Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

SPX GEO+ Cycle Update: "SPX: April Low Called, Target 8000+"SPX GEO+ Cycle Update: April Low Called Precisely (Next Target: 8000) On January 5th, 2025, when SPX was trading at 5942, I published an analysis in Italian using my GEO+ Cycle methodology that made two specific projections: 📉 A low around 5000 in April 2025 📈 Then an advance targeting 8000 by 2026 Update: April delivered exactly as projected. The geometric patterns suggested April would mark a significant turning point, and the market found strong support right in the anticipated zone and timeframe. About GEO+ Cycles: After 15 years studying market geometry, I've developed a framework that identifies multi-decade structural patterns. These aren't traditional technical indicators—they're mathematical relationships that help project major turning points with remarkable precision. Current Phase: We're now in the advancing phase of this cycle. Based on geometric projections, the target window for 8000 remains January 2026. Important Context: This represents cycle analysis for educational purposes, not trading advice. The methodology focuses on identifying major structural turning points rather than short-term movements. What's Next: I'll continue tracking this cycle's development and provide updates as we approach key geometric levels. For those interested in learning more about geometric market analysis, feel free to follow for updates on this and other cycle progressions. The mathematics of market geometry continue to unfold... Note: Originally published in Italian, now sharing these insights with the global TradingView community.
SP:SPX
by Actragea
Altcoins Psychological analysisAs I’ve said many times, altseason began in 2024 . After a significant correction, we entered the second bullish wave in April 2025 . As shown in the chart, the orange zone represents the break-even prices for most retail investors. FOMO will begin as we enter this zone, which will encourage whales to dump their coins, since liquidity will be returning to the market. Retail investors may then struggle to exit their positions as theire positions are not so profitable. To take advantage of this wave, you should reassess your break-even prices and begin selling gradually throughout this ongoing trend. BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2ESLong
by Monstralian
7
Macroeconomic analysis of the American marketHello investor friends, today I bring an update on the macro economic state of the American economy which generally moves markets around the world. From the graph we can see the S&P 500 index on which 4 lines have been superimposed which coincide with: - FED interest rate - FED balance sheet - US inflation rate - US unemployment rate The vertical line on the graph coincides with the date of the last update I made 5 months ago. The central bank decides interest rates and the injection of money with the aim of keeping inflation low and avoiding too much unemployment. At the moment we have: - Unemployment rate at 4% (remained unchanged) - Inflation at 2.4% (decreased compared to 5 months ago) - The balance / release of printed money (continues to fall) - The interest rate remained unchanged (current 4.33%) Compared to 5 months ago the situation seems to have improved and is quite stable. The FED has decided to keep rates unchanged due to political issues as it would like to see clearly before making cuts. In general we can say that the situation seems quite good as, unemployment is low, inflation is at optimal levels, we see that the budget/money injection is decreasing and therefore leads to maintaining regular inflation and finally the interest rates being stable maintain a low level of unemployment. Given these factors we see that since the last update 5 months ago (i.e. in February), in the following weeks there was a collapse due to Trump's policies but that it was certainly an excellent opportunity to increase positions given that the macroeconomic situation was positive as it currently is. From today we could certainly expect further declines due to other monetary policies or other news, but as long as the macro situation is positive we have no reason to worry. 👍 Like if you want more macro updates in the future 🙋‍♂️ Follow me so you don't miss my future analyses ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions. SP:SPX FRED:SP500 VANTAGE:SP500 AMEX:SPY VANTAGE:DJ30 AMEX:DIA CME_MINI:NQ1! FX:NAS100 NASDAQ:QQQ FX:EUSTX50 FOREXCOM:GER40 FX:AUS200
TVC:SPX
by LuTrader_LB
XRP - This is one of many great opportunitiesXRP is reaching a solid level of $2.1. I believe this level will attract investors for the following reasons : Technicals : After breaking the main resistance trendline, XRP is now reaching a solid support level presented in green. Price action : - In accumulating since Jan '25 - Resisted to last market dumps Beyond technicals : - Very strong community - Real services and strong team Market sentiment : The investors are now looking for a strong asset to invest in. They may switch their alts to any coin that shows strenght. For now, XRP is on the top list. Recap : - Risks : bad news from the team , whales dumping , ... - Main Target : $4 - Reward : near 100% BITSTAMP:XRPUSD COINBASE:XRPUSD BYBIT:XRPUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:XRP KUCOIN:XRPUSDT
