AUDUSD 12R Algorithmic ScalpingBased On My Trading Algorithms, AUDUSD is about to return a 12% trade if 1% is risked
Beyond Technical Analysis
The "Bearish" Short-term Outlook on the marketI apologize - this video was made mid-market yesterday and took a while to download for some reason. So we did subsequently close below the gap and continue downward wherein we closed the multi-day cup at the former low.
I am shorting this overnight and allowing for the subsequent liquidity build to happen (if necessary) before shorting again. There is plenty of more room to the downside if our strong selling was proven (which it seems it was with the incoming gap down).
Happy Trading :)
HK50: Time to begin looking for buys from the bottomHello,
The Hong Kong 50 index seems to be forming a great pattern for investors to begin looking for buys at the bottom. The Hang Seng dropped to its lowest since the high reached in March 2025 as the Trump administration moved forward with sweeping tariffs on major trading partners, including a 104% levy on Chinese goods set to take effect today.
News of that Hong Kong may offer aid to firms affected by U.S. tariffs will help cushion markets from further falls. Discussions may be the catalyst for the next rise in the index and Hong Kong stocks.
From a technical perspective the index is trading in a sideways corrective pattern, and further falls will provide even better opportunities for buys. We see prices below 18,000 HKD as great entry areas for this index. The recent top of HKD 24,600 will be our medium-term target.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂.
Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day.
As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…
USD/JPY Trend Today – JPY is Outperforming🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ Buying interest in the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains strong for the second consecutive day on Wednesday, as investors continue to seek safety in the traditional safe-haven currency amid growing concerns over a global recession driven by tariffs. Additionally, reports that U.S. President Donald Trump had agreed to meet with Japanese officials following a phone call with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba boosted optimism for a potential trade deal between the U.S. and Japan. This, along with expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may continue to raise interest rates due to rising domestic inflation, also lent support to the JPY.
Personal opinion:
➡️The JPY is performing better against the USD. DXY is having its second consecutive decline and shows no signs of stopping.
➡️Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/JPY 146.40- 146.60
❌SL: 147.10 | ✅TP: 145.80 – 145.10 – 144.50
👉Buy USD/JPY 144.45- 144.55
❌SL: 144.00 | ✅TP: 145.00 – 145.50 – 146.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
XAUMO STRATEGY UPDATE | XAUUSD — WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9, 2025 MARKET SENTIMENT
The market is cooking up a big move right now — if the price breaks above 3,022 with volume, that’ll be the ignition point for an explosive move.
But if it fails, it’ll drop to eat stop losses below 2,995, then bounce back up sneaky-style.
Do NOT short blindly today. Liquidity being loaded from below. Only trap shorts get baited here.
STRATEGY FOR WEDNESDAY, APRIL 9:
✅ PRIMARY TRADE SETUP (SCALP TO SWING LONG):
Type: Buy Stop
Entry: $3,023 (Above confluence breakout zone)
SL: $3,008 (Below PVT/Fib cluster)
TP1: $3,046 (1H high + Fib 100%)
TP2: $3,076 (1D Fib 50% + DynaR RES 5)
TP3: $3,102 *(1D Fib 61.8%)
Confidence: 85%
Justification:
• Bullish divergence building
• RSI rising across all frames
• Breakout above $3,022 = trigger for expansion
• Volume still low = pre-move stealth accumulation
⚠️ SECONDARY SETUP (FAKEOUT WATCH):
If price fails at $3,022 and dumps, watch $2,985–$2,995 zone for wick + VSA signal
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: $2,995
SL: $2,980
TP1: $3,015
TP2: $3,045
Confidence: 70%
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MULTI-TIMEFRAME SNAPSHOT
⸻
1D (Macro):
• Down move exhausted around $2,956–$2,970
• Key Zone Reclaimed: $3,000 psychological level + Fib 23.6% = buyers defending
• RSI: 50.86 → Turning bullish
• FIB RESISTANCE ZONES:
• $3,017.71 (Fib 23.6%)
• $3,049.94 (Fib 38.2%)
• $3,076.00 (Fib 50%) = main magnet
• Volume MA: 747K > Current Vol = low volume = accumulation phase
📌 Bias: Consolidation bottoming – next move is likely impulsive if $3,020 flips support.
