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<69k = doom My thought process included drawing two trend lines that I had originated from an originally inverted scale >69k no doom but... by the time this enclosing triangle gets smaller, we will have more clarity re. trump tariffs or as his former trade rep said: something something "bulk of tariff actions still lie ahead" ___ + "Everyone needs to buckle up, because the President is just getting started and what lies ahead will likely be even more unpredictable than during his first term."
by moleclupa
Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it. What Can Save Us? Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming. 1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China. Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist. Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses: 2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House. Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision. Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility. 🔴 Trump's Response: Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as: ✔️ The housing market recovers ✔️ Liquidity surges ✔️ Stocks skyrocket 3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable. The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance. 🔴 Trump's Response: Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia. 4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America Canada is aligning with Europe Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS 🔴 Trump's Response: To counter this: Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation. South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence. 5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine Iran is aligned with Russia & China Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S. The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars 🔴 Trump's Response: If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia. This move would: ✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations ✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland ✔️ Humble Europe 6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion. If Trump’s strategy works: ✅ The U.S. will regain dominance ✅ Markets will rally hard ✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored If Trump fails: 🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation) 🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses 🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash. So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds. 💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts
FX:SPX500
by CryptoNikkoid
1
XAU/USD - Overwhelming Buying Power - ATH 3100?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: 👉 Gold prices surged to a new all-time high above $3,070 during Asian trading on Friday as escalating global trade tensions, uncertainty over Trump's reciprocal tariffs, and risk-off sentiment continued to drive safe-haven demand. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon resume its rate-cutting cycle further supported bullion. 👉 Despite recent economic data indicating the U.S. economy remains strong, concerns over tariffs overshadowed optimism, leading to a decline in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields while pushing gold prices higher. Personal opinion: 👉 Gold continued to rally strongly during the Asian session. Currently, buyers are taking profits and there is a possibility that prices will decline. 👉RSI entered the overbought zone and showed signs of divergence, further increasing this possibility. Therefore, waiting for prices to decline and buying at a profit is a positive decision. Limit selling at this time because it is very risky. The target of 3100 is not far away and will be achieved soon in the near future. 👉 Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy. Resistance zone: 3078 - 3100 Support zone: 3047 - 3060 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3059- 3062 ( Scalping) ❌SL: 3054 | ✅TP: 3067 - 3075 - 3082 👉Buy Gold 3045- 3047 ❌SL: 3040 | ✅TP: 3052 - 3057 - 3065 👉Sell Gold 3100 - 3097 ❌SL: 3104 | ✅TP: 3094 – 3088 – 3080 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
EUR/USD Ready to Soar? Bullish Setup Unfolding!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry: 🔹 Entry: 1.0831 USD 🔹 TP: 1.0983 USD 🔹 SL: 1.0672 USD EUR/USD is respecting a key trendline support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. RSI is holding above 60, and MACD shows signs of bullish momentum. If the price remains above the support line, we could see a push toward 1.0983 USD. Keep an eye on price action! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Long
by FXOnTop
2
