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TON/USDT – Ready for the Next Move?🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #TON/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 1H -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management: 🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000 🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1% 🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $990.1 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 3.082 (Amount: $99) ☄️ En2: 3.073 (Amount: $346.54) ☄️ En3: 3.066 (Amount: $445.55) ☄️ En4: 3.06 (Amount: $99) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 3.074 ($990.1) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 3.104 (+0.98%) (RR:0.97) ☑️ TP2: 3.12 (+1.5%) (RR:1.49) ☑️ TP3: 3.141 (+2.18%) (RR:2.16) ☑️ TP4: 3.168 (+3.06%) (RR:3.03) ☑️ TP5: 3.198 (+4.03%) (RR:3.99) ☑️ TP6: Open 🔝 -------------------- ❌ SL: 3.043 (-1.01%) (-$10) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 54X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️ 🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown: This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management. 📊 Sentiment & Market Context: Toncoin (TON) shows strong bullish momentum against USDT, supported by growing investor confidence and positive market sentiment. After a period of consolidation, the pair is setting up for a potential breakout as technical indicators align with rising demand. The Toncoin ecosystem, backed by the Telegram Open Network, is gaining traction due to its scalability, speed, and integration potential with Telegram’s massive user base. This real-world utility and adoption fuel bullish sentiment, making TON a top contender in the altcoin space. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. 💡 Stay Updated: Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
Long
by MergicNet
2
EURJPY Weekly Analysis – Major Structural Breakout & Target🧱 1. Consolidation Zone: The Dual Directional Area From around August 2024 to May 2025, EURJPY traded inside a well-defined consolidation range, marked between approximately 155.00 to 165.00. This phase can be categorized as a Dual Directional Zone, meaning both buyers and sellers had tactical entries, but the market was in accumulation/distribution mode. This phase often traps breakout traders and builds liquidity on both sides. Price repeatedly swept highs and lows inside this zone but lacked any commitment, signaling that larger players were building positions. The flat structure over months hinted that a major move was imminent. ⚠️ 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) The first clue of shifting momentum was the CHoCH, which signaled a change in direction and flow of control. The lower highs and lower lows began to shift into higher lows, showing buying strength beneath the surface. This change didn’t immediately lead to breakout, but it marked the early intention of bullish dominance. 🚀 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure): Confirming the Bullish Bias The clean break above the range high was the confirmation of a major bullish BOS. This wasn’t just a minor pop — it was an aggressive breakout, validating that institutional liquidity had been accumulated and was now being deployed. The price ran swiftly toward the Bullish Target Zone (~177.50–180.00) with very little pullback, suggesting urgency from buyers or short-covering from trapped sellers. 🎯 4. Bullish Target Reached – What's Next? Price has hit the projected Bullish Target Area — a region of prior imbalance and psychological round numbers. Traders who caught the breakout now face a critical decision point: Will price continue higher into price discovery mode, or is this the exhaustion phase? If price holds above the BOS level (~165.00), there’s still room for continuation. But signs of rejection or slowing momentum here could lead to a correction. 🔻 5. Bearish Alternative: Trap and Reversal Scenario The bearish path is not out of play — in fact, this move upward could potentially be a liquidity sweep. If price fails to stay above the BOS and rapidly closes back into the consolidation range, it would suggest a bull trap. This would confirm a deviation, which often leads to violent reversals. The projected Bearish Target Zone (~145.00–147.50) aligns with prior unmitigated zones and imbalance that may attract price if sentiment flips. 🧭 6. Trading Strategy & Risk Planning For Bulls: Watch for consolidation above 165.00. Breakout + Retest entries toward 180.00 or beyond offer high R/R. For Bears : Look for exhaustion or fakeout patterns (like a Quasimodo or supply engulfing) near current highs. A breakdown and close below 165.00 signals short entries targeting 150s and potentially 147s. 💬 Final Thoughts: This chart is a prime example of how patience during a range and reaction after breakout pays off. Smart traders don’t chase — they prepare. A bullish continuation may still be in play. However, if this move was only a liquidity purge, the reversal could be deep and fast. Stay alert, mark your key levels, and trade what you see — not what you feel.