Beyond Technical Analysis
USD_CAD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅USD_CAD went down to retest
A horizontal support of 1.3560
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 1.3652
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Middle East Tensions vs. Global Demand Hello Traders 🐺
🧠 Fundamental Insight:
Recent geopolitical developments in the Middle East — particularly tensions involving Iran, Israel, and unrest around the Red Sea shipping routes — have reignited fears of supply shocks in the oil market.
But how much of this is just market sentiment, and how much is a real, structural threat?
It’s important to note that most oil-producing nations in the Middle East are heavily reliant on oil revenue to sustain domestic budgets.
Prolonged disruption in oil supply would backfire economically, forcing them to eventually restore production — or risk budget deficits, currency devaluation, or inflation.
Moreover, while global efforts are pushing toward electrification and renewable energy, a large portion of electricity is still generated using fossil fuels — many of which are petroleum-based.
So even as demand shifts in form (from gasoline to electricity), crude oil remains embedded in the global energy matrix.
🇺🇸 The U.S. & 🇨🇳 China: Macro Drivers at Work
The U.S. remains the world’s largest oil producer thanks to shale output. Any significant rise in Brent can be quickly counterbalanced by a ramp-up in U.S. production.
The Fed’s monetary policy also plays a role. A stronger USD (via rate hikes) generally pressures oil prices downward.
China, as the largest importer of crude, has a decisive influence on demand. Weak industrial output or real estate troubles in China can nullify even a strong supply shock.
Watch for China’s stimulus policies — any sign of renewed growth can boost Brent significantly.
📉 Technical Outlook (Brent Crude - Weekly Chart Hypothesis):
As you can see on the weekly chart , price was trying to pump above the monthly resistance area however It's turned into the fake out and all of us knows that this is a massive sign of weakness for BRENT but I still think that price is currently could goes a little bit higher than the current level and break above the blue trend line in the mid term .
Any news-driven spike (e.g., new conflict headlines) must be validated by volume and follow-through — otherwise, it's a fade opportunity.
🎯 Conclusion:
Don’t blindly buy into every geopolitical headline.
While the Middle East remains a key risk factor for Brent, true price action will depend on the balance between physical disruptions and global demand signals — particularly from the U.S. and China.
In this market, the chart reacts first, but macro confirms the move.
As traders, we must track both — not just price, but purpose.
let me know what you are thinking about the current situation in the comment section down below !
and as always remember :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
EOS -> Vaulta : (0.5013 support is the key)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
EOS switched from banking to blockchain during the network reorganization.
(AUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise to around 0.5013 and receive support.
If not, it is likely to show a step-down trend.
-
(4h chart)
In terms of day trading,
Support range: 0.4942-0.4822
Resistance range: 0.5959-0.6394
We need to see whether it can receive support and rise in the above range.
However, since the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart is passing around 0.5013, it is important to see how the volume profile formed around this area and 0.5389 will rise.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
See if we can hold the price above 0.05709
Hello traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(AWEUSDT 1D chart)
The total supply of 2 billion has been unlocked.
Therefore, it seems that temporary profit taking will occur.
We will have to wait and see what kind of flow it will show in the future, but I think the key is whether there is support around 0.05709, which is the HA-Low indicator point.
Since the volume profile section formed on the current 1D chart is formed at 0.06367, we need to check whether there is support around this area.
The 0.06981-0.07188 section corresponds to the previous high point of the 1M chart.
Therefore, the start of the uptrend is expected to begin when the price breaks through the 0.06981-0.07188 section upward and is maintained.
-
In summary of the above,
- The time to buy is when support is confirmed around 0.05709.
- The resistance section is likely to be around 0.06367 and the 0.06981-0.07188 section.
Therefore, you should create a response strategy depending on whether there is support at the points or sections mentioned above, that is, 0.05709, 0.06367, 0.06981-0.07188.
If the price falls below 0.05709, you should stop all trading and wait and see.
The reason is that it is likely to lead to a step-down trend.
Even if it rises, it is expected that there will be a limit to the rise due to profit taking for the time being because all tokens have been unlocked.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ Key Levels July 7 2025If NY fails to reclaim 22,755–780 early in the week, expect a grind back toward 22,644 → 22,600, with 22,520 in play only if volume confirms. Reclaiming and holding above 22,800+ would invalidate this bearish setup.
