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Bitcoin - Crash to 50k in 2026! (Best cycles analysis)In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 50k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price! Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions stepping in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money. We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between February and November 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 50k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours. Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
18
Trump's coin impact!The recent surge of Trump Coin highlights how sudden market movements can disrupt price patterns and influence trading behavior across the broader cryptocurrency market. The rapid rise of Trump Coin, which soared by over 600%, sparked a wave of euphoria and speculation, drawing attention away from other cryptocurrencies and creating a ripple effect that reshaped market dynamics. The Trump Coin Phenomenon Trump Coin's explosive price increase captivated both traders and investors, significantly shifting market focus. This wasn’t just a temporary spike, but an event with lasting consequences that drained liquidity and trading volume from other coins, concentrating interest on Trump Coin. Impact on Other Cryptocurrencies As Trump Coin gained traction, the wider market began to stagnate, with overall market indicators like TOTAL (representing total market capitalization) and TOTAL2 (excluding Bitcoin) showing little movement. This period of stagnation reflected a lack of fresh capital flowing into other cryptocurrencies, as most traders redirected their focus to the Trump Coin rally. The following consequences were observed: [/b ]Liquidity Drain: As attention turned to Trump Coin, many altcoins saw a significant drop in trading volume, resulting in price stagnation and periodic sell-offs. Market Dump: Investors exiting their positions in other cryptocurrencies to join the Trump Coin rally contributed to temporary market dumps, amplifying the broader consolidation phase. Psychological Shift: The excitement surrounding Trump Coin led to a more cautious "wait-and-see" mentality among traders, reducing overall market volatility as fewer positions were opened. Consolidation Phase In the wake of Trump Coin's rapid rise, other cryptocurrencies entered a consolidation phase, a common occurrence when the market experiences a lull or imbalance. This phase reflects a market seeking stability before the next significant movement, with many investors holding back as they await further developments.
by melikatrader94
7
The Law of Quantum Resonance Definition: The Law of Quantum Resonance states that price movements in financial markets are not only influenced by technical indicators or fundamental data but also by collective psychological resonance patterns of market participants. These patterns follow a kind of "quantum logic," where prices move in overlapping probability waves and only take a clear direction once a critical mass of market participants shares the same thought or expectation. Core Principles: Resonance Points (R-Points): R-Points are psychological price levels where the expectations of market participants strongly overlap. These points emerge when a critical mass of traders observes and reacts to the same technical indicator (e.g., Fibonacci retracements, support/resistance levels). Example: If 70% of traders expect the price to find support at $100, this level becomes an R-Point. Quantum Superposition: Until an R-Point is reached, the price moves in a kind of "superposition state," where multiple possible directions exist simultaneously. Only when the R-Point is tested does the probability wave "collapse," and the price chooses a direction. Resonance Impulses: When an R-Point is tested, a resonance impulse occurs, driving the price in the opposite direction. This happens because the majority of traders adjust their positions at this level (e.g., triggering stop-loss orders or taking profits). Example: If a resistance level at $120 is tested, the price might experience a strong pullback afterward as many traders sell. Resonance Cycles: Markets move in cycles determined by the creation and resolution of R-Points. A cycle ends when all relevant R-Points have been tested, and the market enters a new "superposition state." Application: Identifying R-Points: Traders must identify the most commonly observed technical levels (e.g., through sentiment analysis, social media, or observing stop-loss clusters). Example: If many traders are talking about a specific Fibonacci level, it becomes an R-Point. Trading Strategy: Buy or sell when an R-Point is tested and profit from the subsequent resonance impulse. Example: If the price tests an R-Point at $100 (support), buy and expect an upward trend. Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders just below or above R-Points, as these levels often act as "triggers" for strong movements. Example: A trader observes the price approaching a significant Fibonacci retracement at $150. At the same time, sentiment analysis shows that 80% of market participants expect this level to act as resistance. The trader recognizes $150 as an R-Point and prepares for a resonance impulse. Once the price tests $150, a strong downward movement occurs as many traders sell. The trader profits from this impulse. Why is it original? The Law of Quantum Resonance combines technical analysis with collective psychology and quantum physics concepts. It assumes that markets are not only driven by data but also by the thoughts and expectations of participants. This law is a mix of technology, psychology, and a bit of philosophy – making it completely unique!
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN
by ShilpaChawla-pawellazikowski
5
SOLANA: gives us another chance to get ithello guys! Triangle Formation Top Line of the Triangle: A descending trendline forming the upper boundary of the triangle, showing a gradual decline in lower highs. Bottom Line of the Triangle: An ascending trendline forming the lower boundary of the triangle, highlighting higher lows, indicating potential consolidation. Support and Resistance Zones Support Area: Around $248 to $244, providing strong buying interest as price approached the bottom of the triangle. Resistance Area: Between $264 to $268, acting as a ceiling where selling pressure is evident. Flip Area Located near $223 to $233. This zone was a previous resistance level and has flipped into support, reinforcing the bullish structure below. Price Expectation A potential bounce is expected off the bottom trendline of the triangle near $248. Once price consolidates and breaks above the resistance area at $264–$268, it may surge toward the upper target zone around $277 to $282. Key Levels to Monitor Support: $248 to $244 Resistance: $264 to $268 Target Area: $277 to $282 Conclusion The current market is consolidating within a triangle. A breakout above the resistance area could signal a bullish continuation to higher levels. If price fails to hold the support, the next significant zone to watch is the FLIP area near $223–$233.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by melikatrader94
2
The Psychology Of Markets: A Deep Dive Into Sentiment IndicatorsMarket dynamics are mainly driven by the interaction between available assets and market demand. These forces are shaped by both retail participants and professional market makers. Public sentiment reacts strongly to media coverage and market news. When negative speculation (FUD) spreads, it tends to cause selling pressure, while positive news stimulates buying activity. This can be seen now for example in the world of crypto markets when prices react sharply to world events. And while mathematical indicators track price patterns, there are specific metrics that measure collective market psychology. Let's take a look at the key indicators that measure crowd behavior. 📍 Key Market Psychology Metrics 1. Volatility Assessment (VIX) The Volatility Index, commonly referred to as TVC:VIX or the market's "pulse of fear," quantifies market turbulence expectations. Developed at CBOE, this tool projects anticipated market fluctuations for a 30-day window by analyzing S&P 500 options data. 📍 VIX Calculation Method: ◾️ Evaluates SP:SPX derivative contracts expiring within 30 days ◾️ Implements sophisticated mathematical modeling, including weighted calculations and interpolative methods ◾️ Synthesizes individual volatility projections into a comprehensive market volatility forecast 📍 Practical Applications VIX serves as a psychological barometer where: Readings below 15 indicate market stability 15-25 suggests mild uncertainty 25-30 reflects growing market anxiety Readings above 30 signal significant turbulence potential The index also functions as a risk management instrument, enabling portfolio protection strategies through VIX-based derivatives. 2. Market Sentiment Gauge CNN's proprietary sentiment measurement combines seven distinct market variables to assess whether fear or optimism dominates trading activity. This metric operates on the principle that extreme fear can trigger unnecessary sell-offs, while excessive optimism might inflate valuations unsustainably. 📍 Core Components: ◾️ Price Momentum . Compares current market prices to recent average prices. Helps understand if stocks are trending up or down ◾️ New High/Low Stock Ratios. Measures how many stocks are hitting their highest/lowest points. Indicates overall market health and investor confidence ◾️ Market-Wide Directional Trends. Tracks which stocks are rising or falling. Shows general market movement and investor sentiment ◾️ Options Trading Patterns. Analyzes buying and selling of market protection options. Reveals how investors are preparing for potential market changes ◾️ Market Volatility Metrics. Measures market price fluctuations. Higher volatility suggests more investor uncertainty ◾️ High-Yield Bond Spread Analysis . Compares returns on risky versus safe bonds. Indicates investors' willingness to take financial risks ◾️ Comparative Yield Assessment . Compares returns from stocks versus government bonds. Helps understand where investors prefer to put their money The measurement spans 0-100: 0-24: Pervasive fear 25-49: Cautious sentiment 50-74: Optimistic outlook 75-100: Excessive optimism 3. Individual Investor Sentiment Analysis (AAII Survey) The American Association of Individual Investors conducts systematic polling to capture retail market participants' outlook. This weekly assessment provides insights into non-institutional investors' expectations for market direction over a six-month horizon. The methodology offers valuable perspective on collective retail sentiment trends. Survey Structure : Participants respond to a focused query about market trajectory, selecting from three possible scenarios: Optimistic outlook (Bullish) - anticipating market appreciation Pessimistic view (Bearish) - expecting market decline Neutral stance - projecting sideways movement 📍 Practical Applications ◾️ Contrarian Signal. Extreme readings often suggest potential market reversals. For instance, widespread pessimism might indicate oversold conditions, while excessive optimism could signal overbought markets. ◾️ Sentiment Tracking. The data helps contextualize retail investor psychology within current market conditions. ◾️ Historical Pattern Analysis. Current sentiment readings gain additional meaning when compared against historical trends. Note: While informative, this metric specifically reflects retail sentiment and should be considered alongside institutional positioning and broader market indicators. 