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/GC GC1! GOLD Futures (GCM2025) – An Analysis by WaverVanir DSSThis setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Weak High in Premium Zone: Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high. Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through. Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias: Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure. Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase. Volume Analysis: Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal. Imbalance zones remain unfilled. Target Zones: 📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080. 📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880. Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price. 📉 Probabilistic Forecast: 🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions. 🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350. 🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice): Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries. Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium. 📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias #GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
Buy Idea for MQG (Macquarie Group Ltd)📈 Buy Idea – MQG.ASX 🔹 Entry: $210.49 🔹 Stop: $201.80 (Risk ~4.1%) 🔹 Target 1: $227.50 🔹 Target 2: $238+ 🔹 R:R: ~1:3 Setup: – Tight sideways consolidation near 50MA – Strong volume support near $205 zone – Bullish engulfing candle into breakout zone – Sector strength: Financials stabilizing post RBA cut – Clean technical base + upside momentum potential Why It Works: 🔸 High-quality name with macro tailwind (lower rates = banking boost) 🔸 Tight risk with upside if it breaks out above $215 🔸 Good institutional interest & dividend tailwind 🚨 Trigger Alert: Add above $215 for momentum confirmation 🔔 Monitor closely for follow-through above resistance DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
ASX:MQGLong
by Gihanhemachandra
Selling pressure, gold price continues to fall below 3285?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices declined by nearly 2% on Monday, slipping below the $3,300 mark, as investor sentiment improved following U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone tariffs on European Union imports. The renewed risk appetite, coupled with a modest rebound in the U.S. Dollar from last week’s losses, placed pressure on the non-yielding precious metal. The move came after a weekend call between President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, which resulted in the U.S. deferring the planned 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. The development eased global trade concerns, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets—excluding the Greenback—and helped propel global equity markets higher. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Accumulated price zone around 3300, under selling pressure, mainly waiting for important economic news this week: GDP, FOMC ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3363- 3365 SL 3370 TP1: $3352 TP2: $3340 TP3: $3325 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3266- $3268 SL $3261 TP1: $3277 TP2: $3286 TP3: $3300 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Here’s What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back — not just back like “we recovered the dip,” but back like “new all-time highs, let’s go shopping for Lambos on moons” back. If you’ve been following our Top Stories coverage, you’ll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in “Tom Cruise falling off a building” style. Only that there wasn’t a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst. Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this one’s for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, it’s trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if we’re hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us it’s still a thing. Let’s break down what’s really going on — with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy. 🚀 Bitcoin Goes Bionic Call it what you want — a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot — Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run that’s as explosive as it is poetic. Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying it’s all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines. This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud — loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637. 💥 Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals — this wasn’t a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever. ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital — all eleven of them . Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet. Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU . Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senate’s procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund. Bitcoin didn’t ride the wave — it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction. 📉 Not All Risk is Behind Us Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, let’s pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. We’ve seen rallies like this before. We’ve also seen how quickly they unravel. Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Here’s what to watch for this week: Wednesday: Fed minutes Thursday: GDP figures Friday: Core PCE inflation Any surprises here — especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment — could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. It’s the new line in the sand — the price everyone’s watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection. On the downside, $105,000–$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, let’s not talk about it unless we have to. Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop — a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels. 🛰️ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top? But let’s dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a “magnet level.” Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength. The answer? Probably both. Momentum is still there — just cooled off a bit. Volume’s down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The market’s in a classic “wait-and-see” phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction. What could break the stalemate? A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft). Another policy win from Washington. Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” (bonus points if you guess who that is!) 📢 Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp If you’ve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing. But if you’re entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesn’t do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isn’t going to set itself. Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial. Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how you’re playing this Bitcoin beast — because one thing’s certain: it’s never boring up here.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
29
