Beyond Technical Analysis
SELL CHFJPY - JPY Strength to return??Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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USDMXN Long Trade Setup – Targeting 20.37257Description:
Expecting upward movement on USDMXN with a target set at 20.37257. This trade has a 12-hour expiration, with a deadline set for Fri, Jan 24, 08:30 UTC.
🔍 Trade Details:
Entry: 20.32155
Target: 20.37257
Time Horizon: 12 hours
No Stop Loss: Expiration-based trade.
Let's watch the price action and aim for the target. 📊
NZDCHF Short Trade Setup – Targeting 0.51510Currently observing potential downward movement on NZDCHF, aiming for the key target level at 0.51510. The trade is time-sensitive and is set to expire within 12 hours, by Fri, Jan 24, 06:15 UTC. Market behavior indicates a possible decline towards the target zone.
🔍 Key Details:
Entry: 0.51612
Target: 0.51510
Time Horizon: 12 hours
No Stop Loss: Time-based strategy.
Let's monitor the market closely and see how it develops. 📊
NBIS Nebius Group Among My Top 10 Picks for 2025 | Price TargetNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) presents a compelling bullish case for a potential doubling of its stock price by the end of 2025, driven by several fundamental factors that highlight its growth trajectory within the rapidly expanding AI infrastructure market.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has made a significant investment in Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), contributing to a $700 million funding round aimed at expanding Nebius's AI infrastructure capabilities. This investment aligns with NVIDIA's strategic focus on enhancing its presence in the rapidly growing AI market.
Explosive Revenue Growth:
Nebius Group has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth, with Q3 2024 revenues reaching $43.3 million, representing a 1.7-fold increase compared to the previous quarter and a staggering 766% year-over-year increase. This surge is primarily driven by the company's core AI infrastructure business, which grew 2.7 times quarter-over-quarter and 6.5 times year-over-year. Analysts expect this momentum to continue, projecting annual revenues of approximately $731.96 million for 2025, reflecting a robust demand for AI-centric services and solutions.
Strategic Investments in AI Infrastructure:
The company is heavily investing in expanding its GPU cluster capabilities and data center capacity, with plans to allocate over $1 billion towards these initiatives. This strategic focus on enhancing AI infrastructure positions Nebius to capture significant market share as the global demand for AI technologies continues to rise. The annualized run-rate for its cloud revenue has already surpassed $120 million, indicating strong customer adoption and a growing client base that includes Fortune 500 companies.
Strong Market Position and Competitive Advantage:
Nebius Group is uniquely positioned within the AI infrastructure landscape, specializing in full-stack solutions that cater to developers and enterprises looking to leverage AI technologies. As businesses increasingly prioritize AI integration into their operations, Nebius's comprehensive offerings make it an attractive partner for organizations seeking to enhance their technological capabilities. The company’s ability to provide scalable solutions will be crucial as the demand for AI services expands.
Healthy Financials and Cash Reserves:
As of September 30, 2024, Nebius reported cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately $2.29 billion, providing a solid financial foundation to support its growth initiatives without excessive reliance on debt. This strong liquidity position allows Nebius to invest aggressively in technology and infrastructure while maintaining operational flexibility 14. Additionally, with gross margins projected to remain robust at around 55% in 2025, the company is well-positioned to improve profitability as revenues grow.
DAL Delta Air Lines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DAL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DAL Delta Air Lines prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 60usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GBX The Greenbrier Companies Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GBX The Greenbrier Companies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
JPM JPMorgan Chase Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JPM before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JPM JPMorgan Chase prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 245usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DIA Technical Analysis and GEX Option Trading InsightsTechnical Analysis for Trading
Current Price Action:
* DIA is in a strong uptrend, maintaining higher highs and higher lows.
* It is approaching significant resistance at $445, with support established near $430 and $426.
Trend Lines:
* Upward momentum persists, supported by a rising trend line. This provides a bullish bias until broken.
Indicators:
* MACD: Positive momentum is weakening, signaling a potential cooldown but remains in bullish territory.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions indicate a possible short-term retracement or consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $445 (Immediate), $447.
* Support: $430 (Trend-line support), $426.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish: If DIA breaks above $445 with strong volume, a move toward $447–$450 could materialize.
* Entry: Above $445.
* Target: $447–$450.
* Stop-loss: Below $442.
* Bearish: If rejection occurs at $445, expect a pullback to $430 or lower.
* Entry: Below $440.
* Target: $430–$426.
* Stop-loss: Above $443.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Option Trading
* Highest Call Wall: $445 (Significant resistance zone, call sellers may cap gains beyond this level).
* Highest Put Wall: $419 (Support area where put sellers provide support).
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: Above $445 supports bullish continuation.
* Negative GEX: Below $430 increases volatility and bearish pressure.
IV and Option Flow:
* IV Rank (IVR): 21.8 (Low IV, suitable for long option strategies like debit spreads or straight calls).
* Call/Put Flow: Calls dominate at 19.3%, indicating bullish sentiment.
Options Trade Ideas:
1. Bullish: Buy 445 Calls, expiring within the next two weeks, targeting a move above $445 toward $450.
* Entry: $445 Calls at $2.50–$3.00.
* Target Exit: $447–$450.
* Stop Loss: If DIA drops below $442.
2. Bearish: If rejection at $445, consider 440 Puts, targeting a drop to $430.
* Entry: $440 Puts at $2.00–$2.50.
* Target Exit: $430.
* Stop Loss: Above $443.
Outlook Summary:
* Bullish bias remains intact, but short-term overbought conditions suggest a potential pullback.
* Watch for clear price action signals near key levels at $445 and $430 to confirm entry and exit strategies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
TFC Truist Financial Corporation Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t sold TFC before the regional banks selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TFC Truist Financial Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
OZK Bank OZK Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold OZK before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of OZK Bank OZK prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $3.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
META - Technical Analysis for Trading & GEX Option Analysis1. Technical Analysis for Trading
* Trend & Price Action: META is showing bullish momentum, breaking previous resistance levels. The price is forming a rising channel and steadily trending upwards.
* Support Levels:
* $612.50: Immediate support marked as the HVL.
* $600: Strong psychological support near the 3rd PUT Wall.
* $588.55: The lowest support visible on the chart.
* Resistance Levels:
* $637.40: The current price is testing this resistance near the highest positive NETGEX wall.
* $650: Next critical resistance level with GEX influence.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Positive histogram with the MACD line above the signal line, confirming upward momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels indicate caution for short-term pullbacks but align with the ongoing bullish trend.
* Volume: Increasing volume supports the upward movement, validating the breakout above $630.
2. GEX Option Analysis
* Gamma Exposure Levels:
* $637.50 (Highest positive NETGEX/Resistance): Strong gamma resistance; a breakout above this level could trigger a further rally to $650.
* $630 (2nd CALL Wall): Previous resistance now acting as support, indicating bullish sentiment among option traders.
* $600 (PUT Wall): Minor support indicating limited bearish pressure below this level.
* Option Insights:
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 48.9, indicating slightly elevated IV compared to historical levels.
* IVx (Implied Volatility Index): 47.2, suggesting moderate IV with potential for significant moves.
* Call-to-Put Ratio (Call$ %): 38.5% of gamma exposure is call-focused, reflecting bullish dominance in the options market.
3. Strategy & Action Plan
* Bullish Trade Setup:
* Entry: Near $630 or on a breakout above $637.50 with confirmation.
* Target: $650 and potentially $660.
* Stop-Loss: Below $625.
* Bearish Trade Setup (Pullback Scenario):
* Entry: On rejection from $637.50 with confirmation.
* Target: $612.50.
* Stop-Loss: Above $640.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
EURUSD Possible Bearish Movement?Hello everyone, hope everyone is doing great! Any feedback on this is appreciated.
Here I got what I believe to be a possible EURUSD bearish movement, here are my thoughts:
4H Candles: Here we can see a bearish trend that has been going on since a few months ago, however this was recently broken with some events such as Trump entering into office this January 20th.
While Chart analysis alone suggests we could see a bull for the euro, I would like to challenge it with the new decisions being taken by Trump (tariffs, dollar-first policies) and other news such as the ECB Rate Cuts on December.
At the time being things are looking like theres going to be a lot of movement, I expect one last bounce before seeing any strong bulls during the next few weeks, but I believe we are already at a great entry point.
Let me know your thoughts on it!
Edit: For some reason my TP1 text wasnt added to the chart shown here, but it was placed at 1.03196.
C Citigroup Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought C before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of C Citigroup prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 70usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $6.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AUS200 - time for a shortTeam, we have been shorting AUS200 a couple of times at 8450 ranges
SHORT aus200 at 8403 -08
double up short at 8452-58 - we should have a stop loss at 8515
Target 1 at 8982-76 - Please note: take partial and bring stop loss to BE once it hit the first target
Target 2 at 8362-48
Target 3 at 8315-8300
ETHBTC Analysis - Time to buy ETH and its tokens?I can understand that the altcoins have lost all the gains, but we took as much profits as possible. ETHERUEM tokens have dropped massively but if u remember those were the coins we made most profit from. It really depends where in the market is your average buy level. Now for those who are trying to build a portfolio for long term knows that at these times, we accumulate good coins. ETHBTC chart is looking great, i expect Ethereum to move first followed by all its underlying tokens.
This chart shows we are in a demand level, which took a while to reach. After a very long time i can say I am bullish for Ethereum and its tokens to perform well.