Bitcoin - 17% drop to 69,000! (must see)Bitcoin has clearly been in a downtrend since the first Trump day in office. The downtrend started on 20th January, and there are no signs of recovery. Currently the price prints a falling wedge pattern, so there is an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at the bottom of the wedge, but we need to wait for the price to come to this level first! This level is around 69,000 USD.
69k is also a strong support because of the previous descending channel. This is a classic technical analysis of chart patterns. After a breakout of a pattern, we want to wait for a retest and buy it. In Bitcoin's case, we are still waiting for a retest of this descending channel. What we want to see is a retest of the previous breakout point.
What we cannot miss is the 200 moving average on the daily chart. Indeed, this is a strong MA on the stock market and gold, so we can expect to be strong on Bitcoin as well. 200MA is known for its accuracy because a lot of hedge funds and banks use this specific MA period on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. I recommend avoiding buying Bitcoin and waiting for lower prices!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold – Key Buying Zone at 3,090 for a Target of 3,157Why is $3,090 a Great Buying Area?
Support within the Channel – The price has been respecting the lower boundary of the channel, and 3,090 aligns with this trend structure.
Volume Profile Confirmation – Visible volume accumulation around this level suggests it has strong support. Buyers previously stepped in here, making it a logical point for re-entry.
Trend Continuation Setup – The overall bullish structure remains intact, making pullbacks like 3,090 a low-risk buying area for continuation toward the target of 3,157.
Why Not Short Here?
The trend is clearly bullish, and there are no reversal signals.
Even if a pullback occurs, it should be seen as an opportunity to buy rather than an indication to short.
The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, but until clear bearish signals appear, betting against the trend is risky.
Conclusion
A pullback to 3,090 should be considered a buying opportunity for a move toward 3,157. As long as the price remains within the channel, the primary focus should be on buying dips rather than looking for short entries.
GameStop’s Bitcoin Bet Fails to Wow Traders. Can It Copy MSTR?GameStop NYSE:GME wants to jam Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD into its treasury. But isn’t that a risky move that threatens to derail the video-game retailer’s finances? With $1.3 billion on the line, GameStop’s pivot to Bitcoin in efforts to revive its flagging share price may make things even worse. Let’s talk about that.
Desperate times call for desperate measures. After a couple months of speculation, traders’ suspicions turned out correct — GameStop is indeed adding Bitcoin on its balance sheet .
The company confirmed the plan in its quarterly earnings update released last week. That was all good — shares jumped 8% on the news and closed the cash session higher by 12%.
But these solid gains were not only wiped out — traders doubled down on the selling pressure when the shares crashed 23% a day later because GameStop unveiled a scary figure.
To make Bitcoin a treasury reserve asset, GameStop said it is seeking to sell $1.3 billion of convertible bonds , which will be used “for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of Bitcoin in a manner consistent with GameStop’s Investment Policy.”
What do these convertible bonds do? They’re essentially papers that certify you’ve given the company a loan. Usually, they come bearing some nice guaranteed yield, but in this case, the yield is exactly 0.00%.
Another string attached to GameStop's bonds is that they are due in 2030 and you can choose to convert them into shares, each with a price tag of $28.46, or you can take them out in cash. That’s one reason why the stock tanked last week — not too favorable conditions.
Another one, and perhaps a bigger worry for investors, is that GameStop’s net income will no longer be as secure as it’s been until now. More precisely, GameStop generates around $220 million in interest each year thanks to its holding of Treasury bills.
With Bitcoin getting in the mix of factors contributing to the bottom-line figure, things may spin out of ordinary. True, Bitcoin may go up in price and lift GameStop’s net income but it could also decide to nosedive for no reason and eat into GameStop’s profits.
Judging by the votes of the traders last week (if the stock market is a voting machine in the short term), they seem to believe in the latter. At least for now. But that's not a concern to the OG meme stock . Where it hopes Bitcoin will make a difference is the long run. Just look at MicroStrategy MSTR .
Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy , is the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder. Even more, it’s a Bitcoin hoarder, sitting on more than 506,000 Bitcoin, according to BTC-tracking platform Bitcoin Treasuries .
