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Beyond Technical Analysis

Strong Buy ZoneThe Green 1h Zone Acts as Zone buying Zone. The 1h Red Zone Acts as Resistance. Scenarios Two: the 1h/4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level. Also there is strong Bullish Pattern "M pattern forming triple bottoms" We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within 1h Green Buying Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone. Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly. Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF. The "Profit Take" are area's where you may reduce or sell all position to secure profit which act as Resistances. as for Previous Low Pink Line (P. Low)
NASDAQ:SERV
by Faisalzor
5
SPY at a Pivotal Zone – Bounce or Breakdown? 🧠 Market Structure + Price Action (1H) * Trend: Downtrend confirmed. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) followed a Change of Character (CHoCH) from bulls to bears. * Bearish momentum intensified after SPY broke support near 570.90, then plummeted through 564.85 and 558.11 key demand levels. * Current price: 554.15 — bouncing slightly within a local demand/reaction box, but still under selling pressure. * Price is now consolidating below structure, but inside a potential reaction zone (possible dead cat bounce or minor retracement). 🔍 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * CHoCH & BOS align with institutional exit behavior. The BOS confirms bearish intent. * SPY has entered a minor demand zone, but hasn’t reclaimed any bullish market structure yet. * If it breaks below 549.68, the next support zone opens toward the 540s. 🔁 Indicators MACD: * MACD is starting to curve up, with histogram showing decreasing red momentum – a potential bounce brewing. Stoch RSI: * Oversold condition with both lines crossing upward — supports a short-term relief rally or retracement. 🔥 GEX & Options Sentiment Analysis * IVR: 37.8 (Moderate); IVx Avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: Very high at 71% — bears are loaded up. * GEX Sentiment: * GEX is red 🔴🔴🔴 — strong gamma exposure to puts, favoring downward pressure. * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT Support at 555.83, which is just above current price — this acts as a magnet and pivot. * If SPY stays below this level, dealer hedging accelerates selling. * Major Put Walls at: * 545: GEX8 at -22% * 544-540: Very deep bearish gamma — potential acceleration if we break lower. * Call Resistance (Gamma Wall): * 573 → 577 → 580 zone = Gamma ceiling. * Dealers short calls here and hedge by selling, which adds resistance on rallies. ⚖️ Trade Scenarios 🐂 Bullish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Break & close above 555.83 with volume. * Target: 558.11 → 564.85 * Invalidation: Below 549.68 * Risk/Reward: Favorable if volume confirms. 🐻 Bearish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break below 549.68 with follow-through. * Target: 545 → 540 zone (GEX & PUT walls) * Stop-Loss: Above 555.83 or structure retest * Confluence: GEX alignment + broken structure + dealer flow pressure. 🧭 Directional Bias: Bearish bias still intact — but signs of short-term bounce forming. Likely we see a dead cat bounce unless 555.83 is reclaimed with conviction. 🎯 Actionable Strategy: * Intraday scalp: Long toward 558 if price reclaims 555.83. * Swing short: Below 549.68 toward 540 using SPY or PUT options. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
GBP/USD: Tariffs & Retail Shift the ScalesThe GBP/USD slightly rose to 1.2965 during the Asian trading session on Monday this week, with an increase of 0.21%. The US dollar failed to make an effective rebound amidst several consecutive days of downward pressure. US President Donald Trump announced the imposition of a 25% tariff on imported automobiles and light trucks, and this measure will come into effect on April 3rd. The market is concerned that this measure may drive up inflation and dampen economic growth, thus dragging down the US dollar and causing it to weaken. Trump's trade policies may also limit the room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, further pressuring the US dollar. On the other hand, the UK's retail sales data for February exceeded market expectations, further boosting the British pound. The data shows that the UK's retail sales in February increased by 1.0% month-on-month, surpassing the market's expected decline of 0.3%. This data indicates that despite the uncertainties faced by the UK economy, consumer demand remains strong, supporting the rise of the British pound. From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD maintains an upward momentum in the short term and is currently approaching the level of 1.2965. If it breaks through this key level, it may further test the psychological barrier of 1.3000. With the weakness of the US dollar, the British pound is likely to continue to rise and challenge higher levels. GPBUSD buy@1.28800-1.29300 tp:1.29600-1.30000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
1
