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Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,320/oz on May 28, 2025, after failing to break above a key resistance zone. The US dollar’s recovery and rising Treasury yields are putting short-term pressure on gold, despite lingering geopolitical tensions. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,330 – $3,360 • Nearest Support: $3,280 – $3,235 • EMA 09: Price is currently above the EMA 09, indicating that the upward trend remains intact. • RSI Indicator: RSI stays above the 50 level, suggesting momentum is still bullish. • Candlestick Pattern: A doji near the $3,330 zone signals market indecision. 📌 Outlook: Gold may see a mild correction if the USD continues to strengthen. However, holding above $3,280 would keep the bullish momentum alive. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,330 🎯 TP: $3,310 (200 pips) ❌ SL: $3,340 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,285 🎯 TP: $3,305 (200 pips) ❌ SL: $3,275
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Whales Wrote the Rules stop your imagination and Lose more Is it true that whales control the charts, or is it just another trading myth? Why does everything look perfect—until the exact opposite happens? This analysis reveals how smart money traps retail traders in plain sight. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on XRP: XRP is showing classic signs of compression, resembling a tightly wound spring ready to release. Momentum is building, and a breakout appears imminent based on current price structure and volume behavior 📈. While my long-term outlook remains significantly bullish, this setup suggests a conservative upside of at least 18%, with a key target in focus at $2.70 🚀. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 📊 TradingView Tools to Track Whale Behavior One of the most powerful truths in trading is this: Smart money always leaves a trace—you just need to know where and how to look. TradingView provides some powerful tools to help you identify those footprints. Volume Profile (Fixed Range / Session Volume): Use this tool to spot where the most volume was traded in specific ranges. These high-volume areas often signal zones where whales have entered or exited positions. Smart Money Concepts / Order Blocks : Now natively available in TradingView for Pro+ and Premium plans, these highlight potential manipulation zones, institutional footprints, and key support/resistance levels. Liquidity Zones: Use custom indicators like Liquidity Pools Detector or combine ATR with price structure to visualize high-risk/high-reward zones—whales love ambushing retail here. Practical Tip: Open the Bitcoin chart. Apply the Volume Profile Fixed Range tool across a two-week range. Look for areas with the highest volume concentration—these are likely whale action zones. Now overlay the Order Block indicator. You’ll often find those zones overlap. 🧠 Understanding Whale Behavior Whales typically act when the crowd is at extreme fear or greed. They move against the market’s emotional wave—and to do that, they need to mislead the herd. They create setups that look obvious but are designed to trap. 🐟 How Retail Traders Get Hunted Here’s the classic trap: The market makes a fake drop → panic selling → retail goes short. Then whales step in, absorb liquidity, push price up → retail goes long too late. Finally, whales dump at the top, and price collapses again. 🔄 Whale Playbook: The Four Phases Silent Accumulation Fake Breakout Pump Distribution During Peak Greed Dump + Liquidity Grab You’ll find this playbook hidden in plain sight—if you stop chasing noise and start tracking volume, liquidity, and sentiment. ⚠️ Why Retail Always Ends Up on the Wrong Side Because they’re looking for confirmation, not truth. Whales exploit this—chart patterns, indicators, and fake breakouts are all part of the trap. You need more than candles—you need context. 🔍 Chart Patterns or Psychological Traps? Patterns like Head & Shoulders, Wyckoff Phases, or Triangles? Whales know you’re watching them. They use these patterns as bait. Unless combined with volume confirmation and liquidity context, most patterns are psychological illusions. 🧭 How to Follow the Smart Money Study candle behavior with volume (Volume Spread Analysis) Drop to lower timeframes to confirm liquidity zones Use Anchored VWAP from major pivot highs/lows Watch for divergence between price and volume—especially at highs/lows 💡 Conclusion: There’s no holy grail in trading—but if you start thinking like a whale instead of chasing them, you’ll stop being the bait. Use TradingView’s institutional-level tools to decode real market intentions. Next time you spot a "perfect breakout," ask: who's on the other side of this trade—and why? always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
7
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (May) Insight into regional manufacturing. Weak data may increase rate cut expectations. Dallas Fed Services Activity Measures service sector strength; can affect Fed rate outlook. Germany Unemployment Claims Rate (May) Higher unemployment could support a more dovish ECB. Import Price Index (April) Key for inflation outlook; may influence euro and bund yields. France PPI, Consumer Spending, Q1 Payrolls Indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Can affect Eurozone equities and ECB expectations. Australia CPI (April) Major driver for AUD and rate expectations. A high print could push AUD higher. Central Bank Events FOMC Minutes Traders will watch for signals on inflation concerns and future rate path. Fed Speakers: Williams, Kashkari Comments may influence expectations for Fed policy shifts. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey Insight into Eurozone inflation expectations. Affects EUR. RBNZ Decision Direct impact on NZD. A hawkish stance could lift NZD. Earnings (Market Movers) NVIDIA High-impact for NASDAQ and AI stocks. Watch for volatility and options activity. Salesforce Key for tech sector sentiment, especially SaaS names. Synopsys, Agilent, Abercrombie & Fitch Sector-specific insights: semis, health, consumer. Bond Auctions US 2-Year FRN US 5-Year Notes Auctions may impact Treasury yields and USD. Weak demand could push yields higher. Trading Focus Watch USD, AUD, EUR, NZD around data and central bank events. NVIDIA earnings could shift tech and AI market sentiment. Treasury yield curve may move on Fed minutes and auctions. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's Ultimate Market Journal🌌The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's🌠Ultimate Market Journal🎨 Hello Fellow Travelers It's been some time since I've posted a Fresh Idea, though I've remained actively trading. What better way to mark my TradView return, than to start an Ultimate Market Journal. Financial Markets have taken my deep interest again recently, especially as we seem to be at a time of accelerating change and shifting regimes. I believe many opportunities abound to those with open, flexible and creative minds. A bit more about myself. I've been involved with financial markets in one form or fashion for 18 years now. I started out like most of us, approaching the game with fundamental analysis, only to later incorporate and then fully graduate to T/A. I'm a natural Contrarian. My brand of technical analysis is as much about aesthetics, creative expression, discovering hidden truths and applying Universal Principles as it is running the numbers. I'm starting this off with Ultra Bond Futures, as UB's are the trading instrument I've come to specialise in, having had the most ongoing consistent success trading. This by no means is going to be a "I bought here and sold there" type of Journal, as that's not my style. Nor am I going to focus on a single market instrument, observation or style of analysis. I'd like this to become a repository of accumulated wisdom and unique market perceptives. I've just begun contemplating what this may evolve into in time, and I invite you to join me in taking this Leap d-MR96nBa🌌 Concept Inversion📈📉 Seek out and analyse whatever moves exactly inverse to what you intend to trade. If you're having trouble discerning trend or observing price patterns, check the inverse. This can be an excellent technique for exposing Bias. This can work particularly well for currency traders, though can be Universally applied. For US Ultra Bonds, the inverse is the US 30 Year Yield Ultra Bond Futures US 30 Year Yield Currency traders, say you're about to trade AUD/CHF Check out the CHF/AUD chart first, if they both appear Bullish or Bearish, you've got a Bias. AUD/CHF CHF/AUD GBP/JPY JPY/GBP EUR/USD USD/EUR Are there any examples of Inversion in Trading you'd like to share ? What else is on my🧠 Well just casually, I believe we're currently witnessing Peak Bitcoin in it's entire Life-cycle. Have we Bull Trapped & Breakaway Gapped on Berkshire Hathaway BRK.B It's in the Detail
CBOT:UB1!Education
by d-MR96nBa
Support/resistance has now been decisively broken.EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Overview Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. The EUR/USD pair has recently shown a notable technical development on the daily chart. A key trendline that has previously acted as dynamic support/resistance has now been decisively broken. Following the breakout, the price action has returned to retest this trendline from below—a common behavior that traders often refer to as a "break-and-retest" setup. Adding further weight to this area is the presence of a breaker block, which is overlapping with the retesting zone. This convergence of technical structures increases the probability of a bearish rejection from this level. Should the market respect this zone as resistance, we can expect a potential downward move targeting the nearest Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has been highlighted on the chart. However, traders should also consider a contingency scenario. If the FVG fails to act as a price magnet or support zone, further downside pressure could take the pair toward lower levels—specifically, the recent swing lows, which may serve as the next major support area. This scenario aligns with the current market momentum and structure, but as always, price action confirmation and risk management are crucial.
Short
by Peter_Wade
IPI - Fertilizer Trade: A Forgotten Play, Geopolitical upsideWhenever a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine war materializes, agricultural restoration will be one of the first and most critical steps, not just for Ukraine's battered fields but also for Russia's export infrastructure. Both countries are central to global wheat markets, and reviving output means ramping up fertilizer usage, especially potash. That sets the stage for renewed interest in fertilizer producers. Potash, also known as potassium chloride, is an important nutrient for plants. It helps them resist drought, strengthens their roots, and increases crop yields. Unlike more energy-intensive nitrogen fertilizers, potash supply is concentrated and not easily ramped up. Belarus and Russia are among the top 10 world potash exporters, but sanctions and supply chain bottlenecks have impacted their volumes. Ukraine will need to import significant amounts of potash to rebuild its ag base. Global potash demand could rise sharply as post-war reconstruction efforts kick in, and that makes Western suppliers a critical piece of the puzzle The market may not be pricing in this recovery narrative just yet. Fertilizer stocks popped in 2022, but most have been rangebound or sold off since as supply chains stabilized and the commodity cycle cooled off. But structurally, if global potash demand starts ramping again, especially from a fresh buyer like Ukraine coming back, the upside case for U.S.-based producers becomes clearer. Macro themes like agricultural recovery after war are slow-building but often explosive once recognized. The fertilizer story is one of them. If you're positioning ahead of that curve, it's not just about trading. It's also about recognizing that geopolitical peace, when it comes, won't just be about diplomacy. It'll be about digging back into the soil and starting over. Intrepid Potash may be one of the most overlooked names in the market right now. It is tucked away in the fertilizer sector, has low volume, and is not hyped. But that quiet tape hides an interesting setup. After a boom-bust cycle following the 2022 commodity shock, IPI has been grinding through a long consolidation. Now, with potash prices stabilizing and geopolitical risk still unresolved, the stock is showing early signs of an uptrend. And with options cheap and sentiment nonexistent, this could be a classic contrarian long. 2022: IPI surged alongside fertilizer peers after Russia's invasion of Ukraine sparked global fears of food insecurity and disrupted potash supply chains. 2023–2024: The stock gave up those gains as: Central banks hiked aggressively, capping inflation-linked trades. Potash prices corrected from panic highs. Broader commodity sentiment turned defensive. Now (Mid-2025): IPI is starting to build out around long-term support. Price action is tightening, and early momentum signals are starting to flash. This isn't a runaway rally yet, but it's building the right kind of structure. Call options with a ~$45-$50 target expiring December (can also use call spreads) Option premiums are still cheap, reflecting low implied volatility and a market because nobody 'in their right mind' is looking at this yet. If Russia-Ukraine negotiations resume or if even partial de-escalation happens, the market may quickly reprice ag rebuild stories. Fertilizer demand from Ukraine could spike, and with Belarusian and Russian supply still under partial sanctions, Western producers like IPI could benefit disproportionately. If the Fed signals that it's near the end of its tightening cycle or even hints at cuts in late 2025, rate-sensitive commodity equities could start to re-rate higher. That would relieve pressure on capex-intensive names like IPI. Global potash prices are off their highs but showing signs of stabilization. If demand forecasts pick up, prices don't need to move explosively higher, just holding firm or ticking higher could expand margins and renew investor interest & sentiment  With few traders active in IPI's options, implied volatility remains low. Any volume-driven breakout (or narrative shift) could trigger a fast repricing. Think of this as a "volatility catch-up" play in addition to a directional one.
NYSE:IPILong
by RomanoRnr
TOTAL Crypto Market. Games with the 800-Pound Gorilla. Series IIOver the 4 months since Donald Trump’s inauguration in January 2025, his administration’s policies have had a complex and in many ways negative impact on cryptocurrency markets, despite the overall pro-crypto agenda. Short-Term Market Volatility Due to Tariff Policy One of the most significant negative impacts has been caused by Trump’s aggressive tariff policy. The announcement and subsequent implementation of new tariffs sent shock waves through global financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. The immediate effect has been increased volatility, with Bitcoin down a third from its highs, Ethereum and many other major coins also falling by more than half, and crypto futures seeing liquidations of over $450 million in a single day. This turbulence was not isolated — experts noted that broader “risk aversion,” in which investors flee volatile assets for safer havens like gold, led to sharp declines in both the stock and crypto markets. Uncertainty around tariffs — particularly reciprocal tariffs affecting up to 25 countries — created short-term headwinds for cryptocurrencies. As institutional and foreign investors pulled billions out of U.S. stocks, the resulting market volatility spilled over to cryptocurrency, which remains closely tied to tech indexes like the NASDAQ. This risk aversion delayed potential rallies and led to a volatile, unpredictable trading environment. Regulatory Rollbacks and Market Integrity Concerns The Trump administration has aggressively rolled back regulatory oversight in an attempt to create a more crypto-friendly environment. Key steps include disbanding the Justice Department’s National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team (NCET), appointing pro-crypto officials to regulatory bodies, and directing agencies to streamline or repeal existing crypto regulations. While these actions have reduced the compliance burden on crypto businesses and spurred innovation, they have also raised serious concerns about the integrity of the market. Critics argue that loosening oversight increases the risks of money laundering, fraud, and illegal transactions, which could undermine investor protections and the overall reputation of U.S. crypto markets. Consumer advocacy groups warn that rapid deregulation could encourage abuse and undermine trust, especially since the Trump administration has also banned the development of a U.S. central bank digital currency (CBDC), setting the U.S. apart from other major economies pursuing digital currency initiatives. Conflicts of Interest and Ethical Controversies Another negative impact has been the perception — if not the reality — of conflicts of interest and ethical dilemmas. The Trump family’s direct involvement in crypto projects, including the launch of a stablecoin and investments in mining, has fueled suspicions of market manipulation and blurred the lines between personal and presidential interests. Such controversies have further undermined investor confidence and contributed to a sense of unpredictability in regulatory and market outcomes. Summary Table: Key Negative Impacts Policy/Action =>> Negative impact on crypto markets Rising Tariffs and Trade Uncertainty =>> Increased volatility, risk aversion, falling prices. Regulatory Rollbacks/NCET Dissolution =>> Weakened oversight, higher risk of fraud and abuse. CBDC Development Ban =>> US Lagging Global Digital Currency Innovation Trump Family’s Direct Involvement in Crypto =>> Alleged Conflicts of Interest, Market Manipulation Concerns. Technical Challenge The technical picture in the main crypto market cap chart CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL points to the end of the recovery period, reaching a key resistance near the $3.5 trillion mark. Conclusion While the Trump administration has promoted a more liberal environment for crypto innovation, the last four months have seen significant negative effects: increased market volatility due to tariff policy, increased risk due to deregulation, and growing concerns about conflicts of interest. These factors have combined to create an atmosphere of uncertainty and skepticism, which is undermining the stability and trust in the US crypto markets in the short term. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by PandorraResearch