Strategy has been issuing debt to buy Bitcoin since 2020 and that’s the exact same thing that GameStop is doing. But there’s a key difference. Strategy has largely strapped its share price to the performance of Bitcoin. So much so that the market has been feverishly buying the stock as a way to get exposure to Bitcoin (on steroids). For GameStop, it’s too late for that.
Shares of Strategy are trading at less than 2x the value of its Bitcoin holdings.
GameStop, in contrast, has appealed to investors for its stack of cash (besides the speculative bonanza) with $4.8 billion in dry powder ready to be deployed. The stock is trading at more than 2x its cash holdings and the cash-to-Bitcoin conversion is likely to dent that performance and trigger some outflows. And that’s how the company puts its premium at risk.
So is it safe to say that GameStop is looking to spark a share-price rally by following MicroStrategy’s lead? Maybe. But the exposure to Bitcoin also comes at a perilous time for the cryptocurrency industry. Bitcoin is down 10% on the year and more than 25% from its all-time high of $109,000 to hover around $84,000 a pop.
Can the Bitcoin philosophy reel GameStop out of the slump? Or will it drag the bottom line and chip away at whatever’s left of the bruised valuation under $10 billion? You be the judge — share your thoughts in the comment section!
Will Your Tether Holdings Be Frozen Overnight?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts ,✌
Spend 2 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. The main points are summarized in 3 clear lines at the end 📋 This will help you level up your understanding of the market 📊 and Bitcoin💰.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: A Personal Perspective:
Since this is an educational analysis, I’ve kept the chart as simple as possible and provided the most concise Bitcoin analysis. 📉
The price is currently in a descending channel and approaching a key daily resistance level. I expect at least an 8% decline, with $75,000 acting as a major support zone. 📈
Now, let's dive into the educational section, which builds upon last week's lesson (linked in the tags of this analysis). Many of you have been eagerly waiting for this, as I have received multiple messages about it on Telegram.
🧐 Educational Segment: Will Your Tether Holdings Be Frozen Overnight?
Understanding the EU’s New Crypto Regulations 🇪🇺 🔍
In 2023, the European Union (EU) introduced the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), a comprehensive legal framework aimed at increasing oversight of the cryptocurrency market. The primary objective of this regulation is to bring stability, transparency, and security to a sector that has historically operated with minimal supervision. One of the core focuses of MiCA is stablecoins, particularly their issuance, reserves, and compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorism financing (CTF) laws.
The EU prefers highly regulated and trackable stablecoins, such as PayPal’s PYUSD, as these provide greater oversight of financial transactions. Under the new regulatory landscape, if Tether (USDT) fails to meet the EU’s compliance standards, authorities may restrict its usage within the European financial system and exchanges operating in the region. However, it is important to note that such restrictions would be a gradual process, not an abrupt overnight decision. ⏳⚖️
Who Will Be Affected? 🤔📉
These potential regulations primarily impact crypto traders, businesses, and exchanges operating within the EU. If Tether does not secure regulatory approval, platforms serving European customers may be required to delist or limit USDT transactions, similar to past instances where regulatory scrutiny led to the delisting of certain assets in specific jurisdictions.
For individuals and businesses outside of the EU, particularly those using offshore or decentralized platforms, the immediate effects of these regulations would likely be minimal. However, broader market shifts and liquidity changes may still indirectly influence USDT trading volume and availability. 🌍📊
Will Tethers in High-Tension Middle Eastern Countries Be Frozen? 🚨🏦
Geopolitical Risks and US Sanctions 🇺🇸⚠️
Beyond EU regulations, concerns have arisen about whether Tether could be frozen in certain politically sensitive regions, particularly in conflict-prone areas of the Middle East. Given the U.S. government’s control over the global financial system and its increasing scrutiny of crypto transactions, there is speculation that Tether Holdings Ltd. could be pressured to comply with U.S. foreign policy directives, including asset freezes linked to sanctioned individuals, entities, or countries.
Historically, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has taken a firm stance against financial transactions that could be linked to terrorism financing, money laundering, or sanctions violations. While Tether itself is not a U.S.-based company, it does interact with U.S. financial institutions and has previously cooperated with law enforcement agencies to freeze assets tied to criminal activities. 🏛️🔎
If geopolitical tensions worsen, there is a possibility that Tether’s compliance team may receive direct or indirect pressure to restrict access to its stablecoin in certain jurisdictions, mirroring actions previously taken against other crypto wallets and sanctioned entities. 🔥💰
How Can Users Protect Themselves? 🛡️💡
For individuals and businesses operating in high-risk regions, it is crucial to stay informed about potential regulatory and geopolitical shifts. Strategies to mitigate risks include:
Diversifying stablecoin holdings by using multiple assets (e.g., DAI, USDC, or algorithmic stablecoins). 🔄💱
Utilizing decentralized finance (DeFi) solutions that reduce reliance on centralized stablecoin issuers. 🏗️🔐
Exploring on-chain privacy solutions to protect financial autonomy within legal and ethical boundaries. 🕵️♂️📲
Keeping funds in non-custodial wallets rather than centralized exchanges, which are more susceptible to regulatory enforcement. 🔑📜
In an upcoming guide , I will provide a comprehensive tutorial on how to protect your identity and crypto holdings while navigating regulatory challenges and geopolitical risks. Stay tuned for a detailed breakdown of secure storage, alternative stablecoins, and advanced privacy measures. 🚀🔮
However , this analysis should be seen as a personal viewpoint, not as financial advice ⚠️. The crypto market carries high risks 📉, so always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The EU’s MiCA regulations may restrict Tether (USDT) in European exchanges, but it won’t happen overnight. 🌍 Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tensions spark fears that the U.S. could freeze USDT in certain regions. If you’re outside these areas, the impact is minimal, but diversifying assets** is a smart move. Stay tuned for my next guide on protecting your identity, wallets, and crypto holdings!
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
Gold trend in Eur and US sessions -Decline and increase again💢💢💢 Gold news:
➡️ Gold (XAU/USD) continues its upward trend during the first half of the European trading session on Monday, currently hovering near its all-time high just above $3,120. Uncertainty surrounding former U.S. President Donald Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs, along with growing fears of a U.S. economic recession and geopolitical risks, continue to weigh on investor sentiment. The risk-off mood is evident in the generally weaker tone of the stock markets, driving the safe-haven precious metal higher for the third consecutive day.
➡️However, bullish traders may take a breather amid overbought conditions on the daily chart and ahead of key U.S. macroeconomic releases later this week.
Personal opinion:
➡️ In general, in the long term, the main trend of gold is still increasing and shows no signs of stopping. Therefore, waiting for the time when gold declines technically to buy at a good price is a reasonable measure
➡️ Currently, gold is having a technical adjustment after RSI entered the overbought zone and decreased again
➡️Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy XAU/USD 3100 - 3102
❌SL: 3095 | ✅TP: 3106 - 3112 - 3118
👉 Sell XAU/USD 3129 - 3132
❌SL: 3136 | ✅TP: 3125 - 3120 - 3115
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY_2025-03-31Insane Trade Today.
Drawdown:3.8pips
TP: 81 Pips
To start the week, we have price reach and hover at a daily Luquidity Void.
From there, During London came a entry - Below Asia Low.
We would look to enter here being a bit bullish on the DLV.
To reinforce this buy idea, (if you didnt enter at asia low)
Price then broke a near high.
Retraces to the 15min Orderblock, then continued upward to TP at 81pips.
AUDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Taking the Elevator DownIt’s more of a sixth sense(like when you just know the milk is bad before you smell it). I think it’s headed down, like an elevator with a broken cable . If I’m right, I’ll make some money. If I’m wrong, well… guess I’ll take the stairs next time.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
New ATH , GOLD is comming 3173⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump dismissed expectations that the new tariffs would target only a select group of nations with the largest trade imbalances, declaring on Sunday that reciprocal tariffs would apply universally. This announcement, coupled with the existing 25% duties on steel, aluminum, and auto imports, has intensified fears of an escalating global trade war.
