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SPY Divergence - Bullish Comeback?SPY is showing quite a significant bullish divergence on the Daily timeframe. This appears to concur with a potential double-bottom formation. We also see the RSI beginning to poke up through it's moving average: Alongside this we see a Rug Pull target on the 4h timeframe of the ES1! S&P futures ticker. Rug-pull events on this ticker have seen a great degree of accuracy over the past few years, as seen below: This rug-pull target alongside strong divergence on the higher timeframes indicates a high probability the markets will trend towards the upside in the near future.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketTraveler
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. Although a sell signal briefly appeared in the previous session, the MACD failed to form a bearish crossover with the signal line, instead finding support and rebounding. The index strongly bounced from its low, reaching the 5-day moving average (MA) before closing with an upper wick. Since the MACD is supporting the signal line and potentially resuming an upward trend, the key level to watch is whether the price can break through the strong resistance at 19,625–19,675. As long as the MACD does not confirm a bearish crossover, it is advisable to trade within the range. On the 240-minute chart, the index rebounded from the bottom while generating a buy signal. However, with strong resistance around 19,675, if the price pulls back once more, it could either form a double bottom or resume a strong upward move from a single-bottom structure. Although the MACD has crossed above the signal line (golden cross) on the 240-minute chart, it is still far from the zero line, suggesting that further pullbacks may occur after additional gains. It is important to avoid chasing the price and instead focus on buying dips at key support levels while maintaining a range-trading approach. Crude Oil Oil closed flat, facing resistance at $72. On the daily chart, the price broke above the 240-day MA and is now testing resistance from a previous supply zone. It is likely to consolidate within a range while pulling up the short-term moving averages. The daily MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line as well. If the price remains in a range-bound consolidation, the signal line will eventually rise above the zero line, further supporting a bullish structure. Key upcoming events include today’s oil inventory report and tomorrow’s OPEC meeting, which could act as catalysts for either a continuation of the rally or a pullback. Since there is still a gap between the 3-day and 5-day MAs, range trading remains the best approach. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, but given the heavy supply at previous resistance levels, a period of sideways movement or a pullback is likely. If a bearish crossover occurs on the 240-minute chart, oil could drop below $70. For now, monitor whether the uptrend can hold, and if it does, consider trading within the range while managing downside risks. Gold Gold closed lower after an overshoot to the upside. On the daily chart, the price was in an overextended high position, with a significant gap from the 3-day and 5-day MAs. After a brief rally, selling pressure emerged, leading to a bearish close. Since gold has yet to properly test the 5-day MA, a pullback to this level remains a possibility. However, the daily MACD is still trending upward, and liquidity remains strong, increasing the likelihood of a one-way rally unless the 10-day MA is broken. Short positions should be approached with caution. On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover has occurred, leading to a pullback from the high. However, since the uptrend remains intact, even if the MACD crosses below the signal line, the fact that it is still above the zero line suggests a potential rebound. The best strategy is to focus on buying dips at key support levels, as the market is likely to consolidate before resuming a trend move. Be cautious when trading within a range-bound market. With Friday’s U.S. employment report approaching, market volatility remains elevated. Trump’s tariff policies are increasing concerns about inflation and a potential economic slowdown. The interpretation of upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining market direction. Risk management remains essential, so trade cautiously and stay prepared. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
LTR longs potential-IS price retesting demand zone in the future? price allowing good r/r ratio LTF analysis could be seen as exhausted sellers. -remember its only revisiting zone ATM -confirmed buyers will show bullish PA if its ready or NOT we still need multiple things down here to confluence before entering in .. -zones are only zones when there's reactions - price structure has to play out firstly -stay unbias with no emotions. My NEUTRAL status until PA presents THEN TURNING shlong.