Massive storm hiting the crypto market soon!The Correlation Between SPX500 (Wall Street) & Crypto 📉📈 The relationship between SPX500 and crypto is not always stable. Sometimes they move in sync, like the Earth and Moon, and other times, they are completely decoupled. But rarely, we get an eclipse—a moment of total disconnection. And guess what? That’s about to happen. 🔎 What’s Happening? Looking at the charts, SPX500 had a massive rally last year, but while Wall Street boomed, crypto was bleeding. Most altcoins were slaughtered, and the TOTAL crypto market cap suffered. But now, SPX500 is overbought, while crypto is oversold. 👉 This time, the decoupling will work in crypto’s favor! 💰 $2 Trillion in Sidelined Cash Ready to Flow In Right now, about $2 trillion USD is sitting on the sidelines—money that institutional investors are hesitant to deploy due to market uncertainty. Many are keeping their funds in USD or foreign bonds instead of taking risks. However, if you check my April/May forecast, we can see that: ✅ Crypto will be deeply oversold (confirmed by RSI & weekly MACD crossover). ✅ The US Dollar is weakening, forcing investors to move their money into other assets. ✅ SPX500 turning bearish = capital rotating into crypto. 🚀 The Perfect Storm for Crypto 📉 SPX500 bearish 💵 USD weakening 📈 Crypto bullish This creates the perfect setup for rich investors to flood the crypto market with fresh liquidity. 💡 What does this mean for prices? - CRYPTOCAP:BTC could double (100% gain). - Altcoins could skyrocket (x10 to x100). - This would finally trigger the altseason we’ve been waiting for—the parabolic move that happens once every four years. 📆 Timeline: April – June 2025 This move will be so explosive that it will eventually trigger a correction—possibly leading to a bear market. However, since crypto now moves in 6-month cycles, this correction should end by December 2025, setting up another leg up. 🏁 Final Thoughts This kind of SPX500 & crypto decoupling is extremely rare, so positioning before the rotation starts is crucial. ⏳ Exact timing? Hard to say. But April/May looks like the moment when everything aligns. 🚨 DYOR as always—anything can happen to invalidate this idea.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by CryptoNikkoid
10
Elliott Wave | Final Bullish Push Before the Big Drop? | (C) of MEXC:SOLUSDT 🔵 Elliott Wave Setup | Complete structure - Final move incoming? The current wave structure suggests we're approaching the end of the corrective (B) wave. Price is now testing the 78.6%–88.7% Fibonacci support zone, which is a typical launch area for a bullish (C) wave. ➡️ My Outlook: - (B) correction is nearly completed at the key Fibonacci support. - Expecting a bullish move up into the 78.6%-88.7% target box to complete wave (C) of (b). - After that, a strong bearish move is likely towards the "End of the bear" zone. ➡️ Trading Idea: 1️⃣ Long entry within the 78.6% – 88.7% retracement support. 2️⃣ Target: Red box area (potential top of wave (C) of (b)). 3️⃣ Prepare for a short setup after confirmation of reversal from that zone. ‼️ Risk Note: - If the price breaks below the 88.7% level, the setup becomes invalid. - Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation. 💬 What do you think? Is wave (B) already complete or are we getting one more push? #ElliottWave #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #Crypto #Forex #Trading
Long
by ElliotXSolana
GOLD NEXT MOVESpelling Mistakes: "SOPPRT" should be "SUPPORT." Lack of Bearish Scenario: The chart assumes an upward movement, but what happens if price fails to hold the support zones? Volume Analysis Missing: Volume is shown, but its role in confirming trends is unclear. A breakout with high volume would be more reliable. 2. Alternative Perspective Possible Fakeout: The price may not break resistance and could retrace. Stronger Rejection?: The price might struggle at the resistance zone rather than pushing through easily.
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Plan + Daily Sniper Setup (W1 → M15)🟨 WEEKLY (W1) ✅ Bullish structure (HHs & HLs) 🔓 Broke ATH → price discovery mode 🎯 Targets: 3,120 / 3,180 / 3,250 🟩 Key demand: 2,985–2,950 📅 DAILY (D1) 🔼 Breakout above 3,049 confirmed 🕳️ FVG forming between 3,049–3,083 📈 No bearish signs while above 3,049 💡 EMA structure supports momentum 🕓 H4 ✅ Clean breakout from consolidation 🟩 Demand zones: 3,049 (Flip zone) 3,000.65 (HTF OB) 📈 Trend in expansion phase 🕐 H1 📦 Broke range between 3,000–3,049 🔲 OB + liquidity grab confirmed support 🎯 Targeting 3,100 / 3,120 🕧 M30 & M15 (Precision Zones) 🔹 Entry 1: 3,083–3,085 (FVG + OB zone) 🔹 Entry 2: 3,073–3,076 (Unmitigated demand) ✅ Validate entries via M1/M5 CHoCH + bullish PA 🔫 DAILY SNIPER PLAN ✅ Buy Setup (High Probability) Entry: 3,083–3,085 or 3,073–3,076 Trigger: M1–M5 CHoCH or bullish engulfing SL: Below 3,070 TP1: 3,100 TP2: 3,120 TP3: 3,150 🔥 HTF trend + fresh liquidity = high-RR long opportunity. 🟥 Sell Setup (Countertrend Idea) Entry: 3,118–3,121 (liquidity hunt zone) Trigger: Bearish M5/M15 CHoCH + LQ sweep SL: Above 3,125 TP1: 3,100 TP2: 3,085 TP3: 3,050 ⚠️ Use only if price shows exhaustion + structure break. ✅ Recap: Focus remains on buy-the-dip as long as price holds above 3,049. Bearish setups = scalp/reversal only if smart money shifts short-term flow.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H1 Trading Plan (Intraday Precision)Bias: 📈 Bullish Current Price: ~$3,096 Context: Clean breakout from H1 range → intraday expansion phase in play. 📊 1. Structure & Market Phases Price consolidated in a tight range (highlighted in blue) for ~1 week, between ~3,000 and ~3,049. Recent breakout above range → confirming bullish continuation. Minor HLs forming → micro structure remains clean. 