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Bearmarket

BTCUSD Pullback to Neckline AccomplishedPrice action pulled back to the dynamic neckline resistance from the major Head and Shoulders in formation. From the chart pattern perspective, this phase can considered a important turn-point, which psychological terms can rise interests for the bearish-side and growth of bearishness of market. In addiction, retroactive Fibonacci retracement potential fractal suggest a 88.6% targe in decline to fill in confluence to the potential double-down correction from this H&S. Classical short setup. In addiction, a strong reaction by buyers HODLers can be expected in a potential bounce from the Anchored VWAP of 2018 low, which is a strong area of interest / equilibrium to fill. If the price breaks-down the demand, a new phase of bearish leg-downwards / collapse can plays-out, which will lead us to a capitulate.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by firmestudio
19
If BTC really goes to 12k, we are F****DThis looks really bad now. I thought that we would enter a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, but Bitcoin's continued weakness let's me fear for a worst-case scenario. There is still time and we could get lucky for a Wyckoff pattern, but should BTC really go lower, it is likely that we would visit the 12k area. Many people would then think: Awesome, cheap coins ! This is excellent ! I will buy cheap coins and then Bitcoin will make new All-time highs after the next halving. But wait ! From a technical perspective, this is really bad if Bitcoin goes really so low. It basically breaks all important support levels, and this would mean that the entire runup from 2010 until 2022, has been a completed 5-Wave Eliott structure. And that would mean that we would get a huge ABC correction, where the A wave goes to 12k, and consequently the C wave would go much lower, to around 2k. Sounds insane, but that is what would happen from a technical perspective. The B wave would go to around 40k, and people would be really optimistic again, we would see lots of "CCMF" and laser eyes, and whatnot, but in reality it would just be a bounce. And this would also coincide for when I think the real recession will come: Normally it starts about 6-12 months after the FED pivot. The FED is expected to pivot in Q1 2023. Thus, we would see the start of the real bearmarket in early 2024. THis in turn means, that there would not be a new alltime high for the Bitcoin Halving. Yes, sure, some coins would pump nicely, but we would not get the typical super mania phase where many many coins pump like crazy. On the right side I drew ETHUSD, which did something very similar a few years ago. The structure is very similar, and I think that this is what BTC would do. But of course I still hope that my previous idea will be the correct one, the Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Then we would soon see a bounce to 25k and the final spring at around 16k. Let's hope for that scenario, because the 12k scenario would mean quite a few years of brutal bearmarket.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by SebastianofMoon
24
$QQQ: Quarterly trend expiring...The quarterly timeframe chart had a trend signal that formed when the market broke out of the range that formed before and after the pandemic shock and subsequent lock public health, fiscal and monetary policies impacted equities. The stimulus driven bonanza ended and the market topped as the world knew the Fed would embark in quantitative tightening to normalize policy. Very curiously even perma bears and perma wrong value investors waiting for a dip got bullish, marking interesting contrarian signals for a top in late Nov 2021. Now that the tides have turned, former winners have become the worst performers and riskiest assets to own long term due to the change in fundamental variables and the huge bubble that formed and is popping right now. The weekly $QQQ chart could flash a big weekly down trend during next week, for that reason I bot a put spread expiring on June 17 to reduce my portfolio's risk and profit, being this bear put spread OTM one of my main bearish plays I got going right now. If price stays below the weekly mode area for the whole week, the signal will confirm and we will see the Nasdaq names slide down dramatically until mid June easily. Longer term, this chart pattern points to a decline lasting well into 2024, and suggesting painful downside can happen in this ETF and associated names. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by IvanLabrie
5
$AAPL: Bubble popped...I think $AAPL offers a great long term short opportunity here, I specially like the idea of being long $BRK.B and short $AAPL to nullify the exposure Berkshire contains as well...Valuation could come down substantially with the on-shoring theme materializing over time as China manufacturing fueled margins would suffer. We have seen demand slumping lately, with sales slowing down, and technicals offer a great short signal in the daily, after getting overbought, while the monthly chart implies price can fall until August, and reach at least the levels where the last monthly trend started @ 128.72. Definitely a good addition to a long term portfolio, to help reduce volatility in this long term bear market we are navigating now, like it or not. Vast majority of the people remain oblivious to it, and definitely not correctly positioned to profit from the changing market conditions that we observe. We might see a similar situation as the period between 2000 and 2003 unfold next. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by IvanLabrie
2
BTCUSD - TIME TO SHORT?It appears that we are currently experiencing a similar pattern to the bull run we saw in the past. During this previous bull run, we saw a sharp decline from 65K to 29K. Currently, we are seeing a similar pattern with long positions being trapped at the top and many stops being placed below 20,4K. If this pattern continues, we may see a decline towards the 20K psychological level, which would help to flush out leveraged long positions and start a new impulse from there. Additionally, there is an open gap at 20K which may also be filled.