⸻
4H CHART:
• Bullish engulfing printed
• RSI: 42.05 climbing
• Key Resistance Cluster: $3,019–$3,022 (Fib 78.6%, Pivot, and RES 2–4)
• Support Cluster: $2,985–$2,995 = institutional demand box
📌 Bias: If $3,022 breaks → clear run to $3,046 and then $3,076.
⸻
1H CHART:
• Break above $3,008 confirmed, retest held.
• RSI: 56.72 = entering bullish momentum
• ADX: DI+ > DI− = early bull pressure
• Bullish Box Range: $3,002 → $3,023
• Danger Zone Below: $2,985–$2,995 (support cluster)
📌 Bias: Price forming launchpad above $3,008–$3,010
If we see a push above $3,022 with volume, expect vertical acceleration.
⸻
15M CHART:
• Tight consolidation above support $3,008
• RSI: 63.86 (LTF bullish)
• ADX: DI+ crossing strongly, momentum building
• Cluster of Resistance Levels: $3,015, $3,019, $3,022 → these are stop-hunt zones
📌 Bias: This is a squeeze box — price is compressing for breakout.
ES UpdateI won't be able to post before work, so here's an early update....
RSI is barely touching oversold, I expect it to go a bit further, but don't expect a tank. Probably a double bottom because the algos want their money back, lol.
Daily and weekly RSI also oversold, and the algos appear to be looking strictly at indicators and not the news. They freakin pumped right before tariff announcements TWICE, lol. SO possible reversal tomorrow afternoon or Thu. Keep an eye out, they'll pump the market every time a country makes a deal. That's my prediction...
Risk OFF = further JPY strength? Yes - SELL EURJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
Bond Yields Ripping, Will Wall Street Take Notice?Rising yields can usually be associated with a period of risk on. But seeing the 30-year treasury yield rise over 20bp in Asia while Wall Street futures cling on to their cycle lows is anything but usual. In fact, it's a bad omen of things to come.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Temu's Price Magic: Shattered by Tariffs?PDD Holdings, the parent entity behind the popular e-commerce platform Temu, confronts a severe operational challenge following the recent imposition of stringent US tariffs targeting Chinese goods. These trade measures, particularly the dismantling of the "de minimis" rule for Chinese shipments, directly threaten the ultra-low-cost business model that fueled Temu's rapid expansion in the US market. The elimination of the previous $800 duty-free threshold for individual packages strikes at the core of Temu's logistical and pricing strategy.
The impact stems from newly enacted, exceptionally high tariffs on these formerly exempt low-value parcels. Reports indicate rates escalating to 90% of the item's value or a significant flat fee, effectively nullifying the cost advantages Temu leveraged by shipping directly from manufacturers in China. This fundamental shift disrupts the financial viability of Temu's model, which relied heavily on tariff-free access to deliver goods at minimal prices to American consumers.
Consequently, significant price increases for products sold on Temu appear almost inevitable as PDD Holdings grapples with these substantial new costs. While the company's official response is pending, economic pressures suggest consumers will likely absorb these charges, potentially eroding Temu's primary competitive advantage and slowing its growth momentum. PDD Holdings now faces the critical task of navigating this disrupted trade landscape and adapting its strategy to maintain its market position amidst heightened protectionism and geopolitical tension.
NZDCHF Is About To DROP 300+ Pips!!!Based On My Trading Algorithms NZDCHF Is About To DROP 300+ Pips!!!
AUDCHF Is About To DROP 400+ Pips!!!Based On My Trading Algorithms AUDCHF Is About To DROP 400+ Pips!!!
EURGBP Discretionary Analysis: Eyes on the SupplyIt's that feeling when you just know the tide's about to turn (like when you're waiting for the wind to pass but can already smell the rain). EURGBP is giving off that "Next stop? Supply zone" kind of vibe. I see it pushing up to test that level, like it's gearing up for a showdown. If I'm right, I'll be eyeing some clean entries to make a move. If I'm wrong, I'll just grab a coffee and wait for the next opportunity to roll in.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
Possible gold (GLD) tradeSo apparently the reason why gold fell this morning is because gold has 8% tariff premium built in, that is what the March pump was all about. Turns out gold is exempt from tariffs, and so is silver, so silver dumped the entire March pump.
So the fact that gold is exempt from tariffs basically means that it basically got pumped 8% today because it didn't drop like silver did. Yeah, tariffs were a shock but not 8% gold pump shock. Also, teh demand for physical gold will go down because apparently there was a lot of pre-buying in anticipation of the tariffs, plus people will have less disposable income.
