GBPAUD bearish view for new week
OANDA:GBPAUD from first analysis from 26.Mart we are folow situation, i am make updates, we are not have bearish trend confirmation, price is make new bullish push on start of April.
Currently from start of last week price is start showing bearish signs. We have now 4h rectangle pattern visible, from here in new week expecting still bearish continuation.
SUP zone: 2.12000
RES zone: 2.04000, 2.00500
Beyond Technical Analysis
ABC Correction likely overWe dealt with anasry ABC Correction which likely just ended.
I expect a big Moment for risk in the coming days and Weeks which will be confirmed with a sharp decline in Gold.
Stay sharp nothing is garuantied everything is relative.
I target Something in between of 5-10 Dollars
Stay blessed and good Luck!
Tensions in the Pharma Sector and Signs of U.S. StagflationBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The U.S. biopharmaceutical industry may soon face significant regulatory changes. According to sector sources, the Trump administration is evaluating a proposal to tie U.S. drug prices to the lowest prices available in other developed countries. This initiative, viewed by companies such as Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) and Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MRK) as a direct threat to innovation, could redefine the global balance of the pharmaceutical sector.
Macroeconomic Outlook: Stagflation Warning
On the macroeconomic front, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) has warned that despite current signs of consumer activity, the negative effects on growth are expected to intensify in the second half of the year. Nathan Sheets, the bank’s Chief Economist, points to rising risks of stagflation, in a context marked by declining confidence and renewed criticism from Donald Trump towards Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Defense Sector: Tariff Impact
Raytheon Technologies (NYSE: RTX) has stated that new tariffs proposed by the Trump administration could have a negative impact of up to $850 million on its 2025 earnings. Nevertheless, the company exceeded market expectations in its latest quarterly results and reaffirmed its annual guidance.
Shareholder Reshuffle at BP
Activist fund Elliott has acquired a 5.006% stake in BP plc (LON: BP), surpassing the regulatory threshold in the United Kingdom and becoming the company’s second-largest shareholder—behind BlackRock (9.2%) and ahead of Vanguard (4.95%). This strategic move reflects the increasing shareholder pressure on major oil companies.
Key Events of the Day
Notable economic indicators and corporate earnings scheduled for today include:
• S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
• S&P Global Services PMI
• Earnings reports from: Philip Morris (PM), IBM (IBM), AT&T (T), Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), ServiceNow Inc. (NOW), Boston Scientific (BSX), Texas Instruments (TXN), Boeing (BA), O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)
These releases are expected to have a significant impact on markets, particularly across the consumer, technology, and defense sectors.
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Discipline in Trading: The Indicator That Works 100% of the TimeEvery trader has that one folder — “Winning Indicators,” “Secret Scripts,” or the iconic “Final Strategy v12_REAL_THIS_ONE_WORKS.” It's where we hoard indicators like Pokémon, convinced the next RSI+MACD+SMA combo tweak will finally reveal the holy grail of trading.
Spoiler: it won’t. Because the real indicator that works — actually works — isn’t on your chart. It’s not in a TradingView script. It’s not even on your screen.
But it’s there — etched into your trade history, tattooed into your losses, and reflected in your ability (or inability) to stop yourself from clicking “buy” because Elon Musk tweeted a goat emoji.
It’s called discipline . And it’s the only thing in trading that has a 100% hit rate… if you let it.
Let’s talk about why discipline isn’t just a virtue — it’s the foundation of every successful trader you admire. And why, ironically, it’s forged in the moments you want to throw your monitor out the window.
👋 Everyone’s a Genius — Until the Market Slaps You
When things are going well, discipline feels unnecessary. You enter a trade on a hunch, it flies. You skip the stop loss, and price reverses right where you “felt” it would. You’re up three trades in a row, so clearly you’ve transcended markets and deserve your own hedge fund. Right?
Until you don’t. And the one time you triple down on a loser “because it always bounces”… it doesn’t. And suddenly you're not a genius — you’re Googling how to recover a blown account and wondering if that crypto bro who offered signals still has his DMs open.
The reality is that everyone trades well in good times — bulls make money in rising markets and bears make money in falling markets. But real traders are made in the bad times. That’s where discipline is forged.
🧐 No Pain, No Gain
Here’s the deal: discipline is not something you're born with. It’s built, brick by painful brick, on the smoldering ruins of your worst trades.
The overleveraged EUR/USD short you held through an ECB rate hike? Discipline.
The meme stock you bought at the top because your barista mentioned it? Discipline.
The four back-to-back trades you entered on revenge mode after getting stopped out? Discipline — with a side of therapy.
These moments suck. But they’re also where the learning happens. You don’t develop discipline from your wins. You develop it from losses that leave a mark. The kind of mark you think about while brushing your teeth. The kind that whispers: “maybe follow the plan next time.”