Long
by Monstralian
BTC – Bullish Continuation Ahead ?Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined rising channel since mid-2023, respecting both upper and lower bounds beautifully. After each impulsive move, we’ve seen healthy corrections followed by bullish continuations — a classic market structure in play. 🟦 Accumulation Zone: After a long accumulation phase, BTC kicked off a strong bullish cycle. 🟥 Correction Phases: Each major move was followed by a red correction zone before resuming the uptrend. 🟧 Current Phase: BTC is consolidating just below the upper channel boundary. A breakout above this zone could confirm the next bullish wave toward $140K+. 🔵 Key Observations: Structure remains intact within the channel Previous breakout zones now acting as support (blue arrows) Continuation patterns are forming, signaling potential upside 🏹As long as the orange zone holds, BTC remains in a bullish structure, and a breakout would likely push us to new highs. 📍Will history repeat and BTC continue its journey toward the upper channel boundary? Let’s wait for confirmation! 💬 What’s your bias here? Are you bullish or waiting for a deeper pullback? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
16
EURUSD H4 RISES 🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD Analysis (4H) 📉 Current Structure: Price is hovering around 1.17298, showing hesitation at the resistance of a potential bearish flag. While the chart labels this zone as “bullish,” there are signs of market indecision, possibly a fakeout trap. ⚠️ Key Disruptions: 1. Bullish Trap Risk: The price formed a short-term M-pattern (double top inside the orange circle), indicating bearish exhaustion rather than continuation. The expected breakout to the upside may fail if bulls don’t sustain volume. 2. Support Area Weakness: The support zone around 1.17000 has been tested multiple times. If it breaks, it could turn into a strong resistance, flipping the sentiment. 3. Macro Influence: Upcoming EUR and USD economic events (noted by icons) could cause high volatility and break structure unexpectedly. A strong USD report could reverse bullish momentum, sending EUR/USD toward 1.16500 or lower. 4. Bearish Continuation Scenario: If the market breaks down from the current consolidation, expect targets at:
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
1
GBPCHF - Continuation Setup towards 1.0770GBPCHF recently descended with strength, and I’ve been watching to see how price reacts here. Price now hovers above and this is a great indication for us to use for possible continuation move, that could send price into the 1.0770 level. But if price breaks above with momentum, then I’ll back off the bearish bias and reassess, and I’d consider the continuation idea invalidated, with potential for further upside. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TrendDiva
28
Overtrading – The Silent Threat to Consistent PerformanceTrader Psychology | Part 1: Overtrading – The Silent Threat to Consistent Performance In trading, more does not mean better. One of the most common and damaging psychological pitfalls traders fall into is overtrading — executing too many trades, often without clear setups, simply to stay active in the market. It’s subtle, it feels productive… but it quietly erodes both your capital and your discipline. 💡 What Is Overtrading? Overtrading occurs when a trader opens excessive positions, often outside of their strategy or plan. It’s driven by emotions rather than logic, and usually shows up in one of the following forms: Taking trades without confirmation Trying to "make back" previous losses (revenge trading) Forcing trades during low-volume market conditions Trading simply out of boredom or anxiety about missing out It’s not just about the number of trades — it’s about why you’re taking them. ⚠️ How to Know You're Overtrading You're entering trades that don’t meet your criteria You feel uncomfortable not having an active position You trade aggressively after a loss You switch strategies frequently Your trading feels more like activity than decision-making You’re losing more in fees/spread than on price movement 🧠 Why Overtrading Happens 🔹 The Need to Be "Active" Traders often equate activity with productivity. But the truth is, patience is a trading skill — doing nothing is sometimes the most profitable move. 🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily Some traders feel they must generate daily profits. This mindset leads to forcing trades during uncertain or low-probability conditions. 