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Structure Mapping & Target🧠 Market Structure Overview: The current EURGBP structure is a textbook example of Market Mapping Cycle (MMC) behavior—where price progresses through accumulation, breakout, manipulation, and eventual rebalancing. The pair has completed a liquidity sweep and is on its final leg toward a defined reversal target zone. 🔹 Phase 1: Accumulation Within Channel From August to late December 2024, EURGBP traded inside a descending channel. This move created an illusion of bearish control, but careful observation reveals it was a liquidity engineering setup. Institutions were accumulating beneath key swing lows, marked by equal lows and multiple false breaks. The “Previous Channel Structure” identified on the chart is crucial—it acted as a bear trap and formed the base of the MMC curve. 🔹 Phase 2: Break of Structure (BOS) and Smart Money Entry In early January 2025, the market broke structure with strong bullish candles. This Major BOS was the first signal of institutional engagement, shifting the structure from distribution to accumulation phase. After the BOS, price tested the breakout level, forming a curve support (MMC's bullish arc structure). This is where smart money typically adds positions on retracement. 🔹 Phase 3: Liquidity Sweep & Acceleration In March 2025, EURGBP dipped sharply, triggering a liquidity sweep below prior lows. This fakeout move was a classic manipulation phase—clearing late buyers before a fast reversal. Price rejected strongly from the curve support, confirming the MMC continuation. 🔹 Phase 4: Expansion Toward MMC Target The market moved vertically, respecting the MMC curve structure and 50% retracement zone of the last impulse (noted on the chart). This movement shows momentum expansion, typical of MMC Phase 3. Price is now rapidly approaching the Target + Next Reversal zone at 0.86800–0.87200. 🔻 What to Expect Next: The Target Zone aligns with multiple confluences: supply imbalance, psychological round number, and prior liquidity void. Expect strong reaction or reversal from this zone. Confirmation is needed before shorting, ideally via: Lower Timeframe Break of Structure (LTF BOS) Bearish divergence or volume exhaustion Candlestick rejections (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bars) 📈 Summary of Key Technical Elements: Concept Observation MMC Phase Expansion (Phase 3) Liquidity Sweep March 2025 – below prior support BOS (Break of Structure) Early 2025 bullish breakout Current Bias Bullish until 0.8700 zone Reversal Potential High at MMC Target + Supply Zone 📚 Educational Note: This analysis follows the Market Mapping Cycle (MMC) method—a higher-level view of Smart Money Concepts. By studying price curves, liquidity zones, and psychological areas, traders can anticipate market behavior before traditional indicators catch up.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Bearish Path to Target Zone📈 Market Narrative – Understanding EURUSD's Path with MMC The EURUSD pair is currently navigating a critical phase in its macro price structure, aligning closely with the Mind Market Concept (MMC) methodology — a trading framework rooted in institutional price behavior, psychological arcs, and structured market mapping. This chart reveals a story of accumulation, expansion, manipulation, and rebalancing — classic smart money behavior playing out on the higher timeframe. The current move is not just price action — it's a strategic delivery of price toward imbalance, guided by volume vacuums, liquidity zones, and engineered traps. 🧩 Phase-by-Phase Technical Analysis 🔷 1. Arc Accumulation Zone – The Beginning of Institutional Positioning In the latter half of 2024, EURUSD entered a rounded arc formation, which marks a textbook accumulation phase. This "bowl-like" curve represents gradual absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutions. The lows became progressively higher, indicating demand stepping in while supply weakened. Volume during this time was suppressed — another smart money tactic to accumulate without causing price spikes. 📌 Why This Matters: Arcs often precede explosive breakouts, particularly when aligned with time-based liquidity cycles (quarterly/yearly rebalancing). This zone gave birth to the breakout that followed. 🔷 2. The Central Zone – Consolidation Before Expansion Once the arc base was complete, price broke out impulsively, then pulled back into what is labeled the Central Zone. This zone acts as a mid-range liquidity pocket — where orders are stacked and reaccumulation occurs. It also became the launchpad for the final markup wave that tapped the previous target around 1.1250. 🔍 This move was the realignment phase, where smart money took price above key highs to: Hit their internal targets. Trap breakout traders. Induce euphoria before distribution. 🔷 3. Major BOS – Break of Macro Structure The breakout through 1.1150–1.1200 confirmed a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS acted as a signal for: Trend reversal confirmation for many retail traders. A "green light" to buy — which was anticipated and exploited by institutions. But here’s the twist: Price rejected the SR Interchange Zone (support turned resistance), signaling that the breakout was engineered to trap liquidity. 🔷 4. Distribution & Manipulation – The Trap Layer The chart clearly shows two critical supply areas: Minor Resistance (around 1.1400s) Major Resistance (around 1.1550–1.1600s) Price briefly approached these zones but failed to hold, forming a complex distribution range. This is where: Smart money distributed their long positions. Retail buyers got trapped. Volume increased during sell-side preparation. 📌 The rejection from these zones sent price into a clean markdown, forming lower highs and confirming the bearish structure mapping. 🔷 5. Structural Mapping – Downtrend Control Price action is now clearly in a bearish delivery phase, as shown by: Lower highs & lower lows Repeated rejections from minor resistance Large red candles with little retracement (showing momentum) This phase is often misunderstood by retail traders. But within MMC, it’s identified as the delivery to imbalance — a controlled descent into unmitigated demand. 🔷 6. Target + Reversal Zone – Where the Real Opportunity Begins We are approaching the most important area on the chart: 🟡 Target + Reversal Zone (around 1.0950–1.1000) This zone is not randomly drawn: It's the origin of the arc breakout, a high-volume node. It's a discounted price level where institutions may re-engage. It’s untapped demand from the earlier accumulation — meaning no major reaction has occurred here yet. If price slows down here, forms a liquidity sweep, or gives a bullish engulfing on the lower timeframe — this could be the reversal point. But: If price slices through with strong momentum, it may signal macro weakness, opening room to test the 1.0800 region. 🧭 Trade Plan & Execution Guide Setup Type Actionable Guidance 📉 Bearish Pullback Entry Short entries near 1.1300–1.1350 with stop above minor resistance 🟡 Demand Reversal Watch Wait for reaction in 1.0950–1.1000, assess volume & candle response 📊 Structure Confirmation Use lower timeframe BOS for entry alignment 🛡️ Risk Management Keep risk below 1% per trade, avoid chasing mid-zone prices 💬 Key Takeaways EURUSD has completed its accumulation → expansion → manipulation cycle. We are now entering the rebalancing phase, where the market returns to fair value (demand). Smart money flow is visible — from engineered highs to controlled selloffs. The Target + Reversal Zone will likely dictate the next macro direction.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
JPYUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Smart Structure & Target Zones🧠 Market Sentiment & Technical Landscape The JPYUSD currency pair has entered a decisive phase in its multi-week bullish run, driven by structural integrity, smart money behavior, and market psychology. This chart captures a strategic trade progression using the Mind Market Concept (MMC) approach — a hybrid strategy blending curve dynamics, volume imprints, and structural flow to track institutional intent. We're seeing a powerful alignment of structure, momentum, and volume signals, all pointing to a potential high-probability completion near the upper target/reversal zone. 🔍 In-Depth Technical Breakdown 🔹 1. Curve Support Foundation – The Psychological Bedrock At the heart of this bullish move lies the Black Mind Curve Support — a dynamic, rounded trendline support based on momentum cycles and structural lows. This curve is not arbitrary; it’s a reflection of where smart money has repeatedly absorbed sell-side liquidity before marking up the price. Multiple rejections from this zone around 0.00640 – 0.00650 provided confirmation of intent. The rounded nature of this curve support mimics market accumulation patterns — think of it as a “loading zone” before explosive movement. 🔹 2. Structural Breakout – A Clean Bullish Sequence Price respected a multi-month resistance line and finally broke out in April–May 2025. The breakout wasn't just technical — it occurred after: A liquidity sweep below the February-March higher low A retest of the curve A sharp bullish engulfing formation on the weekly chart This combination confirms a high-confidence shift in market structure — transitioning from ranging accumulation to directional markup. 🔹 3. Volume Imprints – Institutional Footprints The chart highlights a Needed Volume area — this is where previous institutional order blocks likely existed. The strong bullish move into that zone confirms: Buyers were active and aggressive The area served as both resistance and a breakout retest This volume footprint now acts as a supportive launchpad, reaffirming trend continuation logic. 🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone As price continues climbing, it’s now approaching a critical confluence zone around 0.00720 – 0.00725. This zone is projected using: Fibonacci extension of the last impulse Measured move symmetry Historical supply and resistance (Q3 2024 highs) This is not just a target — it’s a high-probability reversal area. Expect: Potential exhaustion candles Momentum divergence Institutional profit-taking 📊 MMC Strategy Approach – Trade Blueprint Parameter Detail Bias Bullish (until reversal confirmation) Current Price ~0.00694 Buy Zone 0.00685–0.00690 (pullback entry) Target Zone 0.00720–0.00725 Curve Support 0.00650–0.00660 Invalidation Clean break below curve or engulfing bear momentum This MMC-based setup emphasizes patience, psychological precision, and proper confirmation for both entry and exit. The