🤝 Success Leaves Clues
You’ve probably heard the phrase “plan your trade and trade your plan” so many times it’s lost all meaning. But it’s the foundation of discipline. Not because rules are fun, but because rules are the only thing that can protect you from… well, yourself.
Let’s be honest — if left to your own devices, you run the risk of:
Entering too early because “it looks like it’s going to move.”
Exiting too late because “it might come back.”
Increasing the leverage because “I’m due for a win.”
Successful traders are those who follow a disciplined, rule-based approach to trading. Discipline says no. It says “this is the plan” and makes you stick to it — even when your ego is telling you to wing it. Discipline doesn’t care about your feelings. It cares about consistency. And that’s what makes it powerful.
🎯 Hedge Fund Bros Who Didn’t Win by Binge-Clicking
Let’s talk about those who actually did launch a fund — and didn’t blow it up in three months. Stanley Druckenmiller, former lead portfolio manager for George Soros’s Quantum Fund who later went on to launch his own Duquesne family office, famously said:
“The key to making money in markets is to have an opinion and to bet it big. But only when the odds are heavily in your favor.”
Notice what he didn’t say: “Click as many buttons as possible and hope it works out.”
Druckenmiller didn’t trade because he was bored. He waited. He watched. And when his setup came, he struck with discipline. Not with fear. Not with greed. With process.
If one of the greatest macro traders of all time had the patience to wait for his edge, maybe you don’t need to scalp every green candle on the 1-minute chart.
Ray Dalio — the one who built Bridgewater into a hedge fund juggernaut — doesn’t sugarcoat it: trading is hard. And mistakes are inevitable. Discipline, Dalio says, is what turns mistakes into evolution. His famous mantra?
“Pain + Reflection = Progress.”
He built a company culture (and a personal philosophy) around radical transparency — writing down every mistake, analyzing every trade, and building systems that override ego.
Most traders experience pain. Very few pause to reflect. Fewer still build processes to avoid making the same mistake twice. So next time you get stopped out for the third time in a row, don’t curse the chart. Open your journal. Write it down. Check what you missed. That’s what turns amateurs into professionals.
👀 Discipline in Trading: How It Actually Looks
Discipline isn’t glamorous. You won’t post it on Instagram (maybe it's good for LinkedIn, though). But here’s what it looks like in the wild:
Passing on a trade that doesn’t check all the boxes — even though you’re “pretty sure it’ll work.”
Taking a small win and moving on, even when your gut says to hold and “let it ride.”
Staying flat on FOMC day because you know news candles have a personal vendetta against your stop-losses.
Journaling a bad trade and owning the mistake. No excuses. Just honesty.
💪 How to Build Discipline
Building discipline isn’t about becoming a robot. It’s about creating a process that works even when your emotions don’t.
Here’s how to start:
Journal everything : Not just your trades, but your thoughts before and after. Discipline grows in awareness.
Have a checklist: Make it stupidly simple. If a trade doesn’t check every box, don’t take it.
Pre-set your risk: Before the trade. Not after. You’re not negotiating with yourself mid-trade.
Set trade limits: Three trades per day. One setup per session. Whatever keeps you from spiraling.
Take breaks: If you’re chasing losses, walk away. The markets will be there tomorrow. Will you?
📌 Final Thought: Why Discipline Works
You can have the best tools, the slickest chart setup, and the strongest trade ideas. But if you can’t follow your own rules, you won’t go far.
Discipline isn’t flashy. It doesn’t promise 1,000% returns or viral content. It just works. Quietly. Relentlessly. Predictably.
And when the market turns — because it always does — discipline is what will keep you standing.
Because it’s not the indicator that matters. It’s the trader using it.
So, be honest—where has discipline made (or broken) your trading? And what’s your best tip for sticking to the plan when your brain wants to do anything but?
ADA ready for sustained gains?The recent turn in the cryptocurrency market is an interesting one, with many small cryptocurrencies making major moves from the most recent sell-off lows.
It can be said that significant funds have flowed into popular alt coins over the past few days...But is this in preparation of more sustained gains in popular secondary cryptocurrencies such as DOGE, ADA, LINK? Or will alt coins continue with their typical pump and dump style behaviour?
Time will tell...
We have identified a potential opportunity within ADA over the coming weeks(+) for momentum to turn to the upside if the current region can be held - Caution as always is warranted.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post.
GBPAUD is Showing Signs of StrengthPotential long setup. Target zone: 2.1599–2.1645. The pair is in a medium-term uptrend, so the most logical approach is to trade from the long side. A solid consolidation has formed over the past few days. If the price breaks out to the upside, I’d consider entering a long. This scenario would be invalidated if the price drops back to the support level of the consolidation.
DXY on Its Way Back to 100?During Monday’s Asian session, the index saw a sharp selloff, and in the past few hours, price has entered a consolidation phase.