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – Smart Money Setup with Key Zones & Target 🧠 Market Summary: This chart shows a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) play. We're looking at how big players (banks, institutions) trap retail traders, push price through liquidity zones, and move toward their real targets. 📌 Detailed Breakdown: 1️⃣ Ellipse Zone (Left Side – Accumulation Phase) This shaded ellipse shows where price was moving sideways in a tight range. This is a classic accumulation zone, meaning big players were quietly building their long positions. ✅ Price stayed in this range from May 20–21 before breaking out with strong bullish candles. 👉 What this means: Institutions are loading up. Once they’re filled, they push price upward fast. 2️⃣ Central Zone of Market (Green Diamond) After the breakout, price made a small pause/retest, which we marked with a green diamond. This is a re-accumulation area—a temporary consolidation before another push up. It’s also a mid-point, showing the “central engine” of this price move. 👉 What this means: Market still bullish here, collecting more orders. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (Top of Chart) Price reached this supply zone near 3,360–3,370 and immediately faced strong rejection. You can see: Long wicks at the top Bearish pressure stepping in Start of a curve formation 👉 What this means: Big players are offloading their long positions and preparing for a reversal. 4️⃣ Rounded Top Curve (Distribution Phase) Notice the arc shape drawn over the candles. This is a distribution pattern — a rounding top that shows price is topping out slowly. It’s often a sign that smart money is exiting while trapping late buyers. 🔻Price then dropped aggressively, breaking structure. 5️⃣ BOS (Break of Structure) A major bearish signal occurred here. Price broke a recent low and created a BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market has shifted from bullish to bearish. 👉 What this means: Now we look for retracement entries to go short. 6️⃣ 50% Retracement + Reversal Area After the BOS, price pulled back to the 50% Fibonacci level and hit a small resistance zone (highlighted in purple). This is a classic area for smart entries. ✅ This level rejected price again — showing bearish confirmation. 7️⃣ Target Zone – 3,330.055 A clean, well-defined target area where: Liquidity rests Previous orders may get triggered Market could react strongly 👉 If price pushes into this zone again, expect a reaction (either continuation or a reversal). 8️⃣ Support Zone – 3,290.345 This is your final support zone if the market continues to drop. If price breaks this support, it could open room for a larger bearish move. 🎯 Trading Plan (Example): 📈 If price retraces to 3,330.055 and shows rejection → consider short setup 📉 Watch 3,290.345 for bounce or breakdown ❌ Invalidation: Break above 3,370 (major resistance) 💡 Bonus Tip – Trading Psychology: “Smart money doesn’t chase. It waits for the trap to be set, then strikes with precision.” Stay patient. Don’t rush entries. Let price come to your zones. 🏁 Summary: This chart is a full example of smart money manipulation, showing: Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Breakdown BOS + 50% retrace = high-probability short Key zones: 3,330 (Target) & 3,290 (Support) 📢 Don’t Forget: If this analysis helped, drop a like, share, or comment your view below! #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #Minds #ForexStrategy #GoldSetup #SMC #LiquidityZones
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Elliott wave analysis 5/28/2025In my view, gold is currently in wave five of the Grand Supercycle Wave V, which I began counting from around the year 1833. While many investors expect gold prices to skyrocket further due to geopolitical tensions, de-globalization, and growing concerns over asset bubbles—evidenced by large-scale stock selloffs and a shift toward cash holdings—I believe much of this fear is already priced in. As for my price target, I expect gold to complete its final wave at around $3,600–$3,700. This projection is based on the assumption that wave five (in cream color) will likely be equal in length to wave one, especially considering that wave three is the extended wave. After reaching this peak, I anticipate a significant downturn—similar to the crash between 1980 and 2001—which could form a massive wave two correction potentially lasting for decades. An additional factor supporting my outlook is the upcoming Saturn–Neptune conjunction in 2025–2026. According to financial astrology, previous Saturn–Neptune cycles have been closely associated with recessions, financial crises, and economic restructuring. These periods often expose bubbles, fraud, or excessive optimism. Given the elevated level of gold prices today, which may be considered a bubble, this suggests that a major correction in gold could be approaching.
TVC:GOLDShort
by jirapattinn
Roche Strengthens Its Bet Against the “Superbug”By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Zosurabalpin: A New Hope Against Antimicrobial Resistance Swiss pharmaceutical giant Roche (SWX: ROG) has just taken a major step forward in the fight against bacterial resistance: its new antibiotic zosurabalpin is entering Phase 3 clinical trials. The compound targets acinetobacter baumannii, a highly resistant Gram-negative bacterium that causes serious infections such as pneumonia and sepsis, with mortality rates ranging from 40% to 60%, according to Larry Tsai, Chief Medical Officer at Genentech, Roche’s U.S. subsidiary. The clinical trial is set to begin in late 2025 or early 2026, involving approximately 400 patients across more than 100 international sites. If successful, zosurabalpin would become the first new class of antibiotics targeting Gram-negative bacteria in over 50 years, marking a historic milestone in pharmaceutical development. Strategic Return to the Antibiotics Arena After stepping away from antibiotic research for several years, Roche re-entered the field in the past decade, just as the WHO warned of the growing threat of antimicrobial resistance, which could lead to up to 10 million deaths annually by 2050. This move underlines Roche’s renewed commitment to innovation in critical areas of global health. Economic Context and Market Position So far in 2025, Roche has delivered mixed financial results. In its first-quarter report, revenue grew 2% year-on-year, driven by its diagnostics division, while its oncology segment remains solid. However, margin pressures persist, and the biotech landscape remains fiercely competitive. On the stock market, Roche shares have remained relatively stable around 250 Swiss francs, with investors showing caution toward the company’s pace of innovation in the post-pandemic era. The move to Phase 3 for zosurabalpin may shift that perception and position Roche as a pioneer in a long-overlooked segment of the pharmaceutical industry: next-generation antibiotics. Technical Analysis The stock has been trading within a range between 249.6 and 303.2 francs, peaking at 323.6 francs in late March, followed by a sharp correction that found support at 244 francs in early April. The current point of control lies slightly below the midpoint of the range at 263 francs. The RSI sits at 49.11%, indicating a relatively balanced momentum. Moving average crossovers suggest a potential price correction, as the 200-day average recently crossed below the 50-day average. Conclusion Roche’s latest advance could not only save thousands of lives but also restore the company’s leadership in the fight against infectious diseases. If all goes according to plan, zosurabalpin could be available before 2030, ushering in a new era in modern medicine. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
SIX:ROShort
by ActivTrades
BTC 4H – Final Shakeout Before Markup?Bitcoin continues to coil below ATH resistance, now forming a second symmetrical pennant after the first flagpole breakout. Price is wedged between the ascending trendline support and persistent ATH rejection (~109.8K) — and the next move could define the entire Phase D → Phase E transition. 🧠 Wyckoff Reaccumulation Context: ✅ Spring + Test confirmed ~May 19 ✅ Multiple LPS retests held around 107–108K ✅ Two clear SOS rallies tested above the creek 📌 Currently in late Phase D, facing third rejection from ATH ⚠️ Compression Observations: RSI (14): 49.88 → neutral to bearish momentum Volume: No conviction from either side Lower BB + BU lows (~107K): A logical Spring zone for a potential wick-down fakeout Price remains within channel and trendline support 🔄 Key Scenarios: 🟡 Bullish (Spring + Markup) Wick below trendline to 107K zone RSI bounce + green volume spike Break + close above 110K → Confirms Phase E Markup 🎯 Targets: Measured Move 1: 116,199 Measured Move 2 (Pennant): 119,958 Fib Cluster: 117,444 – 118,234 🔴 Bearish Breakdown Close below 107K LPS with volume RSI drops < 45 Structural failure → risks reversion to AR (~100.6K) and possibly BC 🧭 Conclusion: Bitcoin is in the decision apex of a second pennant. If we see a wick-down + bounce (Spring-like behavior), it could be the last reload before a markup wave. But without volume and momentum, this remains a fragile structure — stay patient, let the chart confirm. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Pennant #CryptoTA #BTC4H #VolumeAnalysis #RSI
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by BitcoinMillio18
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Points: 1. Dubious Support Zone The boxed zone (highlighted as support) shows multiple rejections but no clear bullish rejection candles (e.g., no hammer, bullish engulfing). This may be a false base forming before another breakdown, especially with declining volume. 2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern The chart lacks a proper reversal structure like a double bottom, inverse head-and-shoulders, or bullish divergence. A few sideways candles ≠ trend reversal—this might just be consolidation before further drop. 3. Weak Buyer Commitment Volume has steadily decreased as the price attempted to base out. If buyers were serious, we’d expect to see surging green volume bars, not this tapering activity. 4. Downtrend Still Dominant The overall market structure is still lower highs and lower lows. Jumping into a long trade against the trend without a confirmed break above the last swing high (≈1.13250) is premature. 