Bitcoin LONG vs SHORT! THIS COULD BE ITHey there,
tin this chart we can see, that when longs and short both decreased a short term uptrend was the result.
We can see it in the rectangles in the purple areas.
The white line is BTC. The red line are the shorts to visualize it more visually.
The verticals show the points when btc longs AND shorts both fall down- this happened 3 times.
Stochastic & normal RSI are at an oversold level, this is a bullish indicator as well!
Anyway, I hope you enjoy this observation and it feeds your technicals analysis with more data.
Have a nice day,
Have a nice day,
Roman
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Focus on the journey, not the destination. Joy is found not in finishing an activity but in doing it.
Hope you enjoyed it as I did reflecting on this one…you can follow me if the content pleased you :-)
Feedback would be awesome
Bearmarket
ChainLink has so much potential!Link is actually the connection between all transactions. Link will allow smart contract to communicate with external sources. Link will also be the connecting piece between blockchains. For example, to make a transaction from erc20 to a bep address, you no longer have to exchange tokens and pay high fees. This is what the Oracle network is called and it is secure and completely decentralized, because of course it is on the blockchain. At the moment many Oracle networks are still in human hands and can be manipulated, but Link is working very hard to decentralize everything. Because link facilitates all these connections, link will be responsible for the security attached to it. Link will thus have a huge amount of power compared to other tokens.
Links market cap is now at $11 billion and I really expect Link to move towards eth. Eth has a market cap of more than $400 billion and will continue to grow significantly. Not this bull run but the bull run after it doesn't surprise me when Link goes his market cap x50-x100.
To do all of this, Link will need access to an enormous amount of data. The organizations that participate will be rewarded with Link tokens and this also determines a part of the price. Node-Operators are called the organizations that get Link tokens and the more operators, the higher the price. BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Top and bottom prices with dates for Bitcoin - based on pastThis is my analysis for long term Bitcoin prices. In my opinion Bitcoin is very highly manipulated and the price will be be driven down in 2022 only to be pumped again after the next halving event. At this point Bitcoin is a wealth generating scheme that rewards those who buy low and sell high or just hodl and takes from fools who buy the top during a media driven frenzy.
This model is based on time periods and % changes in price of last 2 "cycles" of highs and lows. Did you know that from the lowest price value after the 2013 BTC top, so in January 2015 till the highest price in December 2017 (19k) past 1064 days ? Guess how many days past from bottom of bear market in 2018 till top in 2021. 1064 days. Coincidence?
what is this Annoying trading range??Hello everyone
In the past 4 days we have been experiencing some frustrating trading range in 4 hours chart for ADAUSDT ,But in lower time frames we can see some good scalping opportunities.After the bear market in the past week this trading range might actually be a good thing (some liquidity is good for a healthy market).
In 4 Hours time frame we have the support level of 0.93$ which been tested almost 4 times in 4 days and resistance level of 1.00$.Also we can see higher lows on the daily chart which can be seen on RSI in 4 hours,This is might be a small hope to see strong bull trend or maybe a spike in our charts.
will we have a breakout??!hello everyone
In the past 3 days IOTAUSDT created a bull channel in 4h and considering the accumulation in this level and the possibility of bear market in higher time frames and the spikes in the volume in the past couple of days ,there is 20% chance to see a breakout.
for now, let's don't get excited and flow with the trend of the market. resistance level of 0.675$ and support level of 0.625$ have made our certain channel for now.
ROSE - Oasis Network (1D / SHORT on friends request)Hi Traders,
Just a quick random idea based on question of a friend. I would not enter into position because of broken Uptrend line and bad Risk:Reward ratio. Be carefull because BTC will most likely drop down and drag all Sh!tcoins with it.
If we ever reach Longterm support zone, then I will et interested.
Enjoy your day and trade safe ;)
BTC Danger $20KI've been watching the market very closely the past couple of months and this does not look good. What I see is a bear pennant that just broke down. BTC has already had a monthly MacD cross down, broken this bear pennant, and is about to have a bearish 4hr 50/200SMA death cross. All bad news to me. If this does play out with a 50% correction, just imagine what that does to Alts. Tread carefully over the coming days.
BTC (1H) - Another Triangle above support ? You should be scaredHi Traders,
As you can see, BTC is forming some overlaping structure above strong support, so my expectation is: Somebody is buildng a BIG short position to break it DOWN.
BUT, Be prepared for both directions and wait which trendline will be broken ;)
Take care and trade safe.
Bitcoin Bear Market DropBasic Chart Details:
- Use the 50 MA
- Use the 200 MA
- Use 3 Day Chart BTC
- Fibs are confirmation of bearish trend hitting targets.
Theory
- This is a bold call. I predict the collapse of the market coming once the 3 day MA's get closer.
- Exact same scenrio happend in 2018. I hope to wrong.
- Counter arguement would be that we go on rally from this point and the MA's never meet an pump to ath.
