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Is this rally a bear trap or a resuming bull? This is what we will be discussing today, and we are going to study both its technical and fundamental reasons and subsequently to derive why it is a bear trap? Or could it be a new bull in the making? I hope this tutorial will be helpful, in enabling you to read into the market with greater clarity. I have started a trading series, purpose for trading into longevity. Last week was on Buy Strategy, today on Sell Strategy. These strategies shared, they all can be applied to most markets and in different time frames. Content: a) The sell strategy – applicable to both: · Long-term – Fundamental & Technical · Short-term – Fundamental & Technical b) Bull or Bear? Some important dates: 14 Dec 21 - Fed: "Inflation no longer transitory" 10 Nov 22 – Oct CPI @ 7.7%, below expectation of 8.2% Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures Minimum fluctuation 1 index point = $0.50 10 = $5 100 = $50 Of course if you need something more sizable, there is the E-mini Dow Jones Futures. You can refer to the links below, you will find some of my past video tutorials, on how I time the different markets. As time passes, you will see how nicely most markets trend along our analysis then. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Short
by konhow
8
Final bear market rally for 2022, SPX to 4300 by year end?Seeing some matching patterns here to put this together. Up: 1) Going higher than 200 DMA will give bulls hope 2) 50% retrace from bottom lets people think we have finished this bear market 3) Now 80% odds for 50bps 4) Roughly 60 days would be in line + 20% return 5) Favoured seasonality for a Christmas rally Then down: 6) Everyone forgot about the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (now lowest since 1984!), energy issues in Europe (Russia will mess with gas again) 7) 50bps I think is unlikely so we will see 75bps. FOMC is Dec 13-14, so I will target there 8) We're still in a bear market and volume will top out for another downward move 9) Cramer + Tom Lee will call for 5100 at the top --- Related: - Bear market investment strategies book: amzn.to - 20%+ rally would be in line with the past: www.fidelity.com - Bear market rallies: www.forbes.com - Strategic Petroleum reserves: www.eia.gov - Energy in Europe: graphics.reuters.com --- Daily returns Plan for 2020-2030
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by illyism
MATIC - Will the price see a bounce?Here's a quick look at the Matic daily chart . As we can see, the price is currently oscillating within the bigger rising channel and is approaching the bottom. If the price bounces from the bottom of the rising channel , we may see a 50% rise to the top of the channel! But if the price breaks below the channel and doesn't manage to hold the support zone , then we may get down to 0.4$ or even lower! It all depends on the movement of BTC - If BTC goes south then MATIC is very likely to follow. ------------------------------------------- What are triangles when it comes to trading? Key points: "1. In technical analysis , a triangle is a continuation pattern on a chart that forms a triangle-like shape. 2. Triangles are similar to wedges and pennants and can be either a continuation pattern if validated or a powerful reversal pattern, in the event of failure. 3. three potential triangle variations can develop as price action carves out a holding pattern, namely ascending, descending, and symmetrical triangles." ------------------------------------------- If you like the content, then make sure to comment and like the post :D Follow me for daily profitable trading setups BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
M
by MBM_Crypto
2
Bitcoin bull market 2021The main support and resistance levels of Bitcoin during 2021 mapped out. Our top for 2021 is in at 69K, the question remains what we could expect for 2022. In my opinion we could expect more downside unless we break resistance and close 2 consecutive weeks above the bull market support band (now at 52,5K). Like I said in my last idea, we have been in a mark up phase for 3 years now, starting in December 2018 which ran all the way to November 2021. Every mark up phase is followed by a mark down phase and we already extended 6 more months compared to the 2017 cycle. Given 99% of retail did not take profits because "this time it's different" - I do expect a capitulation during 2022 - although price does not necessarily have to stay below the current resistance trendline. A relief rally will come, whether in January after a further correction in the coming weeks or vice versa. All in all, I think 2022 will be a tough year for the bulls. I look forward to how price action will develop over the holidays and Q1 2022 and I expect opportunities between Q2 and Q4 2022 for those who have buying power. IMPORTANT: this is not financial advice, trade or invest based on your own risk and research.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by cryptobullethbtcxlm