idea is to buy smart (on structure), and exit smarter (at institutional interest zones). ⚠️ Key Trader Insights Don’t chase — wait for clean entry signals near structure (curve or trendline retest). Use volume confirmation — don’t trade against low-volume rejections at resistance. Watch emotional extremes — FOMO at targets often precedes reversal. Plan for both scenarios: Continuation → scale partial profits at target Reversal → shift bias if bearish confirmation aligns with momentum loss 🔖 Summary Outlook ✅ Trend: Bullish continuation, respecting structure 🎯 Immediate Focus: Reaching the 0.0072 Target + Next Reversal Zone 🔄 Actionable Tip: Monitor for rejection/absorption candles in the upper blue zone 💼 Risk Management: Use curve break or engulfing reversal as an exit trigger This setup reflects high technical confluence and fits into a longer-term institutional roadmap. Whether you're swing trading or intraday scaling within this wave — the logic remains powerful.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Horizen: What You Need To Know About The Altcoins—Experts Only!A shakeout is a market move where the whales (exchanges) create volatility in order to rattle unprepared traders and investors. If you use a limit stop-loss and you are clueless, the exchanges and market whales can see your orders and they use this to their advantage. Since they own all of the coins and everything basically, they can move the market. They produce a massive amount of pressure until everybody freaks out. Those with too much leverage gets their positions liquidated. Everything lost. That's fine, it is their fault for being too greedy. Learn from your mistakes. Take the loss and move on. Nobody to blame. Just a lesson and a learning experience. Those with a tight stop-loss limit order get to sell at a lower price and secure a small loss, sometimes between 10-30%. Those patient, @MasterAnanda readers and followers, get to watch from a distance and even buy more when prices are low. No loss. Let me get back into conspiracy theory mode. So the market produced a bottom and is set to grow long-term. Very stupid and greedy people start to become very aggressive and decide to buy with 15, 18 and even 20 or more X. We have no compassion for these people because this obviously greed, too much of it. And of course, this can never work. The market is like a living being. Like a horse or a camel. It feels it has too much weight on top of it and if it wants to go the long ride, it has to get rid of this weight. The shakeout only lasts a few days but more than 1 billion USD was removed from the market. This is all leverage. This has nothing to do with buyers, investors or spot traders ok? So these were literally gamblers that lost money. This is not a casino, this is a financial market. Learn to play the game or get REKT. The way to play is to buy and hold. The way to play is by participating, being part of the market and accumulating. Of course, there is nothing wrong with gamblers but if you do gamble, there is a very strong risk involved. While a gambler can lose everything in one single bet. A spot trader can hold and if prices drop, simply wait. The worst case scenario ends up being a long wait. It is a shakeout and look at this chart, ZENUSDT. Two days later, the market is back up—full green. We have a higher low. This is only the start. It will get harder and more complex as the bull market develops. Please, whatever you do, do not use margin or leverage if you don't know what you are doing, the results is never anything good. The only reason why you would use leverage is "to earn more money." "To earn more," "to earn fast." How did that go? In the quest for fast money, big money, you ended losing hundreds of thousands in less than a month. It can take 2-3 months to earn a sure 100-300%. It can take 3 weeks to have your entire position liquidated. Anyway, stay away from leverage if you can't keep it below 5X. If you do go there, just know that you will not make it out alive. Everybody is thinking that they can beat the professionals, but the professionals are trading 24-7, you are on a phone and only check-in every few days. By the time you try to adapt, everything is gone. You are not buying from an exchange, you are competing against them and it is a losing game, they hold your money, your history, your data, your coins. They will always beat you because they know everything that you do, and you know nothing about how they work. They'll give you a great website, lots of numbers, lots of cats and dogs and the illusion that you can make money easily without much effort. You lose money and they make billions. If you want to win, play long-term. Only use leverage when you have been successfully trading spot for 2-3 years, minimum. And when you do start with 3X. By the way, if you don't have time to plan, to read, to prepare, you won't have time to get paid. This is the most advanced game in the whole world. It is a money game. Only a very small percent are successful at it. Think before you believe you can come ahead without any effort, you are playing against us—we own the market. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
4
SILVER (XAGUSD): Bullish Momentum Continues Silver (XAGUSD) has been showing strong resilience and upward momentum, reinforcing a generally bullish outlook for the near to medium term. Despite recent minor fluctuations, the underlying fundamentals and technical indicators suggest continued potential for price appreciation. Technical Observations: Consolidation & Breakout Potential: Silver has been consolidating, forming a base that could lead to a significant breakout. Support Levels : Monthly Key support around the $28.00 - $29.00 zone has proven robust, suggesting strong buying interest on dips. One-Month Chart Perspective: On a one-month chart, you would typically observe the broader trend and significant long-term support/resistance zones. Given the bullish outlook, the one-month chart would likely show a series of higher lows and potentially higher highs, indicating sustained upward momentum. Look for strong monthly closing candles above key psychological levels, which would reinforce the bullish sentiment and suggest continued strength into the next month. Any pullbacks on this timeframe would ideally find support at previous resistance levels, which then act as new support. Key Price Targets and Predictions (as of late May/early June 2025): Based on various analyst forecasts and market models, here are some notable price targets for silver: Short-Term (Q2 2025): Expectation around $33.79 - $34.00 per troy ounce. Mid-Term (Next 12 months / End of 2025): Analysts generally forecast targets ranging from $36.00 to $40.00 per ounce. Some more optimistic predictions reach towards $48.00 - $50.00 per ounce. Longer-Term (2026-2030): Some projections see silver potentially reaching $75.00 - $80.00 per ounce. Driving Factors: Industrial Demand: The increasing adoption of green technologies (solar panels, EVs) continues to drive significant industrial demand for silver. Safe-Haven Appeal: Ongoing global economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions enhance silver's role as a safe-haven asset. Supply Deficits: Persistent supply shortfalls in the silver market are expected to provide upward price pressure. Monetary Policy: Potential interest rate cuts could make non-yielding assets like silver more attractive. Strategy: Maintain a bullish bias while closely monitoring key support and resistance levels. A decisive break above current resistance could confirm further upside. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by Mrshazee
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Goal of this ideas is track order flow. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
11
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Goal of this ideas is track order flow. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
19
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Goal of this ideas is not to provide bias you can see that in my other analysis. Here Im just tracking order flow. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
1
XAGUSD Weekly Technical Analysis Breakdown (MMC Style) + Target📈 Chart Summary: The chart shows the price action of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, capturing a significant shift in market sentiment. This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) concept and a combination of Smart Money Concepts, Pennant Structure, and Volume Contraction patterns. Over the past weeks, XAGUSD has transitioned from accumulation and markup to distribution and markdown, suggesting that smart money has exited long positions and is now pushing price toward discount zones for future reaccumulation. 🔍 Detailed Breakdown: 🔹 1. Major Resistance Area – The Selling Origin At the top of the chart, we see a major resistance zone near $35–$36, which acted as a structural ceiling for months. Each time price approached this area, sellers stepped in aggressively, rejecting price and creating long wicks. This level represents institutional supply—where big players offload positions, often leaving a liquidity trail behind for later use. 🔹 2. Pennant Formation + Volume Contraction – Classic Distribution From late April to mid-May, Silver formed a pennant structure, a well-known consolidation pattern. What's special here is the volume contraction—a subtle clue that buyers are drying up while sellers prepare for a large move. This is a classic Wyckoff distribution behavior: Buyers are lured in as price moves in a tight range. Breakout traders enter early expecting a bullish continuation. Institutions trap liquidity before dumping price into inefficiency. The mini Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside acted as a false breakout, perfectly engineered to trap liquidity above the pennant. 🔹 3. Structural Breakdown – Momentum Shifts Bearish Once the trap was complete, price reversed with strong momentum, breaking past key supports and violating internal structure. The label "Structural Analysis" marks the beginning of this break in market structure, confirming the change in character. This shift aligns with Smart Money’s "Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion" logic. We also note how price broke below the SR-interchange zone, where support became resistance—a powerful reversal confirmation. 🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone – The Magnet Currently, Silver is headed toward the $29–$28 zone, highlighted in red as the "Target + Next Reversal" area. This level has high confluence: Acts as a previous QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level). Has unmitigated demand. Matches with earlier lows where smart money likely accumulated positions. Here, we can expect either a strong bounce or short-term consolidation before the next directional move. 📌 Confluence Zones: Key Zone Significance $35–$36 Major Resistance (Supply / Exit zone) $33.5 Mini BOS & Liquidity Trap Area $31.8 – $32.5 Structural Break Zone (Old Demand Broken) $29 – $28 Target + Reversal (High Confluence Zone) 🧠 Smart Money Perspective: This entire sequence is not random—it’s engineered. Institutions: Collected orders at the bottom. Pushed price up to resistance. Consolidated in a pennant to build liquidity. Triggered a false breakout to trap late buyers. Dumped aggressively, targeting previous lows for re-entry. This is the Market Maker Cycle in action — and we’re in the Distribution to Markdown phase right now. 🎯 Trading Plan: Short-Term Bias: Bearish until $29–$28 is reached. Swing Traders: Look for signs of reversal in the $28–$29 zone (bullish engulfing, FVG fill, or demand reactivation). Day Traders: Watch for pullbacks to the $32.5–$33 resistance zone to enter continuation shorts. 🧵 Final Thoughts: This is a textbook example of how Smart Money manipulates structure, traps liquidity, and moves price in phases. Patterns like pennants, BOS, and SR flips, when combined with volume and context, give us clear directional bias. If you're still chasing the breakout without understanding the setup behind it, you're trading against those who engineered the move. Understand the structure — or get trapped by it.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
High chance of PRAKASH-EQ to break ATH and make new highPRAKASH-EQ has traded in range for about 14 years ( from 2010 high to recent 2024 high ). This time the breakout is different because price has managed to break and trade above its crucial resistance zone. currently price of PRAKASH-EQ has taken support at the lower end of its long term resistance channel and there is high chance of price breaking its all time high. as and when price reaches near the upper band of its long term resistance band, it is expected to have a sudden and fast momemtum which will be volume supported. right now price is in value zone (for people planning for momentum breakout) but it is advised to carry this for the next 1-3 years to reap the benefits of compounding as always people are advised to trade as per their risk capacity.
NSE:PRAKASHLong
by ganeshanalysis
BTCUSD Weekly Structure Analysis – Bearish Trend + Target🔍 Overview: Bitcoin has shown us a classic market structure shift, moving from bullish strength into a clear bearish retracement, all while respecting major zones and smart money concepts. This current price action highlights a Bearish Break of Structure (BOS), followed by a continuation move toward a key demand zone, which we are eyeing for the next potential reversal opportunity. 🧩 1. TRC Breakout & Early Bull Run The chart shows a strong bullish phase starting from November 2024, which peaked in late May 2025. The TRC (Trendline Resistance Channel) Breakout marked the shift from lower highs to higher highs. This breakout was the initial sign of bullish strength, leading to a break of structure (BOS) around the $108,000–$110,000 level. ⚠️ 2. BOS Confirmed – Structure Starts to Crumble Once price reached the reversal area near $112,000 (supply zone), we saw a failure to form new highs. The Bearish BOS was confirmed when price failed to hold support and aggressively broke below the previous higher low. This BOS is our first confirmation of trend exhaustion and a transition into bearish structure. 🧠 3. Structural Analysis & Smart Money Behavior Notice how price moved sideways near the top before dropping — a typical distribution phase. This is where smart money distributes positions to retail buyers at the top before the markdown. After the BOS, each lower high confirmed the bearish market structure, with no strong bullish CHoCH in sight. 🧱 4. Major CHoCH & Interchange Zone Look lower on the chart — the SR Interchange Zone around the $76,000–$78,000 area is significant. This acted as resistance in early 2025, flipped into support later, and now stands as a potential Major CHoCH (Change of Character) if price revisits and reverses here. If price respects this zone again, it could mark the next bullish accumulation phase. 🎯 5. Current Target: $83,000–$85,000 Zone Based on structural behavior, liquidity voids, and past interaction, our short-term target is the $83,000–$85,000 demand zone. This area is marked as “Target + Next Reversal” on the chart. We expect either: A reaction and reversal from this zone Or a deeper push toward SR Interchange depending on volume and macro triggers 🧮 Key Technical Breakdown: Component Observation Trendline Break TRC Breakout in February Bullish BOS Confirmed around $108,000 Reversal Area ~$112,000 (Supply/Distribution) Structure Shift Bearish BOS confirmed Current Target $83,000–$85,000 CHoCH Potential $76,000–$78,000 Bias Bearish short-term 🧠 Trading Wisdom: “Structure tells the story — price action confirms it.” Always analyze shifts in structure, not just candle patterns. BOS and CHoCH are some of the most reliable tools in understanding true market intent, especially when aligned with high-volume reversal areas. ✅ Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is currently in a controlled retracement phase, and we are watching closely how price behaves near the $83K–$85K demand zone. If that fails, the deeper SR Interchange at ~$76K becomes the next high-probability zone for long entries. This is a time to be patient, analyze clean structure, and ride with smart money, not against it.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Analysis Weekly (XAU/USD) – Bullish Pennant + Target🔍 Overview: The XAU/USD (Gold) chart is displaying a textbook Pennant Pattern, and we are witnessing a powerful bullish breakout from this structure. This is a great example of how price consolidates before continuing its larger trend — in this case, upward. Let’s break down each major component of the pattern and price behavior: 🧩 1. The Pennant Pattern – Continuation Structure A Pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where price creates lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle-like shape. This structure reflects market indecision, but it’s usually a pause before continuation. In our case: The rally in March–April built the flagpole The April–May consolidation formed the pennant The recent breakout signals trend continuation 🎭 2. Fake First Move – Classic Trap! One of the key traits of pennants is the initial fake breakout—and that’s exactly what happened here. The chart shows an early bearish break, which was a liquidity grab or fake move meant to trap retail traders who entered short too early. Smart money often uses such tactics to create imbalance and then reverse the market in the opposite direction. 🔄 3. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) Following the fake move, price reversed aggressively, breaking internal structure and forming a Major Change of Character (CHoCH). This was the first signal that the bulls were back in control and that the bearish pressure was only temporary. 🧱 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) & Trendline Break The decisive move came next — when price broke above the upper trendline of the pennant and took out previous highs. This break is what we call a Major BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market is shifting from consolidation back into trend mode. The breakout was backed by momentum candles, indicating institutional activity. 🎯 5. Target Zone: $3,700–$3,750 (Reversal Area) Using the measured move technique (height of the flagpole projected from breakout point), the calculated target zone lies between $3,700 and $3,750. This area is also marked as a potential reversal or profit-taking zone, so we might expect: Partial pullback Sideways action Or even a deeper correction before continuation 📚 Key Technical Insights: Component Observation Pattern Bullish Pennant First Move Bearish Fakeout Confirmation Signal CHoCH + BOS Trendline Break Yes, confirmed Target Zone $3,700 – $3,750 Current Price ~$3,290 (at time of writing) Bias Strong Bullish (short to mid-term) 🧠 Educational Takeaway: “The first move is often the fake move.” This is a golden rule in trading consolidation patterns like triangles and pennants. Always wait for confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) before committing capital to a trade. This strategy avoids traps and puts you on the right side of the market. ✅ Conclusion: Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a successful bullish pennant breakout, and all key confirmations are in place. We’re now eyeing the $3,700–$3,750 zone as the next target — with the potential for either reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts. Keep an eye on this chart — the next few sessions could offer great setups for both swing and position traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Continue to maintain stability above 3300, next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/02/2025 - 06/06/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices declined on Friday, pressured by a rebound in the US Dollar, even as US Treasury yields dipped in response to a robust inflation report. Despite the yield pullback, expectations remain firm that the Federal Reserve could begin easing policy in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.83%, trading around $3,289. Market sentiment turned more risk-averse after US President Donald Trump sharply criticized China, accusing Beijing of breaching the trade agreement reached during talks in Switzerland. In a post, Trump wrote, “China, perhaps not surprisingly to some, HAS TOTALLY VIOLATED ITS AGREEMENT WITH US. So much for being Mr. NICE GUY!”—a statement that reignited geopolitical tensions and added to market uncertainty. 🔥 Identify: Gold price is in great competition between buyers and sellers around the price range of 3200 - 3300. Tariff policies are coming back, the trump administration is putting pressure to get favorable tariffs. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3332, $3365 Support: $3244, $3204 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
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