Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

ETHUSD Potential long ideaThe market made an all time high at 4095.4 following the November bull run. Street money flooded premium prices trying to buy above all time highs. Once price inevitably dropped from that premium level all of the bulls who bought above premium provided not only exit liquidity for longer term traders, but also "resistance" or "supply" levels that are easily recognizable for anyone who wants to double down on their position once the market forms what appears to be a short term low. Seeing this kind of trading occur in the way that it is occurring and at the prices that it is occurring at gives me insight that the market is now going to enter ranging conditions pairing liquidity from both sides of the range. the market goes right to 01.23.24 low at 2165 and sweeps that level eventually making its way right back to 4097.4 only $2 higher than the all time high. These 3 levels being used in this way to send the market to both sides of a trapped range is done to allow for time to pass and orders to build up. Since the overall trend of the crypto markets and ETH in general is upward, I am assigning this behavior to institutional accumulation of discount prices. Under this assumption I will look to see a new short term low set in the market. I will see that signature begin when a short term high leads to taking out a htf discount level with an aggressive displacement lower. I can expect to see these sweeps just above or just below key lows Key prices to watch - Sunday 05.18.25 low; 2325 - Friday 05.09.25 H4 +ob; 2350.9 - Daily dealing range C.E; 2271.5 - Daily + Breaker open 2081.5 - M0A_. 1732.5
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by M-0-A_Insights
HMMMCL1! Crude Oil Futures – 1D & 4H Technical Breakdown by GOAT This chart presents a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (CL1!), utilizing daily and 4-hour views to outline key technical levels, trend momentum, and potential trade setups. 🟤 Left Panel – CL1! Daily Chart (1D): Macro Resistance Test: Price is retesting a major descending trendline from the 2022 highs, now acting as a key long-term resistance zone between 75.80–77.00. Breakout Structure: A strong push from the $62.50 base has created a steep rally, with price entering a historically reactive supply zone. Rejection Risk: Highlighted red box signals a high-probability reversal zone unless price confirms a clean breakout above trendline resistance. RSI Observation: Daily RSI near overbought levels (~78), reflecting possible exhaustion and signaling caution for bulls. 🟠 Right Panel – CL1! Intraday Chart (4H): EMA Structure: Price riding the 21/50/100 EMA cluster with trend confirmation—momentum remains bullish but flattening. Channel & Pullback Setup: Short-term ascending trendline may act as a bounce point. Failure could shift price toward 71.30 or lower. Divergence Watch: Bearish RSI divergence forming, suggesting weakening momentum on recent highs. Trade Zone: Boxed region shows a potential long setup targeting the 75.80–77.00 area with a stop below 71.30, giving a clear R:R window. 📉 RSI Panels: Daily RSI: Approaching historical overbought levels. Traders should watch for momentum reversal or confirmation through trend continuation. 4H RSI: Divergence vs price highs and loss of recent bullish slope could foreshadow a short-term correction. 🧠 Summary: Crude oil is at a critical confluence zone, testing a macro trendline on the daily and showing slowing momentum intraday. Price action over the next few candles will likely determine whether we see a breakout continuation toward 80+ or a rejection back toward the mid-60s. ⚙️ Educational chart designed for technical traders – not financial advice.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by goat-farm
Bitcoin (EoY '28) - Potentials <3I just wanted to publish this because I feel there is some deep involvement on the drawings based off the all-time historic trendline. I would like to see how this unfolds. Usually, I am too grandiose about my predictions, or too short-time-minded/%gains. Today we can see a few things that are appreciative and indicative of continuation on a higher timeframe. We can crawl and crawl forever. You musn't be afraid. Continue to trudge forward. There are no bears here, they are only phantoms in the dark.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LvNThL
Watch These Reversals – MES & MNQ at Major 4H Turning Points!Chart Breakdown: MES1! & MNQ1! – 4H Timeframe Analysis by GOAT This dual-pane chart presents a detailed technical analysis of the E-mini S&P 500 Futures (MES1!) and Micro Nasdaq Futures (MNQ1!) on the 4-hour timeframe, designed with a custom visual aesthetic and proprietary tools by GOAT. 🔺 Left Panel – MES1! (4H): Price Action: MES is trading within a broad rising channel, currently testing key support near 6,020 after a textbook Head and Shoulders formation. Overlays: A dynamic channel structure and multiple Fibonacci-like zone levels guide potential bounce or breakdown scenarios. Bearish Divergence: RSI shows clear bearish divergence leading into the recent highs—highlighted with trendline markers. Support Zones: Immediate support around 5,973, with deeper support levels around 5,905 and 5,808 if breakdown confirms. 🔵 Right Panel – MNQ1! (4H): Structure: MNQ is also respecting a broader bullish channel with intermediate pullbacks. Current structure shows an active Inverse Head and Shoulders setup with a neckline breakout possible above 21,930. Trade Markups: An active long trade is visible with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit zones marked (+784 ticks risk, +4,220 ticks potential reward). Dynamic Zones: Blue channel and volume-weighted zones provide a context for supply/demand imbalances. Momentum: RSI recovering from oversold territory with signs of early bullish reversion. 📉 Bottom Pane – RSI Comparison: MES RSI (Left): Bearish divergence structure leading to local weakness; neutral at ~47. MNQ RSI (Right): Bullish rebound attempt with higher low in RSI compared to price, suggesting a possible positive divergence. 🧠 Summary: This setup highlights potential short-term bullish reversals on MNQ1! and trend exhaustion on MES1! using classic pattern recognition (H&S and inverse H&S), custom channel tools, and momentum divergences. Ideal for traders watching high-probability inflection points on U.S. index futures. ⚙️ Designed for educational purposes. Not financial advice.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by goat-farm
3
Stablecoin Market: A Clear Path to Bitcoin Over $700k?I've been following the strong correlation between stablecoin liquidity ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT , CRYPTOCAP:USDC , etc, here represented by CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C ), and the Bitcoin price, and there's a very clear correlation between both. Why is there a correlation between the stablecoin market and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ? An increase in stablecoin market cap means that more money is available to be invested in crypto and Bitcoin. The more stablecoin liquidity exists, the easier it is for investors to invest in crypto. That's why we see a very strong correlation between the stablecoin liquidity and Bitcoin: the long-term correlation is 86%. So now we know that BTC price follows the stablecoin liquidity. The GENIUS Act and the stablecoin market Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently posted that the stablecoin market could grow from the current $263 billion to $3.7 trillion. the data comes from a BIS report. Why does this matter? If the stablecoin market grows to $3.7 trillion and we continue to observe the high correlation with Bitcoin, the Bitcoin price would land between $700k and $1 million by 2030. Let me know your thoughts!
CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.CLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025🟥 APP Weekly Trade Plan – June 20, 2025 🎯 Instrument: APP (Applovin Corp) 📉 Direction: Bearish (Put) 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-20 📊 Confidence Level: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open 🔎 Model Consensus Breakdown Model Direction Summary Grok/xAI 🔻 Bearish Clear bearish momentum. Recommends $325 put. Claude ⚠️ No Trade Mixed signals; confidence below 50%. Gemini 🔻 Bearish Recommends $322.50 put based on RSI/VIX. Llama ⚠️ No Trade Slightly bearish but low conviction. DeepSeek 🔼 Bullish Contrarian call ($327.50) against oversold bounce. 🧠 Consensus Takeaway ✅ Most models agree APP is under bearish pressure on the daily chart. ⚠️ Mixed signals emerge due to oversold RSI and elevated VIX (~20.31). 🧨 Watch for short squeezes or rebound attempts off key support ($325–$327). ✅ Recommended Trade (Put Option) Metric Value 🎯 Strike $325 Put 💰 Entry Price $0.75 (limit) 🛑 Stop Loss $0.38 🎯 Profit Target $0.975+ 📈 Confidence 65% 📏 Size 1 contract 📅 Expiry June 20, 2025 💡 This trade bets on short-term continuation lower, possibly breaking $325 support. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes VIX at 20+ increases whipsaw risk — limit order strongly recommended. Oversold RSI could lead to a dead-cat bounce. Respect the stop-loss if APP rebounds above $327 intraday. 🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "APP", "direction": "put", "strike": 325.0, "expiry": "2025-06-20", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 0.975, "stop_loss": 0.38, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.75, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-20 15:21:16 UTC-04:00" }
NASDAQ:APPShort
by quantsignals
OSCR Weekly Trading Plan – June 20, 2025🟢 OSCR Weekly Trading Plan – June 20, 2025 🎯 Instrument: OSCR (Oscar Health) 📈 Direction: Long (Shares) 📊 Confidence Level: 72% ⏰ Time Horizon: 3–4 Weeks ⚠️ Market Condition: Volatile, meme-stock behavior, overbought risk 🧠 Model Consensus Snapshot Model Direction Key Takeaways DS 🔻 Short RSI 76, euphoric price surge, meme risk; targets $17.50 LM 🔼 Long Still bullish above $20.50, target $22.55, careful sizing GK ⏸️ Watch Wait for dip to $19.25–$20.50, bullish bias if pullback GM ⏸️ Watch Avoid for now, entry only if retesting $19.50 CD 🔼 Long Trade at open with $26.50 target; wide stop at $18.50 🧾 Summary & Final Decision 📌 Overall Market View: Strong short-term uptrend is still active, but all models agree we are at overbought RSI levels. The price has surged ~50% in 5 days — historically unsustainable for "meme-like" setups. 📉 Bearish Risks: RSI > 75 Elevated VIX = increased whipsaw risk Meme-stock volatility Potential for profit-taking or rug-pull behavior 📈 Bullish Catalysts: Technical breakout confirmed above key EMAs High volume + news momentum Heavy interest from social media channels ✅ Final Trade Recommendation Parameter Value 📉 Direction LONG (Shares) 💵 Entry Price $21.00 (limit open) 🛑 Stop Loss $18.50 🎯 Target Profit $26.50 🔢 Size 12 shares (based on $10K acct, ~2.5% risk) 📅 Holding Period 3–4 weeks 📈 Confidence 72% 📌 NOTE: Reduce size and tighten stops if market volatility continues rising next week. 📊 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "OSCR", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 21.00, "stop_loss": 18.50, "take_profit": 26.50, "size": 12, "confidence": 0.72, "entry_timing": "open" } ⚠️ Risk Considerations Overbought RSI: Expect choppiness and high risk of short-term reversal. Meme stock volatility: News, Reddit chatter, or influencer tweets may spike/dump price irrationally. VIX > 20: Use limit orders to avoid bad fills on open. 💡 This is a high-risk, high-reward momentum play. Stick to your stop-loss and use small sizing.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by quantsignals
BTC to 125000📈 BTCUSD Long Setup – Maximum Fear Often Marks the Bottom Timeframe: 8H Entry: ~103,500 SL: 96,448 TP: 125,000 RR: ~3:1 🧠 Market Sentiment: The current environment is dominated by extreme fear – sentiment is heavily bearish, and interest from retail investors is strikingly low. Most market participants appear to be short or sitting in hedged positions, which ironically sets the stage for a potential short squeeze if price breaks to the upside. 🔍 Technical Context: BTC has been ranging for weeks – support has held repeatedly. Liquidity has been swept below previous lows – possible spring formation. A reclaim of the 104k–105k zone could act as a launchpad. Setup anticipates a contrarian move against the prevailing bearish bias
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SerenityEquity
BTC, will hibernate for a few weeks from here to sub 100k.BTC rise has been impressive the last few weeks with market triggering excitement after hitting a series of ATH and finally punching the elusive100k levels, and pushing it further to 110k as a bonus. But like with any overheated parabolic move, a cool down will need to transpire eventually. And that season is ripe now for the king of coins. From the diagram we are seeing some curve fitting price action, with horizontal ranging at the upper channel -- indicating a bull saturation scenario. A corrective phase to 0.5 fib levels maybe expected in the next few weeks. It did the same behavior last time. This hibernation would be healthy in the long run - and it needed to happen. Spotted at 104k. Target sub 100k levels / or 0.5 fib at 94k. TAYOR. Trade safely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JSAL
