BTC CME GAP
- A new gap was created this weekend on the CME.
- BTC's price is higher there, which is typical.
- A gap isn’t always filled; while many do eventually close as prices retrace, it’s never guaranteed.
- This isn’t a price analysis, but rather an alert to monitor the gap.
- I’ll add my previous gap analysis in the comments.
Happy Tr4Ding
Beyond Technical Analysis
ENAUSDT 1H LONG (UPdate/Results)Due to the arrival of new variables from the market , key targets and entry were be changed. A similar situation was carried out on the LTC coin (in the previous review)
The price delivery range reached the daily POI and was maintained due to large limit purchases. A long position was opened from this range with the target at the CHoCH level
The position from the main review becomes no longer relevant:
LTCUSDT LONG 1H (Update/Results)From the main review, in which I indicated personal expectations, new market variables arrived both in terms of goals and entry.
On the 1D chart, the price interacted with the key area of interest (poi), removed the liq of the nearest min. and hit the order block 15m TF
New goal on CHoCH target, has been achieved.
stop moved to profit!
trend towards 2845, trend continues to strengthen! gold ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) declines for the second consecutive day, hitting a two-week low around $2,860 during Friday's Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) continues its recovery for the third straight day, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain its hawkish stance due to persistent inflation. This strengthens the USD and weighs on the non-yielding gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The gold price adjustment is mandatory, along with the influence of the world financial sectors, selling off at the same time. The trade war is very close, gold is also negatively affected by investors.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2891 - $2893 SL $2898
TP1: $2885
TP2: $2878
TP3: $2870
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2846 - $2844 SL $2839
TP1: $2852
TP2: $2860
TP3: $2870
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE :
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Trend February 28 - Maintain DowntrendGold news:
🔆The US confirmed that the annualized Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.3% in its second estimate. However, the quarterly Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Prices were revised upwards to 2.4% from the initial 2.3%, while Core PCE Prices saw an even sharper increase to 2.7% from the previous 2.5%.
🔆Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims rose significantly to 242K in the week ending February 22, surpassing market expectations of 221K. Durable Goods Orders outperformed forecasts, rising 3.1% in January compared to the anticipated 2%. In contrast, Pending Home Sales dropped by 4.6% in the same month, a much steeper decline than the expected -1.3%.
🔆However, market fears were primarily driven by US President Donald Trump. After initially stating that tariffs on Canada and Mexico would begin in April, he later corrected himself, confirming they would take effect on March 4 as originally planned. Additionally, he announced a new 10% tariff on China starting the same day and revealed that reciprocal tariffs would be implemented on April 2.
🔆Looking ahead, the US is set to release the January PCE Price Index on Friday, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure. Projections suggest a 0.3% monthly increase and a 2.5% rise year-over-year.
Personal opinion:
🔆Gold will continue to decline in the short term, starting to increase in March when Trump's tariff policies are about to take effect.
However, there will be a price increase at the beginning of the Asian session and then a short-term downtrend. After RSI (1H) confirms signs of convergence and the (4H) frame enters the oversold zone
Analysis:
🔆Based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci combined with EMA200 to come up with a reasonable strategy
Plan
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 2862 – 2860 (Asian and European scalping)
❌SL: 2855 | ✅TP: 2866– 2872 – 2880
👉Sell Gold 2889 – 2892 (Asian and European scalping)
❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2875– 2870 – 2860
👉Sell Gold 2842 – 2840
❌SL: 2977| ✅TP: 2965– 2960 – 2950
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Is it time to question why you bought? I've made a series of bearish posts on crypto over the last months and had my fair share of feedback on what people are doing and expecting.
A lot of you can't be doing too well right now. Perhaps it's time to take another think through why you are doing this and is you're ready for the worst case outcomes.
This isn't a gloating post. Many of my peers get really nasty when they make money in shorts. Personally, I know if I'd decided to build my business in something other than trading - I'd have worked hard and be bleeding out that money right now. I'd 100% be a bull from a laymen perspective. I'd be buying things I consider reckless now.
I want to offer some insights into why you may have done this so as to give you some counter balance in your thinking on the subject.
For one, if you're in crypto alts, pretty good chance you've not done a lot of real analysis. Right? You liked the community, or you had a friend who was in it, you saw a Youtube video ...
Basically what happened was BTC went up a lot. You wanted to make that money. And the game changed in such a way that you can not make big gains in BTC so you got into the alts.
Right?
I imagine that's the case for many.
If so, it's time to consider the quality of the info you've gotten.
Does it come from the cycles?
Mathematically the idea of cycles is entirely nonsense. Such a repeatable cycle is also nonsense from a markets perspective. And all through this "Cycle" you've literally watched it fail. It's nonsense. BTC got higher faster. It's about 10K drop away from the core thesis failing (in absolutist terms) and there was no alt season.
Everything is down 50% during the time the idea was mass pimped by content creators (NOT TRADERS ....).
Is it Saylor?
Saylor is following the same playbook he used during the tech bubble. During 2000 and 2001 the whole thing entirely failed. The debt was converted to shares. Everyone was diluted and then the stock crashed over 90%.
It really didn't go so well before.
And have you listened to Saylor? Like, seriously? Anytime I see him he's talking about market dynamics and linking it with laws of science. The guy is troll or insane.
"What if BTC stops going up".
"Hahaha well what if water stops flowing downhill? I think physics solved that one for us".
.....WHAT!
If it all drops, Saylor will be deemed to have insane. Rambling on in metaphors that made no sense.
Is it the internet?
Is it the people talking about that? All those people, they can't all be wrong ... right?
Have you taken a moment to consider the quality of these people's analysis? Its ...lacking.
Have you noticed how childish and rude they are all the time? How they can not engage in a civilised adult debate on a topic? Do you think the fact 70% of their communication is in emojis and insults gives them a strong knowledge base to tell you how to make important decisions?
Have you been led to believe the future is known?
I see this all the time. People who appear to be complete noobs speaking with complete confidence about the absolutely certain future based on completely no substance.
This one is a really short point. Ignore people foolish enough to trick themself into thinking they know the future!
===
I wish everyone well and hope my bear thesis is wrong.
But if I am right - the above will be the opinion of everyone once the mania has died.
A healthy retrace1- What a day yesterday! The bloodbath is not completed yet! Today is the end of D/W/M and it will be another huge red candle; another 800-900 points to the downside!
2- I was wrong about a retrace up; NVDA results were not sufficient to attract buyers. Market is pricing in the slowing down of US economy with a real risk of recession; all macro-data were bad recently.
3- This was fueled by US Tariffs.
4- Core PCE data came inline but higher than the previous reading.
On the other hand, Trump mentioned the tax cuts which is very good for equities. Hence, this sell-off is not so bad; it's very healthy for the next move up. I will come back to this point during the Monthly/Weekly Analysis.
Forecasting Dynamic Fibonacci MA w/369 theoryAt first, it was a theory. Now as I continue to craft and tweak my dynamic MA I’ve come to discover a special symbol that performs well with this indicator, XRP. XRP’s Bitcoin-like volatility mixed with Link-like stable trends gives it the opportunity to perform extremely well. This indicator was made, tweaked and utilized for and on XRPs market. So it is best to use it on =<30min with 0 offset (forecasting). To get the best forecasting predictions, use 1hr and above with at least 1 offset or as many as you need to add until the line is just one point ahead of the current candle. I’ve found these predictions to be extremely accurate for XRP
Why is the market crashing?Why Did Bitcoin Crash to $78K? Here’s What’s Driving the Panic
Bitcoin soared to an all-time high of $109K in January 2025, but last night, it crashed to $78K, a brutal 26% drop, leaving it hovering around $80K. The market’s in full panic mode, and after digging into the latest news, here’s why: Trump tariffs, the Bybit hack, and a mix of other pressures are to blame.
1. Trump Tariffs: Trade War Chaos
The Trump administration’s new tariffs, 25% on Mexico and Canada, 10% on China, are shaking up global trade. Here’s the impact on Bitcoin:
Uncertainty Surge: Higher costs and trade disruptions spook investors.
Risk-Off Mood: People ditch volatile assets like Bitcoin for safer bets like bonds.
Sell-Off Trigger: The fear of an economic slowdown is hitting crypto hard.
These tariffs are a major reason for the market’s jitters.
2. Bybit Hack: $1.5B Gone
A massive hack hit Bybit’s Trust Wallet, with $1.5 billion in Ethereum stolen, the biggest crypto heist ever. Here’s why it’s tanking Bitcoin:
Trust Shattered: Security breaches like this make everyone nervous about crypto safety.
Panic Selling: Fear of more hacks or losses sparks a rush to sell.
This event is amplifying the crash big time.
3. Other Crash Fuel
Beyond tariffs and the hack, these factors are piling on:
Macro Fears: Uncertainty over Federal Reserve rate hikes is pushing investors away from risk.
Profit-Taking: After hitting $109K, big players cashed out, adding pressure.
Post-Halving Dip: Bitcoin often corrects after halvings (like 2024’s), and we might be feeling that now.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
This crash sucks, no doubt, tariffs and a billion-dollar hack are a nasty combo. But Bitcoin’s bounced back from worse. The panic might ease once the news settles, though recovery could take a minute. Keep an eye on trade updates and crypto security news, they’ll drive what’s next.
Bearish Opportunity in OM1. We have price at key pd array as the Daily breaker block low
2. We have Inversion FVG H1 that acted as resistance as expected
3. We have structures shift in discount that will flip to new PREMIUM
4. We have draws as the sellside liquidities in H1
note:
Significant changes were made in the tokenomics of MANTRA. therefore volatility is expected
This pair is highly manipulated in Binance therefore taking this trade there is not recommended,
Bearish opportunity in BERA1. We have structure shift in M15
2. We have price rejecting off the entry pd array in H1
3. We have draws as the lowest low in this chart
4. All the PD ARRAYS marked on the chart should act as RESISTANCE AS WE ARE IN A SELL PROGRAM NOW
Fundamental twist;
since it there was a free airdrop sellers might sell off their holdings
Google - Buy Cycle Google
Buy cycle
Tp@206.75
% bubble
Price launched from the base at 206.75.
