significant because it’s where the highest concentration of orders in the market is currently positioned. If we look at the last candle SPY closed with, although it ended higher than the previous one, it’s still showing selling pressure, so we’ll likely continue on the path of selling for a few more days. The key is to analyze the next move the price makes when it touches the order block: Here are 3 possible Scenarios. Scenario 1. If the price reaches this zone ($563.60), it might dip a little further as a fake-out before bouncing back strongly. Here, we need to pay close attention to the candlestick pattern that appears in this area. Scenario 2. If it respects the order block but doesn’t bounce with enough strength, we might be witnessing a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could later bring the price to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). Scenario 3. If the price breaks my order block with strength and volume, then we’re validating a CHoCH (Change of Character), where we could see the price move to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). No matter what happens, remember to always watch the candlestick pattern and the volume. That’s the main fuel behind the price's strength, and analyzing it this way will make your analysis more accurate. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
3
USDJYP - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 USDJYP Analysis on 4H chart - The current Trend is BULLISH - There is BEARISH divergences - Reversal pattern is present which is rising wedge 🔹 Trade Plan For 1HR - Entry Level = 149.093 - Stop Loss = 149.656 - TP1 = 148.545 - TP2 = 147.982 - TP3 = 147.397 🔹 Risk Management - First TP is 1:1 - Second TP is 1:2 - Third TP is 1:3 🔹 How to Take Trade? - Only risk 2% of your portfolio - Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR - Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR - Take 1% risk entry with 1:3 RR Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
Short
by Bountysoul
Nifty 50 Index - Head and Shoulders Pattern ConfirmedOn the daily timeframe, Nifty 50 has formed a textbook Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential bearish reversal. The left shoulder formed around late August, followed by a higher peak (head) in early September, and now the right shoulder is completed. The neckline has been broken at the 24,612 level, indicating further downside risk. Key Points: Pattern: Head and Shoulders (Bearish Reversal) Neckline : 24,612 (Broken) Immediate Support: 24,459 Target 1: 23,348 (measured move from the head to neckline) Volume: Increased during the right shoulder formation, confirming selling pressure. RSI: Currently near the oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term relief bounce before resuming the downtrend. Projection: Short-term downside: The first target can be seen around 23,348, where the measured move would complete. Risk Management: A close back above the neckline would invalidate the bearish outlook, with resistance now around 24,816.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by AngshumanSaikia
2