15
Target - Corporate earnings season resemblant of the bear marketYesterday, Target announced its earnings for the third quarter of 2022. The report outlined softening sales and profit trends with downgraded guidance going forward. Total revenue and cost of sales increased year over year, while net earnings and EPS fell dramatically for that same period. Subsequently, shares of Target fell more than 13% in the pre-market trading. Target is yet another company that fulfills our prediction about a weak corporate earnings season and progression into the second phase of the bear market. We expect this trend to worsen in the next earning season and further enforce our thesis. Total revenue = $26.518 billion (+3.4% YoY) Cost of sales = $19.680 billion (+8.1% YoY) GAAP Earnings per share = $1.54 (-49.3% YoY) Operating income = $1.022 billion (-49.2% YoY) Net earnings = $712 million (-52.1% YoY) Illustration 1.01 The image above shows the daily chart of Target. Yellow arrows indicate previous earnings reports and subsequent price action. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI and Stochastic reversed to the downside. MACD flattens, and if it breaks below 0 points, it will bolster the bearish case. DM+ and DM- performed a bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, and Stochastic show signs of exhaustion. DM+ and DM- are bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
NYSE:TGTShort
by Tradersweekly
6
$BTCUSD: Monthly view...Friendly reminder that the trend is down long term...Here's how the monthly chart looks in $BTCUSD as of right now. Unless this month's range is wiped out, you can expect continued downside for months to come with substantial certainty. Don't fight the trend, remember what Old Turkey would say: well, it's a bear market after all. So much filth is gradually being exposed, and a lot more dominoes will fall into place if we continue falling: Miner capitulation: no sign of abating, will accelerate below 14200 (see all earning reports for publicly traded mining firms, all at risk due to being leveraged long $BTCUSD with $BTCUSD / ASIC collateral pretty much. Tough time to service debt with higher rates, and less availability of credit. (rising credit spreads) They might be forced to puke out of their Bitcoin positions at whatever price... Saylor at risk below 13500: $MSTR might be at risk of collapsing the lower we go, which charts suggest we will, can cause a flood of supply hitting the market, same as miners selling or worse. Mt Gox repaying creditors? Contgion is the name of the game: 3AC, Terra, FTX, BlockFi, Genesis... Silvergate next? Tons of bad credit and leverage built into the system are gradually being unwind, nowhere near done. Regulatory risk increasing by the hour. Stablecoins at risk as well...Talk of CBDCs accelerating, which might or might not matter much, but worth monitoring. What am I missing? Feel free to comment with interesting bits and pieces of info so that we can complete the puzzle here. It's in flux but the trend is clearly not positive for crypto here. Best of luck! Ivan Labrie.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by IvanLabrie
10
UA: Raalies will be capped?!Under Armour Inc Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 7.81 (stop at 8.89) Remains bearish. A move higher faces tough resistance and we remain cautious on upside potential. We continue to expect further gains to be limited and look to set shorts for a further drive lower within the channel. A break of 7.80 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Our profit targets will be 5.29 and 4.00 Resistance: 8.20 / 11.00 / 14.00 Support: 6.00 / 5.00 / 4.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:UAShort
by VantageMarkets
$10,000 Bitcoin In Play, Crypto Winter Is Here, $20k Resistance.In this video I am highlighting how we may see a $10,000 Bitcoin this cycle due to where we are at on the weekly oscillators and the very negative macro conditions effecting the market. We may get a retest back to the $19,000 level on the daily but $20,000 is now serving as a major resistance. I believe it is unlikely that we get above a $20,000 Bitcoin anytime soon but I could be wrong. These next couple of months are looking pretty weary for cryptocurrency right now. Especially the events around FTX could have cascading effects across the entire ecosystem. This is still the beginning. As bad as all this is it is good for cryptocurrency and will only make Bitcoin and the ecosystem more resilient. This needs to happen for us to get a major reset in the market. I do personally believe there will be very exciting buying opportunities in the near future and we will have another major bull cycle. But as of now we are heavily entrenched in this bear market and we're still going through this cycle. Be careful out there. Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency isn't dead. Much peace, love, health, and wealth! Trade safe.
by peacefuljustin
Is it Time to get Bullish?Man...what a crazy week last week. With the Elections, CPI and the drama with FTX, it was a rollercoaster for sure. The FTX story was something else. But you know, during recessions, entities get exposed. Same thing happened with Enron in the 2000 bubble, the banks in 2008-2009 and now crypto. As the famous Warren Buffett quote says: "A rising tide floats all boats....only when the tide goes out, you discover whos been swimming naked.". So let's recap a little what happened last week. I've been bearish the last few weeks and I had to be since we are in a bear market. With the Elections, FTX and the CPI report, the market was going to make a decision on the direction and the CPI report was what did it. With the gap up and 7% day on Thursday, it broke out of resistance and the downward trend line. The Dollar got crushed and bonds declined by 7%. That's mostly what fueled the rally. The market has been longing a reason to party because inflation peaked. Did they party to hard Thursday and Friday? Thursday, markets chugged 3 beers.Friday, took a shot of whiskey and said "I'm ready for more next week". So look, I know inflation is still at 7% and we still need a ways to get down to the Fed's 2% target. It's a tough pill to swallow if you were bearish. But, you gotta trade the markets in front of you. Especially if the charts are telling you to go bullish. Generally the week before Thanksgiving is a good week for the markets, just not sure how much higher we can go this week because the markets used up A LOT of energy Thursday and Friday. It needs to take a break. If the market wants to party the rest of this month, I don't see why it could crawl it's way to 4100 before the next CPI report. One thing to note is tomorrow's PPI report. If this report comes in hotter, everyone who bought last week might step back a little. So if that happens, this would pull back the markets. If it doesn't come in hot, then we might head higher at a slow pace the rest of the month. Plan for today: Going to sit on my hands today and wait for tomorrow. If PPI comes in hot and we get a big downward reaction in the markets, I'll watch the price action to see if this is a Bull pull back or not. Come Wednesday or Thursday, I'll see if there's a good entry for a bullish position. Be patient, stay disciplined, control your emotions and trade the market in front of you. Happy trading!
SP:SPX
by MMOTA_
5 LESSONS from the Bear MarketHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 Bearish markets are a normal part of the economic cycle, but even after years and years of repeating processes and patterns, it can still be hard to embrace. The real value of a bear market may be that it gives investors the opportunity to gear up for the next cycle, in other words to accumulate and buy in cheap. It also helps you see the importance of managing your risk and diversification. For example - let's say you've invested 100% of your free cash into Bitcoin. IF Bitcoin were to trade sideways or lower for a longer period, lets say months, you have no capital left to invest in other potential opportunities. You are also missing out on rallies that may be happening across other markets. Your portion of diversification is definitely dependent on your initial capital investment, but try to diversify as far as your capital allows. For savvy investors, a bear market also creates a period for looking beyond emotional headlines and studying the hard facts — facts that can ultimately place them in a position to take advantage of coming opportunities. Periods of falling prices are a natural part of investing in the stock market. Bear markets follow bull markets, and vice versa. They are considered the “ebb and flow” of wealth accumulation. Now, let's take a look at 5 Things YOU should remember during the Bear Market : ❗ Periods of falling prices are a common part of investing / speculating ❗ An investment’s value will be greatly influenced by fundamental factors, and sometimes fundamental factors is enough to create a bullish or bearish market for that assets and related assets ❗ Diversification , (even though it does not protect anyone against losses), often provides the safest haven against the ebb and flow of fluctuating markets ❗ Invest over time, rather than make single lump-sum purchases. In other words, falling prices are the friends of dollar cost averaging investors ❗ Take a long-term view when investing in the stock market. Short-term fluctuations are natural. Try to invest in projects that are undervalued , rather than jumping in whilst a coin is in the middle of a parabolic rally. Check out this idea on ETH that covers dollar-cost-averaging: Remember that you’ll be bombarded with all kinds of economic information during both bear and bull markets. There will be reports, for example, about inflation, interest rates, and unemployment figures that may encourage you to either give up on the market or invest in it. To avoid being lured to either extreme, develop a financial strategy that accounts for risks you find comfortable. Then trust yourself and stick with the plan. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Short