Short
by SiDec
3
Very interesting Stock Another interesting stock, in June the moving average of 50 periods went below the moving average of 200 periods which creates what is called in technical analysis a dead cross, and since then the price was always under the moving average of 200 periods. Now the price reaches a price level of 57.68 already used in the past as support in May and in June 2021. The downtrend has started and there are many chances that will not stop, due to the financial situation and the spectrum of recession. Plus this stock start to rise in 2020 a period when the stock market was euphoric. My vision is short.
NYSE:DACShort
by tassrjfly
Timeline for the minor bull market (based on RUNE chart)RUNEUSDT chart gives a comprehensive outlook on when the current bear market can probably end and the interim (minor) bullmarket start. I'm not speaking about the major bullmarket similar to 2020-2021, which obviously is determined by Bitcoin's halving cycles, but rather an interim smaller bullrun with lower highs, which are nevertheless enough to cause high retail demand and money flow. The downtrend set by the highs of THORChain (Rune) intersects the 'projected' price of RUNE approximately in 6 months, forming a perfect double bottom. This is especially remarkable, since right now we are in an upthrust (bull trap, if we agree with this logic) which may lure many retailers in what they believe is a 'recovery', although it is not. The fact the the line of the downtrend being projected further forms a second bottom mirroring the already formed one, made me think that this can be an indication of the end of the bear market (when the price breaks above the trendline). Of course if you look at any other crypto chart, including BTC, you also will be able to see this ~160 day bottom we've gone through by now with a minor upthrust we're currently in, but RUNE is the first chart where I so a second visible confirmation in form of intersection between the end of the second bottom (not yet formed) and the projection of the trend line.
by s-dyorin
2
BTCUSDT Price $13,000, Channel Resistance| .786 Fibonacci| TrendEvening Traders, Today’s analysis – BTCUSDT- trading at a clear resistance level where a rejection is plausible, Poiints to consider, - Price action impulsive - Channel high resistance - Key swing high liquidity - Rotation lower BTCUSDT’s immediate price action is trading at a key inflection point that is in confluence with the channel high, liquidity point and the .786 Fibaoncci, this allows for a bearish bias. The immediate objective is the channel mid, exceeding this point will accelerate price action towards the lower support. Overall, in my opinion, BTCUSDT is a valid short with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management. Hope this analysis helps, Thank you for following my work And remember, “Win, loss whatever emerges in the short-term, place and manage your next trades untouched, unattached... always keeping your eyes on the long-term picture.” ― Yvan Byeajee
Short
by AzizKhanZamani
13
we are right at that same level in spx futes4037 is former r1 swing in wave, and bulls are in full control of that momentum with the breakout. there are two paths we could take. if bulls maintain that control of the 4037 level we will reac r1 soon, but back to swing p sooner if we lose it. scenario a coincides with extension, and scenario b is a continuation of b wave. im favoring the downside, but im not dedicated to that idea. specifically if we take out the highs of this futures session im adding, and if we resist from 4037 im continuing to sell. tsla, aapl and the like are great both ways.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by cerealpatterns
MAJOR DROP JANUARY 2023 Crypto MARKET CAP 400 BILLIONHello, the Crypto Market cap is due to shed 50% or more in the beginning part of 2023 with a quick recovery after Q1 into Q2. At this moment the macros agree that we have one last leg down until the main BEAR MARKET dip which I estimate will be in January 2023. If you're longing here, you'll be in profit summer 2023 but if you're waiting to long then its good to wait. Every price from this post will cut in over 50% all cryptos within the month. This will align with the attached BITCOIN 2023 DIP CHART. TARGET MARKET CAP BUY IN AT 350 BILLION - 400 BILLION ENJOY and good luck!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by CryptoToTheFuture