- 75% Bearish odds to 25% bullish odds
- Not to mention. Most stock index's have already had this play out.
NZDUSD Weekly SellThe weekly time frame has triggered a sell signal for the NZDUSD. This will likely be a long lasting signal. All other analysis have to
be taken in to context from the point of view of a bearish market continuation like the monthly chart I previously posted.
This is the beginning of the new trend and we can look to hold positions and add to them in the hourly time frame.
Will the volume change the direction of the market?? Hi everyone,
Just like many other assets Ethereum (ETH) is experiencing a difficult market. The spike in the volume is a good hope of having a reversal market or maybe breakout of the bear market.
We have a support level on 3000$,In daily and in 4 hours chart we have a good support on 2800$. Let's keep our hopes up that one of these levels hold the price(For investors of course).
Will we experience a reversal ??Hi everyone, Today we are having good movements in crypto markets.Just like many other crypto assets binance coin (BNB) is experiencing a bear market, a channel to be exact.
We have a support level at 400$ which held up so far & we are also having a spike in volume of BNB which may turn into a trading range or reversal. We also have a good support level on 380$ so just keep an eye out.
Only take trades if it's compatible with your strategy!!!
Bitcoin Evening StarsBitcoin weekly has had two evening star candles in short period of time as the markets grapple with sharply rising prices, declining sales, and a massive labor shortage.
Markets are beginning to price in rate hikes, but have yet to entertain the implications of rampant, widespread inflation or the reality of an aging population with low and continuing lower birthrates.
As central banks look to regime change via rate hikes and divesting bloated balance sheets, the economy is in for a significant slow down and the markets will realize major retracement.
Bond yields, durable goods sales, home sales, inflationary measures... all point to a full market reversal.
BTC price action will continue lower as bearish sentiment settles in and speculative risk-on behaviors curtail.
I'm a bear🐻🐻😛Hi guys
As you can see in the picture, 45 is one of the most important levels of bitcoin, which could not hold on to it. So its failure may be fraudulent.
And we're back below 45 now. The red trend line is very important. And we may go down to that level.
But I have drawn the scenario. It may move in a different way, but in general I still see the number 30 . See my previous analysis.
what is your opinion?
BROKE THE SUPPORT BTCUSDThe support had broke .. it’s going to keep dropping. I was right from my last post, will see Bitcoin in a drop of the bearish market.. anywys I agree everyone post the buy around 24-27K somewhere around there for the Best Buy area position. Should happen about may or June.. we don’t know how fast or how slow it will drop. But keep an eye on the 24-27K area for the buy position.
#Bitcoin Peak to Bear Market Patterns of 2014, 2018, and 2022Hi everyone,
I originally uploaded this idea 1 week ago, February 10, but then I got banned for breaking a house rule. :( But here it is again!
Thank you for considering reading my idea. Please note that this is just my opinion, and I'm not saying that this is going to happen.
If you have read my previous idea about Bitcoin's pattern, I recommend for you to read it first. See related ideas below.
Now, I am zooming out a bit on the daily charts of Bitcoin . Here we can see Bitcoin peaks and bear markets of 2013-2014, 2017-2018, and possibly 2021-2022.
Let's describe what the circles represent from left to right of each cycle. Also if you're not familiar with the Wall St. Cheat Sheet: Psychology of a Market Cycle, you can search for that :)
1. Green - The Thrill. I guess this could be the last peak before the actual peak of the bull market. This also serves as support which you would see in the next coming circles.
2. Orange - The Peak. This is where euphoria comes in. People are in profit and greedy. I also felt this. Did you?
3. Yellow - The Crash. This is where people experienced fear. People are optimistic that will go higher soon. In 2021's case, it even got higher later at #6 than the peak we experienced from #2.
4. White - The Relief. People are more optimistic that Bitcoin will go higher soon.
5. Pink - The Test. Bitcoin tested the 50 week moving average (yellow line)
6. Blue - The Final Rally. I guess you could say that this is the final distribution phase of the cycle. The difference here is that in 2021, we made a new all time high.
7. Red - The Beginning of the End. We did get a support at the 50 week moving average and break down off it. People are experiencing Anxiety. (See Wall St. Cheat Sheet: Psychology of a Market Cycle)
8. Orange & Yellow - The Final Test. Bitcoin will stay near #1's level (the green circle). People will keep telling you to buy the dip. Lots of fear in market. People are in denial and is still optimistic that we will go again and make all time high. At the end of the circle, it forms a bear trap where the price suddenly pumps higher when investors are expecting to dump down more.
9. Bluegreen - The Final Resistance - Here we will test a significant moving average. In 2014, it was the 20 week moving average (red), while on 2018, it was the 50 week moving average (yellow line). In 2022, it could be either.
10. Purple - The End - Panic, Capitulation, and Anger. These are mostly the sentiment of traders and investors. It will find the bottom at the 200 week moving average (green line)
What now?