🔹 Overconfidence After Wins A short winning streak can create the illusion of control, pushing traders to increase frequency and risk — usually without real setups to back it up. 🔻 The Cost of Overtrading Rapid Drawdowns: Frequent small losses and transaction costs add up quickly Emotional Fatigue: Decision-making becomes reactive instead of rational Loss of Trust in Your System: Not because the system failed — but because it wasn’t followed Increased Costs: Spreads, commissions, and swaps eat into your margin Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your balance. It damages your confidence, focus, and mental capital. ✅ How to Stop Overtrading – Practical Fixes 1. Set a Daily Trade Limit Commit to a maximum number of trades per session (e.g., 2–3 trades). This forces you to wait for the best opportunities. 2. Track Your Trades in a Journal Log each trade: the setup, your reasoning, emotions, and outcome. Over time, this reveals emotional patterns and helps you regain discipline. 3. Trade Only During Key Market Hours Avoid trading during illiquid sessions. Focus on London and New York overlaps, where structure and volatility are present. 4. Accept That Flat Is a Position Not being in a trade is often a smart decision. Staying out preserves capital and prepares you for higher-probability setups. 🎯 Final Thoughts Overtrading is not a technical flaw — it’s a psychological leak. If you want longevity in this game, you must master more than charts — you must master yourself. “The market doesn’t reward activity. It rewards patience, precision, and emotional control.” Next time you feel the urge to trade "just because" — pause, breathe, and ask yourself: Is this trade part of my edge? 📌 Coming Up Next: Trader Psychology | Part 2: FOMO – Why Fear of Missing Out Can Destroy Good Traders 🔔 Follow this profile to be notified when the next chapter is live.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
NQ: Upcoming Weekly analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Tariff On/Off: The noise will continue this week as well. Europe will be the target this week. Uncertainty OR Eternity pause? Market might tend towards Eternity pause which is positive for stocks and equities. 2- New Earnings season: This will be on the driver seat for the next few weeks. Positive earnings for major stocks will impact positively NQ and vice-versa. 3- Macroeconomic data: CPI and PPI will be relevant for July rate cut. Lower and inline inflation will be very good for July Rate cut; hence very good for Equities. Higher inflation data will be bad. Also, Consumer sentiment and Inflation expectations, later in the week, will be very relevant. So from FA Analysis, US equities might go either direction based on data outcomes. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: Direction is Buy! The weekly close was irrelevant; it was inside the bullish green candle. Price must break and close below or above the master weekly candle to establish clear direction. So nothing to trade from weekly perspective. Daily TF: Direction is Neutral! Same as weekly TF, we got an irrelevant daily close, inside the previous daily green candle (red dotted lines). Price must break and close either below or above the dotted red lines for a clear direction. Hourly TF: Direction is Neutral! Based on the Weekly and Daily TF, clearly price is consolidating and looking for FA data to make decision on the next move. Price is making LL-LH-HL-HH... and switching from one side to another reinforcing the consolidation. Here are two scenarios: Scenario 1: Good earnings, macroeconomic data and lower inflation will trigger a new ATH. Scenario 2: Bad earnings, macroeconomic data and higher inflation will trigger a retrace. Happy green week!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this trading week, the S&P 500 Index has shown a predominantly downward/upward course of action and created a new Key Resistance at 6280. Currently, the index exhibits a bullish bias, with the Outer Index Rally objective set at 6420. However, it is crucial to note that the current price action may cause prices to see in a new light from their current fluctuation to push toward the Mean Support at 6200 before resuming their upward movement.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, as expected, the Euro continued its decline, reaching our Mean Support level of 1.168. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to experience a further downward trend, with the next target set at the Mean Support level of 1.160. However, it's essential to consider the possibility of a rebound toward the Key Resistance level of 1.181, which could lead to the completion of an Outer Currency Rally reaching 1.187.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the last week's trading session, Bitcoin has demonstrated a significant surge, achieving historical prices as anticipated by TSS for an extended period. The cryptocurrency has successfully completed both the Outer Coin Rally 114500 and the Inner Coin Rally 118200. Presently, Bitcoin is poised to celebrate this notable accomplishment with a victory lap, but it may face a potential downward trajectory, targeting the Mean Support level of 112000. This anticipated decline will necessitate the resilience to a retest of Inner Coin Rally 118200. The designated targets for the Outer Coin Rally at this juncture are 122000, 126500, 132200, and 135000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