3
ZIM: NEUTRAL with one Eye on China.During the last part of the year already passed, we saw a downward trend of this stock. Many factors can associate with this downward trend, such as the decrease in demand for the transport of goods between Europe, USA, and China, and the news of the coming recession had led to the bear trend of this stock and its fall. Now the interest on this stock seems to be reducing and the movement of the price is no longer the same as before. We can see from the body of the candles, that is starting to be small, and the drop in the price is no longer intense as before. Now the price is pressed in the area between the levels 18.68 and 16.64, which is in the phase of accumulation that can lead to a new trend, which is not possible to determine. From my side the last level that the price can hit before the uptrend is 11.94, however, good attention to the news from the government of Beijing can be determined the future of transportation in the coming months and not only that.
NYSE:ZIM
by tassrjfly
Looks like BTC is getting rejected just before the FOMC meeting!Here's a quick look at the 2 hr. BTC chart. As we can see, the price entered a strong order block, couldn't break through, and got rejected. The price was also forming the bearish rising wedge pattern, which now has broken to the downside. If the price doesn't hold above support zone 1, we will likely see support zone 2 at 18k-18.4k. The fair Value Gap will get filled at some point. This adds to the price breaking below support zone 1, thereby getting down to support zone 2! The FOMC meeting is taking place on 1. February, and we should expect some volatility just before the meeting! Trade safe! ------------------------------------------- What's a Fair Value Gap?: A fair value gap is the difference between a financial instrument's theoretical value and market value, such as a derivative or security. It can indicate a misprizing opportunity for traders to profit by buying or selling at the misprized level. In other words, there is a gap in the price in which some open orders still need to be filled. The price will return to fill the orders. ------------------------------------------- If you like the content, then make sure to comment and like the post :D Follow me for daily profitable trading setups BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
Short
by MBM_Crypto
2
November Midterms + Bear Market Rally I believe we'll see a ferocious rally that will shock everyone and make everyone bullish again - but this will just be a bear market rally (this is my thinking unless we break below 800B) There is still a very good chance we continue down towards 500B MC and sit there for the next 12-18 months but I am not leaning too heavily on the short side at the moment. The democrats need something on their side, they don't have the market - everything comes down to whether they raise rates at the next meeting. 100bp points increase = market dump 75bp points increase = market dump 50bp points increase = market rally's hard Even the most bearish people agree we're due for a rally - even if it is a bear market rally - if we do get this rally it'll be the last one until we go into a long bear market/depression (this will be your last chance to exit your trades in crypto/equities)
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by InvestingIdeas9
Bitcoin 2018 Bear Market v 2022 Bear MarketThere is a striking similarity between the 2018 and 2022 bear markets in Bitcoin as illustrated on this chart. This is the same thing I have been discussing for months now on Twitter and YouTube while so many other large influencer accounts were screaming that it HAD to go below $12K. While there is no guarantee that the low is in yet (there are no guarantees in trading except that you WILL lose money at times), there are a number of signals that it very well may be. This is just one of them. Break out impulsively above the weekly pivot and there should be no looking back.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Chris_Inks
1