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Bearish Trend Line

Major Top Forming on SPXHello Everyone, a simple analysis of the RSI and current price action appear eerily similar to the 2022 peak. During the 2022 top we had financial experts and the media claiming victory stating that this bull market will continue, however we crashed soon after. Now the SPX is currently forming a topping process, this could be done or we could go a little higher before the bear market continues. It's clear that the SPX is making new highs while NDX and IWM fail to make a new high suggesting that this is the top. If this economy is doing so good, then why does the FED need to cut interest rates? The fed is cutting interest rates because we are either in a recession or we are very close to one. There is no such thing as a soft landing. The truth is we may already be in a recession and it wouldn't be declared until we are deep into one. If anything we are no longer going into a recession, we are going into a depression. Do not get lulled into a false sense of security like many others during the 2000 and 2008 top.
SP:SPXShort
by justaturboman44
I'm not buying the Brian Niccol hype. SBUX is in trouble. NASDAQ:SBUX , NYSE:CMG , NYSE:YUM This 24% jump in SBUX stock as a result of recent news of them hiring Brian Niccol seems a bit excessive. Sure he is a wonderful CEO and he has made significant improvements in both companies he has run, but this situation seems significantly different. With NYSE:CMG he was able to trim the fat and cut all costs possible while creating specialized food items people were willing to pay up for like carne asada, al pastor, and guac. The situation with NASDAQ:SBUX is very different. Their workforce demands more from their employer. It is no longer looked at as an entry-level job, people believe they are working for a company they can work up and develop in. In addition, what sets SBUX apart from other coffee shops like #Dunkindonuts and #TimHortons is the customization the customer has in the app and at the store. Every coffee chain has "specialty" and "seasonal" drinks. The only way I see he will be able to make a significant change is by automating the store as much as possible, but if he does this, will people still look at it as a local cafe they are going to sit down and enjoy a cup of coffee in? In addition, consumers are becoming more health conscious and they are likely to continue to decrease their spend on luxury-priced drinks filled with sugars. With inflation continuing to impact the consumer, a high-priced coffee is likely at the top of their cost-cutting list. With both the USA and China consumers feeling the heat, this company is likely to continue to feel the pain in both markets. If I were to guess, Niccols is going to slash projections previously made by upper management, and the stock will respond in a negative way. With all that being said, the stock has recently shot through all of its moving averages and is now retesting the upper band of a previous negative channel. Once the Niccols hype starts to decrease, I can see this stock easily retesting the 200-day MA and 100-day MA.
NASDAQ:SBUXShort
by Average_Joe_Options
GBP/USD Key Points Tuesday’s UK Construction PMI came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted GBP/USD’s bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level. In an eerily quiet week for UK economic data, GBP/USD has been taking its signal from developments elsewhere and general risk trends. The only notable data release this week was Tuesday’s Construction PMI, which came in above expectations at 55.3, the highest reading in more than two years. Despite the strong reading (admittedly on a second- if not third-tier economic indicator), sterling has struggled to get into gear this week. Outside of the Swiss franc, the British pound is the weakest major currency since Sunday’s open. This weakness has emerged despite the BOE being one of the least dovish major central banks looking forward. According to Bloomberg data, OIS traders are pricing in just 44bps of interest rate cuts from the Bank of England this year, or a bit below two 25bps rate cuts, compared to roughly 100bps (four 25bps rate cuts) and 68bps (almost three 25bps rate cuts) for the Fed and ECB respectively. Time will tell whether traders are overly optimistic that the BOE will be able to cut rates relatively slower than its major rivals or whether more rate cuts still need to be discounted, potentially keeping GBP/USD under pressure. British Pound Technical Analysis – GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart Turning our attention to the chart, GBP/USD remains in its 4-week bearish channel, despite the big rally during the first half of today’s US session. One tool that traders can use to help handicap when a trend may break is the RSI indicator. In this case, the 14-period RSI on GBP/USD’s 4-hour chart has been stuck in a well-defined range between 30-50 since shortly after the bearish channel formed, signaling consistent, but not excessive, bearish momentum. Accordingly, bulls may want to watch to see if the RSI can break above the 50 level to either foreshadow or confirm a breakout in the exchange rate itself. For now though, the bias remains to the downside and traders may look to sell this rally as long as rates remain below 1.2760 and the RSI holds below the 50 level. -- Written by Matt Weller