The current idea is that price may push higher toward the 99.17–99.26 range — and potentially beyond — in an attempt to retrace the start of that bearish impulse. There’s also a gap formed in that area.
This scenario would be invalidated if price starts dropping below 97.90.
BTCUSDT Reaches Critical Volume Zone: Potential Reversal?**Executive Summary:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently testing one of the most sensitive areas on its macro volume profile: the 96,000 to 96,500 USDT range. This is a historically significant resistance zone marked by institutional distribution, aligning with a major wall on the VPVR. The current structure suggests a potential buyer exhaustion and opens a highly calculated tactical short opportunity.
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**Macro Technical Context:**
From the 85,000 USDT base, BTC has rallied with strong institutional confluence:
- Rising Open Interest (new capital, not just a squeeze)
- Sustained positive cumulative delta
- Real volume accompanying all breakouts
The current move has pushed price directly into the most significant volume resistance level since early 2024.
---
**Macroeconomic Backdrop (April 2025):**
Recent global developments add additional layers of complexity:
- The IMF has downgraded global growth forecasts to 2.8% amid aggressive US tariff policies, sparking fears of global economic slowdown.
- Inflation is decelerating slowly, but financial stability risks are increasing, especially in emerging markets with high debt exposure.
- The US economy is under pressure, with reduced 2025 growth projections (1.8%) and potential recession indicators.
Despite this bearish macro backdrop, BTC has acted as a partial hedge, with capital flows possibly seeking alternative stores of value amidst fiat instability.
However, macro headwinds should not be ignored — any surge in risk-off sentiment or liquidity contraction could catalyze aggressive profit-taking.
---
**Area of Interest: 96,200 – 96,600 USDT**
This is a zone where:
- VPVR shows dense prior institutional activity
- Previous breakouts failed
- Potential bull trap setup is likely
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**Tactical Playbook: Institutional Reactive Short**
**Entry:** Sell Limit at 96,500
**Stop Loss:** 96,950 (above local liquidity)
**TP1:** 94,800 (prior volume cluster)
**TP2:** 93,300 (pre-squeeze area)
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3.2
**Activation Criteria:**
- OI begins to drop within the zone
- Delta turns neutral or negative after failed breakout
- Volume spikes with no follow-through
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**Retracement Scenarios to Watch**
Even if the short setup plays out, it may not signal trend reversal but rather a healthy retracement within an ongoing bullish structure.
**Expected retracement zones:**
- 94,800 – former breakout zone
- 93,300 – pre-squeeze structure
These areas align with VWAP anchors and previous institutional footprints. If price returns to these zones and OI holds or rises, they offer excellent long re-entry opportunities.
However, if BTC drops below 92k with collapsing OI and negative delta, a larger trend shift may be in play.
---
**Cold Read: Can BTC Retrace Further?**
Yes, and that’s not only possible — it may be technically healthy.
BTC has rallied +13% from 85k to 96k in under 36h. That’s steep. While Open Interest is climbing and delta is still positive, price has now deviated far above both daily and weekly VWAP anchors.
Technically, this creates a reversion risk. If we begin to see exhaustion signals at 96.5k (stalling delta, volume spikes with no follow-through, and flat or declining OI), a pullback becomes not just plausible, but strategic for institutions.
Important: This does *not* invalidate the uptrend. It simply opens room for tactical reloads near 93–94k.
Only if price breaks 92k with clear unwind do we entertain full trend reversal.
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**Invalidation Triggers:**
- Consolidation above 97,000 with rising OI
- Aggressive delta returns on breakout continuation
---
**Conclusion:**
This setup presents a high-asymmetry counter-trend opportunity, but it requires disciplined execution. Only act with confirmed confluence. If invalidated, the structure supports continuation toward 99,000+.
Traders must also consider macroeconomic pressures that could weigh on risk appetite and crypto liquidity. Meanwhile, pullbacks to key VWAP zones around 93–94k could offer tactical reloads in favor of the prevailing trend.
Stay sharp. The market doesn't care about opinions—only data.
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**Author:** Pôncio Pacífico
Ex-institutional, now underground.
"Read the flow. Everything else is noise."
---
*Liked the analysis? Drop a comment or follow for real-time tactical updates.*
Possible Long Setup on USDCHFA structure break occurred at the 0.8123 level, shifting the market from a bearish structure to a local bullish one — which now has the potential to continue higher.
With that in mind, a long position can be considered on a renewed break above 0.8123. The target is 0.8267.
If the setup is triggered, the stop-loss should be placed either below the most recent (optimal) local low, or simply at 0.8065.
