Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

BTCUSDTBTC Retest Before the Next Uptrend 🚀 Bitcoin is not going to make a new low—it’s simply retesting the previous support zone around $76K–$78K before continuing its upward movement. This is a classic market structure where price revisits key levels before the next bullish leg. All the noise, fear, and uncertainty in the market are designed to shake out weak hands and keep retail traders away from big profits. Institutions and smart money are accumulating while the majority panic. Don’t let market manipulation fool you—stay focused on the bigger trend! What do you think? Are you holding strong or waiting on the sidelines? 🚀💎
Long
by Traderscorpion
2
Triangle Breakout in JPY/USD – Bullish Move Ahead?This TradingView chart represents a detailed technical analysis setup for the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The main focus of the chart is a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout, a common formation that signals potential price movement. In this detailed breakdown, we will analyze the following aspects: Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Support and Resistance Levels Breakout Confirmation Trading Setup Explanation Risk Management Strategy Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios) Conclusion & Trading Plan 1. Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation The chart showcases a symmetrical triangle, which is a continuation pattern that typically occurs in trending markets. It indicates a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers struggle for dominance, leading to an eventual breakout. Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle in This Chart: Converging Trendlines: The upper trendline (resistance) is sloping downward, showing lower highs. The lower trendline (support) is sloping upward, showing higher lows. Apex Formation: As the price moves closer to the triangle's apex, volatility decreases, creating a squeeze effect. Breakout Possibility: Once price reaches a critical point, a breakout is expected in either direction. Why is This Pattern Important? Symmetrical triangles suggest that the market is indecisive, but once a breakout occurs, it can trigger a strong price movement. Traders wait for the breakout direction to confirm the trade before entering a position. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support and resistance levels are crucial for identifying potential entry, stop-loss, and target areas. Resistance Level: A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in beige) is drawn at the top. This zone represents historical price rejection levels, where sellers have previously stepped in. A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate strong bullish momentum. Support Level: The lower support zone (marked in blue) acts as a buying interest area. Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, confirming it as a strong support level. A break below this zone would signal a bearish reversal. Trendline Support: The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle also acts as dynamic support. If price respects this trendline, it suggests bullish strength leading to a breakout. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Market Reaction The most important part of the setup is the breakout, which occurs when the price successfully moves beyond the triangle's trendline resistance. Key Observations from the Chart: Breakout Zone: The breakout occurs near the right edge of the triangle (circled in red). The price breaks above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish breakout. Confirmation Candle: A bullish candle follows the breakout, confirming buying pressure. Traders should wait for a retest of the trendline before entering. Volume Consideration: Strong breakout moves are typically accompanied by a rise in volume, increasing the likelihood of follow-through. 4. Trading Setup Explanation This trade follows a trend-following breakout strategy, where traders capitalize on price momentum after confirmation. Entry Point: The ideal entry is just above the breakout candle. Traders can also wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering. Stop Loss Placement: The stop loss is placed slightly below the previous swing low at 0.006652. This prevents excessive drawdowns in case of a false breakout. Profit Target Calculation: The profit target is set at 0.006795, which is calculated based on: The height of the triangle formation projected from the breakout point. The next major resistance level, aligning with historical price action. 5. Risk Management Strategy Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. Here’s how it is applied in this setup: Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): A good trade setup maintains an RRR of at least 2:1. If the stop loss is 33 pips (0.000033) and the target is 112 pips (0.000112), the RRR is 3:1, making this a high-probability trade. Position Sizing Consideration: Risk per trade should be limited to 1-2% of the total account balance. Leverage should be used cautiously, as breakouts can sometimes retest the breakout zone before continuing. 6. Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios) Bullish Scenario (Successful Breakout): ✅ If price sustains above the breakout level, it will likely continue to rally toward the target at 0.006795. ✅ A strong bullish momentum candle would confirm further buying pressure. ✅ If volume supports the breakout, trend continuation is highly probable. Bearish Scenario (False Breakout or Reversal): ❌ If price falls back inside the triangle, it indicates a false breakout. ❌ If price closes below 0.006652, bears take control, and price may drop further. ❌ A breakdown below the support level would shift the market sentiment bearish. 7. Conclusion & Trading Plan This chart presents a classic symmetrical triangle breakout trade with a clear entry, stop-loss, and target strategy. Summary of Trading Plan: Component Details Pattern Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Direction Bullish Entry Point Above the breakout confirmation candle Stop Loss 0.006652 (below support) Take Profit (Target) 0.006795 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Favorable (3:1) Market Bias Bullish (if price sustains above breakout) Final Considerations: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Monitor volume and price action for additional validation. Stick to the risk management plan to minimize losses. If executed correctly, this setup offers a high-probability trade with a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making it a profitable trading opportunity in the JPY/USD market.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
The Day Ahead Key Events for Tuesday, April 1, 2025 Economic Data Releases: US: ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending, JOLTS Job Openings, Vehicle Sales China: Caixin Manufacturing PMI Japan: Tankan Survey, Jobless Rate, Job-to-Applicant Ratio Italy: Manufacturing PMI, Car Sales, Unemployment Rate, Budget Balance Eurozone: CPI (Inflation), Unemployment Rate Canada: Manufacturing PMI Central Banks: Fed: Barkin speaks ECB: Lagarde & Lane speak BoE: Greene speaks RBA: Holds rates at 4.1% Other: US House Special Elections in Florida (Could impact markets) This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
89542.51 or higher, the key is whether the price can be maintain Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a good day today. ------------------------------------- The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE. Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition. Today, we will talk about the BTCUSD chart for the first time. - (BTCUSD 1D chart) If the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it can be interpreted that it is in an upward trend in the medium to long term. Currently, it is showing a short-term uptrend as it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, but it is highly likely that it will continue to rise only if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising to around 89542.51. - We need to see if the OBV is maintained above the middle line and can break through the upper line. Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, if there is no increase in trading volume, it is likely to eventually show a downtrend. If it shows a downtrend, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and determine the trend again. At this time, we need to check whether there is support near 73589.43. - The competition starts on April 1. As I mentioned in the Binance BTCUSDT chart description, the next volatility period is expected to be around April 5 (April 4-6). Therefore, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and decide the position. In other words, I think it is good to decide the position depending on whether there is support near the original section marked on the 30m chart. - It is expected that the key point of this competition will be whether the trading volume can increase and whether the price can be maintained by rising above 89542.51. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again. (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by readCrypto
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupMarket Overview & Context Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past few weeks. However, recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum as a bearish Rising Wedge pattern emerges. This technical pattern often signals a possible trend reversal or correction. This analysis focuses on a 4-hour (H4) chart, which provides a medium-term perspective for traders. The market has recently encountered a strong resistance zone, and multiple price rejections indicate a potential downward move. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge Formation The Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves higher within two converging trendlines. This structure suggests that while buyers are still in control, their momentum is weakening. Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart: Uptrend with Weakening Momentum: The price has been rising, but the higher highs are becoming less aggressive. The slope of the highs is flatter compared to the lows, which indicates declining bullish strength. Converging Trendlines: The price is getting squeezed between support and resistance. This tightening range typically precedes a breakout, with a higher probability of a bearish breakdown. Bearish Implications: A breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline confirms bearish sentiment. The price could drop sharply toward the next major support level if sellers gain control. Key Technical Levels & Trading Strategy 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (Supply Area) – $34.50 to $34.60 The price has repeatedly tested but failed to break above this zone. This confirms that sellers are active in this area, leading to multiple rejections. A strong supply zone, making it an ideal stop-loss placement for short trades. 2️⃣ Support Level (Demand Area) – $30.50 to $30.60 This level has acted as major support in previous price action. If the breakdown occurs, this is the primary downside target for sellers. 3️⃣ Stop Loss – $34.61 Positioned just above resistance to minimize risk exposure. Ensures that if price moves against the trade, losses are contained. Trading Plan & Execution 📉 Short (Sell) Setup – Bearish Breakdown Expected ✅ Entry: A confirmed breakout below the rising wedge’s support trendline (~$33.50 - $33.80). ✅ Stop Loss: Placed slightly above $34.61, ensuring risk control. ✅ Target: $30.56, aligning with previous support zones and technical projections. Risk-Reward Analysis Entry at breakdown (~$33.50) Stop loss (~$34.61) – Risk: ~1.1 points Target (~$30.56) – Reward: ~2.9 points Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3, making this a highly favorable short setup. Confirmation Signals to Watch Before Entering a Trade 📉 Break and Retest of Support as Resistance If price breaks below wedge support and retests it as new resistance, it strengthens the bearish case. 📉 Volume Spike on Breakdown A sharp increase in volume when breaking support confirms strong selling pressure. 📉 RSI Divergence (Bearish Signal) If the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows lower highs while the price makes higher highs, it suggests momentum weakness and a pending breakdown. Potential Trading Scenarios 📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) – Breakdown Confirmation If the price breaks below the wedge’s lower trendline and closes below $33.50, it will likely accelerate downward toward $30.56. Traders should enter short positions and hold for the target while managing risk with stop-loss levels. 📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) – Invalidating the Pattern If the price breaks above $34.60 and holds, the rising wedge pattern is invalidated. This would signal continued bullish strength, and traders should avoid short positions. Conclusion & Final Thoughts ✅ The Rising Wedge Pattern suggests a potential bearish reversal in Silver (XAG/USD). ✅ If the price breaks the lower trendline, a drop toward $30.56 is highly probable. ✅ Traders should wait for confirmation signals before entering a trade. ✅ Risk management is crucial, with a stop-loss above $34.61 to minimize exposure. 🔹 This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity, making it ideal for traders seeking short positions in Silver.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Birla Corporation – Is This the Right Time to Invest?Step-by-Step Analysis 1. Monthly Timeframe Analysis 📌 Previous Monthly Swing High: ₹1,650 (Liquidity Taken) 📌 Current Market High: ₹1,802 📌 Key Swing Low: ₹1,060.55 📌 Accumulation Zone: ₹943 – ₹846 ✅ The price has now reached this accumulation range, making it a potential long-term buying opportunity. 2. Daily Timeframe Confirmation ✅ The daily chart shows a liquidity sweep and a structure shift, supporting a potential reversal. ✅ While the price is in the monthly buying zone, we still need additional confirmation before committing to a full position. ✅ Key Entry Levels for Investors: ₹960 – ₹915: First zone to accumulate small quantities. ₹889 – ₹865: If the market dips further, this range offers a strong investment opportunity. 3. Profit Targets & Risk Management 📈 Profit Targets: 1️⃣ ₹1,215 – First target (short-term) 2️⃣ ₹1,330 – Second target (mid-term) 3️⃣ ₹1,657 – ₹1,800+ – Major long-term targets 📉 Stop-Loss Strategy: Set your stop-loss based on risk tolerance. Conservative traders can place stop-loss near ₹750 – ₹730, ensuring a good risk-reward ratio. Investment Strategy 🔹 Scenario 1: If price confirms reversal in the daily timeframe, early accumulation between ₹960 – ₹915 can be done. 🔹 Scenario 2: If price drops further below ₹910, investors can accumulate between ₹889 – ₹865. 🔹 Scenario 3: If price fails to hold these levels, wait for confirmation before further investment. Final Thoughts 📊 This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and liquidity-based trading strategies. While the accumulation zone is active, additional confirmation is recommended. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial experts before making an investment decision. 💡 Key Takeaway: Birla Corporation is at a potential investment-worthy level, but confirmation is crucial before committing large capital. 👉 Would you like a TradingView chart with this analysis? Let me know! 🚀
