Taf's Gun to the HeadTrade Idea: Selling Dow at market
Reasoning : Selling on rejection from supply zone (32200-32500) and a bearish head and shoulders on an intraday basis(although not validated yet)
Entry:32048
TP: 31138
SL: 32416
RR: 2.47
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses . There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Bearmarket
Armónico Bear TrendInteresting stock, Armonic trend, the stock is in obviously bear Market, and it seems will continue in this way. The earnings were below the expectation. The price is continuing its downtrend and the price is using the moving average of the 50 periods as resistance that push down the price. Let's in the coming weeks if the trend will reach the area of attention between levels 152.15 and 119.88.
Bear trend with a Gap in the last sectionInteresting situation, the stock price is in a bear trend, the price reaches a lower level of the area of attention between the level price 411.15 and 453.29. Leaving a big gap between the close price of the day before. Statistically, the gap price is usually covered in the next sections. the trend looks very symmetrical and looks following the moving average of the 50 periods using it as a support. Let's see in the coming weeks.
What to look for during a Bear Market Correction?JS-Masterclass #4: What to look for during a Bear Market Correction?
Many undisciplined traders have suffered significant losses during the current bear market correction. Professional and disciplined traders are staying on the sidelines and preserve their hard-earned capital while waiting for better times.
The good news is that every bear market will eventually turn into a bull market and new opportunities will show up when only very few people expect it. Leading stocks emerge from bull markets, sometimes long before the major indices reach their lows and start a new uptrend. History shows that more than 96 % of superperformance stocks emerge from bear markets or general market corrections.
Most stock market experts are aligned that the current bear market will end soon, some say it bottomed already.
So what to do now?
Continue to do your homework while the market is down and you will be prepared to make big profits when it turns up.
Stay disciplined and look for the following:
1. Stocks hitting the 52-week high list.
2. Stocks that corrected the least amount during the market’s declining period trading within 25% of a 52-week high (the closer to a new high the better).
3. Stocks that surged in price off the market lows (the largest percentage movers).
4. Stocks that are base-building and consolidating within the context of a long-term uptrend.
5. A proliferation of stocks setting up and emerging through proper buy points out of bases.
6. Accumulation in the major averages at or around the time the leaders start breaking out.
Chart Patterns - Bear Market Scenario Hi there,
i have been sharing the chart patterns which are seen on any type of price charts. (CANDLESTICK CHART) and after research and experience, i see that the price move via various ways or concepts.
as per my experience, i see that the price move via waves & correction, and react to supply and demand levels. please share it and one may need it. and this is seen any type of instruments like stocks, forex, commodities, Futures & options. crypto. etc. in time frame for BEAR MARKETS ONLY.
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support....
Tradelikemee Academy
Large Cap Tech Earnings Disappoint (Short Position Active)Yesterday, we finished with a nice green Bullish candle ahead of Google and Microsoft's earnings. Shortly afer the bell, Google fell about 6% and Microsoft around 2%. That's not catastrophic in any way, but it will be difficult for the markets to continue to rally without their participation. And that was only two out of the five large tech companies that make up about 20% of the S&P. So what could happen today? I'd be looking for an inside candle, Doji like candle bouncing in between 3865ish-3835ish and tomorrow will tell us more the direction of the market. Now, don't get me wrong, this upward trend we have has been improving, with now only 66% of stocks below their 50 day and 34% above the 20 day. But this upward trend is looking more to be like an ABC correction to me. A few weeks ago I posted an idea that we were forming a cup and handle pattern and if you take a closer look, it's somewhat playing out. It's not the most attractive cup and handle, but it's there.
If you think about it, we've had about an 18% downward move since about August, so we were do for some type of correction. These are characteristics of bear markets. And even if we break out above the 50 day, I'm not immediately changing Bullish. Counter Trend Break outs are not ideal. Especially when we still have a declining 50 day.
Overall, tomorrow is going to be more of a critical day after we hear from the other three tech giants. If this cup and handle pattern plays out, I could see some significant downside in the coming weeks. I did enter a short position yesterday. Nothing too aggressive, as I want to see how these next couple days play out. If this decides to roll over, than I'll continue to add to my short position. Position size accordingly, risk manage, be patient and stay disciplined. Happy Trading!
Adidas - Outlook downgrade supports a bearish thesis Adidas is another company confirming what we laid out some time ago - a trouble brewing during the current earning season, supporting our notion about the stock market progressing in the second stage of the downtrend. That being said, the company reported its quarterly earnings, after which the stock fell approximately 10%. The report highlighted deteriorating demand and adjustment of the outlook for the rest of 2022 while also pointing out a build-up in inventories. We expect the same trend to continue among other companies and strengthen during the next earning season concerning Q4 2022. Therefore, we voice a word of caution to investors as this will lead the market slowly but surely into the 3rd stage of the bear market.
Illustration 1.01
Moving averages continue to reflect the bearish conditions on the daily chart of Adidas stock.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but also reaching oversold levels for the short term.
Illustration 1.02
The weekly chart of Adidas also shows bearish conditions between two moving averages. However, the price deviated too far from the 20-week SMA, making a case for a short-term bounce toward it.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish but also reaching oversold levels for the short term.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BTCUSDT Deep Crab, CMF & RSI fractalAs we can see on this 1D chart, BTCUSDT can be ready to drop as Chaikin Money Flow and RSI correlations seems to be close to repeat signals for a potential drop. A target for this possible impulsive bearish wave is a Deep Crab harmonic pattern aiming the bottom from this consolidation. A strong pullback can occurs @ the support area. For an effective signal to exit of this trade the LSMA of 28 periods breakout can be a good indicator to avoid of a non-profitable consolidation phase after a potential 10% average downward. All the profitable trend tends to stay below 28LSMA due to the oversold condition on RSI. All the key levels are displayed on this chart.
Down Side Playing Out?After yesterday's candle, downside is looking more probable now. Bulls had a chance to stay above the 20 EMA, but were not successful. At the time of writing, Futures are trading at about 3645ish down 0.82%. Do we visit 3600 today? May 3580? We could dip down to 3570 and recover by EOD to finish back at 3645 or 3600. That would tell me that the market wants to wait for earnings next week before it continues to sell more. The last 4 or 5 Fridays we've had, were all down days. So, will today be different? The Purple line is the Feb. 20th 2020 high right before we had the COVID drop. That is one of my target points that I would anticipate to come by next week. Possibly by the beginning of November. Next week could give us a clearer picture as to what's to come.
At the beginning of the month, I thought we were going to come down hard to 3400 fast. But after watching what's been happening the last couple weeks, this is looking more like a slow grind down to 3400. Yesterday I said that we could finish the year at around 3600ish, after our Santa Clause Rally. How? I looked at the monthly chart, and as of now, it's a DOJI. So let's say we finish the month at 3400. That would give us a similar candle like we had in August. Then look how September played out. If we close the month at 3400ish, and volatility continues to creep up, then 2900 is a possibility late November or maybe even beginning of December? That would be more enticing for a Santa Clause Rally come the start of December. Again, I'd need to see the VIX get between 40-50 first before I consider any upside in the market. Be patient, react, trade the market in front of you and stay disciplined. Happy trading everyone!
MSFT: Bearish channel drive?!Microsoft
Short Term - We look to Sell at 238.54 (stop at 249.55)
Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. Further downside is expected. Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return.
Our profit targets will be 211.20 and 200.00
Resistance: 240.00 / 292.00 / 317.00
Support: 219.00 / 200.00 / 190.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
AA: Bad earnings report will push down?Alcoa Corporation
Intraday - We look to Sell at 37.00 (stop at 41.12)
This stock has recently been in the news headlines. A sequence of daily lower lows and highs has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 37.00 level.
Our profit targets will be 27.48 and 22.00
Resistance: 41.00 / 58.00 / 80.00
Support: 27.50 / 17.50 / 10.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Tesla (TSLA) and its multi-month bearish reversal patternTesla shares were driven lower during after-hour trade following their Q3 earnings report, despite Elon Musk later touting a “record breaking Q4”. But let’s keep is simple and look at a potential multi-month reversal pattern on the monthly chart, and Tesla’s potential to break lower this week.