The Day AheadWednesday 23rd April 2025
Key economic data includes April flash PMIs for the US, UK, Japan, Germany, France, and the Eurozone. These are important indicators of economic momentum and inflation pressures, with potential impact on FX, rates, and equities. In the US, March new home sales will provide a read on housing market strength. The UK reports March public finances, which could influence gilt markets and sterling. In the Eurozone, February trade balance and construction output data are on deck, offering insights into trade dynamics and sector-specific activity.
Central bank focus is high. The Fed releases its Beige Book and features speakers including Goolsbee, Musalem, Waller, and Hammack. Markets will be listening closely for signals on rate expectations and regional economic trends. From the ECB, Knot, Villeroy, and Lane are scheduled to speak, potentially influencing eurozone rate expectations. From the Bank of England, Bailey, Pill, and Breeden will offer comments that could affect sterling and rate outlooks.
Earnings are heavy and span key sectors. Notable names reporting include IBM, ServiceNow, Texas Instruments, Lam Research, Boeing, GE Vernova, Chipotle, O’Reilly Auto, Thermo Fisher, Boston Scientific, NextEra Energy, Newmont, Philip Morris, AT&T, General Dynamics, and Volvo. This mix provides important reads across tech, industrials, healthcare, and consumer sectors.
On the fixed income side, the US Treasury will auction 2-year floating rate notes and 5-year notes. Watch for yield curve movements and demand signals, particularly given the dense schedule of Fed speakers.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOGEUSDT - Now (Big Time) Bullish? Top Cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin have been given a tough wrap over the last decade, pumping and dumping...but is that all about to change?
Significant funds have flowed into popular alt coins over the past few days...Is this in preparation of more sustained gains in popular secondary cryptocurrencies such as DOGE, ADA, LINK etc? Or will alt coins continue with their typical pump and dump style behaviour?
Time will tell...
We have identified a potential opportunity within DOGE over the coming weeks(+), caution as always is warranted.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post.
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
The Market Wins... For now... Let's talk CryptoIt seems that when I said in my previous videos "no matter what we want, Bitcoin can technically shoot up to a million tomorrow because that's just crypto", Crypto heard and said, "yeah, we'll do that". Kidding, we're not at a million nor will we be today or tomorrow. And at some point it will reverse because we need more demand for a sustainable push to new ATH's (peep 2021-2023 as I mention in this video). But at what point? Not for us to say until we start to see signs of tapering.
Once we broke out and consolidated out of our strong selling channel, we were given the heads up to be careful with our shorts - and with a certain amount of levels broken (i.e. FWB:88K ) I closed most of my short positions. But I do still have a HTF target at lower levels.
most importantly, we don't dictate to the market when it goes where. It decides on it's own and we wait for signals utilizing the algorithms and volume to guide us.
This is a long video because I don't have the "answers" as to why BTC is up 10%! But I still urge everyone to stay patient and cautious, either long or short, because in all markets there is clearly something being prepared for.
Happy Trading :)
Nebulain: Cantor Fitzgerald Launches $3B Crypto Fund — A New EraThe Largest Crypto Fund of the Year: Cantor, SoftBank, Tether & Bitfinex Join Forces
Cantor Fitzgerald, a major U.S. brokerage firm led by Brendan Latnik, has announced the formation of a $3 billion cryptocurrency investment fund, Cantor Equity Partners, in collaboration with SoftBank, Tether, and Bitfinex.
The fund's goal is to make large-scale investments in Bitcoin, aiming to replicate the playbook of MicroStrategy, which dramatically grew its valuation by pivoting into crypto.
Breakdown of capital contributions:
Tether: $1.5 billion in BTC
SoftBank: $900 million
Bitfinex: $600 million
Convertible bonds offering: $350 million
Private share placement: $200 million
All assets are expected to be consolidated under a new holding company called 21 Capital, with shares priced at $10, implying a Bitcoin valuation of $85,000 per coin.
Market Impact: Bitcoin Surges with Institutional Support
Following the announcement, Bitcoin is trading near $92,000, holding close to its all-time highs. Initiatives like Cantor Equity Partners reinforce institutional confidence in crypto and contribute to a broader acceptance of digital assets in mainstream finance.
Nebulain Analyst Insight
According to Nebulain's analysts, the participation of global financial giants marks a new level of maturity for the crypto space. It also signals a potential shift in asset allocation strategy for traditional investors.
“We're seeing more than just speculative enthusiasm. These moves are backed by structured capital, long-term outlooks, and a readiness to treat Bitcoin as a reserve-grade asset,” Nebulain stated.
However, the firm also points to ongoing regulatory uncertainty and inherent market volatility as key risk factors to monitor.
Conclusion
The launch of Cantor Equity Partners represents a milestone in the institutionalization of crypto. With heavyweights like SoftBank and Tether at the table, the industry is entering a new phase where digital assets are no longer niche — they are a strategic allocation.
This article was prepared by Nebulain Analytics for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT