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A much needed resting day within a bullish backdrop for $SPXIdeally, I would like to see a few more days of resting / corrective activity, following 6 straight days of range expansion, and a prior pivot high is a logical place for a dip or an inside day. Let's look at sector-by-sector analysis, using The Strat method: 1) Look at the colour of the candle on each timeframe to determine who is in control: bulls or bears✅ 2) Make sure the top sectors of CBOE:SPX are confirming the index-level picture. Currently AMEX:XLY is showing some discord. Okay ✅ but something to watch for. 3) Make sure the lower timeframe timeframes confirm the thesis of the higher timeframes. They should be aligned to avoid chop. All green on the month. ✅
CBOE:SPXLong
by gkretinin
GBPAUD Short Setup📉 GBPAUD Short Setup 📉 We're anticipating a bearish move on GBPAUD, targeting 1.96378, with the deadline set for 27th January at 03:00 UTC. Price has shown signs of rejection at higher levels, indicating potential for further downside movement. The market structure aligns with our expectations, and we're watching for momentum to push towards the target. Key levels to watch: 🔸 Entry zone: Around current levels 🔸 Target: 1.96378 🔸 Deadline: 27th January, 03:00 UTC Let's see how this plays out!
Short
by GlobalHorns
Gold growth - 2788 highest price zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) regains upward momentum after a brief pause, climbing to $2,777 during the Asian session on Friday, marking its highest level since October 31. Concerns over US President Donald Trump's trade policies potentially sparking trade wars and increasing market volatility continue to fuel demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) weigh on the US Dollar (USD), pushing it closer to a monthly low and supporting the non-yielding yellow metal. Trump's recent comments, expressing a preference to avoid imposing tariffs on China, have slightly boosted global risk sentiment but have not diminished the positive outlook for Gold. However, mildly overbought conditions on short-term charts may limit fresh bullish positions on XAU/USD in the near term. Even so, the metal is set for strong weekly gains and edges closer to its all-time high near $2,790, reached in October. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Market optimism - expect new ATH coming to surpass 2788 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2723 - $2725 SL $2718 TP1: $2735 TP2: $2742 TP3: $2750 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2788 - $2790 SL $2793 scalping TP1: $2784 TP2: $2778 TP3: $2770 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2800 - $2798 SL $2805 TP1: $2790 TP2: $2780 TP3: $2770 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
3
Trump Threatens Europe with Tariffs: What About the Markets? Hi, I’m Andrea Russo, a professional trader, and today I want to discuss this week's hot topic. Donald Trump has recently revived his old economic slogan, promising heavy tariffs for companies that do not produce within the United States. In a public statement, the former president reiterated that foreign producers would face tariffs if they do not establish manufacturing plants in the USA. A direct attack on the European Union and its Green Deal policies, which he called a "scam". But what impact will this threat have on global markets? In this article, we’ll explore the potential consequences for stock markets, currencies, and vulnerable economic sectors, as well as the ripple effects on global monetary policies. 1. The Context of Trump's Threat Trump’s threat of imposing significant tariffs on foreign companies is nothing new. During his presidency, he initiated a series of trade wars, particularly against China, threatening tariffs on imported goods to stimulate domestic production and reduce the trade deficit. Now, Trump is reprising this approach, focusing this time on the European Union and targeting environmental policies and the Green Deal, which he has long promoted as a "scam" and harmful to American businesses. His proposal to cut taxes to 15% for companies investing in the USA, combined with the threat of tariffs on imported goods, could strengthen his electoral base but has the potential to stir tensions between the world’s largest economies. 2. Impact on Financial Markets Trump's announcement has already triggered reactions in financial markets. While the risk of a global trade war may seem reduced compared to the peaks of 2018-2019, the threat of new tariffs has the potential to create turbulence, especially in sectors that are particularly exposed to changes in tariff policies. Export and import sectors: Companies heavily reliant on imports/exports may be the most vulnerable to these threats. European and Asian producers exporting to the USA could face reduced profit margins if they are hit with new tariffs. In particular, the automotive, technology, and electronics sectors could see demand contraction from American consumers who may have to pay higher prices for imported products. German, Japanese, and Chinese automotive companies could be particularly affected, as they represent a major share of imports into the USA. Currencies: An immediate reaction to these developments could reflect in the currency markets. The USD could strengthen, as protectionist policies are often seen as an incentive for domestic production, making it more attractive to invest in the United States. However, an escalation in the trade war could lead to higher volatility and weaken sentiment toward emerging market currencies, which are more vulnerable to U.S. protectionist measures. 