The play here is that if GLD posts a red bar or falls below today's open, then I'm buying puts. Futures are green so I'm not sure if that will be tomorrow or Monday.... though there may be a drop Monday regardless as people actually read news over teh weekend. I should have yesterday before I posted, lol. My bad.
EURO STOXX 50 Is About To Drop 600 Dollars!!Based on my trading algorithms, EURO STOXX 50 is about to drop 600 dollars!
Look there is our bottom :)I loved my title :) haha if you're reading this: I intrigued you! And I made you read it. ☺️ thankyou!
Ok, This is what I think about why we might be near the bottom.
The 200 EMA on a weekly scale has been a very selective indicator to indicate this. Above, you can see how the chart touches the candle when the market is oversold (as indicated by RSI below). You can see that it repeats itself in sharp, spike-like, and short-term decline: marked by the yellow circles on the chart.
And finally, the volume indicates, with blue dot lines, the high and medium volume levels. There's no hay below. And we just entered HIGH :) This is going to get even more interesting... and sharp 😜 ✌🏼
BTC heading to 59k levels, then 50kThere is no macro narrative nor equity flows to support any story of CRYPTOCAP:BTC bouncing back north. It will hit the next support levels at 100week and 200week SMA, which also correspond to the bottom of this bullish long term channel.
There needs to be a positive macro narrative to facilitate the volumes needed to make the price movement trend north but I see indication of that in US or European markets for the foreseeable future.
Weekly Market Analysis - 9th April 2025Here we are with another market analysis. This time, a bit late in the week on a Wednesday, but it is what it is! We have CPI today and PPI tomorrow, so this should be an interesting week. Overall, gut instinct tells me we would be pushing lower for the DXY, but again, i'm not betting anything on it. I trade the candles, I trade the structure, I don't trade guesses.
I hope you find the video analysis useful. Take care this week!
- R2F Trading
USD/JPY Trend Update Today - Maintaining Uptrend🔔🔔🔔 USD/ JPY news:
➡️ The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its upward bias against a weaker U.S. Dollar (USD) during Asian trading on Tuesday, despite a lack of strong follow-through buying. While escalating concerns over the negative impact of intensification U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy persist, investors appear confident that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue raising interest rates in 2025, amid signs of rising domestic inflation. Moreover, fears of global economic disruption stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's tit-for-tat tariff policies have added to the safe-haven appeal of the JPY.
➡️ Still, a modest sentiment rebound in global risk has curbed aggressive bullish bets on the Yen. On the flip side, the USD came under renewed selling pressure, halting its two-day recovery from multi-month lows seen last week, as markets increasingly price in the possibility that the U.S. Economic downturn caused by tariffs could push the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle faster than expected. This stark contrast to the BoJ’s hawkish outlook suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding JPY remains to the upside.
Personal opinion:
➡️ DXY’s RSI is showing signs of falling after entering the overbought zone, causing USD/JPY to decline in the short term
➡️ The initial uptrend is still maintained, so watch for technical recovery zones to be able to buy at good prices.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy.
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 146.20- 146.00
❌SL: 145.60 | ✅TP: 146.70 – 147.20 – 148.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GBPJPY TRADE UPDATE: 1:1 PROFIT ACHIEVED With our 1:1 profit target achieved, we'll now aim for a 1:2 ratio. To lock in some gains, let's secure half of the profits and allow the remaining position to run towards the full take-profit level.
ES1! - Monthly - Grand Scheme of ThingsClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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..........✋NFA👍..........
📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1. Long-Term Perspective: While recent market volatility may induce panic, it's crucial to acknowledge the S&P 500's overarching upward trend. Periods of consolidation are inherent to sustained rallies, allowing the market to build momentum for further advances. However, given prevailing economic uncertainties—including inflation, tariffs, and signs of rally exhaustion—a healthy correction towards Q1-Q2 2024 price levels is plausible.
2. Short- to Medium-Term Outlook: A near-term retest of the 6,000 level is anticipated, followed by a subsequent retracement. In this period of heightened uncertainty, a cautious approach is recommended for bullish positions.
3. Technical Considerations: Current weekly and monthly chart patterns remain in development. In light of this, prioritizing the preservation of existing gains is paramount, a strategy that appears to be underemphasized in current market discussions.
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...🎉🎉🎉Before You Go🎉🎉🎉…
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