🧠 2. Smart Money Concepts 🔲 Old OB / Demand Zone: Gray zone = area of prior breakout (ideal re-entry on pullbacks). 🧊 Range high (~3,049.57) = now acting as support (flip zone). 🧠 FVG might exist in the 3,060–3,080 range on lower TFs → potential internal mitigation. 📌 3. Key H1 Levels 🔝 Upside: 🔸 3,120.14 – Major upside target (aligned with HTF) 🔸 Next target levels depend on PA around psychological levels (e.g., 3,100, 3,150) 🟦 Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.57 – Previous range high ✅ 3,000.66 – Base of accumulation block ✅ 2,983–2,975 – Internal mitigation zones ✅ 2,899.69 – Major invalidation point (HTF OB) 📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H1 Execution Focus) ✅ Scenario A: Breakout Continuation Price stays above 3,049–3,060 → bullish continuation likely. 🎯 Target: 3,100 / 3,120 intraday Look for bullish BOS or FVG entries on pullbacks (M15/M5 timing ideal) 🔁 Scenario B: Pullback into Demand Retracement back to 3,049 / 3,030 / 3,000 zone 🔁 Entry on bullish reaction from prior range top Great RR setups for continuation longs 🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Likely) Break below 2,975 could lead to: 🔻 Deeper move into OB around 2,960 / 2,899 Would shift intraday bias from bullish to neutral 🧭 Summary 1H is in a breakout phase – ideal moment to hunt continuation trades. Pullbacks into previous range top or base are high-probability re-entry zones. Bias remains strongly bullish unless structure below 2,975 is broken.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Trading Plan (Intraday Outlook)Bias: 📈 Bullish (Strong Continuation) Current Price: ~$3,093 Context: Price is accelerating after breaking key resistance, maintaining bullish structure. 🧠 1. Market Structure (H4) Structure remains bullish, with well-defined HH & HL. Recent consolidation block (OB + FVG): price broke out cleanly and is now expanding. Short-term trend leg is steep → potential for shallow intraday pullbacks. 📌 2. Key Levels from Your Chart 🔝 Upside Target 3,120.14 – Major H4 resistance / next liquidity zone 🟦 Intraday Support Zones 3,049.57 – recent H4 resistance, now flipped support (ideal for pullback entries) 3,000.65 – clean structure zone, possible FVG fill 2,977.64 – origin of last impulse 2,960.27 / 2,899.69 – deeper HTF demand / OB zones 🔍 3. Order Blocks & Liquidity 🔲 OB zone breakout (highlighted gray area) → now acting as demand 💧Buy-side liquidity rests above 3,120 Any retracement into 3,049 / 3,000 could be used by Smart Money for re-entry longs 📅 4. Trade Scenarios (H4) ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation Price holds above 3,049 → intraday continuation toward: 🎯 3,120 🎯 Potential extension: 3,150+ 📌 Ideal setup: bullish engulfing or BOS + FVG entry on pullback to 3,049 zone 🔁 Scenario B: Pullback Before Continuation Rejection near 3,100–3,120 leads to pullback toward: 🔁 3,049 🔁 3,000 (FVG / previous OB) Monitor price action at those levels for continuation entries. 🟥 Scenario C: Bearish Shift (Low Probability for Now) Break below 2,960 with strong bearish momentum → opens door toward: 🔻 2,899 This would invalidate current bullish short-term structure. 🧭 Summary Trend is strong, momentum is clean → only looking for buy setups on dips. Watch for continuation above 3,049 and especially reactive price action near 3,120. If pullback occurs, 3,000 zone is prime location for re-entry longs.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan (1D Outlook)🔍 1. Structure & Price Action Price broke out aggressively from previous consolidation (~2960–3000). Current impulse leg is strong, with very shallow pullbacks – trending conditions. Daily candles show sustained buying pressure, minimal upper wicks → buyers in control. 📏 2. Key Levels (from your chart) 📌 Upside Targets: 🔸 3,120.14 – potential resistance / short-term TP 🔸 3,180.72 – extended upside target if momentum holds 🟩 Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.38 – minor intraday support ✅ 3,000.66 – recent breakout retest zone ✅ 2,960.77 – clean demand zone / OB zone ✅ 2,899.69 – last major demand / strong structure support 🧠 3. SMC & Liquidity Insights Buy-side liquidity has been cleared → clean runway toward psychological zones (3100–3200). FVG may exist between recent candles → shallow retracement into 3049 / 3000 possible. No active bearish OBs above → price remains in price discovery mode. 📅 4. Daily Trade Scenarios ✅ Scenario A: Bullish Continuation Hold above 3,049–3,060 → continuation toward: 🎯 3,120 🎯 3,180+ Look for strong H4 bullish candles on retest of minor support. ⚠️ Scenario B: Pullback to Demand Reject from 3,100+ and drop toward: 🔁 3,000 (retest previous high) 🔁 2,960 (key OB / FVG zone) Watch for bullish reversal signals (engulfing, break of structure) for re-entry long. 🟥 Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Probable) Break below 2,899 could shift bias to neutral/short-term bearish. 🧭 Summary XAUUSD is in a strong trending phase with no major resistance above. Pullbacks into 3,049 / 3,000 / 2,960 are ideal areas to look for continuation longs. Focus remains on buy-the-dip setups as long as price holds above 2,899.
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds