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Beyond Technical Analysis

Full ARKK Reverse Gamma Scalping PositionThe basic essence of reverse gamma scalping is to do additive and subtractive delta adjustments over time to keep delta fairly neutral so that theta can do its dirty work. Shown here is my full ARKK position that started as a delta neutral iron condor to which (a) I layered in an additional iron condor as a delta adjustment trade; (b) mixed and matched profitable put side with profitable call side to reduce units and/or risk; and (c) did an additive long delta short put vertical as a delta adjustment. Rather than continue showing each of these additive/subtractive delta adjustments as separate trades, I'm setting out the full banana here. I've collected a net 3.22 in credits on a buying power effect of 11.78, and the position has a delta/theta ratio of -2.09/6.00. With 36 days to go, I'll primarily look at doing profitable subtractive adjustments first; then additive ones.
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines
(SOL) solana - ATHThe all time high was reached for Solana and right now the price is retracing the previous break of an all time high. At $3000/SOL that would be a 10x gain from the ATH right now. Is the path of Solana into the future going to look similar to Ethereum one day? And if so, how much time will pass before the billions of dollars flow into Solana if the outcome is a continued growth pattern as we have already seen? Solana surpasses BNB, passes $100B mcap, and despite the loss of previous years most competitive programmers to other chains, the interest in meme tokens on SOL chain seems to sustain the interest. How is it possible the world is still fascinated by meme cryptocurrency more than any other sector? At the start of 2024 there was a simple note passed along by Coinbase that stated the Dog-meme frenzy was not going away so easily as a core of the cryptocurrency defi culture. By the end of 2024 a lot of other random memes were present on Coinbase. Average meme culture has sprung onto Coinbase, USA's main crypto exchange. The shift from adding Ethereum tokens to Coinbase became all about Solana tokens. What will the future bring during 2025? How much influence does Coinbase have over the sector of defi cryptocurrency investing? Is it time for Ethereum to reach a new ATH?
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
1
Bitcoin’s Big Move: Can It Hit $126K or Drop to $70K?Good morning, trading family! Bitcoin (BTC) is at a key point right now. If it breaks above $107K, there’s a good chance we’ll see it climb to $117K, and if it keeps going, $118–$119K could be next. From there, it could push all the way to $126K. But here’s the flip side—if we hit one of those levels, I’m expecting a correction. That could bring BTC back down to $80–$86K. If that doesn’t hold, we might even see it drop to $70K. If this helped, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Feel free to like, comment, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
Netflix Eyes $1,200: Can It Break Key Levels to Soar Higher?Good morning, trading family! Netflix (NFLX) is looking exciting right now, and here’s what I’m watching: -If we drop below $973, we might see $950 support come into play. -But if we break above $991, there’s potential for a rally to $1,055 and higher—with $1,200 as the ultimate goal. Big moves could be coming, so keep these levels on your radar! If this analysis helped you, I’d love to hear your thoughts. Drop a comment, give it a like, or share with others. Let’s trade smarter and live better! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Understanding R/R and Win Rate: The Key to Profitable TradingWhy R/R and Win Rate Matter❓ What’s the one thing that separates consistent traders from those stuck in a cycle of losses? It’s the combination of Risk-to-Reward (R/R) and Win Rate. These two metrics aren’t just numbers—they’re the foundation of every profitable trading strategy. Today, we’ll break down the facts and numbers behind R/R and Win Rate. You’ll learn how to evaluate whether your strategy is sustainable and why high win rates alone might not be enough. Let’s dive in! 🔍 The Relationship Between R/R and Win Rate This chart tells the story: your R/R ratio determines the percentage of trades you need to win to break even. But let’s be clear—breaking even isn’t our goal. We aim for profitability, and that’s only possible when your R/R and Win Rate are optimized. Here are some key examples: R/R = 5:1 (High Risk, Low Reward): Out of 100 trades, you need to win 98% just to break even. One or two losses can wipe out all your profits. Conclusion: This is unsustainable. R/R = 1:1 (Balanced): To break even, you need to win 50% of your trades. While this ratio is popular, achieving consistent profits requires a Win Rate over 80%, which is challenging. R/R = 1:2 (Ideal Minimum): You only need to win 33% of your trades to break even. With a 50-60% Win Rate, your profits can grow exponentially over time. Conclusion: This is the most realistic and effective ratio for both beginner and professional traders. Common Misconceptions About High Win Rates Many traders mistakenly equate high win rates