Currently, we are or almost in the blue green area. Bitcoin MUST break these resistances and make it as support to invalid this pattern. I think the levels we need to break is around $47,000 (50 week moving average) or $51,000 (20 week moving average) . The pattern I showed you does not work 100% but there is a probability that this will happen. Manage your risks well. There is no harm in taking profits.
2013-2014
2017-2018
2021-2022
Thank you for reading my idea. Like this idea and follow me for more analysis like this. NFA . TAYOR. DYOR.
Cheers,
Juvs
NDQ prepare for a BEAR market Slightly passing the previous peak to make people beliave and go long as much as possible, but i will be horrifying for all who are long at this time. There will be an event or monitary policy error or move from the goverment for an excuse for this that is going to happen. Right now there are factors that are precursors to the recession, but no one will believe that it is happening and it is coming. My prediction is that the stock market will be in a bear market for 2-2,5 years with target of 4100 of NDQ.
SOLANA's CORRECTION WAVEHello traders,
This is my analysis on SOLUSD which I think is looking like a correction wave (ABC), kind of like the other altcoins
I have strong objective at the price of 125-127 dollars
It is due to the 123%-127% of Fibonnaci Extention. (confirming the end of a C)
and it will also hit the 23% of retracement of the full ABC correction of our last downtrend
The Anatomy of a Bear MarketRecently, a lot of people have been talking about the possibility of a multi-year recession. I don't think that is a clear depiction of the current situation, but I am aware that the idea stems from a lack of understanding of bear market structures, and influence of market sentiment. So in this post, I'll be going over Ken Fishers' rules and conditions that must be met in order for a market to be clarified as a bear market, and how you can best position yourself to minimize downside risk.
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
The Four Rules of a Bear Market
- The first rule is the two percent rule: a bear market typically declines by about 2% per month.
- Sometimes it declines by more than 2%, sometimes it’s less—but overall and on average, bear markets don’t often begin with the sharp, sudden drop some anticipate.
- If a bear does drop by more than 2% per month, there’s often a market counter-rally that can provide better opportunities for investors to sell.
- The three month rule: This rule advocates waiting three months after you suspect a peak has happened before calling a bear market.
- Rather than trying to guess when a market top might come, this rule ensures one has passed before taking defensive investment action.
- It provides a window of time to assess fundamental investment data, market action and possible bear market drivers.
- I often see lots of people call market tops and bottoms, and time the market perfectly, but it needs to be clearly understood that this isn't the right approach to understanding the market.
- Next, we have the the two-thirds / one-third rule.
- About one-third of the stock market’s decline occurs in the first two-thirds of a bear’s duration, and about two-thirds of the decline occurs in the final one-third.
- This was the case in the bear market caused by the financial crisis, as well as many other bear markets including that of 1973.
- Combining this with the three month rule, it also implies that if you have identified that a market has indeed begun its bear run, you might be better off taking profits/losses on your position, managing risk by increasing your cash holdings, and buying back when capitulation has happened.
- And finally, we have the 18-month rule.
- While bull market durations vary considerably, statistics demonstrate that the average bear market duration, since 1946, has only been 16 months.
- Very few in modern history last fully two years or longer.
- If you’re engaging a defensive investment strategy, you probably shouldn’t bet on one lasting so long.
- The longer a bear market runs, the more likely you’re waiting too long to re-invest.
- If you remain bearish for longer than 18 months, you may miss out on the rocket-like market ride that is almost always the beginning of the next bull run.
- Missing that can be very costly for investors.
So are we currently in a bear market?
- Based on the four rules above, there's a high probability that we are not in a bear market.
- Since I've uploaded this post, the market has bounced swiftly off the 100 moving average on the weekly.
- Just as the covid-induced drop of March 2020 turned out to be a 'buy the dip' opportunity, as opposed to the beginning of a bear market, the sharp correction we have seen since the beginning of this year goes against the first rule of the bear market.
- It’s critical not to call a bear market falsely, and this is a huge mistake that a lot of people make.
- If the market is just going through a correction (a short, sentiment-driven downturn of -10% to -20%), you’re better off riding through it and maintaining your portfolio.
- It is impossible to accurately and consistently time market corrections because of the way they behave.
- A correction can start for any reason or no reason. So if you believe that the economy is strong, and the fundamentals of the company you invest in remain solid, there's no need to sell off your holdings, especially when your actions are motivated by fear.
Conclusion
Bull market corrections are not fun, but it's important as an investor for you to be able to distinguish bear markets/recessions from bull market corrections. Choosing to undertake a bear market investment strategy and go defensive should be rare and shouldn’t be done by gut feel or by your neighbor’s opinion. Exiting the market is among the biggest investment risks you can take—if you’re wrong and you have a need for portfolio growth, missing bull market returns can be extremely costly.
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