Primer: Solana - A Blazing BlockchainCME Group’s newly launched Solana futures enable institutional grade access to the cryptocurrency, offering investors access to compelling relative value opportunities. This paper provides a background to Solana in relation to other major blockchain networks and cryptocurrencies. Mint Finance will outline the execution of crypto market spread trades using CME futures in an upcoming paper. Solana is a high-performance public blockchain launched in 2020 by Solana Labs, founded by Anatoly Yakovenko (a former Qualcomm engineer). Yakovenko first proposed Solana’s novel Proof of History (PoH) concept in 2017 as a solution to blockchain scalability. He assembled a founding team including former Qualcomm colleague Greg Fitzgerald and others and named the project after a California beach town. Backed by early venture funding, Solana’s mainnet launched in March 2020. The vision was to enable ultra-fast, low-cost transactions for decentralized applications (e.g. DeFi, gaming), addressing limitations of Bitcoin & Ethereum in speed and fees. Solana has grown rapidly to become one of the most used networks and amassed a market cap of USD 64 billion, making it one of the largest digital assets. What is behind the massive surge? Is it due to flip ETH as the home of DeFi? How Does Solana’s Blockchain Rank? While Solana’s low fees and fast transaction speeds have driven high trading volume, transaction count, and wallet growth, it still trails ETH in Total Value Locked (TVL). To achieve its high transaction throughput, Solana has made certain compromises on decentralization. In terms of ecosystem development, Solana is seeing rapid growth. The Electric Capital 2024 developer report found Solana attracted the most new developers in 2024 – more than any other ecosystem (even Ethereum’s, despite Ethereum’s broader base). Solana now has ~2,500 monthly active developers, second only to Ethereum’s ~8,900 (which includes many working on Layer-2s). This loyal & expanding developer base has been a key factor behind Solana’s explosive growth. DEX Surge and Meme Coin Mania Solana’s early growth was driven by NFTs, supported by low fees and a loyal community that made it a hub for NFT trading. These factors continued to attract users even after the NFT boom subsided. Its fast, low-cost blockchain and strong developer base have enabled the launch of many user-friendly and popular applications. More recently, Solana’s growth has been fuelled by surging decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes and a wave of meme coin minting. By November 2024, meme coin trading accounted for an all-time high 65% of monthly DEX volume on Solana’s largest DEX, Raydium. Raydium even overtook Uniswap in monthly volume that month. Solana’s advantages in cost and speed have been pivotal in this trend. Transaction fees on Solana are negligible and on-par with L2 chains. This cost advantage makes minting and trading low-value tokens (like meme coins) economically feasible on Solana but prohibitively expensive on Ethereum layer-1. Similarly, Solana’s block times (~0.4 seconds) and high throughput enable rapid trading. Traders can execute many rapid swaps on Solana DEXs without the delays and slippage that Ethereum’s ~12-second blocks and occasional congestion introduce. Solana’s speed and low fees thus attracted a flood of retail speculators for meme coins and high-frequency trading strategies. Ethereum’s ecosystem still offers deeper liquidity and broader dApp selection, but Solana capitalized on specific niches (e.g. meme coins, real-time trading) where Ethereum’s costs are a barrier. However, this explosive growth was not without turbulence. In early 2025, a “meme coin meltdown” saw activity cooling off after several scam tokens collapsed. By February 2025, Solana’s share of total on-chain DEX volume, which had topped 51% in January, retreated to 24% as some froth cleared. Data Source: Artemis Scandals like a fake “Libra” token (which vaporized $4.4B in market cap) and a Trump-themed token rug pull dented retail sentiment. Even so, Solana’s DEX volumes remain on par with Ethereum’s entire ecosystem (L1 + L2), a remarkable feat. VanEck’s Feb 2025 report noted that despite an 80%+ drop in new meme token launches since January, Solana DEX activity “is still holding its own – roughly matching the entire ETH ecosystem”. In short, the meme coin mania has demonstrated Solana’s capacity to manage massive retail-driven bursts of activities that might overwhelm other chains. Market Metrics For BTC, ETH, and SOL Since the bottom of the bear market following the FTX collapse. Solana has delivered a stunning recovery, far outperforming both BTC and ETH, but the massive gains were partly explained by the much sharper decline following FTX. During 2024, SOL performance moved in lockstep with BTC with both assets delivering stunning returns. However, the performance diverged sharply after Jan/2025, coinciding with the collapse in DEX trading volume. The sharp correction since has erased most of the 2024 gains while BTC has remained resilient. Solana has, nevertheless, managed to outperform ETH which has suffered an even deeper correction over the past few months. Data Source: TradingView Historical volatility for all three assets shows a similar trend but differ in magnitude. SOL has the highest volatility while ETH follows second and BTC is least volatile. During spikes, the differences become exaggerated, but during lows, the values can reach similar lows. For traders, higher volatility can be both an opportunity and a risk. While SOL’s performance is positively correlated with both ETH and BTC, this correlation breaks frequently (more commonly with ETH) and these periods of divergence present compelling spread opportunities. The trend for implied volatility (IV) is like HV with