Price Action and Technical Analysis says I should BUY S&P 500!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Simply-Forex
The Great Erosion: Why I Hedge With BitcoinBy Coach Miranda Miner Look at this chart. It doesn’t scream. It doesn’t panic. It simply tells the truth. Over the past decade, major fiat currencies have quietly lost their purchasing power. The Chinese Yuan has been debased by 61%, the US Dollar by 46%, the Euro by 38%, the British Pound by 34%, and even the Japanese Yen, often praised for its stability, has fallen 29%. And yet, central banks speak as if things are under control. They tell us inflation is “transitory.” They say rate hikes are temporary. They promise normalization. But as we’ve seen, normalization often means sacrificing the value of your hard-earned money. This is not a conspiracy. This is macroeconomic policy at work. The Reality Behind Currency Debasement Since the global financial crisis of 2008, central banks like the Federal Reserve (the Fed) have resorted to unprecedented monetary policy tools—quantitative easing, low interest rates, and now liquidity injections whenever markets tremble. The Fed’s balance sheet ballooned from under $1 trillion pre-crisis to nearly $9 trillion at its peak. Each time the Fed prints more dollars to buy assets and prop up markets, the money supply increases. When this happens without a corresponding increase in goods and services, what do you get? Inflation. And when inflation accelerates beyond control, currency debasement follows. Your dollars buy less. Your savings silently shrink. It’s not just the Fed. The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and People’s Bank of China have followed similar paths. Governments and their central banks are running deficits and solving them by diluting the very currency people save in. Don’t Just Trust Banks—Understand Incentives Let me ask you a simple question: Do you think your bank cares more about your financial freedom, or about their own bottom line? Look at the recent collapses: Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, and Signature Bank. We were told the system was stable. Then it cracked—overnight. Even NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC , and NYSE:WFC —the biggest banks—are still at the mercy of regulatory changes, interest rate whiplashes, and geopolitical shocks. Don’t forget: banks are leveraged institutions. They lend more than they own. Meanwhile, you earn 1-2% on your savings while inflation eats away 6-8% per year. That’s a guaranteed loss. The Bitcoin Hedge: Scarcity in a World of Printing Now compare that with Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Bitcoin has a fixed supply: 21 million coins, ever. No Fed. No central authority. No backroom stimulus deal. Its supply is encoded and transparent. Every four years, the Bitcoin halving cuts the rate of new issuance, making BTC more scarce over time. In April 2024, we witnessed the most recent halving. The mining reward dropped from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block. In economic terms, the supply shock began fueling upward price pressure—exactly as it did in 2012, 2016, and 2020. Meanwhile, institutional demand surged. After the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, trillions of dollars were unlocked. Funds like BlackRock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, and ARK Invest’s ARKB have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin. In fact, by January 2025, ETFs acquired 51,500 BTC in a single week. During that same period, only 13,850 BTC were mined. That’s a 3.7x supply squeeze. Let that sink in. Bitcoin is the Antithesis of Fiat Bitcoin is not a gamble. It is insurance against the failure of the fiat system. For traders like us, it’s a strategic asset. For long-term investors, it’s a savings technology. For people in unstable economies—think Argentina, Lebanon, Turkey—Bitcoin is freedom. Even in the Philippines, I see it. OFWs sending money home are starting to learn about Bitcoin on the Lightning Network, bypassing remittance fees from NYSE:WU or $ML. As Coach Miranda Miner, I always teach: Discipline. Risk Management. Malasakit. This is not about being anti-bank. This is about being pro-freedom. Retail and Institutional Alignment For the first time, retail traders and Wall Street giants are eyeing the same asset. That alignment is rare. NASDAQ:TSLA holds over 10,000 BTC. NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy) holds more than 300,000 BTC and continues to raise capital just to buy more. El Salvador, a sovereign nation, now holds Bitcoin in a strategic reserve. Their president even uses geothermal volcano energy to mine BTC sustainably. This is no longer fringe. This is mainstream adoption in motion. But What About Volatility? Yes, Bitcoin is volatile. That’s true. But let’s flip the script. If something is volatile but trending upward in the long run—like Bitcoin—doesn’t it make sense to accumulate wisely? Versus keeping wealth in a stable asset—like fiat—that consistently loses value. That’s slow bleeding. It’s not volatility. It’s erosion. A Strategic Framework for 2025 Here’s what I advise fellow traders and investors: Hedge your fiat exposure. Don’t keep all your assets in cash or peso. Use dollar-cost averaging ( GETTEX:DCA ) to buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC regularly. Allocate responsibly. You don’t need to go all-in. Even 5–10% exposure can protect your portfolio. Track macro events. Monitor Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, and ETF flows. Avoid hype. Study fundamentals. Bitcoin rewards research, not impulse. The Takeaway The currencies we grew up trusting have quietly betrayed us. This isn’t fear-mongering. This is risk awareness. If you believe in working hard, you should also believe in protecting that hard work. And Bitcoin offers that shield—not because it’s perfect, but because it’s mathematically incorruptible. You owe it to yourself to understand the shift happening before your eyes. So yes, I hedge with $BTC. Because in a world of ever-weakening paper, digital scarcity is power. —Coach Miranda MinerCEO, Global Miranda Miner GroupDiscipline. Risk Management. Malasakit.
by coachmirandaminer
4
Why I Use Covered Calls: Monthly Income, StrategyDescription: In this video, I break down why I use covered calls as part of my long-term investing strategy—especially inside tax-advantaged accounts like Roth IRAs. Whether you're looking to generate steady monthly income, reduce downside risk, or are open to selling your stocks at a premium, covered calls can be a powerful tool. 🧠 What You'll Learn: Why covered calls are ideal for long-term holders who want extra income The basic requirements (100 shares, option approval, etc.) Why volatile stocks yield better premiums than dividend stocks My personal method: targeting 0.20 delta strike prices on a monthly timeframe Risks like being assigned and limiting your upside 💡 Key Takeaway: If you’re not using a tax-advantaged account, your capital gains are taxable—so consider strategies like this inside an IRA. 📌 Coming Soon: In a future video, I’ll dive into the Wheel Strategy and selling puts to generate income from cash reserves.