4. Market Participation Breadth Market breadth analysis examines the distribution of price movements across securities to evaluate market health beyond headline index levels. This methodology assesses whether market moves reflect broad participation or concentrated activity in specific securities. 📍 Key Breadth Metrics ◾️ Advancing vs. Declining Issues . Tracks the numerical comparison between appreciating and depreciating securities ◾️ Net Advance-Decline . Calculates the cumulative difference between rising and falling stocks to identify underlying momentum ◾️ Participation Ratio . Establishes the proportion of advancing to declining securities ◾️ Moving Average Analysis . Monitors the percentage of stocks trading above key technical levels (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages) 📍 Practical Applications ◾️ Trend Validation. Strong market breadth confirms price trends, while deteriorating breadth may signal potential reversals ◾️ Early Warning System . Divergences between price action and breadth often precede significant market shifts ◾️ Trend Strength Assessment. Broad participation in market moves typically indicates more sustainable trends This analytical framework provides deeper insight into market dynamics beyond surface-level price movements, helping investors and traders better understand the underlying strength or weakness of current market conditions. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
2
TOSHI - Base's MEMEDaily Chart: 1H Chart: Check out: twitter.com www.toshithecat.com It appears that TOSHI is a Base network MEME token surrounding Brian Armstrong's Cat, Toshi. This MEME coin seems unique in the sense that it functions much like Solana. It has it's own marketplace for generating unique tokens to list on DEXSCREENER. I think this token is promising, considering it is fairly "new" to the multiple CEX's now. Exposure to the token is increasing. I feel like technical indicators can't really come into play until the 2HR, 4HR, 8HR, and 1 day charts can really start drawing. The Market Cap is under 1B. PEPE's Market Cap is somewhere around 6.3B right now (1/26/25). There's significant potential for this coin and I think it could reach .01 with a 2.5B-3.5B market cap. Lastly, I noticed TOSHI offers NFToshi's and NFToshi 2.0's. Following this buzz, I think this will draw attention to the their NFT's which will also see a floor increase. NFToshi's: rarible.com NFToshi 2.0's: magiceden.us I appreciate any comments. Thanks.
COINBASE:TOSHIUSDLong
by Terrapins
4
Bitcoin Game Plan - BTC PREDICTIONHello folks, it's time to update the BTC game plan. My previous Bitcoin game plan worked precisely. The timing and price levels were 100% accurate, and as expected, we saw a new all-time high (ATH). I hope you managed to make some profits! I’ve attached the previous BTC game plan below—feel free to give it a look. New Game Plan: Bitcoin has set a new ATH, but it seems we’ve encountered significant selling pressure at that level, and we couldn’t close above it. This indicates Bitcoin doesn’t yet have enough liquidity to expand higher. From this perspective, I expect the price to retrace slightly, grab some liquidity from the buy side, and then continue its upward journey. Scenario 1: Price grabs the lows below and hits the purple line (Range High) before bouncing to a new high. (Less likely) Scenario 2: (Marked on the chart) Price grabs the lows completely and retraces to the blue bullish trendline, bouncing from there. We might even create a deviation below the blue line, trapping bears who aggressively short after a trendline break, and bounce from the green zone marked just below the blue line. (This is my preferred scenario.) Scenario 3: Price retraces further to grab all the way down to the lows and bounces from the black trendline we previously broke. I’m sharing all three potential scenarios for clarity. Also, with a pro-crypto president currently in office, any significant bullish news could send Bitcoin skyrocketing. Keep this in mind. I remain overall bullish on Bitcoin. I firmly believe we haven’t seen the top yet. Despite the panic and sell-off from some gurus on X and TradingView who claim we’ve topped, I personally think we’re not even close to the peak.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1
Solana: long term trends...GM gents! Take a look at the trends that are active in the monthly and quarterly timeframe in $SOLUSDT. The most optimistic long term scenario implies a 42 to 1 reward ratio, and gains worth more than 1700% from here... It's easy to be swayed by short term noise and miss out on these insane gains, I have helped many people achieve such results in the past and can do it again, make sure to follow me here and in my socials. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
