"DISCLAIMER!! This is a 'worst-case' scenario/theory which is still bullish. Bitcoin also has a "monthly bearish-divergence on monthly, which would be the first time this has printed on the Bitcoin: INDEX chart. Also there are other variables such as black-swans/wars, CME-GAP, Declining volume on this whole 'rally' up. Also the first time Bitcoin has made a new...
In the previous article about Bitcoin, we discussed how there was no significant uptick in the number of Bitcoin addresses with large balances (particularly among wallets exceeding 100 BTC and 1,000 BTC), suggesting big speculators might not be interested in buying the dip this time. Nevertheless, despite a further drop in the price (since the last article), the...
It's clear that we've had the 1 year anticipated breakout. And it's down. Right now, we are having a slight rally which is known as a Bear Market Rally or a Dead Cat Bounce. The price can go up a day or two but the resistance level will most likely hold. And this will cause the next down leg with the ALSI... First target will be around 61,403
The market has transitioned back into a more mean-rev phase so I dont expect bull rallies to survive for long. Also shorts are likely to be more profitable since trend following indi's have printed bearish. But use this long to capitalize on a dead cat bounce that could happen. Im not sure that it'll go up to close the gap at 4590. Trades: Trade 1 Long 4400, sl...
Technicals: Each of the previous bear-market-rallies ended near the 0.382 retrace from previous peak. This is the biggest one yet and it is approaching the 0.382 retrace of the All-Time-High. I suspect we'll hit or slightly surpass 349.71 and then the next downtrend will begin. Fundamentals: PCE came in higher than the previous reading. The FED is not done tightening.
On the left side of the chart we have areas of significant volume that pose as problems or areas of potential congestion for BTC as it climbs back up towards new highs. These areas are bearish orderblocks and we can generally expect price to react in a bearish manner off them. Once price gets above and consolidates it becomes new support. As shown by the green...
It's a bear market rally. But first, where are we in CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's wave cycles? Cycle wave V underway, cycle wave IV completed. With these wave counts, we can validate that we have already seen the bottom. Rejoice! Looking deeper into its primary wave counts and its fractals.. Ongoing: Primary wave ① > Intermediate wave (4) > Minor wave ⓑ I slant...
Upon observation of the price chart, it appears that a head and shoulders formation has materialized, indicating the potential for a downward move if the neckline is breached. The neckline is currently positioned at 29.8k, and it is prudent to monitor this level closely in the event of a break below it, which could trigger a move down to the support zone. (Update...
BTC is holding support on the daily, as long as it holds crypto markets should be up from here. Im Longing and Buying calls here, invalidation is clear. If we do breakdown and show resistance at this support then that would be a sell signal
BTC is now back above the ultimate trend line. This reaction will be very import, it is currently sitting on the trend line. As long as it holds BTC will sky rocket.
Here's a quick look at the 8 hr BTC chart. As we can see, the price has been oscillating within the bigger broadening wedge. This kind of price action is tough to predict. The CPI data came in low at 6.0%, which pumped the whole market. With a series of lower lows and higher highs, the bulls and bears are getting rekt simultaneously! If the price stays within the...
$SPY Similar action to September 2022 rally pausing at 30 day MA With volatility crushed today and CPI / FOMC around the corner, I like to start building back short positions here. Bullish case for a SPY gap fill in the 420's but hard to see in current macro, technicals are strong however
As mentioned before, so long as DXY has not reach the finishing line, which is the higher time frame upside objective, Risk Off will still be in play. Same narrative, different pair. What happens when DXY finally gets to the upside objective? We sit sideline and study what it wants to do next. There are only 3 possible direction of the market, Bullish / Bearish /...
using this deep learning and nn strategy ive determined the count to be bearish still looking toward the end of the week. ive drawn the new range over this for spy.
It sure seems like this is about to drop, intraday data is very bearish here, daily can confirm a reversal tomorrow, and we had the classic moving average crossover normies look at to determine the trend, at the highest close! (50 period moving average crossed over the 200 period moving average). I suspect the brief period of upside swings in various names is...
This looks really bad now. I thought that we would enter a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, but Bitcoin's continued weakness let's me fear for a worst-case scenario. There is still time and we could get lucky for a Wyckoff pattern, but should BTC really go lower, it is likely that we would visit the 12k area. Many people would then think: Awesome, cheap coins !...
I believe we'll see a ferocious rally that will shock everyone and make everyone bullish again - but this will just be a bear market rally (this is my thinking unless we break below 800B) There is still a very good chance we continue down towards 500B MC and sit there for the next 12-18 months but I am not leaning too heavily on the short side at the moment. ...
Mastercard Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 338.10 (stop at 362.71) The primary trend remains bearish. Trading within the Wedge formation. A move higher faces tough resistance and we remain cautious on upside potential. Further downside is expected. A clear break of 338.10 and we would look for further gains to 276.50. Our profit targets will be...