Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC still on bearish movement#BTCUSD on bearish retracment, price is still bearish till 73800 which have bullish reverse.
Firstly we need to see price to break below 79300 which is sell stop on #BTC sell, Target 76k-73800.
Below 73800 holds bullish retracment which will push the price above 81k-82k for new confirmation.
Price bullish on #BTC is not valid yet.
Bitcoin in an Inverted Triangle – What’s Next?Hey, traders! 👋 Bitcoin is currently forming an inverted triangle, a pattern that often signals strong volatility ahead. Take a close look at the chart—I've marked key moments with different colored circles:
🟠 The price touches a key level.
🔴 After testing, the price drops sharply.
🟢 After testing, the price rises rapidly.
The levels are clearly visible on the chart, but what happens next? That’s the big question!
I’m not hinting at anything—this chart is open for interpretation. Everyone sees what they want to see, or maybe it helps deepen your own analysis.
So, what do YOU see? Where is Bitcoin headed next? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Thanks for Your attention🫶
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna 💛
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
Lol, DXY at it again Trading is amazing because the level I said is my 2nd POI and I didnt think price will come to, is where I'm selling from now. That's why it is not good to hold a predication too strong.
Now DXY, I wanted to sell since but was waiting for 4hrs candle close.
If you enter this exact trade, I dont think anything will stop you from hitting TP.
Yagazie
DOGE vs BTC: MACD DivergenceHello,
They may bothe be dropping against the inflated dollar, but this indicates that DOGE is becoming stronger in the battle of David vs Goliath. Thats me… im Dave, and Doge is the coin that I am manifesting will lead us into the 5D world of the new earth. I believe that BTC is grossly tied to the corrupt money markets… and that DOGE will remain the favor of crypto investor’s hearts.
I believe that the crypto world will pull the biggest pump and dump of all time on the corporate / military industrial complex, and walk away from BTC, leaving them with an empty bag of old school blockchain tech.
This double stacked MACD DIVErgence corroborates this awareness of hte future.
I remember form last time (not in this linear life) that Doge bites BTC on the way off the cliff…. But let’s go and shakes free of the mammoth Goliath of crypto as it crumbles! I remember the way it felt before…. And i know im on a higher vibrational level this life. Surrendered to love. And Doge invokes the emotion of … Unconditional Love.
As more of us gain these awareness, we will see a massive migration of wealth from BTC, and its evil little step sister ETH, over to DOGE. Cause it represents the hard earned work energy credit of the common person here on earth. There is not blood of war on the doge books.
Oh… my MACD observations are color coded for you.
If you want to see what DOGE is doing Ont eh long range… check the linked post i put up yesterday… ish…. Within the last sleep cycle or two anyhow.
Sending Love, and a reminder of the only true universal law on earth:
May All beings live happy and free and may you cause no harm by action or thought to to any living being, or their belongings.
XAUUSD strong down again 1. Potential for Reversal
The analysis assumes a clear bearish move toward the support area. However, price action may react differently to the resistance zone. If buyers step in, we could see a reversal rather than a continuation downward.
A false breakdown could trap sellers and push the price back up to retest resistance instead.
2. Market Structure Weakness
The chart suggests a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a downtrend, but the momentum could weaken if volume decreases.
The weak low labeled on the chart could act as a temporary liquidity grab rather than a strong bearish continuation.
3. Economic and Fundamental Factors
Gold is sensitive to economic news, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. If a news event favors gold, this technical setup could be invalidated.
USD strength or weakness could shift demand for gold, affecting this price projection.
4. Liquidity Considerations
Support and resistance zones are often areas where liquidity is hunted. Market makers may manipulate price to take out stops before the actual move occurs
Trump, Bonds and Gold ReservesBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The Trump administration has announced an unexpected move that combines a comprehensive audit of U.S. Treasury gold with a strategy to generate liquidity without issuing new debt. The operation will focus on Fort Knox, the iconic depository where nearly 261.5 million ounces of gold-more than 8,000 metric tons-are held in custody-with much of it stored in this fortress. The review will be conducted by DOGE, the government efficiency department led by Elon Musk. The audit will not only count the ingots, but will include their weighing and purity analysis. Not since 1970 has such a rigorous review been conducted at Fort Knox, the last comprehensive audit being in 1953. In Treasury records, gold is currently valued at $42.22 per ounce, a figure established in 1973. However, the market price has climbed to quotations close to $3,000 per ounce. An accounting revaluation would imply reflecting an additional value of more than 773 billion dollars, generating an immediate injection of liquidity similar to quantitative easing, but without increasing public debt. This maneuver has dual implications. On the one hand, it could provide the necessary resources to finance a Sovereign Fund in the style of those of oil-producing countries or Norway, offering an innovative solution to the problems of fiscal deficits and high public debt.
On the other hand, a discrepancy between the recorded amount of gold and the actual stock could unsettle the financial markets. Since much of the gold trade is conducted through financial instruments and paper book entries, any mismatch could also affect other precious metals and related investment banks. Although Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has dismissed the possibility of revaluation, sources say the move could generate additional revenues of between $700 billion and $1 billion. The initiative is shaping up to be a bold and unprecedented strategy, with the potential to transform the Treasury's financial landscape and open an international debate on the accounting restatement of traditional assets.
Technical Analysis
If we look at the gold price chart it has been making a corrective move that started on Tuesday, February 25th causing the price to move back to the price range from the beginning of the month that gave rise to the last impulse highs. The RSI is currently at a high oversold level of 27.35% which could lead to corrective moves to the upside. Gold's moves since late January have moved gold into a range that could push gold in the direction of $3,000, although its current price is at $2865 and the checkpoint (POC) at $2939. It remains to be seen whether gold will correct yesterday's bearish crossover in the last day of the week after the DOGE team's information on public debt.
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Bitcoin on 2h chart Hello, dear friends! Welcome to my page🫶
Today, let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 2-hour timeframe. There is a fascinating pattern emerging that I'd like to discuss. 🧐
I've drawn long-term support and resistance lines that have been forming since February and March of this year. Today, Bitcoin is attempting to break through a descending trendline. For many, this might seem like a bullish signal, but let's not jump to conclusions just yet. On the 2-hour chart, we can see that the price continues to form a rising wedge, which is typically considered a bearish signal, often resulting in a downward breakout.
At this moment, I see the possibility of the price rising into the blue zone, followed by a sharp decline. To provide a clearer picture, I'll also include a more long-term chart so you can better understand my analysis.
What are Your thoughts? How are You feeling about the market? Where do You think the price will go next? Share Your insights in the comments, I'm looking forward to hearing from You.
Thanks for Your attention💋
Always Yours, Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin's Symmetrical Triangle Hi friends, whenever I have a moment of free time, I immediately come to share my thoughts on Bitcoin's price movement with You🩷
Since February 24th, Bitcoin has been forming a technical pattern known as a symmetrical triangle, often seen as a sign of market indecision. This pattern is characterized by the price oscillating between converging support and resistance lines, indicating a balance of buying and selling pressures.
Currently, Bitcoin's price is fluctuating within this triangle, gravitating towards the upper resistance line. As the apex of the triangle approaches, the market's uncertainty could culminate in a decisive move. Given the historical behavior of similar patterns, it is plausible that we may witness a sharp price decline soon, potentially reaching levels as low as $60,000 to $58,000.
This anticipated move aligns with the technical analysis principles, where symmetrical triangles often precede significant price breakouts or breakdowns. Traders should monitor these key support and resistance levels closely and consider the broader market context and potential external factors that could influence Bitcoin's price action.
What do You think? What can we expect after the formation of this triangle? It's certain that there will be a strong movement, but will it go up or down?
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Truly Yours, Kateryna💋
BTC on 6h chart Hello, my dear friends!🫶 I’m so happy to see You here again! I’m especially grateful for Your feedback—some of You mentioned, that were waiting for me and missed me.🥲 Your words truly touched my heart—thank You so much!😊 I’m thrilled to be drawing charts for You once again; every post I share here holds a piece of my soul. Thanks for Your support—it means the world to me!💋
🔴 We’re currently sitting between a major resistance level (a trendline dating all the way back to 2017) and strong support at 72,000.🔴
The price is at a fascinating crossroads: if the 96–94–93 levels hold and the price consolidates there, we could see a climb toward the significant resistance zone (marked by the pink 🟣 dot) at 107–108k. From there, it’ll be crucial to watch closely—if the price breaks through those levels with ease, a rally could be in the cards.🚀
However, if the 96–94–93–92 levels fail to hold, we’re likely in for a deeper correction. In that case, we could see the price drop to the support zones at 86k, or possibly even lower, to 77k–73k.📉
Thank You for being part of this amazing community—it’s a privilege to share ideas and grow alongside You all. No matter what the charts look like, stay focused, stay patient, and keep believing in your abilities. Success belongs to those who persevere.
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna 💙💛
Ethereum on the 6-Hour ChartHello, dear friends!💋
Ethereum's 6-hour chart is currently showcasing a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, one of the most well-known reversal patterns in technical analysis. This setup could signal a potential trend shift, making it a critical moment for traders to keep a close eye on.
What is a Head and Shoulders Pattern?
The H&S pattern consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a small dip.
Head: A higher peak, marking the top of the pattern, followed by another dip.
Right Shoulder: A smaller rise, typically symmetrical to the left shoulder.
The "neckline" connects the lows of the two dips (between the head and the shoulders) and serves as the key level to watch.
Why Is This Pattern Important?
The Head and Shoulders pattern often indicates a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. It suggests that buyers are losing momentum and sellers are beginning to take control.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern
1️⃣ Wait for the Breakout
The pattern is not confirmed until the price breaks below the neckline.
A breakout is typically accompanied by increased volume, which adds credibility to the move.
2️⃣ Set Your Entry
Once the neckline is broken, you can enter a short position (or sell if you're holding ETH).
Conservative traders may wait for a retest of the neckline as resistance before entering the trade.
3️⃣ Measure the Target
The potential price target is calculated by measuring the distance from the top of the head to the neckline.
Subtract this distance from the neckline to estimate the price drop.
4️⃣ Set Your Stop-Loss
Place your stop-loss above the right shoulder to limit risk in case the pattern fails.
If the neckline breaks, this could lead to a significant move lower, presenting a lucrative trading opportunity. However, patience is key—wait for confirmation before taking action. Always use proper risk management, as false breakouts can occur.
Ethereum's price action is heating up, and this Head and Shoulders pattern might just be the setup savvy traders have been waiting for. Stay sharp and trade wisely!
Stay tuned for updates, and let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Sincerely Yours,
Kateryna 💛
What Lies Beneath Chevron's Venezuelan Exit?In a striking geopolitical maneuver, the Trump administration has revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, effective March 1. This decision marks a sharp departure from the Biden-era policy, which had conditionally allowed Chevron’s operations to encourage free elections in the beleaguered nation. Beyond punishing Venezuela for unmet democratic benchmarks, the move reflects a broader U.S. strategy to bolster domestic oil production and lessen dependence on foreign energy sources. Chevron, a titan with over a century of history in Venezuela, now faces the unraveling of a vital revenue stream, prompting us to ponder the delicate dance between corporate ambition and national agendas.
The ripple effects for Venezuela are profound and perilous. Chevron accounted for nearly a quarter of the country’s oil production, and its exit is forecast to slash Venezuela’s revenue by $4 billion by 2026. This economic blow threatens to rekindle inflation and destabilize a nation already teetering on the edge of recovery, exposing the intricate ties between U.S. corporate presence and sanctioned states. For Chevron, the revocation transforms a once-lucrative asset into a geopolitical liability, thrusting the company into a high-stakes test of resilience. This clash of interests challenges us to consider the true cost of operating in the shadow of political volatility.
On the global stage, this decision reverberates through energy markets and diplomatic corridors. Oil prices have already twitched in response, hinting at tighter supplies. At the same time, the fate of other foreign firms in Venezuela hangs in the balance, shadowed by the looming threat of secondary sanctions. As the U.S. sharpens its confrontational edge, the energy landscape braces for transformation, with consequences for geopolitical alliances and energy security worldwide. Is Chevron’s departure merely a pawn in a broader strategic game, or does it herald a seismic shift in global power dynamics? The answer may redefine the boundaries of energy and influence in the years ahead.
XAUMO Platinum Report – The Ultimate Institutional Playbook 📅 Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
📍 Market: XAU/USD (Gold)
⏳ Asia Session Recap → London Session Live → NYC Ahead
🎯 Mission: Capture Smart Money’s Next Move in Gold Before the Week & Month Close.
🌎 1️⃣ Macro & Institutional Drivers – What’s Driving Gold?
💥 🔥 HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS IN PLAY:
🔹 1. Month-End Positioning & Institutional Rebalancing
🛑 Today is Friday – Last Trading Day of the Month!
Hedge Funds, Banks & Market Makers are adjusting their gold exposure.
Expect liquidity grabs, stop-hunts, and engineered fake moves before real direction sets in.
🔹
2. Economic News Impact – USD & Fed Policy
📢 Recent Data Releases:
✅ US Core PCE Data (Inflation Gauge) – Hawkish Fed?
If inflation is high → Stronger USD → Bearish Gold.
If inflation is weak → Weaker USD → Bullish Gold.
✅ Trump’s Tariff Announcement – Supply Chain Shock?
Higher tariffs mean inflation risk → Gold demand rises as hedge.
But… if tariffs slow economic growth → Risk-off sentiment pushes USD up, Gold down.
💡 Key Takeaway: Gold is stuck between inflation risks & risk-off flows. Market needs clarity before making a decisive move.
📊 2️⃣ Volume & Liquidity Analysis – The Ultimate Institutional Blueprint
🔹 Smart Money's Key Order Flow Zones
📍 Institutional Sell Zones (Major Resistance)
🔻 $2,896 - $2,910 → VWAP Rejection Zone.
🔻 $2,920 - $2,930 → High Liquidity Trap Zone (If price spikes here & rejects = SELL).
📍 Institutional Buy Zones (Major Support)
🔹 $2,852 - $2,864 → Key Reversal Zone.
🔹 $2,840 - $2,825 → Final Support Before Breakdown.
🔹 Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) – The REAL Story Behind Price
✅ Current Volume: 561K on 8H, 128.88K on Daily → Weak Participation.
✅ Delta Shift: Negative across sessions → More aggressive selling than buying.
✅ Candle Structure:
Daily Piercing Line Rejected 🚨 → Buyers lost momentum.
1H & 4H Shooting Star Clusters → Bearish Rejection Confirmed.
💡
Conclusion:
London session opened with weak buying, high rejection at $2,864 - $2,870.
If NYC session fails to push Gold above $2,880 → We see a deeper drop.
🎯 3️⃣
The Ultimate Trade Scenarios – No Emotion, Just Execution
The Bullish Setup – If Gold Reclaims $2,880
✅ Trigger: Break & Hold Above $2,880.
✅ Confirmation: VWAP reclaim + Positive Delta Surge.
BUY ENTRY: $2,880 - $2,886
TP1: $2,896 (VWAP reclaim).
TP2: $2,910 (Institutional Distribution Zone).
SL: Below $2,872.
📌 Why This Works?
Institutions fake out shorts at $2,864 - $2,870 before pushing higher.
VWAP reclaim confirms Smart Money is buying.
=====+
The Bearish Setup – If Gold Stays Below $2,864
✅ Trigger: Failed Bounce at $2,870 - $2,875.
✅ Confirmation: Weak buy volume + Delta shift negative.
SELL ENTRY: $2,864 - $2,870
TP1: $2,852 (First Breakdown Level).
TP2: $2,840 (Final Support).
SL: Above $2,880.
📌 Why This Works?
Multiple bearish rejection candles (Shooting Star, Evening Star).
Month-End selling pressure accelerates downside moves.
=====+
📌 3️⃣ Neutral Play – Scalping Inside the POC Zone
✅ Trigger: Price stuck between $2,864 - $2,880.
✅ Strategy:
BUY scalps from $2,864 → Target $2,878.
SELL scalps from $2,880 → Target $2,868.
📌 Why This Works?
Low volume = choppy conditions → Ideal for quick scalps.
Institutions keeping price in range before final breakout.
🚨 4️⃣ Execution Plan – The Ultimate Precision Strategy 🚨
======================================================
📅 Friday’s Key Trading Windows:
✅ London Session:
Monitor VWAP reclaim attempts at $2,880.
If rejection → Short Gold.
✅ NYC Session:
Expect fake moves before real trend emerges.
If Delta flips positive → Prepare for a short squeeze rally.
📌✓✓✓✓ Final Call – The Smart Money Play Today
🚨 Primary Bias: Bearish.
🔥 SELL $2,864 - $2,870 → TP $2,852 - $2,840.
🔥 BUY Only If $2,880 Holds → Target $2,896 - $2,910.
💡 Risk Management:
🔹 STOP-LOSS: If Gold closes above $2,885 on 4H → Exit Shorts.
🔹 TRAILING STOP: Lock profits at $2,852 → Adjust at $2,840.
💎 5️⃣
Move toward the level of 73,000 unitsAccording to the January 21 analysis, after identifying the trading range and determining its highs and lows, we expected Bitcoin to complete this pattern at 92,303.
However, after reaching this level on the daily timeframe, the price made a strong spike, breaking the large trading range between 92,303 and 106,436, entering a new phase and movement.
After its adventure at 86,903, this asset continued its downward movement, breaking through this range as well. Currently, it has reached a new price level at 80,000, driven by the strong spike movement.
Now, we must wait to see whether this direct movement will continue or if it will proceed with some delay and consolidation.
It is important to note that if this level is lost, Bitcoin’s price on the daily timeframe could potentially extend its move down to 73,000, which is also the expected level. The reason is that such a strong spike movement requires a powerful support level for correction or a temporary halt in this dominant wave.