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Bearmarket

BTC FEAR AND GREED INDEXAfter BTC corrects to the $86K level and the Timeline sentiment hit an all time low it got me thinking, is there any correlation between sentiment around pivotal price levels of the market? To find out I studied the "Fear and Greed Index", an indicator that uses a range of sources such as volatility, volume, sentiment, dominance and trends to give a score out of 100. 1 being peak fear and 100 being peak greed. The results were interesting, currently the FGI is 21/100 (extreme fear) and if you've spent much time on crypto twitter is does feel that way too. However, during this bull market there are two key price areas where BTC had the same score: Bear market bottom - When the bear market ended after a full year of brutal selling BTCs price was around $16K with the same FGI score as today with 21. This signaled the end to the selling and began the bull market we have now. Q2-23 '24 bottom - For me, the most relevant time to compare FGI with todays score is with the bottom of the bearish trend channel we suffered through in 2024. Although price did wick below this $53,923 level to hit GETTEX:49K , the daily didn't close below it and so the September 6th low is the trend channel bottom. FGI score of 22 provided the springboard for the next leg up. So with his information the real question is this: Are we still in a bull market? If the answer is yes, then history tells us once FGI reaches these levels the bottom is in and the next leg up is around the corner. If the answer is no then the printing of a new lower high after yesterdays lower low will be confirmation of bitcoin rolling over. I am not sure which is true but having a plan for both will be very important.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by ProR35
4
BTC.D - Doomsday or Expected?Evening fellas, Remember back then when we would say "only the top 1% will actually make it" Yeah, what about that? People seem to forget this market is extremely fake, full of shitcoins that will not go anywhere. Trust me, the bottom for alts is not in. Minimum we go here is 75%. Once the bitcoin maximalists have acquired enough btc by trading alt/btc pair they will dump everything they got back into only BTC. Gonna leave this here. Trade thirsty, my friends.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by mr_willmedina
5
VIRTUAL - A Long Opportunity or More Pain Ahead?VIRTUAL has dropped over 50% from its all-time high of $5.14, now trading around $2.50. A head and shoulders pattern has formed, with price currently testing the neckline, a bearish sign that could signal further downside. Let’s break down potential targets and trade setups. Key Levels and Support Zone: 1.) POC from December 2024 Range: Located at $1.67, a significant level from previous trading activity 2.) Anchored VWAP: Taken from the lows, currently around $1.62, reinforcing the $1.66 zone as strong support 3.) Fibonacci Retracement (Log Scale): The 0.382 Fib from the recent wave sits at $1.77, providing additional confluence for the support area 4.) Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 0.786 Fib aligns at $1.71, further strengthening the $1.70–$1.80 range as a reliable support zone Trade Setups: Short Setup: Entry: $2.836 (Fib retracement 0.618 from the current downtrend) Target: around $1.80 Stop Loss: Above $3 Risk-to-Reward: 5:1 Potential Drop: 30–40% from the entry level Long Setup: Entry: $1.70–$1.80 range Target: Depends on confirmation and take profit areas. A realistic initial target could be around $2-$2.30 Stop Loss: Below $1.52 Risk-to-Reward: 2:1 or better depending on take profit strategy
Short
by SiDec
3
Nifty Weekend Update...alert!!!!Hey guys, currently nifty this week fall more then 4%, due to holidays FII are selling highly. If you see the chart you can see nifty currently just above of 50WMA after huge selling pressure it still above the 50WMA, if this will break next week onwards we will enter a bear market for short term period, so in my opinion this is now a crucial moment so keep cash in hand for buying in the dip. Another scenario if nifty will bounce break from this level or first breaking 50wma then trap all bears and then bounce back above 50WMA that will also good for nifty to continue its trend to 30K.