Short
by WHSelfInvest
Officially still in the bearmarketIt nuked down to 53K range but feeling its not over it ; it will still go below 57K. This is pretty mid-short sell. Do have a 50K feeling will hit even dip below 50K can happen Im keeping it short as possible cuz i don't see any sign of buyers and bullish quite yet until the correction is finish. Ill say the prediction won't be finish until we hit 50K even or somewhere around 40K area and i heard rumors that the bulls will get back until reach about 30k-35k Im not a financial advisor so please don't ask if we hit a good trade; if its a stay away then don't trade and use your own analysis instead. Safe trading yall
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
EURUSD - Secret pattern no one talks about! (big crash coming)In my previous EURUSD post, I analyzed the historical chart (1971 - 2024). You know that EURO is heading for a big crash. If you haven't seen this very important post, please check out the related section down below. You have to see it if you are a real EURUSD trader.  Today, let's take a look at the actual 2023/2024 price action to see what is going on here. We have a secret head and shoulders pattern, that no one knows about. In general, the head and shoulders pattern is a reversal pattern and usually occurs at the top of the trend. These patterns are pretty much never perfect, so it's not always easy to spot them. This one is really hard to see, but I made it easy for you. We have 2 shoulders, and each shoulder is composed of a parallel channel. Neckline / HEAD is in the middle. This is of course an important level and strong support/resistance. Right now, it's a support, but once we break it, it turns into a resistance. Of course, I expect a breakdown on this bearish pattern, so make sure you are prepared for what is coming! Is it good to short EURO now? Yes. Where to take profit? It depends on how long you want to wait. I have market 3 strong levels on the way down. The first is the neckline of the HaS pattern. The second is the POC (Point of Control) of the previous market structure. The third is the previous major swing low. From the Elliott Wave perspective, I see a bearish Elliott Nest, that is composed of waves (1-2-1-2). This is an extremely strong fractal because once wave 3 starts, a steep downtrend begins. Usually, wave 3 is the strongest of all waves. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
47
📈DYDX is going to retest or fall further📉 BINANCE:DYDXUSDT KUCOIN:DYDXUSDT Hello traders. I believe in DYDX, why? Because this all-season (before or after halving) DEX (decentralized exchanges) are going to be under more attention. right now, there are 3 scenarios in front of the traders. in 1 & 2, the price can retest the 2- or 4-hour Bollinger midline and then retest the lower level of the pitchfork. in 3, due to the heavy sell pressure, the price can sorely decrease below the 3.498 level. In that case, the bearish target would be $3.153. ✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌ ✍🐱‍👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱‍👤✍ 🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾
Short
by CrazyS
3
XAUUSD 4H FVG Area and Finding Lower HighXAUUSD still on bearish trend on 4H TF and want to find their lower high (2047 - 2049). If trendline break very possible to going into their lower high before (2064 - 2065) or maybe higher at their higher OB (2085 - 2088). I am looking for Buy setup on LTF at 4H FVG. On LTF there is a support area too on 4H FVG. Pretty good for entry and waiting for rejection candle and CHoCH. But if there is a rejection after hit the trendline, we looking for sell setup.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by BagasRG
#DXY possible bullish reverse head and shoulder patternI believe this bearish move, which we are observing in the 1-hour timeframe market structure, is a bearish corrective move. Consequently, there is a possibility of a bullish continuation move in the Dollar. Upon closer inspection, we can see the formation of a reverse head and shoulder pattern , which is an intrinsically reversal pattern and signals a potential bullish move. If the price manages to break above this bullish pattern and a short-term bearish trendline, we could assume that our higher timeframe bullish move would possibly continue. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
TVC:DXYLong
by mohemati
Bitcoin price action analysis can reach 30k ranges The price has lost 50 Moving average and EMA top. Heading to 100 and 200 moving averages. Hopefully 200 MA must give some support or else it can reach more downside .The lower low price action indicates bearishness and no sight of uptrend . On weekly scale a large bearish wick is worrisome .if price retraced from rectangular box with good volumes there can be hope to reach 48k ranges again for retracement. if price goes down and down the 1 day MA and EMA will print death cross which can lead to more downside in next month mid. thank you.if helpful like and follow for more updates.