Sometimes you really need to stand back to admire the view, and the monthly Tesla chart is no exception. Given it has risen over 22,000% since the stock was listed (and over 3,400% since the 2019 low alone) the Y-axis has been converted to logarithmic scale.
A couple of things really stand out. Volume peaked in February 2020 and has trended significantly over the past three years. Moreover, volume has been below average these past four months as buyers continue to lose steam. A head and shoulders reversal pattern is also in the making, with prices currently finding support around the neckline. If we used a standard chart the H&S pattern would measure a target around -$50 (yes, minus) but the logarithmic chart projects a move around $100 – which is roughly half of where it currently trades, and more realistic.
Whether we see the break lower or not may take time to come to fruition, given it is a weekly chart, but it is certainly a pattern to keep an eye on regardless.
Is the delinquency rate too good to be true?The red indicator shows the level of delinquency for each quarter.
The blue index is the SPX.
We have an inverse correlation.
With the increase in interest rates around the world, the cost of money becomes more expensive.
The payment of loans becomes more expensive, so the percentage of defaulters tends to increase.
To pay off debts, positions in the equity market are liquidated.
I'm waiting for the Q3 result (quarter 3 - July to September).
Any bullish indication above the value of 1.24 (quarter 1) would already be a yellow signal.
A value above 1.43 (Q1 2019) would be a red flag for an earthquake.
That would trigger a further drop in the equity market...
$10,000 Bitcoin - The Breakdown To Open EyesYou might not like to hear this but I have had a deep dive into the historical bitcoin chart off the weekly time frames and I can see too many similarities from the 2017 bull and bear market to the 2021/22 bull and bear markets. From the duration of the move, the time from high to low and the distance it fell. I am not saying it will get there, I am breaking down history and putting it to today to give us all a bit more information.
Bottom of this Bear Market - Dump Before a Mega Pump Bitcoin is breaking out of the falling wedge and breaking the resistance line it has never broken from its all-time high. In my view, this is a fakeout and we will see a correction to 12k where we have two support lines to give us a mega bounce and that will be the bottom of this bear market. Let me know your thoughts on all this.
MATIC Remains Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place
Primary Chart: MATIC Price Chart Showing Overhead Supply Zones and Fibonacci Retracements
MATIC Network Shows Strength in Recent Months Despite Being in a Bear Market
As shown in the Primary Chart above, MATIC network's price continues to trade well below all-time highs of $2.92 / USD. No argument can be made that it has overcome its bear market just yet. Further, the flag / parallel channel that contained price for much of the rally off the mid-June lows has been broken to the downside (see Primary Chart above). Even so, MATIC has shown strength in the past two months since its June 2022 lows. Consider the chart below that shows MATIC having broken out above a downward trendline going back to all-time highs.
Supplementary Chart A: MATIC's Breakout above Seven-Month Downward Trendline
But despite showing strength in recent months, especially as compared to BTC and ETH, MATIC has been trading below major overhead supply zones that reach back over one year to August 14, 2021. The lower of these two supply zones zones was touched several times in late July and mid-August 2022, with a rejection back below it each time. See Primary Chart (above). MATIC also has a demand zone just below its current price. That demand zone is shown as a teal-blue rectangle in Supplementary Chart B below.
Supplementary Chart B: MATIC's Demand Zone as Support
An argument might be made that intermediate-term trading lows have been established at the June 2022 lows. Such an argument would be based on the measured-move concept, where the two legs of a corrective decline are equal or nearly so. In the Supplementary Chart C below, notice how wave A and C of a major A-B-C decline from all-time highs to the June 2022 lows have equality around the $.48 level. Price traded to this level, and broke below it somewhat, before reclaiming it in a reasonable amount of time.
Supplementary Chart C.1: Measured-Move Showing Potential Intermediate-Term Trading Low
Note that just because a measured move target has been met does not mean a correction is complete. Consider, for example, Supplementary Chart C.2 below, which is not a forecast or technical-analysis based price projection. It merely shows a manner in which a corrective pattern can continue upward in a bear market, consistent with complex Elliott Wave corrective patterns, and can continue higher for some time before resuming lower to retest or break the lows.
Supplementary Chart C.2: Hypothetical Example of Complex Corrective Pattern Continuing Higher from Measured-Move Low Before Retesting Lows Later
Despite substantial weakness in equity markets and crypto markets since mid-August 2022, MATIC has not shown sufficient weakness just yet to cause it to fall anywhere near its YTD lows at $.316. In fact, unlike other cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH, MATIC has not broken and held below its .382 retracement of the June-August 2022 rally. On the Primary Chart above, note how MATIC has found strong support multiple days right at its .382 retracements. BTC and ETH have not found similar support at their .382 retracement of the recent rally. In fact, BTC has crashed through all its key Fibonacci retracements including the .618 retracement around $20,488.65 and has held below this level (see Supplementary Chart D.2 below). This comaprison shows MATIC's relative strength since the June 2022 lows as compared to BTC and ETH.
Supplementary Chart D.1: ETH Has Broken Through Its .382 Retracement and Has Held at .50 Retracement
Supplementary Chart D.2: BTC Has Broken Through All Its Key Retracements and Has Held below its .618 Retracement
Conclusion: MATIC Network Remains Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place
So MATIC is stuck in chop between a rock and a hard place. The rock is the substantial overhead resistance, and the hard place is what appears to be just a few supports standing between price and bear-market lows. A weekly Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku) chart shows just how difficult the resistance is despite incredible price strength in recent months. The cloud remains very thick overhead and red colored and even thicker in the near future, signs of formidable resistance in downtrend. The Kijun line (blue) also stands as strong resistance in addition to the other resistances mentioned in this post. This line decisively repelled price in mid-August 2022.
Supplementary Chart E: Weekly Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart
Note the small twist in the Weekly Ichimoku cloud above, however, which suggests a possible weakness in overhead resistance where a rally could theoretically break above the cloud more easily under Ichimoku analysis principles. But the odds of this occurring in the current macroeconomic environment seem bleak at best. Nevertheless, markets do tend to move in unexpected ways, and this twist in the cloud should be monitored in October 2022 to see whether it holds any glimmer of hope for a break back above the weekly cloud. The weekly Kijun must be conquered first, though, and until price can rise above the Weekly Kijun, all talk of a break above the weekly cloud remains premature.
The daily cloud offers a little better picture for the trend in the intermediate term. Price remains above a green-colored cloud that slopes upward ever so slightly. But again, this is insufficient to change the bear-market trend, though it is a necessary first step. Even on the daily chart, price has fallen back below the Kijun line at $.90, and price has also pierced back into the cloud itself, a sign of weakness. Resistance seems to arise to current price action from the top edge of the cloud, called the SSA line.
Supplementary Chart F: Daily Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart
Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
___________________________________________________________________
BINANCE:MATICUSDT
COINBASE:MATICUSD
KUCOIN:MATICUSDT
BINANCE:MATICUSD
KRAKEN:MATICUSD
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
COINBASE:ETHUSD
KRAKEN:ETHUSD
CME:ETH1!
CME:BTC1!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BYBIT:BTCUSDT
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin short from $21800.I think time has come for btc to go down.
i said that btc is going to 28k and then go back down at 9k but 28k for now seems impossible.
What i am expecting is the following.
Btc goes up to 21.8k it forms a bull trap and then slams back down at 15k then from there we should easily see 9k being touched .
Lets see how this unfolds.
BTC BearishOn the mid-term I STILL believe that we will eventually reach our longs entry at the price of 17600, since the PUMP, Rally, base theory is still valid,
We have got shorts order on the base, many people will think that it's over and we're going up, but I believe that mid-term sellers will take the price down from there, don't forget that we're looking on the 4hrs/1d timeframe on this play. So they can buy from a lower level, don't forget that the people who want to take the price down, are the same people who want to take the price back up in the future, we always want the best entries, I believe that after this mouvement up, there is still a one final mouvement down to pick many orders in that level, we will see what happens next.