2
Gold declined from last ETH! Time to fallsHey Traders & Investors! Hope you're shining bright today! XAUUSD H1 Chart Analysis (January 25, 2023) The gold price has reached our target of $2,777, triggering a fresh selling opportunity for bearish traders. This move is supported by negative momentum indicators on the H1 chart. Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: $2,790 - Previous Target: $2,777 (HIT) - New Target: $2,750 - Support: $2,720 Trading Strategy: A sustained move below $2,767 could pave the way for additional losses. However, a reversal above $2,790 could trigger a buy-off. Update: Our previous target of $2,777 has been hit, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. However, we saw a fake breakout around $2,784. Now, let's focus on our next target around $2,750. Educational Takeaway: This analysis highlights the importance of identifying key supply and demand zones and monitoring momentum indicators to gauge the strength of a trend on shorter timeframes. By combining these technical analysis tools, traders can make more informed decisions and develop effective trading strategies. Hope my work helps you guys! Please like, comment, and share your thoughts! Best wishes, Tom
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tom_Trades_670
1
XRP UpdateLooking at XRP, we have the same situation we have with Solana. This is a regular update. This trading pair produced a bullish breakout recently. This bullish breakout produced a "shy higher high," just as it happened with Bitcoin. This shy higher high is good news. This is good news because the consolidation phase is not yet over, not in relation to maximum growth and bullish momentum developing for the market. When the market is sideways, price swings are happening all of the time, up and down. This up and down can result in whipsaws, money lost. A break of support can result in many stop-loss orders being activated, many LONG positions being liquidated; but the market broke up. This breakout is part of the same consolidation phase but it opens the doors for prices to move lower without changing the chart structure, the bulls remaining ahead. We have 28 days left before boom-boom 2025 bull-market, and it is evident how the market has been bullish, sentiment wise, and fundamentally, but neutral, sideways and even bearish in some cases technically, the price. This is all part of the last opportunity to buy before the 2025 bull-market bull-run. This is the last chance, truly it is. As for XRPUSDT, the main scenario we see is more consolidation coupled with a small retrace, can be days or weeks. This small retrace will keep the chart intact as mentioned, and any drops and retraces are a buy opportunity for smart traders; always LONG, never SHORT. Why always LONG? We are in a bull-market. The initial move is bullish (starting in October 2024). The small retrace is part of a period of consolidation before additional growth. The chart is bullish, the market is bullish; everything turning positive and getting better by the day. XRP won the battle against the SEC. The people won the battle against the capricious and abuse of power officials in the previous government. These developments are positive for the crypto-space and will soon show up in the price, make no mistake. This is it. Patience is key of course but we are in the green. The market never moves straight up nor straight down, there are always periods of rest between each impulse wave. This is not bad. This is great. Take it for what it is. The market is giving you an opportunity to find money and invest in Cryptocurrency all you want. The market is giving you time, another chance, to position yourself and plan, all this before maximum growth. Is this cheating? Is this even legal? We know exactly what is going to happen so we know what to do to achieve financial success. Knowing things beforehand is not cheating nor illegal, this is all based on experience, dedication and hard work. These things give us wisdom and this wisdom we use to support each other and produce positive results. We know the market is going to grow, the best action is to buy and hold focusing on the long-term. The bull-market will be a standard bull-market, and that's ok. Just as everything turns positive, when the market peaks some reasons will develop that will compel the giants to sell, and this will mark the top. This too is normal and expected, we accept the profits and move on. When the next bearish cycle is in, this one will be much smaller than the last one, we just take it as another opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload. The market will continue to fluctuate. XRP will continue to grow. We are now reaching the end of a consolidation phase while in the bullish zone. All conditions are bullish. The recent rise allows for a drop that will not break the positive structure of the chart. This is what it means. After the last flush, expect big green. You can always count on me to be here and share some numbers when the time is right. I never look at the charts for entry, nor chase any pair. When the time is right, based on intuition, I just take a leap and let the market take care of the rest. So far in this cycle we have perfect timing with XRP. But it is ok to know that some trades are loss, some others we win. It is ok to be wrong. It would be foolish to think we have to be perfect or need to win them all. We don't need to win anything, we just need to do our job. Insist and persist, consistency will yield the results you want. The battle is already half won. Cryptocurrency is now being fully supported by the law. First we fight. We fought and we won. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