Potential Down Trend shown in the chart.
Treading plan:
We need to wait to see the price interaction with the trend line which will be a guide for deciding on the entries for the long position.
Spot orders:
Entry 1: 144
Entry 2: 124
Entry 3: 103
TP: 206
quant zones for friday US and CAD dataCheck out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
Do ask if you have any question
Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
quant zones for friday
already in shorting zone
if US data and cad data spiked it higher even better for shorting.
BTCUSDT - The CME gap will be filled soonContrary to expectations that February has always been a green and positive month in Bitcoin history, this month is closing with a bearish monthly candle.
We will probably have a lot of volatility in March. This volatility will start with the release of important data such as the NFP. According to recent economic data, the US economy has performed better than expected in 2024 but there are still signs of slowing growth in 2025.
But in short, considering that in recent months, the NFP report has been stronger than expected, indicating a strong labor market, we expect to see continued strengthening of the dollar in March. This will cause Bitcoin to be pushed down for a quick downward move to fill the CME gap after a long period of range-bound trading. But this is not a cause for concern. Since this move is not a bearish signal but just a flash crash to attract liquidity, it will react to the area and immediately return to the top.
Structurally, considering that we have bullish order flow on the HTF, there are technical signs that Bitcoin could have a downward correction.
BTCUSDT, Bearish Scenarios for upcoming days ...Hello Traders, Hope you're great.
for Upcoming days, I anticipate 2 Bearish scenarios :
In First Scenario, I expect price does an upward correction to the nearest broken support level that became to an important supply zone around 91-93K and after that starts to drop.
in Second scenario, I expect price does a further upward correction and goes to the supply zone around 95-97K and after that start a major downward movement.
Targets are 85K, 82K and my final target is 77K.
Don't forget to use proper risk management.
And finally tell me what do you think about BTCUSDT, UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
$40K Is Not Possible & The 2025 Bull-Market (Back To Basics)Let's clear a few basic but very important points because there is some confusion going on around right now, and this is dangerous for our Cryptocurrency market bulls.
The 2025 bull-market is not over because it hasn't even started. Correct?
The Cryptocurrency market grew in late 2024, between November and December. Cryptocurrency peaked in Nov.-Dec. 2024 and then entered a corrective phase. This corrective phase that started in late 2024 is ongoing until now. So 2025 has been mainly bearish action; no bull-market, yet.
Cryptocurrency first peaked in March 2024 and then went into correction mode until August 2024. Between August and October 2024 the Cryptocurrency market consolidated and this consolidation produced the last advance mentioned above.
As the market hits bottom now, we will enter a new phase of growth. The bull-market cannot be over because it has not even started.
Bitcoin at $40,000?
Bitcoin at $40,000 is not possible and I will explain why.
The March 2024 peak price was $74,000. The two peaks in 2021 were $64,000 and $69,000 in April and November 2021 respectively. This is the biggest support in the history of Bitcoin and cannot be violated.
The consolidation in late 2024 also works as a very strong support range and this is our baseline but prices are set to bounce, always, around 80K.
This is why 40,000 is just a dream, or a bad joke, and not possible. Bitcoin is going up.
The 2025 bull-market
It is a fact that 2025 has been bearish, the first two months. For Bitcoin it has been sideways and now we have bearish action. This is all perfect and it is all good. All is well that ends well. Since the bearish action is happening now, the bullish happen will happen later on.
As we all know, new All-Time Highs will happen in late 2025. Make sense, it is logic. I can see it, grasp it, hear it, feel it.
Cryptocurrency is going to undergo the biggest bull-market in its history in 2025.
The bull-market is not over because it has yet to start.
Hold easy and hold strong.
Panic hold.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Ethereum Market OverviewThis analysis builds upon the previous technical outlook, identifying three key patterns on Ethereum’s daily timeframe:
1. Ascending Channel
Ethereum has been trading within a well-established ascending channel since 2018. Each time a new all-time high (ATH) is reached, price consistently tests the channel’s resistance, while the major support level was formed on March 23, 2020, creating a strong demand zone that remains intact.
Currently, ETH has reached the lower boundary of this channel at $2,128, a key support level. If a bullish reversal occurs, the next upside target aligns with the ascending channel resistance at $8,463.
2. Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle pattern has been forming since March 23, 2020, with its support level coinciding with the lower boundary of the ascending channel. A confirmed breakout above $3,600 would validate this pattern, triggering a bullish AB=CD extension, with a price projection towards $8,463.
3. Fibonacci Retracement
Currently, ETH is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical zone for potential trend reversals. If this level holds against bearish pressure, the next bullish projection aligns with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $5,319.
Breakdown Risk & Buyback Strategy
If the current support level fails, ETH could see a maximum downside correction of -26%, targeting $1,600. This level presents a high-probability buyback opportunity, offering a potential +437% upside, should Ethereum rally towards its extended price projection at $8,463.
This analysis underscores the importance of risk management and technical confirmation signals before executing any trades.