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Tesla Q4 2024 Deliveries Expected to Hit Record, but.Tesla's fourth-quarter 2024 delivery figures are anticipated to reach a record high, according to a note from Barclays. Analysts estimate Q4 deliveries at approximately 515,000 units, slightly above the consensus estimate of around 511,000 units, marking a 6% year-over-year increase. Despite these impressive numbers, Barclays believes they will have limited impact on Tesla's stock. Key Takeaways: Delivery Estimates: Barclays projects Q4 deliveries to be around 515,000 units, slightly exceeding expectations. Stock Impact: The delivery numbers are expected to have minimal influence on Tesla's stock, as investors are more focused on the company's long-term opportunities in autonomous driving and artificial intelligence (AI). Long-Term Growth: Tesla's recent momentum is driven by its potential in the AV/AI sectors rather than short-term delivery metrics. Future Outlook: 2024 Sales: Barclays forecasts Tesla's full-year 2024 sales at approximately 1.81 million units, aligning with 2023 figures but falling short of the company's guidance for year-over-year growth. Autonomous Driving and AI: The introduction of "Unsupervised Full Self-Driving" (FSD) in 2025 is expected to bolster Tesla's AV/AI initiatives, mitigating any near-term volume misses. New Models: The upcoming low-cost model, "Model 2.5," anticipated in the first half of 2025, is seen as a crucial growth driver. Delivery Growth: CEO Elon Musk suggests 20-30% year-over-year delivery growth in 2025, which Barclays believes will address any concerns from the Q4 figures. Barclays emphasizes that while the Q4 results are crucial, the stock's recent rally—up 68% post-election versus the S&P 500's 2.6%—reflects positive sentiment on Tesla's long-term potential and technical factors. As the market shifts focus towards future developments, the emphasis remains on Tesla's ability to innovate and lead in the autonomous driving and AI sectors.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by OakleyJM
Reconsider Your Position: MSTR Faces Significant Volatility Ahea - Recent Performance: MicroStrategy has seen its stock price crash approximately 45% from prior highs of $548 to around $300, aligning closely with Bitcoin's erratic behavior. This substantial drop raises questions about the company's future, viability, and its heavily criticized Bitcoin accumulation strategy. The stock's volatility underscores its correlation with cryptocurrency market fluctuations, making it essential for investors to keep track of Bitcoin trends. - Key Insights: Investors should approach MicroStrategy with caution amidst this turbulent phase. The aggressive use of debt to fund Bitcoin purchases raises significant risk concerns, as continued declines in Bitcoin could drastically impact MSTR's share price. The recent lapse in enthusiasm surrounding the company indicates a shift in market sentiment that may prove detrimental unless there's a recovery in Bitcoin prices. - Expert Analysis: Experts appear to be developing a bearish outlook on MicroStrategy, with growing skepticism regarding its investment strategy and financial stability. The risk has been compared to a potential Ponzi scheme, reinforcing the notion that deeper price drops in Bitcoin could lead to catastrophic consequences for MSTR, driving its stock lower than the current valuation. - Price Targets: For the upcoming week, traders should consider the following: - Next week targets: - T1: $320 - T2: $340 - Stop levels: - S1: $290 - S2: $250 - News Impact: Recent speculation that MicroStrategy may suspend Bitcoin acquisitions could weigh negatively on its market momentum. Potential restrictions on share transactions or debt financing could further strain the company's operational strategy and market positioning. Observations on Bitcoin's pricing dynamics will be crucial as MicroStrategy navigates this volatile landscape; thus, investors should stay informed on developments to align their strategies with market conditions. In conclusion, MicroStrategy presents a precarious investment landscape primarily dictated by the performance of Bitcoin. Given the inherent risks involved, thorough evaluation and vigilance are essential when contemplating any trading actions concerning MSTR.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Reacting to Market Volatility: Visa Trading Insights for Next We- Recent Performance: Visa has experienced fluctuations along with the broader market in recent weeks. The current price stands at 317.71, reflecting the overall market volatility driven by concerns around interest rates and economic indicators. Despite the turmoil, Visa's resilience and established market position suggest a strong foundation for future performance. - Key Insights: Investors should closely monitor Visa's stock as potential buying opportunities may arise if broader market sentiment stabilizes. Given the current price range, Visa is well-positioned to benefit if the market rebounds, particularly through any positive movements in consumer spending trends. - Expert Analysis: Market sentiment is mixed, with analysts advising caution before committing to new positions. Although some sectors, especially technology, show promise, the prevailing negativity could lead to short-term setbacks. Experts recommend watching key levels for signs of a bottom formation that could favor Visa's stock. - Price Targets: Next week targets are set at T1 = 330, T2 = 345. Stop levels are established at S1 = 310, S2 = 295, - News Impact: The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts and upcoming economic data releases, particularly those concerning consumer spending, are pivotal for Visa. Market participants should remain vigilant for any changes in economic outlook that could impact transaction volumes and overall revenue growth for Visa.