NSE:NIFTY
by finlabventure
ETH Ethereum Bear Market If you haven`t bought the recent Double Bottom on Ethereum: Now you need to know that historically, Ethereum has shown a tendency to retrace in December before starting a recovery around March. This pattern could repeat this season, with ETH facing selling pressure as year-end portfolio rebalancing and macro uncertainties weigh on the market. While a brief Santa Claus rally might provide temporary relief, the bearish trend is expected to dominate until March. By then, ETH could trade below $3,000 before regaining momentum, aligning with its historical recovery trend as market conditions stabilize in spring.
Short
by TopgOptions
Microsoft - Short Term Top Formation!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) could create a short term correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Almost for the entire year of 2024, Microsoft has been moving sideways and respecting the upper channel resistance trendline. It is quite likely that we will see a correction, considering that buyers are still weak, before we then see the overall trend continuation. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
5
Nvidia - Consolidation Before -50% Drop!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is preparing for the correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Nvidia is still creating pretty clear market structure and price action and therefore there is no reason to change direction or opinion. Following the previous cycles, a correction of roughly -55% is likely and Nvidia's recent consolidation is a first strong sign of bearish weakness. Levels to watch: $120. $60 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
48
Bitcoin Market State - September 2024Everything has been moving pretty much as described in my last update half a year ago, however the projection for the top has changed. It appears as though Bitcoin shall not break through 100k, but will instead front-run it at the 80k region. This is a deviation from my previous estimate, and is due to new data in the last 6 months. Looking at the economic situation, we have finally started getting rate-cuts. This was one of the criteria for confirming that we are about to enter a recession-induced bear market in the near future. High point rate-cuts by the Fed are a sign of policy panic, and reaction to a failing economy. The effects of these policy changes take many months to trickle down, therefore 2025 is looking like a losing position with reinforcement far away. Only when the rates finally get below 1%, do I expect to see liquidity injections into the market. Be aware, that this would be Bitcoin's first recession, hence the extended downtrend in both price and time. The timeline remains the same for the top projection (November 2024 - March 2025), and the bear market target remains the same too (Sub 10k prices in 2026). This is not financial advice, and is against popular opinion. -Hawk
by Alien_Algorithms
Nasdaq - Here we finally go!TVC:NDQ is finally rejecting the resistance and creating the anticipated bearish correction. Let me just put it that way: The correction was 100% anticipated and you can definitely then trade accordingly. Just a couple of weeks ago the Nasdaq retested a resistance which has been pushing price lower for 14 years - a correction was very likely. So far the Nasdaq is dropping significantly but I don't think that the current correction will actually be over soon... Levels to watch: $16.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
TVC:NDQShort
by basictradingtv
10
Nikkei Hits Bear Market after BoJ HikeAfter a cautious approach away from its ultra-easy monetary setting, the Bank of Japan bolstered its normalization efforts last week. Policymakers raised rates to around 0.25% after the March watershed exit from sub-zero levels, pointed to more moves ahead and also announced sizable reduction in bond purchases. This action signaled tightening resolve and also accelerated the Yen rebound, threatening to unravel the two key pillars of the stock markets’ rally to record highs. Along with broader recession fears after the US jobs report, JPN225 slumps into a bear market as it loses more than 20% for July’s all-time high and could be in for further losses. On the other hand, the BoJ is still in accommodative territory and warned that could increase its bond buying if needed, while the broader market rout could push it back into a more conservative approach. Furthermore the rate differential is still huge and the carry trade may persist. From a technical standpoint the RSI points to the most oversold conditions in years and that could help JPN225 rebound out of bear territory and towards a cluster of hurdles that starts with the 200Days EMA, but significant sentiment improvement needed. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:JPN225
by FXCM
S&P500 - The beginning of the bear market?SP:SPX potentially created a top and is starting to head lower for the next months. We have patterns, cycles and market structure and if everything is lining up nicely, there is a high chance you will be right. The S&P500 is currently retesting a major multi-year resistance trendling, is starting to shift bearish on the smaller timeframes and just rallied +50% without any noticeable correction. In a couple of months, we will trade at lower levels! Levels to watch: $5.500, $4.500 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
TVC:SPXShort
by basictradingtv
8