NSE:BIRLACORPNLong
by PRATHAPSIMHA
1
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis – Professional BreakdownThis BTC/USD 1-hour chart showcases a falling wedge breakout, indicating a potential bullish reversal after a downtrend. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin could move toward its next resistance target of $87,550, offering a profitable long setup for traders. Let's analyze the chart in detail. 1️⃣ Market Context: Understanding the Trend 📉 Previous Downtrend Before the wedge formation, Bitcoin was in a strong downtrend after reaching a resistance level near $87,000–$88,000. Sellers took control, creating lower highs and lower lows, forming a descending wedge pattern. The price declined sharply, reflecting profit-taking, increased supply, and weak demand. 📊 Current Market Setup Bitcoin found strong support around $81,412, a level where buyers have stepped in multiple times. The price action compressed into a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, indicating that bearish momentum was weakening. The breakout from the wedge suggests that bulls are regaining control, signaling a potential uptrend. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Resistance Level ($87,000–$88,000) This zone has acted as a strong supply area where Bitcoin previously struggled to break through. If Bitcoin approaches this level again, a break and retest scenario would be ideal for further continuation. 🔹 Support Level ($81,412) This area has provided multiple bounces, confirming it as a demand zone where buyers are actively defending. A break below this support would invalidate the bullish setup and could lead to a downward move. 📍 Breakout Confirmation The falling wedge breakout is confirmed by bullish price action and strong buying pressure. Bitcoin is now forming higher lows, indicating a potential trend reversal. 3️⃣ Technical Chart Pattern: The Falling Wedge 📌 What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price consolidates between two converging downward-sloping trendlines before breaking out upward. ✅ Characteristics of a Falling Wedge in This Chart Series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a contracting price range. Decreasing bearish momentum, seen by smaller candles near the support zone. Bullish breakout with strong momentum, signaling a reversal. 💡 Implication: A breakout from a falling wedge often leads to a strong upward move, especially if volume supports the breakout. 4️⃣ Trading Setup & Strategy 📍 Entry Strategy A confirmed breakout above the wedge with a strong bullish candle. A pullback and retest of the breakout level can provide a high-probability entry point. 🎯 Target Levels Primary Target: $87,550 (Projected based on wedge height). Extended Target: Above $88,000 if momentum continues. 🛑 Stop-Loss Placement Below the support zone at $81,412 to minimize risk. If Bitcoin falls below this level, it invalidates the bullish setup. 5️⃣ Risk & Considerations ⚠️ Potential Risks to Watch Fake Breakouts: If BTC fails to hold above the breakout level, it could result in a bull trap, causing a price reversal. Market Volatility: Crypto markets are highly volatile, and external factors (such as macroeconomic news or regulatory updates) could impact price movements. Resistance Pressure: The $87,000–$88,000 zone could act as a strong resistance, leading to possible consolidation before a decisive move. ✅ Risk Management Tips: Keep a tight stop-loss below key support. Adjust position size based on volatility. Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid false breakouts. 6️⃣ Conclusion: Bullish Bias but Caution Advised 📈 Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential uptrend after breaking out from the falling wedge pattern. However, traders should watch for a confirmation of strength before entering long positions. Key Points to Watch: BTC needs to hold above $83,500 to sustain bullish momentum. A strong candle close above $85,000 will further confirm bullish control. The $87,550–$88,000 resistance zone will be a crucial test for the next move. 🚀 Bullish outlook remains valid unless BTC drops below $81,412. Hashtags for TradingView Idea #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge #CryptoSignals #TradeSetup #TradingStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
ONEUSD/JPY Asian Range Pullback Strategy Timeframe: 30 Minutes Key Session: Asian Market Hours (00:00 - 05:30 +2GMT) Strategy Rules 1. Identify the Asian Range Mark the high and low of USD/JPY between 00:00 - 05:30 ( +2GMT ) Only trade if the range is >25pips (avoids noise). 2. Wait for Breakout + Pullback Breakout: Price must close outside the range (candle body, not wick). Pullback: Enter on a 50% retracement of the Asian range. Longs: Breakout above range → buy at 50% pullback. Shorts: Breakout below range → sell at 50% pullback. 3. Trade Execution Entry: 50% retracement level of the Asian range. Stop Loss: Longs: Below the range low (for breakouts above). Shorts: Above the range high (for breakouts below). Take Profit : 1:1 Risk-Reward (RR).
Short
by MarcinHarasimFX
EURUSD: Eurozone CPI expectations and PMIs in Europe and the US.By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The EUR/USD trades cautiously on Tuesday, in a context marked by the release of key data that could define its direction in the coming days. The pair is trading slightly lower by 0.09%, reflecting investors' uncertainty ahead of the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) and manufacturing PMIs in Europe and the United States. Eurozone CPI under the spotlight The market expects March CPI in the Eurozone to have risen by 2.2% y/y, one tenth less than in February, while core inflation could come in at 2.5%, also one tenth below the previous figure. A lower-than-expected figure could reinforce expectations of a more moderate stance by the European Central Bank (ECB), which would put further pressure on the euro against the dollar. PMI and economic outlook Manufacturing PMIs will also be released today in Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK, the Eurozone and the US. These data will offer insight into the health of the manufacturing sector and could influence perceptions of economic strength in both regions. If the data in Europe shows weakness and the US data beats expectations, the dollar could strengthen further, extending the downward pressure on the EURUSD. Technical Analysis The EURUSD is currently climbing in price since April 26th, supporting its climb at higher supports at each time 1.07364, 1.07649, 1.07913 its current POC, and today it has broken out generating support near 1.08 dollars per euro. If this price holds as support, we will see an increase in the value of the euro against the dollar. The 1-day chart shows an upward expansion of the averages, but if we go to 4 hours this expansion is much more timid. And in 1 hour this expansion is non-existent and the three averages are about to make a possible confluence of averages. In the Asian day there has been some correction with volume which could mark, together with the RSI currently at 43.10%, a recovery of the price. It is likely that in the news hours these prices will soar throughout the day, especially at the beginning of the American session that will put on the table the US data, which after the consequences of the tariff pressure are generating undesirable effects towards the United States, with its consequent weakening. If the U.S. data shows strength, the next area of movement for the dollar would be its second support indicated at 1.07649. In this environment, investors will continue to watch bond market signals and central bankers' speeches for clues on future monetary policy decisions that could impact the EURUSD price. EURUSD remains in a key zone, with support at 1.08, awaiting inflation and PMI data. If European data disappoints and the US shows strength, the dollar could gain ground. The US session will set the direction of the pair. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Long
by ActivTrades
Another Good Trade for GOLD (XAUUSD) Today My overall forecast for this week is that Gold will do classic expansion week where monday will go up then tuesday will most likely go up to sweep mondays high then do the reversal so that wednesday and thursday will be expansion going down and target the daily imbalances below. For today i was expecting a bullish push upwards for GOLD before it will reverse so i followed my steps by combining my multi timeframe analysis. From daily for the overall bias to 1H for that confirmation and alignment then 5m for my entry timeframe. Once i saw those 3 timeframes align with combination confirmation that i saw with the price action then i entered the trade. My original target was 1:3R but then i saw the weakness after price came to my 1:2R level so i manually pulled out with a 1:2R gain for today....
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by alfoxDayTrader
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown: Riding the Rising Wedge to Profit1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal) The Rising Wedge is a technical pattern that occurs when price makes higher highs and higher lows within converging trendlines. This pattern is considered bearish, as it usually precedes a breakdown when price fails to sustain the higher levels. The pattern is clearly visible as price moves within two upward-sloping black trendlines. The narrowing range suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and sellers are gaining control. A confirmed breakdown occurs when price breaks below the lower trendline, indicating potential further downside. 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige, Top Box) This area represents a strong supply zone where price has struggled to move higher. Each time the price reaches this level, selling pressure increases, pushing the price lower. The chart labels this as the Resistance Level, suggesting a potential reversal zone. Support Level (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Box) This is the previous demand zone, where price has rebounded multiple times. Once price reaches this level, buyers may attempt to push it higher. However, if this level fails to hold after the breakdown, further downside is expected. Stop Loss Level (~3,150) The stop loss is placed just above the recent highs. If price moves beyond this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders use stop losses to limit risk in case the market moves against the position. Target Level (~3,080) This is the projected downside target based on the height of the wedge. A measured move (calculated from the highest to the lowest point of the wedge) aligns with this target. It represents a potential 1.78% decline from the breakdown level. 3. Price Action & Trade Setup Breakout Confirmation: The price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a wedge breakdown. The bearish momentum suggests sellers are in control. Entry Zone: A good short-selling opportunity is identified after the breakdown and potential retest of the lower trendline. Risk Management: Stop loss at 3,150 (above resistance). Profit target at 3,080 (expected support). This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 4. Market Psychology Behind the Pattern Rising Wedge Psychology: The pattern forms as buyers push price higher, but each new high has weaker momentum. Eventually, selling pressure outweighs buying interest, leading to a breakdown. Resistance & Support Psychology: The resistance area acts as a supply zone where big traders sell their positions. The support zone may hold temporarily, but if it breaks, panic selling could accelerate the decline. 5. Possible Scenarios After the Breakdown Bearish Case (Most Likely Outcome) Price continues downward after breakdown. It reaches the 3,080 target with increased selling momentum. Confirmation of a bearish reversal pattern. Bullish Case (Invalidation of Setup) Price reclaims the wedge and moves back above resistance. It invalidates the bearish breakdown, stopping out sellers. A potential bullish continuation toward new highs. Final Thoughts This chart presents a high-probability short trade based on the Rising Wedge breakdown and resistance rejection. Traders can manage risk by setting a tight stop loss above resistance while aiming for a target at the next key support zone. The pattern suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, favoring sell setups over buying opportunities. Would you like me to add further insights, such as Fibonacci levels or RSI analysis, to strengthen the trade idea? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades