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Beyond Technical Analysis

USDJPY Short OpportunityPoint and Figure charting is the OG technical analysis method—no fancy candlesticks or bar charts needed. Unlike other charts, Point and Figure ignores time and focuses purely on price action, offering clarity amid market noise. If candlestick charts look too chaotic for your taste, Point and Figure usually clears things up. Its simplicity is its best feature: fewer patterns and straightforward trade execution rules, compared to the 150+ patterns of Japanese Candlesticks. On the USDJPY 40-pip/3-box reversal P&F chart, a bear flag pattern is currently being tested and acting as solid resistance. This creates an aggressive but appealing short entry opportunity at 148.80. Below this entry, there are multiple potential profit targets, with T3 (141.60) marking the maximum realistic expectation. Now, before you get too excited about a single-column collapse from 148.80 down to 141.60—hold your horses. The odds of USDJPY making such a dramatic drop in one swift move are slim to none. But given the current international trade tensions, stranger things have happened. Think of the area between 148.80 and 141.60 as a zone where it's easier for USDJPY to drift downward rather than grind upward.
Short
by itsjustanalysis
(XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – April 2, 2025Market Structure & Key Zones Current Price: 3,124.24 Selling Zone: 3,143.07 - 3,148.98 Buying Zone: 3,077.10 - 3,083.68 Observations & Key Market Behavior: Compression Pattern: Price is forming a descending triangle/consolidation range, indicating a possible breakout soon. Liquidity is building up on both sides. Potential Trade Scenarios: 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Preferred) If price moves into the 3,143 - 3,149 supply zone, watch for rejection. Ideal Entry: A break of structure at this zone with a strong bearish reaction. Target: 3,094.63, then 3,083.68 demand zone. 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Alternative) If price moves into the 3,077 - 3,083 demand zone, expect a bounce. Ideal Entry: Confirmation via bullish price action (engulfing candles, wicks, etc.). Target: 3,143.07, possibly higher to 3,148.98 before a reversal. Key Takeaways: ✔ Current Price Action is Ranging → Breakout needed for clarity. ✔ High-probability Sell Setup at Supply (3,143 - 3,149) ✔ High-probability Buy Setup at Demand (3,077 - 3,083) 🚀 Best Play: Wait for price to enter either zone before taking action! 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by salahudien786
Wall Street vs GoldZilla. The End of 'Irrational Exuberance' Era"Irrational exuberance" is the phrase used by the then-Federal Reserve Board chairman, Alan Greenspan, in a speech given at the American Enterprise Institute during the dot-com bubble of the 1990s. The phrase was interpreted as a warning that the stock market might be overvalued. Origin Greenspan's comment was made during a televised speech on December 5, 1996 (emphasis added in excerpt) Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade? Greenspan wrote in his 2008 book that the phrase occurred to him in the bathtub while he was writing a speech. The irony of the phrase and its aftermath lies in Greenspan's widely held reputation as the most artful practitioner of Fedspeak, often known as Greenspeak, in the modern televised era. The speech coincided with the rise of dedicated financial TV channels around the world that would broadcast his comments live, such as CNBC. Greenspan's idea was to obfuscate his true opinion in long complex sentences with obscure words so as to intentionally mute any strong market response. The phrase was also used by Yale professor Robert J. Shiller, who was reportedly Greenspan's source for the phrase. Shiller used it as the title of his book, Irrational Exuberance, first published in 2000, where Shiller states: Irrational exuberance is the psychological basis of a speculative bubble. I define a speculative bubble as a situation in which news of price increases spurs investor enthusiasm, which spreads by psychological contagion from person to person, in the process amplifying stories that might justify the price increases, and bringing in a larger and larger class of investors who, despite doubts about the real value of an investment, are drawn to it partly by envy of others' successes and partly through a gamblers' excitement. The main technical graph represents a value of S&P500 Index in Gold troy ounces (current value 1.81 at time of writing this article), indicates that effusive Bull stock market goes collapsing. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Breaking: nCino, Inc. (NASDAQ: $NCNO) Tanks 33% In Premarket nCino, Inc., (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NCNO ) a software-as-a-service company, that provides cloud-based software applications to financial institutions in the United States and internationally saw its shares plummet 32.93% in Wednesday's Premarket trading amid slowing growth in cloud banking and mortgage markets. nCino shares slumped in after hours trading Tuesday (April 1) extending the loss to Wednesday's (April 2) premarket trading in the wake of guidance that anticipates slowing growth in the core cloud banking segments and mortgage markets, though a reacceleration is envisioned for fiscal year 2027. in the current fiscal year (2026) first quarter, top-line growth should be in the high single-digits year over year, to a range of roughly $139 million to $140.7 million, which would be a slowdown from the 14% growth rate notched in the most recent quarter. Fiscal year guidance also disappointed investors, who sent the shares down by 28%. The company also announced the appointment of Sean Desmond as CEO, succeeding Pierre Naudé, who becomes executive chairman. Financial Performance In 2024, nCino's revenue was $540.66 million, an increase of 13.45% compared to the previous year's $476.54 million. Losses were -$37.88 million, -10.55% less than in 2023. Analyst Forecast According to 13 analysts, the average rating for NCNO stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $40.38, which is an increase of 43.60% from the latest price. Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:NCNO is down 32.93% in Wednesday's premarket trading. the asset's daily price chart depicts a bearish pennant or a bearish symmetrical triangle that resorted to the 33% dip. NASDAQ:NCNO shares close Tuesday's session with a RSI of 39.77 which is weaker for a trend reversal and also potent for a continuous trend. There is a possible chance of a gap down pattern evolving which is a very strong bearish pattern. For now investors will have to wait for a favourable grounds mostly likely the 25 RSI pivot to capitalize on the dip.
NASDAQ:NCNOLong
by DEXWireNews
EURUSD Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions–Weak Upside Momentum✍ ✍ ✍ EUR/USd news: ➡ Disappointing macroeconomic data from the United States makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen on Tuesday, allowing EUR/USD to find support. However, the cautious market sentiment prevents the currency pair from gaining significant traction. ➡ Later in the day, the ADP Employment Change data will be released as part of the U.S. economic calendar. However, investors are unlikely to react strongly to this data ahead of President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on "Liberation Day." ➡ Market volatility is expected as traders assess the Trump administration's new tariff regime and its potential impact on economic prospects. Consequently, making investment decisions based on immediate reactions could be risky. Additionally, volatility may remain high if U.S. trade partners, such as the EU, respond by imposing their own tariffs on American goods. Personal opinion: ➡ Currently, the disadvantage is in favor of the EUR, so the downtrend for the EUR/USD currency pair is inevitable. The momentum for the EUR/USD pair is currently quite low, so a short-term sell order can be considered feasible. ➡ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0810 ❌SL: 1.0845 | ✅TP: 1.760 – 1.0730 – 1.0700 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
The Day AheadWednesday, April 2 Data Releases: US March ADP report, February factory orders, Japan March monetary base, France February budget balance. Central Banks: Speeches from Fed’s Kugler, ECB's Schnabel, and Escriva. Trump Tariff Announcement: Trump’s team is finalizing options for a 4 p.m. announcement, considering a tiered system with flat rates or a customized approach. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Paradigm Shift: Markets in Tension over Trump's New TariffsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst at ActivTrades The recent announcement of tariffs by Donald Trump's administration has generated a wave of uncertainty in financial markets. This measure could trigger a forceful response from the European Union, marking a paradigm shift in global trade and in the European bloc's economic strategy. Reactions in Europe and the ECB Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), has stressed the need for Europe to move towards greater economic independence. Her statements suggest that the EU will not back down from protectionist measures and that its fiscal and financial policy will have to adapt to this new global context. It can be sensed from the statements that countries such as Germany and Italy, with a strong dependence on automotive exports, could be among the most affected. In addition, strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum would face an increase in production costs and possible interruptions in supply chains. Spain and Poland could be affected