$Doge Dogecoin about 60% retracement from all time high...CRYPTOCAP:DOGE dogecoin has retraced about 60% from an all time high of about 0.49 Current price: 0.20 Reasons why i am bullish on #Doge CRYPTOCAP:DOGE price action has remained above the 200ema on the weekly timeframe ...bullish! - $dogecoin has committed an over 60% retracement from all time high of 0.49 - It is currently at double bottom support seen in April #dogecoin negative money flow is thinning out - Sentiments are neutral : neither greedy for fearful - Price action is exactly at point of control on the weekly time frame! Resistances above to watch: 0.32, 0.42 up to 0.69
Long
by Ifiok-Trades
100% Win Rate on BTC & Alts! Where’s the Next Breakout?USDT Dominance Update: While the herd chases the latest hype, we called this before it even unfolded. BTC’s recent surge was lightning-fast. These were the trades shared in the last 30 days. I'm just saying we could've had more wins! Our setups didn’t just hit targets… They exploded through them 🚀 These are spot gains, imagine trading wth leverage with these. There's more to come in the next week. ✅ MIL:ENA +53% ✅ HOSE:VIC +50% ✅ $CHILLGUY +40% ✅ NASDAQ:HUMA +35% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:XRP +34% ✅ $VOXEL +32% ✅ OMXTSE:MAGIC +30% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:RENDER +25% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:AVAX +24% ✅ SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI +25% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:LINK +17.65% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:SUSHI +17.3% ✅ AMEX:MBOX +15% ✅ $MAVIA +14.7% ✅ TVC:MOVE +11.66% ✅ $EPT +11% ✅ BME:ETC +10.3% ✅ PSX:POL +20% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:SUI +20% ✅ LSE:ONDO +7.5% ✅ SET:PORT +6.17% ✅ CRYPTOCAP:TON +3% 📈 These aren’t just simple trades; they’re alpha-backed calls. If you’re still watching from the sidelines… You’re watching others print. Be patient and precise with your entries and exits. Never FOMO. The market will bait you into bad timing if you let it. A 4.4% drop in USDT dominance marks the start of a new altcoin season, but remember, BTC will steer this cycle. More setups on the way. Stay tuned. Do hit the like button and share your views in the comments. Thank you #PEACE
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Cryptorphic
5
Xauusd Up Gold stabilizes near $2,030, eyes on FOMC Minutes Gold clings to marginal daily gains at around $2,030 on Wednesday after closing the first two days of the week in positive territory. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges lower ahead of FOMC Minutes, helping XAU/USD hold its ground. From a technical perspective, sustained strength and acceptance above the 50-day SMA will set the stage for an extension of the recent recovery from the $1,984 region, or a two-month low touched last week. Given that oscillators on the daily chart have been gaining positive traction, the Gold price might then accelerate the positive move towards an intermediate hurdle near the $2,044-2,045 region en route to the $2,065 supply zone. Gold now 2028 Target 2032 Target 2036 Target 2050 Target 2059 SL 2015 FOMC signal confirm
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JohnHarry66
The 3-Method Framework: Simplifying Technical AnalysisMost traders get caught up in complex indicator setups, thinking that more tools equal better results. We rely on moving averages to tell us if prices are trending up or down, and we depend on support and resistance levels to predict market movement. But what if I told you there's a simpler, more powerful way to read the market using pure price action? Today, I want to share my experience and understanding of bias and expectations for the next candle formation. This approach is refreshingly simple because we don't need to understand every single price movement - we just need to focus on what matters most. Method 1: Opening Price Comparison The first method is beautifully straightforward. For a bullish bias, the current opening price should be above the previous opening price. That's it. Sounds almost too simple, right? But simplicity often holds the greatest power in trading. For Gold yesterday, we simply needed to compare the latest opening price on the Daily timeframe with the previous opening price. It's that simple. Method 2: Mid-Level Analysis The second approach involves comparing mid-levels between candles. We compare the mid-level of the previous candle with the mid-level of the candle before that. I know it might sound a bit complicated when explained this way, but once you visualize it on your chart, the concept becomes crystal clear. Still on Gold, we just compare the 50% or mid-level of the previous candle with the candle two periods back from the latest candle on the daily chart. Method 3: Expansion Expectations The third method helps us anticipate expansion in price. Traditional complex methods require analyzing numerous factors, but this simplified approach only needs two candles before the current one. Here's how it works: we use the high and low of the candle two periods back, and the open and close (body) of the previous candle. If the previous candle's body sits within the high-low range of the two-candle-back formation, we can expect price expansion. The beauty of this method is that we don't care whether the price is bullish or bearish - we simply expect expansion to occur. Think of it like a compressed spring: when price gets squeezed within a previous range, it often seeks to break out in either direction. We're not predicting the direction, just the likelihood of significant movement. Still on Gold, I randomly selected all inside candles on the Daily timeframe. Remember, the purpose is only to expect expansion, not direction. If you want to use this for directional bias, make sure you apply the additional analysis required. Remember, there are no guarantees in trading, but this method provides valuable insight into potential market expansion. Advanced Combinations for Enhanced Analysis Combining Methods 1 and 2 creates our most accessible approach since you only need two candles. When both the opening price and mid-point from two candles ago indicate bullish conditions, we can expect the current candle to follow an OLHC bullish pattern. You can see the 3 examples I've provided in the image, and all of these are applicable across all timeframes, both daily and 4-hour. Combining all three methods offers a more sophisticated analysis, particularly useful for anticipating market reversals. This involves marking the current and previous opening prices, comparing mid-levels from the last two candles, and identifying the high/low range from two to three candles back. Now I'm adding Inside Candles from 2-3 periods back (My personal rule is maximum 3 candles before the current candle, or this analysis will lead to analysis paralysis). The Bullish and Bearish Rules Bullish Rule 1: Opening price above the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle above the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) Bearish Rule 1: Opening price below the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle below the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) The Secret Sauce: Timeframe Harmony Here's where the "devil is in the details" comes into play. You might find perfect bullish conditions on your chart, but the market still reverses. The secret lies in using this method on Daily and 4-hour timeframes simultaneously. Simply understand it from the chart. Simply understand it from the chart. If Rule 1 conditions are met on the daily chart, they must also align on the 4-hour chart. When the 4-hour contradicts the daily, follow the 4-hour signal as it might indicate a "sell on strength" or "buy on weakness" scenario. The formula is simple: must align with I've never tested this on 1-hour charts because the Daily and 4-hour combination provides sufficient accuracy for my trading approach. Enhanced Rules for Precision Rule 2 makes the inside candle formation mandatory rather than optional. Sometimes you'll encounter mixed signals where the mid-level suggests one direction while the opening price suggests another. The solution? Drop down to a lower timeframe for additional confirmation. I don't recommend using this method below the 4-hour timeframe, but you can certainly apply it to Monthly or Weekly charts for long-term bias determination. The key is analyzing both Daily AND 4-hour timeframes together, not just one or the other. When timeframes conflict, often just one key level provides the confirmation you need - typically a previous Monthly or Weekly high or low. Final Thoughts Pure price action mastery isn't about having the most sophisticated setup or the most indicators on your chart. It's about understanding the fundamental relationship between opening prices, mid-levels, and candle formations across meaningful timeframes. This approach has served me well because it cuts through market noise and focuses on what price is actually telling us. Start with these three methods, practice identifying the patterns, and gradually build your confidence in reading pure price action. Remember, consistent profitability comes from mastering simple, reliable methods rather than chasing complex strategies. Keep practicing, stay disciplined, and let price action guide your trading decisions. Good Luck! :)
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by agatarigan