ASX:LTRLong
by Permaculture
1
CELH Building a Base Before Next Move? CELH Building a Base Before Next Move? Key Gamma & SMC Zones in Play 1. Market Structure & Price Action: CELH has printed two Break of Structure (BOS) signals after reclaiming demand near $32.50. After the CHoCH on March 28, price flipped bullish with a strong impulse, then consolidated near the $36–$37 zone, forming a new BOS. Price is currently trading inside a newly defined bearish FVG (Fair Value Gap) and liquidity sweep zone from $35.80–$36.50. Support is building at the $35 level, and a higher low has been maintained after retesting the previous BOS origin. 2. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): * CHoCH: Flipped bullish on March 28 after prolonged compression. * BOS x2: Signals were clean near the $33 and $36 pivots — continuation possible if $36.50 breaks. * Liquidity Zones: * Demand block near $34.50–$33.50 * Supply/FVG region: $36–$37.50 * Trendline Support: Holding higher lows on the short-term channel. 3. Indicators (1H Chart): * MACD: Bearish crossover but flattening — potential for reversal. * Stoch RSI: Oversold and beginning to curve up, signaling a possible bullish push. * 9/21 EMA: Slightly squeezed, with price hovering just above both — waiting for confirmation breakout. 4. Options GEX Analysis: * Gamma Walls: * $36: High open interest wall (GEX resistance) * $40: Strongest positive GEX zone — price magnet if bulls break $36.50 * Put Support Walls: * $35 & $34.50: Layered support from -9% to -25.7% Put GEX levels * HVL at $36 (04/04 expiry): Key battle zone Sentiment & Flow: * IVR: 27.1 * IVx Avg: 68.5 * CALLs Flow: 48.4% (highly bullish skew) * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🟢🟢 (Neutral–Bullish) * Time to Expiry: 4h 16m (likely driving gamma pinning around $36) 5. Trade Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: * Break and hold above $36.50 confirms momentum toward $38–$40 * Entry: $36.20+ * Stop Loss: $35.20 * Target 1: $38 * Target 2: $40 (gamma wall) 🔻 Bearish Scenario: * Break below $35 support triggers downside to retest demand at $34.50 * Entry: $34.90 * Stop Loss: $36.10 * Target: $33.50–$33 Final Thoughts: CELH is coiling within a tight zone between strong supply and demand. If bulls can hold $35 and break the $36.50 gamma wall, the price has room to magnet toward $38–$40. A break below $34.50 opens the downside path back to $33. Watch volume around $36 and flows as expiry nears. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:CELH
by BullBearInsights
PYPL Building a Base or Faking a Bounce? All Eyes on This CHoCH!Market Structure & Price Action
PayPal (PYPL) is showing early signs of a potential reversal after forming a CHoCH (Change of Character) near the $66 level following a prior BOS (Break of Structure) and key demand reaction around $63.38. The price is now trading inside a retest range from a previous order block and pushing higher with a bullish structure of higher lows. A clean ascending trendline supports the move, with price respecting the diagonal base. MACD is showing light momentum to the upside, and Stoch RSI is coiled just under overbought — signaling possible short-term consolidation before continuation or a breakout. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance Zone (Supply): $71.50 – $72.00 * Support Zone (Demand): $63.38 – $64.57 * Breakout Trigger: Over $66.50 with volume * Breakdown Trigger: Below $63.38 BOS zone GEX & Options Flow Sentiment * GEX Walls (Gamma Exposure): * Highest Call Wall / Resistance: $72.00 * Put Wall / Support: $63.00 * Options Oscillator (Pro): * IVR: 39.7 * IVx avg: 45.3 * Call$: 12.6% * GEX: 🟢🟢🟢 * Bias: Slightly Bullish into resistance, volatility could expand above $67. Trade Setup Ideas
Bullish: If price holds above $65.50 and breaks $66.50, we may see a squeeze toward $69 and eventually $71. * Entry: $66.50 * Stop: $64.70 * Targets: $69 / $71.50 Bearish: Failure to break $66.50 with rejection + bearish divergence may offer a put opportunity toward $63. * Entry: $65.70 rejection or breakdown below $64.50 * Stop: $66.60 * Target: $63.50 / $62.80 Conclusion
PYPL is bouncing within a consolidating range, and the CHoCH suggests possible accumulation. A breakout above $66.50 confirms strength; otherwise, it’s a fade back to support. Watch the trendline and volume closely this week. Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:PYPL
by BullBearInsights
XOM Coiling Under Resistance: Gamma Breakout or Rejection Setup?1. Market Structure Analysis: XOM has formed a balanced range after printing a Break of Structure (BOS) and two notable CHoCHs on the 1H timeframe. Price is consolidating inside a green supply zone between 118.50–119.90, with wicks tapping the top of the zone but no clean breakout yet. The price structure is forming higher lows from the March 28th pivot, signaling accumulation beneath key resistance. 2. Supply and Demand Zones: * Demand Zone (Support): 117.21 → Strong historical zone and prior low from BOS candle. * Supply Zone (Resistance): 119.00 – 119.90 → Flat ceiling that's held since March 26. 3. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance: * Resistance: 119.90 (key gamma wall + SMC zone) * Support: 117.21 (red BOS support and trendline base) * Trendline: An ascending support trendline from March 28th low is intact. Watching for a triangle breakout or breakdown. 4. Key Indicators (MACD, Stoch RSI): * MACD shows a bullish crossover with histogram building strength. * Stoch RSI is rising out of oversold territory and nearing mid-zone. Still room to run before hitting exhaustion. These indicators currently support momentum building toward a bullish breakout. 5. Options Flow / GEX Sentiment Zones: * Highest positive GEX: 120.00 → Gamma resistance and breakout target. * Call Walls: 119.00 (74.31%), 121.00 (moderate), 124.00 (light). * Put Walls / Downside GEX: 116.00 is the HVL + strong negative gamma level, 115.00 and 113.00 are next layers of support. Options Oscillator: * IVR: 29.1 * IVx avg: 24.2 * Put$ Flow: 24.3% * GEX Bias: Strongly bullish with green bars stacked to 124