in the strategic raw materials sector as one of the most powerful net exporters in Europe. Especially Spain, given that it dedicates a large part of its aluminum exports to the North American country. Economic and Financial Impact A tariff-based trade war could slow growth, increase unemployment and generate a disinflationary or even deflationary environment not only in the United States but also in the European economic region. In this context, the bond market has begun to discount further interest rate cuts, reflecting declines in longer maturity yields and break-even inflation rates. Expectations of Europe, and even traditional allied countries Canada and its rapprochement with Europe, as well as Japan and Korea showing approaches to China, could be demarcating a red line for the White House in terms of its foreign policy form. What Trump will have to consider if the market begins to respond so negatively to such an “enemy of trade” attitude, and especially such a “bad friend” to his traditional allies. Another key factor to consider is the NATO-NATO section where Europe may eventually displace the US from the grouping. DAX Analysis (Ticker AT: GER40) The German index has started the Asian session with a sideways movement and 2 hours before the European opening there have been strong falls after the alliance comments in Asia. The situation of the index seems to have reached a floor around 22,241 points generating a possible support this Wednesday. If we look at the trend, the index has reached highs twice last month on March 6 and 18, marking on the second occasion a new milestone trading at 23,480.22 points, generating a return to a range where the index is comfortable this year between 22,918 points and 22,105 points, with the annual lows at 22,209.21 points. The current situation is indicating a possible golden crossover to reverse the current situation. The Current Control Point (POC) is located at 22,967.56 points, so it would not be unusual with the increase in volume and with an oversold RSI at 44.93%, it is possible that the index climbs to 22,522 points in its mid-range zone and try to pierce if the news accompanies the Euro zone and in particular Germany and the companies that make up the index. If this happens, we could see an advance to the upper part of the range slightly below the indicated checkpoint. Future Outlook If the Trump administration maintains its uncompromising trade strategy, pressure on European financial markets could intensify. The EU, for its part, will have to assess possible countermeasures to protect its economy and maintain stability in an increasingly challenging environment. At ActivTrades, we are closely following these developments and their impact on global markets. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GER40Long
by ActivTrades
UPDATE XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025🦍 XAUUSD DAILY PLAN – APRIL 2, 2025 Feed: VANTAGE | Based on Price Action, SMC, OB, FVG, Liquidity 🌍 Macro & Political Context 📰 Geopolitical tension remains high: war in Ukraine, Trump tariffs = gold stays strong as safe-haven 💸 Inflation concerns + central bank demand continue fueling bullish pressure 🧠 Gold printed an ATH @ 3148, but market is now reacting with clear Smart Money footprints 🧠 SMC Structure Overview 🔺 3335–3340 → Liquidity/Accumulation Zone → Not a sell zone 🔻 3107–3115 → Strong rejection zone → Valid demand 📊 Price is compressing between a major supply and key liquidity below 📌 Smart Money may grab liquidity below before making the next bullish move 🎯 TRADE SCENARIOS – SNIPER SETUPS 🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – Trend Continuation Entry Bias: Bullish Entry: 3115 – 3120 Confluences: Bullish OB on M15 FVG in discount Strong reaction from this zone yesterday Sell-side liquidity swept at 3112 Confirmation: Bullish CHoCH + engulfing on M5 SL: Below 3107 TP1: 3135 TP2: 3145 TP3: 3150+ (ATH retest) 🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – Deep Discount Entry Bias: Bullish (Liquidity grab + imbalance fill) Entry: 3085 – 3092 Confluences: H1 FVG + unmitigated OB FIBO 61.8% Below key liquidity at 3100 Confirmation: M1/M5 reversal pattern + CHoCH SL: Below 3075 TP1: 3115 TP2: 3135 TP3: 3148+ 🔴 SELL SCENARIO 1 – Fakeout Above ATH Bias: Short-term reversal Entry: 3146 – 3150 Confluences: Sweep of ATH @3148 H4 supply zone Possible overextension / inducement Confirmation: M5 rejection + CHoCH SL: Above 3155 TP1: 3130 TP2: 3115 TP3: 3100 🔴 SELL SCENARIO 2 – Break in Structure Setup Bias: Trend shift / Lower High Entry: 3127 – 3132 Confluences: LH formed under 3140 BOS on M15 Rejection from OB retest Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + rejection wick SL: Above 3136 TP1: 3112 TP2: 3092 TP3: 3080 🧲 Key Liquidity & Imbalance Zones Zone Type 3335–3340 🔒 Liquidity / Accumulation 3148–3150 💥 Buy-side Liquidity (fakeout) 3107–3115 🟢 Demand zone (bullish base) 3085–3092 🔵 Imbalance + OB + 61.8% FIBO 3075 🧨 Stop hunt / liquidity clearance 🧘 Final Notes 📌 Patience > Prediction 🧠 Wait for confirmation. Don’t force the entry. 🗞️ News and Trump can still throw wild cards — stay reactive. 👍 Found this plan helpful? Smash that like ❤️ and follow for sniper updates daily. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SniperTrading #FVG #OrderBlocks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Bullish Nikkei Faces Formidable HeadwindsJapan’s lost decades are behind us. Many long-term factors are driving resurgence in Japanese equities. Economic growth is accelerating – driven by strong domestic consumption. Radical market reforms have made Japan attractive for domestic and global investors. As a result, the benchmark Nikkei 225 set a new all-time-high after four decades. However, the rally is facing challenges. Tightening monetary policy, trade uncertainties, and waning impact of corporate efficiency reforms pose near-term headwinds that could push the benchmark into a correction, followed by a period of consolidation. BOJ’s rates hikes The Bank of Japan (BoJ) plays a crucial role in the performance of Japanese equities. Since 2016, the BoJ instituted negative rates to support economic growth which boosted equity markets. Chart 1: From 2015 to 2025, loose monetary policy boosted the Nikkei 225, but equities have stagnated since rates began rising However, in March 2024, the BoJ hiked rates for the first time after two decades. Subsequently, rates were lifted twice, up to 0.5%, the highest since 2008. Crucially, it intends to raise rates further as part of a broader return to neutral policy rate – one that’s neither too restrictive nor too accommodative. Chart 2: The Nikkei 225 tends to rise slightly before BoJ meetings but falls sharply afterward, especially following rate hike (2024 to Present) The BoJ is expected to hike rates by 50 basis points by end of March 2026 according to a Reuters poll . Two-thirds expect the next rate hike in Q3, likely in July this year. Traditionally the wage hikes in spring serve as a critical indicator for the BOJ, influencing its decision to continue raising interest rates as part of its shift towards a more neutral monetary policy. This year, many economists expect the wage hikes to match or exceed 5.1% as seen in 2024. With yen’s slide halting, the BoJ will have more room to manoeuvre. Consequently, a rate hike seems likely forming additional headwinds to Japanese equities. Fading impact of Corporate Reforms Nikkei’s ascent is also thanks in part to TSE’s corporate reforms. For years, Japanese equities were seen as “value trap,” dissuading investors. In 2023, to unlock the value trap, the TSE embarked on a campaign to enhance capital efficiency among listed Japanese firms to attract wider investment. New listing rules “urge” firms to deploy their capital better – either through shareholder returns or CAPEX. These reforms were effective in the near-term, boosting key valuation metrics such as P/B and P/E ratios. However, the improvements from these reforms are starting to slow. Chart 3: Japan’s Prime Market weighted average Price-to-Book ratio has fallen back to pre-reform levels over the past year (2023 to Present) Average P/B and P/E ratios of the prime market firms listed on the TSE is back to pre-reform levels. The large short-term bump from these policies have faded, no longer providing an immediate tailwind. Chart 4: Japan’s Prime Market weighted average Price-to-Earnings ratio has fallen back to pre-reform levels over the past year (2023 to Present) Tariff Risks Haunt Markets Perhaps the largest near-term risk facing the Nikkei 225 is the potential for trade disruptions. Chart 5: Nikkei 225 daily returns show a sharp drop on the day tariffs were announced Trump has announced a steep 25% tariff on imported cars, set to take effect on April 2, a dramatic 10-fold increase from the current 2.5%. Additionally, he has raised the steel and aluminium tariffs to 25%, with no exemptions or exceptions—a significant blow to Japan, one of America's key trade and security allies. Despite Japan’s trade minister Yoji Muto lobbying for relief in Washington, the U.S. has yet to offer any concessions. US remains Japan’s largest export market, accounting for ¥21 trillion ($140. 