by CryptoCheck-
30
ZZZzzzZZZzzz at 3800Good morning! Here we are, Election Day has passed and we get the CPI report tomorrow. Couple things about the Mid Terms. Generally, the markets like it when Democrats have partial control and Republicans partial control. The expectations are, that the Republicans will win the House. If that happens, that could be a good thing for the markets. At the time of writing, Republicans have 199, Democrats 172 and 64 are undecided for the House. Gotta see how that plays out. Because here's the thing. Let's say the Republicans take the House and the Democrats keep the Senate, the markets might actually like that. And with Big Tech taking a beating after all these earning announcements, they're low enough to bid on and that could push the markets higher. Whoever that dude at Morgan Stanley was last week, saying that we could see 4000 or 4100 in the near term, might actually be right if it plays out this way. But remember, longer term, we have significant headwinds and this is still a Bear Market. CPI report is accumulative, like a moving average. If you add up all the monthly CPI numbers, it gives you the annualized CPI. It's going to stay high because at the beginning of this year, we were seeing CPI numbers at about 1%. So when we add all these monthly's up, we're going to get a high number. Obviously, over time, this will come down. Which is why expectations are to get to 4% by early Q2 or abouts. So, if the Republicans' don't take the House, and the CPI report is hot. What does that mean for the markets? Well, we could head back down starting tomorrow or Friday. Either way, these are two possible outcomes that could play out. Plan for the Day: We're technically still in No Man's Land but with a slightly more Bullish lean right now. IF I decide to chase this up to 4000, or 4100, I will do so cautiously and wait for an exhausting point in the rally. We might just hang out here at 3800 today until all the results come in and then tomorrow we could see the true direction. I'll sit on my hands again and just watch the market. Be patient, stay disciplined and trade the market in front of you. Happy Trading!
SP:SPX
by MMOTA_
V:More pain in sight!Visa Intraday - We look to Sell at 199.64 (stop at 210.66) The medium term bias remains bearish. A sequence of weekly lower lows and highs has been posted. This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return. Resistance is located at 200.00 and should cap gains to this area. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Our profit targets will be 173.20 and 165.00 Resistance: 200.00 / 235.00 / 250.00 Support: 173.00 / 140.00 / 120.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre
NYSE:VShort
by VantageMarkets
#BTC: Is this bottom or It will drop more?Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange. I post short mid and long-term trade setups too. Let’s get to the chart! I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart, Do not consider financial advice. #Bitcoin Long Term Technical Analysis:- As Per the historical chart:- As we can see in the chart first and second bear markets BTC drop -84 to -86% from the top and in this current bear market too we expect an 84% to 86% drop from the top. If BTC drop according to the calculation then 10k to 11k will be the bottom So in this bear market, we expect an 84% to 86% drop from the top This chart is likely to help you make better trade decisions if it does consider upvoting it. I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
13
THIS CHART IS INVERTED!!!! EVERYTHING IS INVERTED!! Hello. This is my analysis for the bitcoin against the US dollar. The Fibo. level for the end of the 5th wave is 100% it might go further but I highly doubt that. if the 5th wave is extended it might go to the 127% or the 138%. this analysis will FAIL under two scenarios: 1- the price breaks the end of the 3rd wave and then breaks the end of the 4th wave. Which will result in a compound correction . 2- the 4th wave breaks the end of the 1st wave.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by hgpvfd132
1