NASDAQ:IBIT
by controllinghand
S&P 500 Index -- Weekly Volatility Potential Good Afternoon! This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges. Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' - Find me @askHVtobidIV We are entering a short week, with IV currently in the 89th percentile for the year ( 18.31% ) and resonating between bi-weekly ( 19.36% ) and monthly ( 15.13% ) historical values. Quarterly volatility trends ( 31.79% ) have risen more than 10% this year alone due to macro concerns and increased news from tariff uncertainties. This is creating a volatile environment that, in turn, only increases our trading ranges. Something I personally like. Near-term trends are above the currently high IV environment, suggesting further expansion. This provides premium value on what is happening to what is projected to happen and a “strength of IV” of >100% indicating rising volatility, slowly towards quarterly means, while resonating around monthly trends. If price action drives downwards, our gap from May 16th could fill around $5,692.56 with confluence of HV21 trends at $5,710.91. Conversely, I can see HV10 ranges with rising pricing action and good macro news with EU tariffs breaking $5,971.33—Expanding to the price of $5,995.95 with continuing expansion and regression towards means. Come back next weekend as I will review the chart to see how we developed! For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
LYFT Two-Stage Trade Plan LYFT Two-Stage Trade Plan Setup: Head & Shoulders Breakdown → Bull Flag Recovery Based on analysis of multiple LYFT 15-minute and daily charts, we’ve identified a potential head and shoulders pattern forming with a neckline at $16.30. A breakdown below this level could trigger a short opportunity early in the week (Tuesday). However, if price holds or reclaims this level into Wednesday or Thursday, it could reestablish a bull flag pattern — setting up a strong continuation move to the upside. This trade plan allows for tactical short exposure if the bearish breakdown occurs, while preparing to pivot bullish on a reclaim, turning a fakeout into a breakout. Technical Breakdown • Left Shoulder: Formed around May 20 • Head: Higher high around May 21–22 • Right Shoulder: Lower high on May 27 • Neckline Support: ~$16.30 (key pivot zone) • Bearish trigger: Breakdown and close below $16.25 • Bullish trigger: Reclaim and hold above $16.30 • Volume context: Elevated volume near $16.30 suggests it’s a high-stakes decision level Trade Plan A — Bearish Breakdown (Tuesday) Scenario: LYFT breaks below neckline and triggers short opportunity. • Entry: ~$16.25 on breakdown • Stop: ~$16.50 (above right shoulder) • Target 1: $16.00 • Target 2: $15.85 (full measured move from head to neckline) • Risk/Reward: Strong 2:1 or better if risk is held tight Rationale: Breakdown from neckline of head and shoulders pattern. Traders react bearishly, and momentum takes price lower into support zones near $15.90. Trade Plan B — Bull Flag Reclaim (Wednesday–Thursday) Scenario: LYFT shakes out below neckline temporarily but reclaims support, resetting a bull flag. • Setup: Post-fakeout recovery; price rebounds off $15.90–$16.00 • Entry: On reclaim and close above $16.30 • Stop: Below $16.00 or the recent higher low • Target 1: $16.65 (recent high) • Target 2: $17.00+ (bull flag extension move) Rationale: A failed breakdown traps bears and reverses higher. Reclaim of support confirms accumulation and trend continuation, potentially into Thursday or Friday.
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by gng161
Bull Flag Forming on ETH/BTC – Altcoins About to Explode?$ETH/BTC just broke a key resistance line and is now forming a bullish flag — this is big for altcoins. Why? Because when ETH starts gaining strength against BTC, it often signals the beginning of an altcoin rotation. Ethereum usually leads the pack — and when its BTC pair is bullish, altcoins tend to follow with strong momentum. The breakout followed by a bull flag consolidation suggests continuation is likely. If ETH/BTC pushes higher from here, we could see capital flow from Bitcoin into altcoins, igniting the next leg of altseason. Altcoins may be gearing up — stay sharp.
Long
by unichartz
6
NNFX USDCAD Short Full Signal Signal: Short — Full Signal Context: Price Breaks through with Volume, Full Signal 2 days behind C2 Probability: Normal to Weak - Signal 2 candles into C2 but huge volume short Risk: Base 1% R:R Plan: 0.72R, 75% scale-out at TP - Huge Range to Trend into 2R and opportunity to severely reduce risk within the first 24 hours. Notes: At first glance the R is not too great, but this is mainly due to breakout meaning stops are placed at full 1.5x ATR Away from entry but supported by the candle structure. The range for this trade is large though, beyond 1xATR and even beyond 2x ATR. Opportunity to reduce risk to the order zone halfway through the candle which will make the R instantly positive. Reduced Risk to match the lower probability of this trade and other USD pending trades.
by RealJudgeFPV