6 billion) in trade, with automobiles making up nearly 28% of that figure. The impending tariff spike is expected to dent Japanese exports, slash domestic production, and squeeze profit margins. Trade tariffs, especially those impacting some of the largest companies in the Nikkei 225 present a significant risk for investors. Additionally, the tariffs are likely to lead to a shrinking trade surplus for Japan which may weaken the yen and further exacerbate inflationary pressures, prompting the BoJ to hike rates. Nikkei 225 is Weighted Towards Exporters The Nikkei 225 index is dominated by technology firms which makes up almost half of the index. This sector includes both Electronic Manufacturing firms and Software & Communications companies. Notable firms within this sector are Tokyo Electron (5.9%), Advantest (5.7%), Softbank Group (4.2%), and KDDI (2.5%). Chart 6: Nikkei 225 sector weightings shows large weightage towards technology firms Other notable categories are Consumer Goods and Materials. Consumer Goods is dominated by Fast Retailing, the single largest component of the index with a weight of 10.7%. The index is impacted substantially by trade given its heavy tilt towards manufacturing. Rising input costs from imports and reduced demand for exports can both stifle performance Chart 7: Nikkei 225 Sector wise 1Y performance. Over the past year, Finance has been one of the strongest sectors in the index. Contrastingly, Producer Manufacturing, which has a high weightage in the index, has been among the underperforming sectors. This trend is likely to continue, with trade disruptions and a slowing AI rally posing headwinds to major index components. CME Group Nikkei 225 Futures CME Group’s suite of Nikkei 225 futures provide a range of instruments to express views on Japan’s benchmark equity index. Futures are available in two different contract sizes – Standard and Micro. More information on these can be found at the Nikkei 225 Futures page . Particularly, the newly launched Micro Nikkei 225 contract presents interesting possibilities for both trading & hedging exposure. Due to the smaller size, the contract requires lower margin, boosting capital efficiency for traders. For risk managers, it allows for precise hedging, reducing unwanted residual exposures. A crucial use case of these futures is the expanded trading hours in the week. Investors can trade CME Group’s Nikkei futures 23 hours a day, 5 days a week, significantly longer than the underlying cash market. This allows futures to be an effective overnight hedging tool. Chart 8: CME Micro Nikkei futures cumulative volume growth The Micro Nikkei futures are available both as a yen-denominated, and USD-denominated product. Both provide for compelling use-cases to hedge FX volatility. Investors can use the USD-denominated contract to negate any risk from movements in the yen, and trade directly using USD. Conversely, the yen-denominated contract can be deployed strategically to benefit from a strengthening yen. Technicals Signal Near-Term Bearishness Technical summary of Nikkei 225 index shows a bearish outlook on the 1D chart timeframe. This suggests potential downside in the near-term. Chart 9: Nikkei 225 technical indicator signals short-term bearish outlook In the longer-term (1-month timeframe) Nikkei 225 technical indicators show a bullish signal. Chart 10: Nikkei 225 long-term technical indicator signals bullish outlook Looking at specific technical indicators, the rebound following the tariff related decline seems to be fading with MACD and RSI, signalling a weakening trend. With Nikkei 225 trading below a key support/resistance level, strong momentum may be required to pass this level. At present, that momentum is lacking. Chart 11: Nikkei 225 RSI, Bollinger Bands, and MACD signal emerging bearish trend Hypothetical Trade Setup While Nikkei 225 has multiple long-term drivers that support secular growth, near-term risks are palpable. Tariff uncertainty, BoJ policy, and fading impact of the TSE market reforms support a short-term bearish view on the Nikkei 225. Investors can express this view by deploying a short position on Micro Nikkei (JPY) denominated futures expiring on June 13 (MNIM25). The following hypothetical trade setup provides a reward to risk ratio of 1.8x. The same view can be expressed using CME Group’s standard Nikkei (JPY) denominated contract which would scale the below P&L by 10x. Crucially, this position’s P&L is denominated in yen. The yen appreciation due to BoJ policy will further boost the USD value of this P&L, enhancing overall returns. Chart 12: Shorting Micro Nikkei (JPY) futures expiring in June (hypothetical trade setup) Entry: 37,650 Target: 36,300 Stop Loss: 38,400 Profit REACHED at Target: JPY 67,500 = ((37,650-36,300) x JPY 50), which is around ~USD 450 Loss at Stop: JPY 37,500= ((37,650-38,400) x JPY 50), which is around ~USD 250 Reward to Risk: 1.8x Trade Nikkei 225 Futures with Phillip Nova from 10 Cents/Lot* Start trading Nikkei 225 Futures with Phillip Nova from just 10 cents/lot*. Since its inception in 1983, Phillip Nova (formerly Phillip Futures) has become one of the region's top brokerages, offering access to Futures, Stocks, CFDs, Forex. ETFs and Commodities. With clearing memberships in 21 global exchanges, including CME, HKEX, SGX, and more, Phillip Nova offers you a seamless trading experience. Trade CME Micro Nikkei 225 with a lower barrier to entry.
CME:MNI1!Short
by phillip_nova
1
NCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionNCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.9 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 212.70 Entry limit range ~ 212.50 to 209.50 (Avg. - 211) on April 02, 2025 at 12:53 PM. 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 223 (+5.69%; +12 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 233 (+10.43%; +22 points) Stop order limit ~ 206.5 (-2.13%; -4.5 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:NCCLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
SPY Divergence - Bullish Comeback?SPY is showing quite a significant bullish divergence on the Daily timeframe. This appears to concur with a potential double-bottom formation. We also see the RSI beginning to poke up through it's moving average: Alongside this we see a Rug Pull target on the 4h timeframe of the ES1! S&P futures ticker. Rug-pull events on this ticker have seen a great degree of accuracy over the past few years, as seen below: This rug-pull target alongside strong divergence on the higher timeframes indicates a high probability the markets will trend towards the upside in the near future.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketTraveler
FedEx: Balancing Act or Precarious Gamble?Recent market activity highlights significant pressure on FedEx, as the logistics giant grapples with prevailing economic uncertainty. A notable drop in its stock price followed the company's decision to lower its revenue and profit outlook for fiscal year 2025. Management attributes this revision to weakening shipping demand, particularly in the crucial business-to-business sector, stemming from softness in the US industrial economy and persistent inflationary pressures. This development reflects broader economic concerns that are also impacting consumer spending and prompting caution across the corporate landscape. In response to these domestic headwinds, FedEx has adopted a more conservative operational stance, evidenced by a reduced planned capital spending for the upcoming fiscal year. This move signals an emphasis on cost management and efficiency as the company navigates the current economic climate within its established markets. It suggests a strategic adjustment to align spending with the revised, more cautious revenue expectations. However, this domestic caution contrasts sharply with FedEx's concurrent and ambitious expansion strategy in China. Despite geopolitical complexities, the company is making substantial investments to enlarge its footprint, building new operational centers, upgrading existing gateways, and increasing flight frequencies to enhance connectivity. This dual approach underscores the central challenge facing FedEx: balancing immediate economic pressures and operational adjustments at home while pursuing a long-term, high-stakes growth initiative in a critical international market, all within an uncertain global environment.
NYSE:FDXShort
by UDIS_View
Stock Market Dives into Correction? It Happens—Here's What to DoYou wake up, check your portfolio, and see a sea of red. The market’s down, your stocks are taking a nosedive, and CNBC is running apocalyptic headlines about an impending crash. Sounds familiar? It’s maybe because we’re in (or super close to) a correction right now — the S&P 500 SP:SPX was down 10% from its record high two weeks ago and a lot of people are unsure what to do. The truth of the matter is, stock market corrections are routine—not as often as the meeting that should’ve been an email, but also not as rare as a winning trade in the Japanese yen ( widow maker is real, yo ). And, most importantly, they’re usually not as catastrophic as they feel in the moment. So, before you hit the panic button (or worse, start revenge trading to “win it all back”), let’s talk about what’s shaking the market right now and how to navigate corrections like a pro. 🤔 First Things First: What’s a Correction? A stock market correction is a drop of 10% or more from a recent high. It’s not a crash, it’s not the end of capitalism, and it’s definitely not a sign that you should liquidate your entire portfolio and move to a remote cabin in the woods. Corrections happen regularly, typically once every year or two. They’re a natural part of market cycles, shaking out excessive speculation and resetting valuations to more reasonable levels. For the record, a drop of 20% is considered a bear market. 🤝 Why the Market’s Getting Jittery Markets don’t move in straight lines, and sometimes they hit turbulence. Lately, two big themes have been dominating headlines: Trump’s Hard-Line Tariffs Hit Hard (And Markets Are Nervous About It) If there’s anything Trump knows how to do is say things online or on-site and move markets. And his hostile and straight up combatant approach to handling international relations has sent traders scrambling to offload risk. With hiked tariffs on China, Europe, and Mexico and Canada, businesses are bracing for severe supply chain disruptions, higher costs, and tighter margins. When tariffs go up, corporate earnings tend to go down—and the market doesn’t like that math. Inflation Just Won’t Quit The Federal Reserve spent most of the last two years trying to tame inflation, and just when it seemed like things were cooling off, it’s creeping back up. The latest readout of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report showed prices ticked up more than expected at 2.8% in February. Higher inflation means the Fed might keep interest rates elevated for longer than expected, making borrowing more expensive and slowing down growth. Every new inflation release has investors guessing: Will the Fed cut rates, hold steady, or—worst case—hike again? Between trade wars and stubborn inflation, uncertainty is running high, and that dynamics breeds volatility. But a correction doesn’t mean the market is broken—it just means sentiment has shifted. ⚠️ How NOT to React (aka: Rookie Mistakes to Avoid) When corrections hit, bad decision-making is at an all-time high. Here’s what not to do: Panic selling – Selling at the bottom is a classic rookie move. If you weren’t planning to sell at the highs, why dump everything when it’s down? Trying to time the exact bottom – Good luck. Nobody, not even Warren Buffett, can catch the bottom (not that he’s trying). If you’re waiting for the “perfect” dip, you’ll likely miss the rebound. Going all-in on one asset – Thinking of putting everything into one stock or crypto because it’s “cheap” now? Please don’t. Diversification exists for a reason . Getting glued to financial news – Watching every market update during a correction is like doom-scrolling Google after a mild headache—you’ll only freak yourself out more. Now that we’ve covered what not to do, let’s focus on the smart plays. 💪 So, What Should You Do? If you want to come out of a correction with your sanity (and portfolio) intact, here’s your game plan: 1️⃣ Zoom Out—Corrections Are Temporary The market moves in cycles, and corrections are just part of the game. Historically, corrections last a few months, while bull markets last years. If you’re investing for the long term, a correction is a blip on the chart, not an extinction event. 2️⃣ Review Your Portfolio Like a Hedge Fund Manager Corrections are a great excuse to audit your holdings. Ask yourself: Is this stock/ETF/index still worth holding? Has anything fundamentally changed, or is this just temporary market noise? Do I have too much exposure to one sector? Think of it as spring cleaning for your investments. It's also an opportunity to make some good use of the handy Stock Screener or Stock Heatmap to spot the best (and worst) performers. If something was a FOMO buy and doesn’t belong in your portfolio, consider trimming it. 3️⃣ Buy Selectively, Not Blindly Corrections create opportunities, but that doesn’t mean you should just throw money at every stock that’s down. Some companies deserve their declines ( looking at you, Nikola )—others are just collateral damage in a broader selloff. Look for quality companies with strong earnings, manageable debt, and real growth potential. If they were solid before the correction, they’ll likely recover faster than the overhyped names. Example: Remember when Amazon stock NASDAQ:AMZN tanked 90% in 2000, the dot-com bubble? No, because you were too busy being 2 years old instead of loading up on Jeff Bezos’s dream. And look where the guy’s now. 4️⃣ Do Some Good Old DCA Instead of dumping all your cash into the market at once, use dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Buying in small increments at regular intervals helps you avoid the stress of trying to time the bottom. If prices drop further, you can buy more at an even better price. 5️⃣ Keep Emotions in Check Corrections test your patience and discipline. The best investors don’t let fear dictate their strategy. If you’re getting emotional about your trades, step away from the screen and take a breath. The market will be there when you come back. 👍 The Market Always Bounces Back—Eventually Every correction feels like the worst one while it’s happening. But let’s look at history: The S&P 500 has faced 30+ corrections since 1950. It survived them all. The average correction lasts four months before a recovery begins. After a correction, markets typically rally higher within a year. Unless you believe the global economy is permanently broken (hint: not yet, at least), every major downturn has eventually turned into a new bull run. 🦸‍♂ Final Thought: Be the Hero, Not the Victim Market corrections separate the professionals from the wannabes. The people who panic and sell at the bottom? They usually regret it. The ones who keep a level head, stick to their strategy, and take advantage of good opportunities? They come out stronger. And finally, if you need to take away one thing it’s this: Corrections aren’t the enemy. They’re the price of admission for long-term gains. 👉 Let’s hear it from you! How do you handle corrections, what’s your strategy when the market is in a downturn and what’s in your portfolio then? Share your experience in the comment section!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
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