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NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders! As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week. Key Observations: 1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity: The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance. 2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity: Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone. Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium. 3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps: With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling. Trading Strategy: Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones. Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/04/2025We've executed 4 trades so far this week using the Judas Swing Strategy and in this write up, we're breaking down exactly how each one played out. We didn't get any trading opportunities on Monday but Tuesday gave us textbook setups on both FX:EURUSD and OANDA:AUDUSD , and if you’ve been following this series, you know the Judas Swing Strategy thrives where liquidity lies and manipulation gives way to opportunity. Tuesday’s price action on FX:EURUSD opened with familiar signs: ranging structure and liquidity building on both sides. By 09:05 EST, price made the typical fakeout a sharp move to the downside that swept the lows and trapped breakout sellers. This gave us confirmation to look for the real move, the reversal. Price broke structure to the upside, creating a Fair Value Gap. As expected, price retraced into that imbalance, and we executed the buy. Entry: 1.14677 SL: 1.14559 TP: 1.14913 Take profit was cleanly hit with minimal drawdown. No stress. No second-guessing OANDA:AUDUSD printed a similar setup. The fake move to the downside swept liquidity below an earlier low and shifted structure to the upside. We entered buy once price returned to fill the Fair Value Gap The trade nearly hit TP but reversed just shy of it, eventually stopping us out. Entry: 0.63868 SL: 0.63770 TP: 0.64064 It stung a little, but here's where our data-driven edge comes in. We follow a set-and-forget execution model because our backtesting shows that this approach works more in our favor than not. Situations like this will happen. Sometimes price dances around your TP before flipping. It’s part of trading The next day was a solid one using the Judas Swing strategy, this time across both OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Let’s walk through how the setups unfolded on Wednesday and why both trades played out almost identically in terms of narrative and structure. The session kicked off with a consolidation forming, setting up a clean range to be targeted. Liquidity had built up nicely above the highs and lows of the pre-market structure. Classic. As expected, once our session started, price punched higher, sweeping the buy-side liquidity above the early session range. This was our Judas move a strategic fakeout to trigger breakout longs and inject liquidity. But the key here is what came next. Price immediately stalled after the sweep and printed a clean break of structure to the downside. That shift was our clue that the buy-side move was done and the real selloff was likely on deck for OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Price pulled back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during displacement, giving us a clean entry setup: Entry: 0.64130 SL: 0.64360 TP: 0.63669 As soon as we entered, the trade moved with conviction minimal drawdown and a smooth ride into target but the OANDA:NZDUSD couldn't hit TP and the trade is still running
by CleoFinance
#USDJPY: 2050+ Pips Swing Buy| Trend Confirmed| Comment Views? **FX:USDJPY** A significant market movement has confirmed, indicating the potential for a substantial bullish swing that could reach approximately 2050 pips. Three targets have been identified, allowing you to select the one that aligns best with your analysis. The primary catalyst for this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) to a bearish trend. It is crucial to employ precise risk management techniques and exercise caution during this period. Good luck and trade safely. Thanks for your support! 😊 If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
25
Build a bag levels on LOFI USD / BULLISH! LOFI - build a bag between this price range $0.015- $0.020 I like the concept and RWA value - Lofi's social and environmental initiatives, such as building water wells in Nigerian communities and partnering with Stoked Plastic to remove ocean-bound plastic, can be considered part of the Real-World Asset (RWA) category in the context of blockchain and DeFi, but with nuances. LOFI can easily pop into the $.20-$0.40 cent range when the price of SUI goes up.
Long
by solocapital2030
Gold's short-term decline continues⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply from the previous day’s steep decline and ending a two-day losing streak near the $3,260 weekly low. The renewed buying interest comes amid lingering concerns over the protracted trade impasse between the US and China, following US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments indicating that the standoff could drag on. Compounding market anxiety is the persistent uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and their broader implications for global growth. These factors have fueled a fresh wave of safe-haven demand, driving investors back toward gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Still under selling pressure, gold price is consolidating below the downtrend line. Trading around 3300 and lower. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3412- 3414 SL 3419 TP1: $3390 TP2: $3380 TP3: $3370 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3228 - $3230 SL $3223 TP1: $3240 TP2: $3250 TP3: $3260 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold surged and then fell back to fluctuate, pay attention to 33 The first goal of trading is survival, and the second is profit. 📌 Driving events After experiencing the biggest drop in five months, gold prices rose on Thursday (April 24) and returned to above the 3300 mark. After US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced and expressed no intention to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market's risk aversion has cooled down. Gold hit a high of $3,367 during the Asian trading session, which can be regarded as ice and fire! 📊Comment analysis For participants in the gold market, the impact of this price plunge is self-evident. The stock prices of gold mining companies have fallen accordingly, and the production capacity that expanded in the early stage due to the rise in gold prices may face the risk of shrinking profits. At present, gold is under obvious pressure from above, and what needs to be paid attention to now is that the current round of gold adjustments is likely to continue, which means that it is not time to buy the bottom yet! 💰Strategy Package Except for the early morning wave, the strength of the hourly line rebound is actually somewhat weak. As for the European session, Labaron is more inclined to continue to be bearish, and the current first round of rebound pressure is around 3350! If the rebound is in place, you can continue to try short orders! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
GBPJPY BUY TRADING SETUP IDEAGBPJPY Trade Outlook (30m TF) – Bullish Continuation Setup📈 Following an aggressive bullish impulse yesterday that saw GBPJPY rally nearly 200 pips, price decisively continue breaking structure at 189.95, signaling a clear shift in order flow. Currently, the market appears to be in a corrective phase, retracing into a well-defined demand zone between 189.15 - 188.80 which align perfectly with a bullish order block and ascending trendline support, maintaining the bullish structure. As long as price holds above 188.80, I remain bullish on this pair, anticipating a continuation towards the 192.00+ premium zone, where further reaction or distribution may occur. Market bias: Bullish Trade idea: Wait for a reaction within the demand zones, confirm with bullish intent, and target higher liquidity zones above 191.50. Stay patient, trust your zones, and always manage risk. #RYKERSMCPREMIUM #Rykerkain
Long
by Rykerkain
Positive correlation between global money supply (M2) and BTCPositive correlation between global money supply (M2) and risky assets on the stock market The equity and crypto-currency markets represent the category of so-called risky assets on the stock market, i.e. financial assets with a high expectation of gains associated with a proportionally high risk of loss. Correlation studies show that risky assets on the stock market are highly correlated with global liquidity trends, i.e. the sum of the money supply of the world's major economies. Clearly, when the underlying trend in global liquidity is upwards, the S&P 500 and the bitcoin price also follow an upward underlying trend, and vice versa. There are several ways of representing a country's monetary supply, and it is the M2 monetary aggregate that is accepted as the best measure of a country's available liquidity. Global M2 liquidity is therefore calculated by aggregating the money supply of the world's major economies, notably the United States, China and the European Union, and then converting it into US dollars (USD) for the sake of monetary consistency. Changes in the exchange rate of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies therefore directly influence this measure: a strong dollar reduces the value of global M2 in USD, while a weak dollar increases it, affecting capital flows and global financial conditions. Naturally, the monetary liquidity available in the United States (US M2) plays a decisive role, and is directly linked to the monetary policy pursued by the FED. The Federal Reserve's (FED) monetary policy outlook plays a key role: a restrictive policy (rate hikes, balance sheet reduction) dampens US M2 and strengthens the dollar, while an accommodative policy stimulates liquidity and can weaken the greenback. China's M2, largely influenced by credit policy and the PBoC's control of the yuan, often contrasts with the dynamics of the US M2. On the graph attached to this analysis, a table summarizes the major components in the calculation of global liquidity (global M2). The trend of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (the DXY) and the American, Chinese and European M2s are decisive. The bitcoin price is influenced by the global money supply trend with a time lag Correlation studies show a positive correlation between global liquidity trends and S&P 500 and BTC trends. These studies reveal another important piece of information: the time lag between global liquidity and risky assets on the stock market, ranging from 75 to 110 days. It takes time for available liquidity to flow into risky assets on the stock market, if and only if macro-economic fundamentals allow. As the chart shows, global money supply has rebounded strongly since the start of the year, so it could come to support risky assets in the second stock market quarter, naturally if the trade war remains under control and stock market fundamentals don't get in the way. GENERAL DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Swissquote
2
doge buy midterm "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
The Day AheadThursday, April 24 – Market Focus US Economic Data: Chicago Fed National Activity Index (March) Durable Goods Orders Existing Home Sales Kansas City Fed Manufacturing (April) Initial Jobless Claims International Data: Japan PPI Services (March) Germany Ifo Business Climate (April) France Consumer Confidence (April) EU New Car Registrations (March) Central Bank Speakers: Fed: Kashkari ECB: Nagel, Simkus, Rehn, Lane BoE: Lombardelli Earnings Highlights: Alphabet, P&G, T-Mobile, Merck, PepsiCo, Gilead, Union Pacific, Comcast Sanofi, BNP Paribas, SK Hynix, Intel, Dassault Systèmes Bristol-Myers, Fiserv, Digital Realty, Freeport-McMoRan, Keurig Dr Pepper Eni, Nasdaq, L3Harris, Vale, PG&E, Orange, Valero, Nokia, Dow US Treasury Auction: 7-Year Note This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
NAS100USD: Reclaimed Order Block Signals Further DownsideGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we observe a momentary shift into bearish institutional order flow, confirmed by the formation of successive lower lows. This structural development signals the potential for continued downside movement. Key Observations: Bearish Institutional Order Flow: The consistent break of lows supports a bearish bias, providing a framework for seeking short opportunities in alignment with institutional intent. Confluent Bearish Arrays: Key bearish arrays—including the mitigation block and a reclaimed order block—are currently aligned. These zones, if respected, could serve as strong resistance and provide high-probability entry areas for short positions. Trading Strategy: Should price retrace into these arrays and provide confirmation, we can look to enter sell positions with the expectation of further downside aligned with the prevailing order flow. Stay disciplined, remain patient, and trade only with confirmation. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
1
XAUUSD- 1H UpdateChart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD) This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas. 🔍 Key Components: 🟣 Sell Zones Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark. These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low. 🟢 Buy Zones Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur. 🔵 CHOCH - 4H Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. 🔸 Key Price Levels $3,120: Historical support/resistance. $2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone. 📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves) 🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario) Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand. From there, a major sell-off is anticipated. 🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation) Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions. Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend. 🧠 Market Sentiment This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of: Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting. Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by The_FxTricks