Watch for trap volume, delta reversals, and volume imbalances at all key zones before entering.
22,880 – 🔻 Weekly wick top
➤ Major rejection zone with a stop cluster sitting above.
22,800–820 – 🧱 Possible NY trap zone
➤ Trap absorption detected here on footprint — watch New York for rejection or breakout.
22,755–22,780 – 🔁 Retest zone
➤ Multiple trap wicks with low delta on 1H/15M. Likely to bait breakout traders before fading.
22,700 – ⚠️ Structural demand / pivot point
➤ A clean break + hold below = bearish market shift.
22,644 – ✅ Session low / Take Profit 1
➤ If 22,700 breaks, this is the first clean downside target.
22,600 – 🎯 Daily value zone
➤ High-probability liquidity target if selling extends below 22,644.
22,520 – 🧨 Final sweep target
➤ Only likely if New York session sells off hard mid-to-late week.
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading
Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250
Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June)
Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July)
Closing Price: ~3,343
🔹 Price Action Summary:
✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal
After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal.
✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance
Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering.
✅ Midweek Consolidation
Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst.
✅ Late-Week Pullback
Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support.
🔹 Technical Perspective:
🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure.
Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook.
🔸 Near-Term Resistance:
3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts.
🔸 Key Support:
The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand.
🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday
Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend.
🔹 Sentiment & Outlook
The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge.
Traders should watch for:
A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher.
Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum.
🧭 Next Week’s Focus:
Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution.
Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback
Reactions to upcoming economic data
EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias.
Chart Notes:
The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context.
Thank you for your time and your support...
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NQ 100 E mini
🧠 NASDAQ 100 (NQ) Weekly Outlook – July 8–12, 2025
📍Liquidity Sweep Before Expansion?
After the rejection near 23,100, NQ appears to be entering a rebalancing phase, with potential downside liquidity grabs before any continuation to the upside.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔸 High: 23,102.50 → Major buy-side liquidity zone.
🔸 Equal Lows: 22,675 – 22,725 → Potential draw on liquidity.
🔸 0.75–1.00 retracement zone (from the recent bullish leg) overlaps with a clear demand area.
🔸 Multiple open Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain above and below current price.
📈 Primary Scenario:
✅ Bullish bias, after a potential liquidity sweep below the Equal Lows.
🔻 A downside sweep into the 22,675–22,725 zone would open up opportunities to go long on bullish confirmation, targeting:
22,975 (FVG fill)
23,050 (intermediate resistance)
23,102+ (liquidity above previous high)
⚠️ Alternate Scenario:
If the market fails to sweep the lows and begins pushing higher early in the week, I’ll look for breakout-retest setups above 22,975 to participate in continuation plays.
🎯 Weekly Game Plan:
Plan A: Wait for a liquidity sweep below the equal lows, then look for a bullish reaction and structure shift to go long.
Plan B: In the absence of a sweep, only consider longs above 22,975 after confirmation of strength.
📌 This outlook is based on price action, market structure, liquidity zones, and FVG analysis. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000
• Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500
• EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains.
• Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500
🎯 TP: 106,800
❌ SL: 109,300
🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500
🎯 TP: 107,800
❌ SL: 104,800
$NSE:JUBLFOOD emitting Multibagger sign to me ! Going to Double
Jubilant FoodWorks continues to lead the QSR sector in India with a dominant Domino’s operation, rapid expansion, tech-savvy strategies, and growing digital/delivery revenue. While inflation and discounting squeeze margins, strategic initiatives in chicken, app-first ordering, and sustainability make it a resilient and forward-looking foodservice giant.
For investors, Jubilant stands strong on growth metrics, though a high valuation necessitates cautious optimism. For employees, it offers significant career momentum in a fast-paced setting, albeit with pressure and potential work-life trade-offs.
Aggressive store expansion: Adding ~50–130 new outlets per quarter, including strong growth in Domino's and initial Popeyes rollout
Digital-first approach: Focus on 20‑minute delivery, app-based orders, loyalty programs, in-house logistics—reducing reliance on third-party platforms
Product innovation: Launching mid-price chicken offerings (e.g., wings), premium pizzas (e.g., Cheese Volcano), responding to Gen‑Z demand
Tech & sustainability: Investments in energy-efficient stores, solar power, e‑bikes fleet, AI-driven supply chain, warehouse & delivery tech
i am bearish for PENGUUSDT for now Key Observations & Analysis
Structure & Trend
You can see a clear downtrend in June.
Price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern:
Left Shoulder: Early June low.
Head: Deeper low mid-June.
Right Shoulder: Late June higher low.
This is a bullish reversal pattern.
Trendline Breakout: After the right shoulder formed, price broke the diagonal trendline resistance (marked “trendline breakout”)—signaling bullish momentum.
Breakout & Rally
Strong volume increase confirmed the breakout.
Price trended up rapidly after the breakout, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Recent Price Action
The current price is consolidating in a key supply zone (gray shaded area).
Marked order block: a potential supply zone where smart money may sell.
Price has also made a Market Structure Shift (MSS)—suggesting the uptrend could be losing steam.
HTF POI (Higher Timeframe Point of Interest)
The upper gray box labeled HTF POI between ~0.0167–0.0175.
This is likely a major resistance area.
Price is testing this zone repeatedly.
Liquidity & Target
Trend liquidity has been swept, meaning stops above recent highs have likely been taken.
There is a blue shaded box indicating a potential short scenario:
Entry near the order block.
Target near the prior consolidation support around ~0.008–0.009.
This implies a bias toward a corrective move or retracement.
Volume & RSI
Volume spiked during breakout and has since decreased—often a sign of buyer exhaustion.
RSI around ~58—neutral but no overbought signal yet.
✅ Interpretation Summary
Bullish Arguments:
The inverted head and shoulders broke out cleanly.
Strong trend continuation into higher timeframe resistance.
Bearish Arguments:
Price is consolidating under significant resistance (HTF POI).
Order block + liquidity sweep suggest potential distribution.
Market structure shift indicates sellers are stepping in.
The blue target box shows a potential retracement target near 0.008–0.009.
✅ What This Likely Means
Scenario 1 (Continuation):
If price breaks cleanly above 0.0175 with strong volume, continuation higher is likely.
Scenario 2 (Rejection):
If price keeps rejecting this order block, a short-term pullback toward 0.009 becomes probable.
✅ Tip if You’re Trading This
Watch for a clear reaction in the gray order block area.
Confirmation of rejection could trigger shorts.
A strong close above the HTF POI invalidates the bearish scenario.
"Solana Heist in Progress! Will the Breakout Hold or Fake Out?"🔥🚨 "SOLANA HEIST ALERT: The Ultimate Bullish Raid Plan (Breakout or Fakeout?)" 🚨🔥
🌍👋 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Bandits!
(English, Spanish, Portuguese, French, German, Arabic—we speak MONEY.)
💎 STRATEGY BASED ON THIEF TRADING STYLE 💎
(High-risk, high-reward—steal the trend or get caught in consolidation!)
🎯 MISSION: SOL/USD (Solana vs. Dollar) CRYPTO HEIST
🐂 Direction: LONG (But watch for traps—cops & bears lurk nearby!)
🚀 Escape Zone: ATR line (High-Risk Profit-Taking Area)
⚠️ Warning: Overbought? Reversal? Police line at resistance? TAKE PROFITS EARLY!
📈 ENTRY: "THE BREAKOUT HEIST BEGINS!"
Trigger: Wait for candle close ABOVE 148.50 (MA)
Alternative Entry: Buy stop above MA OR buy limit on pullback (15m-30m TF)
🛎️ SET AN ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout—thieves strike fast.
🛑 STOP LOSS: "DON’T GET CAUGHT!"
Thief SL: 136.00 (2H Previous structure Swing Low) (Adjust based on your risk & lot size!)
⚠️ Warning: If you ignore this, you’re gambling—your loss, not mine.
🎯 TARGET: "LOOT & BOUNCE!"
🎯 167.00 (or escape earlier if the trend weakens!)
🧨 Scalpers: Only play LONG—use trailing stops to lock in gains!
📢 NEWS & RISK WARNING
🚨 Avoid new trades during high-impact news! (Volatility kills heists.
🔒 Use trailing stops to protect profits if the market turns.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (More boosts = more profit raids!)
👉 Like ✅ | Follow 🚀 | Share 🔄
💬 Comment your take—bullish or bearish trap?
🚀 Next heist coming soon… Stay tuned, bandits! 🤑
webull buy x robinhood buy webull: 24 million registered users and 4.7 million funded accounts managing $12.6 billion in assets as of Q1 2025
x
Robinhood: recently launched tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs in Europe, enabling round‑the‑clock 24/5 crypto‑style trading and exposure to private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI : Mizuho raised its price target to $99, Cantor Fitzgerald to $100, and KeyBanc to $110 Q4 2024 EPS estimates up 322% year-over-year, and full-year 2024/25 earnings forecasted to grow by 231%/22%
bigger picture
Retail now constitutes roughly 20–21% of daily trading volume
Brokerages like Webull and Robinhood, offering strong margins, advanced tools, and retail accessibility, are driving the new wave of democratized finance empowering traders amid record market participation and innovation. lots of volume here
should expect these two to have a good quarter and next
price target by end of july
NASDAQ:BULL 16.00 range
NASDAQ:HOOD 101.00+
Gold price is moving sideways on H4 frame, above 3242✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/07/2025 - 07/11/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday and are on track to close the week with gains exceeding 1.50%, supported by a weaker US Dollar amid subdued liquidity following the Independence Day holiday in the United States. A mild uptick in trade tensions also contributed to bullion's strength. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,333, up 0.26%.
President Donald Trump announced that the US would begin sending official letters to trading partners on Friday ahead of the July 9 deadline, outlining new tariff measures ranging between 10% and 70%, set to take effect on August 1. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added that a wave of trade agreements is expected before the deadline, estimating that around 100 countries will face a minimum 10% reciprocal tariff. He also hinted at upcoming deal announcements.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to move sideways, accumulating in a large range: 3242 - 3450
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3362, $3393, $3446
Support: $3312, $3279, $3241
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
HBARUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period.
Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal.
About me :
"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
GBP_AUD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD is going up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 2.0892
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 2.0805
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOOGL Breaking Out of Downtrend? July 7🔍 GEX-Based Options Insight (Chart 1)
* Current Price: $179.53
* Highest Positive Gamma Level: $180 — this is the key gamma wall. Price is magnetized toward it and may experience hesitation or consolidation here.
* Call Walls Above:
* $182.5 → 2nd Call Wall
* $185 → 3rd Call Wall (possible extended target if momentum remains bullish)
* Put Walls Below:
* $170, $165 → Both levels suggest downside is well-defended by PUT buyers
* Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 36.2 (fairly elevated)
* IVX > IVR (IV expansion potential)
* Call Bias: 22.9% Call$, GEX bullish (green circles)
* 🔋 Interpretation: Bullish GEX + elevated IV suggests strong upward pressure. Consider buying CALL options near $179–$180, targeting a breakout continuation toward $182.5–$185.
🧠 1-Hour Technical Analysis (Chart 2)
* Structure: GOOGL just broke a local CHoCH → BOS, reclaiming short-term EMA support.
* Trendline Breakout: Clean break above descending trendline + break of BOS = bullish confirmation.
* Support Zones:
* $178.85 (minor support)
* $175.70 and $173.50 (stronger demand)
* Next Resistance Levels:
* $181.61 → matches GEX wall
* $185.0 → next key area to watch if breakout sustains
* Volume: Bullish breakout accompanied by rising volume = healthy momentum
* Bias: Leaning bullish, but needs to hold $178.85 zone to stay valid.
✅ Trade Plan Suggestion
Call Entry Idea:
* 📍 Entry: $179–$180 (on pullback or breakout)
* 🎯 Target: $182.5 → $185
* ⛔️ Stop-loss: Below $178.50
* 📆 Contract: 1–2 weeks out (due to IV and potential expansion)
Note: If it fails to hold $178.50–$175.70 zone, re-evaluate for PUTs or wait for new structure confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and trade with a plan.
AMZN Gamma Setups + Trade Plan for July 7📡 GEX-Based Option Trading Analysis
Amazon (AMZN) shows bullish option flow into next week. The GEX map highlights the following:
* Highest Net GEX sits at 225, acting as a strong magnetic price level / resistance zone.
* There’s a Call Wall cluster at 225–230, which could cap short-term upside unless we break through with strong momentum.
* IVR: 27.5 — moderately elevated, giving decent premium for calls.
* Calls: 8.8% vs. Puts: neutral – bullish skew with gamma support underneath.
* Support zone: 215–213 (GEX floor + HVL + PUT wall).
* A break above 226 opens doors to a potential squeeze into 230–232.
🟢 Trade Idea for Options:
* Directional Bullish Bias above 223.
* Consider buying July 12th 225C or vertical 223/230C debit spread for a lower risk play.
* Use tight stop if price fades below 219.75.
📈 1-Hour Chart Technical Setup
From the 1H chart:
* AMZN broke structure (BOS) above 223 and reclaimed the trendline.
* Price has broken out of the previous supply zone (highlighted in purple) and is retesting it now.
* 9/21 EMA shows bullish crossover; price holds above trendline with rising volume.
* Strong support confluence around 219–221 from CHoCH, EMA, and structure lows.
* Bias remains bullish continuation as long as price holds 221.60–222.
🧠 Scalping Plan (Intraday):
* Long setup: Look for retest entry at 223.00 or 222.50, stop below 221.50, target 225.60, then 227.50.
* Avoid chasing if price gaps above 226. Wait for retrace back into structure.
* Bearish invalidation only below 219.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
* AMZN is entering a gamma-rich zone. Watch 225 reaction — breakout could spark a run to 230+.
* Options look primed for bullish plays. Chart structure supports a breakout continuation.
* Trade with tight stop-losses, especially ahead of CPI next week.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.
NVDA GEX Analysis for Options Trading. Jul 7Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights – July 5, 2025
* 📍Key Gamma Wall (Resistance):
→ 160.98 — Highest positive GEX level (strong call wall / gamma resistance).
→ 162.5 — Next large call wall, acting as a magnet or rejection pivot.
→ 165 / 170 — Thin GEX above = squeeze zone if breakout occurs.
* 🧲 Support Side:
→ 152.5 – 150: HVL + Put Support + GEX pocket.
→ 140: Second PUT wall, deeper support if breakdown worsens.
* 📉 IV Sentiment:
→ IVR: 5.6, IVx avg: 37.9 = Low implied volatility.
→ Current IV crush environment favors debit call spreads or directional long calls with tight risk.
* 📊 Call/Put Flow:
→ Calls: 3.3%, Puts: -0.53%
→ Slight bullish bias but not overcrowded — room for gamma expansion.
🔄 Options Trade Setups Based on GEX
Bullish Gamma Squeeze Setup:
🟢 Trigger: Price breaks and holds above 161.
🧨 Target: 165 → 170 (thin GEX zone could cause sharp move).
🛡️ Strategy: Buy 160C / Sell 165C (debit spread) or long 162.5C with defined stop.
⛔ Stop: If NVDA fails to hold above 158.
Bearish Gamma Rejection Setup:
🔴 Trigger: Rejection at 160.98–162.5 zone with volume fade.
🎯 Target: 156.5 → 152.
🛡️ Strategy: Long 160P / Short 155P (bear put spread) or short 162.5C naked if IV allows.
⛔ Stop: Breakout above 162.5 invalidates this setup.
📈 1-Hour Chart Technical Analysis
Structure & Price Action:
* NVDA is in bullish market structure, forming higher lows with a clean CHoCH → BOS → retest play.
* It reclaimed the 159.20 level and is testing the 160.98–162.5 zone — a key area where momentum traders will engage.
Zones to Watch:
* Support:
→ 156.68 (minor swing support)
→ 153–152 OB zone (valid bullish OB + HVL)
* Resistance:
→ 161–162.5 (GEX resistance + supply)
→ Above 162.5 opens room to 165+
Trend & Volume:
* Strong bullish candle breaking BOS.
* Volume picked up during BOS, but follow-through needs to come with breakout candles or retest hold.
🔍 My Suggestions for Intraday/Swing Traders:
✅ Bullish Setup:
If NVDA holds above 159.20 and reclaims 161, enter on retest of 160.50.
TP1: 162.5
TP2: 165
SL: Below 157.80
❌ Bearish Setup:
If price gets rejected near 162 and breaks below 157.80 → short retracement to 153.
TP1: 156.5
TP2: 152
SL: Above 162.50
My View:
Currently bullish bias but entering a decision zone. Wait for clean breakout with volume, or short rejection if momentum fades. Keep GEX in mind — above 162.5 has little resistance and can rip.
This breakdown is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk before taking a trade.