This setup supports a potential gamma squeeze if price pushes above 120 with strength. 6. Scalping vs Swing Outlook: * Scalp Bullish Trigger: Break and hold above 119.90 = breakout play to 121.00. * Scalp Bearish Trigger: Rejection at 119.90 = short setup back to 118.30–117.90. * Swing Bullish Setup: Entry on retest of 118.50 with SL below 117.20 and PT at 121.00 → 124.00 * Swing Bearish Setup: Only valid if clean break below 117.20 with volume, targeting 116 → 113. 7. Actionable Suggestion: If XOM opens above 119.50 and breaks 119.90 with increasing volume and flow, look for a momentum breakout toward 121 and 124. If the move stalls under 119.90 again, consider fading the resistance for a pullback play. 8. Conclusion: XOM is coiled for a potential breakout, sitting just below a major resistance cluster at 119.90. Gamma levels and bullish options flow favor an upside push, but failure to break could trigger mean-reversion. Watch for volume and reaction at the 120 level. 9. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NYSE:XOMLong
by BullBearInsights
Invest in Europe's defence renaissanceMany said it could not be done and would never happen. But the European defence industry is undergoing a paradigm shift. The geopolitical landscape has shifted dramatically, and delayed action is no longer an option. With rising global instability and the return of President Trump to the White House, European leaders must act decisively to ensure security, strategic autonomy, and industrial resilience in defence. This is not just a short-term response—it marks the beginning of a multi-year investment cycle poised to benefit European defence industries over their US counterparts. A game-changer: The European Defence Industrial Strategy For decades, Europe has relied too heavily on US defence capabilities, leaving its defence industry fragmented and dependent on non-EU (European Union) suppliers. However, with uncertainty surrounding US military commitments, European nations are fast-tracking plans to build a stronger, more self-reliant defence industry that can meet the security challenges of today and the future. The European Defence Industrial Strategy (EDIS) is Europe’s most ambitious attempt yet to transform its defence capabilities1. The strategy aims to unify and strengthen Europe’s defence sector by prioritising joint procurement, innovation, and collaboration among member states. The urgent measures driving this transformation include: Rebuilding European defence manufacturing: by 2030, at least 50% of EU defence procurement must come from European manufacturers, rising to 60% by 2035. This is essential to reduce reliance on non-EU suppliers, particularly the US. Enhancing intra-European defence trade: the EU is aiming to boost defence trade within the bloc to 35% of the total defence market value, fostering a stronger, more integrated industrial base. Collaborative procurement surge: currently, only 18% of EU defence equipment is procured jointly. By 2030, this must rise to 40%, ensuring lower costs, better interoperability, and a more resilient supply chain. Redirecting defence budgets toward Europe: governments are being pushed to shift their defence spending away from external actors (like the US) and toward European manufacturers, mitigating risks associated with foreign dependency. Incentives to accelerate investment: the EU is exploring joint procurement tax incentives and VAT waivers to encourage faster and larger-scale European defence collaborations. These measures collectively aim to build a more self-reliant and resilient European defence industry while reducing dependency on non-EU suppliers. Policy-driven capital allocation towards European defence companies While the US defence industry has been a strong performer in the past, European defence stocks are now positioned for superior long-term growth due to this sustained investment cycle and structural policy shift. The US defence budget is already near record highs, limiting future upside for stocks. Not to mention, DOGE2 is looking to cut costs with defence spending increasingly targeted. In contrast, Europe is at the start of a multi-year rearmament cycle, with significant upside for European contractors. European defence firms are experiencing record-high order books, ensuring stable, long-term revenue growth. Rheinmetall posted a 1.8x book-to-bill3, on top of its 1.7x ratio in 2023, reflecting robust demand for its portfolio of munitions and combat vehicles4. Saab's order intake totalled 79.2 bn krona, or a book-to-bill of 1.8x, with international customers accounting for 80%2. In comparison, order activity for US defence contractors is less heated but still healthy, averaging 1.2x5. The shift in European defence spending is not temporary—it is structural. With Europe entering a multi-year defence upcycle, investors have a rare opportunity to participate in one of the most significant industrial transformations of our time, but the choice of investment vehicle will be critical for unlocking that potential. Sources: 1 European Commission: Joint communication to the European Parliament, the Council as of August 2024. 2 Department of Government Efficiency. 3 Book-to-bill is a key metric used in the defence and manufacturing industries to measure the strength of incoming orders relative to completed sales. 4&5 Company Filings, WisdomTree, Bloomberg as of 31 December 2024. 6 WisdomTree, FactSet as of 28 February 2025. 7 P/E = price-to-earnings. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
NYSE:DFI
by aneekaguptaWTE