NYSE:VLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Invest in Tesla for a Potential Bounce Back Next Week Tesla has recently faced significant volatility, retreating sharply from previous highs around $488 to a current level of $421.06. This price movement reflects persistent selling pressure and profit-taking among investors, with the stock closing near critical support levels. The broader tech sector's mixed performance further complicates investor sentiment, as stocks like Apple and Amazon also experience fluctuations. Amid this backdrop, many analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's potential, particularly due to advancements in low-cost electric vehicles and its autonomous driving technology. Investors should note certain actionable insights: the current support sits at $419 and $415, and a breach of these levels could signal further declines towards $400. Conversely, watch resistance levels at $438 and $449.50, as a breakout above these could indicate a potential bullish reversal. As sentiments fluctuate, Tesla's recent recall concerning nearly 700,000 vehicles due to a tire pressure monitoring issue has introduced additional volatility, impacting short-term trading behavior and investor confidence. Expert opinions appear divided on Tesla's valuation with some, like Ron Baron, foreseeing a potential market cap of $5 trillion over the next decade based on long-term advancements in EV technology. On the other hand, caution arises from concerns over the stock’s current overvaluation in a bearish market environment. Traders must keep a keen eye on Tesla's price movements and broader market conditions as both contribute to the overall sentiment and trading strategies. For next week, price targets based on professional traders' insights are set as follows: Next week targets are T1 at $430 and T2 at $440, suggesting a potential recover if bullish momentum develops. For managing downside risk, stop levels are set at S1 at $415 and S2 at $410, ensuring that the strategy is aligned with market fluctuations. The recall announcement has generated mixed reactions; while providing needed updates, it raises investor concerns regarding operational integrity and potential long-term impacts on market confidence. Additionally, Tesla’s ongoing efforts to develop a new autonomous driving platform and production of low-cost electric vehicles position it as a key player in the evolving EV market landscape. Investors will need to monitor these developments closely to assess their effects on stock performance and market sentiment.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
S&P 500 Outlook: Navigating Volatility with CautionRecent Performance: The S&P 500 has faced notable volatility recently, driven by fluctuating Federal Reserve policies and various economic indicators. Currently at 5930.85, the index reflects broader market trends that have seen significant declines across major indices. Notably, only 25% of S&P stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, pointing to underlying weakness despite some sectors demonstrating resilience, particularly technology and consumer discretionary. - Key Insights: Investors should remain cautious given the current market conditions. The technology sector, exemplified by strong performances from companies like Apple and Nvidia, appears to be a safe haven amid broader declines. The focus should be on waiting for confirmation of potential market reversals before making new investment commitments, given the uncertain narratives around inflation and Federal Reserve policies. - Expert Analysis: Analysts remain cautious about the S&P 500's immediate trajectory. The prevailing sentiment is to be watchful for confirmations of market changes, with emphasis on inflation dynamics and central bank strategies heavily influencing market movements. Market experts continue to monitor sector performance closely, noting that while technology shines, financials lag behind with notable weakness. - Price Targets: For next week, the key price targets and stop levels are as follows: - Next week targets: T1: 6000, T2: 6060 - Stop levels: S1: 5848, S2: 5770 The S&P 500 must stay above 5900 to indicate healthier market conditions, and short traders should be vigilant as they consider market dynamics with potential reversals in play. - News Impact: Recent hawkish stances from the Federal Reserve, coupled with economic data surrounding PCE inflation, have contributed to the S&P 500's volatility. While there are glimmers of hope for a rally, the hovering risk of recession remains. Increased consumer confidence and monitoring housing market metrics will be crucial in assessing future movements within the index. Conclusion: Amid current market volatility, investors should adopt a cautious approach, observing key support and resistance levels as the S&P 500 navigates the complexities of end-of-year trading dynamics.
VANTAGE:SP500
by CrowdWisdomTrading
US Nas 100 . 4H4-Hour Timeframe Analysis for NAS 100U In the 4-hour timeframe, we have observed a confirmed bullish trend. The price has reached a short-term peak and established this level, allowing for a pullback that can facilitate liquidity accumulation. If this pullback holds, we anticipate upward movement toward our identified target. However, we must remain cautious. If the Order Block Decisional fails, we will revise our selling strategy accordingly. In addition, should the Order Block Extreme be confirmed in the specified area, we may reconsider re-entering a buy position. It is essential to keep trades open until we hit our Fibonacci-based take-profit targets.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
US Nas 100Hello everyone, dear traders! I am Fereydoon Bahrami, a trader and market analyst focused on Forex. Today, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS 100U chart and review our insights NAS 100U Chart Analysis Greetings and best wishes to you all. Based on our analysis today, we have received confirmation of a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. In this analysis, the price has reached and established a short-term peak within the 4-hour chart. Following a pullback to accumulate liquidity, we can anticipate a potential price increase towards the specified target on the chart. This represents our first entry point, which I have indicated on the chart. However, should the **Order Block Decisional** prove ineffective, I will revise the selling strategy and share it with you. Additionally, I have identified another **Order Block Extreme**. If this Order Block fails and we implement the selling strategy, once we receive confirmation in this zone, we will re-enter a buying position. Furthermore, the price targets (Take Profit levels) have been established using Fibonacci retracement levels; it is essential that if we enter a trade, we maintain it until we achieve the designated target. Fundamental Analysis for the Week (December 16 to December 22, 2024) To enhance the accuracy of our analysis, let’s highlight the fundamental factors that have impacted the market over the past week: 1. **Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report**: On Friday, December 20, 2024, the NFP report was released, indicating a drop in the unemployment rate to 4% along with an increase in the number of new jobs created, exceeding expectations. This positive data serves as a potential macroeconomic indicator of growth in the U.S. economy, which could bolster NAS 100U. 2. **Inflation Data**: On December 18, data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released, showing a 0.3% increase from the previous month. This has raised concerns regarding a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. If this trend persists, it could exert pressure on the markets. 3. **Federal Reserve Signals**: Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of an interest rate increase in the upcoming meeting, which may positively influence financial markets. Such developments can lead to increased volatility and prompt investors to closely analyze the status of NAS 100U and other indices. 4. **Global Economic Influences**: In the past week, global markets have been affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade disputes with China. The economic and political decisions made by major world powers have had a significant impact on NAS 100U and other U.S. indices, leading to market fluctuations. Scenarios Now, we can summarize our three scenarios as follows: 1. **Bullish Scenario**: With the price stabilization at the short-term peak and a pullback for liquidity accumulation, we expect the price to rise toward the target identified on the chart. This represents our first entry point. 2. **Selling Scenario**: If **Order Block Decisional** fails, we will update our selling entry strategy and will enter a trade upon confirmation. 3. **Re-buy Scenario**: If **Order Block Extreme** is validated in a specific region, we can re-enter a buying position. It is crucial to emphasize maintaining the trade until we reach the targets outlined by Fibonacci levels. By considering these analyses alongside the fundamental news, we aim to assist you in making informed trading decisions. Join us as we embark on this pathway to mutual success. Thank you! Fereydoon Bahrami "A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fereydoon1199
Bitcoin's Struggles Persist as Market Faces Continued Downturn.Bitcoin’s struggles continue as the asset fails to initiate a notable recovery, with its price hovering around $96,000. The cryptocurrency market, known for its volatility, has seen significant fluctuations over the past week, impacting both Bitcoin and altcoins. Bitcoin's Recent Performance Last Monday and Tuesday, Bitcoin posted fresh gains, surging above $108,000 to mark its latest all-time high. However, the landscape shifted dramatically following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday evening. Bitcoin reacted with an immediate price drop to under $100,000, signalling the start of a downward trend. The sell-off intensified over the subsequent days, culminating in a sharp decline to $92,000 by Friday. Although Bitcoin managed to halt its freefall and briefly recovered to over $99,000 on Saturday morning, the relief was short-lived. By Sunday, Bitcoin's price had fallen back to $96,000, where it remains currently. Market Dynamics and Influencing Factors Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price in the coming week: Regulatory Developments: Any new regulations or policy changes affecting cryptocurrencies could impact market sentiment. Macroeconomic Indicators: Data on inflation, interest rates, and economic growth can influence investor behaviour in the crypto market. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among retail and institutional investors plays a crucial role in price movements. For now, Bitcoin’s market cap stands at $1.9 trillion, with its dominance over altcoins just shy of 55%. Altcoins in Similar State Altcoins have mirrored Bitcoin's struggles, experiencing similar or even more severe declines in recent days. Major altcoins like XRP, ADA, AVAX, SHIB, DOGE, and ETH have all remained in the red. Over the past day, DOT, XLM, SUI, and APT have also registered further declines. One notable exception among the larger-cap altcoins is AAVE, which has bucked the trend with a significant price surge. The asset has gained roughly 10%, now sitting at $340 amid the broader market correction. Market Overview The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has dropped to $3.460 trillion, reflecting the broader market downturn. Despite the current challenges, the resilience of the cryptocurrency market suggests that recovery could be on the horizon once the influencing factors stabilize. As we move into the new trading week, traders and investors should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on key economic indicators and market sentiment. The coming days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin and the broader crypto market can regain their footing and initiate a recovery.
