Beyond Technical Analysis
theta buy midterm "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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UTF up from here to 27.23ishMy dowsing suggested I ask for a stock from a screener I use. This list has many thousands of tickers & it's always interesting what I get.
This was neat because I asked what price I'm looking for BEFORE looking at the stock & the pendulum went to $26-27. So when I found it trading under $25 if felt like some validation.
There was a mention of a spike down & reversal up. Idk if that means this morning it already happened, or is yet to, but I'm pretty confident we hit the target, which is $27.23.
It shouldn't go under $24 & I asked what date we meet the target by and got March 28th.
There's no options on this fyi. We'll see how it shakes out!
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NQ: Q/M/W Analysis!FA Analysis
ST/MT/LT Outlook: SELL
1- US Economy: Recession/slowing down economy
2- Inflation is UP!
3- Trump's policies: Tariffs; Treasury hole;
4- Consumer sentiment and corporation sentiment are down
5- FED has hands tied; under Trump's pressure; confirmed uncertainty
6- Europe is waking up: Major investments in Infrastructures and Defense; Europe is and will attract investments (US equities DOWN Versus EUR Equities UP)
7- GOLD made new ATH seeking the sky as a response to UNCERTAINTY.
All the above are very bad for US equities.
7- This week, we have key employment data (i.e., Jolts and NFP). Market expectations are very low. But I won't be surprised if NFP data comes NEGATIVE.
8- April 2nd: US tariffs comes into effect!
9- Market made already their decision: sell-off! Even with good news (i.e., today's Europe bending knee); So any good news will be short live, unless all these non-sense tariffs go away which is unlikely.
TA Analysis:
Quarterly TF
Strong bearish Q candle! A confirmed break of TL, it means continuation down.
Monthly TF
Same here: strong bearish Monthly candle!
The chart shows next key targets.
Weekly TF
Same thing: Very strong bearish weekly close. This weekly candle is the strongest bearish candle you may have!
Price closed below 19620 (mentioned previously). During the last week, price bounced to test the previous swing of 19620 and grabbed liquidity and went down in an impulsive way. This wave still have room to continue down.
Daily TF
Last Friday daily candle is now the new strong resistance that buyers have to go through to make a change of structure. Many large sellers are sitting there.
SPY timing for low Tgt $585My short idea target was hit (and blown yesterday, tho QQQ idea was almost perfect), and if you saw the last idea, I mentioned the date of the 11th was in play. This seems accurate from what I'm getting now with my dowsing work.
I am quite pumped that the timing was so good. The upside target (repeating) is around $585. When I ask what date this hits by, I get 3/25. We shall see if lightning can strike twice!
Opening (IRA): TMF May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 36.05 debit.
Comments: Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 36.05/share
Max Profit: .95
ROC at Max: 2.64%
50% Max: .48
ROC at 50% Max: 1.32%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, look to add at intervals if I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call when that aspect hits 50% max.
BTC Breakout or Breakdown: 83K to 87K or Bust to 73K?BTC’s standing at a fork in the road, and it’s itching to make a move! If it pushes past 83,121, we’re looking at a smooth jump to 84,600—like a quick win you can almost taste. Keep the good vibes going, and 87,000 might just be the big payoff. But hold up—if it stumbles below 81,300, things could get messy. The bears might crash the party, pulling us down to 80K, then 79,900. And if the slide keeps going? We’re talking 74,700, maybe even a rough landing between 73,600 and 73,000.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
It looks like a wedge!If you're not a chartist, then see it as a liquidity grab at the marked red dot.
We probably still have another 100 pips of leverage left, maybe more!
Remember that a crowded area is a liquidity-starved area.
Don't forget that patience pays off!
Apply your own strategy to find the entry, or here's a little setup; that's what I'm waiting for.
Keep It Simple!
Don't forget to follow me.
Gold at New Record—Will the Rally Continue?Spot gold opened higher and rose further in the early trading on Monday (March 31st). It once broke through the level of $3,090 per ounce and reached a new all-time high of $3,128 per ounce. This market movement was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to flock to safe-haven assets.
This week, multiple factors in the market have interwoven to affect the price of gold. On Wednesday, the tariff policy was finally determined, and the ADP data also caused fluctuations in the market. On Friday, the non-farm payrolls data will once again test the nerves of the market, presenting both risks and opportunities. Against this backdrop, gold has demonstrated the charm of a safe-haven asset. The economic slowdown in the United States, the intensification of the US debt crisis, and the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East have all provided impetus for the rise in the price of gold.
From a technical perspective, gold surged after opening in the morning and then quickly declined, but it stabilized and rebounded later. The weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all show a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. On the hourly chart, gold maintains a good upward trend, with previous highs and lows continuously rising, and the bulls are in the dominant position. Currently, the upper resistance is in the range of $3,135 - $3,138, while the lower support is in the range of $3,070 - $3,080. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks as the main strategy and go short on rebounds as a supplementary strategy.
XAUUSD
buy@3090-3100
tp:3120-3130-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
•
Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
USO swing high- short tgt 65-66I asked my dowsing for the next trade to help reach my goal for the year, and it's oil/ USO. I do believe this will include oil stocks, so I may ask for dowsing to choose one from a list. If I do & get the reading done on it, I'll post it as another idea.
My latest work is pretty decent, but a work in progress. I'm really trying to determine time frames for when targets will hit so we can get the right options & mental expectation (i.e. patience) for things to develop.
The target is 65. In my mind I got 63, but I'm only sharing that because I'm also testing my own intuition more lately. The date we hit by is around April 28th.
I also have been guided to get dates from the past as an indication of what to expect, & the date given was 1/21, which was a gap down. I suspect there will be a gap down tomorrow, or at least the move down starts more aggressively. This has worked in prior ideas on TSLA & I think SPY... but can't remember.
I really am enjoying this method so far as my levels are often hit & I can just relax & allow things to happen with more faith they will. Of course, there's always the chance it's completely wrong & it is a smaller move, but we'll see.
USOIL: Next Week's Blueprint for Profit Amid VolatilityDuring the US trading session on Friday, March 28th, international oil prices fluctuated slightly and declined. However, both Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil remained firmly near their one - month highs and were projected to register "three consecutive weekly gains" on the weekly chart. The ongoing tug - of - war between the supply tightness instigated by geopolitical unrest and the latent concerns regarding an economic downturn has placed oil prices in a volatile state of being "caught between a rock and a hard place".
From the perspective of the USOIL daily chart, following the medium - term trend's breach of the lower edge of the range, it has predominantly fluctuated around lower levels. The oil price has experienced consecutive short - term increases, breaking through the suppression of the moving average system, and the medium - term objective trend has entered a transition phase. Nevertheless, in terms of kinetic energy, neither the bulls nor the bears have demonstrated a clear - cut inclination to overpower the other. It is anticipated that the medium - term trend will persist in its volatile rhythm for a while, awaiting the establishment of a distinct trend direction.
The short - term (1H) trend of USOIL has not continuously set new highs and has exhibited a pattern of high - level consolidation. The short - term objective trend remains upward. In the early trading session, the oil price underwent a narrow adjustment at a high level, presenting an overall secondary rhythm with a sound internal rhythm. The fundamental objective trend during the week has been upward in sync, and it is highly likely that the short - term trend of USOIL will continue its upward trajectory next week.
USOIL
buy@68-68.5
tp:69.5-70
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
SPY - Macro-Market Overview and what the algorithms are sayingCurrently we are being guided by a strong selling teal on the LTF but we must keep in mind the HTF algorithms of red and white (which are bullish liquidity builders). Right now, we need to see who wins out in this fight between teal and red - if we break red and prove teal guidance, we are definitively in strong selling and can easily make our way toward the HTF white at the low $500's.
As always, let the algorithms guide you!
Happy Trading :)
ATH 3127, continues to aim for big growth⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold's record-breaking rally continues unchecked as buyers push prices past the $3,100 milestone for the first time ever. Mounting concerns over a potential global trade war and rising stagflation risks in the United States (US) have further fueled demand for the safe-haven metal, reinforcing its status as a store of value.
A recent report from The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) suggests that US President Donald Trump may introduce even higher and broader reciprocal tariffs on April 2, known as “Liberation Day.” This prospect has sent fresh waves of risk aversion rippling through global markets, amplifying investor uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Tariff pressure, fears of trade war outbreak in April. Gold price is growing continuously, expected to reach 3127
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3126 - $3128 SL $3133
TP1: $3120
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3092 - $3094 SL $3087
TP1: $3098
TP2: $3103
TP3: $3110
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Us100 Upward or downward?In the 5-minute timeframe, you can sell at the top of the trading range and buy at the bottom of the trading range (by observing reversal candles and patterns).
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout and enter in the direction of the breakout.
Be mindful of fake breakouts.