3. Companies and Sectors Sensitive to Tariff Threats Technology sector: Tech companies with strong presences in Asia, such as Apple, Samsung, and Huawei, may face pressure on their profit margins if they are subject to tariffs on exports to the USA. Trump’s policies could push companies to reconsider their global supply chains and set up local production in the USA to avoid additional tariffs. Automotive sector: Another sector highly vulnerable to tariffs is the automotive industry. Foreign automakers may find themselves paying tariffs on imported vehicles, reducing the competitiveness of their products compared to U.S. manufacturers like Ford and General Motors. This scenario could lead investors to reassess their positions on automotive stocks and trade based on expectations of declining demand. Energy sector & Green Deal: Trump’s strong criticism of the European Green Deal could boost the position of American energy companies, particularly those operating in natural gas and oil. The United States may further loosen environmental regulations to stimulate domestic production, benefiting American energy companies over European ones. However, a tariff threat on imported green technologies could hinder investments in renewable energy innovation. 4. Political and Geopolitical Reactions A likely response to this tariff threat could be immediate retaliation from the European Union and other nations. Countermeasures could include imposing reciprocal tariffs on U.S. goods, as occurred during Trump’s previous term. The escalation of such measures could trigger a new cycle of protectionism, amplifying global economic uncertainty. The European Union, in particular, could adopt policies aimed at reducing its dependence on the United States, strengthening trade alliances with Asia and other emerging economies, which could significantly impact international trade and currency valuations. 5. Implications for Investors: Strategies and Risks With growing uncertainty over global trade policies, investors should closely monitor the evolution of this situation. Some potential strategies include: Currency hedging: Investors may choose to hedge their positions in currency markets using instruments like forex futures or currency options to mitigate the risk of unexpected dollar fluctuations. Defensive sectors: Investing in more defensive sectors, such as consumer goods and utilities, which tend to be less sensitive to geopolitical developments, could be a safer strategy in times of uncertainty. Low correlation stocks: Looking at alternative assets or investing in low-correlation stocks (e.g., small-cap stocks or emerging market stocks) could be an interesting strategy to diversify and reduce risk during periods of volatility. Conclusion Trump's threat to impose new tariffs on imported goods signals a return to more protectionist trade policies. While the market’s initial reaction may be volatile, the long-term effect will depend on how the geopolitical situation evolves and the countermeasures taken by U.S. trading partners. Investors should prepare for a new phase of uncertainty, closely monitoring central bank actions, fiscal policies, and corporate strategies to navigate this new economic reality effectively.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Short Order on EUR/USD: Targeting a PullbackHi Traders ! I've placed a sell limit order on the EUR/USD pair at the 1.04784 level, expecting a reversal from this resistance zone within the bullish channel. My stop loss is set at 1.05482 to limit risk in case the price continues to rise, while my take profit is at 1.04087, targeting a pullback towards the bottom of the channel. I trust that the price will respect the market structure and I'm taking advantage of this potential correction to make a profit. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it is important to conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Short
by MetalsMine
Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025Market Overview: Asia: China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout. Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum. South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th. Europe: EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD. Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days. France: Continues to show strength this year. Bitcoin and Ethereum: Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating. Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout. Key Indicators and Sectors: VIX: At 15.07, remaining low. Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days. Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30. RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th. QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th. Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience. FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves. XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days. XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days. XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward. XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week. XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th. Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred. DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy. Plan of Action: Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength. Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves. Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by GreenBkk
At least a 10% market gain for Berkshire in 2025.Berkshire is one of the smart companies that has been actively selling overvalued stocks and investing in more promising sectors lately. Political changes could also positively impact the company, as potential tariffs from Trump would benefit Buffett's furniture industry. It’s no secret that the U.S. imports massive amounts of furniture. Another part of the company’s operations is insurance, which accounts for about 26% of the company’s profit. It hasn’t entered any risky sectors related to the famous cases in Los Angeles. The company expects around $92 billion in revenue for Q4, and if this is achieved, Berkshire will close another record-breaking year. Thus, at least a 10% market gain for Berkshire in 2025.