SOL’s IV the highest and Bitcoin’s IV the lowest. Recently, IV has started to edge up again following a decline through March. Trading Solana and Crypto Spreads With the launch of CME’s Solana and Micro Solana futures, investors can express views on Solana’s growth and take tactical positions that benefit from relative outperformance. Mint Finance will outline the execution of crypto market spread trades using CME futures in an upcoming paper. CME Solana futures provide exposure to 500 SOL per futures contract and reference the CME CF Solana-Dollar Reference Rate. CME Micro Solana futures offer a smaller notional value to create more balanced spreads and for fine-tuning exposure. The micro contract provides exposure to 25 SOL. Additional details about the contract including margins, calendars, and specifications are available on the CME Solana product page . MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME:SOL1!Education
by mintdotfinance
PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE)PG - Procter & Gamble Company (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.33 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 170.40 Entry limit ~ 169 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 174 (+2.96%; +5 points) Stop order limit ~ 165.25 (-2.22%; -3.75 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value - hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:PGLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
USD/CAD Trend Today - Waiting for US Tariff News🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news: ➡️ The USD/CAD pair reached a two-and-a-half-week high on Tuesday, though it struggled to gain acceptance or extend its intraday advance beyond the 1.4400 mark. Nevertheless, spot prices held onto their recent recovery gains as traders awaited U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement on reciprocal tariffs before making fresh directional bets. ➡️ Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar’s ​​modest strength provided support for the USD/CAD pair. In contrast, the Canadian dollar (CAD) weakened amid escalating risks of a U.S.-Canada trade war. Additionally, domestic political uncertainty ahead of the snap election on April 28 was seen as putting pressure on the CAD, further bolstering the currency pair. Personal opinion: ➡️ The CAD is increasingly likely to be volatile, so the USD/CAD uptrend is likely to continue in the near term. ➡️ However, the pair’s RSI is diverging, so it will decline in the short term. In addition, the sellers are waiting for the US tariff policy, so they will pause to evaluate the data. so this could be the time to buy USD/CAD at a good price. ➡️ Analyze based on resistance - support levels combined with pivot points and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/CAD 1.4370 – 1.4360 ❌SL: 1.4330 | ✅TP: 1.4400 – 1.4440 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2. Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025. This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DaveTradesLive
ONENTRYGBP/JPY Overnight Range Breakout Strategy Timeframe: 30 Minutes Session: London Pre-Market (00:00 - 06:30 +2GMT) Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range Mark the high and low of the price range between 00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT). Wait for a clear breakout with a candle closing above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range. Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels After the breakout, use the Fibonacci retracement tool: Anchor Point 1: Start at the close of the breakout candle. Anchor Point 2: Drag to the start of the impulse move (first candle of the range). Key level for entry: 0.5 and 0.35 retracement. Step 3: Trade Execution Entry: Enter on a pullback to 0.5 and 0.35 Fib level after the breakout. Stop Loss (SL): Long trades: Below the low of the breakout candle’s body. Short trades: Above the high of the breakout candle’s body. Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.0 Fib (1:1 risk-reward). TP2: 1.6 Fib extension. TP3: 2.3 Fib extension (runner position). Step 4: Trade Management Move SL to breakeven when price hits TP1. ENTRY #1 193.44 ENTRY #2 193.52 SL 193.75 TP FIB EXTENSIONS
Short
by MarcinHarasimFX
EURJPYHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURJPY? This pair is currently trading below a key resistance zone and has also broken its ascending trendline. The price is now in the process of pulling back to the broken trendline, consolidating around that area. We expect that after completing the pullback and some consolidation, the pair will decline at least toward the specified support levels. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Short
by HAMED_AZ
2