with profitability. While a Win Rate of 80% might sound impressive, it can still lead to losses if paired with poor R/R. Example: Imagine a trader whose win rate is 80%, but their R/R is 5:1. Those 20% losing trades will erase all profits. This is why it’s crucial to analyze both metrics together and not get distracted by flashy results. The Psychology Behind R/R and Losing Streaks 🧠 Losing streaks are inevitable, even with a solid strategy. What matters is how your R/R and mindset help you navigate them: The Role of R/R in Losing Streaks: With an R/R of 1:2, even after a streak of 5 losses, a single win can recover your account. On the other hand, with an R/R of 5:1, a losing streak can wipe you out entirely. Mindset Tip: Don’t fear losses. Instead, focus on executing your strategy consistently. Understand that a few losses won’t hurt your account if your R/R is optimized. Crafting a Sustainable Strategy 🔧 Here’s how to create a strategy that balances R/R and Win Rate: Step 1: Define Your R/R Set a minimum R/R of 1:2 for your trades. This ensures that even with a 40% Win Rate, you remain profitable. Step 2: Backtest Your Strategy Test your strategy on historical data to calculate its true Win Rate. Adjust your R/R based on the results. Step 3: Manage Risk Effectively Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade. This minimizes the impact of losing streaks and allows for long-term growth. 💬 What’s your R/R ratio and how do you manage losing streaks? Share your insights in the comments below! I’m Skeptic , dedicated to simplifying trading and helping you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing together! 🤍
Education
by SkepticWise
3
Is it Time for Commodity Currencies to Shine?As Trump announced tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which was bullish the USD, the CAD closed the day green as Commercial traders are net-long while Speculators are increasing their short position. Will fading this crowded trade (not max crowded yet) end up being one of the better trades during the first quarter of 2025? This is also not the only currency set up that way. Other commodity currencies include the AUD and NZD. These three currencies are where Speculators are most short. Now we wait for the market to confirm the long trade with a news failure. For new followers, the CMR process is to wait for Speculators (both small and large) to become extremely crowded and then fade their trade after a news failure in the market confirms the trade. You want to be on the same side as Commercials when the market turns. Thanks, Jason
CME:6C1!Long
by Crowded_Market_Report
15
Oracle Soars on USA AI Deal – Is $238 Next?Good morning, trading family! Here’s what I’m seeing for Oracle (ORCL) right now: If it can break above $191, we might see it push up to $199–$200. If it clears that, $230–$238 could be the next big move, especially with all the excitement around its role in the $100B U.S. AI project. But let’s stay cautious—if it drops, $179 could be the next level to watch, and if that doesn’t hold, $166 might be in play. If this analysis helped you, drop a comment below! A like, boost, or share would mean the world and help others join the conversation. Let’s crush it this week! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NYSE:ORCLLong
by Mindbloome-Trading
GBPJPY Update: The Bulls Are in Full Control – What’s Next?What’s great, everyone! We’re back with another GBPJPY update, and it’s January 24, 2025. The market has been playing out exactly as we anticipated, and we’ve been capitalizing on every move with precision. If you’ve been following our breakdowns, you’ll remember that on January 17, we entered a long position at the 192.97 level. Some asked if this level would break, and I confidently said yes. Why? Because every retest of the 192.43 structure level held firm, showing strong buying interest. Once we got a confirmed break and close above 193.34 with volume, we knew the next leg higher was coming. Today, we took another long position after an H4 candle closure, targeting the highs at 194.69, which are well within reach. Beyond that, we’re eyeing the 198.10 and 198.85 levels as the market continues to respect the current range. As I always say, the market ranges 75-80% of the time, and knowing how to trade within these areas is key to consistent profits. Looking at the weekly chart, we see a powerful bullish candle forming with strong volume. If it closes this way, I’ll continue looking for buy opportunities up to the range highs. However, if we see weakness or a wick forming at the top, we’ll reassess. Key levels to watch: • Support: 192.43 (previous structure hold) • Targets: 194.69 (hit), 198.10, and 198.85 • Potential pullback areas: 194.00 for a re-entry opportunity As always, the market seeks liquidity, and our entries have been positioned strategically to capture these levels. If you haven’t seen the previous breakdowns, check them out to understand the full picture of this trade. If you’re enjoying these updates and want more in-depth breakdowns, make sure to boost the post, follow, and share with your fellow traders. Stay tuned for the next update as we continue to dominate GBPJPY! See you in the next one – peace!