"Volatility's Blueprint: Exposing the Game" This chart reveals a layered analysis of the market, highlighting key insights into price action, volatility, and momentum across multiple timeframes. Let me walk you through it: At the top, the price candles show a significant decline after a previous bullish move. The **red and green zones** are critical—green marks potential support or buy zones, while red indicates resistance or sell pressure. The **diagonal lines** represent descending trendlines and breakout markers, guiding us on the trajectory of price movement. Now, moving to the middle section, the **Custom Range Metric (CRM)** replaces the traditional ATR concept, tracking price volatility in a unique way. You’ll notice how the **green (price)** and **blue (CRM)** lines interact—this alignment reveals where volatility contracts or expands, which often signals key turning points in the market. Complementing this is the **Range Analyzer (RA)**, which highlights zones where shifts in the range could signal reversals or breakouts, adding another layer of precision to the analysis. Below that, we dive into the **momentum indicators** across multiple timeframes—4HR, 1WK, and 2WK. These give us a comprehensive view of how momentum aligns with or diverges from price movements. This multi-timeframe approach helps validate trends and gives a clearer picture of where the market might be headed. Finally, the visual design of this chart is intentional. The color-coded zones, vibrant diagonal channel, and shaded areas bring clarity to the long-term outlook. The **green channel** suggests a recovery projection, while the rest of the setup highlights the market's current state of manipulation. This entire idea ties back to the connection between retail traders and institutional forces, revealing the patterns that have allowed banks to exploit retail traders for years. It’s not just a chart—it’s a deeper look into the mechanics of the market and the hidden signals driving it.
Short
by The_ForexX_Mindset
7
Market at a Turning Point: Nifty50's Next Big MoveThe chart provided is a daily timeframe analysis of the Nifty50 index, showing key technical levels and possible trade scenarios based on price action. It presents an opportunity for traders to assess potential breakout or breakdown levels and make informed trading decisions. 1. Current Market Scenario (Price Action Analysis) The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23092. The index is moving within a descending triangle pattern, forming lower highs while maintaining support at key levels. Price is consolidating in a narrow range, indicating uncertainty and indecisiveness in the market. 2. Key Technical Zones Identified A. Resistance Zone (Red Area) The resistance zone is marked with a downward sloping trendline, highlighting consistent selling pressure. Nifty has faced multiple rejections around this trendline, indicating strong resistance levels. If the index breaks above this level with volume, it could signal the start of a bullish trend. Key Levels: Resistance at 23,600 - 24,000. A breakout above 24,000 could lead to a rally towards 25,200-25,600 levels. B. Support Zone (Green Area) The support zone represents a crucial price area where buying interest has historically emerged. This zone is critical for maintaining the current trend; breaking below could lead to a bearish continuation. If the index holds this level, it could provide a strong base for an upward move. Key Levels: Support at 22,800 - 23,000. A breakdown below 22,800 may trigger a decline towards 21,500-21,000 levels. C. Monthly Timeframe Support Zone (Thicker Green Line) A long-term support level derived from a higher timeframe (monthly chart). This level is significant, acting as a major inflection point for long-term investors. A breakdown below this zone may signal a shift in long-term sentiment. Key Levels: Strong support around 22,500. A sustained break could lead to deeper corrections. D. Consolidation Zone (Circled Area) Nifty is currently consolidating within a tight range inside the descending triangle. This phase usually precedes a strong directional move (either up or down). Traders should wait for confirmation before initiating new positions. 3. Potential Trading Strategies A. Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow - Upside Move) Trigger: A breakout above the resistance zone with strong volume and confirmation. Entry: Buy when the price breaks 23,600-24,000, confirming with bullish candlesticks. Targets: First target: 24,800 Second target: 25,600 Long-term target: 26,400 Stop Loss: Below the breakout level around 23,400, ensuring risk management. B. Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow - Downside Move) Trigger: A breakdown below the support zone with strong selling pressure. Entry: Short when the price falls below 22,800, confirming with bearish candlesticks. Targets: First target: 22,000 Second target: 21,500 Long-term target: 20,400 Stop Loss: Above the support zone around 23,200, to minimize risk. 4. Risk Management Considerations Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain at least a 1:2 ratio, ensuring the reward outweighs the risk. Trailing Stop Loss: As the price moves favorably, adjust the stop loss to secure partial profits. Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on global markets and news events that may impact Nifty’s movement. 5. Final Outlook and Recommendation For Bulls (Buyers): Wait for a breakout confirmation above resistance before entering long positions. Focus on targets around 24,800 and higher. For Bears (Sellers): Watch for a decisive breakdown below support to enter short trades. Targets could extend down to 21,500 levels. For Neutral Traders: Wait for clear confirmation before taking directional trades to avoid false breakouts.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
SHIBUSDT BUY With MCIf the market cap of Shiba can reach its range of 40 billion dollars again, a price of 0.000075 could be our target of +300%. Considering that Doge is a meme coin and has managed to return to its historical market cap ceiling, and also that prominent individuals have intensified the meme coin market with their entry into the meme coin sector, we can expect that the market cap of the coin ranked 2 among meme coins will also return to its historical market cap ceiling. But in general, prioritize risk management and capital management Good luck and be profitable 💲🔥
Long
by AM_Gaming
Traders MindsetLet’s talk about mindset! You hear everyone saying; mindset is the most important in trading. But what is having “the right mindset” ? Now here is a little secret. Mindset is not just being focused on the money. “I must be profitable”. No. Having the right mindset is having a set of attitudes. Quite literally the definition.. Mindset /ˈmʌɪn(d)sɛt/ noun (usually in singular) the established set of attitudes held by someone. How you approach the market is very important. Have a set of rules for yourself. - Do I have a trading plan? Having a trading plan is important. It helps you follow something day in and day out. - Do I have good market conditions? Having good market conditions is important as it helps you make more clear decisions. Trading in sideways markets usually ends badly. It forces the trader to become impatient and entering too soon, expecting a breakout to either side usually leads to loses. - Do I know the risk? Understanding the risk before you enter the trade is important. Majority of traders over-leverage, meaning they use high leverage thus being able to open higher lot size positions. That usually leads to blown accounts. Knowing what you are risking, eliminates a lot of the emotions. - Do I have any confirmations? Whether that’s a break, a pullback, fundamentals supporting your view that’s great! Having confirmations on your analysis or trade is important. - Is this trade forced? Am I being nervous before entering? Am I not sure? Am I gambling on this trade? Understanding your emotions is important. Ever felt like this when you opened a trade, knowing you shouldn’t and it instantly went against you? Avoid these trades. One more thing I would like to add. Ever been stuck to your screen 24/7? Lost sleep over a trade. Here is a fact. You watching the chart, won’t change its path. Sad truth. There is nothing wrong with following your trade, but if you are watching your losing trade, then I already know where it leads. You do too. Avoid this. Going back to the #1 rule. Know your risk before entering. Eliminate emotions. Having the right mindset is following your own rules and having a set of habits. Habits that help you to grow as a trader. Eliminate bad habits. Review your past trades. You all know why you lost a trade. But will you look for an excuse? “Ah the market did a liquidity sweep” or “market is manipulated”. The market is never wrong. You as a trader are. Don’t celebrate wins or mourn loses on your account. Treat it as your full time job. You have some good days, you have some bad days. You win, you move on. You lose, you move on. As long as you are following the trading plan, you will succeed. Understanding this, combined with experience will grow you as a trader. And guess what the by product of this is? Money. So don’t focus on money. Focus on self-growth, mindset, experience and upgrading your skillset of trading. Money will be the byproduct of your journey. Create your mindset plan. A set of rules for yourself. Try doing it for 30 days. Come back to this post and tell us if you have improved. Nothing or no one is stopping you from being a successful trader but yourself. It’s not the market and no it’s not the broker. Majority of traders quit after blowing a few accounts. The rest stick around for years but make no progress. Only a few % of them actually find the meaning behind it and succeed. What’s the secret? Signals? Prop