gbpusdBelow is a step-by-step analysis of the GBP/USD chart you shared, applying the integrated strategy (Markttechnik structure, Heiken Ashi confirmation, liquidity sweeps, and inducement). --- 1. Higher-Time-Frame Context (If Available) Although the screenshot only shows a 15-minute (M15) view, the Markttechnik approach typically begins by checking a higher time frame (H1, H4, or Daily) to confirm the overall trend. Without that info, well focus on the visible structure in your screenshot and assume a relatively range-bound or chopn M15 From the screenshot, there are several labeled swing points (Point 1, Point 2, Point 3), indicating how price is moving between support and resistance levels: 1. Upward Swings to ~1.299 Price seems to push into the 1.299 - 1.3000 zone multiple times, forming potential liquidity above these highs. 2. Downward Swings to ~1.289 - 1.290 Each time price drops, it finds some support around 1.290, suggesting liquidity pockets or demand near that level. Overall, the chart looks like its oscillating between these swing highs and lows, creating a short-term range. --- 3. Heiken Ashi Candle Clues Heiken Ashi candles can smooth out noise: Bullish Phase: Consecutive green candles heading toward 1.299. Bearish Phase: Consecutive red candles after failing to break above 1.299 convincingly. From the screenshot, the most recent move seems bearish (red Heiken Ashi candles) after the pair failed to hold above 1.2951.296. --- 4. Liquidity and Inducement Analysis 1. Liquidity Above 1.299 Those highs near 1.2991.3000 represent a potential liquidity pool. Each time price approaches this area, sellers stop-losses (and buyer breakout orders) may cluster above. 2. Liquidity Below 1.290 Price has revisited ~1.2891.290. Any move below this area could trigger stops from buyers, offering a sweep scenario if price dips and reverses. 3. Inducement / False Breakouts Notice the wicks or brief pushes above ~1.299 that fail to continue higher. This can be an inducement to trap buyers expecting a breakout. After failing to push higher, price reverses and drops quickly. --- 5. Potential Trade Ideas Scenario A: Short After Liquidity Sweep Above 1.299 1. Setup Price attempts to break 1.299, forms a final push (liquidity grab), then produces a red Heiken Ashi candle that closes back below 1.299. 2. Entry Once a strong bearish Heiken Ashi candle closes below the high, indicating a false breakout, enter a short position. 3. Stop Loss Above the recent liquidity sweep (slightly above 1.3000). 4. Take Profit At or near the 1.290 support area (or even lower if you see momentum). Scenario B: Long After Liquidity Sweep Below 1.290 1. Setup If price breaks below ~1.290, you watch for a false breakdown. A quick rejection with a strong bullish Heiken Ashi close back above 1.290 can signal the sweep is complete. 2. Entry Go long when a bullish Heiken Ashi candle confirms a rebound above the liquidity zone. 3. Stop Loss Below the recent low (slightly under 1.289 or the lowest wick). 4. Take Profit Near the 1.299 resistance or previous swing highs for a 2:1 (or better) reward-to-risk ratio. --- 6. Markttechnik Point 1, 2, 3 Perspective Based on your labeling: Point 1 / Point 2 / Point 3 could mark successive swings (higher highs or lower highs/lows). Each Point 3 might be where the market turns after failing to break a prior level, or it could be your next decision zone. In a ranging environment, these points help you see the oscillation between support (demand) and resistance (supply). A trade signal would trigger when the market sweeps one of these points and then clearly reverses. --- 7. Putting It All Together 1. Identify Key Zones 1.290 (support & liquidity) 1.2991.300 (resistance & liquidity) 2. Look for Sweeps Watch for price to poke above/below these zones and then close back inside. 3. Heiken Ashi Confirmation Enter on a Heiken Ashi candle that confirms the reversal. Consecutive red for short, consecutive green for long. 4. Risk Management Stops outside the liquidity sweep, targets at least 2:1. 5. Execution Given the current screenshot, the market recently turned down from near 1.2951.296. You could wait to see if it sweeps below 1.290 for a potential buy, or if it returns to ~1.299 for a potential sell. --- Conclusion Short-Term Bias: Slightly bearish after failing to break above 1.2961.299. Potential Long Setup: If price dips below 1.290 and quickly reverses (false breakdown). Potential Short Setup: If price rallies again to 1.2991.300 and fails (false breakout). By monitoring liquidity sweeps around these key zones and confirming direction with Heiken Ashi candles, you can apply your combined strategy for entries, stops, and profit targets.
Short
by Nashvillera
Safe Entry ZoneNever Ever Follow stocks let it come. Two Zone Two Scenarios: Scenarios One: The Blue POI Zone (Point Of Interest) acts as strong support level. if not respected Scenarios Two: the 4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level. We have two scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly: One: strong buying volume reversal Candle. Two: Fake BreakOut of green Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF. Take care.
AMEX:KULR
by Faisalzor
2
GOLD: Potential RisksIf the price reaches the 3136-3148 range, there is no need to hesitate, just sell. This is the gold trading strategy for today provided to you before yesterday's closing. I wonder if any friends have grasped this profit? After getting support near 3125, the price rebounded again. It is still in the rising stage. The resistance continues to focus on the vicinity of 3148. Here is a reminder for everyone: During the trading process, the technical pattern of the 2H and above cycle level has a turning point. This is not a joke, so everyone must be cautious when chasing highs. Even if there is news supporting the market now, news is something we cannot control. Once there is news of easing the situation, the risk aversion of gold will subside, and the decline will definitely not be small. So while we follow the trend, we must also learn to think against the trend!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_King_Arthur