USDCAD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Beyond Technical Analysis
Ibex 35 Drops Below 13,800 PointsIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The Ibex 35 falls 1.28% and drops below the 13,800 mark amid Fed uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The Ibex 35 closed Wednesday’s session with a 1.28% drop, ending at 13,744.9 points, on a day marked by monetary uncertainty in the United States and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. With Wall Street closed for a public holiday, the Spanish benchmark index mirrored the widespread losses seen across European markets.
Two key factors shaped the session: on one hand, the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates within the 4.25%–4.5% range, alongside an upward revision in inflation forecasts and a downgrade in growth projections. On the other hand, escalating risks of a potential conflict between the U.S. and Iran, following threats of military intervention tied to the ongoing hostilities between Israel and the Islamic Republic.
The steepest losses of the day came from Indra (−6.06%), ArcelorMittal (−3.83%), and Amadeus (−2.99%). The financial sector also faced notable declines: Santander dropped 2.40%, Sabadell 2.07%, and Unicaja 1.99%. The rise in oil prices — with Brent surpassing $78 after a gain of more than 2% — weighed on stocks like IAG, which lost 2.97%.
In contrast, energy companies acted as a safe haven amid the market volatility. Solaria led the gains, rising 4.24%, followed by Repsol (+2.32%), Endesa (+0.71%), and Acciona Energía (+0.16%).
Losses spread across the continent. The EuroStoxx 50 fell 1.28%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 dropped by more than one percentage point. Italy’s FTSE MIB and the UK’s FTSE 100 also ended in the red, both impacted by the same monetary and geopolitical pressures.
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Gold Gains Ahead of Fed📊 Market Overview
• Reason: Gold is trading around ~$3,380–$3,400/oz, supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates before potentially cutting later this year.
• Weak U.S. economic data (retail sales, housing, industrial production) also adds to safe-haven demand, providing further support for gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance: $3,410 – $3,465
• Nearest support: $3,340 – $3,300
• EMA 09 (short-term): Price remains above the 09 EMA, rebounding from ~$3,366 and holding above the 50 EMA → indicates a bullish trend is still intact.
• Candlestick patterns & volume: Bearish engulfing appeared on June 17 but lacked follow-through. Lower volume suggests range-bound movement ahead of the Fed announcement.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue to rise modestly (bullish) in the short term if:
• The Fed keeps rates unchanged or takes a moderately hawkish stance,
• Geopolitical risks persist,
• U.S. economic data continues to show weakness.
However, a surprise from the Fed or a strong USD could lead to a pullback. Watch key levels: $3,340 (support), $3,410 (resistance).
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry zone: $3,410–$3,420
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,390 – $3,400
• ❌ SL: ~$3,430
•
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry zone: $3,340–$3,350
• 🎯 TP: ~$3,360 – $3,370
• ❌ SL: ~$3,330
$HIMS | Direction: Long | Key Reason: Macro | (June 19, 2025) NYSE:HIMS | Direction: Long | Key Reason: Macro & Technical | (June 19, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
We’re watching for a healthy pullback into the $31–$30.10 zone on NYSE:HIMS before entering. That drop should align with both fundamental value and technical support, setting the stage for a strong bounce.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $31.00–$30.10
Stop Loss: Below $21.00, with a hard stop at $19.00 if price breaks structure
Take Profit 1: $44.00
Take Profit 2: $59.71
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Fundamentals are solid: Revenue ~1.48B, net income ~200M, market cap ~113B. 2024 marked the first profitable year. Debt sits @ $11M, while free cash flow is ~$1.098B—low debt relative to cash flow.
✅ Ratings & margins: ~14% free cash margin, realistic forward estimates, stable beta (~3.2) and 0.15 EPS.
✅ Risk/Reward profile: Entry gives ~10–11 points of downside vs. ~13–29 points upside to targets.
✅ Technical scenario: A pullback to $30–31 acting as support would confirm our bias—monitor price action closely in this zone.
✅ Sector tailwinds: Continued momentum in telehealth, mental health, and AI-driven medical services supports upside potential.
4️⃣ Follow‑up Note
If NYSE:HIMS drops into our entry zone and shows a solid bounce or structure retest, we’ll confirm the long setup. From there, our targets at $44 and $59.71 come into clearer focus.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Looking at this SOL/USDT chartKey Levels Identified
The chart shows several important institutional levels:
Supply Zone (Bearish Order Block): The upper gray/purple rectangle around 158-160 USDT represents a strong supply zone where institutional selling likely occurred, evidenced by the significant bearish move that followed.
Demand Zone (Bullish Order Block): The blue rectangle at the bottom around 142-145 USDT appears to be a demand zone where buying interest emerged, showing potential institutional accumulation.
Flip Level: The horizontal line around 150 USDT marked as "Flip" represents a key level that could act as support or resistance depending on market structure.
Bears under strong pressure, gold price adjusted⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) saw a modest rebound during Thursday’s Asian session, recovering part of the prior day’s decline and stabilizing around the $3,362–$3,363 zone, marking the weekly low. Lingering trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on global risk sentiment, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday by holding interest rates steady, while signaling a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. This shift, driven in part by concerns that President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could fuel inflation, boosted the U.S. Dollar to its highest level in over a week. The resulting Dollar strength is capping gold’s upside momentum, keeping the metal below the $3,400 threshold and prompting investors to remain cautious.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bears continue to put selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulating below 3400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3414- 3416 SL 3421
TP1: $3402
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3376
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3347-$3345 SL $3340
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3380
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Safe Entry ZoneStock current at Support Level.
P.High's (Previous Highs) acts as good Support and resistance level.
1h & 4h Green Zone Is Buying Zone.
4h Red Zone is Selling Zone.
If No Buying Power at current Price level 4h is safest Entry Zone.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Fed Rate Decision: Gold's 3,400 Threshold as Bull-Bear DivideToday, the market has consolidated in a range throughout the day, with neither price direction nor volatility breaking through the range. However, our trading approach proved accurate: short positions were initiated near 3,400 during rebounds, and long positions were entered near the key level of 3,370 during pullbacks. Investors following our strategy have achieved profits from both directions. With limited price movement currently, the Fed's interest rate decision due to land in an hour will become the core variable dominating the market trend for the rest of the month.
Currently, gold prices continue to trade below the 3,400 threshold, maintaining a weak market structure. The 3,400 level serves as a key watershed between bulls and bears, and the validity of its breakthrough will determine the trend inflection point: if prices effectively hold above 3,400 after the data release, it indicates that gold will break out of its weak pattern, with the potential for an accelerated rally ahead. Conversely, if prices remain suppressed below 3,400, it is highly likely to trigger further downward exploration. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakthrough signal at the 3,400 threshold after the data release, using this as the operational basis for trend switching.
XAUUSD
buy@3370-3380
tp:3400-3420-3450
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Possible outcome for $xrp 🚀 XRP Set for a Major Breakout: Bullish Outlook on XRP/USDT
The XRP/USDT chart on the daily timeframe presents an exciting bullish setup that could see XRP rally towards significant highs in the coming months. Let’s break down the key technical insights and what they could mean for traders and investors.
📊 Current Price Action
At the time of analysis, XRP is trading around $2.15. The price has been consolidating in a wide range after an explosive move that took XRP beyond the $3 mark earlier in the year. This consolidation reflects market indecision but also builds up potential energy for a strong directional move.
🏗 Key Levels
Support Zone: $1.70 - $1.85
This zone has been identified as a strong demand area where buyers previously stepped in, preventing further decline. The chart suggests XRP might revisit this area, forming a solid base before a rally.
Immediate Support: ~$2.00 - $2.05
There’s a minor support level here, but the major bullish reversal is expected closer to the deeper support zone.
Resistance Zone: $3.20 - $3.50
This is the target region for the next bullish leg. Historically, this area has capped XRP’s upward movements, but a breakout could open the door to higher prices.
🔑 Bullish Scenario
The chart outlines a potential move where XRP could: ✅ Dip into the lower support range between $1.70 and $1.85, trapping late sellers and inducing demand.
✅ From this accumulation zone, XRP could launch a powerful upward rally.
✅ The rally could target the $3.20-$3.50 resistance area — a key zone that aligns with prior highs.
💡 Why This Setup Looks Bullish
Clear structure of higher timeframe accumulation: The long consolidation phase suggests that XRP may be preparing for a large move, typical after prolonged sideways price action.
Liquidity grab potential: A dip below minor support would shake out weak hands, before a sharp reversal.
Room for upside: Once $3.20 is tested and broken, FOMO (fear of missing out) could drive prices higher, possibly beyond prior highs.
⚠ Risk to Monitor
While the setup points to a bullish move, traders should keep an eye on:
The strength of the $1.70-$1.85 zone. If this level fails, deeper downside could occur.
External factors such as regulatory news or broader crypto market sentiment that might impact XRP’s price action.
🌟 Conclusion
The XRP/USDT daily chart hints at an imminent bullish opportunity as price approaches a key support zone. If the outlined path unfolds, XRP could see significant upside towards the $3.20-$3.50 area in the coming months. For traders, patience and careful risk management at the support levels could position them to ride the next wave of XRP’s move.
NASDAQ Analysis Stalking shorts on the Daily - nearby.
My weekly sentiment is bearish cause of technical factors.
Among the catalysts is bullish performance on the US Dollar index and price action compared to the US30 & US500.
Look to sell near 4H swing high, entry using the 15M bearish ChoCh only after three legs of bullish correction on the 1H frame into the highlighted levels of the swing high.
Anticipation is for the third leg to react bearish and the fourth leg to deliver impulse to the sell side.
Where Is The Real HypeThis latest crypto cycle has been the hardest to navigate for even the most experienced crypto traders. No real Altcoin season has transpired, maybe best reflected by the fact that over 2 years into it, Ethereum still has not seen a new All-Time-High. That is not to say that there have not been winners. Hyperliquid, the 'decentralized' perpetuals exchange has taken the market by storm. The word 'decentralized' is in inverted commas as the extent of decentralization for the platform is debatable but starting with UX and product first, and arguably bringing in decentralization later, has so far proven to be winning strategy. The performance of the project's native token HYPE has been one of the few bright lights in this market.
HYPE, the token, launched in what is an immaculate conception in crypto terms: no VCs who got in at better price levels, an airdrop that heavily rewarded the community, revenue-driven token buybacks. The project is a case-study on how to succeed in today's crypto world. Perpetuals trading is one of the core use-cases for crypto. Enabling perpetuals trading for jurisdictions where it is banned for retail via 'decentralization' is regulatory arbitrage at its best. Luckily, regulation-wise, the stars seem to have aligned. At the same time, crypto traders have been overwhelmed by large supplies of tokens dumped on the market at unfavorable terms for retail investors. Non-crypto retail on the other hand has been burned one too many times by mingling in our industry and has so far stayed out. Consequently, the vast majority of crypto tokens has simply not gone anywhere in this cycle so far.
Where non-crypto retail funds go becomes visible when looking at the performance of various stock indices, pennystocks and even crypto-related stocks including Microstrategy. Even despite economic uncertainty and war, stocks are at all-time highs. On the institutional side, funds and tradfi have been playing the crypto-leverage game via instruments they are familiar with. We have spoken about Michael Saylor's strategy of borrowing funds to buy more Bitcoin many times in this newsletter previously. Other companies have copied the Microstrategy playbook in increasing numbers. 151 publicly traded companies now hold Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, the less 'degen' side of tradfi has focused its attention on stablecoins. The so-called 'GENIUS' Act to regulate stablecoins has just passed the US Senate with bi-partisan support. The performance of Circle's stock after its recent IPO is the best example for the growing Tradfi excitement over Stablecoins. A 5x return in a little over a week may remind crypto traders of happier days. It is certainly not the norm in Tradfi world. Stripe, the Fintech giant, has been acquiring crypto infra players including Bridge and Privy. Shopify has enabled stablecoin payments. Adoption comes slowly, then all at once.
As the worlds of crypto and Tradfi continue to merge, opportunities for traders will continue to present themselves. We may be facing a quieter period in crypto markets right now. But the lessons of HYPE's immaculate conception are being studied by teams and founders around the industry. Inevitably, the possibilities of permission-less onchain finance will sooner or later lure back the traders. Until then, good luck looking for the next hype.
Safe Entry Zone LuLuStock current at SIGNIFICANT Support Level.
P.High's & P.Lows(Previous Highs & Previous Lows) acts as good Support and resistances levels.
1D Green Zone Is Buying Zone.
1D Red Zone is Selling Zone.
Take Profit Line is where you may secure Profit in case any selling Pressure showed-up near the Line it acts as Resistance level an dangerous Zone
In case Break Through red Zone stock will change to UP-Movement and Vice Versa.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
XAUUSDAnother trade for today is once again from Gold—no surprises there! 😊
My strategy has just signaled a buy opportunity on the precious metal, and I wanted to share this setup with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3374.92
✔️ Take Profit: 3384.32
✔️ Stop Loss: 3370.21
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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USDJPY 30M ChartUSDJPY is trading within an ascending triangle pattern on the 30-minute timeframe.
Price is testing a key horizontal resistance zone near 145.40, while maintaining higher lows — suggesting potential breakout pressure building.
🔍 Possible Scenarios:
🔺 Bullish Breakout: Above 145.40 — Expect a move towards 146.50/147.50 (TP marked).
🔻 Bearish Breakdown: Below 145.00 — Potential drop towards 143.00/142.50 (TP marked).
Both entry points and target levels are highlighted for clarity. Ichimoku Cloud supports this setup with a light trend indication.
Waiting for clear breakout confirmation before taking any position is advised.
— Not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.