5. Risk-Reward Imbalance The arrowed path assumes an ideal rise without considering realistic pullbacks or market resistance. If a stop is set below 1.12800 (support low) and the target is 1.13400, reward is tight compared to the risk, especially if price continues chopping sideways.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🚨 Disruptive Take on the Current Silver-CFD Setup (1 h) ⚠️ Key Issue Why It Undermines the Long-Target Thesis 1. Target looks “wishful” The arrow projects a move into the 33.55–33.60 zone without price ever clearing the nearest resistance band around 33.30–33.35. A premature target can bait traders into chasing the tail end of a relief rally. 2. Volume doesn’t back the bounce Notice how the big green climb out of the pit on the 27 th started on strong volume, but the last 10–12 candles show shrinking green bars. Demand is decaying as price inches higher—a classic recipe for a bull trap. 3. Momentum is stalling The most recent candle printed red right at the dotted mid-line, hinting at exhaustion. Without a fresh momentum kick (e.g., higher high ➜ bullish engulfing), upside continuation is statistically fragile. 4. Structure still favors lower highs The broader pattern since the 25–26 th is a series of lower swing-highs. Until that diagonal is broken decisively, every uptick remains a counter-trend bounce, not a new up-trend. 5. Macro landmine ahead The U.S. flag icon marks an impending data release. Silver’s intraday volatility tends to spike on USD events; any dollar strength could instantly unwind the thin-volume rise. Trading into news with no contingency ≠ smart risk. 6. Stop-loss placement is unclear Without a clearly defined invalidation level (e.g., below 33.00 or under the 27 th swing-low), the R-R profile is lopsided: limited upside room vs. plenty of air underneath.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🚨 Disruption Analysis of the Gold CFD Chart 1. Over-Optimistic Target Placement The target is placed significantly above the current market trend without substantial confirmation of a reversal. The recent bullish candles are weak and not supported by volume spikes. There's a bearish engulfing pattern forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend. 2. Weak Volume Confirmation The rise in price does not coincide with a strong increase in buying volume. Volume bars are mixed and not clearly favoring buyers, indicating market indecision rather than strength. 3. False Bottom Assumption The assumption that the market has bottomed on the 27th is speculative. Without a double-bottom pattern or significant bullish divergence on an RSI/MACD (not shown here), the upward bias is unjustified. 4. Price Action Breakdown Lower highs and lower lows are still visible. The short bounce could be a retracement rather than a trend reversal. 5. Macro or Fundamental Events Ignored Given the presence of the US flag icon (economic event), any upcoming data release (like GDP, interest rates, etc.) could drastically alter market direction. Trading before news without adjusting targets and stops is risky.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
FICO's Monopoly: Cracks in the Credit Kingdom?For decades, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has maintained an unparalleled grip on the American credit system. Its FICO score became the de facto standard for assessing creditworthiness, underpinning virtually every mortgage, loan, and credit card. This dominance was cemented by a highly profitable business model: the three major credit bureaus—Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion—each paid FICO for independent licenses, generating a significant percentage of revenue per inquiry and establishing a seemingly unassailable monopoly. However, this long-standing reign now faces an unprecedented challenge. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Director, Bill Pulte, recently signaled a potential shift to a "2-out-of-3" model for credit bureaus. This seemingly technical adjustment carries profound implications, as it could render one of FICO's three bureau licenses redundant, potentially evaporating up to 33% of its highly profitable revenue. Director Pulte has also publicly criticized FICO's recent 41% increase in wholesale mortgage score fees, contributing to significant declines in FICO's stock price and drawing broader regulatory scrutiny over its perceived anti-competitive practices. This regulatory pressure extends beyond FICO's immediate revenue, hinting at a broader dismantling of the traditional credit monopoly. The FHFA's actions could pave the way for alternative credit scoring models, like VantageScore, and encourage innovation from fintech companies and other data sources. This increased competition threatens to reshape the landscape of credit assessment, potentially leading to a more diversified and competitive market where FICO's once-unchallenged position is significantly diluted. Despite these formidable headwinds, FICO retains considerable financial strength, boasting impressive profit margins and robust revenue growth, particularly within its Scores segment. The company's Software segment, offering a decision intelligence platform, also presents a significant growth opportunity, with projected increases in annual recurring revenue. While FICO navigates this pivotal period of regulatory scrutiny and emerging competition, its ability to adapt and leverage its diversified business will be crucial in determining its future role in the evolving American credit market.
NYSE:FICOShort
by UDIS_View