Firms? Account managers? EA’s? No. Sure all these things can benefit you slightly. But what truly is the secret to being successful in trading? You! You are the secret. Understanding yourself, your emotions, your reactions to certain events. Trading is a mirror of you. An amplified picture of you. Are you impatient? Scared? Nervous? Greedy? Forex will amplify those emotions. The biggest battle you have to win is the battle with yourself. Not the market. Trading is easy, you have a trading plan, you stick to it. Sometimes you may have a loosing week, happens right? But as long as you are sticking to your strategy, understanding the market, using a positive R:R and understanding the importance of consistency you should be fine. But here is the hard part. Your reactions. Your emotions. Let’s take for example NFP Data release. Weeks or even months of progress can be wiped out due to irrational decisions during news. Don’t be that trader. Suppress your emotions, don’t get greedy. Take a jab at the market, but only after the data is out. Remember, no one is stopping you from being a successful trader, but yourself. A key element added to a traders mindset is PATIENCE . patience /ˈpeɪʃns/ (noun) - the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, problems, or suffering without becoming annoyed or anxious. That’s the definition of patience. Trading is a stressful field. Not only does your analysis have to be on point, you have to be focused, have a trading plan, use proper risk to reward ratio… so many factors and then comes the patience. We already know that the market always provides unexpected problems. It plays with our emotions, ranges, does not move, goes against us etc. How many times have you entered in a position and the price started to range, while you float in loss? You start doubting, you get scared and you close the position. Or even worse, you get stopped out. Later in the day you check the chart and you see your Take Profit (TP) would have been hit, but only if you were more patient? Or how many times have you had an A+ setup, everything was going to plan but you closed it early because you wanted to secure the profit? Being a good trader is hard, but it’s not impossible. Discipline is everything as well as patience. Without patience you are bound to lose. From talking to many people, you would be surprised at how many of them want to “flip” their account. “Do you think I can make 2000$ this week” with 1000$ in their account. We will always advocate for patience. Playing the long game. Consistency + patience will get you far. Check some of the last trades you did. Were you patient? Ask yourself. Majority can find themselves in these stories. Work on your patience, and you will get far. For example, check out this long-term analysis on XAUUSD (Gold) posted on January 9th. Now we did close it earlier, but we still managed to secure +500 pips (50$ price action) in 3 days of holding. Patience. This post was made due to a high request of people liking our minds, so it has all been posted in a single educational post. FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
1
Even if it falls, you should prepare for an uptrend Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The High Boundary Zone has been changed to the 101947.24-103706.66 range. Therefore, anything above 103706.00 is considered a high range. However, the basic 106133.74 point is likely to act as resistance. - The StochRSI indicator is showing a decline to the 50 point range. Therefore, since volatility is likely to occur, a quick response is required when trading. Therefore, the point of observation is whether there is resistance near 106133.74. When a new candle is created, if the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point, the key point is whether there is support near 101947.24-103706.66. If there is support, I think there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue. If the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone and falls below 101947.24 and shows resistance, you should check whether it touches the BW(0) indicator or the HA-Low indicator. The 93576.0-34742.35 zone is expected to be an important support and resistance zone. ------------------------------ It seems that a lot of funds have flowed into the coin market through USDC. Accordingly, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend soon. As I said before, for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and remain there or show a downward trend. The maximum decline point of USDT dominance is expected to be around 2.84. After that, since USDT dominance is expected to show an upward trend, the coin market is expected to show a downward wave. If it goes up by 4.97 or more, I think you can definitely tell that a downtrend is in progress. - Based on the above coin market cap chart, this uptrend is expected to be the last uptrend. Therefore, even if the price falls, a trading strategy that prepares for an uptrend is needed. The point to watch is whether this uptrend can rise to the Fibonacci ratio point of 2.24 (116940.43). This volatility period is expected to continue until January 31. The next volatility period is expected to be around February 9-16. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
by readCrypto