Long
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
15k Profit on automation to start 2025!Here’s the truth most traders won’t admit: manual trading is dead. Do you think the big players are sitting in front of a screen all day, stressed out, trying to time the markets? No. They’ve moved on. They’ve embraced automation. And now, you can too. My automated strategy on DE40 isn’t just profitable—it’s a weapon. It’s made 77% profit in the last 12 months, has a 67% strike rate, and keeps drawdown under 3%. And the best part? It’s 100% automated. TradingView does the heavy lifting, sending trades to MT4 while I live my life. Yes the above sounds a little extreme to some of you reading this but its the truth! The way i see it is, why waste my time doing something that technology can do for me 🤷🏻‍♂️
ICMARKETS:DE40
by THE_GOLDEN_SUITE
Continue and try to short gold with a target of 2760Dear traders. Gold unexpectedly accelerated during the early hours, surging to around 2778, which was beyond my expectations.Gold has currently reached a maximum of around 2785. It’s evident that the only significant resistance lies at the previous high of 2790 or the psychological level of 2800, leaving limited upside room. Therefore, I continue to advise against chasing long positions on gold in the short term. At this stage, technical indicators have been significantly overshadowed, and market sentiment has become a more critical factor to monitor. In the context of short-term trading, I recommend avoiding long positions to reduce the risk of being trapped at high levels in the event of a sharp selloff triggered by profit-taking or liquidation of long positions. Instead, I prefer taking short positions with well-defined stop-loss levels. Even if gold continues to rise and hits the SL, the loss will be manageable, and the capital will remain intact. On the other hand, if a sudden crash occurs, short positions could yield significant profits. Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating increased selling pressure. This bearish reversal pattern suggests that sellers are gaining control, and the price may start moving lower from this area. Forecast: A sell opportunity is expected as the sell engulfing pattern signals a potential bearish reversal. The price is likely to target nearby support levels if the selling momentum continues. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Near the sell engulfing area after confirmation of continued bearish pressure. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the sell engulfing candlestick to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target significant support levels below for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The sell engulfing candlestick pattern reflects bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal from the current resistance area. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to align with market momentum.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Scalping ! XAU ! old ATH SELL entry 2788⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Markets are increasingly anticipating that the US Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice this year as inflationary pressures in the US show signs of easing. On Friday, President Trump described his conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping as amicable and expressed optimism about reaching a trade deal with China, adding that he prefers to avoid tariffs. This has helped ease concerns over Trump's protectionist policies driving inflation higher, reinforcing expectations of further Fed policy easing and supporting the appeal of the non-yielding Gold price. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Uptrend - positive market sentiment, may surpass ATH 2788 soon ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2788 - $2790 SL $2793 TP1: $2784 TP2: $2778 TP3: $2770 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
BANKNIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:** This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. **Entry/Exit Points:** - **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. **Timeframe:** Use a 5 timeframe for trading. **Risk Disclaimer:** This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by nandupk
1