NYSE:BRK.BLong
by gorgevorgian
USDJPY Trade IdeaWith the Federal Reserve already adopting a dovish monetary policy stance and the significant divergence in policies between the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Federal Reserve, USD/JPY appears to be an attractive candidate for a short swing trade. 🔍 A few days ago, I opened a position in this direction, and now, despite that position still being active, I’m adding a new one. 💡 Risk Management: The total risk for this project remains strictly controlled and does not exceed 2% of the total capital. What’s your analysis? 🤔👇
Short
by MasoudEskandari
1
GOLD MAKE NEW RECORD 2840 This chart is an analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) market on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown: 1. Trend Overview: The price is moving in an upward channel (marked by parallel yellow lines), indicating a bullish trend. There was consolidation earlier, as shown by the blue shaded channel, but the breakout above this zone signals bullish momentum. 2. Key Levels: Demand Zone (Resistance): 2840. This is highlighted as a potential resistance area where the price may struggle to break higher. First Take Profit (TP): 2800. This is the initial target for profit-taking based on the analysis. Stop Loss (SL): 2748. The stop-loss level is set below recent price support to minimize risk in case the market reverses. 3. Price Movement Expectation: The yellow arrows indicate an expected upward movement. The price is predicted to move towards 2800 (first TP) and possibly continue towards 2840 (demand zone). Pullbacks or retests are expected along the way to maintain the bullish structure. 4. Risk Management: The stop-loss at 2748 ensures risk is contained if the upward momentum fails. The chart suggests entering around the current level (2773) to target the resistance levels while maintaining proper risk-reward. This setup relies on the continuation of bullish momentum, with clear entry, target, and risk levels defined
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_Vip_Signals
US30 - 30 minute Fully automated strategy!Most traders are WASTING hours staring at charts. Not me. My automated strategy? 94% win rate. 15.4% profit. In TWELVE MONTHS. Let me break down the INSANE stats: Total Trades: 34 Winning Streak: 13 consecutive wins Maximum Drawdown: Just 1.16% Profit: 15.4% This isn't luck. This is SYSTEMISED WINNING. My software does what 99% of traders CAN'T: Eliminates emotion Trades precisely Executes without hesitation Runs on 30-minute US30 charts Want financial freedom? Stop trading. START BUILDING SYSTEMS. One click. Automated execution. Pure profit. That's how real wealth is created. Are you IN or are you OUT
ICMARKETS:US30
by alix_fx_
GBP usd The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the 4-hour chart holds above 60, reflecting the bullish stance. On the upside, 1.2370 (20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), Fibonacci 38.2% retracement of the latest downtrend) aligns as next resistance before 1.2400 (round level, static level) and 1.2450 (Fibonacci 50% retracement). GBP/USD trades in a tight range near 1.2350 on Wednesday as the US Dollar stays on the back foot amid a positive shift seen in risk sentiment. Investors keep a close eye on comments from US President Donald Trump on trade policies.
Short
by Eliana74
1
TRUMP COIN: An Objective PerspectiveA US President creating a meme coin just as he is inaugurated. That is something I never thought I would live to see. Donald J Trump created a meme cryptocurrency coin called TRUMP. In a matter of hours since launched, this coin blasted sky high. TRUMP coin is now the 25th most valuable cryptocurrency coin with a value of around $8 billion USD, according to the website CoinMarketCap. There are both positive and negative remarks surrounding the launch of this coin, but needless to say, there is massive hype around crypto at the moment. In the video I go through my thoughts on the chart analysis, as well as personal opinion on what may possibly happen. Trade safe out there, guys! - R2F Trading
by Road_2_Funded
2