Six conviction trades for 2025: seize the new market narrativeWhile developed economies have shifted to easing policies, opening the way for a broadening of the market away from technology mega stocks, the economic outlook remains uncertain. The violent reaction to DeepSeek’s launch early in the year clearly highlights the nervousness of markets and their ultra concentration. In the first few weeks of the year, the Trump administration has also been implementing its agenda at breakneck speed, leading to heightened uncertainties around trade frictions, inflation dynamics, and geopolitical upheaval. In that context, it is important to rethink investment positionings that may have worked in 2024, acknowledging the potential for volatility and numerous changes of directions. In this uncertain environment, WisdomTree’s research team presents its six highest-conviction investment ideas for 2025. 1. Can the Magnificent Seven dominate for a third year in a row? Few storylines have captured the investor imagination recently as much as the Magnificent Seven —a cohort of mega-cap technology stocks that propelled US equity benchmarks to remarkable gains. While these tech giants remain influential, we see scope for 2025 to become a year of ‘broadening out’. Macro rationale Resilience in corporate fundamentals and earnings growth: high quality growth stocks continue to be supported by strong fundamentals and growth could benefit from continued momentum after two years of domination. Value resilience and broadening: with uncertainty increasing around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) trajectory and inflationary pressures created by potential tariffs, value stocks may benefit and offer some diversification. Energy and Financials should also benefit from a wave of deregulation under the new Trump regime. The case for a value/growth barbell strategy in US equities: a barbell strategy between US large cap quality Growth and US large cap Value equities leverages complementary strengths to navigate 2025. This approach allows investors to: Capitalise on the Value factor’s extreme discount to Growth. Enable investors to capture opportunities across market cycles. Create a balance between growth potential and valuation-driven safety. 2. Unlocking value in Japan Japan’s economic transformation story continues to gain traction as the country moves beyond four decades of stagnant nominal growth and sporadic deflationary episodes. While 2024 was the best year for Japanese equities since 1989, we believe that the Japanese renaissance still has further room to run. Macro rationale Resilience in corporate fundamentals and earnings growth: high quality growth stocks continue to be supported by strong fundamentals and growth could benefit from continued momentum after two years of domination. Favourable currency tailwinds: the yen’s multi-year weakness augments the competitiveness of Japanese exporters, fuelling strong earnings from overseas revenue. Stable core inflation (outside of food) and talks about bond purchases by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) indicate that the BOJ will prevent the yen from appreciating too much. Earnings and tariffs: Corporate earnings growth remains very strong after 2 years of improvement, and our analysis shows that the market is underreacting to those fundamentals. Furthermore, Japan may be able to secure a tariff carve-out from the US, leading to strengthening competitive positioning versus Europe and China. 3. A Trump card for emerging markets small caps Emerging markets (EM) have struggled over the past decade, underweighted by many global investors and burned by repeated episodes of dollar strength, trade frictions, and slower growth in China. However, the narrative is a lot more positive going into 2025. Macro rationale An EM comeback: with the Federal Reserve maintaining an accommodative stance on monetary policy, China unleashing coordinated fiscal and monetary stimulus, and a wave of EM sovereign ratings upgrades, tailwinds have been picking up strongly for emerging markets. But some clouds remain on the horizon: unfortunately, the Trump administration’s focus on a strong dollar and tariffs could slow down the recovery. EM smalls caps as the solution: EM small caps typically derive a larger share of revenues from their home countries, insulating them somewhat from US tariffs or the dollar ‘s strength. In a scenario where the global trade outlook remains uncertain, these domestically oriented firms can thrive on internal consumer growth, as rising middle-class demographics in markets like India, Indonesia, and parts of Latin America continue to drive local consumer demand. 4. Cybersecurity at the crossroads of AI, geopolitical tensions, and quantum computing The first few weeks of 2025 saw a resurgence of software stocks, with cybersecurity companies jumping in front of semiconductors or AI stocks. Continued corporate and government spending, as well as the imperative to protect the AI revolution, position cybersecurity for robust growth in 2025. Macro rationale AI’s security gap: rapid AI adoption brings higher data volumes and more software vulnerabilities, forcing enterprises to bolster their cyber defences. We expect a wave of spending on next-generation cloud solutions, zero-trust architecture, and quantum-proof encryption. Elevated geopolitical risks: heightened tensions—from continuing conflicts and new trade disputes—translate into more frequent state-sponsored cyber-attacks. This, in turn, drives increased defence budgets and corporate vigilance. US deregulation: since the US election, software companies have benefitted from deregulation expectations. Cybersecurity, cloud, and blockchain posted some of the strongest thematic gains in the first few weeks of the year. 5. Precious potential: silver’s breakout moment While gold often steals the headlines, silver has quietly staged a meaningful rally, underpinned by both safe-haven demand and its essential role in green technologies, such as solar photovoltaics. 2025 could be silver’s ‘catch-up’ year. Macro rationale Haven meets industrial: silver exhibits a unique duality—part precious metal and part industrial commodity. If risk aversion flares, silver typically follows gold upward. If global growth holds steady, silver benefits from manufacturing demand. Countries worldwide, led by China and the US, are rapidly expanding solar capacity. Newer solar cell technology requires even higher silver content, providing a price tailwind. Gold correlation: geopolitical tensions and looser monetary policy are offering gold new tailwinds, and silver will also benefit from the catch-up effect. Limited supply growth: silver’s byproduct nature makes supply tight, as mining companies are not incentivised to expand production simply for silver alone. This supply-demand imbalance supports a more bullish price outlook. 6. Institutional adoption of digital assets is redefining multi-asset portfolios After navigating a series of regulatory speed bumps, digital assets, led by bitcoin, have entered 2025 with growing mainstream acceptance. Key catalysts have included the expansion of physical bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) listings across major exchanges and the gradual emergence of regulatory frameworks that remove operational frictions. We believe most multi-asset portfolios remain structurally under-allocated to cryptocurrencies as a neutral position in digital assets (as illustrated by the market portfolio) should be around 1.5%. Macro rationale Portfolio diversification: bitcoin’s correlation to equities and bonds is low, providing a diversification benefit. Even small allocations have, historically, improved risk-adjusted returns. Institutional inflows: pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds are steadily warming to digital assets, pointing to a rising tide of flows. As coverage by mainstream analysts grows, digital assets are increasingly viewed through the lens of asset class fundamentals rather than speculation alone. Technological leaps: alongside bitcoin, developments in Ethereum scaling, stablecoins for global payments, and the tokenisation of real-world assets are reshaping how capital markets function. The resulting network effects may boost confidence in the broader crypto ecosystem. Conclusion In an environment that may reward conviction and flexibility, these six investment ideas offer distinct avenues to harness the opportunities emerging in 2025. Whether you seek cyclical upside, defensive yield, or secular growth themes, we believe these high-conviction calls exemplify WisdomTree’s mission: delivering innovative, research-driven solutions in a world of constant change. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
CBOE:VIX
by aneekaguptaWTE
ATH 3180 - What do you think?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️Gold surged to another record high on Monday, surpassing the $3,100 mark for the first time and reaching an all-time peak of $3,137 during the Asian session before slightly retreating. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and the upcoming Liberation Day on April 2 has kept market sentiment cautious, prompting investors to seek safety in the yellow metal as a haven asset. ➡️ Risk appetite weakens as traders wait for the announcement of additional tariffs on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs reported that the probability of a U.S. Recession had risen from 20% to 35%, driven mainly by growing pessimism among businesses and enterprises regarding the economic outlook, as well as Washington's increasing acceptance of a deeper economic downturn. Personal opinion: ➡️ The long-term trend of gold will increase in the near future due to tariff policies and the possibility of economic recession in the United States. ➡️ However, gold will have a slight corrective rally today: RSI enters the overbought zone and shows signs of divergence Buyers will pause in the short term to monitor for the upcoming February 4 if the tariff policy is negative ➡️Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy Resistance zone: 3150 - 3157 - 3180 Support zone: 3127 - 3113 - 3100 Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3113- 3115 ❌SL: 3108 | ✅TP: 3118 – 3123 – 3130 👉Buy Gold 3127 - 3130 ❌SL: 3122| ✅TP: 3135 – 3140 – 3145 👉Sell Gold 3149 – 3151 (Scalping) ❌SL: 3155 | ✅TP: 3146– 3143 – 3140 👉Sell Gold 3179 – 3181 ❌SL: 3185 | ✅TP: 3175– 3170 – 3165 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Gold extended higher, look for signs of exhaustionGold is extending higher, tapping into untested liquidity above. However, signs of exhaustion are creeping in. Watch for potential liquidity sweeps before reversals. Key Untapped Liquidity Zones Upside: $3,182 - $3,189 Downside: $3,103 - $3,094 🔴 Sell Setups (Short) 1️⃣ Intraday Reversal Short Entry Zone: $3,182 - $3,189 Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,193 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,150 (First reaction) TP2: $3,128 (Key liquidity) TP3: $3,103 (Imbalance fill) 📌 Reasoning: Untested supply at $3,182-$3,189 Price may sweep liquidity above $3,180 before a sharp rejection 2️⃣ Aggressive Short (Scalp) Entry Zone: $3,150 - $3,153 Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,157 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,128 TP2: $3,117 TP3: $3,103 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity grab before a possible retrace Strong momentum-based rejection expected 🟢 Buy Setups (Long) 3️⃣ Safe Long (Key Demand Zone) Entry Zone: $3,103 - $3,094 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,089 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,128 TP2: $3,150 TP3: $3,182 📌 Reasoning: Untested demand at $3,103-$3,094 Imbalance below $3,103 should act as a magnet Liquidity sitting at $3,094 4️⃣ Deep Liquidity Sweep Buy Entry Zone: $3,074 - $3,067 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,103 TP2: $3,128 TP3: $3,150 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity sweep target at $3,074-$3,067 If price taps this zone, a high-probability reversal could follow Heavy imbalance would need correction 👀 Keep an Eye On: 1️⃣ DXY movements—if the dollar strengthens, gold may struggle to break higher. 2️⃣ News events—major economic data could trigger liquidity grabs before reversals. 3️⃣ Reactions at key levels—watch for wicks, aggressive rejections, and volume spikes. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. Good luck on the market today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Copper is red hot right now. Here’s whyCopper’s COMEX price hit a new high on 26th March making the red metal red hot right now. The first three months of 2025 have seen industrial metals make noticeable gains with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex up 10.55% year to date1. Copper’s gains, however, stand out for numerous reasons. Tariffs The additional premium of COMEX prices over the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices reflects aggressive buying by US traders importing copper in anticipation of a possible 25% tariff on copper imports. This speculation has been fuelled by President Trump last month ordering a probe into the threat to national security from the imports of copper. As aluminium imports were also recently subjected to tariffs, markets are speculating that copper might be next. This rush has triggered a shift in global flows, with metal moving out of LME warehouses and into US Comex facilities, where copper is held on a “duty paid” basis to avoid future levies. As traders front-run potential policy changes, this behaviour is tightening global supply and fuelling price gains, adding to a market already under pressure from rising demand and a looming supply squeeze. Demand China has given an additional boost to copper prices having announced a new action plan to boost domestic consumption by raising household incomes. The stimulus is seen as a positive signal for copper demand, especially as retail sales have already shown stronger-than-expected growth early in the year. China has also set itself a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, and so far this year, its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) has remained in expansionary territory — a sign that the economy is holding steady. With momentum building across consumption and manufacturing, copper is getting a fresh tailwind despite lingering weakness in the property sector. Further support for industrial metals, including copper, has come from Germany’s recently unveiled €1 trillion infrastructure and defence spending plan — a move that will inevitably drive greater demand for base metals. Supply Supply tightness in the copper market is being driven by several structural and emerging challenges. Exceptionally low processing fees—caused by an oversupply of smelting capacity, particularly in China—have placed financial strain on global smelters, prompting companies like Glencore to halt operations at its facility in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Indonesia’s proposal to shift from a flat 5% copper mining royalty to a progressive rate of 10–17% risks discouraging future production growth. These supply-side pressures come as the International Copper Study Group reported a slight global copper deficit in January 2025. While a similar shortfall at the start of 2024 eventually turned into a surplus, this time the combination of weakening smelting economics, policy headwinds, and solid demand could make the current deficit more persistent and impactful. Several major copper miners have recently downgraded their production estimates for 2025, adding further pressure to an already tight market. Glencore suspended output at its Altonorte smelter in Chile2, while Freeport-McMoRan delayed refined copper sales from its Manyar smelter in Indonesia due to a fire3. Anglo American expects lower output from its Chilean operations amid maintenance and water challenges, and First Quantum Minerals faces reduced grades and scheduled downtime4. These disruptions are likely to tighten global copper concentrate supply, potentially widening the market’s supply-demand imbalance just as demand continues to strengthen. Sources: 1 Source: Bloomberg, based on total return index as of 28 March 2025. 2 Reuters, March 26, 2025 3 Reuters, October 16, 2024 4 Metal.com. February 14, 2025 This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
COMEX:HGS1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
Cybercriminals are winning—cybersecurity must strike back nowI recently created a website, but soon after launching it, I noticed it wasn’t appearing in Google searches. While researching how to fix this, I received an email with step-by-step instructions on what to do. Nothing about it seemed suspicious—not even the sender’s address. But when I used artificial intelligence (AI) to verify its authenticity, it was flagged as suspicious. A few years ago, phishing emails had obvious red flags—poor grammar, strange formatting, or sketchy links. Today, with AI-powered tools at their disposal, cybercriminals are far more sophisticated. And if they’re getting smarter, cybersecurity must become smarter still. The unbearable cost of a data breach In 2024, the average cost of a data breach soared to nearly $5 million1. And that’s just the average—meaning many breaches resulted in far greater losses. While this number has been rising for years, 2024 saw a sharp uptick, underscoring how the widespread adoption of advanced AI tools is making cybercriminals smarter and attacks more costly than ever. “Attack speeds could increase up to 100x as threat actors leverage generative AI” – Palo Alto Networks In many cases, the true cost of a data breach goes beyond dollars and cents—it’s immeasurable. What happens when customer trust in a business’ security is shattered? The reputational damage could be irreversible. What if a hospital is hacked and a life is lost? The stakes couldn’t be higher. That’s why cybersecurity isn’t just a priority—it’s a necessity. And the world is finally waking up to that reality. When cybercriminals compromise a target, their intention is to infiltrate the organisation via a weak link and move deeper into the network. E-crime breakout time refers to how quickly they escalate control—spreading from the initial breach to critical systems, stealing data, disabling security, or deploying ransomware. Some attackers achieve this in under an hour, making rapid detection and response crucial. In 2024, the fastest recorded time attackers were able to do this was 51 seconds2. Attackers aren't always relying on emails—the nuisance calls we receive can often be quite nefarious. Vishing (voice phishing) attacks involve cybercriminals using phone calls to impersonate trusted entities, such as banks, government agencies, or service providers, to trick victims into revealing sensitive information or transferring money. These scams have surged dramatically, with a 442% increase in vishing in H2 2024 vs H1 20243, highlighting how criminals are exploiting human trust over the phone to bypass traditional cybersecurity defences. A few weeks ago, I saw a post on LinkedIn of a man surrounded by police officers. He was telling the story of how he physically hacked into an organisation, walking through security checkpoints, accessing restricted areas, and pushing his luck until he finally got caught. But this wasn’t a real attack—it was a penetration test, a controlled security exercise designed to identify vulnerabilities before actual criminals exploit them. Organisations conduct these tests because hackers are employing increasingly sophisticated social engineering techniques—manipulating people rather than systems—to bypass security and gain access. The threat is growing, with 79% of attacks in 2024 being malware-free, up from 40% in 20194, proving that cybercriminals don’t always need malware when they can simply trick humans into opening the door. High profile attacks underscore geopolitical risks At the outset of 2024, concerns about cyber risks in the election year were widespread. While many countries navigated the electoral cycle without major known cyber incidents, Romania's December presidential election was notably annulled due to allegations of Russian interference. Far-right candidate Calin Georgescu's unexpected lead in the first round prompted investigations revealing a coordinated online campaign and cyberattacks supporting his candidacy, leading the courts to void the election. In the same month, the US Treasury Department reported a significant cybersecurity breach attributed to Chinese state-sponsored hackers. The attackers exploited a third-party software provider to access Treasury workstations and unclassified documents. The breach involved the theft of a security key, allowing remote access to the department's systems. Although China’s foreign ministry denied these allegations, the incident underscores the growing intersection of geopolitical and cybersecurity risks. Executives are concerned about risks from AI A recent World Economic Forum survey5 of executives revealed that 66% believe AI and machine learning will have the biggest impact on cybersecurity in the next 12 months. Yet, 63% admitted their organisations lack processes to assess the security of AI tools before deploying them—highlighting a critical gap between innovation and risk management. Cybersecurity must stay one step ahead Cybersecurity must constantly innovate, leveraging cutting-edge technology to stay one step ahead of evolving threats. This relentless race between defenders and attackers is what makes cybersecurity such an exciting and dynamic field. Recent headlines around quantum computing suggest that the age of quantum might be closer than we once thought—a future where a quantum computer could shatter even the most sophisticated encryption effortlessly. This would redefine cybersecurity as we know it. Whether it’s quantum computing, AI, or blockchain, every breakthrough introduces new vulnerabilities, and safeguarding them must be a proactive pursuit, not a reactive one. Because if we wait until the attack happens, it might already be too late. Sources: 1 IBM, 2025. 2 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025. 3 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025. 4 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025. 5 Source: World Economic Forum, Global Cybersecurity Report 2025. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
NASDAQ:NQCYBR
by aneekaguptaWTE
USD/CAD Trend Before Tariffs Announced🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news: ➡️ The USD/CAD pair extended its rally for the third consecutive day on Monday, climbing toward 1.4360 as investors anticipate the impact of reciprocal tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump on Canada, set to take effect on Wednesday, also known as "Liberation Day." ➡️ Last week, President Trump indicated that Canada would face tariffs, but both he and Prime Minister Carney expressed optimism regarding their weekend trade discussions. Reports suggest that Carney has reassured provincial leaders that the tariffs imposed on Canada might be lower than initially feared and may not be applied broadly across the entire economy. ➡️ For now, the Canadian dollar is in a waiting game ahead of Wednesday's announcement, followed by potential negotiations to mitigate or avoid the tariffs altogether. Personal opinion: ➡️ Before Wednesday this week, negative sentiment will weigh on CAD. Until there is information about tariff easing or the two sides have a separate agreement, then the situation will be reviewed. In short, USD/CAD is still supported by Trump's tariff news in the short term ➡️ Currently, the bRSI of this pair is in the overbought zone, so there will be a technical pullback. So consider strong support levels to be able to buy at a good price ➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉 Buy USD/CAD 1.4335– 1.4345 ❌SL: 1.4300 | ✅TP: 1.4380 – 1.4430 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
Why is Eth Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020Why is Ethereum Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020 The cryptocurrency market is a volatile landscape, constantly shifting and evolving. Recent data has revealed a significant development: the Ethereum to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has plummeted to an all-time low since 2020. This stark decline, currently resting at a mere 0.02 has ignited a wave of speculation and concern within the crypto community, raising questions about Ethereum's current standing and future trajectory. The ETH/BTC ratio serves as a crucial metric for comparing the relative performance of Ethereum against Bitcoin. When the ratio falls, it indicates that Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum, and conversely, a rising ratio suggests Ethereum's ascendancy. The current dramatic drop highlights a significant divergence in the fortunes of these two leading cryptocurrencies. The backdrop to this decline is multifaceted. Bitcoin, often seen as the “digital gold” of the crypto world, has exhibited remarkable resilience and strengthened its position. This consolidation is likely driven by several factors, including increased institutional adoption, regulatory clarity in some jurisdictions, and its established reputation as a store of value. These factors have contributed to a sense of stability and confidence in Bitcoin, attracting capital and bolstering its market position. Ethereum, on the other hand, has faced challenges in maintaining its momentum. While it remains the leading platform for smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps), it has struggled to keep pace with Bitcoin's surge. Several factors contribute to this relative underperformance. Firstly, regulatory uncertainty surrounding Ethereum and its classification has cast a shadow over its future prospects. The evolving regulatory landscape, particularly in major economies like the United States, has created a sense of unease among investors. The lack of clear guidelines and the potential for stricter regulations have dampened enthusiasm and limited institutional investment. Secondly, Ethereum has faced competition from emerging layer-1 blockchains that offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees. These “Ethereum killers,” as they are sometimes called, have attracted developers and users seeking alternatives to Ethereum's perceived limitations. While Ethereum has undergone significant upgrades, such as the transition to proof-of-stake (The Merge), the benefits have not yet translated into a sustained surge in its relative value. Thirdly, the overall market sentiment has played a role. Bitcoin's narrative as a safe haven and store of value has resonated strongly during periods of economic uncertainty. In contrast, Ethereum, with its focus on innovation and development, is perceived as a riskier asset. When market volatility increases, investors often gravitate towards the perceived safety of Bitcoin. The decline in the ETH/BTC ratio raises several critical questions. Is Ethereum in trouble? Is this a temporary setback or a sign of a more fundamental shift in the crypto landscape? While the current situation is concerning, it is essential to consider the long-term potential of Ethereum. Its robust ecosystem, driven by a vibrant community of developers and innovators, remains a significant asset. Ethereum's role in powering decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other emerging technologies positions it as a crucial player in the future of the internet. Furthermore, Ethereum's ongoing development efforts, including layer-2 scaling solutions and future upgrades, aim to address its scalability and efficiency challenges. These improvements could potentially revitalize Ethereum's performance and restore its competitive edge. However, the current market dynamics suggest that Ethereum faces an uphill battle. To regain its footing, it needs to overcome regulatory hurdles, address its scalability issues, and effectively communicate its value proposition to a broader audience. The cryptocurrency market is notoriously unpredictable, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The ETH/BTC ratio could rebound, or it could continue its downward trajectory. The outcome will depend on a complex interplay of factors, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, and market sentiment. In the meantime, the low ETH/BTC ratio serves as a stark reminder of the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. It underscores the importance of diversification and the need for investors to consider the risks and potential rewards of each asset carefully. The current situation also highlights the need for Ethereum developers and community members to focus on the core values of the project, and to continue to innovate and improve the technology. Ultimately, the success of Ethereum will depend on its ability to adapt to the changing landscape and deliver on its promise of a decentralized and equitable future. In conclusion, while the record low ETH/BTC ratio raises concerns about Ethereum's current standing, it is premature to declare its demise. The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and Ethereum's long-term potential remains significant. However, the current challenges demand a proactive and strategic approach to ensure its continued relevance and success in the years to come.
by bryandowningqln
Pendulum pick for KR - short tgt 44I have many tens of thousands of dollars worth of home renovations to do, so why not ask my dowsing/spirit team to help find me a stock that can help PAY for these expenses and then some? I'm a dowser, btw, so all my ideas & levels come from this form of information gathering. So woo woo ;) The pick is from all of NYSE, so it's a lot. I'll admit, when I've done this in the past I've seen stocks have way better moves faster & I'm like, "why didn't you give me THAT one?!" Regardless, I'm not going to disrespect the guidance, but just try to be more pointed in my intention. I did ask for this one to be a quick move, but I don't think it will be. I do, however, have good confidence the target will hit. I did not look at the chart before I finished the reading & had a target. It's a way to see how accurate the level & info might be, so I was definitely happy the chart & levels look reasonable. It's literally at a multi year high & the dowsing said it's at a swing high. Out the gate on this reading, it was saying swing trade short, & soon. It might get up to 69. Anyway, when I ask about the 44 level (tgt), twice I get that the "target is reached". I tried to get the amount of time this takes & got the months around May/June as an exit, but it could easily be a few months. It's a 36% drop from 69 if it reaches there. I drew the trendlines just to see how it behaves there. Maybe that'll help as a confirmation/trigger to short since it has been relatively strong. That's it. Hopefully, this can pay some bills!!
NYSE:KRShort
by JenRz
1