Short
by Zakir-Ahmed
🔥 AUDUSD) bearish) hitting support levels)The Australian and New Zealand dollars slipped on Monday, guided lower by yuan weakness amid increasing deflationary pressure in China, while traders await a week packed with central bank meetings to keep buying into their interest rate-cut hope. The Aussie slipped 0.3% to $0.6556 AUDUSD , having fallen 1.5% last week in the first decline in four weeks. It eased 0.4% on Friday as an upbeat U.S. payrolls report saw investors scale back expectations for a March cut by the Federal Reserve, supporting the U.S. dollar. (FEDWATCH) Resistance is now at $0.6620 while support is $0.6526. The kiwi was off 0.1% at $0.6113 NZDUSD after a weekly drop of 1.4% to snap a three-week winning streak. It fell 0.8% on Friday, with support at $0.6104. The two Antipodeans - which are often sold as liquid proxies for China's currency - tracked the yuan lower USDCNY after data at the weekend showed consumer prices in China fell 0.5% in November, pointing to still-sluggish domestic demand despite recent hope that the economic slowdown had bottomed out. Looking ahead, the Antipodean currencies face critical tests this week from U.S. inflation data on Tuesday, a Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday and Australian labour market data on Thursday. Markets are already pricing in an easing of more than 100 basis points from the Fed next year. The European Central Bank, Bank of England, Norges Bank and the Swiss National Bank also meet on Thursday. "The Aussie benefited from the broad USD slide in November but has pulled back sharply from potentially extending gains into 0.67-0.68," said Westpac strategist Tim Riddell. "Aussie may now be constrained by the cool investor response to China's fiscal stimulus measures and ongoing concern over property sector stress, notwithstanding the strength of iron ore prices." Australian yields tracked movement in U.S. Treasuries on Friday after the payrolls report sent bonds lower. The three-year Australian government bond yield (AU3YT=RR) rose 4 basis points to 3.956%, while the 10-year AU10Y was 2 bps higher at 4.334%. New Zealand will report third-quarter economic growth on Thursday, with analysts expecting gross domestic output to have expanded by a tepid 0.2% from the previous quarter's 0.9%.🙏
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
Fundamental Shifting of USDJPY's Risk Sentiment Pressures PriceGreetings, Fellow Traders, Technicals and Chart Explanation Indicators Trendline: A trendline is a diagonal line connecting at least two price points, typically peaks or troughs, to determine the overall direction of a trend. In this case, the downward trendline suggests a prevailing bearish trend in USDJPY. Resistance: Resistance is a price level where upward momentum is likely to stall or reverse. In the USDJPY chart, the identified resistance level could act as a barrier for the price to break through, supporting the bearish outlook. Downward Pressure: Downward pressure refers to the selling force driving the price lower. In the USDJPY chart, the repeated instances of price retracing toward the trendline and resistance level indicate ongoing downward pressure from bears. Double Top Pattern: A double top pattern is a bearish reversal pattern formed when the price attempts to break upward twice but fails to surpass a previous resistance level. The double-top pattern observed in the USDJPY chart suggests a potential reversal of the upward trend and a continuation of the bearish trend. Target Zone: A target zone is a price range that a trend is expected to reach based on technical analysis. In this case, the lower target price at $145.16 represents a potential area where the bearish trend could find support. Forecast: A forecast is a prediction about the future movement of a price based on technical analysis and market sentiment. In this instance, the forecast suggests a potential continuation of the bearish trend in USDJPY, with the price potentially reaching the lower target zone. Chart As a discerning observer of market tendencies, I've identified a potential double top pattern on the USDJPY chart, preceding the recent bearish price action that gathered momentum and drove prices towards lower targets. This observable pattern, depicted above the candle formations, harmonizes with the prevailing downward trendline. Repeated instances of downward pressure exerted by bears, symbolized by the red circles, have guided the USD's descent toward this trendline. Currently, I discern a price range confined between resistance and the lower target price of $145.16. Therefore, I anticipate the potential continuation of this bearish trend. News and Fundamental Analytics Japan's Economy Stagnates as Yen Rebounds: Japan's economy, the third-largest in the world, grew at a mere 0.2% annualized rate in the third quarter of 2023, falling short of expectations and indicating signs of stagnation. This subdued economic growth could weigh on the Japanese yen, potentially further weakening USDJPY. US Economy Faces Recession Fears: The US economy has exhibited signs of slowing growth, raising concerns about a potential recession. If economic conditions in the US deteriorate, the dollar could lose its appeal, contributing to a further decline in USDJPY. Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on Risk Sentiment: Geopolitical tensions surrounding the war in Ukraine and other global conflicts have dampened risk appetite among investors. This risk-averse sentiment could drive investors towards safe-haven assets like the yen, further weakening USDJPY. Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Momentum: Technical indicators on the USDJPY chart, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), suggest ongoing bearish momentum. These indicators could provide further confirmation of the downward trend in USDJPY. Please note that these observations are intended for entertainment purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. It is crucial to conduct thorough research and make informed decisions when managing your investments. Warm regards, Ely
Short
by Elysian_Mind
2
🚀 UNI : Breaking from Bear Flags to Bull Wedge ! December 2021 marked a challenging period for Uniswap (UNI) as it navigated through a bearish flag pattern, experiencing a significant drop. Fast forward to the present, and UNI is staging a potential comeback. The charts reveal a pattern shift, transitioning from bearish flags to the formation of a much larger bullish structure—a falling wedge. Let's delve into this transformation. Chart Analysis: UNI's Evolution on the Charts In the closing months of 2021, UNI faced the bearish pressure of a flag pattern, resulting in a notable decline. However, the narrative takes a positive turn as UNI is now crafting a bullish story. A substantial falling wedge pattern has emerged, hinting at a potential reversal. The formation of this pattern, especially when larger in scale, often signifies a shift in market sentiment. Anticipated Move: Falling Wedge and the Road to Retesting Highs As UNI maneuvers within the falling wedge, chart analysts are optimistic about the potential upward trajectory. Falling wedges are typically regarded as bullish patterns, and the anticipation is that UNI might experience a breakout. Furthermore, market participants are eyeing a retest of upper boundaries post-breakout, a crucial step to validate the newfound bullish momentum. Trading Strategy: Capitalizing on UNI's Chart Dynamics Traders and investors observing UNI's chart dynamics may consider strategic moves within this falling wedge setup. Identifying entry points during the wedge's contraction phase and being prepared for potential breakout and retest scenarios could enhance trading strategies. Conclusion: UNI's Chart Renaissance Uniswap (UNI) is in the process of charting a new narrative, transitioning from bearish flags to the promise of a falling wedge. While past challenges are acknowledged, the evolving chart dynamics suggest a potential resurgence for UNI. 🚀 UNI Analysis | 🌐 Breaking Free from Bear Flags | 📉 Embracing the Falling Wedge ❗See related ideas below❗ What are your insights on UNI's chart evolution? Share your thoughts, trading strategies, and bullish expectations in the comments! 🌈🚀💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
Potential Bearish Reversal in BTC/USD Approaching Critical ResisBTC/USD has been on an impressive run, showing resilience and strength as it climbs the charts. However, as we approach significant resistance levels, a keen eye might spot the early signs of a potential shift in momentum. On the daily chart, we are hovering near the R2 pivot point resistance, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement level of 61.8% – a critical juncture for traders. Technical Analysis: The price action near the R2 resistance level is beginning to show hints of exhaustion. After a prolonged uptrend, such signals are noteworthy. The R2 level has historically acted as a robust ceiling, and coupled with overextended indicators, it suggests a possible retracement. The Fibonacci retracement levels, drawn from the significant swing low to the recent swing high, provide a roadmap for potential support levels on a downward move. The 38.2% and 50% retracement levels could act as interim supports, but the target of 28000, close to the 0% retracement level, is where the eyes of bearishly-biased traders are set. Trading Strategy: Given the confluence of technical indicators and the reaction at R2, a cautious approach would be to consider short positions, with a clear stop-loss just above the R2 level to mitigate risk. Scaling into the position could be prudent, adding to it if and when we see confirmations of the bearish thesis in the form of bearish candlestick patterns or increasing sell volume. Risk Management: It's essential to remember that no prediction is set in stone. Markets can be unpredictable, and external factors can sway the price in either direction. Therefore, maintaining strict risk management protocols is vital. A stop-loss is recommended above the R2 level, and adjusting it according to the price action is crucial. Conclusion: While the bull run has been nothing short of extraordinary, all trends must eventually retrace. The current technical setup provides an intriguing opportunity for those with a bearish outlook on BTC/USD. As always, keep an eye on market news and sentiment, as they can quickly alter the technical landscape.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by alireza787b