FX:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by syomking76418
Merrry ChristmaXXauuuTo continue providing you with free value, I need your support. A simple like and follow from you means the world to me and makes a huge difference to my work. 🔥 Happy Monday, everyone! 🔥 🎄The Christmas week is about to begin🎄 I’ll keep posting but will take a break from live sessions. ❤️ I wish you all a 🎄 Merry Christmas 🎄 – spend it with your loved ones and recharge your energy. And remember: don’t throw away all the hard work you’ve done so far! Avoid being influenced by a market that, due to the year-end closure and the holidays, might be unreliable. | GOLD ANALYSIS | Short-term structures for our colleague Gold remain bearish. I’ll stay short from interesting levels. The long-term macro perspective is still bullish, but there are currently no conditions to consider significant re-entries. Potential levels are lower, so the key areas I’ll focus on are as follows: . As usual, we’ll meet live at 2:30 PM. I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions, preferring to wait for the 2:30 PM news and the New York open. In the meantime, I wish you a great day. We’ll continue sharing analyses and holding live sessions on TradingView. For any questions, doubts, or requests, feel free to comment or message me! I’ll be happy to reply. - HAPPY TRADING - MANAGE YOUR RISK - BE PATIENT
OANDA:XAUUSD
by X_GoldenBoy_X
WTI Crude Oil: Mastering Price Action for Profitable Trades!TVC:USOIL ALEXGOLDDHUNTER Chart Analysis: WTI Crude Oil 1-Hour Timeframe Key Levels and Zones Support Levels: Around $68.70 - $68.80 $69.50 (Break of Structure - BOS) Resistance Levels: Around $70.00 $70.16 (Short 2022 Model) Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between $69.80 - $70.00 Indicators: RSI: 61.59 (neutral to slightly bullish) MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line Volume: High trading activity around key levels Buy Strategy Entry Point: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the support level around $68.70 - $68.80. Confirm the trend continuation with a Break of Structure (BOS) above $69.50. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent support level at around $68.50 to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $69.80. Second target at the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $69.80 - $70.00. Sell Strategy Entry Point: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance level around $70.16. Confirm the trend continuation with a Change of Character (CHoCH) below $69.50. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent resistance level at around $70.30 to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the Break of Structure (BOS) level around $69.50. Second target at the support level around $68.70 - $68.80. VIP Signal Format (lowercase) entry: $68.70 - $68.80 (buy) tp1: $69.80 tp2: $70.00 sl: $68.50 entry: $70.16 (sell) tp1: $69.50 tp2: $68.70 - $68.80 sl: $70.30 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:USOIL
by Alexgoldhunter
TEMPORARY SELLS ON NASDAQGood day traders, today we have beautiful market structure on Nasdaq as you can see on the 15m timeframe the market gave us a bearish market structure shift after reaching the FVG on the right, we are in the london killzone i am looking for this market to trade down to the level @21098.7 so that I can execute my buys(long term positions) so do not worry if you missed the perfect entry on this one, there will be more during the day.currently we are selling to buy ENTRY:21538.1 SL:21616.8 TP:21098.7
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by Mokgethoa_MK
Master Gold Trading with Precise Price Action Strategies!FXOPEN:XAUUSD Alexgoldhunter Chart Analysis: CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) 1-Hour Timeframe Current Market Structure Current Price: $2,623.689 Resistance Levels: 2,650.000 USD 2,645.861 USD 2,635.056476 USD (0.786 Fibonacci level) 2,629.61603 USD (0.705 Fibonacci level) 2,623.775288 USD (0.618 Fibonacci level) Support Levels: 2,615.847 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level) 2,607.921412 USD (0.382 Fibonacci level) 2,588.000 USD 2,578.000 USD Indicators RSI: 63.41 (indicating neutral to slightly bullish sentiment) MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line Volume Profile: High trading activity around $2,700, indicating strong support/resistance zones Buy Strategy Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2,615.847 USD). Ensure RSI remains above 50, indicating bullish momentum. Entry: Enter a buy position around the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2,615.847 USD). Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the next support level at $2,578.000 USD to manage risk. Take Profit: Aim for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, targeting around $2,645.861 USD (resistance level) and $2,650.000 USD. Sell Strategy Confirmation: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance levels around $2,650.000 USD. Ensure RSI remains below 50, indicating bearish momentum. Entry: Enter a sell position around the resistance level at $2,650.000 USD. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the strong resistance level at $2,655.000 USD to manage risk. Take Profit: Aim for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, targeting around $2,615.847 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level) and $2,607.921412 USD (0.382 Fibonacci level). VIP Signal Format entry: $2,615.847 USD tp1: $2,645.861 USD tp2: $2,650.000 USD sl: $2,578.000 USD This analysis uses price action techniques to generate a structured buy and sell strategy for CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ). If you need further details or adjustments, feel free to let me know! 📈😊 Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:GOLD
by Alexgoldhunter