Additionally, investors are increasingly convinced that the economic slowdown triggered by these tariffs will pressure the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume rate cuts, despite persistent inflation concerns. As a result, Gold has surged to a fresh record high, marking its strongest quarterly performance since 1986.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The backdrop of everything from technical to political and economic is supporting the increase in gold prices in the first quarter of 2025. Gold prices have the highest growth in history.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 ATH : SELL 3162 - 3164 SL 3169
TP: 3155 - 3140 - 3127
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3093 - $3091 SL $3086
TP1: $3100
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3120
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTCUSDTBTC Retest Before the Next Uptrend 🚀
Bitcoin is not going to make a new low—it’s simply retesting the previous support zone around $76K–$78K before continuing its upward movement. This is a classic market structure where price revisits key levels before the next bullish leg.
All the noise, fear, and uncertainty in the market are designed to shake out weak hands and keep retail traders away from big profits. Institutions and smart money are accumulating while the majority panic. Don’t let market manipulation fool you—stay focused on the bigger trend!
What do you think? Are you holding strong or waiting on the sidelines? 🚀💎
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower with a gap-down amid growing recession fears. Although it did not reach the 20-month moving average (MA) on the monthly chart, last month’s long bearish candlestick has resulted in a sell signal on the monthly futures chart—the first time in three years since February 2022. From a monthly perspective, the 16,900–17,500 range appears to be a good buying zone, but it is important to monitor whether the index reaches this level within this month’s candle. The 20-month MA is likely to be briefly breached, even if a lower wick forms.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq is currently finding short-term support around 19,000, but given the large gap between the 3-week and 5-week MAs, a rebound remains a possibility. On the daily chart, a sell signal has not yet been confirmed. If further declines confirm a bearish crossover, the Nasdaq could enter a third wave of selling, with a target of 17,300. The key question is whether the market experiences another sharp drop.
However, given the significant distance from the 5-day MA, the more likely scenario is sideways movement for a few days, allowing the moving averages to catch up before a potential further decline. In this case, it is advisable to trade within the range but always use stop-losses. The 240-minute chart also shows strong downward movement. While the market is in oversold territory, making short-selling more favorable, there is also the possibility of a range-bound pattern forming on the daily chart. If taking buy positions at the lows, strict stop-loss management is essential.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher following news of tariffs imposed on Russian oil. The price successfully broke above the key resistance at $70, also surpassing the 240-day MA. On the monthly chart, oil has now entered a range where further upside potential exists, and there is a possibility that the MACD could attempt a bullish crossover with the signal line.
On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, pulling the signal line upward. If the price stays above the 240-day MA, it may form a strong trend reversal pattern with accelerated gains. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and is crossing above the signal line, indicating continued buying momentum.
Overall, it is best to focus on buying dips, as April’s first trading session could see the price gapping above the 240-day MA. Holding overnight short positions carries risk, so caution is advised.
Gold
Gold closed higher, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets. On the monthly chart, gold formed a long bullish candlestick. However, given the large gap between the price and the 3-month & 5-month MAs, a pullback remains a possibility. The key question is whether gold will continue rising before a correction or correct first before resuming its uptrend. It is best to monitor the price action closely.
On the daily chart, the MACD is forming a third wave of buying pressure, opening the possibility for a price target around 3,216. Thus, it is advisable to focus on buying dips, while being cautious about chasing highs due to potential volatility. The 240-minute chart indicates that strong buying momentum continues, as gold remains in overbought territory.
Since this is the beginning of a new month, key economic reports—including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. Jobs Report—could significantly impact gold’s volatility. For both buy and sell positions, it is essential to set stop-loss levels, as increased volatility is expected.
With Trump’s tariff policies increasing the risk of a global recession, liquidity in global equity markets is drying up, reducing the attractiveness of stocks. The clear contrast between Nasdaq and gold’s performance is likely to persist for some time.
As we enter April’s first trading session, trade cautiously and adapt to market conditions.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
EURJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURJPY?
This pair is currently trading below a key resistance zone and has also broken its ascending trendline.
The price is now in the process of pulling back to the broken trendline, consolidating around that area.
We expect that after completing the pullback and some consolidation, the pair will decline at least toward the specified support levels.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, and the first target is expected to be around $3200. At this level, due to a resistance zone, a temporary correction is likely.
This correction may extend down to the bottom of the ascending channel, which acts as a key support area. After completing the pullback, the bullish trend is expected to resume, aiming for the top of the channel as the next target.
If price breaks above the channel, higher targets could be activated.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
TRXUSDT 1D LONG [UPdate]In line with the expectations I outlined in my main TRXUSDT 1D LONG review the price interacted perfectly with the key liquidity block and turned around confidently.
To feel safe in this position, I move the stop order to breakeven and continue to wait for my targets to be reached!
Targets:
$0.2509
$0.2580
$0.2679
$0.2815
Gold extended higher, look for signs of exhaustionGold is extending higher, tapping into untested liquidity above. However, signs of exhaustion are creeping in. Watch for potential liquidity sweeps before reversals.
Key Untapped Liquidity Zones
Upside: $3,182 - $3,189
Downside: $3,103 - $3,094
🔴 Sell Setups (Short)
1️⃣ Intraday Reversal Short
Entry Zone: $3,182 - $3,189
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,193
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,150 (First reaction)
TP2: $3,128 (Key liquidity)
TP3: $3,103 (Imbalance fill)
📌 Reasoning:
Untested supply at $3,182-$3,189
Price may sweep liquidity above $3,180 before a sharp rejection
2️⃣ Aggressive Short (Scalp)
Entry Zone: $3,150 - $3,153
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,157
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $3,117
TP3: $3,103
📌 Reasoning:
Liquidity grab before a possible retrace
Strong momentum-based rejection expected
🟢 Buy Setups (Long)
3️⃣ Safe Long (Key Demand Zone)
Entry Zone: $3,103 - $3,094
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,089
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $3,150
TP3: $3,182
📌 Reasoning:
Untested demand at $3,103-$3,094
Imbalance below $3,103 should act as a magnet
Liquidity sitting at $3,094
4️⃣ Deep Liquidity Sweep Buy
Entry Zone: $3,074 - $3,067
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,103
TP2: $3,128
TP3: $3,150
📌 Reasoning:
Liquidity sweep target at $3,074-$3,067
If price taps this zone, a high-probability reversal could follow
Heavy imbalance would need correction
👀 Keep an Eye On:
1️⃣ DXY movements—if the dollar strengthens, gold may struggle to break higher.
2️⃣ News events—major economic data could trigger liquidity grabs before reversals.
3️⃣ Reactions at key levels—watch for wicks, aggressive rejections, and volume spikes.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Good luck on the market today.
Next Volatility Period: Around April 5 (April 4-6)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new candle has been created as a new month begins.
The StochRSI indicator has fallen below the midpoint, and OBV has been hunting since around October 1, 2024.
As I mentioned before, the StochRSI indicator must fall to the oversold zone and then rise to create a peak in order to draw a trend line between the lows.
Therefore, the point to watch next month is whether the StochRSI indicator can enter the oversold zone.
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 73499.86.
-
(1D chart)
If the current StochRSI indicator creates a peak in the oversold zone, that is, if it closes up, the uptrend line (2) will be completed.
If that happens, we should see whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (83646.12) around April 5th.
If not, it is highly likely that it will eventually fall again.
In the explanation of the 1M chart, I said that the StochRSI indicator should enter the oversold zone.
You may think that the price should fall because of this, but you should not necessarily think that the price will fall because the StochRSI indicator may show a downward trend even if the price rises.
In such an ambiguous situation, rather than predicting whether it will rise or fall, you should check whether the current price position is supported or falling and think about whether to respond.
As I said earlier, you should respond depending on whether there is support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart where the arrow is pointing.
This time, you should check in which direction it deviates from the Fibonacci ratio range of 2 (80999.68) ~ 2.24 (83646.12) and think about a response plan.
This movement is expected to appear after the next volatility period, April 4-6.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
To check the entire range of BTC, I used TradingView's INDEX chart.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)