1
I'm starting to really like trading this stock - long at 3.47I cheated and bought intraday on this one, because it threw a signal yesterday and I didn't bite then. I couldn't resist today. You might remember that in my first idea for this stock on April 3, I had some nervousness about this stock. I was happy getting out with a 3.7% gain in four days. What if I told you that was the worst return of the last 7 signals? There have been 6 signals since my last idea. These are the returns (shown on the chart with white arrows): +11.22% in 3 days +12.95% in 2 days +10.33% in 6 days +17.11% in 2 days +6.71% in 2 days +4.02% in 3 days Obviously not a guarantee, but those are numbers that make me a lot less nervous about this trade than the first one. Obviously, buying and holding since my last trade would have been a far better idea (+112% in 10 weeks), but that's not what I do, and few stocks do what this one has done since then. So this time, I'm not just coloring outside the lines, I'm scribbling. Hopefully, this one will be a big winner. Fingers crossed. I could enter additional lots if it throws signals before it pays and this may or may not be a FPC trade, depending on the circumstances.
AMEX:ASMLong
by redwingcoach
John Deere position trade setupI have been wanting an excuse to add this to my portfolio for a while now. Primarily because Bill Gates has it in his portfolio. I like to try and copy the most successful investors like Warren Buffett, Cathy Wood, Bill Gates, etc... I paid the market price today for a position with a cost average of $525. The intrinsic value of the stock is between $250 - $1050 so its not ideal to be in at $525 but I am not playing the voting game, I prefer the weighing game. I want to see how the position affects the other things I have in my portfolio and hopefully improve the performance with this stock in there. Maybe I will buy more if I can find a reason to add to the position in case it starts losing money because dividends are being paid out soon. I have drawn a simple technical analysis predicting a two legged pullback pattern.
NYSE:DELong
by Capitalist_Zach
[06/16] Weekly GEX Roadmap - Diagonal Spreads or Put Hedges?📊 Weekly GEX Map (SPX) This week’s GEX profile looks nearly identical to last week: Positive bias above 6020 up to 6100 But a sticky chop zone remains from 5975 to 6020 Below 5950? That’s where things get interesting… ⚠️ What Happens If 5950 Fails? In that case - welcome to negative gamma territory: Delta becomes unstable → fast, erratic moves Gamma loses influence → hedging effectiveness drops Dealer hedging lags → market makers chase, not lead Vega + theta distort readings → charm decay accelerates Result: GEX zones lose clarity. Pinning breaks down. Reactions become nonlinear and emotional. If we drop below 5950, we might see acceleration instead of stabilization — despite the positive GEX profile. 💡 Trade Idea of the Week – With Caution If not for Wednesday's macro risk (Fed rate decision), I'd suggest a bullish diagonal spread toward 6100–6150: Limited downside Defined risk Covers the full squeeze zone But with FOMC looming, I'd only hold this trade until Thursday and close once the debit doubles or earlier. 🧨 Macro + Geo Risks Fed is priced for “no move” → any surprise = volatility spike Rising tensions with Iran → oil and futures could react violently Recommendation : Avoid OIL this week, especially futures and naked strategies 🛡️ Prefer Downside Protection? If you expect weakness on SPX weekly: Consider a put debit spread with the short leg at 5950, where the second strongest Put Support sits. This type of structure can offer up to 6:1 reward-to-risk, making it one of the most efficient bearish hedges for this week. If you enjoyed the above breakdown, feel free to check out my previous weekly analyses or explore my tools as well. Until next time – Trade what you see, not what you hope, – Greg @ TanukiTrade
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2