Market next move . Support Fatigue / Breakdown Risk
Observation: Price has tested the red support zone multiple times.
Disruption: Repeated tests of support often weaken it. If it breaks, a sharp drop may follow.
Implication: Instead of bouncing, EUR/USD could slide below 1.13200, triggering stop-losses.
---
2. Lack of Bullish Volume Confirmation
Observation: The recent candles show low volume on bullish attempts.
Disruption: Weak demand at support indicates hesitation among buyers.
Implication: Without a volume spike, any bounce may be short-lived or fail entirely.
---
3. Bearish Momentum Still Intact
Observation: Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Disruption: The short-term trend is still bearish, so this could be a pause before continuation down.
Implication: A false bullish break could trap long traders before a drop resumes.
---
4. Fundamental Risks (USD Strength)
Disruption: Any U.S. data surprises or hawkish Fed comments (noted by U.S. event icons on the chart) could push USD higher, dragging EUR/USD down.
Implication: Technical bounce setups could be invalidated by macro events.
Beyond Technical Analysis
ETH Continues Bullish Momentum Above Broken TrendlineHello guys!
Ethereum has shown a strong bullish rally, breaking through a long-standing descending trendline with significant momentum. Currently, price action is consolidating above the broken trendline, which may now act as a support zone.
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation): If ETH holds above the current range and confirms the broken trendline as support, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels around $3,500 and beyond.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Deeper Retest): Alternatively, a pullback toward the $2,200–$2,300 area (highlighted zone) could offer a better accumulation point before the next bullish leg resumes.
This setup suggests that as long as ETH remains above the key support levels, the bullish structure remains intact.
Market next move
1. False Breakout / Bull Trap Risk
Observation: Price just touched the support and bounced slightly.
Disruption: If buyers fail to push above the next resistance (around 32.95–33.00), it could be a bull trap.
Implication: The bounce might just be a short-covering rally before another leg down.
---
2. Weak Buying Volume
Observation: The bounce lacks strong green volume bars so far.
Disruption: Weak volume on the bounce suggests limited buyer conviction.
Implication: Without a volume surge, the upward move could fizzle out quickly.
---
3. Lower High Structure
Observation: The trend before the support touch is clearly down.
Disruption: This bounce may only form a lower high before continuation lower.
Implication: The larger trend remains bearish unless 33.20+ is reclaimed with strength.
---
4. Fundamental Headwinds
Disruption: Any upcoming data like strong USD, rising interest rates, or weak industrial demand could push silver down despite technical setups.
Implication: Bullish setups could fail fast due to macroeconomic pressure.
Market next move
1. Potential Bear Trap Scenario
Observation: The highlighted consolidation area could be a support zone.
Disruption: If the price quickly reclaims and holds above this zone (around 3,292), it could be a bear trap. This might attract buyers looking for a false breakdown reversal.
Implication: This could lead to a short-term rally instead of continuation lower.
---
2. Volume Divergence
Observation: Despite the breakdown, the selling volume seems to taper off compared to the previous heavy down move.
Disruption: Lower volume on a breakdown can signal weakening bearish momentum. Price might consolidate or even reverse.
Implication: Watch for bullish volume spikes as a sign of reversal interest.
---
3. Oversold RSI or Momentum Indicators
Disruption: If momentum indicators like RSI (not visible on this chart) show oversold conditions, this may suggest a relief bounce is more likely than further immediate downside.
Implication: Short-term traders could get trapped if they short too late.
---
4. Fundamental Triggers
Disruption: Any sudden positive news for gold (e.g. economic uncertainty, lower bond yields, central bank demand) can reverse this technical setup quickly.
Implication: Be cautious trading solely on technicals in sensitive markets like gold.
AI C3ai Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AI before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AI C3ai prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 23.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-5-30,
for a premium of approximately $1.31.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NTNX Nutanix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NTNX before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NTNX Nutanix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 80usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $5.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ELF Beauty Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ELF Beauty prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-5-30,
for a premium of approximately $5.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
XAUUSD SMC Bullish AnalysisThe market structure shows clear bullish and bearish Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) zones.
• I am applying a liquidity sweep and order block entry model.
Market Structure Overview
• The chart starts with a bullish rally, followed by multiple BOSs to the downside, indicating a bearish market structure.
• Then, there’s a shift as CHoCH occurs — a Change of Character, often marking the beginning of a potential bullish shift.
• A recent CHoCH is marked near the bottom, signaling a potential reversal point.
Liquidity Concepts
• Sell-side liquidity was taken at the recent low (indicated by liquidity grabs marked with “$$$$”).
• The blue zone at the bottom represents a bullish demand zone / Order Block (OB) where liquidity has been swept and the price is expected to react bullishly.
Order Blocks & Zones
• The large red and pink areas at the top are Bearish Supply Zones / Bearish Order Blocks.
• The blue zone at the bottom is the Bullish Order Block the trader is focusing on for a potential long entry.
• A note on the chart says:
“We’ll be looking to long from this area once the bullish OB has been respected and sellside liquidity has been taken.”
Anticipated Price Action
• A projected path is drawn showing price forming a higher low, then breaking structure to the upside.
• The trade idea is to go long after the demand zone is respected and a new BOS to the upside confirms bullish intent.
• The path includes retracements and BOSs, indicating a bullish structure shift.
• Target zones are marked above, with areas of interest around $3,310, $3,325, and higher into the $3,340–$3,350 zones.
Key SMC Concepts Used
• Break of Structure (BOS): To confirm trend direction shifts.
• Change of Character (CHoCH): To signal potential reversals.
• Liquidity Sweeps: To trap retail and create institutional entries.
• Order Blocks (OB): Institutional demand and supply zones.
• Market Structure Shift: After liquidity is taken, the market shifts in the opposite direction.
Summary of the Setup
• Bias: Bullish, contingent on the bullish order block holding.
• Trigger: CHoCH and BOS to the upside from the OB zone.
• Entry Area: Around $3,280–$3,293 (blue zone).
• Targets: $3,310, $3,325, and potentially higher into supply at $3,341–$3,350.
• Invalidation: Break and close below the blue OB zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
DELL Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the recent dip:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DELL Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $8.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I`m bullish long term on DELL though.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AudCad..PWL taken!!Good day traders, I’m back with another setup on AudCad and I like that previous week low was taken. We can now look at the power of 3 with higher TF in mind.
On the 4H TF price has been bearish but we can see that price left very “smooth” highs(relative equal highs) but ICT teaches us that price will always go back to make the smooth highs, smooth cries(liquidity sweep).
Before price took our low it left a FVG that’s we wanna see turn into an inverse.
The first target has to be our internal liquidity than the external liquidity that also has relatively equal highs too.
EURCHF both scenarios possibles
OANDA:EURCHF UPDATE from first analysis (attached) we are have upside - downside moves, new trend line is created, sup zone is created (violet line) and we can see also long zone.
If we see break of 0.94000 we will be higly possible in bullish move, break of sup zone (violet line) we will can see bearish move.
Currently still giving higher chances for bearish trend, but lets see some stronger moves.
SUP zone: 0.93850
RES zone: 0.92750, 0.92550
CADCHF new view, still bullish expectations
OANDA:CADCHF first analysis till TP1 (attached), having thoughts we are not see to much here and expecting higher bullish push than in previous analysis.
We are have break of zone, price is start pushing, at end its revers on first res zone (0.60600), in meantime DESCENDING CHANNEL is be created, on 22.Jun is be breaked, currently price is break and ASCENDING TRIANGL.
SUP zone: 0.59600
RES zone: 0.60800, 0.61200
EURJPY still to expect bearish for new week
OANDA:EURJPY strong bearish bounce from top line of price action, currently price in rectangle and on bottom line of price action.
EUR with all showing self the weakest in last periods and expectations are still to see weaknes, here expecting break of rectangle and trend line of PA and higher bearish continuation till res zone.
SUP zone: 163.300
RES zone: 160.600
gold on sell#XAUUSD price have reached the max decline base on past price movement and now we wait for breakout below the low to keep selling.
Below 3292.6 have bearish continuation which will target between 3285 for bullish reverse or a drop below 3281 will keep falling till 3270. SL 3306
The bullish range needs a long candle to confirm.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Flag Breakout Points to $114KHello guys!
Bitcoin continues to respect the bullish structure within its ascending channel, and we just got a clean breakout from a textbook bull flag.
After a solid move higher earlier this month, BTC cooled off inside a tight flag pattern, consolidating above $106K. That pullback helped reset momentum, and now we’ve broken out with conviction.
You can read about it here:
We’re currently hovering around $ 109.8 K. A short-term retest of the breakout zone near $108K–$108.5K wouldn’t be surprising. it could even offer a great entry opportunity before the next leg up.
If momentum holds, the projected target from this flag pattern lands in the $113.5K–$114K zone.
watch these:
Support: $107.5K–$108.5K
Target: $114K
Invalidation: Break below $107K
Bias remains bullish unless we lose the channel structure.
Dow Jones Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern on H1 TFPrice was retested and rejected in an H4 demand zone following a massive pullback. Since then, it has been showing consistent higher highs and higher lows on H1 and has now confirmed a bearish-to-bullish reversal in the form of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. Whether or not there is a minor pullback, as indicated by the arrows pointing to the downside, the overall bias is bullish, as per the confirmations mentioned.
Bitcoin Heading UP for the Next Leg of the Rally in June 2025 The same orange fractal is in the background as in the previous idea. The orange fractal is the main fractal.
However we have a quirky Uranus becoming the boss of the charts from 30 May 2025, and the cream colour fractal represents what happened last time Uranus was the boss of the chart.
The cream fractal is my alternative fractal. Uranus is unpredictable and it's very difficult to nail what Uranus will do.
So the orange fractal remains the main fractal. If you want to see it well - refer to the previous idea.
Pound Tops $1.357 on Solid DataGBP/USD advanced above $1.357, hitting its highest level since February 2022, as Trump’s delay of the 50% EU tariff boosted global sentiment. The pound also gained from promising April data, with retail sales rising 1.2%, marking the fourth monthly gain. Inflation stayed high at 3.5%, adding uncertainty over the BoE’s next move. Markets now price in a 50% chance of a rate cut by August, with another possible by year-end.
Support lies at 1.3425, with resistance at 1.3600. Other key levels are 1.3850 and 1.3750 above, and 1.3165 and 1.2890 below.
Gold Price Action Analysis – Using MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) 🔍 Overview:
In this idea, we dive deep into XAU/USD's (Gold) short-term bearish move using a blend of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The 15-minute chart provides an excellent visual of market psychology shifting, with CHoCHs, supply-demand zones, SR flips, and the Black Mind Curve highlighting the story of price.
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown:
🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Formed
Price pushed aggressively upward but met strong rejection near the major resistance zone.
This zone acts as a ceiling for the bullish momentum—setting the first signal for a possible reversal.
🔵 2. Black Mind Curve Activated
A descending Black Mind Curve was plotted to reflect the psychological shift from bullish to bearish.
Price failed multiple times to break above this curve, highlighting strong internal weakness.
The Black Mind Curve visually reinforces the bearish tone and offers a roadmap for probable lower highs.
🔵 3. Minor Resistance + SR Interchange
As price dropped, it created a minor resistance.
When price returned to this area and rejected it, this confirmed an SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)—a classic MMC feature.
Mirror Market Concepts suggest that old demand often mirrors into new supply. That's exactly what happens here.
🔵 4. Major CHoCH: Change of Character
A decisive break of the bullish structure signaled a Major CHoCH, confirming bearish order flow.
This is the moment smart money starts repositioning for shorts—liquidity has been grabbed above previous highs, and the direction shifts.
🔵 5. 50% Retracement
After the impulsive drop, price retraced nearly 50%—a key area of interest for MMC traders.
This level often acts as a decision point. In this case, price rejects the retracement, creating an ideal zone for re-entries.
🔵 6. Targeting the Demand Zone
The projected target lies in a prior demand zone, which mirrors earlier supply structure.
This aligns with MMC’s principle of "market reflection"—what was resistance becomes support again, and vice versa.
🎯 Trade Bias: Bearish
Entry Confirmation: After CHoCH + rejection from 50% level + re-alignment with Black Mind Curve.
SL: Just above the 50% retracement or last minor high.
TP: At the marked target zone near historical demand.
🧠 Why MMC Works Here:
MMC helps you see the market in reverse—where previous zones mirror and reflect. Combined with smart money triggers like CHoCHs, BOS, liquidity sweeps, and SR flips, this makes for a precise trading model that goes beyond basic support and resistance.
The beauty of MMC is that it reveals where the crowd is wrong and where the real momentum lies.
🔑 Key Takeaways for Traders:
The Black Mind Curve helps visualize hidden resistance paths.
CHoCHs are crucial in understanding market intent.
MMC allows traders to anticipate instead of react.
High probability setups form where multiple MMC/SMC elements converge.
Always wait for confirmation, not assumption.